Louisiana Monroe
Sun Belt
2019-20 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
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All team stats adjusted for opponents. See methodology page for descriptions of rating types.

Predictive Rating -14.5 353
Results Rating -20.6 362
Consistency 0.17 265
Pace 74.2 41
Improvement +3.0 65

Overall 1st FGA Second Chance TOs Free
throws		 Shot Selection
Offense D 318 D D C C+ C
Defense F+ 358 F F D+ B D

Offense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 37% 219 D- 50% 342 -3.6 306
2 Pt. Jumpers 40% 152 C- 36% 227 -0.1 183
Three Pointers 41% 165 D+ 32% 276 -1.1 219
Shot Selection/Accuracy C -0.2 216 D -4.5 325
1st FG Attempt D 0.93 323
Second Chance D- 24.5% 330 C- 1.00 230 D 0.24 322
Opponents' Steals C- 9.8% 225
Other Turnovers C 7.2% 169
Turnovers C 17.0% 198
Freethrows C+ 0.31 156 C 72% 200 C+ 0.23 154
Total Offense D -5.8 318

Assists Blocks (Opponents')
Close Shots C- 44% 254 D- 14.4% 338
2 Pt. Jumpers Shots C- 23% 204 C 4.9% 182
Three Pointers C- 81% 250 D+ 1.3% 296
Total C- 52% 250 D 7.0% 317

Defense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 39% 171 F+ 66% 345 +3.2 293
2 Pt. Jumpers 14% 347 F 46% 359 -1.2 98
Three Pointers 47% 33 D- 37% 318 +5.4 352
Shot Selection/Accuracy D +0.8 327 F +6.3 360
1st FG Attempt F 1.17 361
Second Chance F+ 36.1% 348 D- 1.16 340 F 0.42 358
Turnovers from Steals D+ 8.4% 263
Other Turnovers C 7.2% 195
Turnovers D+ 15.6% 253
Freethrows B 0.26 43 B- 71% 96 B 0.18 44
Total Defense F+ -8.7 358

Assists Blocks
Close Shots F+ 60% 350 D+ 8.1% 294
2 Pt. Jumpers Shots D+ 31% 290 C 4.8% 178
Three Pointers D 89% 329 C- 0.7% 184
Total F+ 66% 353 D+ 4.2% 295

Miscellaneous
Offense Defense
Possession Length 17.1 143 16.2 24
Fast Break Points Per Possession 0.13 291 0.20 286
Consistency 0.15 341 0.15 324
Improvement +3.0 50 +0.0 185

NCAA Tournament Selection
At-Large Selection Status Out of Consideration
Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Prediction Ranges
Pessimistic
5th Percentile 		Expected
50th Percentile 		Optimistic
95th Percentile
Predictive Rating Rank 354 353 351
Results Rating Rank 364 363 362
Conference Record 1 - 17 1 - 17 1 - 17
Conference Finish 14 14 14
NCAA Tourney Seed None None None
NCAA Tourney Finish None None None

NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0% n/a n/a
#1 Seed 0% n/a n/a
Top 2 Seed 0% n/a n/a
Top 4 Seed 0% n/a n/a
Top 6 Seed 0% n/a n/a
NCAA Tourney Bid 0% n/a n/a
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0% n/a n/a
Average Seed n/a n/a n/a
.500 or above 0% n/a n/a
.500 or above in Conference 0% 0% 0.0%
Conference Champion 0% 0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 100% 100% 100.0%
First Four0% n/a n/a
First Round0% n/a n/a
Second Round0% n/a n/a
Sweet Sixteen0% n/a n/a
Elite Eight0% n/a n/a
Final Four0% n/a n/a
Championship Game0% n/a n/a
National Champion0% n/a n/a

Projected Record by Quadrant
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 10 - 1
Quad 1b0 - 00 - 1
Quad 20 - 40 - 5
Quad 30 - 80 - 14
Quad 42 - 132 - 27


