IN CC Stats - NCAA Basketball

Preseason Rankings
Akron
Mid-American
2025-26

Overall
Predictive Rating	+4.6	#104
Expected Predictive Rating	+0.0	#1

Pace	76.4	#18
Improvement	-	-

Offense
Total Offense	+3.9	#75

First Shot	-	-
After Offensive Rebound	-	-

Layup/Dunks	-	-
2 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
3 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
Freethrows	-	-

Improvement	-	-

Defense
Total Defense	+0.7	#142

First Shot	-	-
After Offensive Rebounds	-	-

Layups/Dunks	-	-
2 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
3 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
Freethrows	-	-

Improvement	-	-

	Now	Win Next	Lose Next
#1 Overall Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
#1 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Top 2 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Top 4 Seed	0.0%	0.1%	0.0%
Top 6 Seed	0.2%	0.3%	0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid	28.2%	30.9%	21.7%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier	0.2%	0.3%	0.0%
Average Seed	12.3	12.1	12.8

.500 or above	93.1%	96.0%	86.2%
.500 or above in Conference	96.0%	97.0%	93.4%
Conference Champion	42.7%	46.3%	33.8%
Last Place in Conference	0.1%	0.1%	0.2%

First Four	0.2%	0.2%	0.3%
First Round	28.2%	30.8%	21.8%
Second Round	5.1%	6.1%	2.7%
Sweet Sixteen	1.2%	1.4%	0.5%
Elite Eight	0.2%	0.3%	0.1%
Final Four	0.1%	0.1%	0.0%
Championship Game	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
National Champion	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%

Next Game: James Madison (Home) - 70.7% chance of victory

Projected Seeding

Projected Record by Quad
Quad	Projected	Projected Cumulative
Quad 1a	0 - 1	0 - 1
Quad 1b	0 - 0	0 - 1
Quad 2	1 - 1	1 - 3
Quad 3	5 - 3	6 - 6
Quad 4	14 - 2	20 - 8

Date	Opponent		Result/Prediction			Record	Conf		Rating	Offense	Defense
Nov 03, 2025	129	James Madison	W	78-72	71%
Nov 08, 2025	171	Princeton	W	80-71	79%
Nov 16, 2025	2	@ Purdue	L	65-87	2%
Nov 21, 2025	199	Iona	W	81-74	73%
Nov 29, 2025	214	Wisconsin-Milwaukee	W	84-73	83%
Dec 03, 2025	287	Bucknell	W	84-69	90%
Dec 06, 2025	116	@ Tulane	L	76-78	45%
Dec 13, 2025	127	Murray St.	W	75-72	59%
Dec 19, 2025	291	Eastern Michigan	W	86-71	90%
Jan 03, 2026	128	@ Miami (OH)	L	79-80	49%
Jan 06, 2026	299	Central Michigan	W	83-68	90%
Jan 10, 2026	220	@ Bowling Green	W	80-75	67%
Jan 13, 2026	244	Ball St.	W	83-71	85%
Jan 17, 2026	286	Western Michigan	W	85-70	89%
Jan 20, 2026	334	@ Buffalo	W	86-74	84%
Jan 24, 2026	145	@ Ohio	W	82-81	53%
Jan 27, 2026	180	Toledo	W	86-77	78%
Jan 30, 2026	126	Kent St.	W	78-72	68%
Feb 03, 2026	291	@ Eastern Michigan	W	83-74	77%
Feb 14, 2026	173	Massachusetts	W	84-75	77%
Feb 17, 2026	286	@ Western Michigan	W	82-73	76%
Feb 21, 2026	244	@ Ball St.	W	80-74	70%
Feb 24, 2026	334	Buffalo	W	89-71	93%
Feb 28, 2026	126	@ Kent St.	L	74-75	49%
Mar 03, 2026	299	@ Central Michigan	W	80-71	77%
Mar 06, 2026	316	Northern Illinois	W	87-71	91%
Projected Record						19 - 7	14 - 4

Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.

