James Madison
Sun Belt
2019-20 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
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Overall
Predictive Rating+0.1#147
Expected Predictive Rating-0.1#172
Pace65.1#298
Improvement+1.7#56

Offense
Total Offense+3.6#85
First Shot+4.7#56
After Offensive Rebound-1.1#237
Layup/Dunks-0.8#214
2 Pt Jumpshots-2.6#316
3 Pt Jumpshots+8.1#10
Freethrows+0.0#177
Improvement+3.4#3

Defense
Total Defense-3.6#297
First Shot-3.8#304
After Offensive Rebounds+0.2#175
Layups/Dunks-0.1#181
2 Pt Jumpshots+1.0#127
3 Pt Jumpshots-2.5#282
Freethrows-2.3#304
Improvement-1.7#314
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 15.7% 21.7% 14.6%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 13.9 13.4 14.0
.500 or above 86.2% 95.4% 84.5%
.500 or above in Conference 87.2% 92.8% 86.1%
Conference Champion 20.7% 27.8% 19.4%
Last Place in Conference 0.2% 0.0% 0.2%
First Four0.1% 0.0% 0.1%
First Round15.7% 21.7% 14.5%
Second Round0.9% 1.5% 0.8%
Sweet Sixteen0.2% 0.4% 0.1%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: George Mason (Away) - 16.1% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 10 - 1
Quad 1b0 - 10 - 2
Quad 20 - 10 - 4
Quad 34 - 45 - 8
Quad 414 - 419 - 12


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Mon, Nov 3 58 @Akron L 71-85 13%     0 - 1 -1.6 -1.3 +0.0
  Sun, Nov 9 364 Coppin St. W 84-70 96%     1 - 1 -6.0 +3.9 -9.9
  Wed, Nov 12 260 @Longwood L 72-82 59%     1 - 2 -12.3 -2.6 -9.7
  Sat, Nov 15 232 @LIU Brooklyn L 79-88 55%     1 - 3 -10.2 +0.8 -10.2
  Tue, Nov 18 128 Towson W 81-75 54%     2 - 3 +5.1 +19.8 -13.9
  Mon, Nov 24 215 @Florida International W 80-72 52%     3 - 3 +7.6 +11.4 -3.6
  Tue, Nov 25 256 Nebraska Omaha W 88-77 69%     4 - 3 +5.8 +17.6 -11.0
  Sat, Nov 29 74 @George Mason L 66-77 16%    
  Wed, Dec 3 350 NC Central W 81-66 92%    
  Sat, Dec 6 233 Norfolk St. W 72-65 75%    
  Wed, Dec 17 216 @Old Dominion W 75-74 52%    
  Sat, Dec 20 246 @Georgia Southern W 79-77 57%    
  Sun, Dec 28 25 @Arkansas L 69-86 6%    
  Sun, Jan 4 172 @Arkansas St. L 79-81 44%    
  Wed, Jan 7 183 Marshall W 81-76 67%    
  Sat, Jan 10 216 Old Dominion W 78-71 73%    
  Thu, Jan 15 279 @Appalachian St. W 71-68 63%    
  Sat, Jan 17 183 @Marshall L 78-79 46%    
  Thu, Jan 22 180 South Alabama W 72-67 65%    
  Sat, Jan 24 203 Texas St. W 73-67 70%    
  Thu, Jan 29 131 @Troy L 72-77 33%    
  Sat, Jan 31 237 @Southern Miss W 75-74 55%    
  Wed, Feb 4 304 Louisiana W 76-65 83%    
  Thu, Feb 12 337 Georgia St. W 80-66 89%    
  Sat, Feb 14 279 Appalachian St. W 74-65 80%    
  Wed, Feb 18 253 @Coastal Carolina W 76-74 58%    
  Sat, Feb 21 337 @Georgia St. W 77-69 76%    
  Wed, Feb 25 246 Georgia Southern W 82-74 76%    
  Fri, Feb 27 253 Coastal Carolina W 79-71 76%    
Projected Record 18 - 11 12 - 6




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Sun Belt Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.4 2.5 5.5 6.3 3.8 1.8 0.4 20.7 1st
2nd 0.3 3.4 6.8 5.1 1.6 0.2 0.0 17.5 2nd
3rd 0.2 2.2 6.2 3.8 0.8 0.0 13.2 3rd
4th 0.0 1.1 5.1 3.8 0.7 0.0 10.7 4th
5th 0.5 3.8 4.0 0.9 0.0 9.1 5th
6th 0.1 1.8 4.2 1.1 0.1 7.3 6th
7th 0.0 0.7 3.6 1.8 0.1 6.3 7th
8th 0.0 0.3 2.2 2.2 0.3 5.0 8th
9th 0.1 0.9 2.1 0.6 0.0 3.7 9th
10th 0.1 0.6 1.4 0.7 0.1 0.0 2.8 10th
11th 0.0 0.2 0.9 0.7 0.2 2.0 11th
12th 0.0 0.2 0.4 0.5 0.1 1.1 12th
13th 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.4 13th
14th 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 14th
Total 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.8 2.1 3.5 6.0 8.7 11.5 12.7 14.7 13.9 11.5 7.9 4.0 1.8 0.4 Total



Sun Belt Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0 100.0% 0.4    0.4
17-1 99.4% 1.8    1.7 0.1
16-2 94.0% 3.8    3.2 0.6 0.0
15-3 79.0% 6.3    4.2 1.8 0.3 0.0
14-4 48.2% 5.5    2.4 2.4 0.7 0.1
13-5 18.3% 2.5    0.4 1.0 0.8 0.3 0.1
12-6 2.8% 0.4    0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0
11-7 0.1% 0.0    0.0
10-8 0.0%
9-9 0.0%
Total 20.7% 20.7 12.4 5.8 1.9 0.5 0.1 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0 0.4% 54.7% 54.7% 12.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.2
17-1 1.8% 51.2% 51.2% 12.8 0.0 0.3 0.5 0.2 0.0 0.9
16-2 4.0% 41.8% 41.8% 13.1 0.0 0.4 0.8 0.5 0.1 2.4
15-3 7.9% 37.7% 37.7% 13.5 0.2 1.3 1.3 0.2 0.0 4.9
14-4 11.5% 28.7% 28.7% 13.9 0.1 0.9 1.6 0.7 0.0 8.2
13-5 13.9% 21.2% 21.2% 14.2 0.1 0.5 1.3 1.0 0.1 10.9
12-6 14.7% 13.7% 13.7% 14.5 0.2 0.8 0.9 0.1 12.7
11-7 12.7% 7.4% 7.4% 14.6 0.1 0.4 0.4 0.1 11.8
10-8 11.5% 3.8% 3.8% 15.0 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.1 11.1
9-9 8.7% 2.2% 2.2% 15.1 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 8.5
8-10 6.0% 1.0% 1.0% 15.6 0.0 0.0 0.0 5.9
7-11 3.5% 0.7% 0.7% 15.7 0.0 0.0 3.5
6-12 2.1% 0.3% 0.3% 16.0 0.0 2.1
5-13 0.8% 0.8
4-14 0.3% 0.3
3-15 0.1% 0.1
2-16 0.0% 0.0
1-17 0.0% 0.0
0-18
Total 100% 15.7% 15.7% 0.0% 13.9 0.0 0.0 0.1 1.1 4.3 6.1 3.6 0.5 84.3 0.0%