Wichita St.
American Athletic
2019-20 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
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Predictive Rating +4.8 #105
Expected Predictive Rating +1.0 #150
Pace 65.3 #285
Improvement -3.6 #334

Overall 1st FGA Second Chance TOs Free
throws		 Shot Selection
Offense #97 C- A+ B C C
Defense #111 B C+ C- B B+

Offense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 42% #93 1.09 #269 +0.4 #155
2 Pt. Jumpers 21% #170 0.67 #288 -0.7 #215
Three Pointers 37% #262 1.07 #111 -0.8 #220
1st FG Attempt 0.99 #205 -1.1 #205
Freethrows 18.3 #132 72% #225 13.1 #151
Second Chance 41.6% #3 1.10 #116 0.46 #14
Turnovers 14.9% #77
Total Offense +3.0 #97

Defense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 37% #222 1.11 #116 +1.7 #119
2 Pt. Jumpers 27% #25 0.77 #205 -2.9 #349
Three Pointers 35% #325 0.94 #85 +4.3 #35
1st FG Attempt 0.96 #80 +3.1 #80
Freethrows 14.7 #56 72% #144 10.5 #305
Second Chance 28.7% #107 1.04 #177 0.30 #132
Turnovers 16.0% #208
Total Defense +1.8 #111

Miscellaneous
Offense Defense
Shot Type Mix Effect 0.4% #162 -2.0% #42
Shot Type Accuracy Effect -2.6% #213 -4.2% #103
Possession Length 17.4 #180 18.2 #310
Fast Break Points Per Possession 0.14 #261 0.12 #31
Improvement -0.3 #200 -3.4 #336

See methodology page for descriptions of rating types.
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 10.4% 13.4% 8.6%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 12.2 12.1 12.4
.500 or above 86.2% 94.1% 81.3%
.500 or above in Conference 79.0% 90.4% 72.1%
Conference Champion 8.4% 15.7% 3.9%
Last Place in Conference 0.1% 0.0% 0.1%
First Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Round10.4% 13.4% 8.6%
Second Round1.4% 2.0% 1.1%
Sweet Sixteen0.2% 0.4% 0.2%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Florida Atlantic (Away) - 38.0% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 00 - 0
Quad 1b0 - 20 - 2
Quad 24 - 54 - 7
Quad 35 - 59 - 12
Quad 410 - 218 - 14


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Avg Lead Record Total Rating Offense Defense
Overall Conf Total First
FGA		 2nd Chance TOs Total First
FGA		 2nd Chance TOs
 Tue, Nov 4 218 UNC Asheville W 75 - 58 85% +4  1 - 0 +11 +2 F A+ F +10 A+ F A-
 Sat, Nov 8 317 Prairie View W 105 - 62 94% +18  2 - 0 +31 +18 A- B+ A+ +9 A+ F A+
 Thu, Nov 13 259 Loyola Chicago W 95 - 74 89% +14  3 - 0 +12 +23 C A+ A+ -9 F A+ D+
 Tue, Nov 18 78 @Boise St. L 59 - 62 29% -4  3 - 1 +7 -2 F A D +9 A+ C C
 Sat, Nov 22 229 Wisconsin-Milwaukee W 75 - 58 86% +1  4 - 1 +10 +0 D D+ A- +11 A+ B B
 Wed, Nov 26 42 St. Mary's L 65 - 70 24% -3  4 - 2 +7 -1 D+ C- F +9 A+ A F
 Thu, Nov 27 97 Colorado St. L 70 - 76 48% -10  4 - 3 -1 +9 F A+ C+ -11 F A+ C-
 Fri, Nov 28 150 Western Kentucky L 70 - 75 66% -1  4 - 4 -5 +5 D A- A+ -10 F B+ D-
 Sat, Dec 6 107 @Northern Iowa W 74 - 69 OT 41% +2  5 - 4 +12 +8 A+ A F +4 B- A D-
 Sat, Dec 13 98 DePaul L 58 - 61 60% -1  5 - 5 -1 -4 D+ C- B +3 F A+ A+
 Wed, Dec 17 228 Wofford W 84 - 73 86% +7  6 - 5 +4 +11 B C+ A -6 C D- D
 Sun, Dec 21 253 Eastern Kentucky W 88 - 57 89% +22  7 - 5 +23 +13 C A+ A+ +11 A+ A+ F
 Wed, Dec 31 115 @UAB W 75 - 70 43% -6  8 - 5 1 - 0 +12 +11 B- A+ C +1 B C- D+
 Sat, Jan 3 170 @Charlotte L 100 - 104 2OT 60% +10  8 - 6 1 - 1 -2 +19 B A+ C -21 C F F
 Wed, Jan 7 247 Rice L 64 - 66 88% -2  8 - 7 1 - 2 -10 -8 F D- A+ -2 D A+ D
 Sun, Jan 11 137 North Texas W 78 - 67 73% +8  9 - 7 2 - 2 +9 +8 A+ C+ F +1 A+ C- D+
 Thu, Jan 15 102 @Florida Atlantic L 73 - 76 38%
 Sun, Jan 18 75 @South Florida L 75 - 81 29%
 Wed, Jan 21 262 East Carolina W 78 - 64 90%
 Sat, Jan 24 83 Memphis W 73 - 72 53%
 Sun, Feb 1 93 @Tulsa L 74 - 78 35%
 Wed, Feb 4 170 Charlotte W 75 - 66 79%
 Sun, Feb 8 158 @Tulane W 72 - 70 56%
 Wed, Feb 11 75 South Florida W 78 - 77 50%
 Sat, Feb 14 93 Tulsa W 77 - 75 56%
 Wed, Feb 18 262 @East Carolina W 75 - 67 76%
 Sat, Feb 21 140 Temple W 77 - 70 73%
 Thu, Feb 26 83 @Memphis L 70 - 75 32%
 Sun, Mar 1 332 @Texas San Antonio W 78 - 65 87%
 Sat, Mar 7 102 Florida Atlantic W 76 - 73 60%
Totals 17 - 13 10 - 8 +5 +3 C- A+ B +2 B C+ C-




