Siena
Metro Atlantic Athletic
2020-21 - 2021-22 - 2022-23
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Overall
Predictive Rating-8.1#306
Expected Predictive Rating-8.3#291
Pace64.2#298
Improvement+1.4#67

Offense
Total Offense-4.8#299
First Shot-2.5#256
After Offensive Rebound-2.3#303
Layup/Dunks-2.8#273
2 Pt Jumpshots+1.0#116
3 Pt Jumpshots+2.7#95
Freethrows-3.3#336
Improvement-0.7#252

Defense
Total Defense-3.3#282
First Shot-3.6#280
After Offensive Rebounds+0.3#159
Layups/Dunks-3.1#271
2 Pt Jumpshots-0.8#238
3 Pt Jumpshots+0.2#180
Freethrows+0.2#172
Improvement+2.1#25
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 1.0% 1.9% 0.7%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 15.8 15.8 15.7
.500 or above 5.4% 12.4% 3.5%
.500 or above in Conference 16.9% 24.4% 14.9%
Conference Champion 0.3% 0.7% 0.2%
Last Place in Conference 30.8% 22.7% 32.9%
First Four0.5% 1.1% 0.4%
First Round0.7% 1.4% 0.5%
Second Round0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Army (Away) - 20.7% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 00 - 0
Quad 1b0 - 10 - 1
Quad 20 - 20 - 4
Quad 32 - 72 - 11
Quad 47 - 109 - 21


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 09, 2021 40   @ St. Bonaventure L 47-75 3%     0 - 1 -14.4 -13.0 -5.0
  Nov 13, 2021 162   Delaware L 63-83 30%     0 - 2 -22.6 -11.9 -11.6
  Nov 16, 2021 124   Yale L 54-82 23%     0 - 3 -28.3 -17.4 -12.1
  Nov 19, 2021 134   @ Georgetown L 65-83 11%     0 - 4 -12.8 -1.1 -12.8
  Nov 22, 2021 135   Harvard W 72-69 24%     1 - 4 +2.1 -3.6 +5.6
  Nov 28, 2021 292   @ Bucknell L 56-65 OT 35%     1 - 5 -13.1 -18.3 +5.0
  Nov 30, 2021 223   @ Army L 63-71 21%    
  Dec 03, 2021 250   Manhattan L 63-64 49%    
  Dec 05, 2021 200   @ St. Peter's L 59-68 19%    
  Dec 11, 2021 342   @ Holy Cross W 69-67 58%    
  Dec 28, 2021 321   @ American L 67-69 42%    
  Dec 31, 2021 106   @ Iona L 59-74 8%    
  Jan 02, 2022 280   Canisius W 70-69 54%    
  Jan 07, 2022 132   @ Monmouth L 64-77 11%    
  Jan 09, 2022 239   Fairfield L 64-65 46%    
  Jan 14, 2022 252   @ Marist L 61-67 28%    
  Jan 21, 2022 250   @ Manhattan L 60-66 29%    
  Jan 28, 2022 185   Niagara L 61-65 37%    
  Jan 30, 2022 296   Quinnipiac W 71-69 57%    
  Feb 04, 2022 264   Rider W 66-65 51%    
  Feb 06, 2022 239   @ Fairfield L 61-68 26%    
  Feb 11, 2022 106   Iona L 62-71 20%    
  Feb 13, 2022 264   @ Rider L 62-68 31%    
  Feb 18, 2022 252   Marist L 63-64 49%    
  Feb 20, 2022 200   St. Peter's L 62-65 38%    
  Feb 24, 2022 296   @ Quinnipiac L 68-72 37%    
  Feb 27, 2022 132   Monmouth L 67-74 26%    
  Mar 03, 2022 185   @ Niagara L 58-68 20%    
  Mar 05, 2022 280   @ Canisius L 67-72 34%    
Projected Record 9 - 20 7 - 13





Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.




Projected Metro Atlantic Athletic Finish

0-20 1-19 2-18 3-17 4-16 5-15 6-14 7-13 8-12 9-11 10-10 11-9 12-8 13-7 14-6 15-5 16-4 17-3 18-2 19-1 20-0 Total
1st 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.3 1st
2nd 0.0 0.2 0.4 0.4 0.2 0.1 1.2 2nd
3rd 0.1 0.6 1.2 0.8 0.2 0.1 2.8 3rd
4th 0.1 0.9 1.8 1.4 0.3 4.5 4th
5th 0.1 1.1 3.0 1.5 0.3 0.0 6.2 5th
6th 0.1 1.3 3.9 2.2 0.5 0.0 7.9 6th
7th 0.0 0.2 1.5 4.9 3.5 0.5 0.0 10.6 7th
8th 0.0 0.2 1.9 5.4 4.1 0.9 0.0 12.5 8th
9th 0.0 0.4 2.9 5.5 4.5 1.2 0.0 14.6 9th
10th 0.2 1.5 4.2 6.6 4.8 0.9 0.1 18.1 10th
11th 0.5 1.7 4.0 6.1 5.3 2.8 0.8 0.0 0.0 21.3 11th
Total 0.5 1.7 4.2 7.6 9.9 12.4 13.3 12.4 11.6 9.5 6.7 4.4 3.2 1.5 0.6 0.3 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 Total



Metro Atlantic Athletic Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
20-0
19-1 100.0% 0.0    0.0
18-2 100.0% 0.0    0.0
17-3 100.0% 0.0    0.0
16-4 45.5% 0.1    0.0 0.0
15-5 20.0% 0.1    0.0 0.0 0.0
14-6 12.5% 0.1    0.0 0.1 0.0
13-7 3.4% 0.1    0.0 0.0 0.0
12-8 0.0%
11-9 0.0%
10-10 0.0%
Total 0.3% 0.3 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid
AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
20-0
19-1 0.0% 0.0
18-2 0.0% 0.0
17-3 0.0% 0.0 0.0
16-4 0.1% 0.0 0.0 0.1
15-5 0.3% 13.3% 13.3% 14.8 0.0 0.0 0.3
14-6 0.6% 18.8% 18.8% 15.3 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.5
13-7 1.5% 3.4% 3.4% 15.6 0.0 0.0 1.4
12-8 3.2% 5.0% 5.0% 16.0 0.2 3.0
11-9 4.4% 4.1% 4.1% 15.9 0.0 0.2 4.2
10-10 6.7% 2.7% 2.7% 16.0 0.2 6.6
9-11 9.5% 0.3% 0.3% 16.0 0.0 9.4
8-12 11.6% 0.5% 0.5% 16.0 0.1 11.6
7-13 12.4% 0.5% 0.5% 16.0 0.1 12.4
6-14 13.3% 0.4% 0.4% 16.0 0.1 13.2
5-15 12.4% 0.1% 0.1% 16.0 0.0 12.4
4-16 9.9% 9.9
3-17 7.6% 7.6
2-18 4.2% 4.2
1-19 1.7% 1.7
0-20 0.5% 0.5
Total 100% 1.0% 1.0% 0.0% 15.8 0.0 0.2 0.8 99.0 0.0%