Campbell
Colonial Athletic
2024-25 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
Switch to All-time Team Page
Predictive Rating -2.0 191
Expected Predictive Rating -1.4 182
Pace 73.5 56
Improvement +3.1 71

Overall 1st FGA Second Chance TOs Free
throws		 Shot Selection
Offense C 147 C- C+ C- A- B+
Defense D+ 254 D D C+ C C

Offense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 47% 13 C- 55% 245 +3.6 63
2 Pt. Jumpers 36% 199 D 33% 327 -2.8 313
Three Pointers 38% 238 C- 32% 247 -2.3 262
Shot Selection/Accuracy B+ +1.3 30 D+ -2.8 282
1st FG Attempt C- 0.99 224
Second Chance B- 34.1% 79 C 1.01 200 C+ 0.34 100
Turnovers C- 17.9% 257
Freethrows A 0.38 6 C 72% 209 A- 0.28 14
Total Offense C +0.7 147

Assists Blocks (Opponents')
Close Shots D 39% 309 C 10.8% 167
2 Pt. Jumpers Shots D- 11% 351 F 10.8% 357
Three Pointers D 77% 316 B- 0.5% 86
Total D- 47% 329 D 6.9% 306

Defense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 46% 15 D 64% 327 +7.2 358
2 Pt. Jumpers 24% 71 C+ 37% 156 +1.2 285
Three Pointers 30% 364 D 37% 296 -4.5 23
Shot Selection/Accuracy C +0.1 188 D +3.7 315
1st FG Attempt D 1.10 304
Second Chance C 30.9% 203 F+ 1.18 349 D 0.37 311
Turnovers C+ 17.7% 123
Freethrows C 0.31 195 D+ 74% 261 C 0.22 213
Total Defense D+ -2.7 254

Assists Blocks
Close Shots C- 51% 242 F+ 4.0% 361
2 Pt. Jumpers Shots C+ 23% 129 F+ 0.7% 361
Three Pointers C- 85% 220 D 0.1% 341
Total C+ 54% 136 F 2.0% 365

Miscellaneous
Offense Defense
Possession Length 16.8 118 16.4 34
Fast Break Points Per Possession 0.22 63 0.21 319
Improvement +2.6 #72 +0.5 #155

See methodology page for descriptions of rating types.
Predictions by Percentile
5th 50th 95th
Predictive Rating Rank 229 195 161
Conference Record 7 - 11 9 - 9 11 - 7
Conference Finish 10 7 4
NCAA Tourney Seed None None None
NCAA Tourney Finish None None None

NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0% 0% 0%
#1 Seed 0% 0% 0%
Top 2 Seed 0% 0% 0%
Top 4 Seed 0% 0% 0%
Top 6 Seed 0% 0% 0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 4% 5% 3%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0% 0% 0%
Average Seed 15.0 14.7 15.4
.500 or above 13% 26% 4%
.500 or above in Conference 67% 92% 51%
Conference Champion 0% 0% 0%
Last Place in Conference 0% 0% 0%
First Four0% 0% 1%
First Round3% 5% 2%
Second Round0% 0% 0%
Sweet Sixteen0% 0% 0%
Elite Eight0% 0% 0%
Final Four0% 0% 0%
Championship Game0% 0% 0%
National Champion0% 0% 0%

Next Game: UNC Wilmington (Home) - 40.2% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 20 - 2
Quad 1b0 - 30 - 4
Quad 21 - 31 - 8
Quad 34 - 65 - 14
Quad 48 - 314 - 17


