Oklahoma
Southeastern
2024-25 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
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Overall
Predictive Rating+10.2#52
Expected Predictive Rating+2.4#134
Pace70.3#169
Improvement-0.3#206

Offense
Total Offense+8.1#30
First Shot+4.0#71
After Offensive Rebound+4.1#14
Layup/Dunks+3.5#65
2 Pt Jumpshots-0.2#184
3 Pt Jumpshots+1.6#125
Freethrows-0.9#231
Improvement-0.5#240

Defense
Total Defense+2.1#105
First Shot+0.4#158
After Offensive Rebounds+1.8#79
Layups/Dunks-2.1#260
2 Pt Jumpshots+1.4#79
3 Pt Jumpshots-1.1#228
Freethrows+2.2#63
Improvement+0.2#172
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.1% 0.2% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 1.0% 1.5% 0.4%
Top 6 Seed 4.7% 6.4% 2.4%
NCAA Tourney Bid 27.2% 33.7% 17.8%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 26.3% 32.6% 17.2%
Average Seed 8.3 8.2 8.6
.500 or above 59.3% 69.4% 44.8%
.500 or above in Conference 33.8% 38.8% 26.7%
Conference Champion 1.5% 1.9% 0.8%
Last Place in Conference 11.4% 9.2% 14.7%
First Four3.9% 4.4% 3.1%
First Round25.3% 31.6% 16.2%
Second Round13.3% 16.9% 8.2%
Sweet Sixteen3.7% 4.8% 2.0%
Elite Eight1.2% 1.6% 0.7%
Final Four0.4% 0.5% 0.2%
Championship Game0.1% 0.1% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Marquette (Neutral) - 58.8% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a1 - 71 - 7
Quad 1b3 - 54 - 11
Quad 25 - 49 - 15
Quad 31 - 010 - 15
Quad 47 - 017 - 15


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Mon, Nov 3 359 St. Francis (PA) W 102-66 99%     1 - 0 +19.1 +17.2 -0.1
  Sat, Nov 8 6 @Gonzaga L 68-83 13%     1 - 1 +7.6 +2.5 +5.9
  Tue, Nov 11 363 Arkansas Pine Bluff W 95-69 99%     2 - 1 +7.4 +13.5 -6.0
  Sat, Nov 15 43 Nebraska L 99-105 44%     2 - 2 +5.9 +28.1 -22.0
  Thu, Nov 20 296 Oral Roberts W 95-71 96%     3 - 2 +13.6 +14.4 -1.0
  Sun, Nov 23 338 Alcorn St. W 72-53 98%     4 - 2 +5.2 -5.3 +10.9
  Fri, Nov 28 73 Marquette W 81-79 59%    
  Tue, Dec 2 37 @Wake Forest L 76-81 32%    
  Sat, Dec 6 83 Arizona St. W 81-78 62%    
  Sat, Dec 13 46 Oklahoma St. L 85-86 47%    
  Tue, Dec 16 335 UMKC W 90-66 98%    
  Mon, Dec 22 344 Stetson W 89-64 99%    
  Mon, Dec 29 365 Mississippi Valley W 94-59 100.0%   
  Sat, Jan 3 49 Mississippi W 78-75 60%    
  Wed, Jan 7 84 @Mississippi St. W 79-78 52%    
  Sat, Jan 10 60 @Texas A&M L 81-83 43%    
  Tue, Jan 13 17 Florida L 79-83 35%    
  Sat, Jan 17 10 Alabama L 85-91 31%    
  Tue, Jan 20 88 @South Carolina W 76-75 53%    
  Sat, Jan 24 33 @Missouri L 78-84 30%    
  Tue, Jan 27 25 Arkansas L 79-80 47%    
  Sat, Jan 31 36 Texas W 79-78 52%    
  Wed, Feb 4 16 @Kentucky L 76-86 18%    
  Sat, Feb 7 19 @Vanderbilt L 78-87 22%    
  Sat, Feb 14 34 Georgia W 86-85 51%    
  Wed, Feb 18 14 @Tennessee L 72-83 17%    
  Sat, Feb 21 60 Texas A&M W 84-80 64%    
  Tue, Feb 24 23 Auburn L 79-81 44%    
  Sat, Feb 28 40 @LSU L 78-83 34%    
  Tue, Mar 3 33 Missouri W 81-80 50%    
  Sat, Mar 7 36 @Texas L 76-81 32%    
Projected Record 16 - 15 7 - 11




