Wichita St.
American Athletic
2019-20 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
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All team stats adjusted for opponents. See methodology page for descriptions of rating types.

Predictive Rating +6.0 93
Results Rating +5.4 94
Consistency 0.12 39
Pace 66.5 240
Improvement -1.5 245

Overall 1st FGA Second Chance TOs Free
throws		 Shot Selection
Offense C+ 117 C- B+ B C C
Defense B- 68 B B C B- A-

Offense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 41% 110 D+ 55% 252 +0.3 167
2 Pt. Jumpers 40% 153 C 39% 151 +1.0 124
Three Pointers 36% 282 C- 32% 254 -3.4 297
Shot Selection/Accuracy C -0.1 204 C- -1.9 246
1st FG Attempt C- 0.98 236
Second Chance A 39.2% 10 C- 1.00 227 B+ 0.39 42
Opponents' Steals B 8.2% 65
Other Turnovers B- 6.5% 79
Turnovers B 14.7% 60
Freethrows C+ 0.32 118 D 68% 318 C 0.22 177
Total Offense C+ +2.0 117

Assists Blocks (Opponents')
Close Shots C- 44% 262 B 8.6% 53
2 Pt. Jumpers Shots D 16% 317 C- 5.9% 245
Three Pointers F 69% 361 B 0.4% 70
Total F+ 45% 350 C+ 5.0% 114

Defense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 36% 269 B- 55% 101 -2.7 89
2 Pt. Jumpers 31% 8 C- 40% 262 +4.5 361
Three Pointers 34% 353 B 31% 62 -5.2 8
Shot Selection/Accuracy A- -1.5 15 B- -1.9 103
1st FG Attempt B 0.95 66
Second Chance B- 27.4% 72 B 0.94 51 B 0.26 48
Turnovers from Steals C- 9.0% 216
Other Turnovers C+ 7.5% 141
Turnovers C 16.5% 197
Freethrows B- 0.28 99 B+ 69% 26 B- 0.19 71
Total Defense B- +4.0 68

Assists Blocks
Close Shots C- 51% 238 B- 13.4% 79
2 Pt. Jumpers Shots B+ 15% 17 B- 6.7% 69
Three Pointers A+ 70% 5 D 0.2% 314
Total A- 45% 18 B- 7.0% 78

Miscellaneous
Offense Defense
Possession Length 17.6 207 17.6 243
Fast Break Points Per Possession 0.13 286 0.12 39
Consistency 0.12 147 0.13 208
Improvement -2.3 303 +0.8 141

NCAA Tournament Selection
At-Large Selection Status Out of Consideration
Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Prediction Ranges
Pessimistic
5th Percentile 		Expected
50th Percentile 		Optimistic
95th Percentile
Predictive Rating Rank 101 91 78
Results Rating Rank 107 96 66
Conference Record 12 - 6 13 - 5 13 - 5
Conference Finish 3 2 1
NCAA Tourney Seed None None 12
NCAA Tourney Finish None None 1st Round

NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0% 0% 0%
#1 Seed 0% 0% 0%
Top 2 Seed 0% 0% 0%
Top 4 Seed 0% 0% 0%
Top 6 Seed 0% 0% 0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 15% 15% 13%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0% 0% 0%
Average Seed 11.7 11.7 12.0
.500 or above 100% 100% 100%
.500 or above in Conference 100% 100% 100%
Conference Champion 5% 6% 0%
Last Place in Conference 0% 0% 0%
First Four0% 0% 0%
First Round15% 15% 13%
Second Round2% 2% 1%
Sweet Sixteen0% 0% 0%
Elite Eight0% 0% 0%
Final Four0% 0% 0%
Championship Game0% 0% 0%
National Champion0% 0% 0%
Next Game: Texas San Antonio (Away) - 91.3% chance of victory

Projected Record by Quadrant
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 10 - 1
Quad 1b1 - 21 - 3
Quad 24 - 35 - 6
Quad 35 - 410 - 10
Quad 411 - 121 - 11


