IN CC Stats - NCAA Basketball

Le Moyne
Northeast
2023-24 - 2024-25 - 2025-26
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Overall
Predictive Rating	-10.0	#334
Expected Predictive Rating	-8.5	#304

Pace	70.9	#130
Improvement	+1.2	#103

Offense
Total Offense	-5.8	#329

First Shot	-3.0	#266
After Offensive Rebound	-2.8	#319

Layup/Dunks	+0.6	#162
2 Pt Jumpshots	-1.9	#284
3 Pt Jumpshots	-1.2	#211
Freethrows	-0.5	#219

Improvement	-0.6	#231

Defense
Total Defense	-4.3	#311

First Shot	-2.0	#235
After Offensive Rebounds	-2.3	#324

Layups/Dunks	-3.3	#290
2 Pt Jumpshots	+0.7	#140
3 Pt Jumpshots	+2.5	#91
Freethrows	-1.8	#287

Improvement	+1.8	#49

	Now	Win Next	Lose Next
#1 Overall Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
#1 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Top 2 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Top 4 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Top 6 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid	9.5%	10.7%	7.7%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Average Seed	16.0	16.0	16.0

.500 or above	20.7%	27.3%	11.7%
.500 or above in Conference	62.1%	66.4%	56.3%
Conference Champion	10.3%	11.9%	8.0%
Last Place in Conference	7.9%	6.2%	10.3%

First Four	8.9%	10.0%	7.5%
First Round	4.1%	4.8%	3.1%
Second Round	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Sweet Sixteen	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Elite Eight	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Final Four	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Championship Game	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
National Champion	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%

Next Game: Binghamton (Home) - 57.8% chance of victory

Projected Seeding

Not in Tournament

Projected Record by Quad
Quad	Projected	Projected Cumulative
Quad 1a	0 - 1	0 - 1
Quad 1b	0 - 1	0 - 2
Quad 2	0 - 2	0 - 4
Quad 3	0 - 3	0 - 7
Quad 4	12 - 11	12 - 18

Date	Opponent		Result/Prediction			Record	Conf		Rating	Offense	Defense
Nov 04, 2024	96	@ Syracuse	L	82-86	5%	0 - 1			+4.6	+4.0	+1.0
Nov 06, 2024	155	Cal St. Northridge	L	75-97	24%	0 - 2			-24.7	-5.4	-17.1
Nov 13, 2024	11	@ Connecticut	L	49-90	1%	0 - 3			-22.5	-12.9	-14.6
Nov 16, 2024	88	@ St. Bonaventure	L	52-71	5%	0 - 4			-9.9	-10.4	-1.2
Nov 22, 2024	328	Tennessee Martin	W	65-53	48%	1 - 4			+2.6	-12.7	+14.9
Nov 23, 2024	215	@ TX A&M Corpus Christi	L	61-82	17%	1 - 5			-20.7	-11.0	-10.1
Nov 25, 2024	166	@ UT Rio Grande Valley	L	77-97	13%	1 - 6			-17.6	-1.9	-14.3
Nov 29, 2024	313	@ Manhattan	W	81-77	32%	2 - 6			-1.1	+0.1	-1.4
Dec 03, 2024	282	Army	L	100-103 3OT	47%	2 - 7			-12.4	-5.3	-6.2
Dec 07, 2024	322	Binghamton	W	71-69	58%
Dec 18, 2024	319	@ Dartmouth	L	71-75	35%
Dec 22, 2024	80	@ Notre Dame	L	60-80	3%
Dec 29, 2024	308	@ Niagara	L	67-72	31%
Jan 03, 2025	342	@ LIU Brooklyn	L	71-73	44%
Jan 10, 2025	341	Fairleigh Dickinson	W	82-78	65%
Jan 12, 2025	361	Mercyhurst	W	71-63	76%
Jan 18, 2025	359	@ Chicago St.	W	73-72	55%
Jan 20, 2025	336	Stonehill	W	72-69	61%
Jan 24, 2025	240	Central Connecticut St.	L	67-70	40%
Jan 30, 2025	341	@ Fairleigh Dickinson	L	79-81	45%
Feb 01, 2025	300	@ Wagner	L	58-64	30%
Feb 06, 2025	339	@ St. Francis (PA)	L	72-74	41%
Feb 08, 2025	361	@ Mercyhurst	W	68-66	57%
Feb 13, 2025	300	Wagner	W	62-61	51%
Feb 15, 2025	359	Chicago St.	W	76-69	74%
Feb 20, 2025	339	St. Francis (PA)	W	75-71	63%
Feb 22, 2025	342	LIU Brooklyn	W	74-70	66%
Feb 27, 2025	240	@ Central Connecticut St.	L	64-73	21%
Mar 01, 2025	336	@ Stonehill	L	69-72	39%
Projected Record						12 - 17	8 - 8

Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.

Projected Northeast Finish

	0-16	1-15	2-14	3-13	4-12	5-11	6-10	7-9	8-8	9-7	10-6	11-5	12-4	13-3	14-2	15-1	16-0		Total
1st										0.0	0.7	2.3	3.1	2.5	1.2	0.3	0.1		10.3	1st
2nd									0.1	1.3	4.9	5.2	2.6	0.6	0.0				14.7	2nd
3rd								0.0	1.6	6.2	5.9	1.7	0.2	0.0					15.6	3rd
4th							0.0	1.3	6.3	5.9	1.3	0.1							14.9	4th
5th						0.0	0.8	5.1	5.6	1.1	0.0								12.7	5th
6th					0.0	0.6	4.3	5.1	1.2	0.0									11.3	6th
7th				0.0	0.5	3.1	4.3	1.2	0.0										9.2	7th
8th			0.0	0.7	2.2	3.1	1.1	0.1											7.1	8th
9th	0.0	0.2	0.7	1.3	1.4	0.6	0.1												4.3	9th

Total	0.0	0.2	0.8	2.0	4.1	7.4	10.5	12.8	14.8	14.5	12.9	9.3	5.8	3.1	1.3	0.3	0.1			Total

Northeast Regular Season Championship

Record	Champion	Total		Outright	2-Way	3-Way	4-Way	5-Way	6-Way	7-Way	8-Way
16-0	100.0%	0.1		0.1
15-1	100.0%	0.3		0.3	0.0
14-2	96.6%	1.2		1.1	0.1
13-3	80.1%	2.5		1.8	0.7	0.0
12-4	52.7%	3.1		1.6	1.3	0.2	0.0
11-5	24.6%	2.3		0.6	1.0	0.6	0.1	0.0
10-6	5.5%	0.7		0.1	0.2	0.3	0.2	0.0	0.0
9-7	0.3%	0.0			0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0
8-8	0.0%

Total	10.3%	10.3		5.6	3.3	1.1	0.3	0.0	0.0

NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf Record	Record Chance		Tourney Bid	Auto	At-Large	Avg Seed		1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16	No Bid		At-Large if not Auto
16-0	0.1%		61.1%	61.1%		15.3														0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0
15-1	0.3%		33.3%	33.3%		15.7															0.0	0.0	0.1	0.2
14-2	1.3%		29.9%	29.9%		15.8															0.0	0.1	0.3	0.9
13-3	3.1%		26.0%	26.0%		16.0																0.0	0.8	2.3
12-4	5.8%		21.6%	21.6%		16.0																	1.3	4.6
11-5	9.3%		17.0%	17.0%		16.0																	1.6	7.7
10-6	12.9%		13.2%	13.2%		16.0																	1.7	11.2
9-7	14.5%		8.9%	8.9%		16.0																	1.3	13.2
8-8	14.8%		7.0%	7.0%		16.0																	1.0	13.8
7-9	12.8%		5.3%	5.3%		16.0																	0.7	12.2
6-10	10.5%		3.3%	3.3%		16.0																	0.3	10.1
5-11	7.4%		2.3%	2.3%		16.0																	0.2	7.2
4-12	4.1%		0.9%	0.9%		16.0																	0.0	4.1
3-13	2.0%		0.1%	0.1%		16.0																	0.0	2.0
2-14	0.8%																							0.8
1-15	0.2%																							0.2
0-16	0.0%																							0.0

Total	100%		9.5%	9.5%	0.0%	16.0														0.0	0.0	0.1	9.3	90.5		0.0%