Georgia St.
Sun Belt
2019-20 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
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All team stats adjusted for opponents. See methodology page for descriptions of rating types.

Predictive Rating -8.1 296
Results Rating -8.5 300
Consistency 0.19 341
Pace 69.5 147
Improvement +3.8 47

Overall 1st FGA Second Chance TOs Free
throws		 Shot Selection
Offense D 328 F D+ C C+ F+
Defense C- 229 C- C- C- C+ D+

Offense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 27% 362 D- 50% 346 -8.7 363
2 Pt. Jumpers 45% 96 D+ 34% 298 +2.1 70
Three Pointers 43% 134 F+ 29% 345 -2.0 252
Shot Selection/Accuracy F+ -1.9 348 F+ -6.7 356
1st FG Attempt F 0.85 360
Second Chance D+ 27.0% 275 C 1.04 165 D+ 0.28 255
Opponents' Steals C+ 9.1% 147
Other Turnovers C 7.5% 215
Turnovers C 16.6% 167
Freethrows C- 0.29 217 A- 78% 15 C+ 0.23 140
Total Offense D -6.2 328

Assists Blocks (Opponents')
Close Shots D- 38% 326 D+ 12.7% 292
2 Pt. Jumpers Shots B 36% 42 B+ 2.5% 28
Three Pointers C+ 86% 142 B- 0.6% 104
Total C- 54% 208 B 4.5% 57

Defense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 41% 111 C- 59% 204 +2.0 241
2 Pt. Jumpers 19% 233 C- 40% 264 -0.3 168
Three Pointers 40% 210 C 34% 193 -0.4 162
Shot Selection/Accuracy D+ +0.4 251 C- +0.8 215
1st FG Attempt C- 1.05 222
Second Chance D 33.8% 312 C+ 0.99 126 C- 0.34 245
Turnovers from Steals C 9.7% 163
Other Turnovers D+ 6.7% 260
Turnovers C- 16.4% 205
Freethrows C 0.30 169 C 72% 154 C+ 0.21 162
Total Defense C- -1.8 229

Assists Blocks
Close Shots C- 50% 214 C- 10.4% 196
2 Pt. Jumpers Shots C- 28% 239 D- 1.5% 344
Three Pointers D 88% 305 D 0.2% 317
Total C- 58% 234 D+ 4.7% 246

Miscellaneous
Offense Defense
Possession Length 17.8 234 16.5 46
Fast Break Points Per Possession 0.11 334 0.18 213
Consistency 0.14 304 0.14 276
Improvement +4.0 21 -0.2 202

NCAA Tournament Selection
At-Large Selection Status Out of Consideration
Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Prediction Ranges
Pessimistic
5th Percentile 		Expected
50th Percentile 		Optimistic
95th Percentile
Predictive Rating Rank 301 297 294
Results Rating Rank 302 298 294
Conference Record 7 - 11 7 - 11 7 - 11
Conference Finish 11 11 11
NCAA Tourney Seed None None None
NCAA Tourney Finish None None None

NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0% n/a n/a
#1 Seed 0% n/a n/a
Top 2 Seed 0% n/a n/a
Top 4 Seed 0% n/a n/a
Top 6 Seed 0% n/a n/a
NCAA Tourney Bid 0% n/a n/a
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0% n/a n/a
Average Seed n/a n/a n/a
.500 or above 0% n/a n/a
.500 or above in Conference 0% 0% 0.0%
Conference Champion 0% 0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 0% 0% 0.0%
First Four0% n/a n/a
First Round0% n/a n/a
Second Round0% n/a n/a
Sweet Sixteen0% n/a n/a
Elite Eight0% n/a n/a
Final Four0% n/a n/a
Championship Game0% n/a n/a
National Champion0% n/a n/a

Projected Record by Quadrant
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 00 - 0
Quad 1b0 - 20 - 2
Quad 20 - 00 - 2
Quad 33 - 93 - 11
Quad 45 - 108 - 21


