Queens
Atlantic Sun
2024-25 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
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All team stats adjusted for opponents. See methodology page for descriptions of rating types.

Predictive Rating -2.3 199
Results Rating -2.1 199
Consistency 0.15 155
Pace 72.4 78
Improvement +1.2 139

Overall 1st FGA Second Chance TOs Free
throws		 Shot Selection
Offense B- 79 B- C B- B- C+
Defense D- 338 D D+ D+ D D+

Offense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 37% 215 B 63% 72 +1.3 128
2 Pt. Jumpers 29% 276 C 39% 155 -1.4 254
Three Pointers 46% 65 C+ 35% 147 +3.2 72
Shot Selection/Accuracy C+ +0.5 112 B- +2.3 96
1st FG Attempt B- 1.08 90
Second Chance C- 28.8% 225 B- 1.11 76 C 0.32 156
Opponents' Steals C+ 9.0% 133
Other Turnovers B- 6.6% 89
Turnovers B- 15.6% 100
Freethrows C+ 0.32 152 B- 75% 83 B- 0.24 120
Total Offense B- +4.1 79

Assists Blocks (Opponents')
Close Shots D- 38% 324 D+ 13.1% 307
2 Pt. Jumpers Shots C- 22% 214 C 4.9% 174
Three Pointers A- 93% 12 B- 0.6% 114
Total C 55% 193 C- 6.0% 221

Defense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 43% 83 C- 60% 241 +3.3 296
2 Pt. Jumpers 19% 213 C- 40% 258 +0.0 189
Three Pointers 38% 269 F+ 39% 351 +1.2 244
Shot Selection/Accuracy D+ +0.4 252 D +3.8 320
1st FG Attempt D 1.11 323
Second Chance D 33.5% 304 C- 1.07 240 D+ 0.36 295
Turnovers from Steals D 7.7% 310
Other Turnovers C 7.3% 168
Turnovers D+ 15.0% 285
Freethrows D 0.35 306 C- 73% 224 D 0.25 306
Total Defense D- -6.4 338

Assists Blocks
Close Shots B 43% 72 C- 9.7% 220
2 Pt. Jumpers Shots C 26% 199 C- 4.4% 200
Three Pointers B- 81% 90 D 0.2% 333
Total B- 52% 102 C- 5.0% 218

Miscellaneous
Offense Defense
Possession Length 16.2 68 17.6 242
Fast Break Points Per Possession 0.16 196 0.17 186
Consistency 0.10 45 0.15 332
Improvement +0.4 173 +0.9 136

NCAA Tournament Selection
At-Large Selection Status Out of Consideration
Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Prediction Ranges
Pessimistic
5th Percentile 		Expected
50th Percentile 		Optimistic
95th Percentile
Predictive Rating Rank 217 197 173
Results Rating Rank 225 197 146
Conference Record 13 - 5 13 - 5 14 - 4
Conference Finish 3 3 2
NCAA Tourney Seed None None 15
NCAA Tourney Finish None None 1st Round

NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0% 0% 0%
#1 Seed 0% 0% 0%
Top 2 Seed 0% 0% 0%
Top 4 Seed 0% 0% 0%
Top 6 Seed 0% 0% 0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 18% 20% 17%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0% 0% 0%
Average Seed 15.0 14.7 15.2
.500 or above 100% 100% 100%
.500 or above in Conference 100% 100% 100%
Conference Champion 0% 0% 0%
Last Place in Conference 0% 0% 0%
First Four0% 0% 1%
First Round18% 20% 17%
Second Round0% 0% 0%
Sweet Sixteen0% 0% 0%
Elite Eight0% 0% 0%
Final Four0% 0% 0%
Championship Game0% 0% 0%
National Champion0% 0% 0%
Next Game: Central Arkansas (Away) - 33.9% chance of victory

Projected Record by Quadrant
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 40 - 4
Quad 1b0 - 10 - 5
Quad 20 - 10 - 6
Quad 31 - 51 - 10
Quad 418 - 319 - 13


