Richmond
Atlantic 10
2024-25 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
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Overall
Predictive Rating+4.2#104
Expected Predictive Rating+5.9#94
Pace71.5#128
Improvement-1.2#266

Offense
Total Offense+2.0#119
First Shot+4.6#64
After Offensive Rebound-2.7#337
Layup/Dunks-2.4#268
2 Pt Jumpshots+0.9#121
3 Pt Jumpshots+3.2#84
Freethrows+3.0#28
Improvement-2.6#349

Defense
Total Defense+2.2#102
First Shot+1.7#114
After Offensive Rebounds+0.5#152
Layups/Dunks+3.7#61
2 Pt Jumpshots-0.8#259
3 Pt Jumpshots-1.1#230
Freethrows-0.1#188
Improvement+1.5#79
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 3.3% 3.3% 1.8%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.2% 0.2% 0.0%
Average Seed 11.4 11.4 11.0
.500 or above 93.7% 94.1% 78.5%
.500 or above in Conference 59.2% 59.5% 46.0%
Conference Champion 2.2% 2.3% 0.3%
Last Place in Conference 1.3% 1.3% 2.4%
First Four0.2% 0.2% 0.0%
First Round3.2% 3.2% 1.8%
Second Round0.7% 0.7% 0.3%
Sweet Sixteen0.1% 0.1% 0.3%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.3%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: The Citadel (Home) - 97.4% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 10 - 1
Quad 1b1 - 21 - 2
Quad 23 - 44 - 7
Quad 37 - 410 - 11
Quad 49 - 120 - 12


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Sat, Nov 8 255 East Carolina W 87-72 88%     1 - 0 +6.7 +7.9 -2.0
  Tue, Nov 11 120 William & Mary W 90-86 66%     2 - 0 +3.9 +8.8 -5.3
  Wed, Nov 19 331 VMI W 87-54 94%     3 - 0 +19.6 +11.5 +10.1
  Sat, Nov 22 362 Gardner-Webb W 102-67 97%     4 - 0 +16.4 +13.6 +0.5
  Thu, Nov 27 152 Furman L 72-73 64%     4 - 1 -0.5 -0.5 +0.0
  Fri, Nov 28 198 Charlotte W 71-66 73%     5 - 1 +2.6 +0.7 +2.2
  Wed, Dec 3 87 @Belmont W 84-76 31%     6 - 1 +17.2 +10.3 +6.5
  Sat, Dec 6 205 Old Dominion W 86-77 83%     7 - 1 +3.0 +3.8 -1.4
  Sat, Dec 13 129 Southern Illinois W 93-84 OT 70%     8 - 1 +7.9 +1.5 +4.6
  Wed, Dec 17 180 @Elon L 70-73 60%     8 - 2 -1.4 -1.6 +0.1
  Sat, Dec 20 354 The Citadel W 84-63 97%    
  Sun, Dec 28 256 Charleston Southern W 82-69 88%    
  Wed, Dec 31 79 George Washington L 80-81 50%    
  Sun, Jan 4 196 @Fordham W 72-68 63%    
  Wed, Jan 7 111 @St. Bonaventure L 72-74 41%    
  Sun, Jan 11 174 Saint Joseph's W 77-69 77%    
  Wed, Jan 14 238 La Salle W 77-65 85%    
  Sat, Jan 17 34 @Saint Louis L 74-86 13%    
  Wed, Jan 21 116 Rhode Island W 75-71 64%    
  Sat, Jan 24 79 @George Washington L 77-83 28%    
  Tue, Jan 27 50 @Virginia Commonwealth L 70-80 19%    
  Sat, Jan 31 126 Davidson W 75-70 67%    
  Sat, Feb 7 116 @Rhode Island L 72-74 42%    
  Tue, Feb 10 75 George Mason L 70-71 48%    
  Sat, Feb 14 50 Virginia Commonwealth L 73-77 36%    
  Wed, Feb 18 126 @Davidson L 72-73 45%    
  Sat, Feb 21 111 St. Bonaventure W 75-71 63%    
  Sat, Feb 28 289 @Loyola Chicago W 78-70 77%    
  Tue, Mar 3 61 Dayton L 74-76 43%    
  Sat, Mar 7 140 @Duquesne L 79-80 50%    
Projected Record 19 - 11 9 - 9




