Rhode Island
Atlantic 10
2019-20 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
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Overall
Predictive Rating+4.3#106
Expected Predictive Rating+6.2#91
Pace69.9#176
Improvement+1.0#92

Offense
Total Offense+2.3#113
First Shot-0.8#195
After Offensive Rebound+3.1#33
Layup/Dunks+1.5#126
2 Pt Jumpshots+0.5#137
3 Pt Jumpshots-4.3#310
Freethrows+1.5#95
Improvement+0.2#161

Defense
Total Defense+2.0#108
First Shot+6.0#31
After Offensive Rebounds-4.0#345
Layups/Dunks+1.4#126
2 Pt Jumpshots+0.8#145
3 Pt Jumpshots+4.5#43
Freethrows-0.8#236
Improvement+0.8#106
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 4.7% 5.0% 2.5%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.6% 0.7% 0.0%
Average Seed 11.2 11.2 11.6
.500 or above 87.7% 90.0% 71.5%
.500 or above in Conference 68.7% 70.1% 58.8%
Conference Champion 4.9% 5.2% 2.4%
Last Place in Conference 1.1% 1.0% 1.8%
First Four0.4% 0.4% 0.0%
First Round4.4% 4.7% 2.5%
Second Round0.9% 0.9% 0.6%
Sweet Sixteen0.2% 0.2% 0.1%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Brown (Home) - 87.8% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 00 - 0
Quad 1b1 - 21 - 3
Quad 23 - 54 - 8
Quad 36 - 410 - 12
Quad 410 - 119 - 13


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Mon, Nov 3 344 Stetson W 93-62 95%     1 - 0 +16.5 +7.8 +7.1
  Fri, Nov 7 91 Tulsa L 65-82 44%     1 - 1 -11.1 -2.1 -10.2
  Tue, Nov 11 334 Stonehill W 80-57 94%     2 - 1 +9.6 +2.3 +6.9
  Fri, Nov 14 325 Albany W 80-61 92%     3 - 1 +7.2 +6.9 +1.5
  Tue, Nov 18 69 @Yale W 86-77 26%     4 - 1 +20.0 +18.5 +1.9
  Mon, Nov 24 128 Towson L 55-62 58%     4 - 2 -4.9 -8.2 +2.3
  Tue, Nov 25 171 Vermont W 80-65 70%     5 - 2 +13.8 +11.1 +4.1
  Wed, Nov 26 148 Temple W 90-75 66%     6 - 2 +15.0 +13.6 +1.4
  Tue, Dec 2 254 Brown W 74-62 88%    
  Sat, Dec 6 75 @Providence L 80-86 27%    
  Tue, Dec 9 82 McNeese St. W 71-70 50%    
  Tue, Dec 16 348 Canisius W 79-60 96%    
  Wed, Dec 31 265 Loyola Chicago W 78-65 88%    
  Sat, Jan 3 74 @George Mason L 68-74 28%    
  Wed, Jan 7 214 La Salle W 79-68 83%    
  Sat, Jan 10 135 @Davidson L 71-72 48%    
  Wed, Jan 14 53 Virginia Commonwealth L 73-76 40%    
  Wed, Jan 21 115 @Richmond L 73-75 43%    
  Sat, Jan 24 74 George Mason L 70-71 48%    
  Tue, Jan 27 78 @Dayton L 68-74 28%    
  Sun, Feb 1 126 @Duquesne L 79-80 46%    
  Sat, Feb 7 115 Richmond W 76-72 64%    
  Tue, Feb 10 62 @George Washington L 76-84 25%    
  Sat, Feb 14 212 Fordham W 74-63 83%    
  Tue, Feb 17 50 Saint Louis L 76-79 39%    
  Sat, Feb 21 214 @La Salle W 76-71 65%    
  Wed, Feb 25 119 @St. Bonaventure L 70-72 44%    
  Sat, Feb 28 175 Saint Joseph's W 80-71 77%    
  Wed, Mar 4 126 Duquesne W 82-77 66%    
  Sat, Mar 7 212 @Fordham W 71-66 66%    
Projected Record 18 - 12 10 - 8




