Appalachian St.
Sun Belt
2019-20 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
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Overall
Predictive Rating-6.4#279
Expected Predictive Rating-5.6#253
Pace59.7#364
Improvement+0.0#175

Offense
Total Offense-3.3#259
First Shot-6.1#340
After Offensive Rebound+2.8#41
Layup/Dunks-1.1#225
2 Pt Jumpshots-0.2#186
3 Pt Jumpshots-2.7#272
Freethrows-2.0#302
Improvement-1.2#289

Defense
Total Defense-3.1#278
First Shot-2.4#257
After Offensive Rebounds-0.7#238
Layups/Dunks-0.7#207
2 Pt Jumpshots+2.5#16
3 Pt Jumpshots-1.9#263
Freethrows-2.2#302
Improvement+1.2#71
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 1.5% 2.1% 1.1%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 15.1 14.9 15.3
.500 or above 22.9% 34.1% 15.4%
.500 or above in Conference 39.3% 45.7% 35.0%
Conference Champion 1.7% 2.3% 1.3%
Last Place in Conference 5.9% 4.5% 6.8%
First Four0.2% 0.2% 0.1%
First Round1.5% 2.0% 1.1%
Second Round0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: UNC Asheville (Neutral) - 40.0% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 10 - 1
Quad 1b0 - 00 - 1
Quad 20 - 10 - 3
Quad 32 - 72 - 9
Quad 410 - 712 - 17


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Mon, Nov 3 305 @Central Michigan L 66-82 44%     0 - 1 -20.9 -4.0 -18.1
  Sun, Nov 9 350 NC Central W 76-54 80%     1 - 1 +6.8 +2.9 +5.9
  Tue, Nov 11 20 @Ohio St. L 53-75 2%     1 - 2 -3.8 -4.6 -2.2
  Sun, Nov 16 299 @Dartmouth W 85-77 43%     2 - 2 +3.3 +8.3 -5.2
  Fri, Nov 21 196 Charlotte W 65-63 46%     3 - 2 -3.3 +2.6 -5.4
  Mon, Nov 24 190 Elon L 53-88 44%     3 - 3 -39.8 -17.9 -27.1
  Wed, Nov 26 206 @Mercer L 67-75 27%     3 - 4 -8.0 +1.0 -10.1
  Sun, Nov 30 218 UNC Asheville L 67-70 40%    
  Thu, Dec 11 259 @East Carolina L 66-70 35%    
  Sun, Dec 14 86 High Point L 65-78 12%    
  Thu, Dec 18 253 Coastal Carolina W 69-67 56%    
  Sat, Dec 20 337 Georgia St. W 70-63 75%    
  Wed, Dec 31 216 @Old Dominion L 65-71 29%    
  Sat, Jan 3 183 @Marshall L 67-75 24%    
  Thu, Jan 8 337 @Georgia St. W 67-66 55%    
  Sat, Jan 10 253 @Coastal Carolina L 66-70 35%    
  Thu, Jan 15 147 James Madison L 68-71 37%    
  Sat, Jan 17 216 Old Dominion W 69-68 51%    
  Thu, Jan 22 304 Louisiana W 66-62 66%    
  Sat, Jan 24 361 Louisiana Monroe W 76-65 83%    
  Thu, Jan 29 237 @Southern Miss L 66-71 33%    
  Sat, Jan 31 131 @Troy L 62-73 15%    
  Wed, Feb 4 180 South Alabama L 62-64 43%    
  Wed, Feb 11 246 @Georgia Southern L 68-73 34%    
  Sat, Feb 14 147 @James Madison L 65-74 20%    
  Thu, Feb 19 183 Marshall L 70-72 43%    
  Sat, Feb 21 246 Georgia Southern W 71-70 55%    
  Fri, Feb 27 203 @Texas St. L 60-67 27%    
Projected Record 12 - 16 8 - 10




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Sun Belt Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.1 0.5 0.5 0.4 0.1 0.0 0.0 1.7 1st
2nd 0.2 0.9 1.3 0.5 0.1 2.9 2nd
3rd 0.1 1.2 1.9 0.8 0.1 4.1 3rd
4th 0.1 1.2 2.7 1.3 0.1 5.3 4th
5th 0.0 0.5 3.2 2.3 0.3 6.3 5th
6th 0.0 0.3 2.7 3.7 0.8 0.0 7.6 6th
7th 0.1 1.8 4.9 1.7 0.1 8.6 7th
8th 0.0 1.0 5.1 3.7 0.3 10.1 8th
9th 0.0 0.6 4.1 5.1 1.0 0.0 10.7 9th
10th 0.0 0.4 3.4 5.4 1.9 0.1 11.2 10th
11th 0.0 0.4 2.6 5.3 2.6 0.2 11.2 11th
12th 0.0 0.4 2.3 4.4 2.6 0.5 0.0 10.2 12th
13th 0.1 0.6 1.7 2.9 1.8 0.3 0.0 7.3 13th
14th 0.1 0.3 0.8 0.9 0.6 0.1 2.9 14th
Total 0.1 0.4 1.4 3.0 6.1 9.4 12.2 13.7 14.4 13.0 10.2 7.2 4.5 2.7 1.1 0.5 0.1 0.0 0.0 Total



Sun Belt Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0 100.0% 0.0    0.0
17-1 100.0% 0.0    0.0 0.0
16-2 100.0% 0.1    0.1 0.0
15-3 79.6% 0.4    0.3 0.1 0.0
14-4 50.0% 0.5    0.3 0.2 0.0 0.0
13-5 18.7% 0.5    0.1 0.2 0.2 0.0
12-6 1.6% 0.1    0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
11-7 0.1% 0.0    0.0
10-8 0.0%
9-9 0.0%
Total 1.7% 1.7 0.8 0.5 0.3 0.1 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0 0.0% 0.0
17-1 0.0% 0.0 0.0 0.0
16-2 0.1% 18.2% 18.2% 14.3 0.0 0.0 0.1
15-3 0.5% 26.8% 26.8% 14.2 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.3
14-4 1.1% 17.1% 17.1% 14.7 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.9
13-5 2.7% 12.9% 12.9% 15.0 0.1 0.2 0.1 2.3
12-6 4.5% 6.4% 6.4% 15.3 0.0 0.2 0.1 4.2
11-7 7.2% 3.4% 3.4% 15.4 0.0 0.1 0.1 6.9
10-8 10.2% 1.8% 1.8% 15.3 0.0 0.1 0.1 10.0
9-9 13.0% 0.5% 0.5% 15.8 0.0 0.1 12.9
8-10 14.4% 0.3% 0.3% 16.0 0.0 14.4
7-11 13.7% 0.0% 0.0% 16.0 0.0 13.7
6-12 12.2% 0.1% 0.1% 16.0 0.0 12.2
5-13 9.4% 9.4
4-14 6.1% 6.1
3-15 3.0% 3.0
2-16 1.4% 1.4
1-17 0.4% 0.4
0-18 0.1% 0.1
Total 100% 1.5% 1.5% 0.0% 15.1 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.8 0.5 98.5 0.0%