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Lead Record Total Rating Offense Defense
Avg Time Overall Conf Total First
FGA		 2nd Chance TOs Total First
FGA		 2nd Chance TOs
 Mon, Nov 3 138 Winthrop L 74 - 81 36% -2  16% 0 - 1 D+ -6 D+ -4 D- B+ F C -1 A- F D+
 Sat, Nov 8 32 @Villanova L 74 - 94 4% -12  0% 0 - 2 C- -3 B+ +9 A+ F D F -12 C+ F D
 Tue, Nov 11 119 @Duquesne L 81 - 87 OT 22% -9  3% 0 - 3 C -0 D -6 C- F C- A- +7 C+ A- B-
 Sat, Nov 15 284 Sacred Heart W 81 - 64 77% +13  99% 1 - 3 B- +7 C- -1 A C- F A- +8 B- A+ D+
 Thu, Nov 20 298 UNC Greensboro W 101 - 94 80% +8  98% 2 - 3 C- -4 A+ +20 A+ B A F -24 F F F
 Sun, Nov 23 171 @Furman L 79 - 90 34% -11  0% 2 - 4 D -9 A+ +15 C+ A A+ F -25 F B F
 Fri, Nov 28 20 @Virginia L 69 - 94 2% -18  0% 2 - 5 C- -4 A- +10 C A+ C F -16 F B- D-
 Wed, Dec 3 362 Gardner-Webb W 107 - 74 95% +14  98% 3 - 5 B+ +12 A+ +16 A+ A B- D -6 A+ F F
 Fri, Dec 12 357 South Carolina St. W 102 - 78 93% +19  99% 4 - 5 B- +5 A+ +16 C+ C+ A+ F -11 D F D+
 Sun, Dec 14 71 @Wake Forest L 73 - 111 11% -19  1% 4 - 6 F -27 C +0 B D+ B- F -26 F F+ C
 Tue, Dec 16 15 @Arkansas L 80 - 108 2% -20  8% 4 - 7 D+ -6 C+ +2 C+ B+ F+ D+ -5 D- F A+
 Mon, Dec 29 38 @Auburn L 65 - 106 5% -30  0% 4 - 8 F -24 F+ -10 F B- C F -12 F B- C
 Thu, Jan 1 287 Eastern Kentucky W 91 - 89 77% +1  53% 5 - 8 1 - 0 D -8 B +7 C- A A+ F -16 F C F
 Sat, Jan 3 292 Bellarmine W 98 - 76 79% +10  87% 6 - 8 2 - 0 B +11 B+ +8 B- B- D+ B- +3 D- A B+
 Thu, Jan 8 305 @Jacksonville W 77 - 51 63% +15  96% 7 - 8 3 - 0 A +20 B- +5 A+ F D A+ +18 A C- B
 Sat, Jan 10 333 @North Florida W 89 - 82 72% +2  66% 8 - 8 4 - 0 C -1 C+ +2 C- A- C D+ -4 D C F
 Thu, Jan 15 257 @Florida Gulf Coast W 85 - 74 50% +6  80% 9 - 8 5 - 0 B +9 B +7 C- C A C+ +2 A+ D+ F
 Sat, Jan 17 328 @Stetson W 87 - 81 70% +8  98% 10 - 8 6 - 0 C -2 B +7 C+ D- A F+ -8 F+ D+ D-
 Wed, Jan 21 342 North Alabama W 87 - 62 88% +10  92% 11 - 8 7 - 0 B +10 B +7 B A- D+ B +4 C+ B- A
 Sat, Jan 24 312 @West Georgia L 66 - 74 64% -4  9% 11 - 9 7 - 1 D- -14 F+ -9 F B F+ D -5 F B+ B-
 Wed, Jan 28 173 Central Arkansas L 90 - 100 56% +1  53% 11 - 10 7 - 2 D- -14 B +7 A+ F A F -21 F D+ F+
 Sat, Jan 31 292 @Bellarmine L 75 - 78 59% -0  39% 11 - 11 7 - 3 D+ -8 D+ -3 F B+ B+ D -5 C- F C
 Thu, Feb 5 305 Jacksonville W 93 - 84 81% +11  96% 12 - 11 8 - 3 C- -3 A +11 B+ D+ A+ F -14 F D C
 Sat, Feb 7 333 North Florida W 91 - 72 87% +5  68% 13 - 11 9 - 3 C+ +5 B +6 C B C+ C -1 C- B+ B-
 Wed, Feb 11 167 Austin Peay L 87 - 95 54% -5  13% 13 - 12 9 - 4 D- -11 B +6 A F A F -17 F F D+
 Sat, Feb 14 197 Lipscomb W 87 - 81 61% +11  91% 14 - 12 10 - 4 C +1 C +0 A+ D+ F C -0 C D B
 Wed, Feb 18 342 @North Alabama W 85 - 78 74% -1  35% 15 - 12 11 - 4 C- -2 B+ +8 A F B- F -10 F F D-
 Sat, Feb 21 312 West Georgia W 91 - 84 82% +4  85% 16 - 12 12 - 4 D+ -5 B +7 F+ A+ A+ F -12 F+ F+ D
 Wed, Feb 25 287 @Eastern Kentucky W 96 - 79 57% +0  37% 17 - 12 13 - 4 B+ +13 A +14 A- F A+ C- -2 C F D+
 Sat, Feb 28 173 @Central Arkansas L 81 - 85 34%
Totals 17 - 13 13 - 5 -2 B- +4 B- B- C+ D- -6 C+ B- B-



