Michigan St.
Big Ten
2019-20 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
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All team stats adjusted for opponents. See methodology page for descriptions of rating types.

Predictive Rating +19.8 10
Results Rating +21.4 8
Consistency 0.17 263
Pace 65.7 258
Improvement -1.8 257

Overall 1st FGA Second Chance TOs Free
throws		 Shot Selection
Offense B+ 35 B A C B+ D+
Defense A 7 A A+ C B+ B

Offense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 38% 205 B+ 65% 43 +2.2 101
2 Pt. Jumpers 43% 115 C+ 40% 105 +2.5 55
Three Pointers 37% 275 B 37% 49 -0.5 202
Shot Selection/Accuracy D+ -0.7 284 B+ +4.8 40
1st FG Attempt B 1.10 66
Second Chance A 40.5% 4 B- 1.08 97 A 0.44 13
Opponents' Steals C 9.7% 208
Other Turnovers C 7.2% 166
Turnovers C 16.8% 185
Freethrows B+ 0.36 32 B- 75% 82 B+ 0.27 24
Total Offense B+ +8.3 35

Assists Blocks (Opponents')
Close Shots A+ 70% 3 B+ 7.3% 25
2 Pt. Jumpers Shots A 48% 7 C 5.3% 203
Three Pointers A+ 99% 1 C- 1.1% 242
Total A+ 73% 2 B 4.5% 60

Defense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 30% 349 A 48% 14 -7.8 7
2 Pt. Jumpers 23% 93 A- 32% 16 -0.4 161
Three Pointers 47% 30 B+ 30% 36 +0.4 202
Shot Selection/Accuracy B -0.9 46 A -6.9 10
1st FG Attempt A 0.86 9
Second Chance A+ 19.1% 1 A+ 0.77 2 A+ 0.15 2
Turnovers from Steals C- 9.0% 214
Other Turnovers B- 8.1% 79
Turnovers C 17.1% 156
Freethrows B+ 0.25 28 B- 71% 97 B+ 0.17 30
Total Defense A +11.4 7

Assists Blocks
Close Shots B 42% 49 A 18.7% 16
2 Pt. Jumpers Shots B+ 16% 27 A+ 11.3% 7
Three Pointers D+ 87% 288 D 0.2% 315
Total C+ 54% 153 B+ 8.3% 26

Miscellaneous
Offense Defense
Possession Length 16.2 70 19.1 357
Fast Break Points Per Possession 0.32 3 0.13 55
Consistency 0.10 20 0.12 157
Improvement +1.5 107 -3.3 327

NCAA Tournament Selection
At-Large Selection Status Lock
Projected Seeding 3 seed  

Prediction Ranges
Pessimistic
5th Percentile 		Expected
50th Percentile 		Optimistic
95th Percentile
Predictive Rating Rank 17 11 7
Results Rating Rank 15 10 6
Conference Record 14 - 6 15 - 5 16 - 4
Conference Finish 5 2 2
NCAA Tourney Seed 5 3 1
NCAA Tourney Finish 2nd Round Sweet 16 Champ Game

NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0% 1% 0%
#1 Seed 7% 9% 2%
Top 2 Seed 31% 40% 15%
Top 4 Seed 90% 96% 79%
Top 6 Seed 100% 100% 100%
NCAA Tourney Bid 100% 100% 100%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 100% 100% 100%
Average Seed 3.1 2.8 3.6
.500 or above 100% 100% 100%
.500 or above in Conference 100% 100% 100%
Conference Champion 0% 0% 0%
Last Place in Conference 0% 0% 0%
First Four0% 0% 0%
First Round100% 100% 100%
Second Round97% 97% 95%
Sweet Sixteen63% 66% 58%
Elite Eight30% 33% 25%
Final Four13% 14% 11%
Championship Game5% 6% 4%
National Champion2% 2% 1%
Next Game: Indiana (Away) - 63.6% chance of victory

Projected Record by Quadrant
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a4 - 64 - 6
Quad 1b5 - 19 - 7
Quad 26 - 015 - 7
Quad 35 - 021 - 7
Quad 45 - 026 - 7


