Oklahoma
Southeastern
2024-25 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
Switch to All-time Team Page
Predictive Rating +10.1 #54
Expected Predictive Rating +9.7 #63
Pace 67.8 #223
Improvement -1.9 #279

Overall 1st FGA Second Chance TOs Free
throws		 Shot Selection
Offense #33 B- A+ A+ C- C+
Defense #107 B- C D+ C+ B

Offense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 38% #176 1.18 #157 +0.2 #169
2 Pt. Jumpers 16% #262 0.86 #60 -0.6 #208
Three Pointers 45% #105 1.07 #120 +3.4 #73
1st FG Attempt 1.08 #100 +3.0 #99
Freethrows 16.4 #246 72% #207 11.8 #235
Second Chance 35.5% #57 1.28 #8 0.45 #15
Turnovers 12.6% #9
Total Offense +8.1 #33

Defense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 35% #283 1.03 #39 +4.4 #51
2 Pt. Jumpers 24% #68 0.70 #109 -0.9 #244
Three Pointers 41% #202 1.09 #283 -1.4 #238
1st FG Attempt 0.97 #109 +2.2 #109
Freethrows 15.9 #117 74% #268 11.9 #222
Second Chance 31.3% #208 0.99 #106 0.31 #153
Turnovers 15.2% #263
Total Defense +2.0 #107

Miscellaneous
Offense Defense
Shot Type Mix Effect 1.0% #121 -1.6% #61
Shot Type Accuracy Effect 4.7% #113 -2.7% #135
Possession Length 16.6 #107 17.9 #278
Fast Break Points Per Possession 0.15 #224 0.08 #8
Improvement -2.8 #328 +0.9 #129

See methodology page for descriptions of rating types.
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.1% 0.2% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 1.2% 2.8% 0.5%
NCAA Tourney Bid 22.0% 35.7% 15.6%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 21.7% 35.3% 15.4%
Average Seed 9.3 9.0 9.5
.500 or above 63.0% 79.6% 55.1%
.500 or above in Conference 14.5% 26.4% 8.9%
Conference Champion 0.1% 0.1% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 20.7% 10.0% 25.7%
First Four6.4% 8.7% 5.3%
First Round18.8% 31.3% 12.9%
Second Round8.1% 14.1% 5.3%
Sweet Sixteen1.4% 2.5% 0.9%
Elite Eight0.4% 0.7% 0.2%
Final Four0.1% 0.2% 0.1%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Alabama (Home) - 32.0% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a1 - 71 - 7
Quad 1b3 - 54 - 12
Quad 24 - 38 - 15
Quad 31 - 010 - 15
Quad 47 - 017 - 15


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Avg Lead Record Total Rating Offense Defense
Overall Conf Total First
FGA		 2nd Chance TOs Total First
FGA		 2nd Chance TOs
 Mon, Nov 3 360 St. Francis (PA) W 102 - 66 99% +11  1 - 0 +18 +16 B- A+ A -0 C+ C C
 Sat, Nov 8 10 @Gonzaga L 68 - 83 12% -13  1 - 1 +8 +2 C+ C D +7 A+ A F
 Tue, Nov 11 327 Arkansas Pine Bluff W 95 - 69 97% +10  2 - 1 +13 +15 C+ A+ B+ -3 B C B+
 Sat, Nov 15 16 Nebraska L 99 - 105 24% +3  2 - 2 +11 +33 A+ A+ A+ -21 F A+ F
 Thu, Nov 20 298 Oral Roberts W 95 - 71 96% +19  3 - 2 +13 +17 C A+ A+ -4 B F A+
 Sun, Nov 23 347 Alcorn St. W 72 - 53 98% +5  4 - 2 +4 -6 F F A+ +10 C- A+ A+
 Fri, Nov 28 106 Marquette W 75 - 74 71% -4  5 - 2 +5 +14 B+ A+ A+ -8 D- A F
 Tue, Dec 2 57 @Wake Forest W 86 - 68 41% +4  6 - 2 +30 +17 A+ A+ A+ +13 A+ A+ C
 Sat, Dec 6 82 Arizona St. L 70 - 86 63% -16  6 - 3 -9 -4 F B B+ -5 D+ F B-
 Sat, Dec 13 62 Oklahoma St. W 85 - 76 55% +4  7 - 3 +18 +12 B B+ A+ +5 A+ A+ F
 Tue, Dec 16 346 UMKC W 89 - 67 98% +19  8 - 3 +7 +10 D A+ A+ -3 C- D+ B
 Mon, Dec 22 345 Stetson W 107 - 54 98% +25  9 - 3 +38 +29 A+ A+ A+ +10 A+ D+ A-
 Mon, Dec 29 365 Mississippi Valley W 93 - 69 100% +9  10 - 3 -3 +23 A+ A+ B+ -23 F F F
 Sat, Jan 3 65 Mississippi W 86 - 70 67% +5  11 - 3 1 - 0 +22 +20 A+ A+ A+ +2 A B D-
 Wed, Jan 7 66 @Mississippi St. L 53 - 72 45% -5  11 - 4 1 - 1 -8 -11 F D F +2 A+ F C-
 Sat, Jan 10 40 @Texas A&M L 76 - 83 29% -1  11 - 5 1 - 2 +9 +10 C A+ F -1 B+ A+ F
 Tue, Jan 13 12 Florida L 79 - 96 26% -16  11 - 6 1 - 3 -0 +14 A+ A+ C -14 C- F F
 Sat, Jan 17 14 Alabama L 85 - 90 32%
 Tue, Jan 20 69 @South Carolina L 73 - 74 47%
 Sat, Jan 24 53 @Missouri L 77 - 80 39%
 Tue, Jan 27 26 Arkansas L 82 - 84 42%
 Sat, Jan 31 41 Texas W 81 - 80 53%
 Wed, Feb 4 25 @Kentucky L 73 - 81 22%
 Sat, Feb 7 9 @Vanderbilt L 74 - 87 11%
 Sat, Feb 14 23 Georgia L 84 - 87 40%
 Wed, Feb 18 20 @Tennessee L 69 - 78 19%
 Sat, Feb 21 40 Texas A&M W 82 - 81 51%
 Tue, Feb 24 27 Auburn L 79 - 81 43%
 Sat, Feb 28 44 @LSU L 75 - 80 32%
 Tue, Mar 3 53 Missouri W 80 - 77 61%
 Sat, Mar 7 41 @Texas L 78 - 83 32%
Totals 16 - 15 6 - 12 +10 +8 B- A+ A+ +2 B- C D+