Game Detail
Grades are adjusted for opponent strength in each category. Game stats are not adjusted for oppoent strength. See methodology page for descriptions of rating types.
Offense Defense
Tot Off First Field Goal Attempt Second Chance TOs Freethrows Tot Def First Field Goal Attempt Second Chance TOs Freethrows
Shot Accuracy Shot Selection Points Per Shot Shot Accuracy Shot Selection Points Per Shot
2 C 2 L 3 Tot 2 C 2 L 3 Tot Off Reb PPP Tot Att Perc Tot 2 C 2 L 3 Tot 2 C 2 L 3 Tot Off Reb PPP Tot Att Perc Tot
Season Ratings B- B C C+ B- 37% 29% 46% C+ B- C- B- C B- C+ B- B- D- C- C- F+ D 43% 19% 38% D+ D D C- D+ D+ D C- D
1.15 63% 39% 35% +2 +1 1.08 29% 1.1 .32 16% .32 75% .24 1.18 60% 40% 39% +4 0 1.11 33% 1.1 .36 15% .35 73% .23
Nov
3		 Winthrop D+ B- A+ F D- 35% 18% 47% C D- A- C B+ F D A+ C+ C B+ A B B+ 33% 22% 45% A A- D- F F D+ F F+ F
1.03 61% 56% 21% -5 0 0.92 38% 1.1 .41 24% .29 88% .25 1.12 47% 27% 30% -8 0 0.84 39% 1.3 .49 14% .50 81% .40
Nov
8		 Villanova B+ B+ A+ A+ A+ 49% 13% 38% A+ A+ F F F D A- B+ A F F A+ A+ B 54% 14% 32% F C+ F B+ F D F C F
1.08 64% 67% 47% +14 +2 1.33 13% 0.7 .09 23% .31 75% .23 1.38 80% 13% 22% +2 +2 1.11 56% 0.9 .51 12% .42 72% .30
Nov
11		 Duquesne D D- B C C- 32% 21% 47% C C- C+ F F C- B B- B+ A- F D- A+ B- 52% 12% 37% D+ C+ A C+ A- B- F A+ C+
0.94 50% 42% 33% -2 -1 0.96 30% 0.4 .13 19% .39 74% .29 1.01 71% 43% 18% -1 +2 1.03 22% 1.0 .22 19% .43 57% .24
Nov
15		 Sacred Heart C- C- F A+ A 30% 8% 62% C+ A C D+ C- F F A+ D- A- A C- C B 33% 15% 53% D+ B- D A+ A+ D+ A B+ A
1.17 60% 25% 48% +13 +1 1.30 32% 1.0 .32 23% .15 88% .13 0.92 44% 38% 34% -4 0 0.95 30% 0.3 .09 17% .19 73% .14
Nov
20		 UNC Greensboro A+ B- C A+ A 36% 9% 55% B+ A+ A D B A A+ A+ A+ F D- F C F 58% 12% 30% F F C F F F F B- F
1.49 65% 40% 48% +15 +1 1.34 40% 1.0 .40 9% .37 87% .32 1.38 66% 50% 33% +5 +3 1.18 27% 1.6 .42 6% .56 67% .37
Nov
23		 Furman A+ C+ B+ C- B- 27% 25% 48% D- C+ D- A+ A A+ B A+ A F F F F F 41% 6% 53% D- F F A+ B F F+ C+ D-
1.25 57% 46% 32% 0 -1 1.00 24% 1.9 .45 6% .29 82% .24 1.43 81% 67% 41% +16 +2 1.39 37% 0.6 .23 6% .36 67% .24