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Lead Record Total Rating Offense Defense
Avg Time Overall Conf Total First
FGA		 2nd Chance TOs Total First
FGA		 2nd Chance TOs
 Mon, Nov 3 321 @Northern Illinois L 82 - 102 24% -10  19% 0 - 1 F -27 C +0 C+ C- C- F -26 F F B
 Fri, Nov 7 79 @Mississippi L 65 - 86 2% -17  0% 0 - 2 D -11 F+ -9 C- F D C -1 D D- A
 Thu, Nov 13 294 @Houston Christian L 61 - 72 18% +3  60% 0 - 3 F+ -16 F -17 F F F+ C+ +1 D+ C D-
 Mon, Nov 17 220 Lamar L 66 - 79 22% -9  0% 0 - 4 F -19 F -13 F+ C- D D -6 C- C F+
 Sat, Nov 22 279 Morehead St. L 80 - 83 23% -0  35% 0 - 5 D -10 C- -2 D F C+ D- -8 F D- D
 Sun, Nov 23 135 @East Tennessee St. L 55 - 97 5% -20  0% 0 - 6 F -38 F -17 F D C F -21 F F D+
 Wed, Dec 3 365 Mississippi Valley W 66 - 52 86% +4  82% 1 - 6 D- -12 F -15 F+ F D+ B- +3 A C- F
 Sun, Dec 7 103 @Stephen F. Austin L 76 - 96 3% -11  0% 1 - 7 D- -13 C+ +2 F A- A F -14 F C- D+
 Sat, Dec 13 39 @Miami (FL) L 79 - 104 1% -12  0% 1 - 8 D -8 A- +10 B+ B- A F -18 F D+ F
 Wed, Dec 17 185 South Alabama L 92 - 96 2OT 18% +7  72% 1 - 9 0 - 1 D -9 D+ -3 B A+ F D+ -5 F+ F A+
 Sat, Dec 20 301 Louisiana L 62 - 76 37% -12  0% 1 - 10 0 - 2 F -25 F -11 F C F F -16 F A- F
 Sun, Dec 28 97 @Kansas St. L 85 - 94 3% -6  27% 1 - 11 C -0 B- +4 A F C D+ -4 D B C
 Thu, Jan 1 226 Southern Miss L 73 - 87 23% -11  0% 1 - 12 0 - 3 F -21 F+ -10 F+ D+ B- F+ -10 F C B+
 Sat, Jan 3 234 Texas St. L 79 - 84 24% -3  12% 1 - 13 0 - 4 D- -12 C- -2 A F C- F -10 C- F C-
 Thu, Jan 8 301 @Louisiana L 79 - 85 19% -3  21% 1 - 14 0 - 5 D -11 C +1 B F+ C+ F -12 F F A-
 Sat, Jan 10 226 @Southern Miss L 60 - 70 10% +0  48% 1 - 15 0 - 6 D -11 F -12 F+ F+ F+ C+ +1 B D+ F
 Sat, Jan 17 296 Georgia St. L 57 - 77 37% -9  8% 1 - 16 0 - 7 F -31 F -19 F F C F -13 F C+ D-
 Thu, Jan 22 186 @Marshall L 60 - 115 8% -28  2% 1 - 17 0 - 8 F -54 F -22 F D- C+ F -29 F F C+
 Fri, Jan 23 170 @Appalachian St. L 43 - 59 7% -8  15% 1 - 18 0 - 9 D- -14 F -29 F F F+ A+ +15 B A+ C
 Fri, Jan 30 261 Georgia Southern L 76 - 79 28% -2  18% 1 - 19 0 - 10 D- -12 F+ -9 D+ D D C- -2 B- D B+
 Sun, Feb 1 228 Coastal Carolina L 79 - 83 23% -5  0% 1 - 20 0 - 11 D -11 B +7 A- C- B- F -18 F F C-
 Wed, Feb 4 240 @Old Dominion W 85 - 79 11% +6  97% 2 - 20 1 - 11 C+ +5 B- +5 C F+ D- C -1 B D- D
 Sat, Feb 7 313 Ball St. L 68 - 73 41% -8  0% 2 - 21 F+ -17 F+ -10 F C+ C+ D- -7 D F A-
 Wed, Feb 11 145 @Arkansas St. L 70 - 103 5% -15  0% 2 - 22 1 - 12 F -29 D- -8 D- D D+ F -19 F F F
 Sat, Feb 14 234 @Texas St. L 84 - 95 11% -6  2% 2 - 23 1 - 13 D- -12 A+ +17 A+ A B- F -30 F F F
 Wed, Feb 18 151 Troy L 76 - 77 13% -0  40% 2 - 24 1 - 14 C- -4 C- -2 F+ D A+ C- -2 C- C D
 Sat, Feb 21 145 Arkansas St. L 94 - 102 12% -6  4% 2 - 25 1 - 15 D -10 B+ +8 B+ A+ F F -17 F D+ F
 Wed, Feb 25 185 @South Alabama L 54 - 89 8% -21  0% 2 - 26 1 - 16 F -34 F -18 F F A+ F -18 F F+ B+
 Fri, Feb 27 151 @Troy L 65 - 80 6% -7  8% 2 - 27 1 - 17 D- -12 C- -1 F B- B F -12 F+ F D
Totals 2 - 27 1 - 17 -15 D -6 F D C F+ -9 D+ C C+



