Miami (OH)
Mid-American
2019-20 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
Switch to All-time Team Page
Overall
Predictive Rating+2.6#126
Expected Predictive Rating+4.9#101
Pace73.9#77
Improvement-1.1#262

Offense
Total Offense+2.3#113
First Shot+6.4#33
After Offensive Rebound-4.1#351
Layup/Dunks+1.9#118
2 Pt Jumpshots+0.2#162
3 Pt Jumpshots+2.0#121
Freethrows+2.2#75
Improvement-0.1#178

Defense
Total Defense+0.4#155
First Shot-1.9#239
After Offensive Rebounds+2.3#54
Layups/Dunks+1.1#142
2 Pt Jumpshots-2.2#305
3 Pt Jumpshots-0.4#188
Freethrows-0.5#214
Improvement-1.0#278
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 11.1% 11.6% 5.5%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 12.7 12.6 13.2
.500 or above 97.3% 98.0% 89.5%
.500 or above in Conference 82.6% 83.6% 72.3%
Conference Champion 7.6% 7.9% 3.3%
Last Place in Conference 0.6% 0.5% 1.4%
First Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Round11.0% 11.5% 5.5%
Second Round1.5% 1.6% 0.3%
Sweet Sixteen0.3% 0.3% 0.1%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Maine (Home) - 91.6% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 00 - 0
Quad 1b0 - 00 - 0
Quad 21 - 21 - 2
Quad 35 - 46 - 6
Quad 414 - 220 - 8


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Mon, Nov 3 220 Old Dominion W 87-72 81%     1 - 0 +8.3 +4.3 +3.0
  Sat, Nov 15 327 @Air Force W 76-61 81%     2 - 0 +8.4 +5.4 +3.8
  Thu, Nov 20 319 Mercyhurst W 76-71 91%     3 - 0 -7.1 +4.3 -11.0
  Sun, Nov 23 363 Arkansas Pine Bluff W 111-84 97%     4 - 0 +8.2 +13.5 -9.1
  Wed, Nov 26 294 UNC Greensboro W 82-71 83%     5 - 0 +3.7 +2.8 +0.6
  Sat, Dec 6 318 Maine W 77-62 92%    
  Wed, Dec 10 205 @UNC Asheville W 79-77 59%    
  Sat, Dec 13 263 @Eastern Kentucky W 82-77 69%    
  Tue, Dec 16 161 @Wright St. L 75-76 50%    
  Sat, Dec 20 305 @Ball St. W 77-70 76%    
  Tue, Dec 30 117 @Bowling Green L 74-78 37%    
  Sat, Jan 3 54 Akron L 83-87 35%    
  Tue, Jan 6 275 Western Michigan W 83-71 86%    
  Fri, Jan 9 170 @Toledo W 81-80 52%    
  Tue, Jan 13 310 Central Michigan W 83-69 90%    
  Sat, Jan 17 210 Buffalo W 83-74 79%    
  Tue, Jan 20 124 @Kent St. L 82-85 39%    
  Tue, Jan 27 183 Massachusetts W 83-76 74%    
  Sat, Jan 31 329 Northern Illinois W 86-71 91%    
  Tue, Feb 3 210 @Buffalo W 80-77 60%    
  Sat, Feb 14 211 Ohio W 85-76 78%    
  Tue, Feb 17 183 @Massachusetts W 80-79 55%    
  Sat, Feb 21 117 Bowling Green W 77-75 59%    
  Tue, Feb 24 200 @Eastern Michigan W 75-73 57%    
  Sat, Feb 28 275 @Western Michigan W 80-74 70%    
  Fri, Mar 6 211 @Ohio W 82-79 60%    
Projected Record 19 - 7 11 - 6




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Mid-American Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 0.1 0.7 1.8 2.6 1.9 0.5 7.6 1st
2nd 0.0 0.4 2.8 6.2 5.7 2.5 0.4 18.0 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.5 4.1 7.3 5.1 1.3 0.1 18.3 3rd
4th 0.3 3.5 6.7 4.0 0.7 0.0 15.2 4th
5th 0.2 2.3 5.7 3.2 0.4 0.0 11.8 5th
6th 0.1 1.2 4.4 3.2 0.5 0.0 9.3 6th
7th 0.0 0.5 3.0 2.8 0.4 0.0 6.7 7th
8th 0.2 1.8 2.4 0.5 0.0 5.0 8th
9th 0.1 0.9 1.8 0.7 0.0 3.5 9th
10th 0.0 0.4 1.2 0.6 0.1 2.4 10th
11th 0.0 0.2 0.6 0.5 0.0 1.3 11th
12th 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.0 0.6 12th
13th 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.2 13th
Total 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.5 1.3 2.8 4.9 7.6 10.4 13.3 14.8 14.6 12.6 8.9 5.1 2.2 0.5 Total



Mid-American Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1 100.0% 0.5    0.5 0.0
16-2 84.2% 1.9    1.3 0.6
15-3 49.9% 2.6    1.2 1.2 0.2
14-4 20.5% 1.8    0.5 0.9 0.3 0.0
13-5 5.2% 0.7    0.1 0.3 0.2 0.1 0.0
12-6 0.7% 0.1    0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
11-7 0.0%
10-8 0.0%
9-9 0.0%
Total 7.6% 7.6 3.6 3.0 0.8 0.1 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1 0.5% 40.3% 39.0% 1.3% 10.2 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.3 2.1%
16-2 2.2% 33.1% 32.7% 0.4% 11.4 0.0 0.0 0.4 0.3 0.0 1.5 0.7%
15-3 5.1% 27.2% 27.1% 0.1% 11.9 0.3 0.8 0.2 0.0 3.7 0.1%
14-4 8.9% 22.0% 22.0% 0.0% 12.3 0.2 1.1 0.6 0.1 7.0 0.0%
13-5 12.6% 17.0% 17.0% 12.6 0.0 0.9 0.9 0.2 0.0 10.5
12-6 14.6% 11.7% 11.7% 12.9 0.0 0.5 0.9 0.3 0.0 12.9
11-7 14.8% 9.2% 9.2% 13.3 0.2 0.6 0.5 0.0 13.5
10-8 13.3% 6.8% 6.8% 13.7 0.0 0.3 0.4 0.1 0.0 12.4
9-9 10.4% 4.4% 4.4% 13.9 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.1 10.0
8-10 7.6% 1.9% 1.9% 14.5 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 7.4
7-11 4.9% 0.4% 0.4% 15.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 4.8
6-12 2.8% 2.8
5-13 1.3% 1.3
4-14 0.5% 0.5
3-15 0.2% 0.2
2-16 0.1% 0.1
1-17 0.0% 0.0
0-18
Total 100% 11.1% 11.0% 0.0% 12.7 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 3.9 3.7 1.9 0.4 0.0 88.9 0.0%


Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid		Avg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Win Out 0.1% 100.0% 8.6 20.0 8.0 12.0 16.0 12.0 28.0 4.0
Win Out, Lose in Conf. Tourney Championship 0.1% 4.5% 11.0 4.5