Oklahoma
Southeastern
2024-25 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
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All team stats adjusted for opponents. See methodology page for descriptions of rating types.

Predictive Rating +11.0 51
Results Rating +9.6 57
Consistency 0.16 247
Pace 66.9 230
Improvement +0.4 178

Overall 1st FGA Second Chance TOs Free
throws		 Shot Selection
Offense A- 20 B A A- B- C+
Defense C+ 131 B- C C- C+ B

Offense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 36% 253 C+ 60% 123 -0.9 217
2 Pt. Jumpers 26% 307 A- 46% 25 +0.3 162
Three Pointers 46% 69 B 37% 38 +5.1 34
Shot Selection/Accuracy C+ +0.2 173 B +4.2 57
1st FG Attempt B 1.11 61
Second Chance B 34.4% 69 A+ 1.28 3 A 0.44 12
Opponents' Steals A- 7.2% 14
Other Turnovers B 6.3% 67
Turnovers A- 13.5% 19
Freethrows C+ 0.32 133 B- 75% 103 B- 0.24 113
Total Offense A- +9.6 20

Assists Blocks (Opponents')
Close Shots D+ 43% 275 C 10.8% 167
2 Pt. Jumpers Shots D- 11% 351 C- 5.8% 241
Three Pointers C 83% 203 C- 1.1% 232
Total C- 52% 254 C+ 5.4% 164

Defense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 35% 273 B- 54% 74 -3.3 72
2 Pt. Jumpers 25% 53 C+ 36% 111 +1.3 293
Three Pointers 39% 230 C- 35% 215 -0.4 161
Shot Selection/Accuracy B -0.8 58 C+ -1.6 116
1st FG Attempt B- 0.97 102
Second Chance C 30.6% 191 C 1.03 186 C 0.32 200
Turnovers from Steals C 9.6% 174
Other Turnovers D+ 6.6% 268
Turnovers C- 16.3% 211
Freethrows B- 0.28 108 C- 73% 225 C+ 0.20 119
Total Defense C+ +1.4 131

Assists Blocks
Close Shots B 41% 44 C+ 12.0% 130
2 Pt. Jumpers Shots C+ 22% 118 B- 7.1% 60
Three Pointers C- 86% 246 B 1.6% 60
Total B- 51% 98 B- 6.7% 92

Miscellaneous
Offense Defense
Possession Length 16.6 101 18.5 327
Fast Break Points Per Possession 0.15 230 0.07 3
Consistency 0.16 353 0.13 238
Improvement +0.6 157 -0.2 197

NCAA Tournament Selection
At-Large Selection Status Longshot
Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Prediction Ranges
Pessimistic
5th Percentile 		Expected
50th Percentile 		Optimistic
95th Percentile
Predictive Rating Rank 59 51 43
Results Rating Rank 80 61 50
Conference Record 4 - 14 5 - 13 7 - 11
Conference Finish 14 13 12
NCAA Tourney Seed None None None
NCAA Tourney Finish None None None

NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0% 0% 0%
#1 Seed 0% 0% 0%
Top 2 Seed 0% 0% 0%
Top 4 Seed 0% 0% 0%
Top 6 Seed 0% 0% 0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 2% 5% 0%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 2% 4% 0%
Average Seed 11.1 11.0 11.2
.500 or above 45% 77% 23%
.500 or above in Conference 0% 0% 0%
Conference Champion 0% 0% 0%
Last Place in Conference 5% 0% 9%
First Four2% 4% 0%
First Round1% 3% 0%
Second Round0% 1% 0%
Sweet Sixteen0% 0% 0%
Elite Eight0% 0% 0%
Final Four0% 0% 0%
Championship Game0% 0% 0%
National Champion0% 0% 0%
Next Game: LSU (Away) - 40.5% chance of victory

Projected Record by Quadrant
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a1 - 71 - 7
Quad 1b2 - 43 - 11
Quad 24 - 67 - 17
Quad 32 - 09 - 17
Quad 47 - 016 - 17


