George Washington
Atlantic 10
2019-20 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
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Overall
Predictive Rating+8.8#62
Expected Predictive Rating+5.5#96
Pace74.4#72
Improvement-1.5#300

Offense
Total Offense+8.2#29
First Shot+7.9#22
After Offensive Rebound+0.4#155
Layup/Dunks+4.7#44
2 Pt Jumpshots-3.1#341
3 Pt Jumpshots+5.1#37
Freethrows+1.1#118
Improvement+1.8#40

Defense
Total Defense+0.6#151
First Shot+1.8#113
After Offensive Rebounds-1.2#273
Layups/Dunks-3.3#287
2 Pt Jumpshots+0.9#137
3 Pt Jumpshots+3.2#76
Freethrows+1.0#121
Improvement-3.4#362
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.1% 0.1% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.5% 0.5% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 19.4% 19.8% 11.9%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 4.8% 5.0% 1.2%
Average Seed 10.5 10.5 11.0
.500 or above 98.8% 99.0% 95.0%
.500 or above in Conference 93.6% 93.9% 88.0%
Conference Champion 21.6% 22.0% 13.2%
Last Place in Conference 0.1% 0.0% 0.3%
First Four2.3% 2.4% 0.7%
First Round18.3% 18.7% 11.6%
Second Round6.2% 6.4% 3.9%
Sweet Sixteen1.5% 1.6% 0.8%
Elite Eight0.4% 0.4% 0.0%
Final Four0.1% 0.1% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Army (Away) - 95.1% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 10 - 1
Quad 1b1 - 21 - 3
Quad 23 - 35 - 6
Quad 38 - 312 - 9
Quad 410 - 023 - 10


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Mon, Nov 3 321 Maine W 67-47 96%     1 - 0 +8.4 -3.9 +13.3
  Sat, Nov 8 81 South Florida W 99-95 57%     2 - 0 +11.1 +10.8 -0.4
  Wed, Nov 12 283 American W 107-67 95%     3 - 0 +30.3 +21.8 +5.5
  Sat, Nov 15 216 Old Dominion W 96-73 92%     4 - 0 +16.5 +14.1 +1.4
  Wed, Nov 19 289 Maryland Baltimore Co. W 89-52 95%     5 - 0 +26.9 +9.5 +16.8
  Sun, Nov 23 82 McNeese St. L 86-92 57%     5 - 1 +1.0 +12.5 -11.2
  Mon, Nov 24 149 Middle Tennessee W 92-79 80%     6 - 1 +13.0 +16.4 -3.6
  Tue, Nov 25 118 Murray St. L 95-96 71%     6 - 2 +2.1 +18.6 -16.5
  Tue, Dec 2 346 @Army W 89-72 95%    
  Sat, Dec 6 130 William & Mary W 93-83 81%    
  Wed, Dec 10 241 Delaware W 87-71 94%    
  Sat, Dec 13 17 Florida L 80-88 22%    
  Wed, Dec 31 115 @Richmond W 82-79 60%    
  Sat, Jan 3 214 La Salle W 87-72 92%    
  Tue, Jan 6 78 @Dayton L 76-78 43%    
  Sat, Jan 10 265 Loyola Chicago W 86-69 94%    
  Wed, Jan 14 135 Davidson W 82-72 82%    
  Mon, Jan 19 74 @George Mason L 75-77 43%    
  Sat, Jan 24 115 Richmond W 85-76 78%    
  Tue, Jan 27 50 @Saint Louis L 82-86 34%    
  Sat, Jan 31 212 Fordham W 82-67 91%    
  Wed, Feb 4 175 @Saint Joseph's W 86-79 74%    
  Sat, Feb 7 126 @Duquesne W 88-85 61%    
  Tue, Feb 10 106 Rhode Island W 84-76 75%    
  Fri, Feb 13 74 George Mason W 78-74 64%    
  Tue, Feb 17 53 @Virginia Commonwealth L 79-83 35%    
  Tue, Feb 24 214 @La Salle W 84-75 79%    
  Fri, Feb 27 78 Dayton W 79-75 65%    
  Wed, Mar 4 119 St. Bonaventure W 81-72 78%    
  Sat, Mar 7 265 @Loyola Chicago W 83-72 84%    
Projected Record 21 - 9 12 - 6




