George Washington
Atlantic 10
2019-20 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
Switch to All-time Team Page
Predictive Rating +9.1 #60
Expected Predictive Rating +5.6 #89
Pace 73.6 #66
Improvement -0.7 #229

Overall 1st FGA Second Chance TOs Free
throws		 Shot Selection
Offense #37 A A- C B- A+
Defense #130 C+ C C+ B C

Offense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 42% #82 1.27 #77 +4.5 #48
2 Pt. Jumpers 8% #358 1.00 #8 -3.7 #341
Three Pointers 50% #30 1.10 #75 +6.5 #23
1st FG Attempt 1.16 #21 +7.2 #21
Freethrows 19.4 #84 72% #197 14.0 #99
Second Chance 35.9% #44 1.17 #48 0.42 #33
Turnovers 16.8% #191
Total Offense +7.9 #37

Defense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 39% #201 1.25 #283 -1.6 #239
2 Pt. Jumpers 20% #195 0.65 #48 +1.2 #102
Three Pointers 42% #165 0.93 #79 +1.4 #130
1st FG Attempt 1.00 #147 +1.0 #146
Freethrows 14.6 #52 74% #241 10.8 #297
Second Chance 28.0% #88 1.13 #285 0.32 #169
Turnovers 17.7% #109
Total Defense +1.2 #130

Miscellaneous
Offense Defense
Shot Type Mix Effect 3.8% #13 0.1% #175
Shot Type Accuracy Effect 10.0% #43 -2.2% #144
Possession Length 15.5 #38 17.7 #255
Fast Break Points Per Possession 0.20 #95 0.17 #172
Improvement -0.5 #215 -0.3 #203

See methodology page for descriptions of rating types.
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.1% 0.1% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 15.7% 16.4% 11.5%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 1.9% 2.1% 0.6%
Average Seed 10.9 10.9 11.2
.500 or above 99.7% 99.9% 98.7%
.500 or above in Conference 98.2% 98.9% 93.9%
Conference Champion 12.3% 13.4% 5.1%
Last Place in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Four1.3% 1.4% 0.5%
First Round15.0% 15.7% 11.3%
Second Round4.4% 4.7% 2.4%
Sweet Sixteen0.9% 1.0% 0.3%
Elite Eight0.2% 0.2% 0.1%
Final Four0.1% 0.1% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Davidson (Home) - 85.7% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 20 - 2
Quad 1b1 - 21 - 4
Quad 23 - 34 - 7
Quad 38 - 212 - 9
Quad 410 - 122 - 10


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Avg Lead Record Total Rating Offense Defense
Overall Conf Total First
FGA		 2nd Chance TOs Total First
FGA		 2nd Chance TOs
 Mon, Nov 3 341 Maine W 67 - 47 97% +7  1 - 0 +6 -5 D+ B+ F +12 A+ A+ C
 Sat, Nov 8 75 South Florida W 99 - 95 55% +1  2 - 0 +12 +12 A+ B+ F -1 A+ F C-
 Wed, Nov 12 239 American W 107 - 67 93% +20  3 - 0 +33 +23 A+ A+ C +6 B- D- A+
 Sat, Nov 15 244 Old Dominion W 96 - 73 93% +11  4 - 0 +15 +15 B A A+ -1 C+ D A+
 Wed, Nov 19 277 Maryland Baltimore Co. W 89 - 52 95% +24  5 - 0 +27 +9 A+ F D- +18 A+ A A-
 Sun, Nov 23 80 McNeese St. L 86 - 92 57% -6  5 - 1 +1 +12 B- A+ F -10 C+ F D
 Mon, Nov 24 120 Middle Tennessee W 92 - 79 73% +10  6 - 1 +16 +19 A+ F A -4 C F A
 Tue, Nov 25 89 Murray St. L 95 - 96 60% -1  6 - 2 +6 +20 A+ C+ A+ -14 D- F D+
 Tue, Dec 2 330 @Army W 84 - 70 93% +5  7 - 2 +6 +9 D A+ F -2 F A+ C
 Sat, Dec 6 138 William & Mary W 99 - 86 84% +4  8 - 2 +11 +17 A+ A+ A+ -7 C- D- D+
 Wed, Dec 10 271 Delaware L 58 - 70 95% -6  8 - 3 -21 -16 F F F -5 F F A+
 Sat, Dec 13 12 Florida L 70 - 80 16% -8  8 - 4 +10 +6 B+ A C +4 D- A+ B
 Wed, Dec 31 116 @Richmond W 99 - 85 61% +10  9 - 4 1 - 0 +20 +35 A+ A+ B -14 F C- F
 Sat, Jan 3 208 La Salle W 77 - 55 91% +6  10 - 4 2 - 0 +16 +7 C+ A+ C +10 B+ A+ D-
 Tue, Jan 6 70 @Dayton L 72 - 79 42% +1  10 - 5 2 - 1 +4 +8 A+ A+ F -4 A+ F C+
 Sat, Jan 10 259 Loyola Chicago W 101 - 66 94% +20  11 - 5 3 - 1 +26 +14 A+ D+ B +10 D+ A+ A+
 Wed, Jan 14 149 Davidson W 80 - 69 86%
 Mon, Jan 19 86 @George Mason L 77 - 78 48%
 Sat, Jan 24 116 Richmond W 86 - 77 80%
 Tue, Jan 27 32 @Saint Louis L 81 - 89 23%
 Sat, Jan 31 183 Fordham W 82 - 68 89%
 Wed, Feb 4 175 @Saint Joseph's W 81 - 74 75%
 Sat, Feb 7 132 @Duquesne W 88 - 83 67%
 Tue, Feb 10 123 Rhode Island W 81 - 71 81%
 Fri, Feb 13 86 George Mason W 80 - 75 69%
 Tue, Feb 17 51 @Virginia Commonwealth L 81 - 85 34%
 Tue, Feb 24 208 @La Salle W 81 - 72 79%
 Fri, Feb 27 70 Dayton W 79 - 75 65%
 Wed, Mar 4 127 St. Bonaventure W 85 - 75 83%
 Sat, Mar 7 259 @Loyola Chicago W 86 - 74 85%
Totals 21 - 9 13 - 5 +9 +8 A A- C +1 C+ C C+




