Charlotte
American Athletic
2024-25 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
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Overall
Predictive Rating-2.4#198
Expected Predictive Rating-5.3#243
Pace61.7#352
Improvement-3.2#348

Offense
Total Offense-0.3#172
First Shot-1.0#201
After Offensive Rebound+0.7#133
Layup/Dunks+0.8#149
2 Pt Jumpshots-1.8#277
3 Pt Jumpshots+1.2#145
Freethrows-1.2#264
Improvement-4.0#361

Defense
Total Defense-2.1#243
First Shot+0.0#169
After Offensive Rebounds-2.1#315
Layups/Dunks+0.6#148
2 Pt Jumpshots+0.4#160
3 Pt Jumpshots+0.8#156
Freethrows-1.8#299
Improvement+0.8#118
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 0.8% 0.9% 0.5%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 14.2 14.2 14.8
.500 or above 13.4% 15.2% 4.8%
.500 or above in Conference 31.5% 33.5% 21.8%
Conference Champion 0.8% 0.9% 0.4%
Last Place in Conference 10.5% 9.5% 15.5%
First Four0.1% 0.1% 0.2%
First Round0.8% 0.8% 0.5%
Second Round0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Lafayette (Home) - 83.0% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 00 - 0
Quad 1b0 - 20 - 2
Quad 21 - 61 - 8
Quad 33 - 84 - 16
Quad 49 - 312 - 19


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Mon, Nov 3 182 Indiana St. W 92-76 58%     1 - 0 +11.5 +20.0 -8.3
  Fri, Nov 7 261 Tennessee Tech W 70-65 72%     2 - 0 -3.6 -1.6 -1.7
  Tue, Nov 11 126 Davidson L 55-62 43%     2 - 1 -7.7 -7.1 -2.0
  Sun, Nov 16 64 @Virginia Tech L 76-84 10%     2 - 2 +3.7 +12.4 -9.2
  Fri, Nov 21 225 @Appalachian St. L 63-65 44%     2 - 3 -2.8 +6.1 -9.4
  Thu, Nov 27 92 Illinois St. L 69-79 22%     2 - 4 -4.2 +2.4 -7.2
  Fri, Nov 28 104 Richmond L 66-71 27%     2 - 5 -0.8 -0.4 -0.8
  Tue, Dec 2 304 N.C. A&T W 74-57 79%     3 - 5 +6.3 +2.1 +5.3
  Sun, Dec 7 44 Utah St. L 53-79 16%     3 - 6 -17.7 -12.2 -7.5
  Sun, Dec 14 185 @College of Charleston L 67-74 36%     3 - 7 -5.7 -3.9 -2.0
  Thu, Dec 18 320 Lafayette W 73-63 83%    
  Sun, Dec 21 192 Illinois-Chicago W 72-69 60%    
  Wed, Dec 31 156 Temple W 74-73 52%    
  Sat, Jan 3 100 Wichita St. L 66-70 35%    
  Wed, Jan 7 295 @Texas San Antonio W 71-69 56%    
  Sun, Jan 11 206 @Rice L 67-69 41%    
  Wed, Jan 14 81 Tulsa L 70-76 28%    
  Sun, Jan 18 255 @East Carolina L 69-70 50%    
  Sun, Jan 25 199 Tulane W 72-69 62%    
  Wed, Jan 28 156 @Temple L 70-76 30%    
  Sat, Jan 31 206 Rice W 70-66 63%    
  Wed, Feb 4 100 @Wichita St. L 63-73 18%    
  Sun, Feb 8 76 @Memphis L 64-77 12%    
  Sun, Feb 15 295 Texas San Antonio W 74-66 77%    
  Wed, Feb 18 81 @Tulsa L 67-79 13%    
  Sat, Feb 21 255 East Carolina W 72-66 71%    
  Wed, Feb 25 146 North Texas L 63-64 49%    
  Sun, Mar 1 118 @Florida Atlantic L 68-77 22%    
  Wed, Mar 4 112 UAB L 71-74 40%    
  Sun, Mar 8 83 @South Florida L 69-81 14%    
Projected Record 12 - 18 7 - 11




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected American Athletic Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.3 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.8 1st
2nd 0.0 0.2 0.8 0.7 0.3 0.0 2.0 2nd
3rd 0.2 1.2 1.3 0.3 0.0 3.0 3rd
4th 0.2 1.2 2.3 0.7 0.1 4.5 4th
5th 0.1 1.2 3.6 1.5 0.1 6.5 5th
6th 0.0 1.1 4.1 2.9 0.4 0.0 8.5 6th
7th 0.0 0.6 4.2 4.5 0.9 0.0 10.3 7th
8th 0.4 3.7 5.8 1.6 0.1 11.7 8th
9th 0.0 0.2 3.0 7.0 2.9 0.2 0.0 13.4 9th
10th 0.0 0.3 2.5 6.3 3.9 0.4 13.4 10th
11th 0.2 1.8 5.1 3.8 0.5 0.0 11.4 11th
12th 0.0 0.2 1.4 3.7 3.0 0.6 0.0 8.9 12th
13th 0.1 0.5 1.3 2.0 1.5 0.2 0.0 5.5 13th
Total 0.1 0.5 1.5 3.6 7.3 11.1 14.0 15.9 14.5 11.8 9.0 5.6 3.0 1.4 0.6 0.1 0.0 0.0 Total



American Athletic Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1 100.0% 0.0    0.0
16-2 100.0% 0.0    0.0 0.0
15-3 66.7% 0.1    0.1 0.0 0.0
14-4 49.7% 0.3    0.1 0.1 0.0
13-5 22.4% 0.3    0.1 0.2 0.1 0.0
12-6 1.7% 0.1    0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
11-7 0.2% 0.0    0.0
10-8 0.0%
9-9 0.0%
Total 0.8% 0.8 0.3 0.3 0.1 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1 0.0% 0.0
16-2 0.0% 0.0
15-3 0.1% 15.2% 15.2% 13.2 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1
14-4 0.6% 7.3% 7.3% 12.8 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.5
13-5 1.4% 5.4% 5.4% 13.3 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.4
12-6 3.0% 5.6% 5.6% 13.3 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.0 2.8
11-7 5.6% 2.3% 2.3% 13.7 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.0 5.4
10-8 9.0% 1.3% 1.3% 14.6 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 8.8
9-9 11.8% 0.9% 0.9% 14.8 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 11.7
8-10 14.5% 0.7% 0.7% 15.9 0.0 0.1 14.4
7-11 15.9% 0.2% 0.2% 16.0 0.0 15.8
6-12 14.0% 0.1% 0.1% 16.0 0.0 14.0
5-13 11.1% 0.1% 0.1% 16.0 0.0 11.1
4-14 7.3% 0.0% 0.0% 16.0 0.0 7.3
3-15 3.6% 3.6
2-16 1.5% 1.5
1-17 0.5% 0.5
0-18 0.1% 0.1
Total 100% 0.8% 0.8% 0.0% 14.2 0.0 0.0 0.3 0.1 0.2 0.2 99.2 0.0%