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Atlantic 10 Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 0.1 1.5 5.0 7.2 5.0 2.2 0.5 21.6 1st
2nd 0.1 2.0 6.5 7.3 3.5 0.5 0.0 20.0 2nd
3rd 0.1 1.4 6.3 6.1 2.0 0.1 15.9 3rd
4th 0.0 0.7 4.5 5.7 1.5 0.1 12.6 4th
5th 0.0 0.3 2.8 4.9 1.6 0.1 9.7 5th
6th 0.0 0.1 1.5 3.6 1.9 0.2 7.2 6th
7th 0.0 0.6 2.4 1.9 0.2 5.1 7th
8th 0.0 0.2 1.5 1.7 0.3 0.0 3.6 8th
9th 0.0 0.1 0.6 1.0 0.4 0.0 2.0 9th
10th 0.0 0.3 0.6 0.3 0.0 1.3 10th
11th 0.1 0.3 0.2 0.0 0.6 11th
12th 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.3 12th
13th 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 13th
14th 0.0 0.0 0.0 14th
Total 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.8 1.6 3.6 6.3 9.3 13.0 15.8 15.7 14.4 10.9 5.5 2.2 0.5 Total



Atlantic 10 Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0 100.0% 0.5    0.5
17-1 98.5% 2.2    2.1 0.1
16-2 91.6% 5.0    4.1 0.9 0.0
15-3 66.3% 7.2    4.2 2.6 0.4 0.0
14-4 35.0% 5.0    1.7 2.2 1.0 0.1 0.0
13-5 9.4% 1.5    0.2 0.5 0.5 0.2 0.1
12-6 0.9% 0.1    0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0
11-7 0.0%
10-8 0.0%
9-9 0.0%
Total 21.6% 21.6 12.8 6.3 2.0 0.4 0.1 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0 0.5% 88.0% 31.7% 56.3% 6.5 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.1 82.5%
17-1 2.2% 74.0% 40.9% 33.1% 8.5 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.2 0.0 0.6 56.1%
16-2 5.5% 50.6% 31.0% 19.7% 9.8 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.4 0.8 0.9 0.1 2.7 28.5%
15-3 10.9% 39.9% 29.6% 10.4% 10.4 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.5 1.1 2.4 0.2 0.0 6.5 14.7%
14-4 14.4% 25.2% 21.4% 3.9% 10.9 0.0 0.1 0.5 2.6 0.4 10.8 4.9%
13-5 15.7% 18.3% 17.0% 1.3% 11.2 0.0 0.2 2.0 0.7 0.0 12.8 1.5%
12-6 15.8% 11.5% 11.2% 0.3% 11.5 0.0 0.9 0.8 0.0 14.0 0.3%
11-7 13.0% 8.3% 8.2% 0.1% 11.5 0.0 0.5 0.5 0.0 11.9 0.1%
10-8 9.3% 5.6% 5.5% 0.1% 11.7 0.2 0.3 0.0 8.8 0.1%
9-9 6.3% 3.2% 3.2% 12.1 0.0 0.2 0.0 6.1
8-10 3.6% 2.6% 2.6% 12.4 0.1 0.0 3.5
7-11 1.6% 0.6% 0.6% 12.7 0.0 0.0 1.6
6-12 0.8% 3.5% 3.5% 13.8 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.7
5-13 0.3% 0.3
4-14 0.1% 0.1
3-15 0.0% 0.0
2-16
1-17
0-18
Total 100% 19.4% 15.4% 4.0% 10.5 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.6 0.7 1.4 3.0 9.8 3.2 0.2 0.0 0.0 80.6 4.8%