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Atlantic 10 Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.4 2.9 5.0 3.3 0.6 12.3 1st
2nd 0.1 1.4 7.6 11.8 5.9 0.8 27.6 2nd
3rd 0.1 1.3 7.5 10.1 3.4 0.2 22.6 3rd
4th 0.0 1.0 5.4 8.2 2.8 0.1 17.6 4th
5th 0.0 0.6 3.7 5.5 1.9 0.1 11.8 5th
6th 0.0 0.1 1.5 2.3 0.7 0.0 4.6 6th
7th 0.0 0.4 1.1 0.4 0.0 2.0 7th
8th 0.1 0.5 0.3 0.0 0.9 8th
9th 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.0 0.4 9th
10th 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.2 10th
11th 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 11th
12th 0.0 0.0 0.0 12th
13th 13th
14th 14th
Total 0.0 0.1 0.4 1.3 3.6 7.5 12.9 19.0 20.9 18.3 11.1 4.2 0.6 Total



Atlantic 10 Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1 100.0% 0.6    0.5 0.1
16-2 79.8% 3.3    2.3 1.0 0.0
15-3 44.7% 5.0    1.9 2.6 0.5 0.0
14-4 16.1% 2.9    0.5 1.3 1.0 0.1 0.0
13-5 1.9% 0.4    0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0
12-6 0.2% 0.0    0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
11-7 0.0%
10-8 0.0%
9-9 0.0%
Total 12.3% 12.3 5.3 5.1 1.6 0.3 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1 0.6% 67.5% 30.2% 37.3% 8.2 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.2 53.4%
16-2 4.2% 43.1% 30.4% 12.8% 10.1 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.5 0.8 0.0 2.4 18.3%
15-3 11.1% 26.7% 22.6% 4.1% 10.8 0.1 0.6 2.2 0.1 8.1 5.3%
14-4 18.3% 20.5% 19.2% 1.2% 11.0 0.0 0.3 3.1 0.4 14.5 1.5%
13-5 20.9% 15.4% 14.9% 0.5% 11.2 0.1 2.6 0.6 0.0 17.7 0.6%
12-6 19.0% 10.4% 10.3% 0.1% 11.3 0.0 1.3 0.6 0.0 17.1 0.1%
11-7 12.9% 7.9% 7.8% 0.1% 11.5 0.5 0.5 0.0 11.9 0.1%
10-8 7.5% 5.4% 5.4% 11.8 0.1 0.2 0.0 7.1
9-9 3.6% 3.0% 3.0% 11.9 0.0 0.1 0.0 3.5
8-10 1.3% 2.4% 2.4% 12.2 0.0 0.0 1.2
7-11 0.4% 0.4
6-12 0.1% 0.1
5-13 0.0% 0.0
4-14
3-15
2-16
1-17
0-18
Total 100% 15.7% 14.1% 1.6% 10.9 84.3 1.9%


Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid		Avg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Win Out 0.2% 100.0% 6.1 2.6 5.3 13.2 10.5 15.8 36.8 7.9 7.9
Win Out, Lose in Conf. Tourney Championship 0.2% 64.3% 9.8 2.4 2.4 21.4 19.0 19.0
Win Out, Lose in Conf. Tourney Semi-Final 0.2% 41.9% 9.9 16.1 12.9 12.9