Campbell
Colonial Athletic
2023-24 - 2024-25 - 2025-26
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Overall
Predictive Rating-6.4#278
Expected Predictive Rating-9.2#313
Pace66.3#259
Improvement-1.2#259

Offense
Total Offense-5.7#325
First Shot-2.2#236
After Offensive Rebound-3.5#341
Layup/Dunks+1.3#136
2 Pt Jumpshots-2.1#297
3 Pt Jumpshots-1.4#219
Freethrows+0.0#181
Improvement-2.1#321

Defense
Total Defense-0.6#190
First Shot-5.5#337
After Offensive Rebounds+4.8#3
Layups/Dunks-7.6#357
2 Pt Jumpshots-0.4#229
3 Pt Jumpshots+3.1#72
Freethrows-0.6#231
Improvement+0.9#103
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 1.1% 1.6% 0.7%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 15.6 15.5 15.7
.500 or above 9.1% 14.2% 4.2%
.500 or above in Conference 22.8% 27.7% 18.1%
Conference Champion 0.9% 1.3% 0.6%
Last Place in Conference 19.2% 15.3% 23.0%
First Four0.5% 0.6% 0.4%
First Round1.0% 1.4% 0.5%
Second Round0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: The Citadel (Away) - 49.2% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 10 - 1
Quad 1b0 - 10 - 2
Quad 20 - 20 - 5
Quad 32 - 72 - 12
Quad 48 - 811 - 20


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 06, 2024 90   @ Virginia L 56-65 8%     0 - 1 -0.1 +0.3 -2.2
  Nov 10, 2024 339   St. Francis (PA) L 64-65 76%     0 - 2 -14.7 -14.2 -0.5
  Nov 17, 2024 305   @ Navy W 86-66 43%     1 - 2 +15.6 +9.4 +6.0
  Nov 22, 2024 29   @ Ohio St. L 60-104 3%     1 - 3 -28.0 -8.1 -18.1
  Nov 24, 2024 243   @ Evansville L 53-66 31%     1 - 4 -14.3 -16.6 +1.5
  Nov 30, 2024 310   @ Green Bay W 72-66 44%     2 - 4 +1.2 -6.7 +7.8
  Dec 04, 2024 272   Coastal Carolina L 57-58 60%     2 - 5 -10.0 -12.3 +2.1
  Dec 12, 2024 325   @ The Citadel L 64-65 49%    
  Dec 15, 2024 340   @ Morgan St. W 72-70 57%    
  Dec 18, 2024 202   Longwood L 67-68 44%    
  Dec 29, 2024 17   @ North Carolina L 64-88 1%    
  Jan 02, 2025 167   Drexel L 64-67 40%    
  Jan 04, 2025 140   @ UNC Wilmington L 62-73 16%    
  Jan 09, 2025 264   @ Hampton L 63-67 37%    
  Jan 11, 2025 173   @ Elon L 63-72 22%    
  Jan 16, 2025 127   College of Charleston L 69-74 32%    
  Jan 18, 2025 287   Monmouth W 70-67 62%    
  Jan 23, 2025 327   @ Stony Brook L 67-68 49%    
  Jan 25, 2025 156   @ Hofstra L 59-69 19%    
  Jan 30, 2025 219   William & Mary L 74-75 50%    
  Feb 01, 2025 156   Hofstra L 62-66 37%    
  Feb 06, 2025 173   Elon L 66-69 41%    
  Feb 08, 2025 311   N.C. A&T W 77-72 66%    
  Feb 13, 2025 152   @ Northeastern L 61-71 19%    
  Feb 15, 2025 213   @ Delaware L 69-76 27%    
  Feb 20, 2025 311   @ N.C. A&T L 74-75 46%    
  Feb 22, 2025 147   Towson L 59-63 36%    
  Feb 27, 2025 140   UNC Wilmington L 65-70 34%    
  Mar 01, 2025 127   @ College of Charleston L 66-77 16%    
Projected Record 10 - 19 6 - 12




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Colonial Athletic Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.3 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.9 1st
2nd 0.0 0.2 0.6 0.5 0.2 0.0 1.4 2nd
3rd 0.1 0.8 0.8 0.3 0.0 2.0 3rd
4th 0.0 0.7 1.6 0.5 0.0 2.8 4th
5th 0.0 0.5 2.0 1.1 0.1 3.8 5th
6th 0.2 2.2 2.1 0.3 0.0 4.9 6th
7th 0.0 0.1 1.8 3.3 0.9 0.0 6.0 7th
8th 0.0 1.2 4.2 2.3 0.1 0.0 7.9 8th
9th 0.0 0.7 4.0 3.8 0.5 0.0 9.1 9th
10th 0.0 0.6 3.9 5.2 1.3 0.0 11.2 10th
11th 0.0 0.4 3.3 5.9 2.4 0.1 12.1 11th
12th 0.0 0.5 3.2 5.7 3.3 0.4 0.0 13.0 12th
13th 0.1 0.7 3.2 5.1 3.4 0.5 0.0 13.1 13th
14th 0.3 1.5 3.4 3.9 2.1 0.4 0.0 11.6 14th
Total 0.3 1.6 4.1 7.6 10.9 13.4 14.4 13.3 11.5 8.9 6.0 4.0 2.1 1.1 0.5 0.1 0.1 0.0 Total



Colonial Athletic Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1 100.0% 0.0    0.0
16-2 100.0% 0.1    0.1 0.0
15-3 83.8% 0.1    0.1 0.0
14-4 63.8% 0.3    0.2 0.1 0.0 0.0
13-5 28.5% 0.3    0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0
12-6 4.6% 0.1    0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
11-7 0.3% 0.0    0.0 0.0
10-8 0.0%
9-9 0.0%
Total 0.9% 0.9 0.4 0.3 0.2 0.0 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1 0.0% 0.0
16-2 0.1% 20.0% 20.0% 14.7 0.0 0.0 0.0
15-3 0.1% 10.3% 10.3% 14.1 0.0 0.0 0.1
14-4 0.5% 13.6% 13.6% 14.3 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.4
13-5 1.1% 11.3% 11.3% 15.1 0.0 0.1 0.0 1.0
12-6 2.1% 7.8% 7.8% 15.4 0.0 0.1 0.1 2.0
11-7 4.0% 4.2% 4.2% 15.6 0.1 0.1 3.8
10-8 6.0% 3.2% 3.2% 15.7 0.0 0.0 0.1 5.8
9-9 8.9% 1.2% 1.2% 16.0 0.0 0.1 8.8
8-10 11.5% 1.0% 1.0% 16.0 0.0 0.1 11.4
7-11 13.3% 0.7% 0.7% 16.0 0.1 13.2
6-12 14.4% 0.2% 0.2% 16.0 0.0 14.4
5-13 13.4% 0.2% 0.2% 16.0 0.0 13.4
4-14 10.9% 0.1% 0.1% 16.0 0.0 10.9
3-15 7.6% 0.1% 0.1% 16.0 0.0 7.6
2-16 4.1% 4.1
1-17 1.6% 1.6
0-18 0.3% 0.3
Total 100% 1.1% 1.1% 0.0% 15.6 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.7 98.9 0.0%


Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid		Avg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Lose Out 0.1%