Campbell
Colonial Athletic
2024-25 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
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All team stats adjusted for opponents. See methodology page for descriptions of rating types.

Predictive Rating -2.2 196
Results Rating -2.2 204
Consistency 0.16 237
Pace 73.4 56
Improvement +2.7 74

Overall 1st FGA Second Chance TOs Free
throws		 Shot Selection
Offense C 165 C- C+ C- B+ B+
Defense C- 238 D+ D C+ C C

Offense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 47% 10 D+ 55% 268 +3.6 58
2 Pt. Jumpers 36% 203 D- 31% 347 -3.2 325
Three Pointers 38% 246 C- 33% 242 -2.5 262
Shot Selection/Accuracy B+ +1.4 30 D -3.3 298
1st FG Attempt C- 0.98 239
Second Chance B- 33.7% 84 C- 1.00 218 C+ 0.34 111
Opponents' Steals C- 9.9% 234
Other Turnovers C- 7.8% 247
Turnovers C- 17.7% 247
Freethrows A- 0.38 10 C 72% 205 B+ 0.27 22
Total Offense C +0.0 165

Assists Blocks (Opponents')
Close Shots D 39% 311 C 11.0% 183
2 Pt. Jumpers Shots D- 12% 344 F 11.6% 361
Three Pointers D 78% 311 C+ 0.7% 136
Total D- 47% 328 D- 7.2% 331

Defense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 46% 16 D 64% 321 +6.8 355
2 Pt. Jumpers 24% 70 B- 36% 102 +0.8 252
Three Pointers 30% 363 D+ 36% 267 -4.6 20
Shot Selection/Accuracy C +0.1 180 D+ +2.8 296
1st FG Attempt D+ 1.08 279
Second Chance C- 31.3% 226 D- 1.16 338 D 0.36 300
Turnovers from Steals C 9.7% 165
Other Turnovers C+ 7.8% 110
Turnovers C+ 17.5% 130
Freethrows C 0.31 195 C- 74% 260 C 0.22 207
Total Defense C- -2.1 238

Assists Blocks
Close Shots C- 52% 249 F 4.0% 360
2 Pt. Jumpers Shots C+ 23% 134 F+ 0.9% 356
Three Pointers C 84% 179 D+ 0.5% 259
Total C+ 54% 146 F 2.2% 363

Miscellaneous
Offense Defense
Possession Length 16.8 115 16.5 40
Fast Break Points Per Possession 0.21 68 0.21 324
Consistency 0.13 251 0.09 17
Improvement +1.1 124 +1.6 98

NCAA Tournament Selection
At-Large Selection Status Out of Consideration
Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Prediction Ranges
Pessimistic
5th Percentile 		Expected
50th Percentile 		Optimistic
95th Percentile
Predictive Rating Rank 223 200 174
Results Rating Rank 241 204 172
Conference Record 7 - 11 8 - 10 9 - 9
Conference Finish 9 8 6
NCAA Tourney Seed None None None
NCAA Tourney Finish None None None

NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0% 0% 0%
#1 Seed 0% 0% 0%
Top 2 Seed 0% 0% 0%
Top 4 Seed 0% 0% 0%
Top 6 Seed 0% 0% 0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 2% 3% 2%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0% 0% 0%
Average Seed 15.6 15.2 16.0
.500 or above 1% 2% 0%
.500 or above in Conference 27% 76% 0%
Conference Champion 0% 0% 0%
Last Place in Conference 0% 0% 0%
First Four1% 0% 1%
First Round2% 3% 1%
Second Round0% 0% 0%
Sweet Sixteen0% 0% 0%
Elite Eight0% 0% 0%
Final Four0% 0% 0%
Championship Game0% 0% 0%
National Champion0% 0% 0%
Next Game: Towson (Away) - 34.9% chance of victory

Projected Record by Quadrant
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 20 - 2
Quad 1b0 - 30 - 4
Quad 21 - 41 - 8
Quad 34 - 75 - 15
Quad 48 - 313 - 18