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Lead Record Total Rating Offense Defense
Avg Time Overall Conf Total First
FGA		 2nd Chance TOs Total First
FGA		 2nd Chance TOs
 Tue, Nov 4 232 UNC Asheville W 75 - 58 88% +4  72% 1 - 0 B +10 C- -0 F A+ F A +11 A+ F A+
 Sat, Nov 8 331 Prairie View W 105 - 62 96% +18  99% 2 - 0 A+ +29 A +14 B+ B- A A+ +11 A+ F A+
 Thu, Nov 13 283 Loyola Chicago W 95 - 74 92% +14  90% 3 - 0 B +11 A+ +22 C+ A+ A+ F+ -9 F A+ D
 Tue, Nov 18 68 @Boise St. L 59 - 62 29% -4  23% 3 - 1 B +9 D -6 F B+ D+ A+ +14 A+ B- C
 Sat, Nov 22 263 Wisconsin-Milwaukee W 75 - 58 91% +1  56% 4 - 1 B +8 D+ -3 D- D A A+ +12 A B- C+
 Wed, Nov 26 37 St. Mary's L 65 - 70 22% -3  19% 4 - 2 B +9 C- -2 C- C F+ A +10 A+ A- D-
 Thu, Nov 27 92 Colorado St. L 70 - 76 50% -10  0% 4 - 3 C -0 B+ +8 F A+ B F+ -9 F A+ C-
 Fri, Nov 28 140 Western Kentucky L 70 - 75 68% -1  31% 4 - 4 C- -4 C+ +4 C- C+ A- D- -8 D B D-
 Sat, Dec 6 95 @Northern Iowa W 74 - 69 OT 39% +2  55% 5 - 4 B+ +14 B +6 B+ B+ D+ A- +8 B A D-
 Sat, Dec 13 89 DePaul L 58 - 61 61% -1  30% 5 - 5 C +0 D- -7 D- C B+ B+ +7 F A+ A+
 Wed, Dec 17 229 Wofford W 84 - 73 88% +7  99% 6 - 5 C+ +4 B+ +8 B- B- B+ C- -3 B- F+ C-
 Sun, Dec 21 287 Eastern Kentucky W 88 - 57 93% +22  95% 7 - 5 A +21 B+ +8 C- A+ A A+ +14 A A+ F+
 Wed, Dec 31 112 @UAB W 75 - 70 49% -6  9% 8 - 5 1 - 0 B +11 A- +10 C+ A+ C B- +2 B- C C-
 Sat, Jan 3 169 @Charlotte L 100 - 104 2OT 64% +4  67% 8 - 6 1 - 1 C- -2 A+ +16 B- A+ C F -18 B- F F
 Wed, Jan 7 237 Rice L 64 - 66 89% -2  36% 8 - 7 1 - 2 D -9 F -11 F F+ A B- +2 D+ A D
 Sun, Jan 11 141 North Texas W 78 - 67 77% +8  91% 9 - 7 2 - 2 B +9 B- +4 A B- F+ B +5 A C- C
 Thu, Jan 15 120 @Florida Atlantic L 67 - 85 50% -15  0% 9 - 8 2 - 3 D- -12 D -5 F B- C- D- -7 F A+ C
 Sun, Jan 18 55 @South Florida W 86 - 85 OT 25% +1  43% 10 - 8 3 - 3 B+ +14 A- +9 B C+ A B +4 B- A+ C-
 Wed, Jan 21 248 East Carolina W 77 - 60 90% +14  99% 11 - 8 4 - 3 B +9 B- +5 F A+ A B+ +6 A A+ F
 Sat, Jan 24 108 Memphis W 74 - 59 69% +13  92% 12 - 8 5 - 3 A- +16 C -0 B B- B A+ +16 A+ B- A
 Sun, Feb 1 64 @Tulsa L 83 - 93 29% -6  13% 12 - 9 5 - 4 C+ +2 B +7 F A+ A D+ -5 D- F C
 Wed, Feb 4 169 Charlotte W 74 - 64 82% +5  83% 13 - 9 6 - 4 B- +6 D+ -2 B D A+ A +9 B A+ A-
 Sun, Feb 8 180 @Tulane W 75 - 61 66% +6  77% 14 - 9 7 - 4 A- +16 C- -2 B- F D- A+ +17 A A+ A-
 Wed, Feb 11 55 South Florida L 58 - 66 46% +2  70% 14 - 10 7 - 5 C -1 F -14 F F+ C+ A+ +13 B- B A+
 Sat, Feb 14 64 Tulsa W 81 - 77 51% -3  7% 15 - 10 8 - 5 B +10 B +7 B- C+ A+ B- +3 A A+ D+
 Wed, Feb 18 248 @East Carolina W 92 - 89 2OT 77% -1  26% 16 - 10 9 - 5 C +1 C- -2 C- D- C B- +2 D A F
 Sat, Feb 21 156 Temple W 69 - 57 80% +5  70% 17 - 10 10 - 5 B +9 C +0 D+ B+ D A +10 A+ D D
 Thu, Feb 26 108 @Memphis W 88 - 82 46% +3  79% 18 - 10 11 - 5 B+ +13 A+ +17 C A A+ D+ -4 D- A+ F
 Sun, Mar 1 336 @Texas San Antonio W 81 - 66 91%
 Sat, Mar 7 120 Florida Atlantic W 77 - 71 72%
Totals 20 - 10 13 - 5 +6 C+ +2 B- C- C B- +4 C- D C