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Lead Record Total Rating Offense Defense
Avg Time Overall Conf Total First
FGA		 2nd Chance TOs Total First
FGA		 2nd Chance TOs
 Mon, Nov 3 29 @Wisconsin L 64 - 96 4% -8  16% 0 - 1 D- -14 D -6 D+ A F D- -8 C- F C+
 Thu, Nov 6 55 @West Virginia L 65 - 73 9% -6  0% 0 - 2 B- +5 C +1 D B+ C+ B +4 A+ D+ C
 Sun, Nov 9 284 Western Michigan W 91 - 82 78% +6  92% 1 - 2 C -1 D+ -4 C C+ F C+ +2 C+ B+ B-
 Wed, Nov 19 224 @Weber St. L 85 - 91 44% -5  36% 1 - 3 D+ -7 C+ +3 F A+ D+ F+ -9 F D- C
 Fri, Nov 21 176 Texas Arlington W 71 - 67 46% -4  8% 2 - 3 C+ +3 D -5 C- A F A- +8 A- C+ C
 Tue, Nov 25 61 @Wake Forest L 51 - 99 10% -26  0% 2 - 4 F -36 F -21 F D C+ F -14 F F D-
 Tue, Dec 2 115 @Penn St. L 76 - 87 22% -5  16% 2 - 5 D+ -5 C- -2 C C+ F C- -2 D- A+ F
 Sun, Dec 14 313 Ball St. W 69 - 64 83% -1  31% 3 - 5 D+ -7 F+ -10 F D- C+ B- +2 B D B+
 Wed, Dec 17 10 @Gonzaga L 70 - 98 2% -14  0% 3 - 6 D+ -6 D -5 C C- F+ B- +3 D- C+ A
 Sun, Dec 21 66 @Minnesota L 50 - 78 11% -18  0% 3 - 7 F+ -16 F -11 D- F+ F F+ -10 F F B-
 Tue, Dec 23 228 Green Bay W 102 - 79 67% +9  78% 4 - 7 A- +16 A+ +25 A+ A+ B- D- -8 F D B+
 Mon, Dec 29 108 @Hofstra L 72 - 86 20% -12  18% 4 - 8 0 - 1 D+ -7 B- +4 F+ A A F -11 D- F A
 Wed, Dec 31 189 @Monmouth W 68 - 65 38% -2  16% 5 - 8 1 - 1 C+ +4 C +0 F A F+ B +4 A- C- F
 Sat, Jan 3 289 Northeastern W 97 - 82 79% +8  90% 6 - 8 2 - 1 C+ +5 A +11 A D A D- -7 D- D+ D
 Thu, Jan 8 257 Hampton W 86 - 72 73% +13  93% 7 - 8 3 - 1 B- +6 B- +4 C- F C- C+ +1 D- D- A+
 Sat, Jan 10 203 @Elon L 82 - 83 41% +6  93% 7 - 9 3 - 2 C -1 B +7 B+ D- A- D- -8 D- F D+
 Sat, Jan 17 111 @UNC Wilmington L 75 - 78 21% +4  67% 7 - 10 3 - 3 C+ +4 B- +5 A F+ F C- -2 D- A+ F
 Thu, Jan 22 151 @College of Charleston L 83 - 87 31% -3  35% 7 - 11 3 - 4 C -1 B+ +8 B A+ F+ F+ -8 F D- B
 Sat, Jan 24 189 Monmouth L 73 - 88 61% -5  12% 7 - 12 3 - 5 F -20 D -5 F+ D- A+ F -14 F F A+
 Thu, Jan 29 216 Stony Brook L 69 - 81 66% -3  20% 7 - 13 3 - 6 F -18 D -5 D+ C- C- F -14 F B+ D
 Sat, Jan 31 134 @William & Mary W 104 - 96 26% +13  96% 8 - 13 4 - 6 B+ +13 A+ +18 A+ D- B+ D- -7 D- F+ C+
 Thu, Feb 5 222 Drexel W 81 - 60 67% +6  54% 9 - 13 5 - 6 A- +15 B +6 B+ B C A +9 C B- A+
 Sat, Feb 7 288 @N.C. A&T W 79 - 71 59% +6  93% 10 - 13 6 - 6 C+ +4 C +1 D A+ F+ B- +2 D+ A F
 Sun, Feb 15 151 College of Charleston L 57 - 62 53% -2  21% 10 - 14 6 - 7 D+ -8 F+ -10 F F B C+ +1 B+ F A
 Thu, Feb 19 134 William & Mary W 84 - 83 48% -2  35% 11 - 14 7 - 7 C -0 C+ +2 D A B C- -3 D- A B-
 Sat, Feb 21 111 UNC Wilmington L 74 - 77 40%
 Thu, Feb 26 222 @Drexel L 71 - 73 44%
 Sat, Feb 28 167 @Towson L 69 - 74 34%
 Tue, Mar 3 288 N.C. A&T W 84 - 76 78%
Totals 13 - 16 9 - 9 -2 C +1 B+ D+ B+ D+ -3 C- C A-



