New Mexico
Mountain West
2019-20 - 2021-22 - 2022-23
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Overall
Predictive Rating-3.3#230
Expected Predictive Rating-0.8#187
Pace78.4#24
Improvement-1.5#292

Offense
Total Offense-0.2#179
First Shot+2.0#125
After Offensive Rebound-2.2#295
Layup/Dunks-0.1#174
2 Pt Jumpshots+1.6#86
3 Pt Jumpshots-0.1#170
Freethrows+0.6#147
Improvement-1.9#336

Defense
Total Defense-3.1#275
First Shot-4.1#300
After Offensive Rebounds+1.0#109
Layups/Dunks+0.4#177
2 Pt Jumpshots-0.9#239
3 Pt Jumpshots-1.2#224
Freethrows-2.4#306
Improvement+0.4#129
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 0.3% 0.5% 0.3%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.1% 0.0%
Average Seed 13.8 13.3 13.9
.500 or above 10.5% 24.6% 8.4%
.500 or above in Conference 9.8% 15.9% 8.8%
Conference Champion 0.1% 0.3% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 22.0% 14.2% 23.2%
First Four0.1% 0.1% 0.0%
First Round0.3% 0.5% 0.2%
Second Round0.0% 0.1% 0.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.1% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: New Mexico St. (Away) - 13.0% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 10 - 1
Quad 1b0 - 40 - 5
Quad 21 - 71 - 12
Quad 33 - 64 - 18
Quad 47 - 211 - 20


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 10, 2021 222   Florida Atlantic W 99-92 59%     1 - 0 +1.4 +11.3 -10.6
  Nov 13, 2021 74   @ Colorado L 76-87 11%     1 - 1 -1.2 +0.0 -0.2
  Nov 15, 2021 323   Grambling St. W 86-61 80%     2 - 1 +12.6 -0.1 +10.0
  Nov 20, 2021 184   Montana St. W 81-78 53%     3 - 1 -1.1 +0.8 -2.0
  Nov 25, 2021 52   UAB L 73-86 13%     3 - 2 -4.3 -0.1 -3.3
  Nov 26, 2021 169   Towson L 58-73 38%     3 - 3 -15.1 -10.6 -5.7
  Nov 30, 2021 94   @ New Mexico St. L 67-79 13%    
  Dec 06, 2021 94   New Mexico St. L 70-76 30%    
  Dec 09, 2021 324   Denver W 80-70 82%    
  Dec 12, 2021 160   UTEP L 72-73 48%    
  Dec 19, 2021 100   SMU L 77-82 32%    
  Dec 21, 2021 251   Norfolk St. W 80-75 66%    
  Dec 28, 2021 42   Colorado St. L 76-87 16%    
  Jan 01, 2022 92   @ Nevada L 75-87 14%    
  Jan 08, 2022 46   Utah St. L 72-82 18%    
  Jan 11, 2022 145   @ UNLV L 69-77 25%    
  Jan 15, 2022 49   San Diego St. L 65-75 20%    
  Jan 19, 2022 42   @ Colorado St. L 73-90 7%    
  Jan 22, 2022 78   @ Wyoming L 70-83 12%    
  Jan 25, 2022 130   Fresno St. L 70-73 40%    
  Jan 28, 2022 294   San Jose St. W 82-75 72%    
  Jan 31, 2022 49   @ San Diego St. L 62-78 8%    
  Feb 05, 2022 258   @ Air Force L 68-69 46%    
  Feb 08, 2022 68   Boise St. L 68-76 26%    
  Feb 15, 2022 78   Wyoming L 73-80 27%    
  Feb 19, 2022 294   @ San Jose St. W 79-78 54%    
  Feb 22, 2022 46   @ Utah St. L 69-85 8%    
  Feb 26, 2022 258   Air Force W 71-66 67%    
  Mar 01, 2022 130   @ Fresno St. L 67-76 23%    
  Mar 05, 2022 145   UNLV L 72-74 44%    
Projected Record 11 - 19 5 - 13





Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.




Projected Mountain West Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 1st
2nd 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.5 2nd
3rd 0.1 0.4 0.3 0.0 0.0 0.8 3rd
4th 0.0 0.2 0.8 0.5 0.2 0.0 1.8 4th
5th 0.0 0.2 1.1 1.4 0.2 0.0 3.0 5th
6th 0.0 0.5 2.1 2.1 0.4 0.0 5.2 6th
7th 0.1 1.3 3.6 3.4 1.1 0.0 9.5 7th
8th 0.0 0.4 3.1 6.1 5.3 1.7 0.2 16.8 8th
9th 0.0 1.5 6.2 10.8 6.2 1.7 0.2 26.7 9th
10th 0.2 2.6 7.5 8.2 3.5 0.6 0.1 22.6 10th
11th 0.8 3.1 4.7 3.3 1.1 0.2 13.1 11th
Total 0.8 3.2 7.3 12.4 16.0 17.6 14.2 11.2 7.6 4.8 2.8 1.2 0.7 0.2 0.1 0.0 Total



Mountain West Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3 100.0% 0.0    0.0
14-4 50.0% 0.0    0.0 0.0
13-5 10.5% 0.0    0.0 0.0
12-6 1.4% 0.0    0.0
11-7 0.0%
10-8 0.0%
9-9 0.0%
Total 0.1% 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid
AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3 0.0% 0.0
14-4 0.1% 0.0 0.1
13-5 0.2% 0.0 0.0 0.2
12-6 0.7% 7.2% 7.2% 12.4 0.0 0.0 0.6
11-7 1.2% 3.3% 3.3% 13.3 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.2
10-8 2.8% 0.4% 0.4% 15.0 0.0 2.8
9-9 4.8% 1.3% 1.3% 13.5 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 4.7
8-10 7.6% 0.3% 0.3% 14.5 0.0 0.0 7.6
7-11 11.2% 0.3% 0.3% 15.3 0.0 0.0 11.1
6-12 14.2% 0.1% 0.1% 15.0 0.0 14.1
5-13 17.6% 0.1% 0.1% 16.0 0.0 17.6
4-14 16.0% 0.1% 0.1% 16.0 0.0 16.0
3-15 12.4% 12.4
2-16 7.3% 7.3
1-17 3.2% 3.2
0-18 0.8% 0.8
Total 100% 0.3% 0.3% 0.0% 13.8 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 99.7 0.0%