Wichita St.
American Athletic
2019-20 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
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Overall
Predictive Rating+5.7#92
Expected Predictive Rating+1.9#141
Pace69.4#196
Improvement-1.8#315

Offense
Total Offense+2.7#104
First Shot-4.0#291
After Offensive Rebound+6.6#3
Layup/Dunks-1.7#241
2 Pt Jumpshots+0.0#170
3 Pt Jumpshots-2.4#265
Freethrows+0.2#161
Improvement-1.3#296

Defense
Total Defense+3.0#91
First Shot+3.6#71
After Offensive Rebounds-0.7#233
Layups/Dunks+1.2#132
2 Pt Jumpshots-3.0#339
3 Pt Jumpshots+3.1#77
Freethrows+2.3#55
Improvement-0.5#242
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.1% 0.1% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 14.2% 15.7% 11.4%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.4% 0.5% 0.1%
Average Seed 11.8 11.6 12.1
.500 or above 88.0% 92.7% 79.6%
.500 or above in Conference 83.4% 86.0% 78.8%
Conference Champion 18.0% 20.5% 13.5%
Last Place in Conference 0.8% 0.5% 1.4%
First Four0.2% 0.3% 0.1%
First Round14.1% 15.6% 11.4%
Second Round2.9% 3.6% 1.8%
Sweet Sixteen0.5% 0.7% 0.2%
Elite Eight0.1% 0.1% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Western Kentucky (Neutral) - 64.2% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 10 - 1
Quad 1b0 - 20 - 3
Quad 23 - 53 - 8
Quad 37 - 410 - 11
Quad 410 - 120 - 12


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Tue, Nov 4 218 UNC Asheville W 75-58 87%     1 - 0 +10.4 +0.4 +10.7
  Sat, Nov 8 332 Prairie View W 105-62 95%     2 - 0 +29.8 +17.4 +8.5
  Thu, Nov 13 265 Loyola Chicago W 95-74 90%     3 - 0 +12.4 +24.1 -10.2
  Tue, Nov 18 61 @Boise St. L 59-62 26%     3 - 1 +9.3 -0.3 +9.3
  Sat, Nov 22 208 Wisconsin-Milwaukee W 75-58 86%     4 - 1 +11.0 +1.7 +10.1
  Wed, Nov 26 30 St. Mary's L 65-70 23%     4 - 2 +8.4 +1.3 +7.1
  Thu, Nov 27 87 Colorado St. L 70-76 47%     4 - 3 +0.4 +9.2 -10.0
  Fri, Nov 28 132 Western Kentucky W 79-75 64%    
  Sat, Dec 6 90 @Northern Iowa L 65-68 38%    
  Sat, Dec 13 109 DePaul W 75-70 68%    
  Wed, Dec 17 225 Wofford W 82-69 87%    
  Sun, Dec 21 258 Eastern Kentucky W 83-69 90%    
  Wed, Dec 31 107 @UAB L 75-77 44%    
  Sat, Jan 3 196 @Charlotte W 74-69 68%    
  Wed, Jan 7 213 Rice W 76-64 86%    
  Sun, Jan 11 123 North Texas W 69-63 71%    
  Thu, Jan 15 111 @Florida Atlantic L 75-76 47%    
  Sun, Jan 18 81 @South Florida L 77-81 35%    
  Wed, Jan 21 259 East Carolina W 81-67 89%    
  Sat, Jan 24 70 Memphis W 75-74 53%    
  Sun, Feb 1 91 @Tulsa L 72-75 39%    
  Wed, Feb 4 196 Charlotte W 77-66 84%    
  Sun, Feb 8 152 @Tulane W 77-74 60%    
  Wed, Feb 11 81 South Florida W 80-78 55%    
  Sat, Feb 14 91 Tulsa W 75-72 60%    
  Wed, Feb 18 259 @East Carolina W 78-70 76%    
  Sat, Feb 21 148 Temple W 82-73 78%    
  Thu, Feb 26 70 @Memphis L 72-77 33%    
  Sun, Mar 1 231 @Texas San Antonio W 78-71 72%    
  Sat, Mar 7 111 Florida Atlantic W 78-73 67%    
Projected Record 19 - 11 11 - 7





Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.