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Lead Record Total Rating Offense Defense
Avg Time Overall Conf Total First
FGA		 2nd Chance TOs Total First
FGA		 2nd Chance TOs
 Mon, Nov 3 355 St. Francis (PA) W 102 - 66 99% +11  90% 1 - 0 A +18 A- +11 C+ A+ B+ B+ +5 B C C
 Sat, Nov 8 11 @Gonzaga L 68 - 83 15% -13  9% 1 - 1 B- +7 C +0 C C+ C- A- +8 B+ A F+
 Tue, Nov 11 330 Arkansas Pine Bluff W 95 - 69 98% +9  87% 2 - 1 B+ +12 A +12 B- A+ B+ C +0 B D- B+
 Sat, Nov 15 13 Nebraska L 99 - 105 22% +3  67% 2 - 2 B+ +13 A+ +33 A+ A+ A+ F -20 F A+ F
 Thu, Nov 20 325 Oral Roberts W 95 - 71 98% +19  97% 3 - 2 B +11 A +13 C- A+ A+ C- -3 B- F A+
 Sun, Nov 23 345 Alcorn St. W 72 - 53 98% +5  70% 4 - 2 C+ +3 F+ -10 F F A+ A+ +14 C- A+ A+
 Fri, Nov 28 83 Marquette W 75 - 74 65% -4  17% 5 - 2 B- +8 A +12 B+ A+ A+ D+ -3 C- A F
 Tue, Dec 2 71 @Wake Forest W 86 - 68 49% +4  62% 6 - 2 A+ +29 A +12 A A+ B+ A+ +16 A+ A+ B
 Sat, Dec 6 69 Arizona St. L 70 - 86 59% -16  4% 6 - 3 D+ -7 D -5 F B- B C- -2 C- F B-
 Sat, Dec 13 63 Oklahoma St. W 85 - 76 58% +4  73% 7 - 3 A +18 A- +10 B B- A+ A- +8 A A+ F
 Tue, Dec 16 360 UMKC W 89 - 67 99% +19  96% 8 - 3 C+ +2 B +7 D A A+ D -5 D+ D A-
 Mon, Dec 22 328 Stetson W 107 - 54 98% +25  99% 9 - 3 A+ +39 A+ +26 A+ A+ B+ A+ +15 A+ C- B
 Mon, Dec 29 365 Mississippi Valley W 93 - 69 100% +9  75% 10 - 3 C- -2 A+ +20 A+ A+ A- F -19 F F+ F
 Sat, Jan 3 79 Mississippi W 86 - 70 74% +5  81% 11 - 3 1 - 0 A +20 A+ +16 A+ A A+ B +5 A- B D
 Wed, Jan 7 81 @Mississippi St. L 53 - 72 53% -5  17% 11 - 4 1 - 1 D -9 F -14 F C- F B +4 A+ F C-
 Sat, Jan 10 34 @Texas A&M L 76 - 83 28% -1  35% 11 - 5 1 - 2 B +10 B+ +7 C+ A+ F B- +3 B A+ D-
 Tue, Jan 13 4 Florida L 79 - 96 17% -16  1% 11 - 6 1 - 3 C+ +4 A +14 A A+ B- F -10 C+ F F
 Sat, Jan 17 17 Alabama L 81 - 83 33% +2  56% 11 - 7 1 - 4 B+ +14 C+ +4 D+ A+ B A +10 A B B
 Tue, Jan 20 91 @South Carolina L 76 - 85 58% -8  0% 11 - 8 1 - 5 C -0 B- +4 C- A C+ D+ -3 D B B
 Sat, Jan 24 47 @Missouri L 87 - 88 OT 37% +0  50% 11 - 9 1 - 6 B+ +13 A- +10 A+ F B- B- +3 A+ D+ D+
 Tue, Jan 27 15 Arkansas L 79 - 83 32% +2  59% 11 - 10 1 - 7 B+ +12 B+ +9 B A C+ B- +3 A- C+ D-
 Sat, Jan 31 28 Texas L 69 - 79 47% +4  76% 11 - 11 1 - 8 C+ +2 D+ -3 D- A+ B- B +4 F A A+
 Wed, Feb 4 23 @Kentucky L 78 - 94 23% -8  11% 11 - 12 1 - 9 C+ +3 A+ +17 A- C A+ F -16 F+ F F
 Sat, Feb 7 16 @Vanderbilt W 92 - 91 16% +13  99% 12 - 12 2 - 9 A +23 A+ +21 A+ A+ C+ B- +2 A F A
 Sat, Feb 14 29 Georgia W 94 - 78 48% +4  52% 13 - 12 3 - 9 A+ +28 A+ +32 A+ B- A+ C- -3 D+ C B
 Wed, Feb 18 19 @Tennessee L 66 - 89 17% -10  0% 13 - 13 3 - 10 C -2 B +6 A B- F F+ -9 C- F F
 Sat, Feb 21 34 Texas A&M L 71 - 75 49% -4  0% 13 - 14 3 - 11 B- +7 B+ +8 F A+ A+ C- -2 A C- F
 Tue, Feb 24 38 Auburn W 91 - 79 51% +9  97% 14 - 14 4 - 11 A +23 A+ +22 A+ A A C+ +2 B- F+ A+
 Sat, Feb 28 53 @LSU L 78 - 81 40%
 Tue, Mar 3 47 Missouri W 80 - 77 60%
 Sat, Mar 7 28 @Texas L 78 - 85 27%
Totals 15 - 16 5 - 13 +11 A- +10 C+ B C+ C+ +1 B B- B-



