Maine
America East
2023-24 - 2024-25 - 2025-26
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Overall
Predictive Rating-2.4#211
Expected Predictive Rating-1.1#185
Pace66.2#264
Improvement+0.0#188

Offense
Total Offense-4.7#307
First Shot-0.6#189
After Offensive Rebound-4.1#351
Layup/Dunks+6.3#21
2 Pt Jumpshots+1.5#96
3 Pt Jumpshots-6.6#344
Freethrows-1.7#277
Improvement-0.1#191

Defense
Total Defense+2.3#100
First Shot+2.0#118
After Offensive Rebounds+0.4#156
Layups/Dunks-4.6#334
2 Pt Jumpshots+1.9#49
3 Pt Jumpshots+5.1#33
Freethrows-0.4#219
Improvement+0.0#171
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 14.9% 18.0% 13.0%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 14.9 14.7 15.1
.500 or above 77.4% 88.7% 70.9%
.500 or above in Conference 81.3% 86.0% 78.6%
Conference Champion 17.9% 22.0% 15.6%
Last Place in Conference 1.3% 0.7% 1.6%
First Four2.2% 1.7% 2.4%
First Round13.9% 17.2% 11.9%
Second Round0.5% 0.8% 0.3%
Sweet Sixteen0.1% 0.1% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Fordham (Away) - 36.8% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 10 - 1
Quad 1b0 - 00 - 1
Quad 20 - 10 - 2
Quad 33 - 54 - 7
Quad 414 - 618 - 13


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 04, 2024 2   @ Duke L 62-96 2%     0 - 1 -10.4 -1.8 -7.0
  Nov 10, 2024 164   @ Brown W 69-67 32%     1 - 1 +4.4 -2.0 +6.4
  Nov 15, 2024 245   @ Quinnipiac L 55-58 46%     1 - 2 -4.4 -15.4 +10.8
  Nov 20, 2024 186   @ Richmond L 66-70 34%     1 - 3 -2.2 -2.1 -0.2
  Nov 24, 2024 326   Holy Cross W 80-55 82%     2 - 3 +12.7 +0.8 +12.5
  Nov 29, 2024 173   Elon W 69-56 44%     3 - 3 +12.2 +1.2 +12.1
  Nov 30, 2024 279   @ Penn L 64-77 54%     3 - 4 -16.4 -8.5 -8.8
  Dec 01, 2024 305   Navy W 71-66 69%     4 - 4 -2.4 -2.4 +0.2
  Dec 08, 2024 201   @ Fordham L 66-69 37%    
  Dec 11, 2024 208   @ Duquesne L 62-65 39%    
  Dec 14, 2024 345   @ Canisius W 71-64 74%    
  Dec 21, 2024 327   @ Stony Brook W 69-65 65%    
  Dec 29, 2024 268   Boston University W 68-61 73%    
  Jan 04, 2025 176   @ Bryant L 71-76 34%    
  Jan 09, 2025 322   Binghamton W 70-60 81%    
  Jan 11, 2025 237   Albany W 74-69 66%    
  Jan 16, 2025 347   @ NJIT W 68-61 73%    
  Jan 18, 2025 296   @ Maryland Baltimore Co. W 76-74 56%    
  Jan 23, 2025 154   @ Umass Lowell L 68-74 30%    
  Jan 30, 2025 350   New Hampshire W 72-59 89%    
  Feb 01, 2025 183   @ Vermont L 59-63 35%    
  Feb 06, 2025 347   NJIT W 71-58 88%    
  Feb 08, 2025 296   Maryland Baltimore Co. W 79-71 74%    
  Feb 15, 2025 183   Vermont W 62-60 56%    
  Feb 20, 2025 237   @ Albany L 71-72 45%    
  Feb 22, 2025 322   @ Binghamton W 67-63 62%    
  Feb 27, 2025 350   @ New Hampshire W 69-62 74%    
  Mar 01, 2025 176   Bryant W 74-73 55%    
  Mar 04, 2025 154   Umass Lowell W 72-71 51%    
Projected Record 17 - 12 10 - 6




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected America East Finish

0-16 1-15 2-14 3-13 4-12 5-11 6-10 7-9 8-8 9-7 10-6 11-5 12-4 13-3 14-2 15-1 16-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.2 1.8 5.0 5.7 3.6 1.3 0.3 17.9 1st
2nd 0.0 0.4 3.4 7.4 5.4 1.7 0.1 18.4 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.4 3.9 8.3 4.7 0.7 0.0 18.1 3rd
4th 0.0 0.7 4.0 7.6 4.1 0.5 16.8 4th
5th 0.0 0.7 3.7 6.1 2.8 0.3 0.0 13.6 5th
6th 0.0 0.6 2.6 3.7 1.5 0.1 8.6 6th
7th 0.0 0.0 0.4 1.6 1.7 0.6 0.0 4.4 7th
8th 0.0 0.3 0.7 0.7 0.2 0.0 1.8 8th
9th 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.0 0.0 0.5 9th
Total 0.0 0.1 0.5 1.2 3.0 5.2 8.7 12.1 14.8 16.2 14.4 11.1 7.4 3.7 1.3 0.3 Total



America East Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
16-0 100.0% 0.3    0.3
15-1 100.0% 1.3    1.2 0.0
14-2 96.4% 3.6    3.1 0.5
13-3 77.0% 5.7    3.8 1.8 0.1
12-4 44.9% 5.0    1.8 2.4 0.7 0.0
11-5 12.8% 1.8    0.3 0.7 0.6 0.2 0.0
10-6 1.3% 0.2    0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0
9-7 0.1% 0.0    0.0 0.0
8-8 0.0%
Total 17.9% 17.9 10.5 5.5 1.6 0.3 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
16-0 0.3% 42.4% 42.4% 12.5 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.2
15-1 1.3% 41.2% 41.2% 13.3 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.0 0.7
14-2 3.7% 36.3% 36.3% 13.9 0.1 0.3 0.6 0.3 0.0 2.4
13-3 7.4% 28.7% 28.7% 14.4 0.0 0.3 0.9 0.9 0.1 5.3
12-4 11.1% 24.6% 24.6% 14.8 0.0 0.1 0.7 1.4 0.4 8.4
11-5 14.4% 18.8% 18.8% 15.1 0.0 0.4 1.5 0.8 11.7
10-6 16.2% 13.5% 13.5% 15.5 0.0 0.1 0.9 1.2 14.0
9-7 14.8% 9.5% 9.5% 15.7 0.0 0.4 0.9 13.4
8-8 12.1% 7.7% 7.7% 15.8 0.0 0.2 0.8 11.1
7-9 8.7% 5.6% 5.6% 16.0 0.0 0.5 8.2
6-10 5.2% 3.6% 3.6% 16.0 0.0 0.2 5.0
5-11 3.0% 3.1% 3.1% 16.0 0.1 2.9
4-12 1.2% 1.0% 1.0% 16.0 0.0 1.2
3-13 0.5% 0.5
2-14 0.1% 0.1
1-15 0.0% 0.0
0-16
Total 100% 14.9% 14.9% 0.0% 14.9 0.0 0.0 0.2 1.0 3.1 5.6 5.0 85.1 0.0%