Nov
28		 Virginia A- D C F+ C- 34% 22% 44% B- C A+ A A+ C A- F+ B- F F+ F F F 33% 10% 57% C F D- A B- D- F B D-
1.07 47% 36% 27% -9 0 0.84 40% 1.1 .44 17% .34 67% .22 1.46 69% 60% 50% +19 +1 1.43 45% 0.9 .42 12% .39 68% .27
Dec
3		 Gardner-Webb A+ A- A+ A+ A+ 36% 19% 45% D+ A+ D A+ A B- D+ F F+ D A+ B- B A+ 40% 24% 36% B+ A+ F F F F C- F F
1.46 71% 64% 50% +20 0 1.43 31% 1.7 .52 14% .27 59% .16 1.01 27% 31% 30% -16 0 0.69 38% 1.3 .49 14% .28 89% .25
Dec
12		 South Carolina St. A+ A+ A- C- B- 35% 8% 58% C- C+ B- C- C+ A+ B B B+ F A+ F F C- 50% 23% 27% F D F F F D+ C C- C
1.42 78% 50% 33% +7 +1 1.19 41% 1.2 .49 8% .44 76% .34 1.09 35% 50% 50% -3 +1 0.98 44% 1.2 .51 20% .31 67% .21
Dec
14		 Wake Forest C A+ F D+ B 25% 10% 65% C+ B F A+ D+ B- D C D F F+ F F F 25% 14% 61% C+ F D D- F+ C F+ F F
1.02 85% 20% 30% +1 0 1.06 19% 1.3 .25 18% .26 73% .19 1.55 69% 100% 52% +27 0 1.57 35% 1.3 .45 14% .39 92% .36
Dec
16		 Arkansas C+ B+ A+ F B- 31% 30% 39% D- C+ A+ F B+ F+ A- C+ A- D+ C- F F D+ 47% 7% 45% F D- C- F F A+ F F+ F
1.00 65% 50% 19% -3 -2 0.93 41% 1.0 .41 21% .32 70% .22 1.36 65% 50% 44% +11 +2 1.29 36% 1.9 .68 18% .41 81% .34
Dec
29		 Auburn F+ C F F F 55% 18% 27% A F D+ A+ B- C A+ B A+ F F+ A+ F F 38% 13% 48% C F D+ A- B- C F+ A- D+
0.88 56% 22% 8% -15 +1 0.76 25% 1.3 .33 19% .45 78% .35 1.43 70% 14% 60% +20 +1 1.44 43% 0.9 .40 14% .47 70% .33
Jan
1		 Eastern Kentucky B A+ F F D- 53% 8% 40% A+ C- C A+ A A+ A+ B A+ F C+ C- F F 38% 9% 53% F F A+ F C F F+ C D-
1.30 75% 25% 24% +2 +3 1.11 32% 1.5 .48 9% .49 77% .38 1.27 55% 40% 43% +6 +1 1.17 23% 1.5 .34 7% .32 71% .23
Jan
3		 Bellarmine B+ A+ A+ B+ B- 16% 2% 82% B- B- C A- B- D+ F F F B- D+ A+ F D- 50% 9% 41% D- D- A+ B+ A B+ F A+ F
1.37 78% 100% 40% +12 +1 1.28 35% 1.3 .46 17% .22 62% .13 1.06 65% 0% 47% +9 +2 1.24 10% 1.0 .10 20% .43 68% .30
Jan
8		 Jacksonville B- D+ A+ A+ A+ 44% 4% 52% A- A+ D F F D D- F F A+ A A- A+ A+ 48% 16% 36% F+ A D B- C- B F A+ B
1.18 57% 50% 52% +14 +3 1.35 25% 0.4 .11 17% .31 59% .18 0.78 43% 29% 25% -14 +1 0.77 32% 1.0 .32 20% .38 45% .17
Jan
