IN CC Stats - NCAA Basketball

Louisiana Monroe
Sun Belt
2019-20 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
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Overall
Predictive Rating	-14.1	#361
Expected Predictive Rating	-17.3	#358

Pace	75.6	#50
Improvement	-0.4	#214

Offense
Total Offense	-7.2	#348

First Shot	-2.5	#247
After Offensive Rebound	-4.7	#360

Layup/Dunks	-1.7	#242
2 Pt Jumpshots	+1.3	#99
3 Pt Jumpshots	+0.8	#154
Freethrows	-2.8	#325

Improvement	-0.4	#219

Defense
Total Defense	-7.0	#354

First Shot	-5.6	#340
After Offensive Rebounds	-1.3	#278

Layups/Dunks	-3.2	#282
2 Pt Jumpshots	+0.4	#173
3 Pt Jumpshots	-5.5	#342
Freethrows	+2.5	#49

Improvement	-0.1	#197

	Now	Win Next	Lose Next
#1 Overall Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
#1 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Top 2 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Top 4 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Top 6 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Average Seed	16.0	16.0	n/a

.500 or above	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
.500 or above in Conference	2.0%	2.2%	0.9%
Conference Champion	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Last Place in Conference	60.2%	58.4%	70.0%

First Four	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
First Round	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Second Round	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Sweet Sixteen	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Elite Eight	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Final Four	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Championship Game	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
National Champion	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%

Next Game: Mississippi Valley (Home) - 84.9% chance of victory

Projected Seeding

Not in Tournament

Projected Record by Quad
Quad	Projected	Projected Cumulative
Quad 1a	0 - 1	0 - 1
Quad 1b	0 - 2	0 - 3
Quad 2	0 - 2	0 - 5
Quad 3	1 - 8	1 - 13
Quad 4	4 - 11	4 - 24

Date	Opponent	Result/Prediction			Record	Conf		Rating	Offense	Defense
Mon, Nov 3	280 @Northern Illinois	L	82-102	16%	0 - 1			-23.5	+1.2	-23.4
Fri, Nov 7	49 @Mississippi	L	65-86	1%	0 - 2			-7.6	-6.3	-0.2
Thu, Nov 13	276 @Houston Christian	L	61-72	16%	0 - 3			-14.3	-13.2	-1.1
Mon, Nov 17	199 Lamar	L	66-79	20%	0 - 4			-18.4	-8.3	-9.8
Sat, Nov 22	310 Morehead St.	L	80-83	28%	0 - 5			-11.0	+1.9	-12.9
Sun, Nov 23	137 @East Tennessee St.	L	55-97	5%	0 - 6			-37.4	-14.4	-23.6
Wed, Dec 3	365 Mississippi Valley	W	82-71	85%
Sun, Dec 7	139 @Stephen F. Austin	L	66-84	4%
Sat, Dec 13	44 @Miami (FL)	L	64-93	0.4%
Wed, Dec 17	180 South Alabama	L	66-76	19%
Sat, Dec 20	304 Louisiana	L	71-74	38%
Sun, Dec 28	54 @Kansas St.	L	71-98	1%
Thu, Jan 1	237 Southern Miss	L	73-80	28%
Sat, Jan 3	203 Texas St.	L	68-76	22%
Thu, Jan 8	304 @Louisiana	L	68-77	20%
Sat, Jan 10	237 @Southern Miss	L	70-83	13%
Sat, Jan 17	337 Georgia St.	L	75-76	48%
Thu, Jan 22	183 @Marshall	L	73-88	8%
Sat, Jan 24	279 @Appalachian St.	L	65-76	17%
Thu, Jan 29	246 Georgia Southern	L	77-83	29%
Sat, Jan 31	253 Coastal Carolina	L	74-80	29%
Wed, Feb 4	216 @Old Dominion	L	70-84	11%
Wed, Feb 11	172 @Arkansas St.	L	74-90	8%
Sat, Feb 14	203 @Texas St.	L	65-79	10%
Wed, Feb 18	131 Troy	L	70-83	12%
Sat, Feb 21	172 Arkansas St.	L	77-87	19%
Wed, Feb 25	180 @South Alabama	L	63-79	8%
Fri, Feb 27	131 @Troy	L	67-86	4%
Projected Record					4 - 24	3 - 15

Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.

Projected Sun Belt Finish

	0-18	1-17	2-16	3-15	4-14	5-13	6-12	7-11	8-10	9-9	10-8	11-7	12-6	13-5	14-4	15-3	16-2	17-1	18-0		Total
1st														0.0	0.0						0.0	1st
2nd													0.0	0.0							0.0	2nd
3rd											0.0	0.0	0.0								0.1	3rd
4th									0.0	0.0	0.1	0.1									0.2	4th
5th									0.0	0.1	0.2	0.1	0.0								0.3	5th
6th								0.0	0.1	0.4	0.2	0.0									0.6	6th
7th								0.0	0.5	0.5	0.0										1.1	7th
8th							0.0	0.4	0.9	0.2	0.0										1.5	8th
9th						0.0	0.2	1.3	0.8	0.0											2.4	9th
10th					0.0	0.3	1.9	1.7	0.3												4.2	10th
11th				0.0	0.5	2.2	3.3	0.9	0.0												7.0	11th
12th			0.0	1.1	4.1	4.8	2.0	0.2													12.2	12th
13th		0.7	4.0	7.8	8.0	3.3	0.4	0.0													24.1	13th
14th	5.4	12.5	14.5	9.9	3.4	0.5	0.0														46.2	14th

Total	5.4	13.2	18.5	18.9	16.1	11.2	7.9	4.5	2.5	1.2	0.5	0.2	0.1	0.0	0.0							Total

Sun Belt Regular Season Championship

Record	Champion	Total		Outright	2-Way	3-Way	4-Way	5-Way	6-Way	7-Way	8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4	100.0%	0.0		0.0			0.0
13-5	50.0%	0.0					0.0
12-6	0.0%
11-7	0.0%
10-8	0.0%
9-9	0.0%

Total	0.0%	0.0		0.0			0.0

NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf Record	Record Chance		Tourney Bid	Auto	At-Large	Avg Seed		1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16	No Bid		At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4	0.0%																						0.0	0.0
13-5	0.0%																							0.0
12-6	0.1%																							0.1
11-7	0.2%																							0.2
10-8	0.5%		1.4%	1.4%		16.0																	0.0	0.5
9-9	1.2%																							1.2
8-10	2.5%																							2.5
7-11	4.5%																							4.5
6-12	7.9%																							7.9
5-13	11.2%																							11.2
4-14	16.1%																							16.1
3-15	18.9%																							18.9
2-16	18.5%																							18.5
1-17	13.2%																							13.2
0-18	5.4%																							5.4

Total	100%		0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	16.0																	0.0	100.0		0.0%

Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

	Chance	Tourney Bid	Avg Seed	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16
Lose Out	1.2%