Game Detail
Grades are adjusted for opponent strength in each category. Game stats are not adjusted for oppoent strength. See methodology page for descriptions of rating types.
Offense Defense
Tot Off First Field Goal Attempt Second Chance TOs Freethrows Tot Def First Field Goal Attempt Second Chance TOs Freethrows
Shot Accuracy Shot Selection Points Per Shot Shot Accuracy Shot Selection Points Per Shot
2 C 2 L 3 Tot 2 C 2 L 3 Tot Off Reb PPP Tot Att Perc Tot 2 C 2 L 3 Tot 2 C 2 L 3 Tot Off Reb PPP Tot Att Perc Tot
Season Ratings C+ D+ C C- C- 41% 40% 36% C C- A C- B+ B C+ D C B- B- C- B B- 36% 31% 34% A- B B- B B C B- B+ B-
1.11 55% 39% 32% -2 0 0.98 39% 1.0 .39 15% .32 68% .22 1.03 55% 40% 31% -2 -1 0.95 27% 0.9 .26 16% .28 69% .22
Nov
4		 UNC Asheville C- F A D F 45% 29% 27% D F A+ A+ A+ F D+ F D- A A+ C A- A- 13% 58% 29% A+ A+ C- F F A+ A- A A
1.11 36% 50% 31% -8 -1 0.86 51% 1.3 .66 21% .28 60% .17 0.86 33% 39% 29% -5 -7 0.79 31% 1.5 .47 24% .25 62% .15
Nov
8		 Prairie View A C A+ A+ B+ 42% 13% 44% B- B+ B C- B- A A+ B- A+ A+ A A+ A+ A+ 27% 46% 27% A+ A+ D- F F A+ F D+ F
1.37 59% 57% 43% +9 +1 1.23 41% 1.1 .44 13% .61 76% .46 0.81 43% 25% 7% -21 -4 0.52 28% 1.4 .40 22% .47 79% .37
Nov
13		 Loyola Chicago A+ C- F A+ C+ 33% 18% 49% C+ C+ A- A+ A+ A+ C+ F C- F+ D A+ F F 40% 17% 44% B- F C- A+ A+ D D+ F F
1.46 53% 10% 46% +2 0 1.07 37% 1.6 .58 3% .30 68% .21 1.13 63% 13% 48% +7 +1 1.17 32% 0.5 .15 17% .33 83% .28
Nov
18		 Boise St. D F B+ F+ F 40% 29% 31% C F A+ F B+ D+ A+ C- A A+ A+ A+ F+ A+ 44% 22% 33% B A+ B C- B- C F+ A+ C
0.92 33% 46% 29% -10 -1 0.80 36% 0.9 .33 17% .36 68% .25 0.97 40% 10% 40% -11 0 0.80 30% 1.1 .32 16% .43 65% .28
Nov
22		 Wisconsin-Milwaukee D+ F A A- D- 45% 24% 31% D+ D- B+ F D A A+ D- A+ A+ C+ A+ A A 30% 32% 38% A A B+ D B- C+ C- B+ C
1.12 41% 50% 40% -2 0 0.98 36% 0.8 .28 12% .47 68% .32 0.87 53% 25% 26% -10 -2 0.78 26% 1.2 .31 16% .29 63% .18
Nov
26		 St. Mary's C- D- D C- D+ 48% 26% 26% C+ C- C+ C- C F+ A+ A- A+ A B D- A+ A+ 43% 29% 29% B A+ A C+ A- D- F D F
0.95 46% 31% 31% -9 0 0.84 26% 0.9 .23 19% .34 79% .27 1.02 52% 43% 7% -13 -1 0.76 31% 1.1 .33 13% .44 85% .37
Nov
27		 Colorado St. B+ D+ A F F 41% 18% 41% B F A+ A+ A+ B C+ F C- F+ F+ F F F 30% 13% 57% C F C A+ A+ C- A+ A+ A+
1.19 56% 50% 11% -13 0 0.77 54% 1.4 .76 14% .30 60% .18 1.30 71% 100% 46% +22 0 1.48 32% 0.6 .18 17% .23 55% .12
Nov
