Wyoming
Mountain West
2024-25 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
Switch to All-time Team Page
Predictive Rating +4.5 104
Expected Predictive Rating +2.8 120
Pace 66.4 241
Improvement -4.5 338

Overall 1st FGA Second Chance TOs Free
throws		 Shot Selection
Offense B- 80 B- B- C B B
Defense C 158 C B+ C D- D

Offense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 44% 38 C- 55% 244 +2.1 99
2 Pt. Jumpers 27% 305 A 48% 11 -0.9 230
Three Pointers 42% 162 B- 36% 110 +1.4 137
Shot Selection/Accuracy B +1.2 37 C+ +1.3 126
1st FG Attempt B- 1.07 99
Second Chance B+ 36.1% 39 C- 0.99 235 B- 0.36 89
Turnovers C 16.5% 161
Freethrows B- 0.33 98 B 76% 46 B 0.25 61
Total Offense B- +4.1 80

Assists Blocks (Opponents')
Close Shots C 49% 161 C 11.4% 209
2 Pt. Jumpers Shots D 14% 330 B- 4.0% 108
Three Pointers B 91% 38 D+ 1.3% 281
Total C+ 57% 137 C- 6.1% 237

Defense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 44% 36 C 57% 164 +3.1 283
2 Pt. Jumpers 17% 294 C- 39% 229 -1.3 89
Three Pointers 39% 248 B- 32% 84 -2.5 78
Shot Selection/Accuracy D +0.9 327 C+ -1.4 116
1st FG Attempt C 1.01 154
Second Chance B 26.1% 44 B+ 0.91 33 B+ 0.24 29
Turnovers C 16.5% 194
Freethrows F 0.39 354 B 69% 48 D- 0.27 336
Total Defense C +0.4 158

Assists Blocks
Close Shots B+ 39% 26 C- 9.2% 241
2 Pt. Jumpers Shots C+ 24% 155 C- 4.1% 220
Three Pointers A 72% 7 C- 0.7% 190
Total A- 46% 21 C- 5.1% 216

Miscellaneous
Offense Defense
Possession Length 18.1 258 17.3 180
Fast Break Points Per Possession 0.14 260 0.14 63
Improvement +0.5 #156 -5.0 #350

See methodology page for descriptions of rating types.
Predictions by Percentile
5th 50th 95th
Predictive Rating Rank 124 106 89
Conference Record 6 - 14 8 - 12 9 - 11
Conference Finish 10 9 7
NCAA Tourney Seed None None None
NCAA Tourney Finish None None None

NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0% 0% 0%
#1 Seed 0% 0% 0%
Top 2 Seed 0% 0% 0%
Top 4 Seed 0% 0% 0%
Top 6 Seed 0% 0% 0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 1% 1% 1%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0% 0% 0%
Average Seed 12.5 11.9 12.8
.500 or above 71% 93% 64%
.500 or above in Conference 2% 10% 0%
Conference Champion 0% 0% 0%
Last Place in Conference 0% 0% 0%
First Four0% 0% 0%
First Round1% 1% 1%
Second Round0% 0% 0%
Sweet Sixteen0% 0% 0%
Elite Eight0% 0% 0%
Final Four0% 0% 0%
Championship Game0% 0% 0%
National Champion0% 0% 0%

Next Game: Grand Canyon (Away) - 22.7% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 30 - 3
Quad 1b0 - 40 - 7
Quad 21 - 61 - 14
Quad 35 - 26 - 15
Quad 410 - 016 - 15


