Le Moyne
Northeast
2024-25 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
Switch to All-time Team Page
Predictive Rating -7.7 296
Expected Predictive Rating -7.5 286
Pace 72.0 88
Improvement -0.3 194

Overall 1st FGA Second Chance TOs Free
throws		 Shot Selection
Offense D+ 295 C D D- C+ B-
Defense D+ 262 C C- D C- C-

Offense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 40% 130 C 59% 145 +1.3 125
2 Pt. Jumpers 34% 224 C- 36% 234 -1.7 266
Three Pointers 43% 142 C 34% 193 +0.8 150
Shot Selection/Accuracy B- +0.6 103 C -0.2 178
1st FG Attempt C 1.03 159
Second Chance D- 24.4% 333 C- 1.00 209 D 0.25 320
Turnovers D- 20.0% 337
Freethrows B- 0.33 113 C- 71% 236 C+ 0.23 136
Total Offense D+ -4.8 295

Assists Blocks (Opponents')
Close Shots C 47% 201 C- 11.6% 219
2 Pt. Jumpers Shots C 24% 188 C- 5.9% 246
Three Pointers B- 88% 89 D+ 1.3% 282
Total C+ 57% 136 C- 6.2% 244

Defense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 38% 198 B- 55% 99 -1.4 129
2 Pt. Jumpers 18% 262 A 30% 6 -2.4 16
Three Pointers 44% 90 D 37% 314 +3.6 331
Shot Selection/Accuracy C- +0.3 224 C -0.5 166
1st FG Attempt C 1.02 172
Second Chance C- 31.4% 223 D+ 1.08 263 C- 0.34 251
Turnovers D 14.5% 317
Freethrows C 0.31 201 D+ 74% 279 C- 0.23 219
Total Defense D+ -3.0 262

Assists Blocks
Close Shots C- 51% 244 C- 10.4% 192
2 Pt. Jumpers Shots B- 21% 111 C+ 6.3% 87
Three Pointers C- 86% 223 D+ 0.3% 303
Total D+ 61% 294 C- 5.3% 202

Miscellaneous
Offense Defense
Possession Length 16.9 128 16.8 96
Fast Break Points Per Possession 0.18 151 0.20 294
Improvement -5.3 #355 +5.0 #14

See methodology page for descriptions of rating types.
Predictions by Percentile
5th 50th 95th
Predictive Rating Rank 309 294 274
Conference Record 9 - 7 11 - 5 12 - 4
Conference Finish 4 3 2
NCAA Tourney Seed None None None
NCAA Tourney Finish None None None

NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0% 0% 0%
#1 Seed 0% 0% 0%
Top 2 Seed 0% 0% 0%
Top 4 Seed 0% 0% 0%
Top 6 Seed 0% 0% 0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 0% 0% 0%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0% 0% 0%
Average Seed n/a n/a n/a
.500 or above 64% 87% 35%
.500 or above in Conference 100% 100% 100%
Conference Champion 0% 0% 0%
Last Place in Conference 0% 0% 0%
First Four0% 0% 0%
First Round0% 0% 0%
Second Round0% 0% 0%
Sweet Sixteen0% 0% 0%
Elite Eight0% 0% 0%
Final Four0% 0% 0%
Championship Game0% 0% 0%
National Champion0% 0% 0%

Next Game: Stonehill (Away) - 56.9% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 10 - 1
Quad 1b0 - 00 - 1
Quad 20 - 10 - 2
Quad 31 - 51 - 7
Quad 414 - 815 - 15