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Lead Record Total Rating Offense Defense
Avg Time Overall Conf Total First
FGA		 2nd Chance TOs Total First
FGA		 2nd Chance TOs
 Mon, Nov 3 250 Colgate W 80 - 69 99% +6  96% 1 - 0 C+ +3 C +1 F A+ C B- +3 F+ A+ B+
 Sat, Nov 8 15 Arkansas W 69 - 66 65% +2  67% 2 - 0 A +19 C- -1 D- A D- A+ +19 A+ A+ A+
 Thu, Nov 13 221 San Jose St. W 79 - 60 98% +14  99% 3 - 0 B+ +13 C+ +2 C- C A A+ +11 A A+ D+
 Tue, Nov 18 23 Kentucky W 83 - 66 65% +11  86% 4 - 0 A+ +33 A +14 A+ B- C- A+ +18 A+ A+ D
 Fri, Nov 21 254 Detroit Mercy W 84 - 56 99% +16  98% 5 - 0 A +20 B- +5 D+ A+ F+ A+ +15 B- A+ A+
 Tue, Nov 25 248 East Carolina W 89 - 56 98% +22  96% 6 - 0 A+ +28 A- +10 A- A- B A+ +17 C A+ A+
 Thu, Nov 27 26 North Carolina W 74 - 58 67% +4  79% 7 - 0 A+ +31 A+ +16 A+ A+ D+ A+ +17 A+ A+ C+
 Tue, Dec 2 24 Iowa W 71 - 52 75% +12  79% 8 - 0 1 - 0 A+ +32 A+ +15 D A+ D A+ +21 A+ A+ A-
 Sat, Dec 6 2 Duke L 60 - 66 39% -0  42% 8 - 1 A- +17 C+ +2 D- B- A+ A+ +14 A+ A+ D-
 Sat, Dec 13 117 @Penn St. W 76 - 72 90% +1  57% 9 - 1 2 - 0 B +10 C+ +2 C B+ F A- +8 A- A- D+
 Tue, Dec 16 164 Toledo W 92 - 69 97% +20  99% 10 - 1 A +20 A- +10 B+ A D- A +9 A+ A+ F
 Sat, Dec 20 163 Oakland W 79 - 70 96% +4  66% 11 - 1 B +9 C+ +2 D- B+ C- A- +7 C- A+ B+
 Mon, Dec 29 165 Cornell W 114 - 97 97% +6  54% 12 - 1 B+ +14 A +13 A B- C C- -2 C- A+ D-
 Fri, Jan 2 13 @Nebraska L 56 - 58 41% -1  25% 12 - 2 2 - 1 A +20 C- -1 C B F A+ +21 A+ A+ C-
 Mon, Jan 5 59 USC W 80 - 51 89% +14  86% 13 - 2 3 - 1 A+ +35 B+ +8 A+ D C+ A+ +27 A+ A+ A+
 Thu, Jan 8 65 Northwestern W 76 - 66 90% +0  45% 14 - 2 4 - 1 A- +16 B +6 C+ A+ F A +10 A+ A+ D-
 Tue, Jan 13 40 Indiana W 81 - 60 82% +5  67% 15 - 2 5 - 1 A+ +31 A+ +15 A+ A- F A+ +18 B+ A+ A+
 Sat, Jan 17 48 @Washington W 80 - 63 70% +8  88% 16 - 2 6 - 1 A+ +31 A+ +15 B+ A A+ A+ +17 B A+ B+
 Tue, Jan 20 84 @Oregon W 68 - 52 82% +4  79% 17 - 2 7 - 1 A+ +26 A- +10 A+ B+ D- A+ +18 A A+ C
 Sat, Jan 24 102 Maryland W 91 - 48 95% +24  99% 18 - 2 8 - 1 A+ +45 A+ +27 A+ A+ A- A+ +23 A+ A+ C
 Tue, Jan 27 113 @Rutgers W 88 - 79 OT 89% -5  16% 19 - 2 9 - 1 A- +15 A +13 C+ A+ F+ B- +2 C A+ F
 Fri, Jan 30 1 Michigan L 71 - 83 35% -7  1% 19 - 3 9 - 2 B+ +12 B- +5 B+ D- C- A- +7 A+ A B+
 Wed, Feb 4 58 @Minnesota L 73 - 76 76% -8  0% 19 - 4 9 - 3 B +9 A +12 C A+ A D+ -3 D+ A+ F
 Sat, Feb 7 5 Illinois W 85 - 82 OT 52% -2  20% 20 - 4 10 - 3 A +22 A +14 A B+ B A +9 A+ A+ F
 Fri, Feb 13 30 @Wisconsin L 71 - 92 59% -14  0% 20 - 5 10 - 4 C- -3 C+ +4 D+ D+ B+ D- -8 C+ F D-
 Tue, Feb 17 35 UCLA W 82 - 59 79% +17  90% 21 - 5 11 - 4 A+ +34 A+ +16 A+ A+ D+ A+ +19 A+ A+ B+
 Sun, Feb 22 36 Ohio St. W 66 - 60 80% +0  47% 22 - 5 12 - 4 A- +17 C+ +2 D- A C+ A+ +15 A+ A+ F
 Thu, Feb 26 7 @Purdue W 76 - 74 34% +0  47% 23 - 5 13 - 4 A+ +26 A+ +18 A+ C A+ A- +8 B+ F B
 Sun, Mar 1 40 @Indiana W 74 - 70 64%
 Thu, Mar 5 113 Rutgers W 80 - 60 97%
 Sun, Mar 8 1 @Michigan L 70 - 80 17%
Totals 25 - 6 15 - 5 +20 B+ +8 A- B+ D+ A +11 B B- B+



