South Carolina
Southeastern
2019-20 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
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Predictive Rating +7.5 #77
Expected Predictive Rating +5.7 #89
Pace 65.1 #284
Improvement +0.7 #147

Overall 1st FGA Second Chance TOs Free
throws		 Shot Selection
Offense #90 B- C B- B C
Defense #75 B B- D+ B B-

Offense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 35% #278 1.27 #73 -0.1 #177
2 Pt. Jumpers 17% #244 0.96 #9 +0.5 #154
Three Pointers 48% #51 1.00 #209 +3.0 #85
1st FG Attempt 1.09 #78 +3.5 #78
Freethrows 0.32 #139 80% #6 0.25 #69
Second Chance 29.1% #226 1.11 #101 0.32 #164
Turnovers 14.9% #83
Total Offense +3.8 #90

Defense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 40% #132 1.12 #134 -0.4 #193
2 Pt. Jumpers 26% #44 0.76 #174 -2.1 #328
Three Pointers 34% #350 0.85 #20 +6.5 #7
1st FG Attempt 0.94 #59 +4.0 #59
Freethrows 0.25 #44 70% #81 0.18 #35
Second Chance 28.4% #99 0.95 #58 0.27 #65
Turnovers 14.7% #286
Total Defense +3.7 #75

Miscellaneous
Offense Defense
Shot Type Mix Effect 0.4% #166 -1.1% #82
Shot Type Accuracy Effect 6.4% #79 -6.9% #65
Possession Length 18.4 #277 17.4 #188
Fast Break Points Per Possession 0.14 #257 0.21 #301
Improvement -0.1 #189 +0.9 #135

See methodology page for descriptions of rating types.
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 1.4% 4.2% 0.8%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 1.4% 4.1% 0.7%
Average Seed 10.2 10.1 10.4
.500 or above 22.4% 44.6% 17.1%
.500 or above in Conference 2.6% 8.1% 1.3%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 29.4% 12.5% 33.4%
First Four0.8% 2.1% 0.4%
First Round1.0% 3.0% 0.5%
Second Round0.3% 0.9% 0.1%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.1% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Florida (Home) - 19.4% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a1 - 81 - 8
Quad 1b2 - 42 - 12
Quad 22 - 55 - 17
Quad 31 - 06 - 17
Quad 49 - 015 - 17