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Lead Record Total Rating Offense Defense
Avg Time Overall Conf Total First
FGA		 2nd Chance TOs Total First
FGA		 2nd Chance TOs
 Thu, Nov 6 82 @Xavier L 69 - 74 6% -4  25% 0 - 1 B- +5 C- -1 A+ F F B+ +6 C- A A-
 Sun, Nov 9 166 @Bowling Green L 60 - 83 17% -6  17% 0 - 2 F -20 F -12 D+ D+ F D- -8 D+ A F
 Thu, Nov 13 182 @Massachusetts L 80 - 94 19% -11  1% 0 - 3 D- -12 C- -2 D+ C- A- F+ -9 F D C-
 Mon, Nov 17 337 Niagara W 74 - 68 75% +4  88% 1 - 3 D -9 D -5 B- F F D+ -4 D+ C D
 Sat, Nov 22 266 Fairfield L 83 - 97 54% -12  2% 1 - 4 F -23 C +1 D A+ F F -24 F F F
 Fri, Nov 28 322 @Lafayette W 76 - 63 48% +1  54% 2 - 4 B- +6 C- -1 D A+ D- B+ +7 B+ C B-
 Sat, Nov 29 189 Monmouth W 83 - 79 29% +1  58% 3 - 4 C+ +2 A- +10 A C+ D+ F+ -8 A F F
 Sun, Nov 30 313 Ball St. L 85 - 96 56% -0  48% 3 - 5 F -20 A- +11 A+ F A- F -32 D F C
 Sat, Dec 6 359 @Binghamton W 78 - 63 69% +10  98% 4 - 5 C+ +2 C +1 B D+ D- B- +2 B C- D
 Tue, Dec 16 27 @Texas L 53 - 95 2% -18  0% 4 - 6 F -24 F -21 F C- D C -1 C+ F+ B
 Sat, Dec 20 143 @St. Bonaventure L 81 - 92 14% -2  25% 4 - 7 D+ -7 B+ +8 C- A C+ F -15 D- F+ F
 Sun, Dec 28 135 @Boston College L 64 - 72 13% -2  15% 4 - 8 C- -3 F+ -8 C- D F B+ +5 C- A+ C
 Fri, Jan 2 355 @St. Francis (PA) W 84 - 58 65% +9  72% 5 - 8 1 - 0 B+ +14 B- +5 A- B+ D- A +10 A- A F+
 Sun, Jan 4 301 @Mercyhurst L 60 - 74 40% -8  8% 5 - 9 1 - 1 F -19 F -10 F C+ C- F -10 D+ F D+
 Thu, Jan 8 325 New Haven W 73 - 47 72% +16  94% 6 - 9 2 - 1 B+ +12 B- +5 B C B+ A+ +11 A B- B
 Sat, Jan 10 292 Central Connecticut St. L 59 - 69 60% -6  6% 6 - 10 2 - 2 F -20 F -24 F D F B +4 A C C
 Sat, Jan 17 351 @Chicago St. W 72 - 57 62% -0  27% 7 - 10 3 - 2 C+ +4 F+ -8 D- C D+ A+ +13 D+ A+ A-
 Mon, Jan 19 214 LIU Brooklyn W 83 - 77 43% +4  79% 8 - 10 4 - 2 C +0 B- +5 A+ F D+ D -5 B+ F F+
 Fri, Jan 23 324 Wagner W 69 - 67 71% -2  26% 9 - 10 5 - 2 D- -11 D+ -4 F A- C+ D- -8 F B- C+
 Mon, Jan 26 329 @Fairleigh Dickinson W 87 - 74 51% +13  97% 10 - 10 6 - 2 B- +5 A +13 A+ F D- D- -7 A+ F F
 Thu, Jan 29 214 @LIU Brooklyn L 61 - 83 23% -11  2% 10 - 11 6 - 3 F -22 F -17 F F D- D+ -3 D B- C-
 Sat, Jan 31 345 Stonehill L 54 - 65 77% -5  2% 10 - 12 6 - 4 F -27 F -24 F F F C- -2 C+ A+ F
 Thu, Feb 5 324 @Wagner L 78 - 79 49% -1  36% 10 - 13 6 - 5 D -8 C -0 A F+ F F+ -8 F F+ B-
 Sat, Feb 7 355 St. Francis (PA) W 86 - 84 82% -3  25% 11 - 13 7 - 5 F+ -16 D- -7 A+ F F F+ -9 D F+ D-
 Thu, Feb 12 301 Mercyhurst W 58 - 57 62% +1  53% 12 - 13 8 - 5 D -10 F -20 D+ F F A +10 A+ B+ F
 Sat, Feb 14 351 Chicago St. W 81 - 63 80% +6  83% 13 - 13 9 - 5 C +1 C- -2 B+ F B+ B +4 A- D+ D-
 Thu, Feb 19 292 @Central Connecticut St. L 77 - 78 37% -8  0% 13 - 14 9 - 6 D+ -5 D+ -3 A- F F C- -2 F+ A F+
 Sat, Feb 21 345 @Stonehill W 68 - 66 57%
 Thu, Feb 26 329 Fairleigh Dickinson W 74 - 68 72%
 Sat, Feb 28 325 @New Haven L 66 - 67 50%
Totals 15 - 15 11 - 7 -8 D+ -5 D+ C B- D+ -3 C C- C+



