Appalachian St.
Sun Belt
2019-20 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
Switch to All-time Team Page
Predictive Rating -3.4 #223
Expected Predictive Rating -2.3 #206
Pace 60.1 #363
Improvement +2.2 #67

Overall 1st FGA Second Chance TOs Free
throws		 Shot Selection
Offense #266 D+ C C+ F C
Defense #166 C C D- C+ C-

Offense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 36% #242 1.20 #132 -0.7 #208
2 Pt. Jumpers 19% #197 0.64 #315 -1.5 #253
Three Pointers 44% #119 0.89 #318 -1.0 #229
1st FG Attempt 0.95 #268 -3.2 #265
Freethrows 16.4 #245 59% #365 9.6 #336
Second Chance 28.4% #246 1.14 #72 0.32 #157
Turnovers 15.7% #127
Total Offense -3.4 #266

Defense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 38% #213 1.10 #107 +1.5 #125
2 Pt. Jumpers 18% #260 0.78 #228 +1.0 #123
Three Pointers 44% #88 1.00 #167 -1.4 #240
1st FG Attempt 1.00 #156 +1.1 #143
Freethrows 16.4 #133 70% #88 11.5 #248
Second Chance 32.5% #257 0.97 #90 0.32 #171
Turnovers 14.2% #317
Total Defense +0.0 #166

Miscellaneous
Offense Defense
Shot Type Mix Effect 0.0% #195 0.6% #222
Shot Type Accuracy Effect -6.4% #276 -2.3% #141
Possession Length 19.7 #355 17.5 #222
Fast Break Points Per Possession 0.12 #313 0.16 #131
Improvement +0.2 #171 +2.0 #66

See methodology page for descriptions of rating types.
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 3.6% 4.7% 2.0%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 14.6 14.5 14.8
.500 or above 64.3% 75.4% 48.3%
.500 or above in Conference 69.0% 80.3% 52.6%
Conference Champion 1.5% 2.3% 0.3%
Last Place in Conference 0.2% 0.1% 0.3%
First Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Round3.5% 4.6% 1.9%
Second Round0.1% 0.1% 0.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: James Madison (Home) - 59.1% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 10 - 1
Quad 1b0 - 00 - 1
Quad 21 - 11 - 2
Quad 34 - 64 - 8
Quad 411 - 716 - 15


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Avg Lead Record Total Rating Offense Defense
Overall Conf Total First
FGA		 2nd Chance TOs Total First
FGA		 2nd Chance TOs
 Mon, Nov 3 325 @Central Michigan L 66 - 82 64% -12  0 - 1 -23 -5 F D+ B- -19 F C- C
 Sun, Nov 9 338 NC Central W 76 - 54 84% +16  1 - 1 +8 +3 F A+ A+ +7 A A+ D+
 Tue, Nov 11 36 @Ohio St. L 53 - 75 4% -6  1 - 2 -5 -6 F A- C+ -2 A+ F F
 Sun, Nov 16 204 @Dartmouth W 85 - 77 35% +5  2 - 2 +8 +10 A+ C- F -2 D C+ B+
 Fri, Nov 21 170 Charlotte W 65 - 63 52% -2  3 - 2 -2 +3 C+ C+ C- -5 A+ F C+
 Mon, Nov 24 169 Elon L 53 - 88 52% -17  3 - 3 -39 -18 F F C+ -26 A- F F
 Wed, Nov 26 153 @Mercer L 67 - 75 26% +3  3 - 4 -5 +3 F B+ A+ -8 A F C-
 Sun, Nov 30 218 @UNC Asheville L 55 - 67 37% -8  3 - 5 -12 -13 F D- C- +0 A- F B+
 Thu, Dec 11 262 @East Carolina W 67 - 54 47% +9  4 - 5 +10 +0 C B- F +11 A+ B F
 Sun, Dec 14 87 High Point W 86 - 78 OT 17% +2  5 - 5 +15 +7 A F A+ +7 A+ A+ F
 Thu, Dec 18 268 Coastal Carolina W 67 - 49 71% +4  6 - 5 1 - 0 +9 -3 A F F +14 A+ B- C
 Sat, Dec 20 290 Georgia St. L 63 - 70 75% -4  6 - 6 1 - 1 -17 -10 D F A -7 F A+ B
 Wed, Dec 31 244 @Old Dominion W 81 - 73 44% +13  7 - 6 2 - 1 +6 +12 B- A+ D -6 F A F
 Sat, Jan 3 171 @Marshall L 81 - 88 30% -8  7 - 7 2 - 2 -5 +9 B A C -13 F A+ F
 Thu, Jan 8 290 @Georgia St. W 52 - 50 54% -2  8 - 7 3 - 2 -2 -14 F D+ D +12 A+ C F
 Sat, Jan 10 268 @Coastal Carolina L 62 - 67 49% +5  8 - 8 3 - 3 -8 +3 F B+ A+ -12 F C D+
 Thu, Jan 15 213 James Madison W 67 - 65 59%
 Sat, Jan 17 244 Old Dominion W 70 - 66 66%
 Thu, Jan 22 315 Louisiana W 66 - 57 79%
 Sat, Jan 24 354 Louisiana Monroe W 77 - 64 89%
 Thu, Jan 29 210 @Southern Miss L 64 - 68 37%
 Sat, Jan 31 125 @Troy L 63 - 71 22%
 Wed, Feb 4 190 South Alabama W 63 - 62 55%
 Sat, Feb 7 211 Eastern Michigan W 65 - 63 60%
 Wed, Feb 11 230 @Georgia Southern L 71 - 74 40%
 Sat, Feb 14 213 @James Madison L 64 - 68 36%
 Thu, Feb 19 171 Marshall W 70 - 69 52%
 Sat, Feb 21 230 Georgia Southern W 74 - 71 62%
 Fri, Feb 27 261 @Texas St. L 65 - 66 47%
Totals 15 - 14 9 - 9 -3 -3 D+ C C+ +0 C C D-