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Lead Record Total Rating Offense Defense
Avg Time Overall Conf Total First
FGA		 2nd Chance TOs Total First
FGA		 2nd Chance TOs
 Mon, Nov 3 247 @Eastern Michigan L 49 - 71 28% -8  12% 0 - 1 F -24 F -23 F D- F C -1 A F B-
 Fri, Nov 7 42 @Cincinnati L 64 - 74 3% -6  14% 0 - 2 B- +5 D -4 C- B- D- A +10 A C+ A+
 Mon, Nov 10 271 Presbyterian L 61 - 63 55% +5  80% 0 - 3 D -11 D- -8 F+ C- C- D+ -4 C- F A-
 Mon, Nov 17 69 @Arizona St. L 62 - 75 4% +1  51% 0 - 4 C -1 F+ -10 D F+ F A- +8 C- A+ C-
 Fri, Nov 21 209 @South Dakota St. L 58 - 105 21% -28  0% 0 - 5 F -47 F -19 F F D+ F -26 F B D+
 Tue, Nov 25 195 Samford L 63 - 78 28% -7  4% 0 - 6 F+ -17 F -15 F B- C- C- -2 C- F A+
 Wed, Nov 26 176 New Mexico St. L 58 - 77 25% -9  25% 0 - 7 F -20 F -23 F F D- B +4 C B D
 Tue, Dec 2 181 @Mercer L 67 - 78 18% -5  20% 0 - 8 D -9 F -11 D F D C+ +2 A- D D+
 Sat, Dec 6 154 @Kennesaw St. L 69 - 92 15% -16  0% 0 - 9 F -20 F -17 F B B C+ +1 F C A+
 Sat, Dec 13 194 Jacksonville St. W 77 - 73 38% +5  88% 1 - 9 C -1 B- +5 D B- A+ D -6 B+ F F
 Thu, Dec 18 261 @Georgia Southern L 67 - 90 30% -8  15% 1 - 10 0 - 1 F -26 F+ -8 D+ F D F -18 C+ F F
 Sat, Dec 20 170 @Appalachian St. W 70 - 63 17% +4  78% 2 - 10 1 - 1 B +9 C -0 B+ F F A +9 C+ A+ D
 Wed, Dec 31 186 @Marshall L 80 - 84 19% -2  31% 2 - 11 1 - 2 C- -3 D+ -3 D B- C- C+ +1 C F B+
 Sat, Jan 3 228 @Coastal Carolina W 89 - 71 24% -1  29% 3 - 11 2 - 2 A- +17 A+ +23 A+ A B- D+ -4 B- F B+
 Thu, Jan 8 170 Appalachian St. L 50 - 52 34% +2  70% 3 - 12 2 - 3 D+ -6 F -19 F C+ B+ A+ +13 A+ C B+
 Sat, Jan 10 186 Marshall W 81 - 73 37% -3  21% 4 - 12 3 - 3 C+ +3 D+ -4 F A+ D A- +7 A- D+ A+
 Sat, Jan 17 353 @Louisiana Monroe W 77 - 57 63% +9  80% 5 - 12 4 - 3 B +8 C- -2 C- F B A+ +11 A- A- C-
 Thu, Jan 22 226 Southern Miss W 69 - 62 44% +2  61% 6 - 12 5 - 3 C +0 F+ -9 F A+ D A +9 A- A F+
 Sat, Jan 24 145 Arkansas St. W 82 - 81 28% -3  27% 7 - 12 6 - 3 C -1 B+ +8 A F A F+ -9 F B- C+
 Thu, Jan 29 301 @Louisiana L 72 - 82 39% -10  3% 7 - 13 6 - 4 F+ -15 C +2 F C- A+ F -18 F F C
 Sat, Jan 31 185 @South Alabama L 67 - 69 19% -4  8% 7 - 14 6 - 5 C -1 B- +4 D+ B C+ D -5 F C F
 Wed, Feb 4 151 Troy L 63 - 74 30% -4  11% 7 - 15 6 - 6 D- -14 F+ -8 F C B+ D- -6 D- B+ F+
 Sat, Feb 7 321 Northern Illinois L 74 - 75 69% +1  46% 7 - 16 D- -14 D- -7 D- F A D- -7 F A- F+
 Thu, Feb 12 202 @James Madison L 79 - 81 OT 21% -2  25% 7 - 17 6 - 7 C -1 C- -1 C D+ D C -0 D C+ B+
 Sat, Feb 14 240 @Old Dominion L 55 - 78 26% -12  0% 7 - 18 6 - 8 F -24 F -16 F B- B F -10 F F B
 Thu, Feb 19 261 Georgia Southern W 66 - 64 52% +4  85% 8 - 18 7 - 8 D+ -7 F -14 F C- A+ A- +7 A- A- F
 Sat, Feb 21 202 James Madison L 65 - 80 40% -11  0% 8 - 19 7 - 9 F -20 F -11 D+ F+ F F -10 F+ F B
 Tue, Feb 24 228 Coastal Carolina L 71 - 76 45% -2  20% 8 - 20 7 - 10 D- -12 C- -2 C+ F B- F -10 D D+ F
 Fri, Feb 27 240 Old Dominion L 73 - 81 47% -1  36% 8 - 21 7 - 11 F+ -15 F+ -10 F B- A+ D -5 D+ F B-
Totals 8 - 21 7 - 11 -8 D -6 A- F+ F+ C- -2 F+ A- C+



