Miami (FL)
Atlantic Coast
2019-20 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
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Overall
Predictive Rating+11.8#44
Expected Predictive Rating+7.3#78
Pace75.2#55
Improvement-0.1#178

Offense
Total Offense+5.1#65
First Shot+5.2#47
After Offensive Rebound-0.1#178
Layup/Dunks+11.2#1
2 Pt Jumpshots-2.6#318
3 Pt Jumpshots-3.2#280
Freethrows-0.2#182
Improvement-1.3#298

Defense
Total Defense+6.7#24
First Shot+5.2#41
After Offensive Rebounds+1.5#102
Layups/Dunks+4.3#53
2 Pt Jumpshots+1.9#42
3 Pt Jumpshots-1.4#244
Freethrows+0.4#159
Improvement+1.2#68
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.1% 0.1% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.4% 0.5% 0.1%
Top 4 Seed 2.3% 3.0% 0.8%
Top 6 Seed 8.4% 10.4% 4.5%
NCAA Tourney Bid 44.3% 49.9% 33.1%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 42.4% 48.1% 31.3%
Average Seed 8.3 8.2 8.7
.500 or above 95.0% 97.2% 90.6%
.500 or above in Conference 76.2% 79.2% 70.4%
Conference Champion 4.1% 4.7% 2.7%
Last Place in Conference 1.0% 0.7% 1.6%
First Four7.5% 7.9% 6.5%
First Round40.8% 46.2% 30.1%
Second Round22.7% 26.4% 15.4%
Sweet Sixteen6.9% 8.2% 4.4%
Elite Eight2.6% 3.1% 1.5%
Final Four1.0% 1.2% 0.6%
Championship Game0.4% 0.5% 0.1%
National Champion0.1% 0.2% 0.0%

Next Game: Georgetown (Neutral) - 66.6% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a1 - 51 - 5
Quad 1b3 - 44 - 9
Quad 24 - 28 - 11
Quad 35 - 113 - 11
Quad 49 - 021 - 11


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Mon, Nov 3 269 Jacksonville W 86-69 96%     1 - 0 +8.2 +6.9 +0.5
  Thu, Nov 6 217 Bethune-Cookman W 101-61 95%     2 - 0 +33.5 +21.4 +10.9
  Mon, Nov 10 344 Stetson W 102-61 98%     3 - 0 +26.5 +10.3 +11.7
  Sun, Nov 16 17 Florida L 68-82 30%     3 - 1 +3.1 -1.6 +6.0
  Thu, Nov 20 190 Elon W 99-72 93%     4 - 1 +22.2 +15.9 +5.1
  Sun, Nov 23 357 Delaware St. W 97-41 99%     5 - 1 +39.6 +17.4 +21.7
  Thu, Nov 27 7 BYU L 62-72 23%     5 - 2 +9.5 -1.2 +10.6
  Fri, Nov 28 79 Georgetown W 79-74 67%    
  Tue, Dec 2 49 @Mississippi L 74-76 45%    
  Sat, Dec 6 237 Southern Miss W 85-66 96%    
  Sat, Dec 13 361 Louisiana Monroe W 93-64 99.6%   
  Tue, Dec 16 215 Florida International W 85-67 96%    
  Sun, Dec 21 341 North Florida W 96-70 99%    
  Tue, Dec 30 99 Pittsburgh W 77-67 82%    
  Wed, Jan 7 37 @Wake Forest L 76-79 38%    
  Sat, Jan 10 104 Georgia Tech W 78-68 83%    
  Tue, Jan 13 66 @Notre Dame W 72-71 51%    
  Sat, Jan 17 38 @Clemson L 71-74 38%    
  Tue, Jan 20 55 Florida St. W 85-80 68%    
  Sat, Jan 24 64 @Syracuse W 76-75 51%    
  Wed, Jan 28 95 Stanford W 83-74 79%    
  Sat, Jan 31 67 California W 80-74 72%    
  Sat, Feb 7 127 @Boston College W 75-68 73%    
  Tue, Feb 10 26 North Carolina W 80-79 53%    
  Sat, Feb 14 29 @North Carolina St. L 80-85 34%    
  Tue, Feb 17 63 Virginia Tech W 80-74 71%    
  Sat, Feb 21 39 @Virginia L 74-77 39%    
  Tue, Feb 24 55 @Florida St. L 82-83 48%    
  Sat, Feb 28 127 Boston College W 78-65 87%    
  Wed, Mar 4 42 @SMU L 79-82 40%    
  Sat, Mar 7 9 Louisville L 78-82 36%    
Projected Record 20 - 11 10 - 8