Projected Mid-American Finish

	0-18	1-17	2-16	3-15	4-14	5-13	6-12	7-11	8-10	9-9	10-8	11-7	12-6	13-5	14-4	15-3	16-2	17-1	18-0		Total
1st												0.0	0.2	1.6	5.8	10.8	11.7	8.8	3.8		42.7	1st
2nd											0.0	0.2	1.9	5.6	7.5	4.7	1.2	0.1			21.2	2nd
3rd										0.0	0.1	1.5	4.5	4.8	1.9	0.3					13.2	3rd
4th										0.1	0.9	2.9	3.0	1.0	0.1						7.9	4th
5th									0.0	0.4	2.1	2.4	0.7	0.0							5.7	5th
6th									0.2	1.4	1.6	0.5	0.0								3.6	6th
7th								0.1	0.7	1.1	0.4	0.0									2.2	7th
8th						0.0	0.1	0.3	0.8	0.3	0.0										1.5	8th
9th						0.0	0.2	0.4	0.3	0.0											1.0	9th
10th					0.0	0.1	0.2	0.2	0.0												0.5	10th
11th				0.0	0.0	0.1	0.1	0.0													0.3	11th
12th			0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0													0.1	12th
13th			0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0															0.0	13th

Total			0.0	0.0	0.1	0.3	0.6	1.0	2.0	3.3	5.2	7.5	10.3	13.0	15.3	15.8	12.9	8.9	3.8			Total

Mid-American Regular Season Championship

Record	Champion	Total		Outright	2-Way	3-Way	4-Way	5-Way	6-Way	7-Way	8-Way
18-0	100.0%	3.8		3.8
17-1	99.0%	8.8		8.4	0.4
16-2	90.8%	11.7		9.4	2.2	0.1
15-3	68.2%	10.8		6.4	3.7	0.6	0.0
14-4	37.9%	5.8		2.2	2.6	0.9	0.1	0.0
13-5	12.1%	1.6		0.2	0.7	0.5	0.2	0.0
12-6	2.0%	0.2		0.0	0.0	0.1	0.1	0.0	0.0
11-7	0.1%	0.0						0.0
10-8	0.0%
9-9	0.0%

Total	42.7%	42.7		30.5	9.6	2.2	0.4	0.0	0.0

NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf Record	Record Chance		Tourney Bid	Auto	At-Large	Avg Seed		1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16	No Bid		At-Large if not Auto
18-0	3.8%		70.8%	67.8%	3.0%	10.1		0.0		0.0	0.0	0.1	0.1	0.1	0.1	0.2	0.5	1.2	0.3	0.0				1.1		9.4%
17-1	8.9%		56.0%	55.5%	0.5%	11.4								0.0	0.0	0.0	0.3	2.5	1.8	0.3	0.0			3.9		1.1%
16-2	12.9%		45.5%	45.5%	0.0%	12.0											0.0	1.4	3.1	1.2	0.1	0.0		7.0		0.1%
15-3	15.8%		34.2%	34.2%	0.0%	12.4												0.5	2.8	1.7	0.4	0.0		10.4		0.0%
14-4	15.3%		26.3%	26.3%		12.9												0.1	1.2	1.8	0.8	0.1		11.3
13-5	13.0%		19.8%	19.8%		13.4												0.0	0.4	1.1	0.9	0.2		10.4
12-6	10.3%		13.1%	13.1%		13.7													0.1	0.5	0.6	0.2	0.0	9.0
11-7	7.5%		10.4%	10.4%		14.5													0.0	0.2	0.3	0.2	0.1	6.7
10-8	5.2%		6.6%	6.6%		15.0														0.0	0.1	0.2	0.0	4.8
9-9	3.3%		3.8%	3.8%		16.1														0.0	0.0	0.0	0.1	3.2
8-10	2.0%		2.7%	2.7%		18.0															0.0	0.0	0.0	1.9
7-11	1.0%		0.8%	0.8%		15.5																0.0	0.0	1.0
6-12	0.6%																							0.6
5-13	0.3%																							0.3
4-14	0.1%																							0.1
3-15	0.0%																							0.0
2-16	0.0%																							0.0
1-17
0-18

Total	100%		28.2%	28.0%	0.2%	12.3		0.0		0.0	0.0	0.1	0.1	0.1	0.1	0.2	0.8	5.7	9.9	6.8	3.2	1.0	0.2	71.8		0.2%

Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

	Chance	Tourney Bid	Avg Seed	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16
Win Out	0.1%	100.0%	5.9			15.3	0.2	38.2	15.4	7.7	7.7	7.7	7.7
Win Out, Lose in Conf. Tourney Championship	0.0%	66.4%	8.5							32.8			33.6
Win Out, Lose in Conf. Tourney Semi-Final	0.0%	100.0%	10.5										50.0	50.0