Game Detail
Grades are adjusted for opponent strength in each category. Game stats are not adjusted for oppoent strength. See methodology page for descriptions of rating types.
Offense Defense
Tot Off First Field Goal Attempt Second Chance TOs Freethrows Tot Def First Field Goal Attempt Second Chance TOs Freethrows
Shot Accuracy Shot Selection Points Per Shot Shot Accuracy Shot Selection Points Per Shot
2 C 2 L 3 Tot 2 C 2 L 3 Tot Off Reb PPP Tot Att Perc Tot 2 C 2 L 3 Tot 2 C 2 L 3 Tot Off Reb PPP Tot Att Perc Tot
Season Ratings D D- D+ F+ F+ 27% 45% 43% F+ F D+ C D+ C C- A- C+ C- C- C- C C- 41% 19% 40% D+ C- D C+ C- C- C C C+
1.00 50% 34% 29% -7 -2 0.85 27% 1.0 .28 17% .29 78% .23 1.11 59% 40% 34% +1 0 1.05 34% 1.0 .34 16% .30 72% .21
Nov
3		 Eastern Michigan F F F D+ F 36% 26% 38% D F C F D- F F F+ F C A+ C- A A+ 49% 30% 21% D+ A F C F B- B+ A+ A
0.72 22% 31% 32% -16 -1 0.68 30% 0.7 .20 25% .23 67% .16 1.04 42% 38% 27% -10 0 0.81 47% 1.0 .47 19% .20 55% .11
Nov
7		 Cincinnati D C- C+ F+ C+ 20% 44% 36% F C- C- A+ B- D- B A+ A+ A F C+ A+ A+ 35% 15% 50% D+ A C- B C+ A+ F B F
0.85 50% 41% 28% -4 -4 0.86 24% 1.4 .32 23% .31 89% .27 0.98 72% 38% 19% -6 0 0.90 34% 0.9 .32 21% .44 65% .29
Nov
10		 Presbyterian D- B- C F D- 37% 23% 40% D F+ A- F C- C- A- B A D+ C- A+ F+ C- 44% 23% 33% D+ C- D+ F F A- F F F
1.02 63% 40% 24% -4 0 0.93 38% 0.8 .29 17% .36 72% .26 1.05 59% 22% 38% -1 0 1.00 35% 1.4 .50 23% .41 79% .33
Nov
17		 Arizona St. F+ D F B+ C- 21% 34% 45% F D D- F+ F+ F C A B- A- F F A+ D- 31% 40% 29% A+ C- B A+ A+ C- A- B A-
0.87 50% 25% 38% -3 -3 0.89 25% 0.9 .22 25% .30 81% .24 1.06 71% 55% 25% +7 -3 1.09 29% 0.4 .11 14% .29 72% .21
Nov
21		 South Dakota St. F B+ D- F F 24% 12% 63% C F F D F D+ A+ F A+ F F F F F 42% 9% 49% F+ F D- A+ B D+ F F+ F
0.81 67% 33% 19% -12 0 0.78 11% 1.0 .11 17% .45 67% .30 1.47 77% 80% 50% +24 +2 1.53 33% 0.8 .26 14% .36 77% .28
Nov
25		 Samford F F F F F 27% 14% 59% B+ F B+ D+ B- C- A+ A+ A+ C- D- A+ B C 42% 12% 47% F C- F F F A+ F C+ F
