Siena
Metro Atlantic Athletic
2023-24 - 2024-25 - 2025-26
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Overall
Predictive Rating-7.3#302
Expected Predictive Rating-3.2#219
Pace63.2#322
Improvement-1.6#282

Offense
Total Offense-4.6#300
First Shot-4.5#300
After Offensive Rebound-0.1#189
Layup/Dunks-7.2#356
2 Pt Jumpshots+0.9#124
3 Pt Jumpshots+0.2#161
Freethrows+1.6#93
Improvement+0.3#152

Defense
Total Defense-2.7#264
First Shot-1.7#225
After Offensive Rebounds-1.1#252
Layups/Dunks-4.6#329
2 Pt Jumpshots+2.3#32
3 Pt Jumpshots+2.7#87
Freethrows-2.1#300
Improvement-1.9#324
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 3.9% 4.9% 2.4%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 15.7 15.7 15.8
.500 or above 32.1% 41.3% 20.0%
.500 or above in Conference 40.7% 51.4% 26.6%
Conference Champion 3.6% 5.1% 1.6%
Last Place in Conference 11.9% 5.2% 20.8%
First Four1.9% 2.3% 1.3%
First Round2.9% 3.7% 1.7%
Second Round0.0% 0.1% 0.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Canisius (Away) - 57.0% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 00 - 0
Quad 1b0 - 10 - 1
Quad 20 - 10 - 2
Quad 32 - 62 - 7
Quad 412 - 1114 - 18


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 04, 2024 164   Brown W 72-71 OT 36%     1 - 0 -2.6 -5.2 +2.6
  Nov 08, 2024 176   @ Bryant W 90-88 OT 19%     2 - 0 +4.2 +3.7 +0.2
  Nov 12, 2024 236   American W 74-66 49%     3 - 0 +0.9 +10.3 -7.9
  Nov 16, 2024 237   @ Albany L 60-70 27%     3 - 1 -11.1 -10.6 -1.1
  Nov 20, 2024 68   @ Xavier L 55-80 5%     3 - 2 -13.5 -9.5 -5.2
  Nov 25, 2024 198   Miami (OH) L 58-70 29%     3 - 3 -13.7 -11.6 -2.7
  Nov 26, 2024 212   Jacksonville L 64-75 32%     3 - 4 -13.4 -8.0 -5.7
  Nov 30, 2024 260   Bucknell W 71-58 43%     4 - 4 +7.4 +7.2 +1.9
  Dec 06, 2024 308   @ Niagara L 68-69 39%     4 - 5 0 - 1 -5.6 +4.6 -10.3
  Dec 08, 2024 345   @ Canisius W 69-67 57%    
  Dec 17, 2024 88   St. Bonaventure L 60-70 16%    
  Dec 20, 2024 326   Holy Cross W 71-66 68%    
  Dec 30, 2024 149   @ Cornell L 68-79 15%    
  Jan 03, 2025 313   Manhattan W 72-68 63%    
  Jan 05, 2025 274   Iona W 67-65 57%    
  Jan 10, 2025 245   @ Quinnipiac L 67-73 29%    
  Jan 16, 2025 269   Sacred Heart W 71-69 56%    
  Jan 18, 2025 222   @ Merrimack L 59-66 26%    
  Jan 23, 2025 254   Mount St. Mary's W 66-65 52%    
  Jan 25, 2025 274   @ Iona L 64-68 35%    
  Jan 31, 2025 242   @ Marist L 60-66 29%    
  Feb 02, 2025 245   Quinnipiac W 71-70 51%    
  Feb 06, 2025 209   St. Peter's L 61-63 43%    
  Feb 08, 2025 257   @ Rider L 63-68 33%    
  Feb 14, 2025 242   Marist L 63-64 49%    
  Feb 16, 2025 269   @ Sacred Heart L 68-72 35%    
  Feb 21, 2025 308   Niagara W 67-64 61%    
  Feb 23, 2025 345   Canisius W 72-64 76%    
  Mar 02, 2025 254   @ Mount St. Mary's L 63-68 32%    
  Mar 06, 2025 283   Fairfield W 68-66 58%    
  Mar 08, 2025 313   @ Manhattan L 69-71 42%    
Projected Record 14 - 17 9 - 11




