Wake Forest
Atlantic Coast
2019-20 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
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Overall
Predictive Rating+10.2#53
Expected Predictive Rating+10.4#60
Pace73.2#77
Improvement-3.4#350

Offense
Total Offense+5.0#68
First Shot+2.9#93
After Offensive Rebound+2.0#62
Layup/Dunks+1.9#109
2 Pt Jumpshots-1.9#285
3 Pt Jumpshots+1.4#136
Freethrows+1.5#98
Improvement-1.7#304

Defense
Total Defense+5.3#43
First Shot+6.3#29
After Offensive Rebounds-1.0#262
Layups/Dunks+2.6#93
2 Pt Jumpshots+3.2#2
3 Pt Jumpshots-0.3#205
Freethrows+0.8#122
Improvement-1.7#304
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.1% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.3% 0.8% 0.1%
Top 6 Seed 2.6% 4.9% 1.5%
NCAA Tourney Bid 34.7% 48.4% 28.3%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 33.9% 47.4% 27.5%
Average Seed 9.2 8.9 9.4
.500 or above 87.0% 94.8% 83.2%
.500 or above in Conference 59.2% 66.3% 55.8%
Conference Champion 1.0% 1.4% 0.8%
Last Place in Conference 1.5% 1.0% 1.7%
First Four9.5% 10.0% 9.2%
First Round29.9% 43.3% 23.5%
Second Round13.5% 20.3% 10.3%
Sweet Sixteen3.0% 4.9% 2.1%
Elite Eight1.0% 1.6% 0.7%
Final Four0.2% 0.3% 0.2%
Championship Game0.1% 0.1% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Vanderbilt (Home) - 32.0% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a1 - 61 - 6
Quad 1b2 - 33 - 9
Quad 26 - 49 - 13
Quad 34 - 112 - 14
Quad 47 - 019 - 14


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Mon, Nov 3 248 American W 88-74 95%     1 - 0 +6.0 +5.7 -0.7
  Fri, Nov 7 310 Morehead St. W 81-65 97%     2 - 0 +4.3 -6.7 +9.0
  Tue, Nov 11 1 Michigan L 84-85 OT 7%     2 - 1 +25.8 +9.4 +16.6
  Sun, Nov 16 303 Umass Lowell W 109-75 96%     3 - 1 +23.5 +22.2 -1.4
  Thu, Nov 20 27 Texas Tech L 83-84 33%     3 - 2 +13.7 +9.2 +4.6
  Fri, Nov 21 76 Memphis W 69-68 60%     4 - 2 +8.6 +4.7 +3.9
  Tue, Nov 25 229 Campbell W 99-51 94%     5 - 2 +40.9 +20.8 +18.9
  Fri, Nov 28 212 Northeastern W 86-73 93%     6 - 2 +6.6 +8.3 -2.2
  Tue, Dec 2 47 Oklahoma L 68-86 58%     6 - 3 -9.9 -5.9 -3.5
  Sat, Dec 6 68 West Virginia W 75-66 57%     7 - 3 +17.3 +18.8 -0.1
  Sun, Dec 14 210 Queens W 111-73 93%     8 - 3 +31.7 +27.0 +3.8
  Wed, Dec 17 293 Longwood W 71-68 96%     9 - 3 -7.2 -10.2 +2.9
  Sun, Dec 21 10 Vanderbilt L 77-82 32%    
  Wed, Dec 31 29 @North Carolina St. L 76-83 25%    
  Sat, Jan 3 64 Virginia Tech W 80-75 66%    
  Wed, Jan 7 33 Miami (FL) W 78-77 49%    
  Sat, Jan 10 23 @North Carolina L 72-80 22%    
  Sat, Jan 17 122 @Florida St. W 84-80 66%    
  Tue, Jan 20 42 SMU W 80-79 55%    
  Sat, Jan 24 2 @Duke L 68-83 8%    
  Tue, Jan 27 102 @Pittsburgh W 75-72 59%    
  Sat, Jan 31 29 North Carolina St. L 79-80 46%    
  Sat, Feb 7 14 Louisville L 79-83 35%    
  Wed, Feb 11 128 @Georgia Tech W 78-73 68%    
  Sat, Feb 14 88 Stanford W 81-74 74%    
  Wed, Feb 18 37 Clemson W 72-71 53%    
  Sat, Feb 21 64 @Virginia Tech L 77-78 45%    
  Tue, Feb 24 150 @Boston College W 74-68 72%    
  Sat, Feb 28 72 Syracuse W 77-72 69%    
  Tue, Mar 3 25 @Virginia L 73-81 24%    
  Sat, Mar 7 80 California W 79-73 71%    
Projected Record 18 - 13 9 - 9




