Maine
America East
2024-25 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
Switch to All-time Team Page
Predictive Rating -12.6 345
Expected Predictive Rating -15.2 352
Pace 63.7 311
Improvement -1.6 252

Overall 1st FGA Second Chance TOs Free
throws		 Shot Selection
Offense F 360 D F+ F+ C- C
Defense C- 227 C- D- C+ C C-

Offense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 38% 188 C- 56% 239 -1.1 222
2 Pt. Jumpers 39% 162 C- 37% 218 +0.2 165
Three Pointers 40% 204 F+ 28% 354 -3.8 312
Shot Selection/Accuracy C -0.2 217 D -4.5 321
1st FG Attempt D 0.92 317
Second Chance F 19.1% 364 C 1.03 164 F+ 0.20 358
Turnovers F+ 20.8% 350
Freethrows C+ 0.32 142 F 65% 360 C- 0.21 238
Total Offense F -10.7 360

Defense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 44% 55 D 63% 299 +4.9 332
2 Pt. Jumpers 21% 163 C+ 37% 150 +0.0 186
Three Pointers 35% 327 B- 32% 84 -4.0 33
Shot Selection/Accuracy C- +0.3 227 C- +0.6 203
1st FG Attempt C- 1.04 212
Second Chance F 37.6% 360 C 1.03 178 D- 0.39 335
Turnovers C+ 18.1% 106
Freethrows C- 0.32 225 B- 70% 72 C 0.22 202
Total Defense C- -1.8 227

Miscellaneous
Offense Defense
Possession Length 18.0 250 17.5 227
Fast Break Points Per Possession 0.16 202 0.16 149
Improvement +0.5 #158 -2.1 #292

See methodology page for descriptions of rating types.
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0% 0% 0%
#1 Seed 0% 0% 0%
Top 2 Seed 0% 0% 0%
Top 4 Seed 0% 0% 0%
Top 6 Seed 0% 0% 0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 3% 3% 2%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0% 0% 0%
Average Seed 16.0 16.0 16.0
.500 or above 0% 0% 0%
.500 or above in Conference 4% 10% 0%
Conference Champion 0% 0% 0%
Last Place in Conference 3% 0% 4%
First Four3% 3% 2%
First Round1% 1% 1%
Second Round0% 0% 0%
Sweet Sixteen0% 0% 0%
Elite Eight0% 0% 0%
Final Four0% 0% 0%
Championship Game0% 0% 0%
National Champion0% 0% 0%

Next Game: New Hampshire (Away) - 36.0% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 00 - 0
Quad 1b0 - 10 - 1
Quad 20 - 10 - 2
Quad 30 - 70 - 9
Quad 47 - 157 - 24