Game Detail
Grades are adjusted for opponent strength in each category. Game stats are not adjusted for oppoent strength. See methodology page for descriptions of rating types.
Offense Defense
Tot Off First Field Goal Attempt Second Chance TOs Freethrows Tot Def First Field Goal Attempt Second Chance TOs Freethrows
Shot Accuracy Shot Selection Points Per Shot Shot Accuracy Shot Selection Points Per Shot
2 C 2 L 3 Tot 2 C 2 L 3 Tot Off Reb PPP Tot Att Perc Tot 2 C 2 L 3 Tot 2 C 2 L 3 Tot Off Reb PPP Tot Att Perc Tot
Season Ratings D+ C C- C C 40% 34% 43% B- C D- C- D D- B- C- C+ D+ B- A D C 38% 18% 44% C- C C- D+ C- D C D+ C-
1.02 59% 36% 34% 0 +1 1.03 24% 1.0 .25 20% .33 71% .23 1.13 55% 30% 37% 0 0 1.02 31% 1.1 .34 15% .31 74% .24
Nov
6		 Xavier C- A+ B A A+ 45% 14% 41% A- A+ F+ F F F D F F+ B+ A A+ F D+ 31% 25% 44% C C- C+ A+ A A- D+ B C-
1.01 73% 43% 40% +11 +1 1.27 19% 0.0 .00 26% .24 58% .14 1.08 50% 23% 52% +6 -1 1.12 26% 0.6 .16 16% .28 69% .19
Nov
9		 Bowling Green F D- A+ F+ D 35% 11% 54% B- D+ B+ F D+ F F+ A+ C D- A+ F F C- 57% 10% 33% F+ D+ C A+ A F B+ F D+
0.85 50% 60% 28% -5 +1 0.93 34% 0.7 .25 34% .26 92% .24 1.18 42% 67% 47% +1 +3 1.09 27% 0.4 .11 9% .26 94% .25
Nov
13		 Massachusetts C- C- F D+ D- 46% 9% 46% A- D+ D- A C- A- B- F C- F+ D D- F F 41% 20% 39% C- F F B+ D C- C+ F D
1.05 58% 20% 31% -4 +2 0.98 22% 1.3 .27 13% .42 64% .27 1.23 64% 45% 43% +9 0 1.20 39% 1.1 .42 18% .32 80% .26
Nov
17		 Niagara D C+ F A+ B 29% 22% 49% D+ B- F F F F A+ A+ A+ D+ A+ A+ F D- 29% 20% 51% A- D+ B F+ C D C- F+ D
1.10 62% 30% 45% +8 -1 1.16 23% 0.3 .07 19% .41 91% .37 1.01 33% 20% 50% +1 -1 1.04 18% 1.0 .18 16% .25 79% .20
Nov
22		 Fairfield C D+ F B+ D- 49% 11% 40% B- D A A+ A+ F A+ F A+ F F C F F 47% 25% 28% C- F F D+ F F F F F
1.18 55% 0% 39% -3 +2 1.00 40% 1.6 .66 21% .54 67% .36 1.37 68% 38% 47% +10 0 1.23 41% 1.0 .41 10% .36 87% .31
Nov
28		 Lafayette C- B+ D F D 41% 29% 29% D+ D B- A+ A+ D- B C B B+ B- A+ D+ B 29% 20% 51% A- B+ B- D C B- C- F D
1.10 67% 33% 27% -1 -1 0.98 35% 1.5 .55 17% .33 74% .25 0.91 53% 0% 35% -8 -1 0.84 23% 1.0 .23 19% .30 76% .23
Nov
29		 Monmouth A- A A+ B- A- 40% 9% 51% B A F+ A+ C+ D+ A+ B+ A+ F+ B B- A+ A+ 38% 28% 34% C+ A F+ F F F D- D F+
1.21 71% 50% 36% +8 +2 1.21 25% 1.3 .32 20% .51 79% .40 1.16 50% 33% 22% -10 -1 0.79 38% 1.7 .63 12% .36 77% .28
Nov
30		 Ball St. A- A+ F A+ A+ 25% 15% 60% C A+ D- F F A- A- A- A F C- A+ D D- 35% 16% 49% C- D F F F C F C- F
1.26 75% 29% 48% +16 0 1.33 28% 0.7 .20 15% .35 85% .30 1.42 56% 13% 36% -3 0 0.96 51% 1.5 .74 16% .50 71% .35
Dec
6		 Binghamton C C- F A+ B- 64% 11% 26% A B D- B- D+ D- C D- D+ B- A+ A+ D- A 52% 8% 40% F B F+ B+ C- D C- C C-