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected American Athletic Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 0.0 1.0 3.5 2.8 0.9 0.1 8.4 1st
2nd 0.0 0.8 5.2 4.0 0.6 0.0 10.7 2nd
3rd 0.2 4.5 5.5 0.7 0.0 11.0 3rd
4th 0.1 2.2 7.5 1.6 0.0 11.4 4th
5th 0.0 0.7 6.9 4.1 0.1 11.9 5th
6th 0.2 3.8 6.9 0.6 11.5 6th
7th 0.0 1.7 7.1 2.3 0.0 11.2 7th
8th 0.0 0.7 4.5 3.9 0.2 9.5 8th
9th 0.0 0.4 2.4 3.8 0.7 0.0 7.4 9th
10th 0.0 0.2 1.5 2.3 0.8 0.0 4.9 10th
11th 0.1 0.6 0.8 0.4 0.0 1.9 11th
12th 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.4 12th
13th 0.0 0.0 0.0 13th
Total 0.0 0.2 1.0 2.8 5.9 11.1 16.3 18.8 17.7 13.4 8.3 3.4 1.0 0.1 Total



American Athletic Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2 100.0% 0.1    0.1
15-3 96.9% 0.9    0.8 0.1 0.0
14-4 82.0% 2.8    1.7 1.0 0.1 0.0
13-5 42.5% 3.5    0.9 1.6 0.9 0.2 0.0
12-6 7.6% 1.0    0.0 0.2 0.3 0.3 0.1 0.0
11-7 0.1% 0.0    0.0 0.0
10-8 0.0%
9-9 0.0%
Total 8.4% 8.4 3.6 2.8 1.3 0.5 0.2 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2 0.1% 27.3% 27.3% 10.8 0.0 0.0 0.1
15-3 1.0% 31.8% 31.8% 11.3 0.0 0.2 0.1 0.7
14-4 3.4% 24.2% 24.2% 11.7 0.3 0.5 0.0 2.6
13-5 8.3% 21.5% 21.5% 11.8 0.4 1.3 0.1 6.5
12-6 13.4% 18.0% 18.0% 12.1 0.2 1.8 0.4 0.0 11.0
11-7 17.7% 11.9% 11.9% 12.3 0.1 1.4 0.6 0.0 15.6
10-8 18.8% 8.1% 8.1% 12.4 0.0 0.8 0.6 0.1 17.3
9-9 16.3% 5.2% 5.2% 12.8 0.3 0.4 0.1 15.5
8-10 11.1% 3.4% 3.4% 13.7 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.0 10.7
7-11 5.9% 2.7% 2.7% 14.5 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 5.7
6-12 2.8% 2.0% 2.0% 15.3 0.0 0.0 2.7
5-13 1.0% 0.5% 0.5% 16.0 0.0 1.0
4-14 0.2% 0.2
3-15 0.0% 0.0
2-16
1-17
0-18
Total 100% 10.4% 10.4% 0.0% 12.2 89.6 0.0%