0.90 29% 29% 17% -25 0 0.53 33% 1.1 .35 14% .45 89% .40 1.11 67% 20% 30% -1 +1 1.02 31% 1.3 .41 20% .61 68% .41
Nov
26		 New Mexico St. F C+ F F F 27% 22% 51% C- F D F F D- F C- F B B+ A- F C+ 38% 29% 33% C C F A+ B D A- C+ B+
0.78 60% 8% 25% -13 -1 0.75 26% 0.7 .19 18% .20 75% .15 1.04 50% 29% 42% -2 -1 0.97 39% 0.7 .26 12% .21 71% .15
Dec
2		 Mercer F D+ A D- C- 28% 30% 42% F D F F F D C F D+ C+ D+ A- A+ A- 33% 20% 47% C A- D+ D+ D D+ F D F
0.94 53% 50% 32% +1 -2 1.00 24% 0.7 .16 20% .26 67% .17 1.10 63% 30% 26% -6 0 0.90 35% 1.1 .38 15% .50 77% .38
Dec
6		 Kennesaw St. F F F F F 38% 16% 46% C F D A+ B B B+ C B+ C+ D C- F F 44% 15% 41% C F A F C A+ F A- D-
0.82 29% 11% 15% -28 +1 0.46 25% 1.4 .36 14% .46 76% .35 1.09 63% 38% 45% +9 +1 1.22 27% 1.2 .33 23% .44 62% .28
Dec
13		 Jacksonville St. B- F A- C+ C- 21% 26% 53% F D C A- B- A+ A+ A A+ D A A+ D+ A- 54% 10% 37% D- B+ D+ F F F B- A+ A
1.17 33% 45% 35% -3 -2 0.93 28% 1.2 .34 11% .54 84% .46 1.11 43% 20% 37% -8 +3 0.90 32% 1.3 .41 6% .32 50% .16
Dec
18		 Georgia Southern F+ A F C- D+ 29% 15% 56% D D+ D F F D F D- F F A+ A+ F B- 40% 2% 58% F+ C+ F B- F F F F F
1.00 71% 14% 33% 0 0 1.02 30% 0.7 .22 21% .26 71% .19 1.34 32% 0% 39% -7 +2 0.94 44% 1.1 .47 10% .58 89% .52
Dec
20		 Appalachian St. C A+ D- B A 30% 28% 41% F+ B+ D+ F F F A+ B+ A+ A D+ A+ C- B- 42% 16% 42% D+ C+ A+ A+ A+ D F B+ D
1.04 79% 31% 37% +6 -2 1.11 26% 0.5 .13 21% .37 75% .28 0.93 62% 0% 33% -5 +1 0.94 19% 0.4 .08 13% .41 58% .24
Dec
31		 Marshall D+ B+ B- F C- 23% 38% 40% F D C- A B- C- B- A+ A C+ F A+ B+ B- 33% 16% 51% F+ C B F F B+ F A+ F+
1.07 67% 40% 29% -1 -3 0.94 32% 1.2 .38 17% .37 87% .32 1.12 76% 25% 31% +2 0 1.06 27% 1.8 .48 20% .37 64% .23
Jan
3		 Coastal Carolina A+ B D A+ A+ 10% 38% 52% F A+ C- A+ A B- D- A+ B- D+ C+ A+ C+ B 28% 19% 53% D- B- F F F B+ F+ F F
1.37 60% 35% 56% +16 -4 1.25 27% 1.6 .43 11% .24 100% .24 1.09 54% 22% 32% -6 -1 0.89 40% 1.3 .50 19% .32 82% .26
Jan