1.18 57% 0% 67% +8 +3 1.23 26% 1.1 .30 15% .32 67% .21 0.95 40% 0% 37% -11 +3 0.85 26% 0.7 .18 18% .39 76% .29
Dec
16		 Texas F F D- F F 29% 38% 33% F F C- C- C- D B B- B C B- F B B 41% 6% 54% F C+ F B F+ B B- C+ B-
0.72 40% 30% 12% -19 -3 0.58 22% 0.9 .20 18% .38 74% .28 1.29 59% 100% 31% +1 +2 1.09 49% 1.2 .57 18% .38 74% .28
Dec
20		 St. Bonaventure B+ C+ D D+ D+ 39% 12% 49% B C- C+ A+ A C+ A+ B- A+ F A A+ F D 40% 12% 49% F D- D+ F F+ F F C- F
1.19 60% 33% 32% -1 +1 1.02 31% 1.5 .46 16% .42 79% .33 1.35 47% 20% 52% +7 +1 1.19 38% 1.2 .44 12% .58 77% .45
Dec
28		 Boston College F+ C- F D+ D+ 44% 15% 42% B+ C- C+ F D F B F C B+ B- A+ F D+ 33% 27% 40% B- C- B A+ A+ C F C F+
0.88 54% 13% 30% -8 +1 0.89 29% 0.7 .19 21% .33 58% .19 0.99 53% 29% 43% +1 -1 1.02 26% 0.6 .17 15% .37 65% .24
Jan
2		 St. Francis (PA) B- B- C A+ A 38% 17% 45% C- A- B B- B+ D- F F F A B+ A+ C+ B+ 24% 28% 48% A- A- C- A+ A F+ F A+ C-
1.25 67% 38% 52% +16 0 1.34 38% 1.3 .48 21% .26 57% .15 0.86 50% 21% 33% -7 -2 0.84 28% 0.5 .14 15% .35 55% .19
Jan
4		 Mercyhurst F D C+ F F 46% 16% 38% C+ F C+ B- C+ C- F F F F A D- D- C- 38% 32% 30% D+ D+ F F+ F D+ F F F
0.94 52% 38% 16% -13 +1 0.78 35% 1.1 .38 19% .27 57% .15 1.16 44% 47% 36% -2 -1 0.96 38% 1.2 .47 14% .35 84% .29
Jan
8		 New Haven B- A+ D F+ B+ 37% 14% 49% C B C C C B+ A+ F A A+ B+ A+ B A 33% 19% 49% C- A C A B- B F A+ C-
1.19 88% 33% 29% +6 +1 1.16 29% 1.1 .32 13% .45 63% .28 0.77 50% 13% 29% -11 0 0.79 22% 0.8 .16 21% .39 47% .19
Jan
10		 Central Connecticut St. F F D- F F 51% 6% 43% A- F D- C D F C+ A B B C+ F A+ A 24% 39% 37% B+ A F A C C F D+ F
0.83 37% 33% 17% -22 +3 0.64 25% 1.0 .25 18% .28 88% .24 0.97 58% 47% 17% -6 -3 0.84 34% 0.8 .26 17% .44 81% .36
Jan
17		 Chicago St. F+ C+ A+ F F+ 42% 6% 52% B D- F A+ C D+ B+ C+ A- A+ A- A- F C+ 53% 20% 27% F D+ A+ D A+ A- A+ A+ A+
1.05 65% 100% 24% -1 +2 1.04 18% 2.2 .39 20% .40 77% .31 0.83 44% 30% 43% -5 +1 0.94 12% 1.0 .12 20% .16 56% .09
Jan
19		 LIU Brooklyn B- C+ A+ A+ A+ 41% 20% 39% C- A+ F A+ F D+ A+ B- A+ D C A+ B- B+ 41% 32% 27% A- B+ F F F F+ A A+ A
1.17 59% 63% 56% +18 0 1.39 9% 2.0 .17 20% .54 71% .38 1.08 58% 26% 31% -5 -1 0.90 42% 1.2 .51 17% .20 50% .10
Jan
23		 Wagner D+ F+ F F F 45% 14% 40% C+ F A- C+ A- C+ A+ D+ A+ D- D D F F 45% 16% 39% F+ F C- A- B- C+ B- A+ B+
1.13 47% 17% 29% -11 +1 0.83 38% 1.1 .44 13% .64 71% .45 1.10 60% 43% 41% +6 +1 1.16 33% 0.9 .30 20% .25 58% .14
Jan
26		 Fairleigh Dickinson A C A A+ A+ 44% 10% 46% A- A+ F C+ F D- A+ B+ A+ D- B- A A+ A+ 40% 13% 46% F+ A+ F+ F F F F F F
1.31 61% 50% 63% +23 +2 1.51 14% 1.0 .14 18% .51 79% .40 1.11 52% 29% 8% -21 +1 0.62 37% 1.2 .46 8% .50 84% .42
