Georgia St.
Sun Belt
2019-20 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
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Overall
Predictive Rating-10.7#337
Expected Predictive Rating-15.6#352
Pace71.8#127
Improvement-2.0#328

Offense
Total Offense-7.7#352
First Shot-6.6#348
After Offensive Rebound-1.1#240
Layup/Dunks-7.5#358
2 Pt Jumpshots+0.6#135
3 Pt Jumpshots-0.7#210
Freethrows+1.0#124
Improvement-0.9#271

Defense
Total Defense-3.0#272
First Shot-2.5#261
After Offensive Rebounds-0.5#224
Layups/Dunks-3.3#290
2 Pt Jumpshots-1.0#263
3 Pt Jumpshots+0.2#172
Freethrows+1.7#89
Improvement-1.1#280
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 0.1% 0.2% 0.1%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 15.9 15.6 16.0
.500 or above 0.4% 1.3% 0.3%
.500 or above in Conference 9.9% 15.5% 8.8%
Conference Champion 0.1% 0.2% 0.1%
Last Place in Conference 29.0% 22.2% 30.3%
First Four0.1% 0.1% 0.1%
First Round0.1% 0.2% 0.0%
Second Round0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Mercer (Away) - 15.5% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 00 - 0
Quad 1b0 - 10 - 1
Quad 20 - 20 - 4
Quad 31 - 91 - 13
Quad 45 - 106 - 23


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Mon, Nov 3 209 @Eastern Michigan L 49-71 16%     0 - 1 -22.0 -21.8 -0.7
  Fri, Nov 7 65 @Cincinnati L 64-74 3%     0 - 2 +1.5 -2.5 +4.7
  Mon, Nov 10 275 Presbyterian L 61-63 44%     0 - 3 -11.2 -4.6 -6.9
  Mon, Nov 17 83 @Arizona St. L 62-75 4%     0 - 4 -3.1 -8.8 +5.8
  Fri, Nov 21 150 @South Dakota St. L 58-105 11%     0 - 5 -44.1 -12.9 -30.1
  Tue, Nov 25 221 Samford L 63-78 25%     0 - 6 -18.7 -13.0 -5.7
  Wed, Nov 26 108 New Mexico St. L 58-77 9%     0 - 7 -15.1 -14.7 +0.6
  Tue, Dec 2 206 @Mercer L 72-83 16%    
  Fri, Dec 5 163 @Kennesaw St. L 73-86 11%    
  Sat, Dec 13 222 Jacksonville St. L 64-68 36%    
  Thu, Dec 18 246 @Georgia Southern L 71-80 20%    
  Sat, Dec 20 279 @Appalachian St. L 63-70 25%    
  Wed, Dec 31 183 @Marshall L 70-82 14%    
  Sat, Jan 3 253 @Coastal Carolina L 68-77 22%    
  Thu, Jan 8 279 Appalachian St. L 66-67 45%    
  Sat, Jan 10 183 Marshall L 73-79 29%    
  Sat, Jan 17 361 @Louisiana Monroe W 76-75 52%    
  Thu, Jan 22 237 Southern Miss L 71-74 38%    
  Sat, Jan 24 172 Arkansas St. L 74-81 28%    
  Thu, Jan 29 304 @Louisiana L 65-71 31%    
  Sat, Jan 31 180 @South Alabama L 61-73 13%    
  Wed, Feb 4 131 Troy L 67-77 19%    
  Thu, Feb 12 147 @James Madison L 66-80 11%    
  Sat, Feb 14 216 @Old Dominion L 68-78 19%    
  Thu, Feb 19 246 Georgia Southern L 74-77 40%    
  Sat, Feb 21 147 James Madison L 69-77 24%    
  Tue, Feb 24 253 Coastal Carolina L 71-74 41%    
  Fri, Feb 27 216 Old Dominion L 71-75 36%    
Projected Record 6 - 22 5 - 13




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Sun Belt Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 1st
2nd 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.1 0.4 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.2 0.3 0.1 0.0 0.6 3rd
4th 0.0 0.3 0.7 0.2 0.0 0.0 1.1 4th
5th 0.3 1.0 0.4 0.1 1.8 5th
6th 0.0 0.1 1.0 1.0 0.1 2.3 6th
7th 0.1 0.9 1.8 0.4 3.2 7th
8th 0.0 0.7 2.5 1.1 0.1 4.4 8th
9th 0.0 0.4 3.0 2.4 0.3 0.0 6.1 9th
10th 0.0 0.5 2.9 3.9 0.9 0.0 8.3 10th
11th 0.0 0.6 3.3 5.7 2.1 0.1 11.8 11th
12th 0.0 1.0 4.5 7.1 3.4 0.4 16.5 12th
13th 0.6 3.6 7.9 8.4 3.9 0.6 0.0 24.9 13th
14th 1.5 4.4 5.9 4.6 1.9 0.3 0.0 18.6 14th
Total 1.5 5.0 9.5 13.5 15.3 15.1 13.0 10.2 7.0 4.5 2.8 1.5 0.7 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.0 Total



Sun Belt Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2 100.0% 0.0    0.0
15-3 100.0% 0.0    0.0 0.0 0.0
14-4 29.7% 0.0    0.0 0.0 0.0
13-5 23.1% 0.1    0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
12-6 2.0% 0.0    0.0 0.0
11-7 0.2% 0.0    0.0
10-8 0.0%
9-9 0.0%
Total 0.1% 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2 0.0% 0.0
15-3 0.0% 0.0
14-4 0.1% 16.2% 16.2% 15.7 0.0 0.0 0.1
13-5 0.2% 10.8% 10.8% 15.7 0.0 0.0 0.2
12-6 0.7% 2.9% 2.9% 16.0 0.0 0.7
11-7 1.5% 0.2% 0.2% 16.0 0.0 1.4
10-8 2.8% 0.9% 0.9% 16.0 0.0 2.8
9-9 4.5% 4.5
8-10 7.0% 0.2% 0.2% 16.0 0.0 6.9
7-11 10.2% 0.1% 0.1% 16.0 0.0 10.2
6-12 13.0% 13.0
5-13 15.1% 15.1
4-14 15.3% 15.3
3-15 13.5% 13.5
2-16 9.5% 9.5
1-17 5.0% 5.0
0-18 1.5% 1.5
Total 100% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 15.9 0.0 0.1 99.9 0.0%


Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid		Avg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Lose Out 1.0%