Siena
Metro Atlantic Athletic
2024-25 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
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Overall
Predictive Rating-0.9#172
Expected Predictive Rating+1.2#150
Pace65.8#281
Improvement-2.6#328

Offense
Total Offense-1.7#218
First Shot-2.5#245
After Offensive Rebound+0.8#119
Layup/Dunks+0.7#155
2 Pt Jumpshots+4.9#13
3 Pt Jumpshots-7.9#355
Freethrows-0.2#191
Improvement-2.0#323

Defense
Total Defense+0.8#134
First Shot+0.6#149
After Offensive Rebounds+0.2#172
Layups/Dunks-4.3#321
2 Pt Jumpshots-0.7#255
3 Pt Jumpshots+5.0#30
Freethrows+0.6#133
Improvement-0.6#228
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 18.8% 24.9% 18.5%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 14.4 13.7 14.5
.500 or above 98.2% 99.6% 98.2%
.500 or above in Conference 95.5% 97.4% 95.4%
Conference Champion 24.9% 33.2% 24.6%
Last Place in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Four0.4% 0.0% 0.4%
First Round18.6% 24.9% 18.3%
Second Round0.6% 1.2% 0.5%
Sweet Sixteen0.1% 0.1% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Indiana (Away) - 4.0% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 10 - 1
Quad 1b0 - 00 - 1
Quad 20 - 10 - 2
Quad 33 - 43 - 6
Quad 419 - 522 - 11


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Mon, Nov 3 299 Bryant W 82-66 81%     1 - 0 +5.6 +9.8 -3.3
  Fri, Nov 7 222 @Brown W 62-46 49%     2 - 0 +15.4 -4.1 +20.3
  Wed, Nov 12 112 @St. Bonaventure L 66-75 24%     2 - 1 -2.5 +2.6 -5.8
  Mon, Nov 17 179 Colgate L 69-72 63%     2 - 2 -7.3 -0.7 -6.9
  Fri, Nov 21 306 Albany W 73-63 83%     3 - 2 -1.2 +6.1 -5.7
  Mon, Nov 24 313 @Holy Cross W 73-69 68%     4 - 2 -1.8 +2.2 -3.7
  Fri, Nov 28 296 Longwood W 70-63 73%     5 - 2 -0.2 -4.1 +4.2
  Sat, Nov 29 249 @American W 59-55 55%     6 - 2 +1.9 -14.6 +16.5
  Sun, Nov 30 336 Maine W 64-60 82%     7 - 2 -6.8 +0.8 -7.0
  Fri, Dec 5 353 Niagara W 83-54 92%     8 - 2 1 - 0 +12.9 +9.3 +5.6
  Sun, Dec 7 342 Canisius W 74-52 89%     9 - 2 2 - 0 +7.8 +3.5 +6.3
  Wed, Dec 17 174 @Vermont L 69-83 39%     9 - 3 -12.0 -5.3 -6.7
  Mon, Dec 22 26 @Indiana L 61-80 4%    
  Fri, Jan 2 171 @Iona L 72-75 39%    
  Sun, Jan 4 347 @Rider W 68-60 77%    
  Fri, Jan 9 265 Merrimack W 70-62 77%    
  Sun, Jan 11 302 @Mount St. Mary's W 71-67 63%    
  Wed, Jan 14 270 Sacred Heart W 78-70 77%    
  Sat, Jan 17 319 @Manhattan W 76-71 69%    
  Mon, Jan 19 277 Fairfield W 75-67 78%    
  Thu, Jan 22 163 Marist W 66-64 58%    
  Fri, Jan 30 353 @Niagara W 71-62 80%    
  Sun, Feb 1 342 @Canisius W 67-60 75%    
  Thu, Feb 5 171 Iona W 75-72 61%    
  Sat, Feb 7 291 @St. Peter's W 67-64 61%    
  Fri, Feb 13 158 Quinnipiac W 74-72 58%    
  Sun, Feb 15 163 @Marist L 63-67 37%    
  Fri, Feb 20 265 @Merrimack W 67-65 56%    
  Sun, Feb 22 291 St. Peter's W 70-61 79%    
  Fri, Feb 27 277 @Fairfield W 72-70 58%    
  Sun, Mar 1 347 Rider W 71-57 90%    
Projected Record 21 - 10 14 - 6