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Metro Atlantic Athletic Finish

0-20 1-19 2-18 3-17 4-16 5-15 6-14 7-13 8-12 9-11 10-10 11-9 12-8 13-7 14-6 15-5 16-4 17-3 18-2 19-1 20-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.5 1.1 1.0 0.6 0.2 0.1 0.0 3.6 1st
2nd 0.0 0.6 1.9 1.5 0.5 0.1 0.0 0.0 4.8 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.5 2.5 2.1 0.6 0.0 5.8 3rd
4th 0.2 2.3 2.8 0.7 0.0 6.0 4th
5th 0.1 1.8 4.0 1.4 0.1 7.3 5th
6th 0.0 0.9 4.2 2.5 0.3 0.0 7.9 6th
7th 0.3 3.5 4.1 0.6 0.0 8.6 7th
8th 0.1 2.3 5.2 1.4 0.0 9.0 8th
9th 0.0 0.1 1.6 4.8 3.0 0.2 9.6 9th
10th 0.0 0.1 1.1 4.2 4.0 0.7 0.0 10.2 10th
11th 0.0 0.2 1.2 3.7 4.0 1.2 0.0 10.3 11th
12th 0.0 0.3 1.5 3.2 3.6 1.1 0.1 9.9 12th
13th 0.0 0.2 0.7 1.4 2.1 1.8 0.7 0.1 7.1 13th
Total 0.0 0.2 0.8 1.7 3.8 6.2 9.2 11.1 12.8 13.4 12.0 9.9 7.7 5.2 3.3 1.6 0.7 0.2 0.1 0.0 Total



Metro Atlantic Athletic Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
20-0
19-1 100.0% 0.0    0.0
18-2 93.1% 0.1    0.1
17-3 98.1% 0.2    0.2 0.0
16-4 88.7% 0.6    0.5 0.1 0.0
15-5 63.5% 1.0    0.6 0.4 0.1 0.0
14-6 35.0% 1.1    0.3 0.5 0.3 0.1 0.0
13-7 9.4% 0.5    0.0 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.0
12-8 0.5% 0.0    0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
11-9 0.0%
10-10 0.0%
Total 3.6% 3.6 1.7 1.1 0.6 0.1 0.1 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
20-0
19-1 0.0% 0.0
18-2 0.1% 6.9% 6.9% 13.0 0.0 0.1
17-3 0.2% 17.1% 17.1% 14.2 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.2
16-4 0.7% 21.7% 21.7% 15.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.5
15-5 1.6% 16.6% 16.6% 15.2 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 1.3
14-6 3.3% 15.2% 15.2% 15.6 0.0 0.2 0.3 2.8
13-7 5.2% 13.5% 13.5% 15.8 0.0 0.1 0.6 4.5
12-8 7.7% 9.0% 9.0% 15.9 0.1 0.6 7.0
11-9 9.9% 5.7% 5.7% 15.9 0.0 0.5 9.4
10-10 12.0% 3.5% 3.5% 15.9 0.0 0.4 11.6
9-11 13.4% 2.1% 2.1% 16.0 0.0 0.3 13.1
8-12 12.8% 1.2% 1.2% 16.0 0.2 12.6
7-13 11.1% 0.6% 0.6% 16.0 0.1 11.1
6-14 9.2% 0.2% 0.2% 16.0 0.0 9.1
5-15 6.2% 6.2
4-16 3.8% 3.8
3-17 1.7% 1.7
2-18 0.8% 0.8
1-19 0.2% 0.2
0-20 0.0% 0.0
Total 100% 3.9% 3.9% 0.0% 15.7 0.0 0.1 0.7 3.0 96.1 0.0%