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Sun Belt Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 0.2 0.7 0.5 0.1 1.5 1st
2nd 0.4 2.2 2.2 0.5 0.0 5.4 2nd
3rd 0.2 3.0 4.3 0.9 0.0 8.4 3rd
4th 0.1 2.3 6.7 2.1 0.1 11.2 4th
5th 0.0 0.6 6.9 4.2 0.3 12.0 5th
6th 0.2 4.5 7.5 0.8 0.0 13.1 6th
7th 0.0 1.7 8.4 2.6 0.0 12.7 7th
8th 0.0 0.4 5.4 5.2 0.3 0.0 11.3 8th
9th 0.1 2.4 5.9 1.1 9.5 9th
10th 0.0 0.9 4.0 2.2 0.0 7.1 10th
11th 0.0 0.2 1.9 2.4 0.2 4.7 11th
12th 0.1 0.7 1.2 0.5 0.0 2.4 12th
13th 0.0 0.2 0.4 0.1 0.0 0.8 13th
14th 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 14th
Total 0.0 0.3 1.3 4.2 9.7 15.5 19.9 19.8 15.1 9.1 3.8 1.1 0.1 Total



Sun Belt Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3 80.8% 0.1    0.1 0.1 0.0
14-4 45.3% 0.5    0.2 0.2 0.1 0.0
13-5 17.7% 0.7    0.1 0.3 0.2 0.0
12-6 2.2% 0.2    0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0
11-7 0.0%
10-8 0.0%
9-9 0.0%
Total 1.5% 1.5 0.4 0.6 0.4 0.1 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3 0.1% 26.9% 26.9% 13.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1
14-4 1.1% 19.8% 19.8% 13.7 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.9
13-5 3.8% 18.0% 18.0% 14.2 0.0 0.1 0.4 0.2 0.0 3.1
12-6 9.1% 10.2% 10.2% 14.5 0.0 0.4 0.5 0.0 8.2
11-7 15.1% 5.6% 5.6% 14.8 0.0 0.2 0.5 0.1 14.3
10-8 19.8% 2.4% 2.4% 15.0 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.1 19.3
9-9 19.9% 1.4% 1.4% 15.1 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.1 19.7
8-10 15.5% 0.5% 0.5% 15.6 0.0 0.1 15.4
7-11 9.7% 9.7
6-12 4.2% 4.2
5-13 1.3% 1.3
4-14 0.3% 0.3
3-15 0.0% 0.0
2-16
1-17
0-18
Total 100% 3.6% 3.6% 0.0% 14.6 96.5 0.0%