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Metro Atlantic Athletic Finish

0-20 1-19 2-18 3-17 4-16 5-15 6-14 7-13 8-12 9-11 10-10 11-9 12-8 13-7 14-6 15-5 16-4 17-3 18-2 19-1 20-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.1 0.8 3.5 6.8 6.8 4.6 1.8 0.3 24.9 1st
2nd 0.1 1.5 5.1 7.7 5.2 1.8 0.2 21.7 2nd
3rd 0.1 1.5 5.4 6.5 3.6 0.7 0.0 17.7 3rd
4th 0.1 1.2 4.6 5.6 2.5 0.4 0.0 14.3 4th
5th 0.0 0.1 0.6 3.2 3.7 1.4 0.1 9.1 5th
6th 0.0 0.3 1.8 2.5 0.8 0.1 5.4 6th
7th 0.1 0.9 1.5 0.7 0.0 3.2 7th
8th 0.0 0.1 0.4 0.9 0.4 0.0 1.9 8th
9th 0.0 0.2 0.5 0.3 0.0 0.0 1.0 9th
10th 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.2 0.0 0.5 10th
11th 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.2 11th
12th 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 12th
13th 0.0 0.0 13th
Total 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.5 1.3 2.6 4.4 7.7 10.7 14.0 15.0 15.2 12.7 8.6 4.8 1.8 0.3 Total



Metro Atlantic Athletic Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
20-0 100.0% 0.3    0.3
19-1 100.0% 1.8    1.8 0.0
18-2 96.5% 4.6    4.2 0.5
17-3 79.0% 6.8    4.8 1.9 0.1
16-4 53.5% 6.8    3.5 2.7 0.6 0.0
15-5 23.3% 3.5    1.1 1.5 0.8 0.1 0.0
14-6 5.5% 0.8    0.1 0.3 0.2 0.1 0.0
13-7 0.8% 0.1    0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
12-8 0.1% 0.0    0.0 0.0
11-9 0.0%
10-10 0.0%
Total 24.9% 24.9 15.9 6.9 1.8 0.3 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
20-0 0.3% 49.0% 49.0% 12.5 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.2
19-1 1.8% 43.3% 43.3% 13.1 0.1 0.4 0.2 0.0 1.0
18-2 4.8% 36.4% 36.4% 13.6 0.1 0.7 0.8 0.2 3.1
17-3 8.6% 31.3% 31.3% 14.0 0.0 0.6 1.5 0.6 0.0 5.9
16-4 12.7% 27.0% 27.0% 14.2 0.0 0.5 1.7 1.2 0.0 9.3
15-5 15.2% 22.2% 22.2% 14.5 0.0 0.2 1.3 1.7 0.2 11.9
14-6 15.0% 18.3% 18.3% 14.8 0.1 0.8 1.6 0.3 12.3
13-7 14.0% 13.9% 13.9% 15.1 0.0 0.3 1.1 0.5 12.1
12-8 10.7% 9.9% 9.9% 15.3 0.1 0.5 0.5 9.7
11-9 7.7% 6.8% 6.8% 15.5 0.0 0.2 0.3 7.2
10-10 4.4% 3.9% 3.9% 15.6 0.0 0.1 0.1 4.2
9-11 2.6% 2.9% 2.9% 16.0 0.0 0.1 2.5
8-12 1.3% 3.4% 3.4% 16.0 0.0 1.2
7-13 0.5% 0.5
6-14 0.2% 0.2
5-15 0.0% 0.0
4-16 0.0% 0.0
3-17 0.0% 0.0
2-18
1-19
0-20
Total 100% 18.8% 18.8% 0.0% 14.4 0.0 0.3 2.6 6.7 7.2 2.0 81.2 0.0%