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Atlantic Coast Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.3 0.7 1.4 1.1 0.5 0.1 4.1 1st
2nd 0.0 0.6 2.7 3.5 2.1 0.5 0.1 9.6 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.5 3.4 4.6 1.8 0.3 10.6 3rd
4th 0.3 2.6 5.0 2.1 0.2 0.0 10.2 4th
5th 0.0 1.2 5.2 2.9 0.3 0.0 9.7 5th
6th 0.3 3.8 4.4 0.8 0.0 9.3 6th
7th 0.0 1.7 4.8 1.5 0.1 8.1 7th
8th 0.5 4.1 3.0 0.2 7.9 8th
9th 0.0 1.7 3.9 0.8 0.0 6.4 9th
10th 0.3 3.1 2.0 0.1 5.5 10th
11th 0.1 1.4 3.0 0.4 4.9 11th
12th 0.0 0.5 2.4 1.1 0.0 4.0 12th
13th 0.1 1.1 1.6 0.2 3.0 13th
14th 0.0 0.4 1.6 0.5 0.0 2.5 14th
15th 0.1 0.9 0.7 0.1 1.8 15th
16th 0.1 0.4 0.7 0.2 1.4 16th
17th 0.0 0.2 0.3 0.2 0.0 0.6 17th
18th 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.4 18th
Total 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.4 1.0 2.2 4.1 6.4 9.5 12.5 14.0 14.6 12.8 10.0 6.3 3.8 1.6 0.6 0.1 Total



Atlantic Coast Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0 100.0% 0.1    0.1 0.0
17-1 88.6% 0.5    0.4 0.1
16-2 68.2% 1.1    0.6 0.5 0.0
15-3 36.3% 1.4    0.5 0.7 0.2 0.0 0.0
14-4 10.5% 0.7    0.1 0.3 0.2 0.1
13-5 2.6% 0.3    0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1
12-6 0.2% 0.0    0.0 0.0 0.0
11-7 0.0%
10-8 0.0%
9-9 0.0%
Total 4.1% 4.1 1.7 1.7 0.6 0.1 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0 0.1% 100.0% 17.1% 82.9% 2.5 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 100.0%
17-1 0.6% 100.0% 18.9% 81.1% 3.5 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.1 0.0 100.0%
16-2 1.6% 100.0% 20.1% 79.9% 4.6 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.4 0.5 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 100.0%
15-3 3.8% 99.4% 11.6% 87.8% 5.9 0.0 0.2 0.4 0.8 1.0 0.9 0.3 0.1 0.0 0.0 99.3%
14-4 6.3% 95.1% 8.2% 86.9% 7.0 0.1 0.2 0.8 1.2 1.5 1.2 0.7 0.2 0.0 0.3 94.7%
13-5 10.0% 87.7% 6.3% 81.4% 8.1 0.0 0.3 0.8 1.7 2.5 2.1 1.1 0.3 0.0 1.2 86.9%
12-6 12.8% 72.8% 5.2% 67.6% 9.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.8 2.1 2.4 2.5 1.2 0.0 3.5 71.4%
11-7 14.6% 52.8% 1.8% 51.1% 9.7 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.8 1.9 2.8 1.9 0.0 6.9 52.0%
10-8 14.0% 31.9% 1.3% 30.6% 10.2 0.0 0.2 0.6 1.5 2.1 0.1 9.5 31.0%
9-9 12.5% 12.9% 0.7% 12.3% 10.5 0.0 0.2 0.5 0.9 0.1 10.9 12.4%
8-10 9.5% 3.6% 0.1% 3.5% 10.6 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.0 9.2 3.5%
7-11 6.4% 0.3% 0.3% 11.4 0.0 0.0 6.4 0.3%
6-12 4.1% 4.1
5-13 2.2% 0.1% 0.1% 11.0 0.0 2.2
4-14 1.0% 1.0
3-15 0.4% 0.4
2-16 0.1% 0.1
1-17 0.0% 0.0
0-18 0.0% 0.0
Total 100% 44.3% 3.2% 41.0% 8.3 0.1 0.3 0.7 1.3 2.5 3.6 5.3 7.2 8.0 8.6 6.6 0.2 55.7 42.4%