Game Detail
Grades are adjusted for opponent strength in each category. Game stats are not adjusted for oppoent strength. See methodology page for descriptions of rating types.
Offense Defense
Tot Off First Field Goal Attempt Second Chance TOs Freethrows Tot Def First Field Goal Attempt Second Chance TOs Freethrows
Shot Accuracy Shot Selection Points Per Shot Shot Accuracy Shot Selection Points Per Shot
2 C 2 L 3 Tot 2 C 2 L 3 Tot Off Reb PPP Tot Att Perc Tot 2 C 2 L 3 Tot 2 C 2 L 3 Tot Off Reb PPP Tot Att Perc Tot
Season Ratings A- C+ A- B B 36% 26% 46% C+ B B A+ A A- C+ B- B- C+ B- C+ C- C+ 35% 25% 39% B B- C C C C- B- C- C+
1.22 60% 46% 37% +4 0 1.11 34% 1.3 .44 13% .32 75% .24 1.07 54% 36% 35% -2 -1 0.97 31% 1.0 .32 16% .28 73% .23
Nov
3		 St. Francis (PA) A- B A+ D+ C 57% 2% 41% A+ C+ B+ A+ A+ B+ F C F+ B+ D- A+ B- B- 34% 38% 28% A B D B+ C C A C- A
1.38 70% 100% 33% +7 +4 1.24 40% 1.4 .57 15% .29 72% .21 0.89 65% 23% 31% -5 -3 0.88 30% 0.8 .25 19% .17 70% .12
Nov
8		 Gonzaga C C+ A F C 24% 26% 50% C C C- B+ C+ C- B- A+ A A- B F+ B+ A 48% 20% 33% F B+ C A+ A F+ A+ A+ A+
0.92 58% 46% 24% -5 -2 0.88 22% 1.0 .22 22% .31 89% .28 1.12 59% 50% 30% +1 +1 1.05 37% 0.9 .33 9% .16 45% .07
Nov
11		 Arkansas Pine Bluff A C C+ B C+ 38% 10% 52% B- B- A+ A- A+ B+ B- C- C+ C B- B+ C+ B- 31% 30% 39% B B F B- D- B+ B- D- C+
1.36 60% 40% 37% +3 +1 1.12 53% 1.3 .69 13% .39 75% .30 0.99 53% 31% 33% -4 -2 0.91 36% 0.9 .31 22% .27 80% .22
Nov
15		 Nebraska A+ A+ A+ A A+ 23% 16% 61% A- A+ B A+ A+ A+ A+ A+ A+ F F A+ F F 42% 9% 49% D F C A+ A+ F F D+ F
1.38 77% 56% 38% +11 0 1.23 29% 1.4 .42 14% .34 90% .31 1.47 77% 20% 58% +24 +2 1.53 28% 0.5 .14 7% .42 79% .33
Nov
20		 Oral Roberts A B- B+ D- C 43% 22% 34% D- C- C A+ A+ A+ B- C- C+ C- A B C- C+ 30% 26% 45% A B- F F F A+ C+ F+ C
1.35 60% 46% 30% +1 0 1.03 32% 1.8 .57 4% .34 70% .24 1.01 43% 33% 33% -6 -1 0.87 37% 1.4 .51 26% .29 80% .23
Nov
23		 Alcorn St. F+ F F F F 32% 13% 55% D+ F C- F F A+ A+ D- A A+ B A+ F D+ 34% 30% 36% B C- A- A+ A+ A+ A A A
1.05 47% 14% 28% -12 +1 0.79 37% 0.9 .33 10% .45 68% .31 0.77 50% 21% 47% -1 -1 0.98 20% 0.3 .06 28% .16 63% .10
Nov
28		 Marquette A A+ F B+ A- 35% 19% 46% C- B+ C A+ A+ A+ F F F D+ A+ F F+ D+ 41% 14% 45% A- C- F A+ A F B D- B-
1.19 72% 20% 38% +4 0 1.10 32% 1.5 .48 13% .16 67% .11 1.17 43% 71% 39% +2 +1 1.08 41% 0.5 .21 8% .26 73% .19
Dec
2		 Wake Forest A A A+ C A 43% 13% 45% B A A A- A+ B+ A+ C+ A+ A+ A+ B+ A A+ 27% 22% 51% B+ A+ A+ A+ A+ B F D- F
