Loyola Chicago
Atlantic 10
2019-20 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
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Predictive Rating -5.5 #259
Expected Predictive Rating -9.0 #308
Pace 66.2 #265
Improvement +4.3 #20

Overall 1st FGA Second Chance TOs Free
throws		 Shot Selection
Offense #198 C C D C B+
Defense #313 C- C F C C+

Offense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 39% #168 1.12 #233 -0.8 #212
2 Pt. Jumpers 11% #338 0.84 #75 -3.0 #319
Three Pointers 50% #27 0.98 #226 +3.7 #59
1st FG Attempt 1.02 #184 -0.1 #182
Freethrows 18.2 #135 69% #285 12.6 #187
Second Chance 32.3% #134 0.96 #272 0.31 #184
Turnovers 18.3% #287
Total Offense -1.2 #198

Defense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 37% #230 1.02 #32 +3.6 #72
2 Pt. Jumpers 21% #151 0.88 #329 -1.6 #292
Three Pointers 42% #153 1.14 #330 -3.2 #304
1st FG Attempt 1.04 #221 -1.2 #223
Freethrows 16.0 #119 78% #352 12.5 #180
Second Chance 33.0% #271 1.01 #141 0.33 #224
Turnovers 12.0% #363
Total Defense -4.4 #313

Miscellaneous
Offense Defense
Shot Type Mix Effect 2.4% #41 -0.4% #127
Shot Type Accuracy Effect -2.5% #212 2.7% #236
Possession Length 18.1 #254 17.7 #247
Fast Break Points Per Possession 0.14 #250 0.18 #215
Improvement +1.0 #124 +3.3 #25

See methodology page for descriptions of rating types.
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed n/a n/a n/a
.500 or above 0.0% 0.1% 0.0%
.500 or above in Conference 0.3% 1.9% 0.2%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 61.3% 36.7% 63.0%
First Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Round0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Second Round0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Dayton (Away) - 6.2% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 10 - 1
Quad 1b0 - 30 - 4
Quad 22 - 62 - 10
Quad 32 - 94 - 19
Quad 44 - 58 - 24


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Avg Lead Record Total Rating Offense Defense
Overall Conf Total First
FGA		 2nd Chance TOs Total First
FGA		 2nd Chance TOs
 Mon, Nov 3 328 Cleveland St. W 91 - 88 77% +2  1 - 0 -10 +7 C F A+ -17 D F C
 Thu, Nov 6 308 Mercyhurst L 65 - 73 72% -7  1 - 1 -20 -9 D- F F -11 F C- B-
 Sun, Nov 9 137 North Texas L 62 - 64 25% -4  1 - 2 -1 -1 F D+ B+ +0 B- A+ C
 Thu, Nov 13 105 @Wichita St. L 74 - 95 11% -14  1 - 3 -13 +10 A+ F C- -25 D+ F F
 Sun, Nov 16 97 Colorado St. L 67 - 80 23% -12  1 - 4 -11 +2 A+ D- F -15 C+ F F
 Fri, Nov 21 331 Northern Illinois L 59 - 76 78% -9  1 - 5 -31 -11 D+ F F -22 F F F
 Tue, Nov 25 107 Northern Iowa L 51 - 72 18% -18  1 - 6 -17 -9 F B+ C- -11 C C F
 Wed, Nov 26 227 San Jose St. L 51 - 63 42% -1  1 - 7 -16 -15 C C- F -3 C+ A+ F
 Tue, Dec 2 325 Central Michigan W 83 - 72 76% +2  2 - 7 -2 +8 D B A+ -10 F C- D
 Sat, Dec 6 221 Princeton W 73 - 68 53% -1  3 - 7 -1 +6 B A+ C+ -7 B- C F
 Sun, Dec 14 349 Chicago St. L 75 - 84 84% -6  3 - 8 -25 -9 F A+ F -16 F C F
 Wed, Dec 17 103 San Francisco L 71 - 85 16% -12  3 - 9 -9 +12 C- A A+ -23 F B+ F
 Sat, Dec 20 55 Santa Clara W 80 - 78 8% +1  4 - 9 +12 +13 A+ F A+ -1 A+ D F
 Wed, Dec 31 123 @Rhode Island W 61 - 57 15% +7  5 - 9 1 - 0 +9 -3 A+ B- F +12 A+ C+ D
 Sat, Jan 3 70 Dayton L 68 - 70 16% +6  5 - 10 1 - 1 +3 +3 B+ C C+ +0 A+ C+ F
 Wed, Jan 7 149 Davidson L 64 - 79 38% -10  5 - 11 1 - 2 -17 -5 F A+ C- -13 F D+ D
 Sat, Jan 10 60 @George Washington L 66 - 101 6% -20  5 - 12 1 - 3 -23 -10 B- F F -10 D A+ F
 Tue, Jan 13 86 George Mason L 74 - 82 19% +3  5 - 13 1 - 4 -4 +9 A+ A B- -14 C F F
 Fri, Jan 16 70 @Dayton L 63 - 80 6%
 Tue, Jan 20 127 @St. Bonaventure L 69 - 79 16%
 Sat, Jan 24 132 Duquesne L 77 - 81 35%
 Tue, Jan 27 175 Saint Joseph's L 71 - 72 45%
 Fri, Jan 30 51 @Virginia Commonwealth L 67 - 86 3%
 Tue, Feb 3 208 La Salle W 72 - 71 52%
 Fri, Feb 6 149 @Davidson L 65 - 74 19%
 Fri, Feb 13 32 Saint Louis L 70 - 87 6%
 Wed, Feb 18 183 @Fordham L 66 - 73 26%
 Sat, Feb 21 175 @Saint Joseph's L 68 - 75 24%
 Sat, Feb 28 116 Richmond L 73 - 79 30%
 Wed, Mar 4 32 @Saint Louis L 67 - 90 2%
 Sat, Mar 7 60 George Washington L 74 - 86 15%
Totals 8 - 23 4 - 14 -6 -1 C C D -4 C- C F




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Atlantic 10 Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 0.0 0.0 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.0 3rd
4th 0.0 0.0 4th
5th 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 5th
6th 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.2 6th
7th 0.0 0.2 0.4 0.1 0.7 7th
8th 0.1 1.0 0.4 0.0 1.5 8th
9th 0.1 1.3 1.7 0.1 3.1 9th
10th 0.9 3.1 0.8 0.0 4.9 10th
11th 0.6 4.6 3.1 0.2 8.4 11th
12th 0.0 0.6 5.0 7.3 1.0 0.0 13.9 12th
13th 1.2 7.4 12.3 3.9 0.1 25.0 13th
14th 5.0 15.0 16.0 5.8 0.4 42.1 14th
Total 5.0 16.2 24.0 23.7 17.1 8.7 3.8 1.1 0.3 0.0 0.0 Total



Atlantic 10 Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6 0.0%
11-7
10-8 0.0%
9-9 0.0%
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6 0.0% 0.0
11-7
10-8 0.0% 0.0
9-9 0.3% 0.3
8-10 1.1% 1.1
7-11 3.8% 3.8
6-12 8.7% 8.7
5-13 17.1% 17.1
4-14 23.7% 23.7
3-15 24.0% 24.0
2-16 16.2% 16.2
1-17 5.0% 5.0
0-18
Total 100% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0 100.0 0.0%


Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid		Avg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Lose Out 3.9%