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Lead Record Total Rating Offense Defense
Avg Time Overall Conf Total First
FGA		 2nd Chance TOs Total First
FGA		 2nd Chance TOs
 Mon, Nov 3 79 @George Washington L 47 - 67 3% -7  1% 0 - 1 D -10 F -24 F F F A+ +13 A D- A+
 Sat, Nov 8 218 @Stony Brook L 60 - 71 13% -6  0% 0 - 2 D -11 F -15 F F C B +3 B- A- F
 Mon, Nov 10 116 @Rutgers L 60 - 72 5% -11  0% 0 - 3 D+ -6 D- -7 B+ F F C -0 D- F A+
 Sun, Nov 16 193 Quinnipiac L 64 - 70 23% +2  50% 0 - 4 D -11 F -11 C F B- C -0 A+ F C
 Wed, Nov 19 161 @Merrimack L 65 - 72 8% -3  12% 0 - 5 C- -4 C +1 D+ A- F D- -7 C+ F C
 Sun, Nov 23 272 Brown L 53 - 58 38% -8  0% 0 - 6 D- -14 F -19 C- F F B +4 A- F+ A-
 Fri, Nov 28 260 @American L 61 - 74 17% -12  0% 0 - 7 F+ -16 F -12 C+ F F D+ -4 D B+ F
 Sat, Nov 29 267 Longwood L 61 - 65 26% -3  7% 0 - 8 D -10 F -10 F B+ F+ C -0 F B- A+
 Sun, Nov 30 188 Siena L 60 - 64 16% -8  0% 0 - 9 D+ -6 D- -7 C+ C- D+ C+ +0 C- B+ C
 Wed, Dec 3 212 @Ohio L 57 - 79 12% -12  5% 0 - 10 F -22 F -15 F D F F+ -8 C- F C+
 Sat, Dec 6 87 @Miami (OH) L 61 - 93 3% -21  0% 0 - 11 F -22 F -13 D C+ F F+ -9 C+ F A
 Wed, Dec 10 258 @Boston University W 69 - 59 17% +7  95% 1 - 11 B- +8 D+ -3 A F F A+ +12 A+ F A+
 Sat, Dec 13 346 Canisius L 43 - 70 62% -16  12% 1 - 12 F -43 F -34 F F F F -11 F F B
 Sun, Dec 21 226 @Drexel L 56 - 74 14% -9  18% 1 - 13 F -19 D -5 D A- F F -18 F D+ B+
 Sat, Jan 3 351 Bryant L 51 - 56 65% -5  7% 1 - 14 0 - 1 F -21 F -31 F D F A +9 A- C B-
 Thu, Jan 8 238 @Maryland Baltimore Co. L 62 - 69 15% -6  18% 1 - 15 0 - 2 D -8 F+ -9 F C+ C- C +0 C+ B- D-
 Sat, Jan 10 307 @NJIT W 74 - 70 25% +3  68% 2 - 15 1 - 2 C -2 B- +4 A+ D- F D -6 B- D+ F
 Thu, Jan 15 219 @Vermont L 62 - 67 13% +1  58% 2 - 16 1 - 3 D+ -5 D- -6 F D- A+ C+ +0 C- C+ D-
 Mon, Jan 19 337 New Hampshire L 48 - 65 58% -12  0% 2 - 17 1 - 4 F -32 F -28 F F F D -5 D C F
 Thu, Jan 22 324 Albany W 52 - 49 53% -4  13% 3 - 17 2 - 4 D -10 F -18 F F B A +9 A+ D+ B-
 Sat, Jan 24 360 Binghamton W 79 - 63 75% +7  94% 4 - 17 3 - 4 C- -4 B- +5 A D C+ D- -7 F D+ A
 Sat, Jan 31 315 @Umass Lowell L 77 - 91 27% -11  11% 4 - 18 3 - 5 F -20 D+ -3 C+ F B+ F -17 F F A
 Thu, Feb 5 219 Vermont W 76 - 70 27% +9  97% 5 - 18 4 - 5 C -0 B- +5 A+ D- F D+ -5 B- F A+
 Sat, Feb 7 351 @Bryant L 67 - 73 42% -2  26% 5 - 19 4 - 6 F+ -16 F -11 D+ F D- D -6 D+ F+ C+
 Thu, Feb 12 238 Maryland Baltimore Co. L 62 - 78 31% -12  16% 5 - 20 4 - 7 F -23 F -15 F F+ D+ F+ -9 C+ D- F
 Sat, Feb 14 307 NJIT L 58 - 67 46% -4  15% 5 - 21 4 - 8 F -21 F -19 F F F C- -2 F A- A-
 Sat, Feb 21 337 @New Hampshire L 63 - 67 36%
 Thu, Feb 26 324 @Albany L 64 - 69 31%
 Sat, Feb 28 360 @Binghamton W 65 - 64 55%
 Tue, Mar 3 315 Umass Lowell L 69 - 70 49%
Totals 7 - 23 6 - 10 -13 F -11 C- D C C- -2 F+ F C-



