Wyoming
Mountain West
2024-25 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
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Overall
Predictive Rating+4.7#103
Expected Predictive Rating+3.6#120
Pace70.3#161
Improvement-1.6#283

Offense
Total Offense+2.9#102
First Shot+1.7#123
After Offensive Rebound+1.2#97
Layup/Dunks+1.7#111
2 Pt Jumpshots+0.9#120
3 Pt Jumpshots-1.5#234
Freethrows+0.7#126
Improvement+1.2#95

Defense
Total Defense+1.8#113
First Shot+0.0#165
After Offensive Rebounds+1.9#51
Layups/Dunks+0.0#177
2 Pt Jumpshots+0.4#163
3 Pt Jumpshots+5.5#19
Freethrows-6.0#362
Improvement-2.8#337
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 3.5% 3.7% 1.8%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.3% 0.3% 0.1%
Average Seed 11.4 11.4 12.1
.500 or above 83.7% 86.8% 63.9%
.500 or above in Conference 50.8% 54.6% 26.3%
Conference Champion 1.6% 1.8% 0.3%
Last Place in Conference 0.9% 0.4% 4.7%
First Four0.2% 0.3% 0.1%
First Round3.3% 3.6% 1.7%
Second Round0.6% 0.6% 0.3%
Sweet Sixteen0.1% 0.1% 0.1%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Air Force (Away) - 86.4% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 20 - 2
Quad 1b1 - 31 - 5
Quad 22 - 53 - 10
Quad 34 - 37 - 13
Quad 411 - 118 - 13


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Sat, Nov 8 242 Cal St. Fullerton W 92-82 87%     1 - 0 +2.3 -0.1 +0.7
  Tue, Nov 11 195 Austin Peay W 79-65 83%     2 - 0 +8.7 -0.4 +7.9
  Sat, Nov 15 256 Portland W 93-56 88%     3 - 0 +28.7 +16.4 +12.1
  Wed, Nov 19 122 @Sam Houston St. L 70-78 47%     3 - 1 -2.6 -2.3 -0.2
  Sun, Nov 23 243 Norfolk St. W 75-67 88%     4 - 1 +0.2 +4.2 -3.6
  Wed, Nov 26 290 Denver W 101-59 91%     5 - 1 +32.3 +17.3 +14.7
  Sun, Nov 30 24 @Texas Tech L 72-76 11%     5 - 2 +14.2 +8.1 +6.0
  Sat, Dec 6 247 Dartmouth W 93-80 88%     6 - 2 +5.1 +13.6 -9.0
  Tue, Dec 9 291 South Dakota W 106-79 91%     7 - 2 +17.2 +19.9 -4.3
  Mon, Dec 15 172 South Dakota St. W 87-72 70%     8 - 2 +14.2 +17.4 -2.5
  Sat, Dec 20 87 Grand Canyon L 70-82 54%     8 - 3 0 - 1 -8.4 -2.4 -5.4
  Tue, Dec 30 322 @Air Force W 75-63 86%    
  Sat, Jan 3 66 @New Mexico L 74-81 28%    
  Tue, Jan 6 133 UNLV W 82-76 72%    
  Sat, Jan 10 89 @Nevada L 71-76 34%    
  Wed, Jan 14 52 San Diego St. L 73-75 42%    
  Sat, Jan 17 184 @Fresno St. W 77-74 63%    
  Tue, Jan 20 51 Boise St. L 71-73 41%    
  Sat, Jan 24 197 San Jose St. W 78-68 82%    
  Wed, Jan 28 33 @Utah St. L 70-82 14%    
  Sat, Jan 31 91 Colorado St. W 75-73 56%    
  Tue, Feb 3 52 @San Diego St. L 70-78 23%    
  Sat, Feb 7 33 Utah St. L 73-79 30%    
  Sat, Feb 14 91 @Colorado St. L 72-76 35%    
  Tue, Feb 17 184 Fresno St. W 80-71 80%    
  Sat, Feb 21 87 @Grand Canyon L 71-76 33%    
  Tue, Feb 24 51 @Boise St. L 68-76 23%    
  Sat, Feb 28 322 Air Force W 78-60 94%    
  Tue, Mar 3 89 Nevada W 74-73 55%    
  Sat, Mar 7 197 @San Jose St. W 75-71 64%    
Projected Record 18 - 12 10 - 10




