Northeastern
Colonial Athletic
2024-25 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
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Overall
Predictive Rating-3.4#212
Expected Predictive Rating-3.4#219
Pace71.7#121
Improvement-0.6#224

Offense
Total Offense-3.8#268
First Shot-0.8#195
After Offensive Rebound-3.0#342
Layup/Dunks+4.0#53
2 Pt Jumpshots-1.7#276
3 Pt Jumpshots-3.5#293
Freethrows+0.5#144
Improvement+0.1#170

Defense
Total Defense+0.5#146
First Shot+0.8#139
After Offensive Rebounds-0.3#218
Layups/Dunks-5.1#334
2 Pt Jumpshots+2.1#36
3 Pt Jumpshots+5.2#27
Freethrows-1.4#281
Improvement-0.7#238
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 2.8% 4.6% 2.6%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 14.5 14.0 14.6
.500 or above 26.0% 49.7% 23.7%
.500 or above in Conference 37.9% 51.0% 36.6%
Conference Champion 1.8% 3.5% 1.6%
Last Place in Conference 10.3% 5.4% 10.7%
First Four0.4% 0.1% 0.4%
First Round2.6% 4.5% 2.4%
Second Round0.1% 0.3% 0.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.1% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Syracuse (Away) - 8.8% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 00 - 0
Quad 1b0 - 10 - 2
Quad 21 - 31 - 4
Quad 36 - 66 - 11
Quad 47 - 713 - 18


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Mon, Nov 3 288 Boston University L 75-76 OT 73%     0 - 1 -10.9 -10.9 +0.1
  Fri, Nov 7 178 @Colgate W 68-65 31%     1 - 1 +4.7 -2.0 +6.8
  Tue, Nov 11 200 @Harvard W 77-60 36%     2 - 1 +17.4 +8.7 +9.5
  Sat, Nov 15 175 Vermont L 74-85 53%     2 - 2 -15.1 -3.4 -11.7
  Thu, Nov 20 257 @Princeton L 57-70 46%     2 - 3 -15.4 -12.6 -3.4
  Sat, Nov 22 140 Duquesne W 93-86 33%     3 - 3 +8.3 +4.1 +2.9
  Fri, Nov 28 53 @Wake Forest L 73-86 7%     3 - 4 +0.2 +3.7 -2.9
  Wed, Dec 3 311 @Holy Cross L 59-76 59%     3 - 5 -22.8 -14.4 -9.3
  Sun, Dec 7 240 Central Connecticut St. W 73-56 66%     4 - 5 +9.3 -0.2 +9.9
  Sat, Dec 20 72 @Syracuse L 65-79 9%    
  Mon, Dec 22 116 @Rhode Island L 66-76 18%    
  Mon, Dec 29 180 @Elon L 74-79 32%    
  Wed, Dec 31 304 @N.C. A&T W 74-73 55%    
  Sat, Jan 3 229 @Campbell L 75-77 42%    
  Thu, Jan 8 108 UNC Wilmington L 69-73 36%    
  Sat, Jan 10 137 Towson L 67-69 44%    
  Thu, Jan 15 180 Elon W 77-76 54%    
  Sat, Jan 17 287 @Drexel W 69-68 52%    
  Sat, Jan 17 237 @Monmouth L 71-73 43%    
  Thu, Jan 22 239 Stony Brook W 71-67 64%    
  Sat, Jan 31 185 College of Charleston W 73-72 54%    
  Thu, Feb 5 115 @Hofstra L 65-75 19%    
  Sat, Feb 7 239 @Stony Brook L 68-70 43%    
  Thu, Feb 12 120 William & Mary L 78-81 39%    
  Thu, Feb 19 287 Drexel W 72-66 72%    
  Sat, Feb 21 115 Hofstra L 68-72 37%    
  Thu, Feb 26 120 @William & Mary L 75-84 21%    
  Sat, Feb 28 227 @Hampton L 68-70 42%    
  Tue, Mar 3 237 Monmouth W 74-70 63%    
Projected Record 12 - 17 8 - 9




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Colonial Athletic Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.2 0.6 0.5 0.3 0.1 0.0 1.8 1st
2nd 0.0 0.4 1.2 1.1 0.4 0.1 0.0 3.2 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.4 1.9 1.8 0.6 0.1 4.8 3rd
4th 0.0 0.3 2.5 3.0 0.9 0.1 6.8 4th
5th 0.0 0.2 2.4 4.4 1.4 0.1 0.0 8.5 5th
6th 0.1 2.1 4.9 2.6 0.2 9.8 6th
7th 0.0 1.0 5.3 4.0 0.4 10.8 7th
8th 0.0 0.5 4.3 4.9 0.9 0.0 10.6 8th
9th 0.0 0.3 3.2 5.6 1.6 0.1 10.7 9th
10th 0.0 0.2 2.0 5.2 2.7 0.2 10.2 10th
11th 0.0 0.2 1.3 4.2 3.0 0.4 0.0 9.1 11th
12th 0.0 0.3 1.4 3.2 2.5 0.7 0.0 8.1 12th
13th 0.1 0.4 1.2 2.0 1.5 0.3 0.0 5.6 13th
Total 0.1 0.5 1.5 3.6 6.3 9.3 12.6 14.1 14.2 12.6 10.2 7.0 4.2 2.4 1.0 0.4 0.1 0.0 Total



Colonial Athletic Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1 100.0% 0.0    0.0
16-2 89.5% 0.1    0.0 0.0
15-3 82.9% 0.3    0.2 0.1
14-4 54.4% 0.5    0.2 0.2 0.1 0.0
13-5 26.5% 0.6    0.2 0.3 0.2 0.0 0.0
12-6 4.2% 0.2    0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0
11-7 0.4% 0.0    0.0 0.0 0.0
10-8 0.0%
9-9 0.0%
Total 1.8% 1.8 0.7 0.7 0.3 0.1 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1 0.0% 0.0
16-2 0.1% 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
15-3 0.4% 28.8% 28.8% 13.2 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.3
14-4 1.0% 18.1% 18.1% 13.3 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.8
13-5 2.4% 12.6% 12.6% 13.8 0.1 0.2 0.0 0.0 2.1
12-6 4.2% 9.9% 9.9% 14.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.1 3.8
11-7 7.0% 7.3% 7.3% 14.4 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.0 6.5
10-8 10.2% 4.5% 4.5% 14.7 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.0 9.8
9-9 12.6% 2.4% 2.4% 15.3 0.0 0.2 0.1 12.3
8-10 14.2% 1.5% 1.5% 15.8 0.0 0.2 14.0
7-11 14.1% 1.0% 1.0% 16.0 0.0 0.1 13.9
6-12 12.6% 0.4% 0.4% 16.0 0.1 12.6
5-13 9.3% 0.5% 0.5% 16.0 0.0 9.3
4-14 6.3% 0.2% 0.2% 16.0 0.0 6.3
3-15 3.6% 3.6
2-16 1.5% 0.4% 0.4% 16.0 0.0 1.5
1-17 0.5% 0.5
0-18 0.1% 0.1
Total 100% 2.8% 2.8% 0.0% 14.5 0.0 0.0 0.4 0.9 0.8 0.6 97.2 0.0%