Game Detail
Grades are adjusted for opponent strength in each category. Game stats are not adjusted for oppoent strength. See methodology page for descriptions of rating types.
Offense Defense
Tot Off First Field Goal Attempt Second Chance TOs Freethrows Tot Def First Field Goal Attempt Second Chance TOs Freethrows
Shot Accuracy Shot Selection Points Per Shot Shot Accuracy Shot Selection Points Per Shot
2 C 2 L 3 Tot 2 C 2 L 3 Tot Off Reb PPP Tot Att Perc Tot 2 C 2 L 3 Tot 2 C 2 L 3 Tot Off Reb PPP Tot Att Perc Tot
Season Ratings F C- C- F+ D 38% 39% 40% C D F C F+ F+ C+ F C- C- D C+ B- C- 44% 21% 35% C- C- F C D- C+ C- B- C
0.93 56% 37% 28% -4 0 0.92 19% 1.0 .20 21% .32 65% .21 1.11 63% 37% 32% +1 0 1.04 38% 1.0 .39 18% .32 70% .22
Nov
3		 George Washington F F A+ F F 38% 17% 46% C+ F F F F F D A+ C A+ F A A+ A+ 54% 7% 39% D A F B D- A+ D+ A+ C+
0.70 33% 50% 23% -15 0 0.73 14% 0.4 .06 22% .23 83% .19 1.00 72% 33% 11% -6 +3 0.96 47% 1.0 .47 24% .33 65% .22
Nov
8		 Stony Brook F A- F F F 46% 23% 31% C+ F F A+ F C A+ F B+ B D B- A+ B 47% 21% 32% C- B- B A A- F F A- F+
0.86 68% 9% 20% -9 0 0.85 14% 1.2 .16 16% .42 60% .25 1.02 60% 36% 24% -4 +1 0.94 24% 0.7 .17 11% .37 65% .24
Nov
10		 Rutgers D- D- A- A+ A 23% 32% 45% F B+ F D- F F B F D C F+ A F+ D- 43% 25% 33% F D- F C F A+ F A+ F
0.94 50% 43% 45% +7 -3 1.11 21% 0.8 .17 28% .28 54% .15 1.13 65% 30% 38% +3 0 1.08 45% 1.1 .52 22% .58 62% .36
Nov
16		 Quinnipiac F D A C C 45% 19% 36% C+ C F F F B- A- D- B C A A+ A+ A+ 44% 26% 30% C- A+ F C+ F C F B- F
0.92 52% 44% 35% -1 +1 1.02 24% 0.2 .05 16% .36 67% .24 1.00 45% 23% 20% -16 0 0.70 44% 1.0 .44 17% .54 68% .36
Nov
19		 Merrimack C B+ D- F D 47% 18% 35% B D+ B+ B+ A- F A+ C- A+ D- F+ F A+ C+ 40% 14% 47% C C+ F F F C F A+ F
1.05 63% 33% 17% -8 +1 0.88 47% 1.1 .53 27% .67 70% .47 1.16 65% 50% 20% -5 +1 0.93 32% 1.5 .48 16% .60 65% .38
Nov
23		 Brown F A+ C- F C+ 23% 34% 43% F C- F F F F F F F B C A A+ A- 39% 28% 33% A A- D+ F F+ A- F+ D- F
0.80 80% 40% 26% +1 -3 0.98 19% 0.7 .13 24% .22 55% .12 0.88 56% 23% 20% -12 -1 0.76 31% 1.3 .41 24% .32 75% .24
Nov
28		 American F A- A D- B- 41% 26% 33% D+ C+ F+ F F F A+ F B D+ D C D D- 33% 17% 50% B- D A- B- B+ F F A+ F
0.92 69% 50% 31% +6 0 1.13 24% 0.7 .17 27% .60 52% .31 1.11 63% 38% 38% +4 0 1.10 19% 0.8 .16 12% .41 67% .27
Nov
29		 Longwood F F A+ D- F 40% 17% 43% C- F C- A+ B+ F+ D F F C F F F F 37% 37% 26% A+ F D- A B- A+ F A+ F+
0.95 47% 50% 30% -5 +1 0.94 28% 1.3 .36 22% .30 47% .14 1.01 71% 50% 40% +12 -2 1.21 37% 0.7 .26 30% .47 62% .29
Nov
30		 Siena D- C- D A+ B- 33% 29% 38% D C+ F+ A C- D+ B- F F+ C+ F C- A+ D+ 37% 39% 24% A- C- D A+ B+ C F A F
1.00 57% 33% 44% +4 -1 1.07 23% 1.1 .27 18% .30 47% .14 1.06 73% 44% 20% +3 -3 1.02 33% 0.7 .22 17% .48 67% .32
Dec
3		 Ohio F C+ F F F 46% 21% 33% C+ F D C- D F F D F F+ C+ F C+ C 49% 16% 35% F C- F A+ F C+ A+ F A+
0.87 59% 10% 25% -10 +1 0.83 29% 1.0 .29 24% .20 70% .14 1.21 56% 56% 32% 0 +1 1.05 53% 0.8 .39 17% .13 100% .13
Dec
6		 Miami (OH) F D+ F B- D 40% 22% 38% C D F+ A+ C+ F D+ F F+ F+ B- A F C+ 39% 14% 47% D+ C+ F F F A A F A-
0.86 56% 30% 35% -2 0 0.98 21% 1.3 .27 28% .25 62% .16 1.31 60% 29% 42% +5 +1 1.14 50% 1.5 .74 21% .23 85% .20
Dec
10		 Boston University D+ B- A- A+ A+ 43% 29% 29% D+ A D- F F F B- A B+ A+ A+ F A+ A+ 27% 4% 69% D A+ F C F A+ D- A C