Game Detail
Grades are adjusted for opponent strength in each category. Game stats are not adjusted for oppoent strength. See methodology page for descriptions of rating types.
Offense Defense
Tot Off First Field Goal Attempt Second Chance TOs Freethrows Tot Def First Field Goal Attempt Second Chance TOs Freethrows
Shot Accuracy Shot Selection Points Per Shot Shot Accuracy Shot Selection Points Per Shot
2 C 2 L 3 Tot 2 C 2 L 3 Tot Off Reb PPP Tot Att Perc Tot 2 C 2 L 3 Tot 2 C 2 L 3 Tot Off Reb PPP Tot Att Perc Tot
Season Ratings D D- C- D+ D 37% 40% 41% C D D- C- D C C+ C C+ F+ F+ F D- F 39% 14% 47% D F F+ D- F D+ B B- B
1.00 50% 36% 32% -5 0 0.93 24% 1.0 .24 17% .31 72% .23 1.21 66% 46% 37% +6 +1 1.17 36% 1.2 .42 16% .26 71% .22
Nov
3		 Northern Illinois C D A+ A B- 40% 20% 40% D+ C+ F A+ C- C- B- C+ B- F B- F D F+ 51% 4% 45% F F F F F B F F F
1.09 55% 50% 40% +5 0 1.12 19% 1.7 .32 17% .36 73% .26 1.36 52% 100% 36% +1 +3 1.10 61% 1.6 1.00 24% .46 73% .33
Nov
7		 Mississippi F+ F B- C C 22% 28% 50% D C- F+ F F D D+ F F+ C B- B+ F D+ 26% 26% 47% D D C+ F D- A A A- A+
0.88 42% 40% 33% -4 -2 0.91 20% 0.9 .18 20% .29 59% .17 1.16 60% 33% 44% +7 -2 1.12 29% 1.4 .39 18% .21 69% .15
Nov
13		 Houston Christian F F+ C D F 43% 15% 42% C+ F F D F F+ F A+ F C+ C B- C+ C 45% 11% 45% F D+ C+ C C D- A+ F A-
0.87 52% 38% 32% -4 +1 0.96 12% 1.0 .12 21% .13 86% .11 1.03 56% 33% 32% -3 +2 1.00 28% 0.9 .25 14% .17 80% .13
Nov
17		 Lamar F D- F C+ F 43% 22% 35% C F+ C- C- C- D A- F D+ D D F A+ D+ 28% 33% 38% C C- C C+ C F+ D+ C+ C-
0.92 52% 18% 35% -6 0 0.90 29% 1.0 .29 19% .45 54% .24 1.10 59% 50% 26% 0 -2 0.97 33% 0.9 .31 13% .25 69% .17
Nov
22		 Morehead St. C- F A+ D+ D- 38% 14% 48% C D C- F F C+ D B+ D+ D- D- B- F F 36% 30% 34% B- F F C D- D F A F
1.13 45% 63% 32% -3 +1 0.98 34% 0.7 .23 14% .28 76% .21 1.17 65% 36% 44% +7 -1 1.13 42% 0.9 .39 16% .48 66% .32
Nov
23		 East Tennessee St. F D F F F 31% 20% 49% D F F B+ D C D B D+ F F F F F 43% 17% 40% C- F F F F D+ A+ D A+
0.79 53% 20% 21% -15 -1 0.71 21% 1.1 .23 19% .25 79% .20 1.40 76% 50% 43% +15 +1 1.34 39% 1.4 .54 14% .17 80% .14
Dec
3		 Mississippi Valley F A+ F F+ F+ 36% 17% 48% C F+ F F F D+ A+ F+ A B- B- B+ A+ A+ 27% 43% 29% B- A D+ C+ C- F B- C+ B-
1.02 80% 0% 30% -1 0 1.00 24% 1.0 .24 18% .55 69% .38 0.80 50% 32% 13% -14 -4 0.67 26% 0.8 .21 15% .24 69% .16
Dec
7		 Stephen F. Austin C+ D F F F 46% 18% 37% B- F C+ A+ A- A A B+ A+ F F A+ F F 38% 24% 38% D+ F C D C- D+ B- B+ B
1.04 50% 30% 19% -13 +1 0.77 30% 1.4 .42 12% .38 79% .30 1.32 91% 21% 45% +15 0 1.31 32% 1.1 .35 11% .20 62% .12
Dec
13		 Miami (FL) A- D F A+ A- 29% 18% 54% C+ B+ C A- B- A D+ F D- F F+ F F F 59% 3% 38% F F F B+ D+ F A- A+ A+