Shot Accuracy Shot Selection PPS 2nd Chance TOs Freethrows Shot Accuracy Shot Selection PPS 2nd Chance TOs Freethrows
Jan
29		 LIU Brooklyn F F D F F 53% 6% 41% A F F F F D- A+ F+ A- D+ D A+ D- D 43% 16% 41% D- D A+ F B- C- F F F
0.81 46% 33% 20% -15 +3 0.78 24% 0.6 .15 21% .45 63% .29 1.10 64% 25% 38% +3 +1 1.10 23% 1.3 .29 20% .43 77% .33
Jan
31		 Stonehill F F A F F 43% 19% 38% C+ F F F F F D- F F C- A+ F B- B- 45% 13% 42% F+ C+ B+ A+ A+ F D- F F
0.76 36% 45% 27% -12 +1 0.79 14% 0.5 .07 17% .22 62% .13 0.91 32% 71% 30% -10 +2 0.85 23% 0.4 .09 11% .28 78% .22
Feb
5		 Wagner C A A+ F A 54% 15% 30% B A F D F+ F C- B- C F+ F C- D F 43% 22% 35% D+ F B+ F F+ B- F F F
1.14 68% 86% 29% +10 +2 1.26 21% 1.0 .21 20% .37 75% .28 1.15 70% 40% 38% +7 0 1.17 27% 1.6 .42 20% .37 80% .29
Feb
7		 St. Francis (PA) D- A+ D A+ A+ 55% 7% 38% A A+ F F F F A+ D A+ F+ A+ A F F+ 29% 29% 43% B+ D D+ F F+ D- F A- F
1.12 87% 33% 44% +21 +3 1.50 23% 0.8 .18 27% .56 68% .38 1.09 38% 25% 54% +3 -2 1.05 29% 1.2 .34 16% .42 63% .26
Feb
12		 Mercyhurst F A D+ F D+ 51% 19% 30% C D+ F+ F F F C- F F A A- A- A+ A+ 23% 33% 44% B- A+ A D+ B+ F B- F C
0.84 71% 33% 14% -3 +1 0.98 26% 0.4 .11 26% .35 56% .20 0.83 46% 32% 20% -14 -3 0.68 19% 1.1 .21 9% .17 82% .14
Feb
14		 Chicago St. C- A F A+ B+ 35% 10% 55% C B+ F B+ F B+ B- D C B D- A+ A+ A- 31% 36% 34% C+ A- B+ F D+ D- A A+ A+
1.18 76% 0% 44% +11 +1 1.27 14% 1.3 .17 16% .36 71% .26 0.91 61% 19% 25% -10 -2 0.76 23% 1.3 .30 13% .17 60% .10
Feb
19		 Central Connecticut St. D+ D- B+ A+ A 42% 21% 37% D A- F F F F B- D C+ C- F F C+ F 21% 32% 48% B- F+ A+ B+ A F+ A+ F A+
1.09 50% 45% 53% +8 0 1.19 19% 0.7 .13 17% .29 76% .22 1.10 77% 55% 33% +9 -3 1.14 17% 0.8 .14 13% .02 100% .02



Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Northeast Finish

0-16 1-15 2-14 3-13 4-12 5-11 6-10 7-9 8-8 9-7 10-6 11-5 12-4 13-3 14-2 15-1 16-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 0.5 9.5 14.5 24.5 2nd
3rd 0.2 22.1 33.0 7.2 62.5 3rd
4th 3.1 6.0 9.1 4th
5th 2.8 0.4 3.2 5th
6th 0.6 0.6 6th
7th 7th
8th 8th
9th 9th
10th 10th
Total 6.7 29.0 42.6 21.7 Total



Northeast Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
16-0
15-1
14-2
13-3
12-4 0.0%
11-5 0.0%
10-6 0.0%
9-7 0.0%
8-8
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
16-0
15-1
14-2
13-3
12-4 21.7% 21.7
11-5 42.6% 42.6
10-6 29.0% 29.0
9-7 6.7% 6.7
8-8
7-9
6-10
5-11
4-12
3-13
2-14
1-15
0-16
Total 100% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0 100.0 0.0%


Best / Worst Case Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid		Avg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Win Out 21.7%
Lose Out 6.7%