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Atlantic 10 Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 0.1 0.7 1.4 1.6 0.8 0.3 0.0 4.9 1st
2nd 0.1 1.0 3.1 2.3 0.8 0.1 0.0 7.4 2nd
3rd 0.0 1.2 3.8 3.2 0.8 0.0 9.1 3rd
4th 0.0 0.9 4.3 4.4 1.0 0.0 10.6 4th
5th 0.0 0.5 3.9 5.3 1.5 0.1 0.0 11.3 5th
6th 0.0 0.2 2.8 6.0 2.3 0.1 0.0 11.6 6th
7th 0.0 2.1 5.4 3.1 0.2 0.0 10.9 7th
8th 0.1 1.2 4.5 4.0 0.6 0.0 10.3 8th
9th 0.0 0.4 3.2 4.0 0.8 8.4 9th
10th 0.0 0.3 2.0 3.2 1.0 0.1 6.4 10th
11th 0.0 0.2 1.0 2.3 0.9 0.1 4.5 11th
12th 0.1 0.6 1.3 0.7 0.1 2.7 12th
13th 0.1 0.3 0.6 0.3 0.1 1.4 13th
14th 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.4 14th
Total 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.6 1.6 3.0 5.6 8.6 11.9 13.5 14.6 13.4 10.9 8.0 4.6 2.4 0.9 0.3 0.0 Total



Atlantic 10 Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0 100.0% 0.0    0.0
17-1 97.8% 0.3    0.3 0.0
16-2 91.2% 0.8    0.6 0.2
15-3 65.3% 1.6    0.8 0.7 0.1 0.0
14-4 29.8% 1.4    0.4 0.6 0.3 0.1
13-5 8.3% 0.7    0.1 0.2 0.3 0.1 0.0
12-6 0.9% 0.1    0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
11-7 0.0%
10-8 0.0%
9-9 0.0%
Total 4.9% 4.9 2.3 1.7 0.7 0.2 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0 0.0% 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
17-1 0.3% 56.5% 31.5% 25.0% 9.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.1 36.5%
16-2 0.9% 37.1% 21.3% 15.8% 10.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.0 0.6 20.1%
15-3 2.4% 22.1% 14.7% 7.5% 10.8 0.0 0.1 0.4 0.0 1.9 8.8%
14-4 4.6% 13.9% 11.9% 2.0% 11.0 0.0 0.1 0.4 0.1 4.0 2.2%
13-5 8.0% 10.2% 9.5% 0.7% 11.3 0.0 0.6 0.2 7.2 0.7%
12-6 10.9% 6.9% 6.8% 0.1% 11.5 0.0 0.3 0.4 0.0 10.2 0.1%
11-7 13.4% 4.5% 4.5% 11.7 0.2 0.4 0.0 12.8
10-8 14.6% 2.6% 2.6% 11.8 0.1 0.2 0.0 14.2
9-9 13.5% 1.5% 1.5% 12.1 0.0 0.2 0.0 13.3
8-10 11.9% 0.9% 0.9% 12.4 0.1 0.0 0.0 11.8
7-11 8.6% 0.8% 0.8% 12.9 0.0 0.1 0.0 8.5
6-12 5.6% 0.2% 0.2% 14.0 0.0 5.6
5-13 3.0% 0.6% 0.6% 14.6 0.0 0.0 2.9
4-14 1.6% 1.6
3-15 0.6% 0.6
2-16 0.1% 0.1
1-17 0.0% 0.0
0-18 0.0% 0.0
Total 100% 4.7% 4.1% 0.6% 11.2 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.3 2.2 1.6 0.2 0.0 0.0 95.3 0.6%