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Lead Record Total Rating Offense Defense
Avg Time Overall Conf Total First
FGA		 2nd Chance TOs Total First
FGA		 2nd Chance TOs
 Mon, Nov 3 30 @Wisconsin L 64 - 96 4% -8  16% 0 - 1 D- -14 D- -6 D+ A F D- -8 C- F C+
 Thu, Nov 6 57 @West Virginia L 65 - 73 9% -6  0% 0 - 2 C+ +5 C +1 D B+ B- B- +3 A+ D+ C
 Sun, Nov 9 279 Western Michigan W 91 - 82 77% +6  92% 1 - 2 C -1 D+ -4 C B- F C+ +2 C+ B+ B-
 Wed, Nov 19 209 @Weber St. L 85 - 91 40% -5  36% 1 - 3 D+ -6 C+ +3 F A+ D+ F+ -8 F D- C
 Fri, Nov 21 184 Texas Arlington W 71 - 67 47% -4  8% 2 - 3 C+ +3 D -4 C- A F A- +7 B+ C C
 Tue, Nov 25 71 @Wake Forest L 51 - 99 11% -26  0% 2 - 4 F -37 F -21 F D C F -14 F F D-
 Tue, Dec 2 117 @Penn St. L 76 - 87 22% -5  16% 2 - 5 D+ -5 C- -2 C C+ F C- -3 D- A+ F
 Sun, Dec 14 313 Ball St. W 69 - 64 83% -1  31% 3 - 5 D+ -7 F+ -9 F F+ C+ B- +2 B D+ A-
 Wed, Dec 17 11 @Gonzaga L 70 - 98 2% -14  0% 3 - 6 D+ -6 D -5 C C- F+ B- +3 D- C+ A
 Sun, Dec 21 59 @Minnesota L 50 - 78 9% -18  0% 3 - 7 F+ -16 F -11 D- F+ F F+ -9 F+ F B-
 Tue, Dec 23 226 Green Bay W 102 - 79 67% +9  78% 4 - 7 A- +16 A+ +26 A+ A+ B D- -8 F D- B+
 Mon, Dec 29 104 @Hofstra L 72 - 86 19% -12  18% 4 - 8 0 - 1 D+ -7 B- +4 F+ A A- F -11 D- F A
 Wed, Dec 31 187 @Monmouth W 68 - 65 37% -2  16% 5 - 8 1 - 1 C+ +4 C +0 F A F B +4 A C- F
 Sat, Jan 3 288 Northeastern W 97 - 82 79% +8  90% 6 - 8 2 - 1 C+ +5 A +12 A D+ A D- -8 D- D+ D
 Thu, Jan 8 266 Hampton W 86 - 72 74% +13  93% 7 - 8 3 - 1 B- +5 C+ +3 C- F C- C+ +1 D F+ A+
 Sat, Jan 10 225 @Elon L 82 - 83 44% +6  93% 7 - 9 3 - 2 C -2 B +6 B+ F+ A- D- -8 D- F D+
 Sat, Jan 17 107 @UNC Wilmington L 75 - 78 19% +4  67% 7 - 10 3 - 3 C+ +4 B +6 A F+ F C- -2 D- A+ F+
 Thu, Jan 22 146 @College of Charleston L 83 - 87 28% -3  35% 7 - 11 3 - 4 C -0 B+ +8 B A+ F+ D- -8 F D B
 Sat, Jan 24 187 Monmouth L 73 - 88 60% -5  12% 7 - 12 3 - 5 F -20 D -5 F+ F+ A+ F -14 F F A+
 Thu, Jan 29 219 Stony Brook L 69 - 81 66% -3  20% 7 - 13 3 - 6 F -18 D -6 D+ C- C- F -13 F B+ D
 Sat, Jan 31 139 @William & Mary W 104 - 96 27% +13  96% 8 - 13 4 - 6 B+ +12 A+ +19 A+ D- A- D- -7 F+ F C+
 Thu, Feb 5 214 Drexel W 81 - 60 64% +6  54% 9 - 13 5 - 6 A- +15 B +7 B+ B C- A +9 C- B- A+
 Sat, Feb 7 276 @N.C. A&T W 79 - 71 55% +6  93% 10 - 13 6 - 6 C+ +5 C +1 D A+ F+ B +4 C- A F
 Sun, Feb 15 146 College of Charleston L 57 - 62 50% -2  21% 10 - 14 6 - 7 D+ -7 F+ -10 F F B C+ +2 B+ F A
 Thu, Feb 19 139 William & Mary W 84 - 83 48% -2  35% 11 - 14 7 - 7 C -1 C+ +2 D A B+ D+ -3 D- A B-
 Sat, Feb 21 107 UNC Wilmington L 68 - 73 38% +1  65% 11 - 15 7 - 8 C- -4 D -5 D D A- C+ +1 B+ B+ D+
 Thu, Feb 26 214 @Drexel L 60 - 65 41% -2  5% 11 - 16 7 - 9 D+ -5 D- -6 F C D+ C+ +1 A F D
 Sat, Feb 28 175 @Towson L 68 - 72 35%
 Tue, Mar 3 276 N.C. A&T W 83 - 76 76%
Totals 12 - 17 8 - 10 -2 C +0 C+ D B+ C- -2 C- C B+