Game Detail
Grades are adjusted for opponent strength in each category. Game stats are not adjusted for oppoent strength. See methodology page for descriptions of rating types.
Offense Defense
Tot Off First Field Goal Attempt Second Chance TOs Freethrows Tot Def First Field Goal Attempt Second Chance TOs Freethrows
Shot Accuracy Shot Selection Points Per Shot Shot Accuracy Shot Selection Points Per Shot
2 C 2 L 3 Tot 2 C 2 L 3 Tot Off Reb PPP Tot Att Perc Tot 2 C 2 L 3 Tot 2 C 2 L 3 Tot Off Reb PPP Tot Att Perc Tot
Season Ratings B+ B+ C+ B B+ 38% 43% 37% D+ B A B- A C B+ B- B+ A A A- B+ A 30% 23% 47% B A A+ A+ A+ C B+ B- B+
1.21 65% 40% 37% +5 -1 1.10 41% 1.1 .44 17% .36 75% .27 0.92 48% 32% 30% -7 -1 0.86 19% 0.8 .15 17% .25 71% .25
Nov
3		 Colgate C A- F F F 34% 32% 34% F F A+ C+ A+ C A+ F A+ B- F D- F+ F 24% 24% 52% B F+ A+ C- A+ B+ A+ A- A+
1.16 69% 20% 25% -7 -2 0.85 46% 1.1 .49 14% .62 65% .41 1.00 69% 46% 39% +9 -1 1.17 10% 1.0 .10 19% .11 67% .07
Nov
8		 Arkansas C- B+ D- F F+ 48% 28% 24% C D- A+ F A D- A+ C+ A+ A+ C A+ A+ A+ 30% 17% 52% B- A+ C+ A+ A+ A+ F A+ D
1.01 64% 31% 0% -12 0 0.78 49% 0.9 .46 21% .48 69% .33 0.97 64% 25% 25% -7 0 0.87 33% 0.9 .31 21% .42 65% .28
Nov
13		 San Jose St. C+ A+ B+ F C- 38% 18% 44% C- C- B+ F+ C A A+ F A+ A+ B+ B- A+ A 19% 32% 49% B+ A A+ B- A+ D+ D+ A C
1.19 79% 44% 23% +2 0 1.06 41% 1.0 .41 14% .44 68% .30 0.91 50% 35% 27% -8 -3 0.81 18% 1.0 .18 14% .31 67% .21
Nov
18		 Kentucky A F+ A+ A+ A+ 39% 25% 37% B- A+ B C B- C- F A F A+ B A+ A+ A+ 30% 15% 55% C+ A+ A+ A- A+ D C- F F+
1.17 45% 50% 52% +8 0 1.18 31% 0.8 .25 18% .17 80% .14 0.93 56% 25% 24% -11 0 0.81 16% 1.0 .16 13% .35 86% .31
Nov
21		 Detroit Mercy B- B- A F C 31% 25% 43% F D+ A+ A+ A+ F+ A+ B A+ A+ A- F A B- 26% 38% 36% B- B- B- A+ A+ A+ A+ F A
1.22 63% 46% 27% -1 -1 0.98 44% 1.4 .61 17% .46 77% .35 0.82 46% 47% 28% -3 -3 0.90 30% 0.5 .14 22% .15 88% .13
Nov
25		 East Carolina A- B+ C- A+ A 32% 29% 39% D A- B A- A- B F+ F F A+ A+ C- F C+ 48% 25% 28% D C B- A+ A+ A+ F C+ F
1.24 67% 38% 45% +9 -1 1.18 36% 1.3 .47 15% .20 67% .13 0.78 26% 40% 55% -6 0 0.90 31% 0.5 .14 33% .54 69% .37
Nov
27		 North Carolina A+ D A+ A+ A+ 45% 37% 18% C- A+ A+ B A+ D+ D+ A C A+ C- A+ A+ A+ 43% 11% 46% D- A+ C+ A+ A+ C+ B- D+ C+
1.22 48% 53% 56% +7 -2 1.12 40% 1.0 .40 16% .18 78% .14 0.96 65% 20% 19% -9 +2 0.87 32% 0.5 .16 13% .32 71% .23
Dec
2		 Iowa A+ C B- F D- 47% 22% 31% C+ D A+ A+ A+ D A+ A+ A+ A+ A A+ C A+ 36% 13% 51% C A+ A+ A+ A+ A- D+ A+ B-
