Fordham
Atlantic 10
2024-25 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
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Overall
Predictive Rating-2.1#193
Expected Predictive Rating-7.4#277
Pace62.3#346
Improvement+4.2#7

Offense
Total Offense-2.6#236
First Shot-3.2#258
After Offensive Rebound+0.6#134
Layup/Dunks+1.1#142
2 Pt Jumpshots+3.6#27
3 Pt Jumpshots-4.5#312
Freethrows-3.4#338
Improvement+0.5#131

Defense
Total Defense+0.4#146
First Shot+0.2#163
After Offensive Rebounds+0.3#172
Layups/Dunks+1.2#133
2 Pt Jumpshots-0.2#217
3 Pt Jumpshots-2.9#291
Freethrows+2.0#59
Improvement+3.7#4
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 0.2% 0.5% 0.2%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 13.6 12.9 13.8
.500 or above 19.5% 39.9% 17.1%
.500 or above in Conference 14.9% 33.8% 12.7%
Conference Champion 0.1% 0.4% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 16.0% 5.9% 17.1%
First Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Round0.2% 0.5% 0.2%
Second Round0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Dayton (Away) - 10.4% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 10 - 1
Quad 1b0 - 20 - 3
Quad 21 - 41 - 7
Quad 33 - 64 - 13
Quad 48 - 413 - 17


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Tue, Nov 4 353 NJIT L 61-72 90%     0 - 1 -27.3 -11.4 -16.8
  Tue, Nov 11 294 Wagner W 63-61 78%     1 - 1 -8.1 -3.4 -4.4
  Fri, Nov 14 165 @Iona L 71-76 33%     1 - 2 -2.5 -0.6 -2.0
  Thu, Nov 20 208 LIU Brooklyn W 69-53 64%     2 - 2 +10.0 -3.2 +14.2
  Sat, Nov 29 313 Albany W 88-68 74%     3 - 2 +11.2 +13.0 -1.1
  Sun, Nov 30 199 Colgate L 62-72 51%     3 - 3 -12.5 -7.2 -6.2
  Sat, Dec 6 325 Holy Cross L 69-70 84%     3 - 4 -13.8 -4.7 -9.2
  Wed, Dec 10 358 Fairleigh Dickinson W 75-54 92%     4 - 4 +3.5 -2.3 +7.3
  Sat, Dec 13 314 Manhattan W 82-53 82%     5 - 4 +17.2 +6.6 +12.8
  Mon, Dec 22 340 New Haven W 65-47 87%     6 - 4 +3.6 -5.3 +10.7
  Wed, Dec 31 68 @Dayton L 61-74 10%    
  Sun, Jan 4 113 Richmond L 68-70 41%    
  Wed, Jan 7 98 George Mason L 64-69 33%    
  Sat, Jan 10 115 @St. Bonaventure L 63-71 21%    
  Wed, Jan 14 35 @Saint Louis L 64-82 4%    
  Sat, Jan 17 121 Duquesne L 72-74 44%    
  Wed, Jan 21 140 @Davidson L 63-70 28%    
  Wed, Jan 28 233 La Salle W 68-63 68%    
  Sat, Jan 31 77 @George Washington L 67-79 13%    
  Tue, Feb 3 46 Virginia Commonwealth L 65-75 17%    
  Sat, Feb 7 115 St. Bonaventure L 66-68 42%    
  Tue, Feb 10 187 @Saint Joseph's L 65-68 38%    
  Sat, Feb 14 117 @Rhode Island L 63-71 23%    
  Wed, Feb 18 266 Loyola Chicago W 72-65 73%    
  Sat, Feb 21 140 Davidson L 66-67 48%    
  Sat, Feb 28 46 @Virginia Commonwealth L 62-78 7%    
  Wed, Mar 4 233 @La Salle L 65-66 47%    
  Sat, Mar 7 117 Rhode Island L 66-68 42%    
Projected Record 12 - 16 6 - 12




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Atlantic 10 Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 1st
2nd 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.4 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.3 0.4 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.9 3rd
4th 0.0 0.4 0.8 0.3 0.0 1.7 4th
5th 0.0 0.4 1.4 0.8 0.1 0.0 2.7 5th
6th 0.0 0.3 1.9 1.6 0.2 4.0 6th
7th 0.2 1.9 2.8 0.6 0.0 5.4 7th
8th 0.1 1.5 4.2 1.7 0.1 7.6 8th
9th 0.0 1.3 5.1 3.3 0.4 10.0 9th
10th 0.1 1.0 5.2 5.6 1.0 0.0 12.9 10th
11th 0.0 1.0 5.3 6.8 1.8 0.1 15.0 11th
12th 0.1 1.4 5.3 7.2 2.7 0.2 0.0 16.8 12th
13th 0.1 1.4 4.6 5.6 2.2 0.2 0.0 14.1 13th
14th 0.3 1.4 2.9 2.7 1.0 0.1 8.5 14th
Total 0.3 1.6 4.3 8.7 12.9 15.9 16.2 14.3 10.9 7.3 4.0 2.2 1.0 0.3 0.1 0.0 Total



Atlantic 10 Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3 62.5% 0.0    0.0 0.0 0.0
14-4 19.4% 0.0    0.0 0.0 0.0
13-5 7.0% 0.0    0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
12-6 0.7% 0.0    0.0 0.0
11-7 0.2% 0.0    0.0
10-8 0.0%
9-9 0.0%
Total 0.1% 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3 0.0% 0.0
14-4 0.1% 5.6% 5.6% 12.5 0.0 0.0 0.1
13-5 0.3% 8.0% 8.0% 11.9 0.0 0.0 0.3
12-6 1.0% 2.1% 2.1% 12.8 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.9
11-7 2.2% 1.7% 1.7% 12.9 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 2.1
10-8 4.0% 0.7% 0.7% 13.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 4.0
9-9 7.3% 0.2% 0.2% 13.6 0.0 0.0 7.2
8-10 10.9% 0.2% 0.2% 14.2 0.0 0.0 0.0 10.8
7-11 14.3% 0.2% 0.2% 14.9 0.0 0.0 14.3
6-12 16.2% 0.1% 0.1% 15.6 0.0 0.0 16.2
5-13 15.9% 0.0% 0.0% 16.0 0.0 15.9
4-14 12.9% 0.1% 0.1% 16.0 0.0 12.9
3-15 8.7% 8.7
2-16 4.3% 4.3
1-17 1.6% 1.6
0-18 0.3% 0.3
Total 100% 0.2% 0.2% 0.0% 13.6 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 99.8 0.0%


Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid		Avg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Lose Out 0.2%