Game Detail
Grades are adjusted for opponent strength in each category. Game stats are not adjusted for oppoent strength. See methodology page for descriptions of rating types.
Offense Defense
Tot Off First Field Goal Attempt Second Chance TOs Freethrows Tot Def First Field Goal Attempt Second Chance TOs Freethrows
Shot Accuracy Shot Selection Points Per Shot Shot Accuracy Shot Selection Points Per Shot
2 C 2 L 3 Tot 2 C 2 L 3 Tot Off Reb PPP Tot Att Perc Tot 2 C 2 L 3 Tot 2 C 2 L 3 Tot Off Reb PPP Tot Att Perc Tot
Season Ratings C D+ D- C- D 47% 36% 38% B+ C- B- C- C+ C- A- C B+ C- D B- D+ D+ 46% 24% 30% C D+ C- D- D C+ C C- C
1.09 55% 31% 33% -3 +1 0.98 34% 1.0 .34 18% .38 72% .27 1.12 64% 36% 36% +3 0 1.08 31% 1.2 .36 18% .31 74% .28
Nov
3		 Wisconsin D- D A F D- 44% 18% 38% A- D+ B+ A A F A- B A D- F A+ C- C- 41% 14% 45% C C- F F F C+ B- F D+
0.90 50% 50% 24% -7 +1 0.89 30% 1.2 .37 27% .33 76% .25 1.35 74% 25% 36% +6 +1 1.16 38% 1.5 .56 13% .31 89% .27
Nov
6		 West Virginia C C+ F F F 59% 11% 30% A+ D A C- B+ B- A+ B+ A+ B- A B+ A A+ 49% 19% 32% C- A+ C D- D+ C F F+ F
0.96 56% 20% 14% -12 +3 0.83 37% 0.9 .34 18% .57 78% .45 1.07 48% 33% 27% -9 +1 0.85 32% 1.3 .39 16% .47 74% .35
Nov
9		 Western Michigan D+ F D+ A+ C 32% 13% 55% C- C D- A+ B- F A+ C A+ C+ B- C+ C- B- 50% 25% 25% D C+ C+ A B+ B- F F F
1.13 47% 33% 42% +3 +1 1.09 24% 1.6 .38 19% .63 71% .44 1.02 50% 36% 36% -4 0 0.95 28% 0.8 .23 19% .40 81% .32
Nov
19		 Weber St. C+ F A+ F F 62% 10% 28% A F A A+ A+ D+ A+ A+ A+ F+ F C+ D F 37% 23% 40% A F F+ C- D- C D+ A- C
1.15 48% 80% 14% -10 +3 0.88 38% 1.4 .53 18% .51 90% .46 1.23 84% 33% 38% +11 0 1.23 38% 1.0 .38 16% .37 65% .24
Nov
21		 Texas Arlington D C- D F D 51% 20% 29% A C- B+ A+ A F A+ F A A- B A+ C- A 56% 21% 23% D+ B+ B+ D- C C C A- B-
0.97 57% 33% 23% -6 +1 0.91 34% 1.4 .47 23% .57 59% .34 0.91 48% 9% 33% -12 +1 0.81 30% 1.1 .33 20% .34 65% .22
Nov
25		 Wake Forest F F F F F 35% 15% 50% C F D+ D D C A+ F B F F C F F 41% 13% 46% D F D F F D- D+ F F+
0.71 44% 13% 15% -23 0 0.58 26% 0.9 .24 19% .45 58% .26 1.38 73% 43% 40% +11 +1 1.26 36% 1.6 .57 11% .34 86% .30
Dec
2		 Penn St. C- D F A+ D+ 52% 12% 36% A C A F C+ F A+ F C+ C- C- F F+ F+ 52% 23% 25% C D- A+ A+ A+ F D- F F
1.04 54% 17% 44% +1 +2 1.08 38% 1.0 .38 23% .34 53% .18 1.19 63% 58% 38% +9 +1 1.21 20% 0.3 .07 10% .38 88% .33
Dec
14		 Ball St. F+ B D+ F F 35% 24% 41% D+ F A- F F+ C+ A+ F A- B- A- F A+ B 47% 26% 26% C+ B F+ C+ D+ A- F C+ F+
0.99 65% 33% 20% -7 -1 0.86 42% 0.6 .24 17% .50 55% .28 0.92 44% 50% 14% -11 0 0.79 32% 0.8 .26 20% .36 70% .25
Dec
17		 Gonzaga D C- B F C- 42% 19% 40% A C C+ D- C- F+ A F+ B+ B- D+ C- F D 59% 24% 17% F D- B- C C+ A F+ C- D-