1.19 70% 50% 33% +6 +1 1.17 40% 1.2 .48 17% .58 74% .43 0.94 43% 36% 27% -10 -1 0.80 22% 0.9 .20 17% .45 81% .37
Dec
6		 Arizona St. D F A+ F F 42% 4% 55% A+ F C+ B- B- B A+ F B+ C- A+ A+ F C- 40% 11% 49% F+ C- B+ F F B- F A F
0.96 41% 50% 24% -15 +2 0.77 33% 1.1 .37 18% .44 62% .27 1.18 42% 0% 52% +3 +1 1.11 28% 1.9 .53 16% .56 68% .38
Dec
13		 Oklahoma St. A- D B+ A- B+ 33% 16% 51% C- B C+ B B- A+ B+ A A A- A+ D C- A 43% 20% 37% A A A+ A+ A+ F A+ F A
1.18 50% 44% 39% +2 0 1.07 30% 1.2 .35 12% .32 80% .25 1.05 42% 42% 36% -5 0 0.93 22% 0.7 .16 7% .24 81% .19
Dec
16		 UMKC B A- B F D 44% 12% 44% B- D C+ A+ A A+ B F C- D A A+ F D+ 36% 26% 38% C D+ C+ F D A- F F+ F
1.27 69% 43% 23% -2 +2 1.02 39% 1.3 .51 11% .31 58% .18 0.95 41% 25% 44% -3 -1 0.94 26% 1.1 .29 23% .41 73% .29
Dec
22		 Stetson A+ A+ D- A+ A+ 45% 12% 43% B+ A+ B+ A+ A+ B+ A D- B+ A+ F D A+ A+ 16% 34% 50% A+ A+ C D C- B A- D- B
1.57 87% 33% 55% +26 +2 1.57 39% 1.7 .65 12% .37 68% .25 0.79 75% 41% 12% -13 -3 0.70 25% 1.1 .28 21% .22 75% .17
Dec
29		 Mississippi Valley A+ A A+ A+ A+ 23% 15% 62% D+ A+ A A A+ A- F C+ F+ F A+ D- F F 33% 35% 33% D- F C- F F+ F D F F
1.52 73% 71% 45% +18 0 1.38 46% 1.5 .69 13% .32 76% .24 1.12 40% 44% 53% +6 -2 1.09 25% 1.1 .29 16% .31 81% .25
Jan
3		 Mississippi A+ C+ A+ A A+ 40% 13% 47% A A+ C A+ A A+ C C- C- B A+ A+ F A- 22% 35% 43% B- A- A- C B D D+ B+ C
1.28 57% 57% 40% +6 +1 1.17 28% 1.6 .44 10% .32 68% .22 1.04 45% 28% 41% -2 -3 0.92 24% 1.1 .27 10% .33 70% .23
Jan
7		 Mississippi St. F F C+ F F 22% 39% 39% F F B F C- F A+ F A+ B C+ C- A+ A+ 33% 37% 30% A+ A+ F D+ F C- F D F
0.81 40% 39% 17% -14 -4 0.67 31% 0.8 .24 20% .48 64% .30 1.10 60% 41% 14% -7 -3 0.83 44% 1.1 .49 14% .49 71% .35
Jan
10		 Texas A&M B+ F+ C B C+ 30% 16% 54% C+ C+ A+ A A+ F C+ A B B- C+ F+ C B 36% 15% 49% A- B B A+ A+ D- F F F
1.08 47% 38% 37% -1 0 1.00 44% 1.1 .50 24% .30 81% .24 1.18 58% 50% 35% +2 +1 1.08 31% 0.6 .18 11% .40 84% .34
Jan
13		 Florida A F F A+ A 38% 30% 32% C+ A A A+ A+ B- A+ C+ A+ F F C A+ C 46% 21% 32% A- C+ D+ F F F B+ C- B
1.12 37% 27% 63% +2 -1 1.04 30% 1.1 .32 16% .40 71% .28 1.36 77% 42% 22% +4 0 1.11 46% 1.3 .59 10% .30 74% .22
Jan
17		 Alabama C+ D C D- C- 33% 30% 37% C- D+ A A- A+ B A- A+ A+ A D A+ A- A 33% 17% 50% A- A C+ B B B F+ A+ B-
1.08 47% 35% 29% -7 -2 0.84 37% 1.1 .41 12% .33 86% .29 1.11 67% 33% 30% -1 0 1.00 33% 1.1 .36 15% .41 58% .23
