Fordham
Atlantic 10
2024-25 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
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All team stats adjusted for opponents. See methodology page for details.

Predictive Rating +0.0 159
Results Rating -1.7 190
Consistency 0.16 235
Pace 62.1 337
Improvement +5.7 25

Overall 1st FGA Second Chance TOs Free
throws		 Shot Selection
Offense D+ 262 D+ C+ C- D- C
Defense B- 82 B- B- C- B+ B+

Offense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 38% 183 C- 56% 206 -0.6 201
2 Pt. Jumpers 37% 185 B+ 45% 33 +1.4 103
Three Pointers 41% 186 F 28% 362 -3.8 307
Shot Selection/Accuracy C +0.0 192 D+ -2.9 275
1st FG Attempt D+ 0.96 274
Second Chance B- 34.2% 72 D+ 0.97 280 C+ 0.33 128
Opponents' Steals C+ 9.0% 135
Other Turnovers D- 8.7% 330
Turnovers C- 17.7% 249
Freethrows D- 0.25 342 C- 70% 250 D- 0.17 342
Total Offense D+ -3.5 262

Assists Opponents' Blocks
Close Shots B- 54% 87 C+ 9.9% 118
2 Pt. Jumpers Shots C 26% 159 B 2.9% 50
Three Pointers C- 82% 229 D 1.4% 302
Total C 56% 180 B- 5.0% 107


Defense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 33% 315 C+ 56% 115 -3.8 59
2 Pt. Jumpers 26% 43 B- 36% 99 +1.4 299
Three Pointers 41% 172 C 34% 176 +0.0 187
Shot Selection/Accuracy B+ -1.0 35 C+ -1.3 129
1st FG Attempt B- 0.97 103
Second Chance B 26.3% 46 C 1.04 198 B- 0.27 77
Turnovers from Steals C+ 10.3% 114
Other Turnovers D- 6.0% 338
Turnovers C- 16.3% 203
Freethrows B 0.26 68 A 67% 7 B+ 0.18 36
Total Defense B- +3.4 82

Assists Blocks
Close Shots D 55% 316 C- 9.6% 222
2 Pt. Jumpers Shots F 41% 351 C- 3.8% 237
Three Pointers D+ 87% 292 D- 0.1% 349
Total D 63% 330 D+ 4.2% 294

Miscellaneous
Offense Defense
Possession Length 19.3 344 17.1 145
Fast Break Points Per Possession 0.15 243 0.16 144
Consistency 0.10 29 0.12 125
Improvement +1.0 136 +4.6 17

NCAA Tournament Selection
At-Large Selection Status Out of Consideration
Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Prediction Ranges
Pessimistic
5th Percentile 		Expected
50th Percentile 		Optimistic
95th Percentile
Predictive Rating Rank 182 161 139
Results Rating Rank 231 189 154
Conference Record 7 - 11 8 - 10 9 - 9
Conference Finish 10 9 7
NCAA Tourney Seed None None None
NCAA Tourney Finish None None None

NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0% 0% 0%
#1 Seed 0% 0% 0%
Top 2 Seed 0% 0% 0%
Top 4 Seed 0% 0% 0%
Top 6 Seed 0% 0% 0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 0% 0% 0%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0% 0% 0%
Average Seed 13.3 13.1 13.9
.500 or above 42% 70% 16%
.500 or above in Conference 28% 57% 0%
Conference Champion 0% 0% 0%
Last Place in Conference 0% 0% 0%
First Four0% 0% 0%
First Round0% 0% 0%
Second Round0% 0% 0%
Sweet Sixteen0% 0% 0%
Elite Eight0% 0% 0%
Final Four0% 0% 0%
Championship Game0% 0% 0%
National Champion0% 0% 0%
Next Game: La Salle (Away) - 49.5% chance of victory

Projected Record by Quadrant
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 10 - 1
Quad 1b0 - 20 - 3
Quad 22 - 32 - 6
Quad 34 - 56 - 11
Quad 48 - 414 - 15