1.11 50% 20% 47% +5 0 1.11 23% 1.2 .28 14% .23 57% .13 1.47 71% 50% 45% +14 +4 1.38 47% 1.0 .47 11% .27 53% .14
Dec
17		 South Alabama D+ A F A A- 12% 15% 73% F+ B D+ A+ A+ F A+ A- A+ D+ F F A+ F 38% 16% 46% C+ F+ B- F F A+ B F C-
1.05 71% 22% 40% +5 -1 1.10 28% 1.8 .50 27% .33 81% .27 1.10 78% 50% 25% +3 +1 1.10 20% 2.1 .43 19% .27 79% .21
Dec
20		 Louisiana F F F A+ F 36% 28% 36% F F F A+ C F A+ B+ A+ F F C- F F 30% 30% 40% D+ F A- A A- F F A+ C-
0.97 36% 27% 43% -6 -1 0.87 23% 1.4 .33 22% .67 79% .52 1.19 67% 40% 50% +13 -2 1.24 21% 0.7 .14 9% .31 56% .17
Dec
28		 Kansas St. B- A- B- A+ A+ 33% 33% 33% F+ A F F F C A+ C- A+ D+ F B- B+ D 40% 10% 50% D D F A+ B C F D+ F
1.07 65% 41% 41% +7 -2 1.12 20% 0.9 .17 19% .53 71% .37 1.19 83% 33% 31% +7 +1 1.19 39% 0.7 .29 16% .36 75% .27
Jan
1		 Southern Miss F+ F B- D F+ 39% 21% 39% C- F+ F A+ D+ B- C- D- D F+ F F D F 49% 13% 38% F F D- B+ C B+ A+ F B+
0.95 45% 42% 32% -5 0 0.91 14% 1.7 .24 16% .34 64% .22 1.13 69% 71% 35% +10 +2 1.26 36% 0.9 .32 22% .25 87% .22
Jan
3		 Texas St. C- A- F A+ A+ 37% 19% 44% D+ A F F F C- D- D F+ F C- D A+ C- 49% 31% 20% D+ C- F F F C- A A+ A
1.08 68% 20% 52% +12 0 1.27 14% 0.5 .07 19% .27 69% .19 1.15 59% 44% 25% -1 -1 1.00 43% 1.3 .54 18% .20 67% .13
Jan
8		 Louisiana C C- F+ A+ B 58% 15% 27% B+ B F A+ F+ C+ C- C C- F D F C+ F 28% 22% 50% F F F F F A- D A+ C+
1.11 57% 29% 54% +6 +2 1.19 15% 1.5 .23 17% .37 73% .27 1.19 60% 67% 33% +6 -1 1.13 49% 1.1 .51 21% .27 53% .14
Jan
10		 Southern Miss F F F C+ F 42% 6% 52% A- F+ B- F F+ F+ D- C D- C+ D+ A+ A- B+ 35% 27% 37% C B A F D+ F D- A C
0.88 40% 0% 36% -8 +2 0.90 31% 0.6 .18 21% .30 69% .20 1.03 61% 21% 26% -8 -1 0.84 23% 1.6 .36 13% .41 67% .27
Jan
17		 Georgia St. F F D+ D F 31% 26% 43% F+ F F+ F F C F D+ F F D B- F F 18% 16% 65% D- F A- F C+ D- A+ A A+
0.85 35% 36% 30% -10 -1 0.80 26% 0.6 .16 16% .18 70% .13 1.15 60% 33% 42% +7 -1 1.15 21% 1.3 .26 13% .17 70% .12
Jan
22		 Marshall F F A+ F F 35% 19% 46% C+ F F C+ D- C+ A+ C A+ F C A+ F F 26% 7% 67% F F F F F C+ A+ D- A
0.81 28% 50% 17% -20 0 0.62 24% 1.0 .24 16% .47 72% .34 1.55 63% 25% 51% +18 +1 1.39 54% 1.3 .71 18% .15 78% .11
Jan
23		 Appalachian St. F F F F F 47% 9% 43% A F F F F F+ B- C C+ A+ D F A+ A- 39% 5% 56% F B D A+ A+ C A+ F A+
0.62 20% 20% 22% -28 +2 0.51 20% 0.5 .10 17% .30 71% .21 0.85 64% 67% 19% -9 +2 0.88 34% 0.1 .04 16% .15 78% .12
Jan
30		 Georgia Southern F+ C+ D D D+ 43% 18% 39% C- D+ D- C- D D A B+ A+ C- D+ F A+ C+ 35% 23% 42% A B- C F D B+ F D F
1.03 62% 33% 32% -1 +1 1.02 29% 1.0 .29 20% .46 81% .37 1.07 59% 55% 20% -5 -1 0.92 26% 1.3 .35 19% .57 76% .43