8		 Appalachian St. F F D- F F 30% 44% 26% F F F A+ C+ B+ D F D- A+ A- A+ A+ A+ 40% 13% 47% D A+ F A+ C B+ A+ B- A+
0.81 33% 32% 15% -17 -4 0.60 20% 1.5 .30 11% .24 62% .15 0.84 50% 0% 24% -15 +1 0.73 40% 0.8 .31 19% .20 60% .12
Jan
10		 Marshall D+ F C F F 31% 26% 43% D+ F B+ A+ A+ D A+ A+ A+ A- B- A- B+ A 34% 20% 46% D A- F B+ D+ A+ F A+ D-
1.10 46% 36% 22% -12 -1 0.76 41% 1.4 .56 19% .66 85% .55 0.99 59% 30% 30% -4 0 0.94 38% 1.0 .38 23% .39 59% .23
Jan
17		 Louisiana Monroe C- C- F A C 18% 16% 65% F+ C- F B+ F B F C- F+ A+ A+ C+ B A- 31% 26% 43% B+ A- C- A+ A- C- A+ C+ A+
1.15 60% 33% 42% +7 -1 1.15 21% 1.3 .26 13% .17 70% .12 0.85 35% 36% 30% -10 -1 0.80 26% 0.6 .16 16% .18 70% .13
Jan
22		 Southern Miss F+ F F F F 30% 21% 49% D F B A+ A+ D A+ B- A+ A D+ A- A+ A- 31% 33% 37% B A- A+ F A F+ B A- A-
0.96 38% 22% 24% -17 -1 0.67 33% 1.7 .56 19% .50 72% .36 0.86 63% 29% 21% -9 -2 0.81 15% 1.3 .21 15% .31 68% .21
Jan
24		 Arkansas St. B+ F A+ A+ A+ 20% 26% 54% F+ A F F F A B A+ A+ F+ C F D+ F 51% 6% 43% F F D A B- C+ D+ F F
1.22 40% 62% 44% +11 -2 1.20 13% 0.5 .07 10% .37 91% .33 1.20 58% 100% 35% +5 +3 1.17 41% 0.8 .34 21% .36 89% .32
Jan
29		 Louisiana C F D+ F F 33% 28% 40% F F C+ D C- A+ A+ A+ A+ F D D- F F 23% 45% 32% A F F D+ F C F F F
1.11 43% 33% 24% -12 -1 0.74 34% 0.9 .32 9% .60 94% .56 1.27 60% 45% 57% +15 -4 1.23 41% 0.9 .38 17% .39 81% .32
Shot Accuracy Shot Selection PPS 2nd Chance TOs Freethrows Shot Accuracy Shot Selection PPS 2nd Chance TOs Freethrows
Jan
31		 South Alabama B- C F C+ C 10% 17% 73% F+ D+ A D B C+ A- F B D F F A+ F 51% 19% 30% D+ F F A+ C F D+ A+ B-
1.12 60% 25% 34% -2 -1 0.96 40% 1.0 .40 17% .30 67% .20 1.15 71% 56% 21% +4 +1 1.13 30% 0.9 .27 8% .34 53% .18
Feb
4		 Troy F+ F+ C- F F 31% 35% 33% F F D A- C B+ A- D+ B D- F A+ B D 51% 4% 45% F D- F+ A+ B+ F+ A A A
0.99 47% 41% 25% -7 -2 0.83 27% 1.2 .32 14% .35 68% .24 1.16 69% 0% 30% +2 +3 1.12 40% 0.6 .25 13% .21 67% .14
Feb
7		 Northern Illinois D- A+ F F D 38% 27% 35% F+ D- D F F A A+ C+ A+ D- A+ F F F 45% 12% 43% D+ F A+ C- A- F+ D F F+