Game Detail
Grades are adjusted for opponent strength in each category. Game stats are not adjusted for oppoent strength. See methodology page for descriptions of rating types.
Offense Defense
Tot Off First Field Goal Attempt Second Chance TOs Freethrows Tot Def First Field Goal Attempt Second Chance TOs Freethrows
Shot Accuracy Shot Selection Points Per Shot Shot Accuracy Shot Selection Points Per Shot
2 C 2 L 3 Tot 2 C 2 L 3 Tot Off Reb PPP Tot Att Perc Tot 2 C 2 L 3 Tot 2 C 2 L 3 Tot Off Reb PPP Tot Att Perc Tot
Season Ratings C C- D C- D+ 47% 36% 38% B+ C- B- C C+ C- A C A- D+ D C+ D D 46% 24% 30% C D C F+ D C+ C D+ C
1.10 55% 33% 32% -3 +1 0.99 34% 1.0 .34 18% .38 72% .28 1.12 64% 37% 37% +4 0 1.10 31% 1.2 .37 18% .31 74% .28
Nov
3		 Wisconsin D D+ A F D- 44% 18% 38% A- D+ B+ A A F A- B+ A D- F A+ C- C- 41% 14% 45% C C- F F F C+ B- F D+
0.90 50% 50% 24% -7 +1 0.89 30% 1.2 .37 27% .33 76% .25 1.35 74% 25% 36% +6 +1 1.16 38% 1.5 .56 13% .31 89% .27
Nov
6		 West Virginia C C+ F F F 59% 11% 30% A+ D A+ D+ B+ C+ A+ B+ A+ B A B+ A A+ 49% 19% 32% C- A+ C D D+ C F F+ F
0.96 56% 20% 14% -12 +3 0.83 37% 0.9 .34 18% .57 78% .45 1.07 48% 33% 27% -9 +1 0.85 32% 1.3 .39 16% .47 74% .35
Nov
9		 Western Michigan D+ F D A+ C 32% 13% 55% C C F+ A+ C+ F A+ C A+ C+ B- C+ C- B- 50% 25% 25% D C+ B- A B+ B- F F F
1.13 47% 33% 42% +3 +1 1.09 24% 1.6 .38 19% .63 71% .44 1.02 50% 36% 36% -4 0 0.95 28% 0.8 .23 19% .40 81% .32
Nov
19		 Weber St. C+ F A+ F F 62% 10% 28% A F A A+ A+ D+ A+ A+ A+ F+ F C+ D F 37% 23% 40% A F F+ C- D- C D+ A- C
1.15 48% 80% 14% -10 +3 0.88 38% 1.4 .53 18% .51 90% .46 1.23 84% 33% 38% +11 0 1.23 38% 1.0 .38 16% .37 65% .24
Nov
21		 Texas Arlington D C- D F D 51% 20% 29% A C- B+ A A F A+ F A A- B A+ C- A 56% 21% 23% D+ A- B+ D- C+ C C A B-
0.97 57% 33% 23% -6 +1 0.91 34% 1.4 .47 23% .57 59% .34 0.91 48% 9% 33% -12 +1 0.81 30% 1.1 .33 20% .34 65% .22
Nov
25		 Wake Forest F F F F F 35% 15% 50% C+ F D+ D+ D C+ A+ F B F F C+ F F 41% 13% 46% D F D F F D- D+ F D-
0.71 44% 13% 15% -23 0 0.58 26% 0.9 .24 19% .45 58% .26 1.38 73% 43% 40% +11 +1 1.26 36% 1.6 .57 11% .34 86% .30
Dec
2		 Penn St. C- D F A+ C- 52% 12% 36% A- C A F C+ F A+ F C+ C- C- F D- F+ 52% 23% 25% C D- A+ A+ A+ F D- F F
1.04 54% 17% 44% +1 +2 1.08 38% 1.0 .38 23% .34 53% .18 1.19 63% 58% 38% +9 +1 1.21 20% 0.3 .07 10% .38 88% .33
Dec
14		 Ball St. F+ B- D F F 35% 24% 41% D+ F A- F D- C+ A+ F A- B- A- F A+ B 47% 26% 26% C+ B F+ C+ D B+ F+ C D-
0.99 65% 33% 20% -7 -1 0.86 42% 0.6 .24 17% .50 55% .28 0.92 44% 50% 14% -11 0 0.79 32% 0.8 .26 20% .36 70% .25
Dec
17		 Gonzaga D C B- F C- 42% 19% 40% A C C+ D- C- F+ A F+ B+ B- D+ C- F D 59% 24% 17% F D- B- C C+ A F+ C D-
0.85 55% 40% 24% -7 0 0.89 25% 0.7 .18 24% .38 63% .24 1.19 68% 43% 50% +11 +1 1.26 34% 1.2 .41 18% .36 71% .25
Dec
21		 Minnesota F C+ C F F+ 38% 21% 41% B D- A- F F+ F A+ A- A+ F+ F A+ F F 44% 22% 33% B- F C F F B- A+ F A
0.82 60% 38% 19% -9 0 0.85 34% 0.4 .13 28% .44 79% .34 1.29 85% 20% 40% +11 0 1.24 30% 2.0 .61 18% .18 89% .16
Dec
23		 Green Bay A+ C B A+ A+ 43% 15% 43% B+ A+ A+ A+ A+ B- A+ F A- D- F F D+ F 36% 39% 25% A+ F F B D B+ F A+ C-
1.54 60% 43% 55% +15 +1 1.34 47% 1.6 .73 12% .46 67% .31 1.19 69% 65% 36% +15 -2 1.27 32% 1.0 .32 20% .43 65% .28
Dec