Shot Accuracy Shot Selection PPS 2nd Chance TOs Freethrows Shot Accuracy Shot Selection PPS 2nd Chance TOs Freethrows
Feb
1		 Coastal Carolina B D- A+ B A- 30% 21% 48% B A- C+ D C- B- D C+ D F F F+ F F 29% 22% 49% D F F F+ F C- A+ A- A+
1.18 47% 67% 37% +5 -1 1.11 30% 0.9 .27 10% .25 73% .18 1.24 67% 45% 48% +14 -1 1.29 37% 1.1 .40 15% .16 67% .11
Feb
4		 Old Dominion B- B+ A+ F C 40% 27% 33% D C A+ F F+ D- A+ B A+ C D+ A A+ B+ 38% 20% 42% D- B F+ C- D- D F A F
1.16 68% 54% 19% +1 -1 1.02 47% 0.4 .21 18% .60 78% .46 1.08 62% 27% 26% -6 0 0.91 31% 1.2 .36 14% .46 66% .30
Feb
7		 Ball St. F+ B+ D- F F 29% 31% 40% F F D- A+ C+ C+ A+ B A+ D- B+ F C- D- 45% 24% 31% C+ D F F F A- D F F+
0.98 67% 31% 12% -13 -2 0.71 28% 1.3 .38 17% .63 83% .52 1.05 45% 50% 33% -3 0 0.96 37% 1.1 .42 20% .33 78% .25
Feb
11		 Arkansas St. D- F D B- D- 29% 23% 48% D+ D- D C- D D+ A F B- F D- F F F 47% 5% 48% F F F D+ F F A A+ A+
0.95 40% 33% 36% -5 -1 0.90 23% 1.0 .23 16% .42 62% .26 1.39 67% 67% 39% +9 +3 1.26 51% 1.1 .56 15% .25 50% .13
Feb
14		 Texas St. A+ F+ A+ A+ A+ 48% 13% 39% B A+ A- B+ A B- B- F C- F D F F F 55% 25% 21% F F F F F F A B A
1.31 50% 67% 56% +13 +2 1.30 38% 1.1 .41 17% .36 63% .23 1.48 62% 77% 45% +15 +1 1.34 57% 1.5 .87 11% .19 73% .14
Feb
18		 Troy C- F+ A+ F F 41% 20% 39% C+ F+ F+ B- D A+ A- B- A- C- C F B C- 42% 6% 52% D C- B+ D- C D F A F+
1.08 48% 73% 18% -7 0 0.89 24% 1.1 .27 6% .35 74% .26 1.09 57% 67% 31% -1 +2 1.04 29% 1.1 .32 14% .43 65% .28
Feb
21		 Arkansas St. B+ A+ F B+ B+ 40% 19% 40% C+ B+ A+ A- A+ F A+ C+ A+ F B F F F 32% 8% 60% D+ F B- D- D+ F F F F
1.21 76% 20% 38% +6 0 1.15 39% 1.2 .48 19% .46 72% .33 1.31 53% 50% 44% +8 +1 1.21 35% 1.2 .41 15% .47 84% .40
Feb
25		 South Alabama F F F+ F F 22% 13% 65% D+ F F D F A+ B- C B F F F F F 26% 11% 64% C+ F B- F F+ B+ D- F+ F+
0.80 33% 29% 23% -18 0 0.67 14% 1.0 .14 10% .27 75% .20 1.32 83% 60% 43% +18 0 1.38 20% 1.8 .36 16% .37 71% .27
Feb
27		 Troy C- F B+ F F 47% 16% 37% B F C+ C+ B- B A+ C- A+ F F+ F C F+ 48% 4% 48% F+ F+ F F F D A- A A
1.04 43% 50% 22% -11 +1 0.82 34% 1.1 .37 14% .43 70% .30 1.28 67% 50% 33% +4 +3 1.16 44% 1.1 .50 14% .23 67% .15



Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Sun Belt Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 4th
5th 5th
6th 6th
7th 7th
8th 8th
9th 9th
10th 10th
11th 11th
12th 12th
13th 13th
14th 100.0 100.0 14th
Total 100.0 Total



Sun Belt Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8
9-9
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8
9-9
8-10
7-11
6-12
5-13
4-14
3-15
2-16
1-17 100.0% 100.0
0-18
Total 100% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0 100.0 0.0%