Charlotte
American Athletic
2024-25 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
Switch to All-time Team Page
Overall
Predictive Rating-2.3#196
Expected Predictive Rating-5.8#257
Pace62.0#349
Improvement-3.1#353

Offense
Total Offense+1.2#130
First Shot+1.0#147
After Offensive Rebound+0.2#162
Layup/Dunks+0.4#157
2 Pt Jumpshots-1.8#284
3 Pt Jumpshots+3.9#63
Freethrows-1.5#270
Improvement-1.9#337

Defense
Total Defense-3.5#293
First Shot+0.8#136
After Offensive Rebounds-4.4#353
Layups/Dunks+2.2#103
2 Pt Jumpshots+1.2#105
3 Pt Jumpshots-2.2#272
Freethrows-0.4#213
Improvement-1.2#289
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 1.0% 1.4% 0.8%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 13.6 13.4 13.8
.500 or above 18.5% 30.9% 13.2%
.500 or above in Conference 28.6% 36.1% 25.4%
Conference Champion 1.0% 1.4% 0.8%
Last Place in Conference 16.1% 11.7% 18.0%
First Four0.1% 0.1% 0.1%
First Round1.0% 1.4% 0.8%
Second Round0.0% 0.1% 0.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Richmond (Neutral) - 30.1% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 00 - 0
Quad 1b0 - 20 - 3
Quad 21 - 51 - 8
Quad 34 - 85 - 15
Quad 48 - 413 - 19


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Mon, Nov 3 166 Indiana St. W 92-76 57%     1 - 0 +12.0 +19.9 -7.7
  Fri, Nov 7 322 Tennessee Tech W 70-65 81%     2 - 0 -6.6 -2.5 -3.8
  Tue, Nov 11 135 Davidson L 55-62 46%     2 - 1 -8.2 -6.5 -3.2
  Sun, Nov 16 63 @Virginia Tech L 76-84 10%     2 - 2 +3.5 +12.6 -9.5
  Fri, Nov 21 279 @Appalachian St. L 63-65 54%     2 - 3 -5.4 +3.5 -9.4
  Thu, Nov 27 102 Illinois St. L 69-79 25%     2 - 4 -5.3 +2.3 -8.3
  Fri, Nov 28 115 Richmond L 69-75 30%    
  Wed, Dec 3 313 N.C. A&T W 77-68 80%    
  Sun, Dec 7 35 Utah St. L 68-80 13%    
  Sun, Dec 14 151 @College of Charleston L 68-73 32%    
  Thu, Dec 18 327 Lafayette W 76-66 82%    
  Sun, Dec 21 174 Illinois-Chicago W 74-72 57%    
  Wed, Dec 31 148 Temple W 76-75 52%    
  Sat, Jan 3 92 Wichita St. L 69-74 32%    
  Wed, Jan 7 231 @Texas San Antonio L 72-73 45%    
  Sun, Jan 11 213 @Rice L 68-70 43%    
  Wed, Jan 14 91 Tulsa L 69-74 31%    
  Sun, Jan 18 259 @East Carolina W 72-71 49%    
  Sun, Jan 25 152 Tulane W 74-73 53%    
  Wed, Jan 28 148 @Temple L 73-78 32%    
  Sat, Jan 31 213 Rice W 71-67 64%    
  Wed, Feb 4 92 @Wichita St. L 66-77 16%    
  Sun, Feb 8 70 @Memphis L 67-80 12%    
  Sun, Feb 15 231 Texas San Antonio W 75-70 65%    
  Wed, Feb 18 91 @Tulsa L 66-77 16%    
  Sat, Feb 21 259 East Carolina W 75-69 70%    
  Wed, Feb 25 123 North Texas L 64-66 43%    
  Sun, Mar 1 111 @Florida Atlantic L 69-78 21%    
  Wed, Mar 4 107 UAB L 73-77 37%    
  Sun, Mar 8 81 @South Florida L 71-83 14%    
Projected Record 12 - 18 7 - 11




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected American Athletic Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.3 0.2 0.1 0.0 1.0 1st
2nd 0.0 0.2 0.7 0.7 0.4 0.1 2.0 2nd
3rd 0.2 1.2 1.3 0.4 0.0 0.0 3.1 3rd
4th 0.1 1.5 2.1 0.5 0.1 4.2 4th
5th 0.1 1.3 3.1 1.2 0.1 0.0 5.8 5th
6th 0.0 0.8 3.9 2.4 0.2 0.0 7.4 6th
7th 0.0 0.7 3.5 3.8 0.6 0.0 8.6 7th
8th 0.3 3.3 5.3 1.4 0.0 10.4 8th
9th 0.0 0.2 2.6 5.8 2.3 0.2 11.1 9th
10th 0.2 2.3 6.0 3.9 0.4 12.9 10th
11th 0.2 2.1 5.5 3.9 0.6 0.0 12.3 11th
12th 0.0 0.4 2.1 5.0 3.3 0.7 0.0 11.6 12th
13th 0.2 1.1 2.6 3.1 2.1 0.5 0.0 9.7 13th
Total 0.2 1.1 3.1 5.4 9.4 11.8 13.6 14.3 12.4 10.7 7.8 4.9 2.7 1.5 0.7 0.2 0.1 0.0 Total



American Athletic Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1 100.0% 0.0    0.0
16-2 100.0% 0.1    0.1
15-3 75.8% 0.2    0.1 0.1 0.0
14-4 45.6% 0.3    0.2 0.1 0.1
13-5 22.2% 0.3    0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0
12-6 3.7% 0.1    0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
11-7 0.1% 0.0    0.0
10-8 0.0%
9-9 0.0%
Total 1.0% 1.0 0.4 0.3 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1 0.0% 0.0
16-2 0.1% 0.0 0.1
15-3 0.2% 13.6% 13.6% 12.2 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.2
14-4 0.7% 13.7% 13.7% 12.5 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.6
13-5 1.5% 7.0% 7.0% 12.5 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.4
12-6 2.7% 7.0% 7.0% 12.7 0.1 0.1 0.0 2.5
11-7 4.9% 3.4% 3.4% 13.4 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 4.7
10-8 7.8% 2.3% 2.3% 14.2 0.0 0.1 0.1 7.6
9-9 10.7% 0.7% 0.7% 14.3 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 10.6
8-10 12.4% 0.5% 0.5% 14.9 0.0 0.0 0.0 12.4
7-11 14.3% 0.4% 0.4% 16.0 0.1 14.3
6-12 13.6% 0.2% 0.2% 16.0 0.0 13.6
5-13 11.8% 0.2% 0.2% 16.0 0.0 11.8
4-14 9.4% 9.4
3-15 5.4% 5.4
2-16 3.1% 3.1
1-17 1.1% 1.1
0-18 0.2% 0.2
Total 100% 1.0% 1.0% 0.0% 13.6 0.0 0.2 0.3 0.2 0.2 0.1 99.0 0.0%