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Mountain West Finish

0-20 1-19 2-18 3-17 4-16 5-15 6-14 7-13 8-12 9-11 10-10 11-9 12-8 13-7 14-6 15-5 16-4 17-3 18-2 19-1 20-0 Total
1st 0.1 0.3 0.6 0.4 0.1 0.0 0.0 1.6 1st
2nd 0.1 0.8 1.6 0.9 0.2 0.0 3.6 2nd
3rd 0.1 1.3 2.7 1.4 0.2 0.0 5.8 3rd
4th 0.1 1.3 3.9 2.2 0.2 7.8 4th
5th 0.0 0.1 1.4 4.8 3.5 0.5 0.0 10.3 5th
6th 0.1 1.3 5.6 5.1 1.0 0.0 13.1 6th
7th 0.0 0.1 1.7 6.0 6.2 1.6 0.0 15.8 7th
8th 0.0 0.3 2.1 5.9 6.2 2.0 0.1 16.8 8th
9th 0.0 0.4 2.4 5.1 4.9 1.5 0.1 14.3 9th
10th 0.0 0.4 1.7 2.7 2.0 0.5 0.1 7.5 10th
11th 0.0 0.3 0.9 1.2 0.6 0.1 3.1 11th
12th 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.4 12th
Total 0.0 0.1 0.5 1.4 3.4 6.0 9.5 13.2 15.2 15.6 13.0 9.9 6.3 3.5 1.7 0.7 0.2 0.0 0.0 Total



Mountain West Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
20-0
19-1 100.0% 0.0    0.0
18-2 100.0% 0.0    0.0
17-3 87.2% 0.1    0.1 0.0
16-4 66.8% 0.4    0.3 0.1 0.0
15-5 34.3% 0.6    0.2 0.3 0.1 0.0
14-6 9.2% 0.3    0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0
13-7 0.8% 0.1    0.0 0.0 0.0
12-8 0.0%
11-9 0.0%
10-10 0.0%
Total 1.6% 1.6 0.6 0.6 0.3 0.1 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
20-0
19-1 0.0% 0.0 0.0
18-2 0.0% 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
17-3 0.2% 51.1% 27.7% 23.4% 9.7 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 32.4%
16-4 0.7% 35.7% 20.6% 15.1% 10.3 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.4 19.0%
15-5 1.7% 19.4% 15.3% 4.2% 10.8 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.0 1.4 4.9%
14-6 3.5% 11.0% 9.3% 1.7% 11.0 0.0 0.3 0.0 3.1 1.9%
13-7 6.3% 8.6% 8.3% 0.3% 11.2 0.0 0.4 0.1 0.0 5.8 0.3%
12-8 9.9% 6.1% 6.1% 0.0% 11.5 0.0 0.3 0.3 0.0 9.3 0.0%
11-9 13.0% 3.6% 3.6% 11.7 0.2 0.3 0.0 12.5
10-10 15.6% 2.3% 2.3% 11.9 0.1 0.3 0.0 15.2
9-11 15.2% 1.4% 1.4% 12.3 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 15.0
8-12 13.2% 0.9% 0.9% 12.8 0.0 0.1 0.0 13.1
7-13 9.5% 0.7% 0.7% 13.9 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 9.4
6-14 6.0% 0.2% 0.2% 15.0 0.0 6.0
5-15 3.4% 0.2% 0.2% 15.0 0.0 3.4
4-16 1.4% 0.2% 0.2% 16.0 0.0 1.4
3-17 0.5% 0.5
2-18 0.1% 0.1
1-19 0.0% 0.0
0-20
Total 100% 3.5% 3.1% 0.3% 11.4 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 1.6 1.2 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.0 96.5 0.3%