0.85 55% 40% 24% -7 0 0.89 25% 0.7 .18 24% .38 63% .24 1.19 68% 43% 50% +11 +1 1.26 34% 1.2 .41 18% .36 71% .25
Dec
21		 Minnesota F C+ C F F+ 38% 21% 41% B D- A- F F+ F A+ A- A+ F+ F A+ F F 44% 22% 33% B- F+ C- F F B- A+ F A
0.82 60% 38% 19% -9 0 0.85 34% 0.4 .13 28% .44 79% .34 1.29 85% 20% 40% +11 0 1.24 30% 2.0 .61 18% .18 89% .16
Dec
23		 Green Bay A+ C B+ A+ A+ 43% 15% 43% B+ A+ A+ A+ A+ B A+ F A- D- F F D+ F 36% 39% 25% A+ F F B- D- B+ F A+ C-
1.54 60% 43% 55% +15 +1 1.34 47% 1.6 .73 12% .46 67% .31 1.19 69% 65% 36% +15 -2 1.27 32% 1.0 .32 20% .43 65% .28
Dec
29		 Hofstra B- C+ F F F 46% 14% 40% A F+ C+ A+ A A- A- D B F F+ B- D D 38% 19% 44% D- D- F F F A F+ A D+
1.09 57% 14% 20% -12 +1 0.80 32% 1.5 .46 11% .37 68% .25 1.30 67% 33% 38% +5 0 1.13 50% 1.8 .89 21% .36 68% .25
Dec
31		 Monmouth C F F C- F 58% 7% 35% A+ F B+ A A F A+ C+ A+ B C+ A+ A+ A+ 47% 26% 28% D A B F C- F F A F
1.05 40% 0% 33% -14 +3 0.81 38% 1.2 .46 23% .60 73% .44 1.00 55% 25% 23% -10 0 0.83 28% 1.2 .33 11% .45 65% .29
Jan
3		 Northeastern A A+ A+ D A- 55% 14% 31% B+ A C+ F D+ A A+ B A+ D- D D F F 39% 25% 36% B+ D- A+ F D+ D A F C+
1.34 79% 57% 31% +13 +2 1.31 33% 0.8 .26 12% .49 77% .38 1.14 64% 43% 40% +7 -1 1.14 14% 2.3 .32 15% .20 92% .18
Jan
8		 Hampton C+ F D+ A+ D+ 42% 13% 46% B C- B F F C- A+ A+ A+ C+ F+ B B D- 47% 30% 23% D+ D D+ F F+ A+ F D F
1.16 40% 33% 45% 0 +1 1.04 33% 0.4 .14 18% .62 84% .52 0.97 65% 31% 30% 0 -1 1.00 35% 1.1 .39 28% .49 77% .38
Jan
10		 Elon B F+ A+ A+ B+ 39% 15% 46% B- B+ D- D- F+ A- C C- C- D- C A F D 58% 8% 34% F+ D- B- F F D+ A+ A+ A+
1.22 48% 50% 48% +7 +1 1.19 28% 1.0 .28 12% .29 71% .20 1.23 58% 25% 44% +4 +3 1.17 30% 1.9 .57 15% .17 40% .07
Jan
17		 UNC Wilmington B A- A+ C- A 43% 15% 41% A A B+ F F+ F A+ D A+ C- D- C+ C+ D 54% 23% 23% F D- B+ A+ A+ F+ D- F F
1.11 70% 57% 32% +7 +1 1.17 32% 0.5 .16 21% .45 71% .32 1.15 64% 33% 33% +2 +1 1.08 29% 0.7 .20 10% .41 80% .33
Jan
22		 College of Charleston B+ B- D A+ B+ 20% 30% 50% F+ B B- A+ A+ F+ D+ D D+ D- F D- F F 44% 35% 21% B+ F D- C D B F D- F
1.14 64% 31% 41% +4 -2 1.06 34% 1.8 .60 18% .20 67% .13 1.20 76% 41% 40% +11 -2 1.21 35% 1.1 .38 19% .49 79% .39
Jan
24		 Monmouth D D- F F+ F 47% 9% 44% A- F+ F+ D F+ A+ A+ D A F F B F F 46% 26% 28% D+ F F F F A+ F A+ F
1.01 50% 20% 29% -9 +2 0.89 24% 0.9 .21 11% .41 69% .28 1.22 71% 33% 54% +13 0 1.28 39% 1.4 .54 24% .45 64% .29
Jan
29		 Stony Brook D A- F B- D+ 31% 25% 43% D D+ F A C- C- C A B- F F D+ F F 45% 15% 40% D F F A+ B+ D F+ F+ F
1.04 69% 15% 36% -1 -1 0.98 23% 1.1 .26 17% .29 81% .23 1.22 67% 43% 47% +13 +1 1.30 36% 0.5 .18 15% .32 78% .25