Jan
20		 South Carolina B- A- A- F D+ 40% 17% 42% B C- C+ A+ A C+ A A A+ D+ B B F D- 40% 22% 38% C+ D C A B B F C+ F
1.06 67% 44% 18% -5 +1 0.92 31% 1.4 .44 15% .36 77% .28 1.18 55% 36% 47% +6 0 1.14 28% 0.9 .25 17% .47 79% .37
Jan
24		 Missouri A- F+ A+ A+ A+ 21% 30% 49% D- A+ F F F B- A+ B- A+ B- A D B+ A+ 41% 22% 37% B+ A+ D- C+ D+ D+ F D F
1.15 45% 56% 46% +12 -2 1.21 17% 0.6 .10 16% .47 77% .36 1.17 50% 42% 30% -5 0 0.93 41% 1.1 .46 16% .52 73% .38
Shot Accuracy Shot Selection PPS 2nd Chance TOs Freethrows Shot Accuracy Shot Selection PPS 2nd Chance TOs Freethrows
Jan
27		 Arkansas B+ F+ A+ B- B- 46% 11% 43% A B B- A+ A C+ D A+ B- B- F F A+ A 50% 21% 29% D+ A- A+ F C+ D- A+ F A
1.15 46% 67% 33% -3 +2 1.00 31% 1.5 .46 17% .21 92% .19 1.20 76% 50% 12% +2 +1 1.07 23% 1.9 .43 9% .21 85% .17
Jan
31		 Texas D+ F A+ F D 25% 27% 48% D D- B- A+ A+ B- D F F+ B F F D+ F 37% 22% 41% B- F A+ F A A+ A+ B- A+
1.03 38% 50% 28% -6 -2 0.87 27% 1.6 .43 13% .28 63% .17 1.18 82% 60% 37% +16 0 1.33 22% 1.6 .35 21% .28 73% .21
Feb
4		 Kentucky A+ A F+ B- A- 28% 13% 59% B+ A- F+ A+ C A+ B A+ A+ F C C+ F F 27% 29% 44% A+ F+ D- F F F F F F
1.19 67% 29% 34% +2 0 1.06 18% 1.2 .21 9% .32 89% .29 1.44 62% 36% 52% +12 -2 1.23 42% 1.4 .58 9% .45 81% .37
Feb
7		 Vanderbilt A+ A A+ C- A+ 44% 23% 33% B A+ B+ A+ A+ C+ A+ C- A+ B- A- A- D A 28% 28% 45% A+ A D- F F A F D- F
1.24 67% 55% 31% +6 0 1.15 33% 1.6 .53 19% .48 72% .35 1.23 54% 31% 38% 0 -2 0.98 38% 1.9 .72 18% .51 84% .42
Feb
14		 Georgia A+ C+ A+ A+ A+ 33% 21% 46% C- A+ A D+ B- A+ A+ D- A C- F F A- D 40% 10% 50% C- D+ D+ B C B A- B A-
1.50 56% 60% 64% +24 0 1.50 41% 0.8 .33 11% .40 64% .25 1.25 79% 60% 29% +7 +1 1.19 40% 1.0 .40 16% .27 71% .19
Feb
18		 Tennessee B F A+ B A+ 17% 36% 48% F A C- A+ B- F A+ A+ A+ F+ F+ F A+ C- 52% 20% 28% D+ C- F D+ F F D- C- D-
1.00 43% 60% 35% +6 -4 1.07 22% 1.2 .26 23% .41 76% .31 1.35 69% 60% 21% +5 +1 1.14 54% 1.1 .61 11% .42 72% .31
Feb
21		 Texas A&M B+ F D- C F 18% 27% 55% F+ F A+ A+ A+ A+ A+ A+ A+ C- B A+ C A 47% 14% 39% C+ A C- C- C- F D+ A+ A-
1.14 22% 31% 33% -9 -2 0.80 42% 1.2 .49 13% .44 83% .37 1.20 54% 29% 35% -3 +2 1.00 35% 1.0 .35 8% .35 55% .19
Feb
24		 Auburn A+ D F A+ A+ 33% 31% 35% D- A+ B+ A+ A A A+ C- A+ C+ D+ A- D- C+ 32% 27% 41% A+ B- D- D+ F+ A+ F D+ F
1.37 50% 27% 71% +13 -2 1.25 34% 1.3 .44 14% .44 72% .31 1.19 64% 33% 39% +4 -1 1.07 45% 1.1 .52 21% .52 78% .40



Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Southeastern Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 4th
5th 5th
6th 6th
7th 7th
8th 8th
9th 9th
10th 0.1 0.1 10th
11th 1.1 2.4 3.5 11th
12th 13.2 24.5 4.8 42.5 12th
13th 4.4 26.1 5.3 0.0 35.8 13th
14th 9.8 4.0 13.8 14th
15th 4.0 0.1 4.2 15th
16th 0.1 0.1 16th
Total 18.4 43.4 30.9 7.3 Total



Southeastern Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8
9-9
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8
9-9
8-10
7-11 7.3% 19.5% 0.3% 19.1% 11.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 1.0 0.2 0.0 5.9 19.2%
6-12 30.9% 2.0% 0.2% 1.7% 11.1 0.0 0.0 0.4 0.1 0.0 30.3 1.7%
5-13 43.4% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 11.5 0.0 0.0 0.0 43.3 0.0%
4-14 18.4% 0.0% 0.0% 12.0 0.0 18.4
3-15
2-16
1-17
0-18
Total 100% 2.1% 0.2% 1.9% 11.1 97.9 1.9%


Best / Worst Case Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid		Avg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Win Out, Lose in Conf. Tourney Semi-Final 0.5% 48.4% 10.7 1.1 15.8 30.5 1.1
Lose Out 15.9%