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Lead Record Total Rating Offense Defense
Avg Time Overall Conf Total First
FGA		 2nd Chance TOs Total First
FGA		 2nd Chance TOs
 Tue, Nov 4 331 NJIT L 61 - 72 91% -5  23% 0 - 1 F -26 F -14 F C B F -12 F C+ C-
 Tue, Nov 11 317 Wagner W 63 - 61 88% -2  28% 1 - 1 D -11 D- -8 F C+ B C- -2 B+ F+ D
 Fri, Nov 14 241 @Iona L 71 - 76 56% +0  54% 1 - 2 D+ -6 D+ -3 F A+ C D+ -3 F+ A+ F
 Thu, Nov 20 218 LIU Brooklyn W 69 - 53 72% +11  88% 2 - 2 B +10 D+ -4 B F B+ A+ +15 A+ A+ D
 Sat, Nov 29 321 Albany W 88 - 68 83% +11  97% 3 - 2 B +10 A- +10 A- A+ F C+ +1 A D+ F
 Sun, Nov 30 252 Colgate L 62 - 72 69% -9  1% 3 - 3 F+ -15 F -12 F+ C- F D+ -5 D- A- C-
 Sat, Dec 6 328 Holy Cross L 69 - 70 90% +7  85% 3 - 4 F+ -15 D- -7 C- C- D D- -8 D+ F B
 Wed, Dec 10 336 Fairleigh Dickinson W 75 - 54 91% +11  80% 4 - 4 B- +6 D+ -3 B- B F A +10 D+ A+ C
 Sat, Dec 13 323 Manhattan W 82 - 53 89% +11  93% 5 - 4 A- +15 C+ +3 B C+ D- A+ +14 A+ B D+
 Mon, Dec 22 325 New Haven W 65 - 47 89% +5  55% 6 - 4 C+ +4 D- -7 C- A- F A+ +13 B A+ A
 Wed, Dec 31 75 @Dayton L 56 - 63 16% -5  0% 6 - 5 0 - 1 C+ +4 D -5 D+ D+ D A- +8 A+ F F
 Sun, Jan 4 136 Richmond L 75 - 83 56% -2  32% 6 - 6 0 - 2 D -9 B- +5 C+ A- F F -16 F+ D F
 Wed, Jan 7 105 George Mason L 58 - 67 45% -1  36% 6 - 7 0 - 3 D+ -8 F -10 D- D+ C+ C+ +2 A B D+
 Sat, Jan 10 138 @St. Bonaventure W 81 - 77 34% +2  60% 7 - 7 1 - 3 B +8 B+ +9 A- F A- C -0 C F C
 Wed, Jan 14 24 @Saint Louis L 56 - 78 5% -12  1% 7 - 8 1 - 4 C- -3 C- -2 D+ D B+ D+ -5 C D+ F
 Sat, Jan 17 120 Duquesne L 63 - 74 50% -6  0% 7 - 9 1 - 5 D -11 F -13 F C C- B- +2 C A- C+
 Wed, Jan 21 111 @Davidson L 63 - 68 26% +1  49% 7 - 10 1 - 6 C +2 D+ -3 A- C+ F B +5 B A C
 Wed, Jan 28 210 La Salle W 64 - 58 71% -1  39% 8 - 10 2 - 6 C +0 D+ -3 F+ B- B B +4 A+ C- D-
 Sat, Jan 31 78 @George Washington W 79 - 65 16% +4  76% 9 - 10 3 - 6 A+ +25 B+ +8 C+ A+ C A+ +17 A+ B+ B-
 Tue, Feb 3 49 Virginia Commonwealth L 59 - 63 22% -8  0% 9 - 11 3 - 7 C+ +4 F+ -8 F C+ B+ A+ +12 B+ D+ A+
 Sat, Feb 7 138 St. Bonaventure L 67 - 70 57% +0  52% 9 - 12 3 - 8 C- -5 D+ -4 C D- D C -1 F C A+
 Tue, Feb 10 116 @Saint Joseph's W 68 - 64 28% -3  27% 10 - 12 4 - 8 B +10 B +7 D+ A- A B +4 D+ B- B-
 Sat, Feb 14 135 @Rhode Island W 70 - 66 OT 33% -6  7% 11 - 12 5 - 8 B +9 C +0 D+ B B A- +8 B+ A- D+
 Wed, Feb 18 279 Loyola Chicago W 62 - 59 82% +9  90% 12 - 12 6 - 8 D+ -7 F -15 F B- F A- +8 B A B-
 Sat, Feb 21 111 Davidson W 63 - 59 48% +3  69% 13 - 12 7 - 8 C+ +5 C- -1 C+ B- C- B+ +6 C A A+
 Sat, Feb 28 49 @Virginia Commonwealth L 63 - 82 10% -10  0% 13 - 13 7 - 9 C- -5 D -5 F+ D B C -0 C- C+ C-
 Wed, Mar 4 210 @La Salle L 63 - 64 50%
 Sat, Mar 7 135 Rhode Island W 65 - 64 55%
Totals 14 - 14 8 - 10 +0 D+ -3 A+ D+ C B- +3 F C- D-