28		 Western Kentucky C+ D+ D+ B C- 31% 29% 40% D C- A+ F C+ A- A A+ A+ D- A F F D- 40% 29% 31% A- D C A- B D- F D F
1.10 53% 36% 37% 0 -2 0.98 40% 0.7 .28 14% .48 81% .38 1.18 42% 50% 40% 0 -1 1.00 32% 0.8 .26 11% .41 78% .32
Dec
6		 Northern Iowa B B+ F A A- 35% 22% 43% D+ B+ A- B B+ D+ B B+ B+ A- B F A+ B+ 58% 17% 25% D- B C A+ A D- F A+ D+
1.05 65% 27% 38% +3 0 1.06 32% 1.0 .32 20% .30 76% .23 0.98 55% 56% 23% -3 +2 1.00 22% 0.5 .11 11% .35 55% .19
Dec
13		 DePaul D- D- F D- F 50% 19% 31% A- D- A F C B+ A+ F B B+ C F F F 40% 21% 38% C F A- A+ A+ A+ A+ A+ A+
0.92 48% 25% 31% -9 +1 0.86 39% 0.7 .26 17% .54 46% .25 0.97 59% 56% 44% +10 0 1.21 25% 0.7 .17 29% .22 60% .13
Dec
17		 Wofford B+ A B+ D+ B 42% 24% 33% D B- B- C+ B- B+ A+ F A+ C- B F A B- 37% 18% 45% B B- F B- F+ C- F C F
1.27 68% 45% 33% +6 0 1.13 33% 1.2 .39 12% .62 69% .43 1.11 50% 56% 27% -4 0 0.94 39% 0.9 .37 14% .44 72% .32
Dec
21		 Eastern Kentucky B+ C- F C D- 54% 5% 41% A+ C- B A+ A+ A F F F A+ F A+ A A 20% 34% 46% A A A+ F A+ F+ A+ A+ A+
1.31 60% 33% 35% +1 +3 1.11 38% 1.4 .54 10% .23 57% .13 0.85 82% 16% 27% -8 -3 0.80 15% 1.3 .20 13% .12 57% .07
Dec
31		 UAB A- A F A+ B- 36% 30% 34% D C+ A+ A- A+ C B+ C+ B+ B- D+ A- A+ B- 47% 33% 20% B B- B D C C- F C F
1.15 72% 7% 47% +2 -1 1.04 43% 1.1 .46 17% .30 75% .22 1.08 63% 29% 20% -5 -1 0.90 29% 1.1 .31 11% .41 71% .29
Jan
3		 Charlotte A+ B F+ B- B- 42% 18% 40% B- B- A+ A- A+ C B- A+ A- F A F C- B- 39% 16% 45% C+ B- F F F F F D- F
1.34 65% 30% 36% +3 +1 1.09 56% 1.3 .73 15% .35 82% .28 1.39 50% 56% 36% +1 +1 1.05 45% 1.4 .63 12% .58 76% .44
Jan
7		 Rice F F F D+ F 39% 27% 34% C+ F C F F+ A A+ B- A+ B- C+ F A+ D- 22% 45% 33% A+ D+ A A A D C+ A B-
0.99 41% 17% 33% -13 -1 0.75 33% 0.7 .22 11% .54 77% .42 1.02 55% 59% 25% +4 -4 1.02 27% 0.7 .19 15% .29 63% .18
Jan
11		 North Texas B- C- A A+ A 52% 25% 23% B- A A F+ B- F+ A+ C+ A+ B A+ B F+ A 60% 25% 15% C A C- C C- C D+ D+ D+
1.10 57% 45% 50% +6 0 1.16 43% 0.8 .36 25% .55 72% .40 0.94 39% 29% 38% -13 +1 0.78 36% 1.0 .36 17% .37 73% .27
Jan
15		 Florida Atlantic D F+ D+ F F 55% 22% 24% C+ F A F+ B- C- A F C D- F F C F 46% 21% 32% C- F C- A+ A+ C D+ A C
0.96 47% 33% 23% -11 +1 0.82 38% 0.8 .31 17% .40 57% .22 1.21 73% 58% 33% +11 0 1.25 33% 0.5 .17 17% .33 63% .21
Jan
18		 South Florida A- F F A+ B- 41% 20% 39% B- B A+ F C+ A B F C- B A+ A+ F C+ 42% 16% 42% A- B- B+ A+ A+ C- B D+ B-
1.12 42% 25% 52% +1 0 1.05 41% 0.7 .30 14% .35 61% .21 1.11 42% 22% 42% -5 +1 0.95 34% 0.9 .30 14% .33 77% .26