1.03 78% 23% 24% -2 -1 0.96 27% 0.7 .19 13% .53 73% .38 1.05 41% 50% 48% +3 +2 1.10 18% 0.8 .15 18% .38 73% .27
Feb
12		 James Madison C- F B A+ C+ 39% 26% 35% D+ C D- B- D+ D C D C- C C+ F+ F+ D 45% 13% 42% D- D C- A- C+ B+ D C D+
1.07 43% 43% 42% 0 -1 1.00 24% 1.1 .26 15% .35 68% .24 1.09 56% 43% 39% +3 +2 1.11 31% 0.9 .28 20% .34 70% .24
Feb
14		 Old Dominion F F F F F 23% 44% 33% F F C+ C+ B- B D+ A+ C+ F F D- F F 37% 30% 33% C+ F F F F B C- A+ B-
0.85 33% 17% 18% -23 -4 0.48 33% 1.1 .35 12% .32 83% .27 1.21 71% 43% 40% +9 -1 1.17 41% 1.4 .56 19% .30 63% .19
Feb
19		 Georgia Southern F F F F F 32% 30% 38% F F D+ C+ C- A+ D- A+ B- A- A A+ B+ A 38% 7% 55% D+ A- B A A- F A A- A
0.96 39% 29% 29% -12 -2 0.75 31% 1.1 .33 13% .32 95% .30 0.93 43% 25% 29% -11 +2 0.84 24% 0.9 .21 9% .24 67% .16
Feb
21		 James Madison F F B+ B- C+ 26% 46% 28% F D+ F C- F+ F C- A+ B- F D F A+ F+ 53% 17% 30% D- F+ F B- F B F D+ F
0.97 46% 43% 36% 0 -4 0.94 20% 1.0 .20 18% .33 83% .27 1.19 64% 100% 14% +5 +2 1.15 48% 1.0 .48 19% .41 73% .30
Feb
24		 Coastal Carolina C- B- B+ F+ B- 32% 42% 26% D- C+ D+ F F B- C+ A+ A- F B F C D 33% 24% 44% D D F A- D+ F C+ F C-
1.06 59% 45% 29% +1 -3 0.98 25% 0.6 .14 10% .32 84% .27 1.13 50% 54% 33% +1 -1 1.02 34% 0.8 .27 9% .25 80% .20
Feb
27		 Old Dominion F+ F A F F 27% 37% 37% F F C- A- B- A+ A+ F A D F D A+ D- 38% 36% 26% B D+ B+ F F B- F D+ F
0.99 50% 47% 16% -9 -3 0.79 30% 1.2 .35 8% .50 65% .32 1.10 72% 41% 25% +3 -2 1.04 21% 2.0 .41 18% .49 77% .38



Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Sun Belt Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 4th
5th 5th
6th 6th
7th 7th
8th 8th
9th 9th
10th 10th
11th 100.0 100.0 11th
12th 12th
13th 13th
14th 14th
Total 100.0 Total



Sun Belt Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8
9-9
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8
9-9
8-10
7-11 100.0% 100.0
6-12
5-13
4-14
3-15
2-16
1-17
0-18
Total 100% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0 100.0 0.0%