Game Detail
Grades are adjusted for opponent strength in each category. Game stats are not adjusted for oppoent strength. See methodology page for descriptions of rating types.
Offense Defense
Tot Off First Field Goal Attempt Second Chance TOs Freethrows Tot Def First Field Goal Attempt Second Chance TOs Freethrows
Shot Accuracy Shot Selection Points Per Shot Shot Accuracy Shot Selection Points Per Shot
2 C 2 L 3 Tot 2 C 2 L 3 Tot Off Reb PPP Tot Att Perc Tot 2 C 2 L 3 Tot 2 C 2 L 3 Tot Off Reb PPP Tot Att Perc Tot
Season Ratings D+ C- B+ F D+ 38% 37% 41% C D+ B- D+ C+ C- D- C- D- B- C+ B- C C+ 33% 26% 41% B+ B- B C B- C- B A B+
1.04 56% 45% 28% -3 0 0.96 34% 1.0 .33 18% .25 70% .17 1.04 56% 36% 34% -1 -1 0.97 26% 1.0 .27 16% .26 67% .17
Nov
4		 NJIT F C+ C F F 35% 22% 43% D+ F B+ F+ C B D+ F F+ F B B F F 38% 23% 40% D F C B C+ C- A+ A+ A+
0.94 61% 36% 9% -15 0 0.71 40% 0.9 .36 12% .32 61% .19 1.11 50% 33% 52% +7 0 1.15 26% 0.8 .20 17% .15 50% .07
Nov
11		 Wagner D- F A+ F F 48% 20% 33% C F D A+ C+ B B- C- C+ C- A+ D D+ B 27% 29% 45% A- B+ D+ F F+ D A+ A+ A+
1.05 36% 67% 27% -8 +1 0.87 26% 1.3 .34 12% .40 71% .28 1.02 23% 43% 36% -6 -2 0.86 34% 1.2 .42 17% .12 50% .06
Nov
14		 Iona D+ D B F F 39% 12% 49% B F A B+ A+ C F F F D+ D- F+ F F 39% 26% 35% B+ F+ A A+ A+ F D+ A+ B-
1.02 55% 43% 18% -13 +1 0.79 43% 1.1 .48 16% .14 63% .09 1.09 64% 47% 40% +8 -1 1.16 17% 0.2 .03 10% .29 56% .16
Nov
20		 LIU Brooklyn D+ A F C+ B 49% 18% 33% C+ B D+ F F B+ D- F F A+ A+ F A+ A+ 40% 29% 31% B A+ A+ A+ A+ D F F F
1.04 68% 22% 35% +3 +1 1.10 31% 0.5 .17 15% .27 60% .16 0.80 33% 54% 7% -18 -1 0.64 23% 0.7 .15 18% .44 75% .33
Nov
29		 Albany A- A A+ C+ A 43% 20% 37% C A- B+ A+ A+ F A F B C+ A+ F A A 34% 25% 41% B+ A F B+ D+ F C+ F C-
1.30 70% 56% 35% +9 0 1.22 42% 2.0 .85 21% .39 67% .26 1.01 42% 50% 26% -7 -1 0.86 40% 0.8 .33 13% .22 77% .17
Nov
30		 Colgate F C- D+ F F+ 45% 24% 31% C F+ C- C C- F F A+ F D+ D- F D F+ 29% 22% 49% C+ D- F A+ A- C- A- F B
0.96 57% 33% 25% -6 0 0.90 29% 1.0 .29 19% .13 86% .11 1.12 64% 55% 38% +8 -1 1.16 35% 0.5 .18 16% .20 82% .17
Dec
6		 Holy Cross D- D A+ C- C- 38% 19% 44% C C- F+ A+ C- D A D- B+ D- F+ A+ F D+ 24% 20% 56% D+ D+ D F F B F A- F
1.07 56% 56% 33% +2 0 1.06 21% 1.5 .32 16% .35 68% .24 1.09 64% 11% 40% +1 -1 1.02 24% 1.8 .42 19% .46 71% .33
Dec
10		 Fairleigh Dickinson D+ F+ A+ A+ C+ 41% 15% 43% B- B- A- D+ B F F D+ F A C C C+ D+ 32% 16% 52% C- D+ A+ A+ A+ C A+ B- A
1.15 53% 57% 45% +8 +1 1.20 36% 0.9 .33 20% .25 69% .17 0.83 56% 38% 31% -3 0 0.96 17% 0.0 .00 18% .17 67% .11
Dec