Projected American Athletic Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.6 2.7 5.1 5.0 3.1 1.2 0.3 18.0 1st
2nd 0.0 0.6 3.9 6.2 4.0 1.0 0.1 15.6 2nd
3rd 0.4 3.5 6.7 2.9 0.5 0.0 13.8 3rd
4th 0.2 2.6 5.9 3.2 0.4 0.0 12.2 4th
5th 0.0 1.4 5.2 3.2 0.3 0.0 10.1 5th
6th 0.0 0.6 3.5 3.5 0.5 8.2 6th
7th 0.0 0.3 2.3 4.0 0.9 0.0 7.4 7th
8th 0.1 1.2 3.0 1.1 0.1 5.5 8th
9th 0.0 0.6 1.9 1.1 0.1 3.8 9th
10th 0.0 0.2 1.0 1.1 0.1 2.5 10th
11th 0.0 0.1 0.4 0.8 0.2 0.0 1.6 11th
12th 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.4 0.1 0.0 0.9 12th
13th 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.4 13th
Total 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.5 1.2 2.6 4.8 7.3 10.3 12.6 13.7 14.6 12.1 9.6 6.0 3.2 1.2 0.3 Total



American Athletic Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0 100.0% 0.3    0.3
17-1 100.0% 1.2    1.2 0.0
16-2 97.0% 3.1    2.7 0.3 0.0
15-3 83.8% 5.0    3.6 1.3 0.1
14-4 53.8% 5.1    2.4 2.1 0.6 0.0
13-5 22.3% 2.7    0.5 1.2 0.7 0.3 0.0
12-6 4.2% 0.6    0.0 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.0 0.0
11-7 0.0% 0.0    0.0
10-8 0.0%
9-9 0.0%
Total 18.0% 18.0 10.8 5.1 1.6 0.5 0.1 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid
AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0 0.3% 68.7% 53.0% 15.7% 8.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 33.3%
17-1 1.2% 48.4% 38.6% 9.8% 9.9 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.0 0.6 16.0%
16-2 3.2% 40.6% 37.5% 3.1% 11.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.8 0.3 0.0 1.9 4.9%
15-3 6.0% 32.2% 31.7% 0.5% 11.3 0.1 1.1 0.7 0.0 4.1 0.7%
14-4 9.6% 25.3% 25.0% 0.2% 11.7 0.0 0.0 0.9 1.4 0.1 0.0 7.2 0.3%
13-5 12.1% 20.0% 20.0% 11.9 0.0 0.6 1.5 0.3 0.0 9.7
12-6 14.6% 15.4% 15.4% 12.1 0.3 1.5 0.5 0.0 12.4
11-7 13.7% 11.2% 11.2% 12.4 0.1 0.9 0.5 0.1 12.1
10-8 12.6% 5.9% 5.9% 12.4 0.0 0.4 0.2 0.1 11.8
9-9 10.3% 4.8% 4.8% 13.0 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.0 9.8
8-10 7.3% 3.3% 3.3% 13.6 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 7.0
7-11 4.8% 1.3% 1.3% 14.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 4.7
6-12 2.6% 1.2% 1.2% 15.8 0.0 0.0 2.6
5-13 1.2% 0.3% 0.3% 16.0 0.0 1.2
4-14 0.5% 0.5
3-15 0.2% 0.2
2-16 0.1% 0.1
1-17 0.0% 0.0
0-18
Total 100% 14.2% 13.9% 0.3% 11.8 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.4 4.0 6.8 2.0 0.4 0.1 0.0 85.8 0.4%