East Carolina
American Athletic
2019-20 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
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Overall
Predictive Rating-5.3#259
Expected Predictive Rating-10.3#317
Pace74.0#80
Improvement-1.1#263

Offense
Total Offense-4.6#297
First Shot-2.5#250
After Offensive Rebound-2.1#307
Layup/Dunks+2.8#86
2 Pt Jumpshots-0.6#212
3 Pt Jumpshots-7.7#355
Freethrows+3.0#40
Improvement-2.7#355

Defense
Total Defense-0.7#185
First Shot-2.5#264
After Offensive Rebounds+1.9#71
Layups/Dunks+1.1#134
2 Pt Jumpshots+1.4#83
3 Pt Jumpshots-4.6#325
Freethrows-0.4#216
Improvement+1.7#34
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 0.2% 0.2% 0.0%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 14.6 14.5 15.0
.500 or above 4.8% 5.8% 1.2%
.500 or above in Conference 10.3% 11.5% 6.0%
Conference Champion 0.2% 0.2% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 36.3% 33.9% 45.4%
First Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Round0.2% 0.2% 0.0%
Second Round0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Maryland Eastern Shore (Home) - 78.9% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 20 - 2
Quad 1b0 - 10 - 3
Quad 20 - 61 - 9
Quad 32 - 83 - 16
Quad 47 - 510 - 21


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Tue, Nov 4 246 Georgia Southern W 92-89 60%     1 - 0 -4.8 +3.3 -8.5
  Sat, Nov 8 115 @Richmond L 72-87 14%     1 - 1 -8.8 -2.5 -5.5
  Tue, Nov 18 113 @UNC Wilmington L 60-85 14%     1 - 2 -18.8 -8.1 -11.8
  Fri, Nov 21 282 Charleston Southern L 65-77 66%     1 - 3 -21.5 -12.6 -8.8
  Tue, Nov 25 12 Michigan St. L 56-89 3%     1 - 4 -14.9 -8.0 -6.0
  Thu, Nov 27 119 St. Bonaventure L 58-67 21%     1 - 5 -6.0 -13.2 +7.3
  Tue, Dec 2 339 Maryland Eastern Shore W 70-61 79%    
  Sat, Dec 6 287 UNC Greensboro W 76-71 66%    
  Thu, Dec 11 279 Appalachian St. W 70-66 65%    
  Sun, Dec 14 228 Buffalo W 77-75 56%    
  Wed, Dec 17 275 Presbyterian W 70-66 64%    
  Mon, Dec 22 26 @North Carolina L 66-88 2%    
  Wed, Dec 31 152 Tulane L 75-77 42%    
  Wed, Jan 7 148 @Temple L 74-82 23%    
  Sun, Jan 11 107 UAB L 74-81 27%    
  Wed, Jan 14 81 @South Florida L 73-88 8%    
  Sun, Jan 18 196 Charlotte L 71-72 51%    
  Wed, Jan 21 92 @Wichita St. L 67-81 11%    
  Sat, Jan 24 123 @North Texas L 61-72 16%    
  Wed, Jan 28 213 Rice W 71-70 54%    
  Sun, Feb 1 111 @Florida Atlantic L 70-82 14%    
  Sat, Feb 7 148 Temple L 77-79 42%    
  Wed, Feb 11 231 Texas San Antonio W 76-74 57%    
  Sat, Feb 14 213 @Rice L 68-73 33%    
  Wed, Feb 18 92 Wichita St. L 70-78 24%    
  Sat, Feb 21 196 @Charlotte L 69-75 30%    
  Wed, Feb 25 231 @Texas San Antonio L 73-77 35%    
  Sun, Mar 1 70 Memphis L 71-81 19%    
  Thu, Mar 5 91 Tulsa L 70-78 23%    
  Sun, Mar 8 107 @UAB L 71-84 13%    
Projected Record 10 - 20 5 - 13




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected American Athletic Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.2 1st
2nd 0.1 0.3 0.1 0.0 0.5 2nd
3rd 0.1 0.4 0.3 0.0 0.8 3rd
4th 0.1 0.6 0.6 0.1 0.0 1.4 4th
5th 0.0 0.7 1.3 0.3 0.1 2.3 5th
6th 0.0 0.6 1.9 0.8 0.0 3.3 6th
7th 0.0 0.5 2.3 1.6 0.2 0.0 4.6 7th
8th 0.0 0.4 2.4 3.2 0.7 6.7 8th
9th 0.0 0.2 2.3 4.4 1.5 0.1 8.4 9th
10th 0.0 0.3 2.7 6.1 3.0 0.2 12.3 10th
11th 0.0 0.3 3.1 6.9 4.1 0.8 15.2 11th
12th 0.1 1.1 4.5 7.8 5.1 0.8 0.0 19.4 12th
13th 1.1 4.2 7.5 7.7 3.7 0.8 0.0 24.9 13th
Total 1.1 4.3 8.5 12.5 15.0 15.7 13.7 11.1 7.8 4.9 2.9 1.5 0.8 0.2 0.0 0.0 0.0 Total



American Athletic Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2 100.0% 0.0    0.0 0.0
15-3 100.0% 0.0    0.0 0.0
14-4 75.0% 0.0    0.0 0.0
13-5 32.8% 0.1    0.0 0.0 0.0
12-6 2.7% 0.0    0.0 0.0 0.0
11-7 0.0%
10-8 0.0%
9-9 0.0%
Total 0.2% 0.2 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2 0.0% 0.0 0.0
15-3 0.0% 0.0
14-4 0.0% 0.0
13-5 0.2% 1.6% 1.6% 12.0 0.0 0.2
12-6 0.8% 3.6% 3.6% 13.9 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.7
11-7 1.5% 2.7% 2.7% 14.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.4
10-8 2.9% 1.1% 1.1% 14.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 2.9
9-9 4.9% 0.7% 0.7% 15.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 4.9
8-10 7.8% 0.3% 0.3% 15.3 0.0 0.0 7.8
7-11 11.1% 0.2% 0.2% 16.0 0.0 11.1
6-12 13.7% 0.0% 0.0% 16.0 0.0 13.7
5-13 15.7% 15.7
4-14 15.0% 15.0
3-15 12.5% 12.5
2-16 8.5% 8.5
1-17 4.3% 4.3
0-18 1.1% 1.1
Total 100% 0.2% 0.2% 0.0% 14.6 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 99.8 0.0%