29		 Hofstra B- C+ F F F 46% 14% 40% A F+ C+ A+ A A A- D B F F+ C+ D D- 38% 19% 44% D- D- F F F A F+ A D+
1.09 57% 14% 20% -12 +1 0.80 32% 1.5 .46 11% .37 68% .25 1.30 67% 33% 38% +5 0 1.13 50% 1.8 .89 21% .36 68% .25
Dec
31		 Monmouth C F F C- F 58% 7% 35% A+ F B A+ A F+ A+ C A+ B C+ A+ A+ A 47% 26% 28% D A- B F C- F F A F
1.05 40% 0% 33% -13 +3 0.81 38% 1.2 .46 23% .60 73% .44 1.00 55% 25% 23% -9 0 0.83 28% 1.2 .33 11% .45 65% .29
Jan
3		 Northeastern A A+ A+ D A- 55% 14% 31% B+ A C F D A A+ B A+ D- D D F F 39% 25% 36% B+ D- A+ F D+ D A F C+
1.34 79% 57% 31% +13 +2 1.31 33% 0.8 .26 12% .49 77% .38 1.14 64% 43% 40% +7 0 1.14 14% 2.3 .32 15% .20 92% .18
Jan
8		 Hampton B- F D+ A+ C- 42% 13% 46% B C- B F F C- A+ A+ A+ C+ F+ B B D- 47% 30% 23% D+ D- C- F D- A+ F D- F
1.16 40% 33% 45% 0 +1 1.04 33% 0.4 .14 18% .62 84% .52 0.97 65% 31% 30% 0 -1 1.00 35% 1.1 .39 28% .49 77% .38
Jan
10		 Elon B F+ A+ A+ B+ 39% 15% 46% B- B+ D D- D- A- C C- C- D- C A F D 58% 8% 34% F+ D- B- F F D+ A+ A+ A+
1.22 48% 50% 48% +7 +1 1.19 28% 1.0 .28 12% .29 71% .20 1.23 58% 25% 44% +4 +3 1.17 30% 1.9 .57 15% .17 40% .07
Jan
17		 UNC Wilmington B- A- A+ C- A 43% 15% 41% A A B F F+ F A+ D A+ C- D- B- C+ D 54% 23% 23% F D- B+ A+ A+ F D F F
1.11 70% 57% 32% +7 +1 1.17 32% 0.5 .16 21% .45 71% .32 1.15 64% 33% 33% +2 +1 1.08 29% 0.7 .20 10% .41 80% .33
Jan
22		 College of Charleston B+ B- D A+ B+ 20% 30% 50% F+ B B- A+ A+ F+ D+ D D+ F+ F D F F 44% 35% 21% B+ F D- C- D- B F D F
1.14 64% 31% 41% +4 -2 1.06 34% 1.8 .60 18% .20 67% .13 1.20 76% 41% 40% +11 -2 1.21 35% 1.1 .38 19% .49 79% .39
Jan
24		 Monmouth D D- F F+ F 47% 9% 44% A- F+ F+ D+ D- A+ A+ D A F F B- F F 46% 26% 28% D+ F F F F A+ F A+ F
1.01 50% 20% 29% -9 +2 0.89 24% 0.9 .21 11% .41 69% .28 1.22 71% 33% 54% +13 0 1.28 39% 1.4 .54 24% .45 64% .29
Jan
29		 Stony Brook D A- F B- C- 31% 25% 43% D D+ F A+ C- C- C A B- F F D+ F F 45% 15% 40% D F F A+ B+ D F+ F+ F
1.04 69% 15% 36% -1 -1 0.98 23% 1.1 .26 17% .29 81% .23 1.22 67% 43% 47% +13 +1 1.30 36% 0.5 .18 15% .32 78% .25
Shot Accuracy Shot Selection PPS 2nd Chance TOs Freethrows Shot Accuracy Shot Selection PPS 2nd Chance TOs Freethrows
Jan
31		 William & Mary A+ A+ B A+ A+ 45% 13% 43% B- A+ B F D- B+ A+ A- A+ D- D- F A D 67% 9% 24% F D- B- F F+ C+ F D F
1.32 76% 43% 46% +16 +1 1.38 35% 0.7 .24 15% .45 77% .34 1.22 68% 50% 27% +5 +4 1.20 24% 1.7 .40 18% .66 79% .52
Feb
5		 Drexel B A+ F D+ B 52% 21% 27% B+ B+ B+ C+ B C A+ C- A+ A D+ F A+ D+ 38% 36% 26% A+ C B C+ B- A+ A+ B A
1.17 76% 10% 31% +2 +1 1.08 37% 1.1 .40 16% .48 75% .36 0.87 61% 53% 25% +3 -2 1.04 25% 0.9 .21 28% .16 63% .10
Feb
7		 N.C. A&T C F C B- F 55% 11% 34% A D C A+ A+ F+ A+ B A+ B- C C- C D+ 51% 33% 16% D+ D+ B+ A+ A F C+ A+ A
1.13 46% 40% 38% -5 +2 0.98 27% 1.9 .52 17% .45 73% .33 1.01 57% 39% 33% 0 -1 1.00 25% 0.8 .20 13% .34 57% .20
Feb
15		 College of Charleston F+ B- F F F 54% 15% 31% A+ F A+ F F B D A+ C+ C+ D- A+ C+ B+ 41% 30% 28% B- B+ D+ F F A A+ F A+
0.94 64% 0% 13% -12 +2 0.81 43% 0.3 .14 12% .19 90% .17 1.02 68% 7% 31% -6 -1 0.87 32% 1.7 .55 21% .17 88% .15
Feb
19		 William & Mary C+ F F A+ D 39% 11% 50% B- D B- A+ A B A+ C+ A+ C- F+ D- D- F 36% 19% 45% A- D- B+ A+ A B- F C F
1.13 33% 17% 44% -4 +1 0.96 34% 1.3 .44 16% .47 72% .34 1.12 71% 44% 38% +9 0 1.19 21% 0.8 .18 19% .51 74% .38



Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Colonial Athletic Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 0.2 0.2 2nd
3rd 0.7 2.3 2.9 3rd
4th 0.4 10.7 3.0 14.1 4th
5th 5.1 11.1 0.2 16.4 5th
6th 0.0 14.6 0.9 15.6 6th
7th 1.3 14.5 0.0 15.8 7th
8th 0.0 9.9 3.8 13.7 8th
9th 1.4 12.8 0.1 14.3 9th
10th 2.7 2.7 5.4 10th
11th 1.5 0.1 1.7 11th
12th 12th
13th 13th
Total 5.7 26.9 38.4 23.4 5.6 Total



Colonial Athletic Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7 0.0%
10-8 0.0%
9-9 0.0%
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7 5.6% 9.6% 9.6% 13.9 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.1 5.1
10-8 23.4% 6.0% 6.0% 14.8 0.0 0.3 1.0 0.0 22.0
9-9 38.4% 2.8% 2.8% 15.3 0.0 0.7 0.3 37.3
8-10 26.9% 1.8% 1.8% 15.9 0.0 0.5 26.4
7-11 5.7% 1.3% 1.3% 16.0 0.1 5.6
6-12
5-13
4-14
3-15
2-16
1-17
0-18
Total 100% 3.6% 3.6% 0.0% 15.0 96.4 0.0%


Best / Worst Case Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid		Avg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Win Out 0.5% 100.0% 13.9 1.8 22.1 57.1 19.0
Win Out, Lose in Conf. Tourney Championship 0.8%
Win Out, Lose in Conf. Tourney Semi-Final 1.5%
Lose Out 3.4%