1.11 61% 50% 58% +15 -1 1.31 24% 0.4 .10 22% .31 80% .25 0.95 42% 50% 23% -16 +1 0.73 44% 1.0 .44 24% .34 63% .21
Dec
13		 Canisius F F D- F F 40% 21% 40% C- F D- F F F C- F F F A+ F F F 38% 22% 40% D+ F F D F B F+ B D
0.67 35% 33% 24% -16 0 0.70 26% 0.8 .21 25% .29 50% .14 1.09 35% 50% 50% +4 0 1.09 37% 1.0 .37 22% .34 65% .22
Dec
21		 Drexel D A+ F F F+ 50% 21% 29% B D C+ A+ A- F F+ D+ F+ F F B F F 29% 14% 57% C F D- C D+ B+ A+ A+ A+
0.98 71% 22% 8% -8 +1 0.88 33% 1.3 .44 23% .25 73% .18 1.29 83% 33% 54% +24 0 1.50 35% 0.9 .30 23% .16 57% .09
Jan
3		 Bryant F F D+ F F 46% 20% 35% D+ F C- F+ D F A+ F B- A B+ C+ A+ A 40% 19% 42% B- A- F A+ C B- F A D
0.74 38% 33% 13% -21 +1 0.61 33% 0.8 .27 22% .45 54% .24 0.82 47% 33% 20% -14 0 0.75 37% 0.8 .28 23% .34 67% .23
Jan
8		 Maryland Baltimore Co. F+ F A+ F F 42% 25% 33% D+ F D A+ C+ C- D F F+ C D A+ F C+ 51% 29% 20% C- C+ F A+ B- D- F C+ F
0.96 45% 62% 18% -7 0 0.87 25% 1.3 .33 14% .20 55% .11 1.07 64% 14% 40% -2 0 0.98 29% 0.6 .18 12% .41 74% .30
Jan
10		 NJIT B- A B+ A+ A+ 24% 29% 46% F A+ F A+ D- F A+ C A+ D B+ B D- C+ 40% 38% 23% B+ B- C- D+ D+ F F F F
1.15 70% 42% 47% +13 -2 1.24 19% 1.4 .27 20% .47 71% .33 1.09 47% 33% 36% -5 -2 0.88 27% 1.0 .27 9% .45 85% .38
Jan
15		 Vermont D- F F F F 45% 16% 39% B+ F F A+ D- A+ A C- A C+ C- D C- C- 38% 19% 43% C C- A+ F C+ D- C+ B- B-
1.00 45% 25% 26% -12 +1 0.80 13% 1.4 .18 3% .42 72% .30 1.08 61% 44% 35% +3 0 1.09 14% 1.5 .21 13% .26 71% .19
Jan
19		 New Hampshire F F B F F 48% 18% 35% B- F F A+ F F A+ A- A+ D C F+ B D 53% 14% 33% D- D F+ A C F C A+ B
0.75 47% 43% 7% -18 +1 0.68 3% 2.0 .07 20% .45 83% .37 1.02 56% 43% 29% -3 +2 1.00 31% 0.7 .23 14% .27 53% .15
Jan
22		 Albany F B F F F 47% 21% 33% C F F F F B B D B- A D+ C A+ A+ 40% 11% 49% D- A+ D- C D+ B- A- B- B+
0.92 65% 0% 21% -11 +1 0.81 16% 1.0 .16 12% .36 72% .26 0.86 61% 40% 14% -13 +1 0.78 35% 0.9 .32 21% .18 63% .11
Shot Accuracy Shot Selection PPS 2nd Chance TOs Freethrows Shot Accuracy Shot Selection PPS 2nd Chance TOs Freethrows
Jan
24		 Binghamton B- A+ F A+ A+ 36% 21% 43% D A F A+ D C+ F A+ D- D- F A- A- F 51% 23% 26% D F C F D+ A C+ F D
1.28 76% 30% 50% +15 0 1.32 20% 1.4 .28 11% .22 83% .18 1.02 77% 30% 27% +5 +1 1.14 19% 1.0 .19 26% .35 88% .31
Jan
31		 Umass Lowell D+ B+ F F+ C 61% 9% 30% A C+ F F F B+ C+ C C+ F D F F+ F 66% 8% 26% F F F F+ F A B- F F
1.08 68% 20% 29% +2 +3 1.13 3% 0.0 .00 10% .30 74% .22 1.28 61% 75% 38% +6 +4 1.22 63% 1.2 .74 25% .28 93% .26
Feb
5		 Vermont B- B A- A+ A+ 40% 21% 40% C+ A+ F A D- F A+ F B D+ B- F B- B 36% 9% 56% D- B- F F F A+ F A- F
1.21 65% 44% 53% +15 0 1.33 16% 1.3 .20 17% .44 61% .27 1.11 56% 50% 32% -1 +1 1.02 38% 1.4 .53 22% .43 67% .29
Feb
7		 Bryant F C- A+ F C- 36% 18% 47% D D+ F A+ F D- A+ F A+ D B- A+ D D+ 50% 11% 39% F+ D+ F+ D F+ C+ F D- F
0.99 56% 63% 29% 0 0 1.02 9% 1.7 .16 16% .53 60% .32 1.08 50% 20% 35% -5 +2 0.95 33% 1.1 .37 22% .49 81% .40
Feb
12		 Maryland Baltimore Co. F F F F F 42% 15% 44% B- F F A+ F+ D+ A+ C- A+ F+ C F A+ C 42% 29% 29% C+ C+ F B- D- F F F F
0.92 45% 29% 29% -10 +1 0.83 14% 1.4 .19 15% .43 68% .29 1.15 59% 53% 20% -1 -1 0.98 31% 0.9 .29 9% .36 86% .31
Feb
14		 NJIT F B B+ F F 30% 15% 55% C- F F C- F F B D- C+ C- F D+ A- F 45% 29% 26% D+ F B+ A+ A- A- F A+ C+
0.86 64% 43% 19% -10 0 0.83 20% 1.0 .20 22% .40 67% .27 0.99 89% 42% 27% +13 -1 1.26 21% 0.7 .14 22% .42 50% .21



Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected America East Finish

0-16 1-15 2-14 3-13 4-12 5-11 6-10 7-9 8-8 9-7 10-6 11-5 12-4 13-3 14-2 15-1 16-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 1.8 2.4 4.2 4th
5th 2.8 11.8 1.3 15.9 5th
6th 1.4 19.1 4.2 24.7 6th
7th 1.1 16.6 12.7 0.2 30.6 7th
8th 10.4 13.3 0.8 24.5 8th
9th 0.1 0.1 9th
Total 11.7 31.3 35.4 17.9 3.7 Total



America East Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
16-0
15-1
14-2
13-3
12-4
11-5
10-6
9-7
8-8 0.0%
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
16-0
15-1
14-2
13-3
12-4
11-5
10-6
9-7
8-8 3.7% 5.6% 5.6% 16.0 0.2 3.5
7-9 17.9% 3.1% 3.1% 16.0 0.6 17.3
6-10 35.4% 2.3% 2.3% 16.0 0.8 34.6
5-11 31.3% 2.4% 2.4% 16.0 0.8 30.6
4-12 11.7% 1.8% 1.8% 16.0 0.2 11.5
3-13
2-14
1-15
0-16
Total 100% 2.5% 2.5% 0.0% 16.0 97.5 0.0%


Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid		Avg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Win Out 0.2% 100.0% 16.0 100.0
Win Out, Lose in Conf. Tourney Championship 0.5%
Win Out, Lose in Conf. Tourney Semi-Final 0.9%
Lose Out 9.6%