13		 Manhattan C+ D A+ B- B+ 36% 29% 35% D- B A+ F C+ D- F C+ F A+ A B A+ A+ 32% 32% 36% A A+ A+ F B D+ A+ F A
1.26 55% 75% 37% +11 -1 1.22 50% 0.9 .43 18% .08 75% .06 0.81 41% 35% 21% -13 -2 0.72 16% 1.5 .24 14% .16 100% .16
Dec
22		 New Haven D- A- A- F C 40% 27% 33% D- C- B+ B A- F F D+ F A+ F A+ A- C+ 26% 30% 44% A B B A+ A+ A A+ A+ A+
1.03 68% 46% 25% +2 -1 1.04 33% 1.2 .41 24% .17 75% .12 0.74 85% 13% 27% -5 -2 0.88 17% 0.3 .06 24% .04 50% .02
Dec
31		 Dayton D A+ F F D+ 23% 19% 57% C D+ A F D+ D F F F A- F A+ A+ A+ 46% 27% 27% A A+ B F F F A B A
0.89 82% 22% 26% -4 -1 0.91 39% 0.6 .24 24% .17 63% .10 1.01 73% 0% 8% -14 0 0.73 24% 2.4 .58 13% .33 72% .24
Jan
4		 Richmond B- B+ A+ F B 27% 36% 38% F+ C+ A+ F A- F A+ D A+ F D A+ F F 24% 44% 32% A+ F+ B F D F B- C- C+
1.17 67% 56% 24% +3 -3 1.02 51% 0.9 .46 22% .48 67% .32 1.30 67% 23% 69% +12 -4 1.18 22% 1.4 .31 8% .31 78% .24
Jan
7		 George Mason F F C- D+ F 45% 18% 37% B+ D- A+ F D+ C+ D- F F+ C+ B- F A+ A+ 53% 22% 24% D A A+ F B D+ F D- F
0.93 43% 33% 32% -9 +1 0.86 40% 0.5 .21 14% .19 60% .11 1.07 58% 50% 9% -6 +1 0.91 21% 1.2 .25 14% .49 77% .37
Jan
10		 St. Bonaventure B+ B F A+ A- 51% 16% 33% B+ A- C F F A- B A+ A+ C D A- F+ C- 27% 24% 49% B- C B+ F F C A F B+
1.22 64% 25% 50% +9 +1 1.22 29% 0.5 .14 14% .31 94% .29 1.16 64% 33% 40% +5 -1 1.10 31% 1.4 .45 17% .18 90% .16
Jan
14		 Saint Louis C- D D F D 35% 18% 47% B- D+ A F D B+ F+ B D- D+ F F C- C- 33% 8% 59% B+ C B+ F D+ F B B- B+
0.92 47% 33% 26% -10 0 0.82 36% 0.4 .16 13% .25 77% .19 1.28 75% 50% 38% +10 +1 1.24 28% 1.4 .38 10% .25 71% .18
Jan
17		 Duquesne F D- A+ F F 33% 20% 46% C F A F C C- F F F B- B- A+ F C- 33% 18% 49% A C A+ D- A- C+ F B+ F+
0.89 50% 55% 16% -12 0 0.78 39% 0.7 .29 18% .26 60% .16 1.04 56% 22% 42% +2 0 1.06 19% 1.2 .23 18% .47 67% .31
Jan
21		 Davidson D+ D A+ D A 42% 36% 22% D A- D A+ C+ F F F F B D- F A+ B- 26% 30% 43% A+ B D- A+ A C F+ F F
0.97 53% 69% 30% +7 -2 1.13 24% 1.3 .32 28% .15 57% .08 1.04 67% 64% 20% +1 -2 1.00 36% 0.6 .22 17% .35 74% .26
Jan
28		 La Salle D+ F A+ F+ F+ 33% 20% 47% C- F+ B- C+ B- B F A+ D+ B A B A+ A+ 39% 31% 31% B A+ C D+ C- D- C D- D+
1.05 41% 50% 29% -7 0 0.88 32% 1.2 .38 15% .15 100% .15 0.95 42% 33% 20% -14 -1 0.71 33% 1.0 .33 15% .34 78% .27
Jan
31		 George Washington B+ A+ F F B- 38% 25% 38% D+ C+ A+ C A+ C B- B+ B A+ A+ A+ B A+ 32% 19% 49% A+ A+ A+ F B+ B- A+ A+ A+
1.16 89% 17% 28% +3 -1 1.06 47% 1.1 .50 18% .30 76% .23 0.96 47% 30% 31% -7 0 0.87 25% 1.3 .33 19% .22 58% .13
Feb
3		 Virginia Commonwealth F+ D F F F 47% 21% 32% C+ F C+ C+ C+ B+ D A C- A+ C- A- C- B- 33% 31% 36% A+ B+ C D- D+ A+ F A+ F
