James Madison
Sun Belt
2019-20 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
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Predictive Rating -2.9 #213
Expected Predictive Rating -1.9 #200
Pace 64.1 #316
Improvement +0.5 #150

Overall 1st FGA Second Chance TOs Free
throws		 Shot Selection
Offense #164 C C- C C C+
Defense #265 C C+ F D- D+

Offense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 38% #206 1.18 #156 -0.2 #186
2 Pt. Jumpers 17% #257 0.63 #323 -2.4 #299
Three Pointers 46% #88 1.01 #193 +2.2 #108
1st FG Attempt 1.01 #191 -0.5 #190
Freethrows 17.3 #190 73% #180 12.6 #176
Second Chance 27.7% #261 1.04 #184 0.29 #249
Turnovers 17.0% #201
Total Offense +0.1 #164

Defense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 40% #139 1.11 #112 +0.1 #170
2 Pt. Jumpers 18% #264 0.80 #251 +0.7 #143
Three Pointers 42% #150 1.06 #247 -1.5 #248
1st FG Attempt 1.03 #203 -0.7 #203
Freethrows 20.6 #323 73% #197 15.0 #45
Second Chance 30.7% #175 0.96 #74 0.29 #117
Turnovers 12.3% #359
Total Defense -3.0 #265

Miscellaneous
Offense Defense
Shot Type Mix Effect 0.8% #137 1.0% #260
Shot Type Accuracy Effect -1.7% #203 0.4% #190
Possession Length 18.7 #314 17.4 #200
Fast Break Points Per Possession 0.13 #302 0.15 #88
Improvement -2.0 #298 +2.5 #52

See methodology page for descriptions of rating types.
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 4.1% 5.8% 2.9%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 14.4 14.3 14.6
.500 or above 65.8% 80.1% 55.9%
.500 or above in Conference 64.4% 80.0% 53.6%
Conference Champion 1.5% 2.8% 0.6%
Last Place in Conference 0.2% 0.0% 0.2%
First Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Round4.1% 5.7% 2.9%
Second Round0.1% 0.1% 0.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Appalachian St. (Away) - 40.9% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 10 - 1
Quad 1b0 - 10 - 2
Quad 21 - 11 - 4
Quad 33 - 64 - 9
Quad 412 - 617 - 15


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Avg Lead Record Total Rating Offense Defense
Overall Conf Total First
FGA		 2nd Chance TOs Total First
FGA		 2nd Chance TOs
 Mon, Nov 3 67 @Akron L 71 - 85 10% -0  0 - 1 -3 -2 C- F F -0 A+ C F
 Sun, Nov 9 364 Coppin St. W 84 - 70 96% +13  1 - 1 -9 +0 D+ F D+ -10 D+ F A+
 Wed, Nov 12 270 @Longwood L 72 - 82 52% -8  1 - 2 -13 -3 D F C -11 B B F
 Sat, Nov 15 219 @LIU Brooklyn L 79 - 88 39% -10  1 - 3 -9 -0 C+ F D -8 F A+ D-
 Tue, Nov 18 166 Towson W 81 - 75 53% +3  2 - 3 +2 +19 A+ F A+ -16 C- D- F
 Mon, Nov 24 172 @Florida International W 80 - 72 32% -1  3 - 3 +10 +10 F A+ A+ -0 B+ A+ F
 Tue, Nov 25 258 Nebraska Omaha W 88 - 77 60% +13  4 - 3 +6 +17 A+ A+ C- -11 F D- C
 Sat, Nov 29 86 @George Mason L 66 - 82 12% -1  4 - 4 -6 +0 D- C+ A+ -7 F A+ C
 Wed, Dec 3 338 NC Central W 67 - 62 85% +4  5 - 4 -9 -6 F D- B- -2 B- D+ C-
 Sat, Dec 6 289 Norfolk St. W 68 - 67 76% +4  6 - 4 -9 -2 F C+ A -7 F C- A+
 Wed, Dec 17 244 @Old Dominion L 68 - 77 46% -6  6 - 5 0 - 1 -11 -2 C F F -9 C- A+ F
 Sat, Dec 20 230 @Georgia Southern L 92 - 96 OT 41% +3  6 - 6 0 - 2 -5 +7 F A C -11 C+ C+ F
 Mon, Dec 29 26 @Arkansas L 74 - 103 3% -17  6 - 7 -11 +7 A+ C- F -18 F F F
 Sat, Jan 3 133 @Arkansas St. W 78 - 74 24% -2  7 - 7 1 - 2 +8 +6 A+ D F +3 B- A+ F
 Wed, Jan 7 171 Marshall L 64 - 66 54% -8  7 - 8 1 - 3 -6 -3 D- B D -3 A+ D+ F
 Sat, Jan 10 244 Old Dominion W 70 - 69 68% -9  8 - 8 2 - 3 -7 -5 B F F -2 A- B- F
 Thu, Jan 15 223 @Appalachian St. L 65 - 67 41%
 Sat, Jan 17 171 @Marshall L 72 - 77 32%
 Thu, Jan 22 190 South Alabama W 69 - 67 57%
 Sat, Jan 24 261 Texas St. W 74 - 68 71%
 Thu, Jan 29 125 @Troy L 68 - 76 23%
 Sat, Jan 31 210 @Southern Miss L 70 - 73 39%
 Wed, Feb 4 315 Louisiana W 71 - 62 81%
 Sat, Feb 7 164 Toledo W 77 - 76 53%
 Thu, Feb 12 290 Georgia St. W 75 - 68 76%
 Sat, Feb 14 223 Appalachian St. W 68 - 64 64%
 Wed, Feb 18 268 @Coastal Carolina W 72 - 71 50%
 Sat, Feb 21 290 @Georgia St. W 72 - 71 55%
 Wed, Feb 25 230 Georgia Southern W 80 - 76 64%
 Fri, Feb 27 268 Coastal Carolina W 74 - 68 71%
Totals 16 - 14 9 - 9 -3 +0 C C- C -3 C C+ F




