Rhode Island
Atlantic 10
2019-20 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
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Predictive Rating +2.4 #123
Expected Predictive Rating +0.4 #156
Pace 66.4 #252
Improvement -2.1 #284

Overall 1st FGA Second Chance TOs Free
throws		 Shot Selection
Offense #195 C+ C F C B
Defense #82 C+ C A+ D+ D+

Offense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 40% #128 1.23 #103 +2.4 #101
2 Pt. Jumpers 15% #285 0.86 #54 -1.0 #226
Three Pointers 44% #124 0.93 #278 -0.2 #185
1st FG Attempt 1.04 #147 +1.2 #147
Freethrows 17.9 #152 73% #175 13.1 #153
Second Chance 33.8% #96 0.95 #284 0.32 #162
Turnovers 20.2% #350
Total Offense -1.0 #195

Defense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 41% #120 1.09 #96 +0.1 #169
2 Pt. Jumpers 18% #253 0.60 #13 +2.3 #34
Three Pointers 41% #170 1.05 #237 -1.1 #227
1st FG Attempt 0.99 #132 +1.4 #133
Freethrows 20.4 #310 68% #34 13.9 #88
Second Chance 32.7% #266 1.00 #125 0.33 #196
Turnovers 21.8% #8
Total Defense +3.4 #82

Miscellaneous
Offense Defense
Shot Type Mix Effect 1.6% #83 1.0% #257
Shot Type Accuracy Effect 0.8% #164 -3.7% #109
Possession Length 17.8 #227 17.8 #267
Fast Break Points Per Possession 0.23 #50 0.16 #143
Improvement -3.3 #340 +1.2 #109

See methodology page for descriptions of rating types.
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 0.9% 1.6% 0.6%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 12.2 12.0 12.4
.500 or above 69.6% 84.7% 62.7%
.500 or above in Conference 29.8% 48.0% 21.5%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.1% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 5.2% 1.7% 6.7%
First Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Round0.9% 1.6% 0.6%
Second Round0.1% 0.1% 0.1%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Virginia Commonwealth (Home) - 31.3% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 00 - 0
Quad 1b0 - 30 - 3
Quad 23 - 63 - 8
Quad 35 - 49 - 13
Quad 49 - 317 - 16


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Avg Lead Record Total Rating Offense Defense
Overall Conf Total First
FGA		 2nd Chance TOs Total First
FGA		 2nd Chance TOs
 Mon, Nov 3 345 Stetson W 93 - 62 94% +17  1 - 0 +16 +7 C A+ F +7 C+ B+ A+
 Fri, Nov 7 93 Tulsa L 65 - 82 36% -9  1 - 1 -11 -4 C- C+ F -9 C F A+
 Tue, Nov 11 344 Stonehill W 80 - 57 93% +12  2 - 1 +8 +1 C D+ F +7 A+ D+ A+
 Fri, Nov 14 309 Albany W 80 - 61 90% +6  3 - 1 +7 +5 F B C +3 A+ F A+
 Tue, Nov 18 94 @Yale W 86 - 77 27% +0  4 - 1 +18 +18 A+ B- C- +0 A+ F A+
 Mon, Nov 24 166 Towson L 55 - 62 62% -2  4 - 2 -8 -9 F A+ F +1 C A- B+
 Tue, Nov 25 195 Vermont W 80 - 65 67% +7  5 - 2 +13 +12 C+ A+ F +3 B+ F A+
 Wed, Nov 26 140 Temple W 90 - 75 55% +7  6 - 2 +16 +15 A+ C- A+ +1 B+ C A-
 Tue, Dec 2 248 Brown W 66 - 56 83% +4  7 - 2 +2 -2 F B F +5 A+ C B
 Sat, Dec 6 68 @Providence L 71 - 90 20% -5  7 - 3 -8 +0 A+ F F -8 F C- A+
 Tue, Dec 9 80 McNeese St. L 64 - 66 43% -2  7 - 4 +2 -6 A+ F F +8 B+ A+ A
 Tue, Dec 16 337 Canisius W 62 - 45 93% +3  8 - 4 +3 -10 F F F +14 A- A+ A+
 Mon, Dec 22 236 Northeastern W 85 - 77 82% +6  9 - 4 +1 +13 A A+ B- -12 F B+ B+
 Wed, Dec 31 259 Loyola Chicago L 57 - 61 85% -7  9 - 5 0 - 1 -13 -18 F D+ F +5 F D- A+
 Sat, Jan 3 86 @George Mason L 50 - 61 24% -4  9 - 6 0 - 2 -1 -13 D F F +11 C A+ C-
 Wed, Jan 7 208 La Salle L 72 - 79 78% -2  9 - 7 0 - 3 -13 +3 A- C F -16 F F B
 Sat, Jan 10 149 @Davidson W 70 - 45 45% +14  10 - 7 1 - 3 +29 +11 A+ F C+ +21 A+ A+ A+
 Wed, Jan 14 51 Virginia Commonwealth L 71 - 76 31%
 Wed, Jan 21 116 @Richmond L 70 - 74 36%
 Sat, Jan 24 86 George Mason L 68 - 69 46%
 Tue, Jan 27 70 @Dayton L 63 - 72 21%
 Sun, Feb 1 132 @Duquesne L 74 - 76 42%
 Sat, Feb 7 116 Richmond W 73 - 71 59%
 Tue, Feb 10 60 @George Washington L 71 - 81 19%
 Sat, Feb 14 183 Fordham W 70 - 63 74%
 Tue, Feb 17 32 Saint Louis L 70 - 79 21%
 Sat, Feb 21 208 @La Salle W 69 - 67 58%
 Wed, Feb 25 127 @St. Bonaventure L 69 - 72 41%
 Sat, Feb 28 175 Saint Joseph's W 71 - 65 73%
 Wed, Mar 4 132 Duquesne W 77 - 73 64%
 Sat, Mar 7 183 @Fordham W 67 - 66 54%
Totals 16 - 15 7 - 11 +2 -1 C+ C F +3 C+ C A+




