Campbell
Big South
2020-21 - 2021-22 - 2022-23
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Overall
Predictive Rating-0.2#171
Expected Predictive Rating+8.5#74
Pace58.2#355
Improvement+0.8#119

Offense
Total Offense+0.1#183
First Shot-1.6#222
After Offensive Rebound+1.6#85
Layup/Dunks+3.0#75
2 Pt Jumpshots+0.7#141
3 Pt Jumpshots-2.5#250
Freethrows-2.7#319
Improvement+1.6#57

Defense
Total Defense-0.2#179
First Shot+0.7#153
After Offensive Rebounds-0.9#236
Layups/Dunks+3.8#58
2 Pt Jumpshots+0.5#158
3 Pt Jumpshots-4.8#325
Freethrows+1.2#121
Improvement-0.7#246
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 21.7% 23.9% 17.6%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 14.3 14.2 14.7
.500 or above 94.8% 97.4% 89.8%
.500 or above in Conference 92.1% 94.0% 88.6%
Conference Champion 28.9% 32.3% 22.6%
Last Place in Conference 0.3% 0.2% 0.4%
First Four0.9% 0.7% 1.2%
First Round21.3% 23.5% 17.0%
Second Round1.5% 1.9% 0.9%
Sweet Sixteen0.3% 0.3% 0.2%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Georgia Southern (Home) - 65.1% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 10 - 1
Quad 1b0 - 00 - 1
Quad 21 - 11 - 2
Quad 32 - 23 - 5
Quad 416 - 419 - 9


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 12, 2021 254   Hartford W 68-67 67%     1 - 0 -3.8 -2.2 -1.5
  Nov 13, 2021 8   @ Duke L 56-67 4%     1 - 1 +9.4 +3.0 +4.4
  Nov 18, 2021 126   @ Marshall W 67-65 28%     2 - 1 +7.8 -3.0 +10.8
  Nov 24, 2021 330   Maryland Eastern Shore W 66-55 90%     3 - 1 -3.3 -0.3 -1.0
  Nov 27, 2021 275   @ Stetson W 60-58 61%     4 - 1 -1.1 -5.0 +4.2
  Dec 04, 2021 82   @ Virginia Commonwealth L 61-65 19%     4 - 2 +5.3 +2.3 +2.9
  Dec 15, 2021 196   Georgia Southern W 62-58 65%    
  Dec 22, 2021 287   @ UNC Wilmington W 66-62 63%    
  Dec 29, 2021 252   Norfolk St. W 68-60 76%    
  Jan 02, 2022 251   Jacksonville W 62-55 75%    
  Jan 05, 2022 255   UNC Asheville W 68-60 76%    
  Jan 08, 2022 157   @ Winthrop L 68-72 36%    
  Jan 12, 2022 342   Charleston Southern W 76-60 93%    
  Jan 15, 2022 253   Radford W 64-56 75%    
  Jan 19, 2022 218   @ Longwood L 61-62 46%    
  Jan 22, 2022 284   @ N.C. A&T W 66-63 62%    
  Jan 26, 2022 333   Hampton W 71-56 91%    
  Jan 29, 2022 263   High Point W 65-57 77%    
  Feb 02, 2022 276   @ Presbyterian W 61-58 61%    
  Feb 05, 2022 335   @ South Carolina Upstate W 70-61 80%    
  Feb 09, 2022 216   Gardner-Webb W 65-60 67%    
  Feb 12, 2022 263   @ High Point W 62-60 58%    
  Feb 16, 2022 253   @ Radford W 61-59 56%    
  Feb 19, 2022 284   N.C. A&T W 69-60 80%    
  Feb 23, 2022 333   @ Hampton W 68-59 78%    
  Feb 26, 2022 218   Longwood W 64-59 67%    
Projected Record 18 - 8 11 - 5




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Big South Finish

0-16 1-15 2-14 3-13 4-12 5-11 6-10 7-9 8-8 9-7 10-6 11-5 12-4 13-3 14-2 15-1 16-0 Total
1st 0.1 1.1 4.9 8.8 8.5 4.5 1.3 28.9 1st
2nd 0.0 1.1 6.1 8.4 4.5 1.0 0.1 21.1 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.7 4.6 7.0 2.5 0.3 0.0 15.0 3rd
4th 0.0 0.2 3.0 5.7 2.0 0.1 0.0 11.1 4th
5th 0.1 1.5 4.5 2.1 0.2 8.3 5th
6th 0.0 0.6 3.0 2.1 0.2 5.9 6th
7th 0.0 0.3 1.8 1.8 0.3 0.0 4.1 7th
8th 0.0 0.1 0.8 1.4 0.4 0.0 2.7 8th
9th 0.1 0.4 0.8 0.3 0.0 1.6 9th
10th 0.0 0.2 0.4 0.2 0.0 0.9 10th
11th 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.4 11th
12th 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 12th
Total 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.5 1.0 2.1 4.1 6.9 10.6 13.7 16.3 16.0 13.5 9.4 4.5 1.3 Total



Big South Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
16-0 100.0% 1.3    1.3
15-1 98.8% 4.5    4.2 0.3
14-2 89.6% 8.5    6.5 1.8 0.1
13-3 64.9% 8.8    4.6 3.5 0.6 0.0
12-4 30.6% 4.9    1.4 2.1 1.2 0.2 0.0
11-5 6.6% 1.1    0.1 0.4 0.3 0.3 0.1
10-6 0.4% 0.1    0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
9-7 0.0%
8-8 0.0%
Total 28.9% 28.9 18.1 8.1 2.2 0.5 0.1 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
16-0 1.3% 58.0% 57.1% 1.0% 11.8 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.5 2.2%
15-1 4.5% 44.6% 44.5% 0.1% 13.1 0.0 0.4 0.9 0.6 0.1 2.5 0.2%
14-2 9.4% 38.9% 38.9% 13.7 0.0 0.2 1.3 1.6 0.5 0.0 5.8
13-3 13.5% 31.9% 31.9% 14.2 0.1 0.8 2.0 1.4 0.1 9.2
12-4 16.0% 25.4% 25.4% 14.6 0.0 0.2 1.4 2.0 0.4 11.9
11-5 16.3% 19.2% 19.2% 15.0 0.1 0.6 1.7 0.7 13.1
10-6 13.7% 14.4% 14.4% 15.3 0.0 0.2 1.0 0.8 11.7
9-7 10.6% 10.7% 10.7% 15.5 0.0 0.5 0.6 9.4
8-8 6.9% 6.2% 6.2% 15.7 0.0 0.1 0.3 6.5
7-9 4.1% 4.6% 4.6% 15.9 0.0 0.2 4.0
6-10 2.1% 2.4% 2.4% 16.0 0.1 2.1
5-11 1.0% 1.0% 1.0% 15.8 0.0 0.0 1.0
4-12 0.5% 0.5
3-13 0.1% 0.1
2-14 0.0% 0.0
1-15 0.0% 0.0
0-16 0.0% 0.0
Total 100% 21.7% 21.7% 0.0% 14.3 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.2 1.0 3.5 6.5 7.3 3.2 78.3 0.0%


Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid		Avg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Win Out 0.4% 100.0% 11.1 1.7 0.6 2.8 1.7 0.6 7.8 10.6 22.9 35.8 12.8 2.8
Win Out, Lose in Conf. Tourney Championship 0.1% 10.4% 12.4 6.3 4.2
Win Out, Lose in Conf. Tourney Semi-Final 0.1% 2.7% 12.0 2.7