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Sun Belt Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 0.2 0.7 0.5 0.1 1.5 1st
2nd 0.3 1.9 1.8 0.5 0.0 4.6 2nd
3rd 0.2 2.7 3.8 1.1 0.1 7.8 3rd
4th 0.0 2.1 5.9 2.1 0.1 10.2 4th
5th 0.0 0.8 6.4 4.2 0.3 11.7 5th
6th 0.2 4.2 6.9 0.9 0.0 12.2 6th
7th 0.0 1.6 7.9 2.2 0.0 11.8 7th
8th 0.4 5.4 5.1 0.2 11.1 8th
9th 0.1 2.5 5.8 1.1 0.0 9.5 9th
10th 0.0 0.9 4.1 2.5 0.1 7.7 10th
11th 0.0 0.5 2.6 3.0 0.3 6.3 11th
12th 0.0 0.2 1.2 1.8 0.6 0.0 3.9 12th
13th 0.0 0.2 0.5 0.7 0.2 0.0 1.7 13th
14th 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 14th
Total 0.0 0.2 0.8 2.4 5.6 10.6 15.9 19.2 18.0 14.0 8.3 3.7 1.1 0.1 Total



Sun Belt Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3 84.2% 0.1    0.1 0.0
14-4 46.2% 0.5    0.2 0.2 0.1 0.0
13-5 19.7% 0.7    0.1 0.3 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.0
12-6 2.0% 0.2    0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.0
11-7 0.0%
10-8 0.0%
9-9 0.0%
Total 1.5% 1.5 0.4 0.5 0.4 0.1 0.1 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3 0.1% 0.0 0.0 0.1
14-4 1.1% 26.7% 26.7% 13.6 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.8
13-5 3.7% 21.4% 21.4% 13.9 0.2 0.5 0.1 2.9
12-6 8.3% 11.0% 11.0% 14.3 0.1 0.5 0.4 0.0 7.4
11-7 14.0% 6.8% 6.8% 14.5 0.1 0.4 0.5 0.0 13.1
10-8 18.0% 3.1% 3.1% 15.0 0.1 0.3 0.1 17.5
9-9 19.2% 1.6% 1.6% 15.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.1 18.9
8-10 15.9% 1.2% 1.2% 15.4 0.0 0.1 0.1 15.7
7-11 10.6% 0.5% 0.5% 15.8 0.0 0.0 10.6
6-12 5.6% 5.6
5-13 2.4% 2.4
4-14 0.8% 0.8
3-15 0.2% 0.2
2-16 0.0% 0.0
1-17
0-18
Total 100% 4.1% 4.1% 0.0% 14.4 95.9 0.0%