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Southeastern Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.1 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.2 0.0 0.0 1.5 1st
2nd 0.1 0.6 1.0 0.5 0.1 0.0 2.2 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.6 1.5 0.6 0.1 0.0 2.9 3rd
4th 0.5 2.0 1.2 0.1 3.8 4th
5th 0.0 0.2 1.8 2.3 0.5 0.0 4.7 5th
6th 0.0 0.9 2.9 1.0 0.1 4.9 6th
7th 0.3 3.0 2.6 0.2 6.1 7th
8th 0.1 1.8 4.0 0.8 0.0 6.7 8th
9th 0.0 0.6 4.3 2.4 0.1 7.5 9th
10th 0.0 0.2 2.8 4.2 0.7 0.0 7.9 10th
11th 0.1 1.8 4.9 1.9 0.1 8.9 11th
12th 0.0 0.9 4.3 3.4 0.3 8.8 12th
13th 0.1 0.7 3.6 4.6 1.1 0.0 10.0 13th
14th 0.0 0.5 2.6 4.4 1.8 0.1 9.4 14th
15th 0.1 0.7 2.5 3.5 1.8 0.2 8.8 15th
16th 0.2 0.8 1.9 2.0 1.0 0.1 0.0 6.1 16th
Total 0.2 0.9 2.6 5.0 7.9 10.9 12.8 13.0 12.8 11.2 8.7 6.2 3.9 2.1 1.0 0.5 0.2 0.0 0.0 Total



Southeastern Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0 100.0% 0.0    0.0
17-1 100.0% 0.0    0.0
16-2 96.0% 0.2    0.1 0.0
15-3 80.8% 0.4    0.2 0.1 0.0
14-4 41.9% 0.4    0.1 0.2 0.1 0.0
13-5 17.3% 0.4    0.0 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.0
12-6 2.1% 0.1    0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
11-7 0.1% 0.0    0.0
10-8 0.0%
9-9 0.0%
Total 1.5% 1.5 0.5 0.6 0.3 0.1 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0 0.0% 0.0
17-1 0.0% 0.0 0.0
16-2 0.2% 100.0% 16.0% 84.0% 3.7 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 100.0%
15-3 0.5% 100.0% 16.4% 83.6% 4.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 100.0%
14-4 1.0% 99.4% 16.2% 83.1% 5.4 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.3 0.3 0.2 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 99.2%
13-5 2.1% 97.9% 7.9% 90.0% 6.2 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.4 0.6 0.5 0.3 0.1 0.0 0.0 97.8%
12-6 3.9% 96.1% 4.6% 91.6% 7.1 0.0 0.1 0.4 0.7 1.1 0.9 0.4 0.2 0.0 0.2 95.9%
11-7 6.2% 89.5% 3.9% 85.5% 8.1 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.5 1.2 1.5 1.3 0.7 0.2 0.7 89.0%
10-8 8.7% 72.4% 1.5% 70.9% 8.8 0.0 0.1 0.7 1.6 1.8 1.5 0.5 0.0 2.4 72.0%
9-9 11.2% 44.5% 1.5% 43.0% 9.6 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.6 1.1 1.8 1.2 0.1 6.2 43.6%
8-10 12.8% 17.2% 0.5% 16.7% 10.3 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.7 1.0 0.0 0.0 10.6 16.8%
7-11 13.0% 4.0% 0.1% 3.8% 10.7 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.0 12.5 3.8%
6-12 12.8% 0.8% 0.1% 0.7% 11.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.0 12.7 0.7%
5-13 10.9% 0.1% 0.1% 10.0 0.0 0.0 10.9
4-14 7.9% 7.9
3-15 5.0% 5.0
2-16 2.6% 2.6
1-17 0.9% 0.9
0-18 0.2% 0.2
Total 100% 27.2% 1.3% 25.9% 8.3 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.6 1.4 2.2 3.9 5.1 5.0 5.0 3.3 0.2 0.0 72.8 26.3%