Maine
America East
2024-25 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
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Overall
Predictive Rating-11.5#342
Expected Predictive Rating-17.9#356
Pace63.2#332
Improvement-4.5#358

Offense
Total Offense-9.9#362
First Shot-5.4#329
After Offensive Rebound-4.5#360
Layup/Dunks+0.3#177
2 Pt Jumpshots+0.2#158
3 Pt Jumpshots-3.6#300
Freethrows-2.3#312
Improvement-1.1#260

Defense
Total Defense-1.6#218
First Shot+0.7#147
After Offensive Rebounds-2.3#326
Layups/Dunks-3.9#314
2 Pt Jumpshots+0.4#162
3 Pt Jumpshots+3.1#67
Freethrows+1.0#113
Improvement-3.4#348
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 3.5% 4.2% 2.9%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 16.0 16.0 16.0
.500 or above 0.3% 0.5% 0.0%
.500 or above in Conference 41.0% 53.2% 28.2%
Conference Champion 2.6% 4.0% 1.1%
Last Place in Conference 13.3% 7.7% 19.1%
First Four3.5% 4.2% 2.9%
First Round1.4% 1.8% 1.1%
Second Round0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Bryant (Home) - 51.2% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 00 - 0
Quad 1b0 - 00 - 0
Quad 20 - 20 - 2
Quad 30 - 60 - 8
Quad 48 - 158 - 23


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Mon, Nov 3 77 @George Washington L 47-67 3%     0 - 1 -9.8 -21.4 +10.7
  Sat, Nov 8 246 @Stony Brook L 60-71 18%     0 - 2 -12.9 -12.9 -0.1
  Mon, Nov 10 147 @Rutgers L 60-72 8%     0 - 3 -8.1 -4.2 -5.0
  Sun, Nov 16 160 Quinnipiac L 64-70 21%     0 - 4 -9.0 -8.9 -0.2
  Wed, Nov 19 263 @Merrimack L 65-72 20%     0 - 5 -9.7 +0.6 -11.1
  Sun, Nov 23 226 Brown L 53-58 33%     0 - 6 -12.0 -16.0 +3.7
  Fri, Nov 28 268 @American L 61-74 20%     0 - 7 -15.9 -10.0 -6.5
  Sat, Nov 29 298 Longwood L 61-65 35%     0 - 8 -11.5 -10.1 -1.8
  Sun, Nov 30 179 Siena L 60-64 17%     0 - 9 -5.4 -2.3 -3.7
  Wed, Dec 3 189 @Ohio L 57-79 12%     0 - 10 -20.9 -12.0 -10.3
  Sat, Dec 6 106 @Miami (OH) L 61-93 5%     0 - 11 -24.7 -11.3 -12.9
  Wed, Dec 10 288 @Boston University W 69-59 23%     1 - 11 +6.3 -1.4 +8.9
  Sat, Dec 13 347 Canisius L 43-70 64%     1 - 12 -42.2 -30.8 -13.7
  Sun, Dec 21 274 @Drexel L 56-74 21%     1 - 13 -21.0 -5.4 -19.6
  Sat, Jan 3 311 Bryant W 64-63 51%    
  Thu, Jan 8 292 @Maryland Baltimore Co. L 63-70 24%    
  Sat, Jan 10 353 @NJIT L 63-64 45%    
  Thu, Jan 15 178 @Vermont L 59-72 11%    
  Mon, Jan 19 335 New Hampshire W 64-62 57%    
  Thu, Jan 22 310 Albany W 68-67 50%    
  Sat, Jan 24 363 Binghamton W 69-62 75%    
  Sat, Jan 31 304 Umass Lowell L 69-70 48%    
  Thu, Feb 5 178 Vermont L 62-69 25%    
  Sat, Feb 7 311 @Bryant L 60-66 30%    
  Thu, Feb 12 292 Maryland Baltimore Co. L 66-67 45%    
  Sat, Feb 14 353 NJIT W 66-61 67%    
  Sat, Feb 21 335 @New Hampshire L 61-65 36%    
  Thu, Feb 26 310 @Albany L 64-70 30%    
  Sat, Feb 28 363 @Binghamton W 66-65 55%    
  Tue, Mar 3 304 Umass Lowell L 69-70 48%    
Projected Record 8 - 22 7 - 9




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected America East Finish

0-16 1-15 2-14 3-13 4-12 5-11 6-10 7-9 8-8 9-7 10-6 11-5 12-4 13-3 14-2 15-1 16-0 Total
1st 0.2 0.6 0.9 0.6 0.2 0.0 0.0 2.6 1st
2nd 0.0 0.8 2.7 2.6 1.1 0.2 0.0 7.4 2nd
3rd 0.1 1.4 4.6 3.7 0.9 0.1 10.7 3rd
4th 0.0 1.3 6.0 4.8 0.9 0.0 13.1 4th
5th 0.0 1.2 6.4 6.0 1.1 0.0 14.7 5th
6th 0.0 1.2 6.4 7.0 1.4 0.0 16.0 6th
7th 0.1 1.5 5.6 6.7 1.5 0.0 15.4 7th
8th 0.0 0.2 1.8 4.8 4.7 1.3 0.0 12.9 8th
9th 0.1 0.5 1.5 2.6 1.8 0.6 0.0 7.2 9th
Total 0.1 0.5 1.8 4.6 8.2 12.0 15.6 16.3 14.8 11.4 7.6 4.2 2.1 0.7 0.2 0.0 0.0 Total



America East Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
16-0 100.0% 0.0    0.0
15-1 100.0% 0.0    0.0
14-2 94.2% 0.2    0.2 0.0
13-3 79.4% 0.6    0.4 0.2 0.0
12-4 43.9% 0.9    0.5 0.4 0.1
11-5 15.1% 0.6    0.2 0.3 0.1 0.0 0.0
10-6 3.3% 0.2    0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0
9-7 0.0%
8-8 0.0%
Total 2.6% 2.6 1.2 0.9 0.3 0.1 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
16-0 0.0% 0.0
15-1 0.0% 0.0 0.0 0.0
14-2 0.2% 9.6% 9.6% 16.0 0.0 0.2
13-3 0.7% 17.5% 17.5% 16.0 0.1 0.6
12-4 2.1% 13.1% 13.1% 16.0 0.3 1.8
11-5 4.2% 9.3% 9.3% 16.0 0.4 3.8
10-6 7.6% 7.2% 7.2% 16.0 0.5 7.0
9-7 11.4% 5.2% 5.2% 16.0 0.6 10.8
8-8 14.8% 3.9% 3.9% 16.0 0.6 14.3
7-9 16.3% 3.0% 3.0% 16.0 0.5 15.8
6-10 15.6% 2.0% 2.0% 16.0 0.3 15.2
5-11 12.0% 1.3% 1.3% 16.0 0.2 11.9
4-12 8.2% 0.6% 0.6% 16.0 0.1 8.1
3-13 4.6% 0.3% 0.3% 16.0 0.0 4.5
2-14 1.8% 1.8
1-15 0.5% 0.5
0-16 0.1% 0.1
Total 100% 3.5% 3.5% 0.0% 16.0 0.0 3.5 96.5 0.0%


Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid		Avg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Lose Out 0.1%