10		 North Florida C+ B+ F D- D 45% 5% 49% A- C- C+ A A- C A+ B+ A+ D+ F D B- D- 38% 15% 47% C D B- D- C F B+ D- B
1.23 68% 0% 30% -1 +2 1.05 38% 1.4 .54 12% .38 75% .28 1.13 70% 44% 32% +4 +1 1.12 23% 1.3 .29 12% .19 83% .16
Jan
15		 Florida Gulf Coast B B- A+ F+ D+ 40% 8% 53% B+ C- C C C A A B A+ C+ B C A+ A+ 42% 25% 32% D A+ C+ F D+ F F F F
1.20 62% 50% 29% -2 +2 1.02 31% 1.1 .33 11% .45 79% .35 1.04 52% 40% 16% -11 0 0.80 29% 1.3 .36 10% .34 100% .34
Jan
17		 Stetson B A+ A+ F C 38% 9% 54% B C+ C+ F D- A B- A- B F+ F+ B+ F+ F+ 43% 20% 37% D F+ F A- D+ D- F A F
1.25 81% 60% 27% +5 +1 1.14 35% 0.8 .29 10% .30 79% .24 1.16 67% 30% 39% +5 0 1.12 34% 0.8 .29 16% .58 62% .36
Jan
21		 North Alabama B A- A+ F B- 58% 11% 31% B+ B A+ D+ A- D+ A+ A+ A+ B C+ A+ A B 54% 13% 33% F C+ D A B- A F F+ F
1.29 69% 80% 21% +5 +3 1.18 46% 1.1 .50 16% .44 96% .42 0.92 52% 17% 27% -10 +2 0.87 34% 0.8 .29 24% .43 73% .31
Jan
24		 West Georgia F+ F F C+ F 56% 8% 35% A- F B B B F+ D+ F F+ D D D+ F F 30% 38% 32% B F F A+ B+ B- F A- F
0.99 44% 25% 35% -8 +3 0.92 35% 1.1 .38 18% .31 59% .18 1.11 60% 42% 50% +10 -3 1.16 37% 0.6 .23 18% .40 64% .26
Shot Accuracy Shot Selection PPS 2nd Chance TOs Freethrows Shot Accuracy Shot Selection PPS 2nd Chance TOs Freethrows
Jan
28		 Central Arkansas B A+ A+ A+ A+ 23% 9% 68% C- A+ F B- F A B+ C- B F F F F F 29% 20% 51% B F B+ F D+ F+ F F F
1.22 75% 60% 44% +17 0 1.36 17% 1.2 .20 15% .33 71% .24 1.35 80% 50% 42% +15 -1 1.31 22% 1.5 .33 12% .52 82% .43
Jan
31		 Bellarmine D+ C- D+ D F 25% 22% 53% D F C+ A B+ B+ F+ F F D C F D- D+ 39% 22% 39% A C- F F F C D F F
1.18 62% 36% 33% 0 -1 1.00 36% 1.4 .50 13% .25 57% .14 1.23 61% 50% 39% +7 0 1.15 31% 1.5 .46 16% .34 89% .30
Feb
5		 Jacksonville A A F A+ A- 43% 26% 30% D B+ D B- D+ A+ B- B B F B- F F F 38% 27% 36% B F B+ F D C F F F
1.32 74% 29% 50% +12 0 1.25 25% 1.0 .25 7% .40 73% .29 1.19 53% 50% 44% +6 -1 1.13 24% 1.5 .36 17% .50 86% .43
Feb
7		 North Florida B A A- D C+ 33% 15% 53% C- C B- C+ B C+ D A+ B+ C B+ A+ F D 26% 19% 55% A- C- B- A+ B+ B- F A- F
1.32 72% 50% 31% +4 0 1.11 41% 1.2 .50 12% .25 100% .25 1.04 50% 11% 46% +3 -1 1.06 24% 0.9 .21 20% .45 72% .33
