Fordham
Atlantic 10
2020-21 - 2021-22 - 2022-23
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Overall
Predictive Rating-4.0#235
Expected Predictive Rating-3.3#229
Pace70.1#149
Improvement+0.8#118

Offense
Total Offense-5.8#326
First Shot-5.8#325
After Offensive Rebound+0.0#175
Layup/Dunks-2.7#267
2 Pt Jumpshots-2.7#302
3 Pt Jumpshots-2.8#257
Freethrows+2.3#55
Improvement+0.5#137

Defense
Total Defense+1.9#119
First Shot-2.8#269
After Offensive Rebounds+4.7#5
Layups/Dunks-2.2#259
2 Pt Jumpshots-4.2#340
3 Pt Jumpshots+5.6#23
Freethrows-2.0#292
Improvement+0.4#146
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 0.1% 0.1% 0.0%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 14.3 14.2 14.7
.500 or above 17.8% 22.6% 8.0%
.500 or above in Conference 11.7% 13.4% 8.1%
Conference Champion 0.1% 0.1% 0.1%
Last Place in Conference 22.0% 19.8% 26.6%
First Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Round0.1% 0.1% 0.0%
Second Round0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: LIU Brooklyn (Home) - 67.4% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 10 - 1
Quad 1b0 - 20 - 3
Quad 21 - 51 - 7
Quad 34 - 74 - 14
Quad 49 - 513 - 19


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 09, 2021 339   Columbia W 77-67 87%     1 - 0 -6.1 -3.3 -2.6
  Nov 12, 2021 270   @ Manhattan L 60-66 46%     1 - 1 -8.9 -17.9 +9.5
  Nov 15, 2021 323   St. Thomas W 84-78 80%     2 - 1 -6.9 -1.1 -5.8
  Nov 19, 2021 330   Maryland Eastern Shore L 73-75 2OT 83%     2 - 2 -16.3 -15.4 -0.7
  Nov 22, 2021 153   Akron W 63-43 32%     3 - 2 +20.8 -1.1 +24.7
  Nov 23, 2021 155   Delaware L 71-81 32%     3 - 3 -9.3 -4.8 -4.3
  Nov 24, 2021 186   Rice W 84-74 38%     4 - 3 +9.1 +3.2 +5.4
  Nov 28, 2021 347   @ Central Connecticut St. W 89-83 2OT 75%     5 - 3 -5.1 -7.0 +0.8
  Dec 01, 2021 337   St. Francis Brooklyn W 68-46 86%     6 - 3 +6.2 -13.2 +19.0
  Dec 05, 2021 79   @ St. John's L 69-83 11%     6 - 4 -4.5 -6.6 +3.4
  Dec 09, 2021 268   LIU Brooklyn W 73-68 67%    
  Dec 12, 2021 100   Miami (FL) L 64-73 21%    
  Dec 22, 2021 196   Georgia Southern W 63-62 51%    
  Dec 30, 2021 248   @ La Salle L 64-67 41%    
  Jan 02, 2022 119   Massachusetts L 74-78 35%    
  Jan 05, 2022 45   @ St. Bonaventure L 56-73 6%    
  Jan 08, 2022 62   Richmond L 64-73 22%    
  Jan 12, 2022 212   Duquesne W 67-66 53%    
  Jan 15, 2022 65   @ Saint Louis L 63-77 9%    
  Jan 19, 2022 98   @ Dayton L 58-70 13%    
  Jan 22, 2022 70   Davidson L 62-70 23%    
  Jan 30, 2022 264   @ George Washington L 65-66 45%    
  Feb 02, 2022 77   Rhode Island L 61-69 25%    
  Feb 05, 2022 207   @ Saint Joseph's L 69-74 32%    
  Feb 12, 2022 212   @ Duquesne L 64-69 33%    
  Feb 15, 2022 82   Virginia Commonwealth L 57-64 25%    
  Feb 20, 2022 139   George Mason L 65-68 40%    
  Feb 23, 2022 248   La Salle W 67-64 62%    
  Feb 26, 2022 70   @ Davidson L 59-73 10%    
  Mar 02, 2022 119   @ Massachusetts L 71-81 18%    
  Mar 05, 2022 264   George Washington W 68-63 66%    
Projected Record 13 - 18 6 - 12





Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.




Projected Atlantic 10 Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 1st
2nd 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.3 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.2 0.3 0.1 0.0 0.6 3rd
4th 0.0 0.2 0.5 0.2 0.0 1.0 4th
5th 0.0 0.2 0.9 0.6 0.1 0.0 1.7 5th
6th 0.0 0.1 1.0 1.4 0.3 0.0 2.8 6th
7th 0.1 1.1 2.3 0.7 0.0 4.2 7th
8th 0.1 1.3 3.3 1.7 0.1 0.0 6.4 8th
9th 0.1 1.3 4.6 3.2 0.5 0.0 9.7 9th
10th 0.1 1.4 5.5 5.2 0.9 0.0 13.1 10th
11th 0.0 1.3 5.7 6.3 1.8 0.1 15.3 11th
12th 0.1 1.3 5.8 6.7 2.3 0.2 16.3 12th
13th 0.1 1.4 5.3 6.2 2.2 0.2 15.3 13th
14th 0.5 2.3 4.8 4.1 1.4 0.1 13.2 14th
Total 0.5 2.4 6.2 10.7 14.7 16.2 15.7 13.1 8.8 5.7 3.3 1.6 0.7 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.0 Total



Atlantic 10 Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2 100.0% 0.0    0.0 0.0
15-3 75.0% 0.0    0.0 0.0
14-4 44.4% 0.0    0.0 0.0 0.0
13-5 7.4% 0.0    0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
12-6 1.2% 0.0    0.0 0.0 0.0
11-7 0.2% 0.0    0.0
10-8 0.0%
9-9 0.0%
Total 0.1% 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid
AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2 0.0% 0.0 0.0
15-3 0.0% 0.0
14-4 0.1% 5.6% 5.6% 12.5 0.0 0.0 0.1
13-5 0.2% 4.1% 4.1% 14.0 0.0 0.2
12-6 0.7% 3.0% 3.0% 13.3 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.7
11-7 1.6% 0.6% 0.6% 14.8 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.6
10-8 3.3% 0.5% 0.5% 14.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 3.3
9-9 5.7% 0.2% 0.2% 13.8 0.0 0.0 0.0 5.7
8-10 8.8% 0.1% 0.1% 15.2 0.0 0.0 0.0 8.8
7-11 13.1% 0.1% 0.1% 15.6 0.0 0.0 13.1
6-12 15.7% 15.7
5-13 16.2% 0.0% 0.0% 16.0 0.0 16.2
4-14 14.7% 14.7
3-15 10.7% 10.7
2-16 6.2% 6.2
1-17 2.4% 0.1% 0.1% 16.0 0.0 2.4
0-18 0.5% 0.5
Total 100% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 14.3 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 99.9 0.0%


Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid
Avg
Seed
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Lose Out 0.1%