Shot Accuracy Shot Selection PPS 2nd Chance TOs Freethrows Shot Accuracy Shot Selection PPS 2nd Chance TOs Freethrows
Jan
31		 William & Mary A+ A+ B A+ A+ 45% 13% 43% B A+ B F D- A- A+ A- A+ D- D- F A D- 67% 9% 24% F F+ C+ F F C+ F D F
1.32 76% 43% 46% +16 +2 1.38 35% 0.7 .24 15% .45 77% .34 1.22 68% 50% 27% +5 +4 1.20 24% 1.7 .40 18% .66 79% .52
Feb
5		 Drexel B A+ F D+ B+ 52% 21% 27% B+ B+ B+ C+ B C- A+ C- A+ A D+ F A+ D 38% 36% 26% A+ C- B+ C+ B- A+ A+ B+ A+
1.17 76% 10% 31% +2 +1 1.08 37% 1.1 .40 16% .48 75% .36 0.87 61% 53% 25% +3 -2 1.04 25% 0.9 .21 28% .16 63% .10
Feb
7		 N.C. A&T C F C+ B- F 55% 11% 34% A D C A+ A+ F+ A+ B A+ B C C C C- 51% 33% 16% D+ C- B+ A+ A F C+ A+ A
1.13 46% 40% 38% -5 +3 0.98 27% 1.9 .52 17% .45 73% .33 1.01 57% 39% 33% 0 -1 1.00 25% 0.8 .20 13% .34 57% .20
Feb
15		 College of Charleston F+ B- F F F 54% 15% 31% A+ F A+ F F B D A+ C C+ D- A+ C+ B+ 41% 30% 28% B B+ D+ F F A A+ F A+
0.94 64% 0% 13% -12 +2 0.81 43% 0.3 .14 12% .19 90% .17 1.02 68% 7% 31% -6 -1 0.87 32% 1.7 .55 21% .17 88% .15
Feb
19		 William & Mary C+ F F A+ D 39% 11% 50% B- D B- A A B+ A+ C+ A+ D+ F+ F+ D- F 36% 19% 45% A- D- B A+ A B- F C+ F
1.13 33% 17% 44% -4 +1 0.96 34% 1.3 .44 16% .47 72% .34 1.12 71% 44% 38% +8 0 1.19 21% 0.8 .18 19% .51 74% .38
Feb
21		 UNC Wilmington D F F A+ F+ 56% 17% 27% A+ D F+ B D A- B+ B+ A- C+ A- A+ C+ A 37% 22% 41% D B+ F+ A+ B+ D+ F A+ F
0.99 48% 0% 43% -8 +2 0.88 18% 1.2 .21 10% .31 79% .24 1.07 47% 18% 33% -9 0 0.84 39% 0.7 .28 13% .56 61% .34
Feb
26		 Drexel D- F D F F 52% 13% 35% A F B D- C D+ F A- F+ C+ D- A+ A+ A 39% 31% 31% A- A D- F F D A- F C-
0.94 44% 33% 24% -13 +2 0.79 36% 0.9 .33 17% .21 82% .17 1.02 63% 20% 27% -7 -1 0.86 34% 1.1 .37 17% .21 91% .19



Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Colonial Athletic Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 4th
5th 0.6 0.6 5th
6th 5.3 5.3 6th
7th 1.9 12.7 14.6 7th
8th 33.0 8.1 41.0 8th
9th 12.4 22.6 34.9 9th
10th 3.3 3.3 10th
11th 0.2 0.2 11th
12th 12th
13th 13th
Total 15.9 57.4 26.7 Total



Colonial Athletic Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8
9-9 0.0%
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8
9-9 26.7% 3.3% 3.3% 15.0 0.1 0.8 0.1 25.8
8-10 57.4% 2.1% 2.1% 15.9 0.1 1.2 56.2
7-11 15.9% 1.3% 1.3% 16.0 0.2 15.7
6-12
5-13
4-14
3-15
2-16
1-17
0-18
Total 100% 2.3% 2.3% 0.0% 15.6 97.7 0.0%


Best / Worst Case Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid		Avg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Win Out 0.9% 100.0% 15.0 5.7 88.5 5.7
Win Out, Lose in Conf. Tourney Championship 1.5%
Win Out, Lose in Conf. Tourney Semi-Final 3.0%
Lose Out 9.2%