Feb
11		 Austin Peay B B A+ A+ A 47% 16% 37% B A F+ F F A A+ F A+ F F F A F 52% 25% 23% C F D- F F D+ F F F
1.18 67% 50% 42% +10 +1 1.25 22% 0.4 .08 14% .53 62% .33 1.29 68% 50% 27% +6 0 1.15 33% 1.5 .50 15% .51 81% .41
Feb
14		 Lipscomb C A+ F A+ A+ 43% 14% 43% A- A+ F A+ D+ F A+ D A C C- F A C+ 54% 7% 39% F C F A- D B D- A+ C-
1.11 81% 29% 43% +14 +1 1.33 19% 1.4 .26 23% .40 67% .26 1.03 61% 50% 27% -1 +3 1.05 35% 0.8 .30 19% .28 67% .19
Feb
18		 North Alabama B+ B- F+ A+ A- 49% 7% 44% B+ A F B F B- A+ A A+ F D+ A+ F F 60% 10% 29% F F C- F F D- D A+ B
1.26 64% 33% 45% +10 +3 1.27 15% 1.3 .19 13% .48 82% .39 1.16 59% 0% 43% 0 +3 1.08 32% 1.5 .50 15% .35 50% .17
Feb
21		 West Georgia B A+ A F F 53% 16% 31% C+ F+ C- A+ A+ A+ A+ A- A+ F D F A+ F+ 36% 32% 32% D+ F+ D- D- F+ D D D D-
1.26 74% 50% 0% -6 +2 0.94 29% 1.9 .56 8% .54 78% .42 1.17 60% 61% 22% +2 -2 1.04 34% 1.2 .40 14% .31 74% .23
Feb
25		 Eastern Kentucky A A C- A+ A+ 23% 40% 38% F A- F+ F F A+ A+ B+ A+ C- C D C D+ 15% 40% 45% A+ C C- F F D+ F C F
1.36 73% 42% 56% +17 -4 1.29 25% 0.5 .13 10% .60 79% .47 1.12 57% 42% 33% +1 -4 0.96 32% 1.4 .46 16% .47 71% .34



Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Atlantic Sun Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 33.9 33.9 2nd
3rd 66.1 66.1 3rd
4th 4th
5th 5th
6th 6th
7th 7th
8th 8th
9th 9th
10th 10th
11th 11th
12th 12th
Total 66.1 33.9 Total



Atlantic Sun Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4 0.0%
13-5 0.0%
12-6
11-7
10-8
9-9
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4 33.9% 20.3% 20.3% 14.7 0.1 2.4 4.1 0.3 27.0
13-5 66.1% 16.9% 16.9% 15.2 0.0 1.1 6.8 3.2 55.0
12-6
11-7
10-8
9-9
8-10
7-11
6-12
5-13
4-14
3-15
2-16
1-17
0-18
Total 100% 18.0% 18.0% 0.0% 15.0 82.0 0.0%


Best / Worst Case Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid		Avg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Win Out 6.9% 100.0% 14.7 1.3 35.1 59.1 4.5
Win Out, Lose in Conf. Tourney Championship 6.7%
Win Out, Lose in Conf. Tourney Semi-Final 12.1%
Lose Out 20.0%