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Atlantic Coast Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.4 0.1 0.1 1.0 1st
2nd 0.0 0.3 1.1 1.2 0.5 0.1 3.1 2nd
3rd 0.2 1.4 2.2 0.8 0.1 4.6 3rd
4th 0.1 1.4 3.4 1.4 0.1 6.3 4th
5th 0.0 0.7 3.3 2.6 0.2 0.0 6.8 5th
6th 0.2 2.7 4.4 1.0 0.0 8.4 6th
7th 0.0 1.3 5.3 2.2 0.1 9.0 7th
8th 0.0 0.5 4.3 4.4 0.4 0.0 9.7 8th
9th 0.1 2.5 5.7 1.4 0.1 9.6 9th
10th 0.0 0.8 4.7 3.0 0.2 8.6 10th
11th 0.2 3.0 4.5 0.7 0.0 8.5 11th
12th 0.0 1.3 4.2 1.6 0.0 7.2 12th
13th 0.0 0.4 2.7 2.4 0.2 5.7 13th
14th 0.0 0.1 1.4 2.3 0.5 0.0 4.4 14th
15th 0.0 0.7 1.6 0.8 0.1 3.2 15th
16th 0.0 0.3 1.0 0.8 0.1 0.0 2.1 16th
17th 0.0 0.1 0.4 0.5 0.2 1.2 17th
18th 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.1 0.5 18th
Total 0.0 0.1 0.3 1.0 2.4 4.4 7.5 11.1 14.1 15.2 14.8 11.9 8.7 5.0 2.4 0.9 0.2 0.1 Total



Atlantic Coast Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1 100.0% 0.1    0.0 0.0
16-2 58.9% 0.1    0.1 0.0
15-3 43.0% 0.4    0.2 0.2 0.1 0.0
14-4 13.6% 0.3    0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1
13-5 1.4% 0.1    0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
12-6 0.1% 0.0    0.0
11-7 0.0%
10-8 0.0%
9-9 0.0%
Total 1.0% 1.0 0.4 0.3 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1 0.1% 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
16-2 0.2% 100.0% 6.8% 93.2% 5.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 100.0%
15-3 0.9% 98.9% 6.3% 92.6% 6.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 98.9%
14-4 2.4% 97.8% 7.4% 90.3% 7.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.6 0.6 0.5 0.3 0.1 0.0 0.1 97.6%
13-5 5.0% 91.7% 4.6% 87.1% 8.1 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.4 1.0 1.2 1.1 0.6 0.1 0.4 91.3%
12-6 8.7% 82.6% 3.2% 79.5% 8.9 0.0 0.2 0.8 1.6 2.1 1.8 0.7 1.5 82.1%
11-7 11.9% 67.4% 1.7% 65.7% 9.6 0.1 0.3 1.0 1.9 2.9 1.9 0.0 3.9 66.8%
10-8 14.8% 44.8% 1.4% 43.4% 10.2 0.0 0.1 0.4 1.0 2.3 2.9 0.1 8.2 44.0%
9-9 15.2% 23.5% 0.5% 22.9% 10.5 0.0 0.1 0.3 1.1 2.0 0.1 11.6 23.0%
8-10 14.1% 7.2% 0.2% 7.1% 10.9 0.0 0.2 0.8 0.1 13.1 7.1%
7-11 11.1% 1.3% 0.1% 1.2% 11.1 0.1 0.0 11.0 1.2%
6-12 7.5% 0.4% 0.2% 0.2% 11.3 0.0 0.0 7.5 0.2%
5-13 4.4% 4.4
4-14 2.4% 2.4
3-15 1.0% 1.0
2-16 0.3% 0.3
1-17 0.1% 0.1
0-18 0.0% 0.0
Total 100% 34.7% 1.3% 33.4% 9.2 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.8 1.5 2.9 4.8 6.6 9.0 8.5 0.3 65.3 33.9%