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Lead Record Total Rating Offense Defense
Avg Time Overall Conf Total First
FGA		 2nd Chance TOs Total First
FGA		 2nd Chance TOs
 Sat, Nov 8 205 Cal St. Fullerton W 92 - 82 83% +3  77% 1 - 0 C+ +4 C- -2 C- C- A+ B +4 B+ A- A
 Tue, Nov 11 154 Austin Peay W 79 - 65 76% +5  89% 2 - 0 B +11 D+ -4 C- C D A+ +13 A A- A-
 Sat, Nov 15 219 Portland W 93 - 56 84% +16  92% 3 - 0 A+ +31 A+ +15 B- A+ B+ A+ +16 A+ A+ C-
 Wed, Nov 19 114 @Sam Houston St. L 70 - 78 44% -3  11% 3 - 1 C- -2 D+ -4 B F F B- +2 B B A-
 Sun, Nov 23 306 Norfolk St. W 75 - 67 93% +11  95% 4 - 1 C- -4 C- -1 F A+ F C- -2 C B+ D+
 Wed, Nov 26 236 Denver W 101 - 59 86% +16  93% 5 - 1 A+ +35 A+ +16 B A+ C A+ +19 A+ B- B
 Sun, Nov 30 18 @Texas Tech L 72 - 76 7% -2  20% 5 - 2 A- +17 B+ +9 A- C- D+ A- +8 A- A- C
 Sat, Dec 6 255 Dartmouth W 93 - 80 88% +1  37% 6 - 2 C+ +5 A- +10 A+ D B+ D -6 F C- B+
 Tue, Dec 9 291 South Dakota W 106 - 79 91% +15  99% 7 - 2 A- +17 A+ +18 A+ A B- D+ -3 C F+ B-
 Mon, Dec 15 206 South Dakota St. W 87 - 72 76% +13  95% 8 - 2 B+ +12 A +14 A A+ C- C -1 C+ B+ F
 Sat, Dec 20 58 Grand Canyon L 70 - 82 43% -14  3% 8 - 3 0 - 1 D+ -6 D+ -2 F+ A- B- C- -3 F A+ A
 Tue, Dec 30 347 @Air Force W 68 - 56 91% +5  89% 9 - 3 1 - 1 C+ +2 F+ -9 F A F A +11 C- A+ A+
 Sat, Jan 3 45 @New Mexico L 58 - 78 17% -6  37% 9 - 4 1 - 2 D+ -5 C- -1 C- A- D D- -7 B- F C
 Tue, Jan 6 125 UNLV W 98 - 66 68% +20  99% 10 - 4 2 - 2 A+ +32 A+ +17 A+ A+ D+ A+ +14 A A- C
 Sat, Jan 10 79 @Nevada L 83 - 92 29% -4  5% 10 - 5 2 - 3 C +1 A+ +23 A+ A A+ F -23 F F C
 Wed, Jan 14 43 San Diego St. L 57 - 74 33% -11  15% 10 - 6 2 - 4 D -8 D- -7 D+ F+ A C- -2 C- A+ F
 Sat, Jan 17 133 @Fresno St. L 60 - 63 49% +2  75% 10 - 7 2 - 5 C +2 C- -2 C F F+ B- +3 C A+ F
 Tue, Jan 20 65 Boise St. L 65 - 81 46% -10  23% 10 - 8 2 - 6 D -10 D+ -4 C B- C- F+ -8 F+ A+ D-
 Sat, Jan 24 221 San Jose St. W 66 - 62 84% +3  73% 11 - 8 3 - 6 C- -2 D- -7 D+ F C+ B+ +5 B A+ D-
 Wed, Jan 28 28 @Utah St. L 62 - 94 10% -22  2% 11 - 9 3 - 7 D- -14 C- -2 F+ B+ B- F -14 F+ D+ F
 Sat, Jan 31 96 Colorado St. W 68 - 57 58% +8  97% 12 - 9 4 - 7 B+ +13 B- +4 A D- D+ A+ +12 A+ A+ D-
 Tue, Feb 3 43 @San Diego St. L 63 - 72 16% -7  10% 12 - 10 4 - 8 B- +6 C +1 C C+ C+ B +4 A+ F D
 Sat, Feb 7 28 Utah St. L 83 - 85 23% -3  24% 12 - 11 4 - 9 B +10 A+ +15 A C- A+ D -5 F A+ B-
 Sat, Feb 14 96 @Colorado St. L 68 - 79 35% 12 - 12 4 - 10 C- -3
 Tue, Feb 17 133 Fresno St. W 92 - 82 71% +2  56% 13 - 12 5 - 10 B +9 A+ +24 A+ A+ A+ F -15 D F F+
 Sat, Feb 21 58 @Grand Canyon L 68 - 76 23%
 Tue, Feb 24 65 @Boise St. L 70 - 77 25%
 Sat, Feb 28 347 Air Force W 81 - 60 97%
 Tue, Mar 3 79 Nevada W 74 - 73 51%
 Sat, Mar 7 221 @San Jose St. W 76 - 71 67%
Totals 16 - 14 8 - 12 +4 B- +4 D C+ B C +0 B- B B



