Massachusetts
Mid-American
2024-25 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
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Overall
Predictive Rating+0.4#154
Expected Predictive Rating+1.1#152
Pace78.4#19
Improvement+1.8#69

Offense
Total Offense-0.9#187
First Shot-5.5#327
After Offensive Rebound+4.6#8
Layup/Dunks+1.5#123
2 Pt Jumpshots+0.7#134
3 Pt Jumpshots-6.4#337
Freethrows-1.3#271
Improvement+3.6#9

Defense
Total Defense+1.3#119
First Shot+0.0#167
After Offensive Rebounds+1.3#89
Layups/Dunks-5.0#332
2 Pt Jumpshots+1.1#104
3 Pt Jumpshots+7.0#8
Freethrows-3.0#338
Improvement-1.8#311
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 5.9% 7.2% 4.3%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 13.4 13.4 13.6
.500 or above 93.3% 96.9% 88.6%
.500 or above in Conference 77.1% 86.2% 65.4%
Conference Champion 5.1% 7.5% 1.9%
Last Place in Conference 0.7% 0.3% 1.3%
First Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Round5.9% 7.2% 4.3%
Second Round0.5% 0.6% 0.3%
Sweet Sixteen0.1% 0.1% 0.1%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Kent St. (Home) - 56.2% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 00 - 0
Quad 1b0 - 10 - 1
Quad 21 - 21 - 3
Quad 36 - 57 - 8
Quad 412 - 419 - 11


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Mon, Nov 3 158 Marshall L 72-78 63%     0 - 1 -8.9 -12.9 +4.9
  Sat, Nov 8 306 Albany W 83-62 86%     1 - 1 +9.8 +0.0 +8.6
  Thu, Nov 13 315 Le Moyne W 94-80 88%     2 - 1 +2.0 +4.3 -3.5
  Sun, Nov 16 240 Central Connecticut St. W 84-77 78%     3 - 1 -0.7 +0.7 -2.0
  Fri, Nov 21 185 College of Charleston L 65-69 58%     3 - 2 -5.7 -7.3 +1.5
  Sat, Nov 22 264 Green Bay L 75-79 72%     3 - 3 -9.7 +0.7 -10.5
  Mon, Nov 24 165 Oregon St. W 73-65 53%     4 - 3 +7.6 +3.8 +4.2
  Wed, Dec 3 200 Harvard W 78-71 72%     5 - 3 +1.4 -0.4 +1.5
  Sat, Dec 6 303 Umass Lowell W 80-60 85%     6 - 3 +9.5 -4.9 +12.8
  Wed, Dec 10 150 Boston College W 76-74 49%     7 - 3 +2.8 +5.8 -3.1
  Sat, Dec 13 122 Florida St. W 103-95 41%     8 - 3 +10.9 +17.0 -7.2
  Sat, Dec 20 132 Kent St. W 86-84 56%    
  Tue, Dec 30 224 @Eastern Michigan W 75-74 54%    
  Sat, Jan 3 125 Bowling Green W 77-76 53%    
  Tue, Jan 6 177 @Ohio L 81-82 45%    
  Sat, Jan 10 307 Ball St. W 78-66 86%    
  Tue, Jan 13 249 @Western Michigan W 80-77 60%    
  Sat, Jan 17 323 @Northern Illinois W 83-76 74%    
  Tue, Jan 20 167 Toledo W 84-80 65%    
  Sat, Jan 24 209 @Buffalo W 79-78 52%    
  Tue, Jan 27 103 @Miami (OH) L 77-84 25%    
  Sat, Jan 31 224 Eastern Michigan W 78-71 75%    
  Tue, Feb 3 326 Central Michigan W 83-70 89%    
  Sat, Feb 14 66 @Akron L 82-93 16%    
  Tue, Feb 17 103 Miami (OH) L 80-81 46%    
  Sat, Feb 21 209 Buffalo W 82-75 72%    
  Tue, Feb 24 307 @Ball St. W 75-69 70%    
  Sat, Feb 28 125 @Bowling Green L 74-79 33%    
  Tue, Mar 3 177 Ohio W 84-79 66%    
Projected Record 18 - 11 10 - 8




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Mid-American Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.1 0.6 1.6 1.6 0.9 0.2 0.0 5.1 1st
2nd 0.0 0.3 2.4 5.0 3.8 1.3 0.2 0.0 13.1 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.5 3.2 6.3 3.8 0.7 0.0 14.6 3rd
4th 0.0 0.3 3.1 7.1 4.0 0.6 0.0 15.0 4th
5th 0.1 2.0 6.6 3.9 0.5 0.0 13.1 5th
6th 0.0 1.4 5.4 4.1 0.7 0.0 11.6 6th
7th 0.0 0.6 3.6 4.2 0.8 0.0 9.1 7th
8th 0.0 0.3 2.3 3.3 1.1 0.0 7.0 8th
9th 0.0 0.1 1.2 2.7 1.0 0.1 5.1 9th
10th 0.0 0.0 0.6 1.6 1.0 0.1 3.3 10th
11th 0.0 0.2 0.8 0.7 0.1 1.8 11th
12th 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.4 0.1 0.9 12th
13th 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.3 13th
Total 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.7 1.9 3.8 6.7 9.5 13.0 15.0 15.3 13.4 10.1 6.2 2.9 1.1 0.2 0.0 Total



Mid-American Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0 100.0% 0.0    0.0
17-1 98.5% 0.2    0.2 0.0
16-2 79.6% 0.9    0.6 0.3 0.0
15-3 54.7% 1.6    0.9 0.7 0.1 0.0
14-4 26.3% 1.6    0.5 0.8 0.3 0.0
13-5 6.0% 0.6    0.1 0.3 0.2 0.1 0.0
12-6 1.0% 0.1    0.0 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0
11-7 0.1% 0.0    0.0 0.0
10-8 0.0%
9-9 0.0%
Total 5.1% 5.1 2.2 2.0 0.6 0.1 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0 0.0% 0.0 0.0
17-1 0.2% 34.8% 34.8% 11.9 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1
16-2 1.1% 19.5% 19.5% 12.3 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.9
15-3 2.9% 20.0% 20.0% 12.7 0.0 0.2 0.3 0.0 2.3
14-4 6.2% 14.6% 14.6% 13.1 0.0 0.2 0.4 0.2 0.0 5.3
13-5 10.1% 9.7% 9.7% 13.2 0.1 0.6 0.3 0.0 9.1
12-6 13.4% 8.4% 8.4% 13.5 0.0 0.1 0.4 0.5 0.1 12.2
11-7 15.3% 6.1% 6.1% 13.8 0.0 0.3 0.5 0.1 14.3
10-8 15.0% 4.2% 4.2% 14.1 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.2 0.0 14.4
9-9 13.0% 2.6% 2.6% 14.4 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.0 12.6
8-10 9.5% 1.7% 1.7% 14.8 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 9.3
7-11 6.7% 0.1% 0.1% 15.7 0.0 0.0 6.7
6-12 3.8% 3.8
5-13 1.9% 1.9
4-14 0.7% 0.7
3-15 0.2% 0.2
2-16 0.1% 0.1
1-17 0.0% 0.0
0-18
Total 100% 5.9% 5.9% 0.0% 13.4 0.1 0.8 2.3 2.1 0.7 0.0 94.1 0.0%