1.21 59% 38% 18% -7 0 0.89 52% 1.6 .84 24% .56 88% .49 0.89 50% 20% 35% -4 +1 0.95 20% 0.7 .13 19% .36 65% .23
Dec
6		 Duke C+ C- F C- D- 36% 29% 35% C D- B+ C B- A+ B- B- B A+ F+ A+ A- A+ 23% 19% 57% A+ A+ A+ A+ A+ D- D- A C-
0.93 50% 6% 32% -13 -1 0.73 28% 0.8 .21 8% .24 71% .17 1.03 73% 22% 30% -3 -1 0.94 25% 0.8 .20 12% .41 65% .27
Dec
13		 Penn St. C+ F F A+ C- 41% 20% 39% C C A D+ B+ F A+ A+ A+ A- C+ A- B A- 33% 21% 46% B+ A- A- B A- D+ A+ F A+
1.10 44% 22% 53% +2 0 1.07 38% 1.2 .45 25% .40 86% .35 1.04 58% 33% 31% -3 0 0.95 24% 1.1 .26 13% .15 89% .13
Dec
16		 Toledo A- C+ F A+ B+ 48% 15% 37% B- B+ A+ D+ A D- A C+ A A A+ C- C- A+ 27% 31% 42% A- A+ A+ A- A+ F B- C- B-
1.29 62% 25% 50% +9 +1 1.22 50% 0.9 .47 21% .34 74% .25 0.96 25% 44% 36% -6 -2 0.86 14% 0.8 .12 6% .25 76% .19
Dec
20		 Oakland C+ A+ F D- D 31% 29% 41% D- D- A- C+ B+ C- A+ C+ A+ A- A+ C+ F D+ 41% 22% 37% C+ C- A+ A+ A+ B+ A F B-
1.16 80% 21% 30% 0 -2 0.98 43% 1.0 .43 16% .40 74% .30 1.03 43% 36% 47% +1 0 1.04 18% 0.8 .15 18% .23 92% .21
Dec
29		 Cornell A A+ B+ A+ A+ 36% 20% 45% D+ A A- D+ B- C A+ D A+ C- D F D+ C- 31% 8% 62% C+ C- A A+ A+ D- D D- D-
1.37 75% 45% 44% +14 0 1.30 38% 1.0 .38 14% .60 67% .41 1.17 65% 60% 38% +7 +1 1.18 23% 0.7 .15 14% .32 78% .25
Jan
2		 Nebraska C- F+ F B+ B- 5% 36% 60% F C A- C B F A+ A- A+ A+ A+ A+ C- A+ 18% 18% 65% A+ A+ A A A+ C- B A- B+
0.87 50% 27% 36% -3 -4 0.88 32% 0.8 .26 30% .35 75% .26 0.90 33% 11% 36% -7 -1 0.86 19% 0.9 .17 12% .23 69% .16
Jan
5		 USC B+ A- A+ A A+ 33% 33% 35% F+ A+ B- F D C+ B- D C A+ C+ A+ A+ A+ 40% 27% 33% B- A+ A+ A+ A+ A+ A+ D+ A
1.13 65% 59% 39% +12 -2 1.21 31% 0.6 .19 17% .30 72% .22 0.72 58% 23% 13% -15 -1 0.71 22% 0.8 .16 24% .30 75% .22
Jan
8		 Northwestern B A+ D+ F C+ 40% 23% 38% C+ C+ A- A+ A+ F A+ C- A+ A A- C- A+ A+ 27% 23% 50% B A+ A+ A+ A+ D- C+ D- C-
1.13 75% 33% 20% -2 0 0.98 39% 1.5 .57 22% .63 70% .44 0.98 50% 42% 23% -10 -1 0.81 21% 1.0 .21 9% .33 80% .26
Jan
13		 Indiana A+ A+ A+ A- A+ 38% 16% 47% A- A+ A+ F A- F A+ B+ A+ A+ F A+ B B 24% 13% 62% A- B+ A+ B- A+ A+ A+ B+ A+
1.25 76% 57% 38% +13 +1 1.29 48% 0.8 .41 23% .48 79% .38 0.93 82% 33% 32% +3 0 1.09 17% 1.0 .17 22% .22 73% .16
Jan
17		 Washington A+ B A C- A- 30% 41% 30% F+ B+ A- A- A A+ B- D+ C+ A+ F F A+ B+ 37% 27% 37% C B A+ F A+ B+ B+ C- B+
1.20 63% 45% 31% +3 -3 1.02 34% 1.2 .39 7% .29 67% .19 0.94 72% 54% 17% 0 -1 1.00 10% 2.0 .21 18% .24 77% .18