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Atlantic 10 Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 1st
2nd 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.3 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.3 0.6 0.2 0.0 1.0 3rd
4th 0.0 0.6 1.5 0.7 0.1 3.0 4th
5th 0.0 1.0 3.2 2.1 0.3 6.6 5th
6th 0.0 1.4 5.5 4.1 0.7 0.0 11.7 6th
7th 1.0 5.9 5.7 1.0 0.0 13.7 7th
8th 0.2 4.6 7.3 1.6 0.0 13.9 8th
9th 0.0 2.2 7.5 2.6 0.1 12.4 9th
10th 0.8 6.1 4.7 0.4 12.0 10th
11th 0.2 3.5 5.2 0.9 0.0 9.7 11th
12th 0.2 2.1 4.6 1.3 0.1 8.2 12th
13th 0.2 1.2 2.7 1.4 0.1 0.0 5.5 13th
14th 0.1 0.5 0.8 0.5 0.1 1.9 14th
Total 0.1 0.6 2.2 5.4 10.4 15.0 18.7 17.7 13.9 9.0 4.6 1.7 0.4 0.1 Total



Atlantic 10 Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4 26.3% 0.0    0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
13-5 1.2% 0.0    0.0
12-6 0.3% 0.0    0.0
11-7 0.0%
10-8 0.0%
9-9 0.0%
Total 0.0% 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4 0.1% 0.1
13-5 0.4% 6.2% 6.2% 10.8 0.0 0.0 0.4
12-6 1.7% 5.4% 5.4% 11.7 0.0 0.1 0.0 1.7
11-7 4.6% 3.0% 3.0% 11.6 0.1 0.1 4.5
10-8 9.0% 2.3% 2.3% 11.9 0.0 0.1 0.0 8.8
9-9 13.9% 0.8% 0.8% 12.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 13.8
8-10 17.7% 1.1% 1.1% 12.5 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 17.5
7-11 18.7% 0.5% 0.5% 13.3 0.0 0.0 0.0 18.7
6-12 15.0% 0.1% 0.1% 14.0 0.0 15.0
5-13 10.4% 0.1% 0.1% 15.0 0.0 10.4
4-14 5.4% 0.1% 0.1% 15.0 0.0 5.4
3-15 2.2% 0.2% 0.2% 16.0 0.0 2.2
2-16 0.6% 0.6
1-17 0.1% 0.1
0-18
Total 100% 0.9% 0.9% 0.0% 12.2 99.1 0.0%