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Atlantic 10 Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.4 0.8 0.7 0.3 0.1 0.0 2.2 1st
2nd 0.1 0.9 2.1 1.6 0.4 0.0 5.1 2nd
3rd 0.1 0.9 3.4 2.2 0.4 0.0 7.1 3rd
4th 0.0 0.9 4.1 3.4 0.6 0.0 9.0 4th
5th 0.5 3.8 4.7 1.1 0.0 10.1 5th
6th 0.3 3.4 5.3 1.9 0.1 10.9 6th
7th 0.0 0.1 2.1 6.0 3.1 0.2 11.5 7th
8th 0.1 1.4 5.5 4.2 0.5 0.0 11.8 8th
9th 0.0 1.0 4.4 4.5 0.9 0.0 10.9 9th
10th 0.0 0.6 3.1 3.8 1.2 0.0 8.8 10th
11th 0.0 0.4 1.9 2.9 1.0 0.1 6.4 11th
12th 0.0 0.2 1.0 1.8 0.9 0.1 4.0 12th
13th 0.0 0.1 0.5 0.7 0.3 0.0 1.7 13th
14th 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.5 14th
Total 0.0 0.1 0.3 1.0 2.3 4.7 8.0 10.9 13.7 15.1 13.7 11.9 8.8 5.4 2.8 1.1 0.4 0.1 0.0 Total



Atlantic 10 Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0 100.0% 0.0    0.0
17-1 100.0% 0.1    0.1 0.0
16-2 88.6% 0.3    0.2 0.1 0.0
15-3 63.8% 0.7    0.4 0.2 0.1
14-4 26.9% 0.8    0.2 0.3 0.2 0.0
13-5 6.9% 0.4    0.0 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.0
12-6 0.2% 0.0    0.0 0.0
11-7 0.0%
10-8 0.0%
9-9 0.0%
Total 2.2% 2.2 0.9 0.7 0.5 0.1 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0 0.0% 0.0
17-1 0.1% 52.0% 24.0% 28.0% 8.9 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 36.8%
16-2 0.4% 21.9% 12.4% 9.5% 10.4 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.3 10.9%
15-3 1.1% 19.2% 16.8% 2.4% 10.7 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.9 2.9%
14-4 2.8% 16.3% 14.0% 2.4% 11.0 0.0 0.4 0.0 2.4 2.8%
13-5 5.4% 10.9% 10.4% 0.5% 11.2 0.0 0.4 0.2 4.8 0.6%
12-6 8.8% 6.1% 6.1% 0.0% 11.4 0.0 0.3 0.2 0.0 8.3 0.0%
11-7 11.9% 4.4% 4.3% 0.1% 11.7 0.0 0.2 0.3 0.0 11.3 0.1%
10-8 13.7% 2.8% 2.8% 11.8 0.1 0.3 0.0 13.3
9-9 15.1% 1.5% 1.5% 11.9 0.0 0.2 0.0 14.8
8-10 13.7% 0.9% 0.9% 12.5 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 13.6
7-11 10.9% 0.7% 0.7% 12.8 0.0 0.0 0.0 10.8
6-12 8.0% 0.4% 0.4% 13.3 0.0 0.0 0.0 8.0
5-13 4.7% 4.7
4-14 2.3% 2.3
3-15 1.0% 1.0
2-16 0.3% 0.3
1-17 0.1% 0.1
0-18 0.0% 0.0
Total 100% 3.3% 3.1% 0.2% 11.4 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.2 1.6 1.2 0.2 0.0 96.7 0.2%