Jan
20		 Oregon A- A+ A+ B A+ 25% 32% 43% D A+ D+ A+ B+ D- F+ F F A+ A+ D F+ A 41% 20% 39% C+ A A+ A- A+ C A+ A+ A+
1.15 73% 64% 37% +14 -2 1.25 26% 1.3 .35 20% .19 56% .11 0.88 32% 44% 39% -7 0 0.89 22% 1.0 .22 17% .22 45% .10
Jan
24		 Maryland A+ A+ A+ A+ A+ 24% 39% 37% F A+ A A+ A+ A- B+ B A- A+ C C A+ A+ 14% 37% 49% A+ A+ A+ A+ A+ C A+ A+ A+
1.45 82% 50% 47% +18 -3 1.30 38% 1.9 .71 13% .35 74% .26 0.77 57% 39% 21% -9 -4 0.76 26% 0.7 .17 18% .21 55% .12
Shot Accuracy Shot Selection PPS 2nd Chance TOs Freethrows Shot Accuracy Shot Selection PPS 2nd Chance TOs Freethrows
Jan
27		 Rutgers A A+ F C- C+ 40% 23% 38% C C+ A+ A+ A+ F+ A+ A+ A+ B- C+ C+ C- C 24% 29% 47% C+ C A+ C- A+ F C F D
1.23 79% 9% 33% +1 0 1.04 45% 1.4 .62 21% .46 92% .42 1.10 54% 38% 35% -1 -2 0.96 16% 1.2 .18 7% .35 83% .29
Jan
30		 Michigan B- A+ B F B+ 35% 31% 35% C+ B+ A+ F D- C- A+ A+ A+ A- C A C+ A 32% 32% 36% A+ A+ B+ B+ A B+ F+ F F
0.98 65% 40% 18% -6 -2 0.88 38% 0.4 .15 19% .46 85% .39 1.14 63% 31% 33% -1 -2 0.96 34% 1.3 .44 18% .44 88% .39
Feb
4		 Minnesota A C+ F+ B- C+ 34% 26% 40% C C A+ A+ A+ A A C- A- D+ F A+ F D 33% 20% 47% B+ D+ A+ C+ A+ F F C- F
1.16 59% 31% 35% -1 -1 0.98 39% 1.2 .45 14% .32 71% .22 1.21 73% 0% 48% +7 0 1.16 10% 1.0 .10 10% .54 71% .39
Feb
7		 Illinois A A- A- B- A+ 29% 41% 30% D A A+ D B+ B A+ A+ A+ A B+ A+ B+ A+ 30% 16% 54% B+ A+ A+ A+ A+ F D D D-
1.19 63% 43% 35% +4 -3 1.04 39% 0.8 .32 11% .36 87% .32 1.15 56% 20% 30% -7 0 0.89 31% 0.8 .25 6% .36 83% .30
Feb
13		 Wisconsin C+ F B- C C 17% 39% 44% F D+ A F D+ B+ C+ A+ A D- D- A- D+ C 25% 17% 58% A C+ C F F D- D B- D+
1.04 33% 43% 33% -3 -4 0.89 34% 0.6 .20 13% .27 94% .25 1.35 69% 33% 37% +4 -1 1.10 31% 1.7 .54 9% .37 74% .27
Feb
17		 UCLA A+ A+ C- A+ A+ 23% 29% 48% F+ A+ C+ A+ A+ D+ F+ A+ C- A+ A+ D+ C A+ 29% 27% 43% C+ A+ A+ A+ A+ B+ A+ C+ A+
1.25 73% 36% 52% +16 -2 1.29 31% 1.5 .46 21% .21 91% .19 0.90 33% 43% 36% -4 -2 0.90 24% 0.7 .16 17% .22 75% .17
Feb
22		 Ohio St. C+ F+ B- F D- 38% 38% 24% D+ D- A+ C A C+ A+ C- A+ A+ D+ F A+ A+ 25% 33% 41% A A+ A+ F A+ F B+ A+ A+
1.06 47% 41% 18% -9 -2 0.80 41% 1.0 .41 16% .48 72% .35 0.97 69% 59% 14% -2 -3 0.92 13% 1.3 .16 10% .30 59% .18
Feb
26		 Purdue A+ A+ A+ C+ A+ 35% 29% 37% C+ A+ C+ C- C A+ A A A A- C+ A+ F A- 38% 18% 44% D B+ A F F B A+ A A+
1.22 76% 57% 33% +11 -1 1.22 24% 1.0 .24 10% .28 75% .21 1.19 63% 11% 45% +5 0 1.12 30% 2.0 .59 14% .17 67% .11



Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Big Ten Finish

0-20 1-19 2-18 3-17 4-16 5-15 6-14 7-13 8-12 9-11 10-10 11-9 12-8 13-7 14-6 15-5 16-4 17-3 18-2 19-1 20-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 0.5 38.7 11.0 50.2 2nd
3rd 0.0 6.0 17.8 23.8 3rd
4th 0.1 16.0 16.2 4th
5th 0.8 8.9 9.7 5th
6th 0.1 0.1 6th
7th 7th
8th 8th
9th 9th
10th 10th
11th 11th
12th 12th
13th 13th
14th 14th
15th 15th
16th 16th
17th 17th
18th 18th
Total 1.1 31.5 56.5 11.0 Total



Big Ten Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
20-0
19-1
18-2
17-3
16-4 0.0%
15-5 0.0%
14-6 0.0%
13-7 0.0%
12-8
11-9
10-10
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
20-0
19-1
18-2
17-3
16-4 11.0% 100.0% 15.7% 84.3% 2.1 2.4 5.1 2.8 0.5 0.0 100.0%
15-5 56.5% 100.0% 12.3% 87.7% 2.9 4.0 15.6 21.7 12.8 2.3 0.1 100.0%
14-6 31.5% 100.0% 5.8% 94.2% 3.7 0.4 3.0 8.9 12.3 6.1 0.8 0.0 100.0%
13-7 1.1% 100.0% 3.2% 96.8% 4.6 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.5 0.2 0.0 100.0%
12-8
11-9
10-10
9-11
8-12
7-13
6-14
5-15
4-16
3-17
2-18
1-19
0-20
Total 100% 100.0% 10.6% 89.4% 3.1 100.0%


Best / Worst Case Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid		Avg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Win Out 1.7% 100.0% 1.6 47.2 48.7 4.1
Win Out, Lose in Conf. Tourney Championship 2.9% 100.0% 1.9 25.0 56.2 17.8 1.0
Win Out, Lose in Conf. Tourney Semi-Final 3.6% 100.0% 2.3 16.1 44.5 33.0 6.5
Lose Out 0.3% 100.0% 5.2 3.8 7.7 53.8 30.8 3.8