Game Detail
Grades are adjusted for opponent strength in each category. Game stats are not adjusted for oppoent strength. See methodology page for descriptions of rating types.
Offense Defense
Tot Off First Field Goal Attempt Second Chance TOs Freethrows Tot Def First Field Goal Attempt Second Chance TOs Freethrows
Shot Accuracy Shot Selection Points Per Shot Shot Accuracy Shot Selection Points Per Shot
2 C 2 L 3 Tot 2 C 2 L 3 Tot Off Reb PPP Tot Att Perc Tot 2 C 2 L 3 Tot 2 C 2 L 3 Tot Off Reb PPP Tot Att Perc Tot
Season Ratings B- C- A B- C+ 44% 27% 42% B B- B+ C- B- C B- B B C C C- B- C+ 44% 17% 39% D C B B+ B+ C F B D-
1.14 55% 48% 36% +1 +1 1.07 36% 1.0 .36 17% .33 76% .25 1.08 57% 39% 32% -1 +1 1.01 26% 0.9 .24 17% .39 69% .23
Nov
8		 Cal St. Fullerton C- F A B+ D 44% 11% 46% B+ C- D B+ C- A+ A+ F A B D- B A+ A- 45% 24% 31% C B+ A B+ A- A F C F
1.10 48% 50% 38% 0 +2 1.05 25% 1.2 .30 13% .51 59% .30 0.98 65% 33% 19% -5 0 0.92 18% 0.9 .16 20% .64 72% .46
Nov
11		 Austin Peay D+ F A+ A+ D+ 52% 12% 37% A C- C+ D+ C D A C+ A- A+ D A+ A+ A+ 46% 10% 44% F A B A- A- A- F B- F+
1.03 44% 50% 42% -1 +2 1.04 33% 0.7 .23 21% .38 70% .26 0.85 61% 0% 18% -13 +2 0.80 24% 1.0 .24 21% .40 71% .28
Nov
15		 Portland A+ A F C- B- 40% 12% 47% B B- A+ B A+ B+ C- A+ C+ A+ B A- A+ A+ 56% 23% 21% D+ A+ A A+ A+ C- F A+ F
1.32 70% 14% 33% +1 +1 1.07 44% 1.2 .51 14% .28 82% .23 0.80 54% 30% 11% -11 +1 0.81 21% 0.8 .16 18% .58 55% .31
Nov
19		 Sam Houston St. D+ A- A- F B 46% 22% 32% C+ B A- F F F A- F F B- D F A+ B- 32% 23% 45% B+ B B- B B A- F F F
0.99 70% 45% 25% +3 0 1.08 39% 0.5 .18 21% .39 41% .16 1.10 64% 50% 25% -1 -1 0.98 33% 0.9 .30 21% .59 88% .52
Nov
23		 Norfolk St. C- F A+ F+ F 49% 2% 49% A F A+ A+ A+ F A+ A- A+ C- A F+ C- C+ 43% 25% 32% D+ C C A+ B+ D+ F F+ F
1.12 38% 100% 29% -12 +3 0.84 46% 1.3 .60 21% .59 77% .45 1.00 42% 45% 36% -4 0 0.93 31% 0.7 .22 18% .53 72% .38
Nov
26		 Denver A+ D A+ A+ B- 57% 6% 37% A+ B A+ A+ A+ C A C A- A+ B+ B- A+ A+ 35% 22% 43% D- A+ D+ A B- B F A+ C-
1.43 55% 67% 45% +6 +3 1.20 47% 1.5 .69 13% .39 71% .28 0.84 47% 36% 14% -17 0 0.67 33% 0.9 .30 17% .38 64% .24
Nov
30		 Texas Tech B+ A- A+ F A 33% 37% 29% C- A- B F C- D+ D+ A+ A- A- F C- A+ A- 38% 29% 33% B- A- B- A A- C F A+ F
1.06 65% 58% 20% +3 -3 1.04 30% 0.7 .20 19% .24 100% .24 1.12 72% 43% 25% +2 -1 1.04 33% 0.8 .28 15% .52 60% .31
Dec
6		 Dartmouth A- A+ A+ C- A+ 50% 17% 33% B- A+ B F D B+ B+ F C D C+ D- F F 30% 16% 55% C F A+ F C- B+ F F F
1.28 76% 50% 32% +10 +1 1.24 33% 0.7 .22 10% .33 59% .20 1.10 54% 43% 46% +9 0 1.20 12% 2.3 .28 23% .41 87% .36
Dec
9		 South Dakota A+ B+ A A+ A+ 59% 7% 34% A- A+ B A A B- B+ A- A- D+ A+ D- F+ C- 35% 29% 37% A C B- F F+ B- F C F
1.43 67% 50% 47% +13 +3 1.34 37% 1.4 .52 15% .33 81% .27 1.06 41% 43% 39% -2 -1 0.96 26% 1.4 .37 19% .55 76% .41
Dec
15		 South Dakota St. A A+ A B- A+ 36% 20% 44% C A A A+ A+ C- B+ A+ A C B A+ D- B- 43% 8% 49% F C+ A+ D B+ F F D- F
1.30 78% 50% 36% +11 0 1.24 39% 1.6 .61 16% .36 85% .30 1.08 52% 0% 38% -3 +2 1.00 19% 1.1 .22 10% .40 75% .30
Dec
20		 Grand Canyon D+ C+ A+ F F 38% 15% 47% A- F+ B- A+ A- B- A+ B A+ C- F F F+ F 52% 5% 43% F F A+ B- A+ A F B+ F