0.92 48% 27% 18% -15 +1 0.74 31% 1.0 .31 14% .25 79% .20 0.98 62% 33% 36% +1 -2 1.00 35% 1.2 .42 23% .57 61% .35
Shot Accuracy Shot Selection PPS 2nd Chance TOs Freethrows Shot Accuracy Shot Selection PPS 2nd Chance TOs Freethrows
Feb
7		 St. Bonaventure D+ B- D B C+ 35% 20% 46% C- C B F D- D C D- C- C F F F F 30% 48% 23% A+ F D B C A+ A+ B+ A+
1.08 63% 33% 38% +3 0 1.09 34% 0.6 .22 19% .28 71% .20 1.13 69% 57% 50% +18 -4 1.30 39% 0.9 .35 27% .16 71% .11
Feb
10		 Saint Joseph's B A+ F F C 18% 36% 46% F D+ C- A+ A- A A+ B+ A+ B A D+ F+ D+ 34% 11% 55% C D+ C+ B B- B- F A+ D
1.08 89% 28% 26% -4 -3 0.88 29% 1.4 .40 11% .37 76% .28 1.01 47% 40% 38% -1 +1 1.02 31% 0.9 .28 19% .43 55% .23
Feb
14		 Rhode Island C F A+ C- D 44% 13% 44% B D+ D A+ B B B+ F C A- A+ D+ C B- 24% 28% 48% A+ B+ A+ F A- D+ F A+ D+
1.01 43% 50% 33% -6 +1 0.94 26% 1.4 .37 19% .41 61% .25 0.95 42% 43% 33% -3 -2 0.92 18% 1.1 .21 17% .46 62% .28
Feb
18		 Loyola Chicago F F D+ F F 36% 24% 40% C- F C- A B- F A+ F A A- C+ F A B+ 39% 4% 57% D- B A+ F A B- F B+ F+
0.92 44% 36% 28% -9 -1 0.82 27% 1.3 .35 21% .51 59% .30 0.88 56% 50% 27% -6 +2 0.93 15% 1.2 .18 21% .41 64% .26
Feb
21		 Davidson C- D A+ F C 49% 18% 33% A- C+ D A+ B- C- A+ D+ A+ B+ A+ C+ F C- 33% 23% 44% B- C C A+ A A+ D- A+ A+
1.05 53% 71% 23% -2 +1 1.00 24% 1.4 .34 18% .57 64% .37 0.98 43% 40% 47% +4 -1 1.09 31% 0.7 .23 23% .35 31% .11
Feb
28		 Virginia Commonwealth D F C+ F+ F 50% 10% 40% A F+ C- D- D B B+ B B+ C D C+ C- D+ 40% 10% 50% C- C- B D+ C+ C- C- A B-
0.92 38% 40% 29% -13 +2 0.81 27% 0.8 .23 15% .34 75% .26 1.20 65% 40% 36% +4 +1 1.14 31% 1.2 .37 15% .40 65% .26



Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Atlantic 10 Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 4th
5th 5th
6th 4.0 4.0 6th
7th 3.0 17.0 20.0 7th
8th 0.3 18.6 7.1 26.1 8th
9th 10.0 27.0 37.0 9th
10th 13.0 13.0 10th
11th 11th
12th 12th
13th 13th
14th 14th
Total 23.3 48.6 28.1 Total



Atlantic 10 Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8
9-9 0.0%
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8
9-9 28.1% 0.4% 0.4% 12.9 0.0 0.1 0.0 28.0
8-10 48.6% 0.2% 0.2% 13.8 0.0 0.1 0.0 48.5
7-11 23.3% 0.0% 0.0% 15.0 0.0 23.3
6-12
5-13
4-14
3-15
2-16
1-17
0-18
Total 100% 0.2% 0.2% 0.0% 13.3 99.8 0.0%


Best / Worst Case Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid		Avg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Win Out 0.1% 100.0% 12.9 31.8 50.0 18.2
Win Out, Lose in Conf. Tourney Championship 0.4%
Win Out, Lose in Conf. Tourney Semi-Final 1.2%
Lose Out 16.9%