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Southeastern Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 1st
2nd 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.2 2nd
3rd 0.1 0.3 0.2 0.0 0.6 3rd
4th 0.0 0.4 0.7 0.2 0.0 1.2 4th
5th 0.1 1.3 0.6 0.0 2.1 5th
6th 0.0 1.0 1.5 0.2 2.8 6th
7th 0.5 2.7 0.8 0.0 4.0 7th
8th 0.1 2.3 2.6 0.2 5.2 8th
9th 1.0 4.5 1.1 0.0 6.5 9th
10th 0.2 3.9 3.7 0.2 8.0 10th
11th 0.1 1.9 6.1 1.4 0.0 9.5 11th
12th 0.0 0.7 5.8 4.2 0.2 10.9 12th
13th 0.0 0.3 3.8 7.0 1.3 0.0 12.5 13th
14th 0.0 0.2 2.6 6.9 3.2 0.1 13.0 14th
15th 0.0 0.2 2.0 6.0 4.2 0.5 13.0 15th
16th 0.5 2.1 4.1 3.2 0.7 0.0 10.6 16th
Total 0.5 2.4 6.3 12.1 16.4 18.7 16.7 12.5 7.8 4.2 1.8 0.5 0.1 0.0 Total



Southeastern Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4 100.0% 0.0    0.0
13-5 11.1% 0.0    0.0 0.0
12-6 5.7% 0.0    0.0 0.0 0.0
11-7 0.0%
10-8 0.0%
9-9 0.0%
Total 0.1% 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4 0.0% 0.0
13-5 0.1% 100.0% 7.4% 92.6% 5.1 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 100.0%
12-6 0.5% 97.1% 3.8% 93.3% 6.3 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.0 97.0%
11-7 1.8% 98.1% 2.5% 95.5% 7.2 0.0 0.1 0.4 0.6 0.5 0.2 0.0 0.0 0.0 98.0%
10-8 4.2% 94.1% 2.1% 92.0% 8.3 0.0 0.3 0.7 1.3 1.1 0.5 0.1 0.3 94.0%
9-9 7.8% 80.7% 1.0% 79.7% 9.1 0.0 0.1 0.3 1.5 2.2 1.7 0.5 1.5 80.5%
8-10 12.5% 48.0% 0.6% 47.5% 10.3 0.0 0.3 0.8 2.0 2.9 0.0 6.5 47.7%
7-11 16.7% 17.8% 0.3% 17.5% 10.8 0.0 0.1 0.4 2.3 0.1 13.7 17.6%
6-12 18.7% 1.8% 0.1% 1.7% 11.0 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.0 18.3 1.7%
5-13 16.4% 0.0% 0.0% 11.0 0.0 16.4 0.0%
4-14 12.1% 12.1
3-15 6.3% 6.3
2-16 2.4% 2.4
1-17 0.5% 0.5
0-18
Total 100% 22.0% 0.4% 21.7% 9.3 78.0 21.7%


Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid		Avg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Lose Out 0.5%