0.95 55% 50% 12% -15 +1 0.74 28% 1.4 .38 16% .49 77% .37 1.12 73% 50% 39% +11 +3 1.31 18% 1.0 .18 22% .61 71% .44
Dec
30		 Air Force F+ F F C F 32% 12% 56% B- F B+ A A F A+ A+ A+ A F A+ A+ C+ 60% 12% 28% F C- A A+ A+ A+ F A+ D+
0.99 46% 0% 35% -8 +1 0.88 36% 1.3 .45 29% .55 89% .49 0.82 73% 20% 8% -4 +3 1.00 14% 0.5 .07 28% .40 55% .22
Jan
3		 New Mexico C- C- C D C- 24% 22% 53% C- C- A C A- D C- D C- D- B+ A F B- 47% 14% 39% C B- F B- F C A- C A-
0.95 55% 40% 29% -4 -1 0.91 38% 1.0 .38 21% .27 69% .19 1.28 50% 29% 45% +1 +2 1.08 49% 0.9 .46 15% .23 75% .17
Jan
6		 UNLV A+ A D A+ A+ 54% 6% 40% A+ A+ A+ C+ A+ D+ A+ A A+ A+ A+ A+ F A+ 65% 10% 25% F A A- A- A- C F A+ F
1.36 69% 33% 42% +11 +3 1.29 44% 1.1 .50 19% .50 79% .40 0.92 38% 25% 50% -8 +3 0.93 28% 0.7 .20 17% .75 56% .42
Jan
10		 Nevada A+ F+ A+ A+ A+ 45% 18% 36% B- A+ B A A A+ A+ B- A+ F C F F F 50% 17% 33% F F F+ F+ F C F+ F+ F
1.35 45% 63% 50% +7 +1 1.18 32% 1.4 .46 10% .56 74% .41 1.49 57% 50% 67% +17 +1 1.39 41% 1.2 .50 13% .45 83% .37
Jan
14		 San Diego St. D- F F D+ D- 32% 4% 64% A D+ D+ F F+ A B D B- C- A F F C+ 50% 17% 33% F C- A+ D+ A+ F A- C- B+
0.87 38% 0% 31% -11 +2 0.84 24% 0.6 .13 17% .35 68% .24 1.12 50% 56% 41% +3 +1 1.10 17% 1.2 .20 12% .24 79% .19
Jan
17		 Fresno St. C- C+ C- F+ C 42% 24% 33% C C A F F F+ C A+ B+ B- C F A+ B- 57% 12% 31% F C D+ A+ A+ F F A F
0.99 63% 36% 27% -2 0 0.98 39% 0.4 .15 23% .26 92% .24 1.04 58% 60% 23% -2 +2 1.02 32% 0.3 .09 13% .51 67% .34
Jan
20		 Boise St. D+ D- A+ F C- 41% 18% 41% B+ C C+ B- B- C- A- A A F+ D F F+ F+ 49% 8% 43% F+ F+ A+ A+ A+ D- A+ F A-
1.00 50% 75% 28% 0 0 1.02 23% 1.1 .27 17% .33 78% .26 1.25 64% 50% 41% +8 +2 1.24 25% 0.7 .18 12% .23 100% .23
Jan
24		 San Jose St. D- B- A+ F D- 59% 8% 33% A+ D+ C+ F F C+ A+ A+ A+ B+ A+ B D B+ 27% 23% 50% D+ B A+ A A+ D- C B+ C+
1.04 65% 67% 15% -3 +3 1.03 37% 0.2 .07 17% .52 89% .46 0.98 36% 33% 38% -4 -1 0.92 15% 0.8 .13 13% .29 69% .20
Jan
28		 Utah St. C- F D+ F F 36% 13% 51% B+ F+ B+ B- B+ B- B- D- C F F F D+ F 35% 7% 58% C+ F+ B+ F D+ F D+ C C-
0.94 41% 33% 25% -14 +1 0.77 37% 1.1 .40 20% .34 67% .23 1.43 74% 75% 38% +11 +1 1.27 31% 1.6 .48 8% .35 71% .25
Shot Accuracy Shot Selection PPS 2nd Chance TOs Freethrows Shot Accuracy Shot Selection PPS 2nd Chance TOs Freethrows
Jan
31		 Colorado St. B- F C+ A+ A 24% 14% 62% C+ A C F D- D+ A+ A- A+ A+ B D+ A+ A+ 53% 10% 37% F A+ C A+ A+ D- A+ A- A+
1.16 44% 40% 48% +10 0 1.22 27% 0.9 .23 17% .49 75% .37 0.97 56% 40% 21% -8 +2 0.90 32% 0.6 .19 15% .20 70% .14
Feb
3		 San Diego St. C F A C- C- 29% 16% 56% B- C B+ D+ C+ C+ A+ B+ A+ B D- C- A+ A+ 30% 30% 40% B- A+ F F F D F A+ F
0.94 38% 43% 32% -7 0 0.89 33% 0.8 .28 21% .49 77% .38 1.07 69% 38% 18% -6 -2 0.86 39% 1.4 .54 15% .63 64% .40
Feb
7		 Utah St. A+ D- A+ A+ A 46% 11% 43% A A C- C+ C- A+ D A+ C+ D F A+ F F 63% 9% 28% F F A+ A+ A+ B- F C F
1.23 46% 67% 42% +2 +2 1.11 29% 1.0 .29 10% .26 88% .23 1.26 78% 25% 50% +18 +3 1.44 15% 0.7 .10 16% .51 72% .37
Feb
14		 Colorado St.
Feb
17		 Fresno St. A+ D A+ A+ A+ 38% 12% 50% B+ A+ A+ A+ A+ A+ F+ A+ D+ F C A- F D- 47% 21% 32% C- D F+ F F F+ F B+ F
1.41 55% 83% 42% +10 +1 1.25 40% 1.5 .60 14% .20 82% .16 1.26 59% 30% 47% +5 +1 1.13 35% 1.2 .42 14% .43 71% .30



Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Mountain West Finish

0-20 1-19 2-18 3-17 4-16 5-15 6-14 7-13 8-12 9-11 10-10 11-9 12-8 13-7 14-6 15-5 16-4 17-3 18-2 19-1 20-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 4th
5th 0.2 0.2 5th
6th 0.7 1.2 1.9 6th
7th 0.2 4.6 0.7 5.5 7th
8th 0.1 6.1 7.6 0.1 13.9 8th
9th 0.9 14.5 25.2 3.1 0.0 43.7 9th
10th 0.3 9.9 19.2 5.3 0.0 34.6 10th
11th 0.0 0.1 0.1 11th
12th 12th
Total 0.3 10.8 33.8 36.7 16.1 2.3 Total



Mountain West Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
20-0
19-1
18-2
17-3
16-4
15-5
14-6
13-7
12-8
11-9
10-10 0.0%
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
20-0
19-1
18-2
17-3
16-4
15-5
14-6
13-7
12-8
11-9
10-10 2.3% 1.9% 1.9% 11.2 0.0 0.0 2.3
9-11 16.1% 1.2% 1.2% 11.9 0.0 0.1 0.0 15.9
8-12 36.7% 0.7% 0.7% 12.3 0.0 0.2 0.1 0.0 36.5
7-13 33.8% 0.5% 0.5% 13.4 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 33.6
6-14 10.8% 0.6% 0.6% 14.3 0.0 0.0 0.0 10.7
5-15 0.3% 0.3
4-16
3-17
2-18
1-19
0-20
Total 100% 0.7% 0.7% 0.0% 12.5 99.3 0.0%


Best / Worst Case Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid		Avg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Win Out, Lose in Conf. Tourney Championship 0.1%
Win Out, Lose in Conf. Tourney Semi-Final 0.3%
Lose Out 0.2%