Jan
21		 East Carolina B- A A+ F F 26% 20% 54% C- F A+ B+ A+ A A- C- A- B+ C A+ A+ A 33% 35% 31% A A A- A+ A+ F B- A B+
1.18 69% 60% 15% -8 -1 0.84 43% 1.3 .55 12% .33 74% .25 0.92 56% 21% 24% -12 -2 0.74 27% 0.8 .20 9% .32 63% .20
Jan
24		 Memphis C B D+ C- B 39% 21% 39% C+ B C- A- B- B F F F A+ C+ C- A+ A+ 27% 35% 37% A+ A+ A+ F B- A A C A
1.03 64% 33% 32% 0 0 1.02 31% 1.1 .33 18% .14 63% .08 0.82 57% 39% 16% -10 -3 0.76 24% 1.6 .38 24% .20 73% .15
Shot Accuracy Shot Selection PPS 2nd Chance TOs Freethrows Shot Accuracy Shot Selection PPS 2nd Chance TOs Freethrows
Feb
1		 Tulsa B F B+ C- F 47% 24% 29% C F B A+ A+ A A+ F A+ D+ F D- C- F 42% 19% 40% A- D- C- F F C F A+ D-
1.14 38% 42% 33% -9 0 0.84 30% 1.5 .47 11% .50 63% .31 1.28 75% 44% 37% +10 0 1.23 33% 2.1 .71 15% .44 70% .31
Feb
4		 Charlotte D+ B- A+ C- B 43% 20% 37% C+ B C F D A+ A F D+ A B+ F+ D B- 35% 33% 33% A+ B A- A+ A+ A- A- C B+
1.11 62% 50% 33% +4 0 1.10 29% 0.9 .26 9% .40 50% .20 0.96 53% 44% 38% +2 -2 1.02 28% 0.4 .11 23% .27 71% .19
Feb
8		 Tulane C- B- A+ D- C+ 42% 16% 42% B- B- C+ F F D- C+ F D- A+ D A+ A+ A+ 45% 20% 35% C- A A- A+ A+ A- D F F+
1.03 61% 56% 30% +2 +1 1.07 36% 0.6 .21 21% .33 53% .17 0.84 64% 10% 18% -12 0 0.80 16% 0.7 .11 19% .41 83% .34
Feb
11		 South Florida F D D+ F F 27% 29% 44% D- F B F F+ C+ C D+ C- A+ B- F A C+ 48% 18% 34% B+ B- C A- B A+ F A+ F+
0.84 50% 33% 22% -12 -2 0.75 33% 0.5 .18 19% .32 67% .21 0.95 52% 50% 27% -4 +1 0.95 39% 1.0 .39 26% .54 61% .33
Feb
14		 Tulsa B A- A+ F B 43% 31% 25% D B- A F C+ A+ A+ F A+ B- B- F A- B+ 20% 25% 55% A+ A A A+ A+ D+ C+ C+ C+
1.18 68% 56% 15% +3 -1 1.06 36% 0.9 .31 9% .43 63% .27 1.13 55% 50% 30% -1 -2 0.96 24% 1.0 .24 13% .32 79% .25
Feb
18		 East Carolina C- B- A+ F C 38% 28% 34% D+ C- C- F D- C B+ F C+ B- A+ F A F 35% 48% 17% A+ D B- A+ A F C- A+ B
1.04 63% 56% 23% +1 -1 1.02 30% 0.9 .27 17% .31 65% .21 1.01 38% 61% 25% +1 -4 0.97 30% 0.7 .22 12% .36 57% .21
Feb
21		 Temple C F D A+ C+ 26% 44% 31% F D+ A+ D B+ D A+ C A+ A A+ A+ D+ A+ 24% 53% 22% A+ A+ C+ F D D C+ A+ B+
1.12 40% 35% 50% +2 -4 0.97 42% 0.9 .39 18% .58 72% .42 0.93 42% 27% 36% -9 -5 0.73 28% 1.2 .33 11% .35 63% .22
Feb
26		 Memphis A+ A+ B- F C+ 30% 38% 32% F C A+ C+ A A+ A+ A- A+ D+ D+ F C F 23% 55% 21% A+ D- A+ C- A+ F B- D C+
1.22 75% 40% 18% -2 -3 0.92 46% 0.9 .44 11% .52 79% .41 1.14 62% 55% 33% +10 -6 1.11 19% 1.2 .22 10% .26 76% .20



Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected American Athletic Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 0.0 5.2 5.2 1st
2nd 0.0 8.2 60.9 69.2 2nd
3rd 1.8 23.0 24.8 3rd
4th 0.8 0.8 4th
5th 5th
6th 6th
7th 7th
8th 8th
9th 9th
10th 10th
11th 11th
12th 12th
13th 13th
Total 2.6 31.2 66.1 Total



American Athletic Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5 7.9% 5.2    0.1 1.6 3.5
12-6 0.1% 0.0    0.0 0.0
11-7 0.0%
10-8
9-9
Total 5.2% 5.2 0.1 1.6 3.5 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5 66.1% 15.1% 15.1% 11.6 0.0 4.2 5.6 0.2 56.2
12-6 31.2% 14.6% 14.6% 12.0 0.7 3.2 0.6 26.7
11-7 2.6% 11.4% 11.4% 12.1 0.0 0.2 0.1 2.3
10-8
9-9
8-10
7-11
6-12
5-13
4-14
3-15
2-16
1-17
0-18
Total 100% 14.8% 14.8% 0.0% 11.7 85.2 0.0%


Best / Worst Case Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid		Avg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Win Out 10.0% 100.0% 11.6 0.3 41.9 56.0 1.9
Win Out, Lose in Conf. Tourney Championship 12.5%
Win Out, Lose in Conf. Tourney Semi-Final 23.6%
Lose Out 0.8%