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Avg Lead Record Total Rating Offense Defense
Overall Conf Total First
FGA		 2nd Chance TOs Total First
FGA		 2nd Chance TOs
 Tue, Nov 4 292 N.C. A&T W 91 - 72 94% +14  1 - 0 +9 +6 B A- F +2 C A+ D
 Sun, Nov 9 264 Southern Miss W 83 - 79 OT 92% +2  2 - 0 -4 +2 B F D- -7 C D+ F
 Wed, Nov 12 269 Presbyterian W 81 - 61 93% +18  3 - 0 +11 +11 C D+ A+ +2 B+ C+ F+
 Tue, Nov 18 253 Radford W 87 - 58 92% +15  4 - 0 +21 +7 B A+ C +14 A+ B B
 Fri, Nov 21 57 Butler L 72 - 79 42% -7  4 - 1 +3 +4 D+ D+ A+ -1 A F C-
 Sun, Nov 23 61 Northwestern L 77 - 79 44% -3  4 - 2 +7 +15 B- A+ A -8 F A+ B+
 Fri, Nov 28 232 Charleston Southern W 74 - 62 91% +4  5 - 2 +5 -2 D+ C+ A +7 A A- D-
 Tue, Dec 2 59 Virginia Tech L 83 - 86 OT 54% -4  5 - 3 +4 +5 B+ F A+ -1 C D+ D
 Sat, Dec 6 329 Stetson W 82 - 51 96% +15  6 - 3 +17 +10 A+ A+ F +10 A+ B F
 Sat, Dec 13 351 The Citadel W 71 - 55 97% +5  7 - 3 +0 -7 F C C- +8 A- A F
 Tue, Dec 16 32 @Clemson L 61 - 68 18% -6  7 - 4 +10 +2 D C+ D- +8 A C+ D
 Mon, Dec 22 359 South Carolina St. W 95 - 70 98% +12  8 - 4 +7 +14 B+ A+ F -7 D B- F
 Tue, Dec 30 308 Albany W 96 - 67 95% +16  9 - 4 +17 +26 A+ B C -6 A+ F B
 Sat, Jan 3 15 Vanderbilt L 71 - 83 23% -10  9 - 5 0 - 1 +3 +10 C+ C A+ -7 D B D+
 Tue, Jan 6 41 @LSU W 78 - 68 23% +16  10 - 5 1 - 1 +25 +19 A+ D- A+ +7 A- A+ A+
 Sat, Jan 10 28 Georgia L 70 - 75 33% +1  10 - 6 1 - 2 +7 +4 B- F A+ +3 C+ A+ D
 Wed, Jan 14 19 @Arkansas L 74 - 108 12% -18  10 - 7 1 - 3 -14 +5 B D+ F -18 D- C F
 Sat, Jan 17 26 @Auburn L 67 - 71 15% -5  10 - 8 1 - 4 +15 +1 C C+ D- +13 A+ A+ B-
 Tue, Jan 20 55 Oklahoma W 85 - 76 52% +8  11 - 8 2 - 4 +16 +11 A- C C- +5 A- C B
 Sat, Jan 24 30 @Texas A&M L 69 - 92 17% -15  11 - 9 2 - 5 -5 +4 D+ F A+ -10 D- D+ D+
 Wed, Jan 28 11 Florida L 70 - 79 19%
 Sat, Jan 31 41 LSU L 72 - 74 44%
 Tue, Feb 3 31 @Texas L 70 - 80 18%
 Sat, Feb 7 51 Missouri L 73 - 74 49%
 Sat, Feb 14 18 @Alabama L 76 - 89 12%
 Tue, Feb 17 11 @Florida L 67 - 82 8%
 Sat, Feb 21 86 Mississippi St. W 74 - 70 64%
 Tue, Feb 24 24 Kentucky L 71 - 76 31%
 Sat, Feb 28 28 @Georgia L 75 - 85 17%
 Tue, Mar 3 22 Tennessee L 66 - 73 27%
 Sat, Mar 7 63 @Mississippi L 68 - 72 35%
Totals 14 - 17 5 - 13 +7 +4 B- C B- +4 B B- D+




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Southeastern Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 0.0 0.0 0.0 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.0 3rd
4th 0.0 0.0 0.1 4th
5th 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.1 5th
6th 0.1 0.2 0.0 0.3 6th
7th 0.0 0.4 0.2 0.6 7th
8th 0.3 0.7 0.1 1.0 8th
9th 0.1 1.2 0.6 0.0 1.9 9th
10th 0.0 1.3 2.3 0.2 3.9 10th
11th 0.0 1.0 4.6 1.6 0.0 7.3 11th
12th 0.0 0.9 6.0 4.8 0.3 12.0 12th
13th 0.0 0.6 6.7 9.1 1.6 0.0 18.1 13th
14th 0.5 5.5 11.2 3.6 0.1 0.0 20.8 14th
15th 0.2 3.9 9.9 5.1 0.5 0.0 19.5 15th
16th 2.3 6.6 4.8 0.7 0.0 14.4 16th
Total 2.5 11.0 20.8 24.5 20.3 12.6 5.7 1.9 0.6 0.1 0.0 Total



Southeastern Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6 0.0%
11-7 0.0%
10-8 0.0%
9-9 0.0%
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6 0.0% 0.0 0.0
11-7 0.1% 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
10-8 0.6% 67.5% 67.5% 9.6 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.2 67.5%
9-9 1.9% 29.3% 0.3% 29.0% 10.4 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.3 1.4 29.1%
8-10 5.7% 5.4% 0.2% 5.2% 10.8 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.0 5.4 5.2%
7-11 12.6% 0.4% 0.4% 11.1 0.0 0.0 12.6 0.4%
6-12 20.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.1% 11.2 0.0 0.0 20.3 0.1%
5-13 24.5% 24.5
4-14 20.8% 20.8
3-15 11.0% 11.0
2-16 2.5% 2.5
1-17
0-18
Total 100% 1.4% 0.0% 1.4% 10.2 98.6 1.4%


Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid		Avg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Lose Out 2.5%