Campbell
Big South
2021-22 - 2022-23 - 2023-24
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Overall
Predictive Rating-4.8#255
Expected Predictive Rating-5.9#274
Pace61.4#339
Improvement-0.8#281

Offense
Total Offense-1.9#237
First Shot+0.9#152
After Offensive Rebound-2.7#345
Layup/Dunks+1.9#98
2 Pt Jumpshots-2.1#297
3 Pt Jumpshots+0.2#179
Freethrows+0.9#111
Improvement+0.3#121

Defense
Total Defense-3.0#263
First Shot-2.6#260
After Offensive Rebounds-0.4#218
Layups/Dunks-1.0#227
2 Pt Jumpshots+0.6#132
3 Pt Jumpshots-2.3#281
Freethrows+0.2#171
Improvement-1.1#327
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 3.8% 5.2% 3.3%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 16.0 16.0 16.0
.500 or above 3.7% 11.9% 1.2%
.500 or above in Conference 42.5% 72.5% 33.0%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 0.2% 0.0% 0.2%
First Four3.5% 4.5% 3.2%
First Round2.1% 3.2% 1.8%
Second Round0.0% 0.1% 0.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Longwood (Away) - 23.9% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 10 - 1
Quad 1b0 - 00 - 1
Quad 20 - 00 - 1
Quad 33 - 73 - 8
Quad 48 - 911 - 17


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 11, 2022 37   @ North Carolina St. L 67-73 5%     0 - 1 +8.2 +0.2 +8.0
  Nov 18, 2022 179   @ Appalachian St. W 63-58 24%     1 - 1 +7.5 -0.5 +8.4
  Nov 19, 2022 273   SE Louisiana L 69-70 54%     1 - 2 -6.8 -12.8 +6.0
  Nov 20, 2022 150   Kennesaw St. W 85-61 29%     2 - 2 +24.9 +17.8 +8.6
  Nov 23, 2022 197   Jacksonville L 43-64 47%     2 - 3 -25.1 -24.8 -3.6
  Nov 27, 2022 199   Stetson W 87-85 OT 48%     3 - 3 -2.2 +6.3 -8.5
  Dec 02, 2022 205   @ East Carolina L 69-79 29%     3 - 4 -9.0 -2.3 -6.8
  Dec 07, 2022 341   @ Evansville L 66-72 65%     3 - 5 -14.8 -6.7 -8.2
  Dec 17, 2022 227   @ Georgia Southern L 53-54 33%     3 - 6 -1.3 -10.7 +9.2
  Dec 21, 2022 152   UNC Wilmington L 66-74 39%     3 - 7 -10.0 +0.1 -10.9
  Dec 29, 2022 330   @ Presbyterian L 72-82 59%     3 - 8 0 - 1 -17.3 -0.7 -17.0
  Dec 31, 2022 181   Longwood L 42-67 44%     3 - 9 0 - 2 -28.2 -27.6 -3.2
  Jan 04, 2023 192   Gardner-Webb W 63-58 47%     4 - 9 1 - 2 +1.1 -0.4 +2.1
  Jan 07, 2023 188   @ UNC Asheville L 55-58 27%     4 - 10 1 - 3 -1.4 -11.5 +9.9
  Jan 11, 2023 306   @ South Carolina Upstate W 78-63 52%     5 - 10 2 - 3 +9.7 +6.0 +4.1
  Jan 14, 2023 244   Winthrop L 74-78 58%     5 - 11 2 - 4 -11.0 +2.7 -14.1
  Jan 18, 2023 178   Radford L 55-63 43%     5 - 12 2 - 5 -11.0 -5.8 -7.0
  Jan 21, 2023 280   @ Charleston Southern W 78-76 OT 45%     6 - 12 3 - 5 -1.6 +1.0 -2.6
  Jan 25, 2023 304   @ High Point W 72-64 51%     7 - 12 4 - 5 +3.0 +1.8 +1.8
  Jan 28, 2023 188   UNC Asheville L 65-78 46%     7 - 13 4 - 6 -16.9 -3.1 -14.9
  Feb 01, 2023 306   South Carolina Upstate W 78-66 72%     8 - 13 5 - 6 +1.3 +12.1 -9.2
  Feb 04, 2023 181   @ Longwood L 62-69 24%    
  Feb 08, 2023 304   High Point W 75-69 71%    
  Feb 11, 2023 192   @ Gardner-Webb L 59-65 27%    
  Feb 15, 2023 280   Charleston Southern W 72-68 66%    
  Feb 18, 2023 330   Presbyterian W 68-60 78%    
  Feb 22, 2023 244   @ Winthrop L 68-71 37%    
  Feb 25, 2023 178   @ Radford L 60-67 24%    
Projected Record 11 - 17 8 - 10




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Big South Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.0 1st
2nd 0.0 0.2 0.2 0.3 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.7 1.5 0.2 2.5 3rd
4th 0.0 1.7 5.5 1.5 0.0 8.8 4th
5th 0.1 4.7 14.7 6.0 0.2 25.8 5th
6th 0.3 7.1 20.3 9.3 0.5 37.4 6th
7th 0.1 2.5 10.3 5.0 0.2 18.2 7th
8th 0.4 3.1 2.3 0.1 6.0 8th
9th 0.4 0.5 0.0 1.0 9th
10th 0.0 0.0 10th
Total 0.9 6.5 19.9 30.3 26.0 12.7 3.4 0.4 Total



Big South Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6 1.6% 0.0    0.0 0.0
11-7 0.0%
10-8 0.0%
9-9 0.0%
Total 0.0% 0.0 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6 0.4% 12.8% 12.8% 15.4 0.0 0.0 0.3
11-7 3.4% 7.9% 7.9% 15.9 0.0 0.2 3.1
10-8 12.7% 6.4% 6.4% 16.0 0.0 0.8 11.9
9-9 26.0% 4.6% 4.6% 16.0 1.2 24.8
8-10 30.3% 3.0% 3.0% 16.0 0.9 29.3
7-11 19.9% 2.3% 2.3% 16.0 0.4 19.4
6-12 6.5% 1.6% 1.6% 16.0 0.1 6.4
5-13 0.9% 0.6% 0.6% 16.0 0.0 0.9
4-14
3-15
2-16
1-17
0-18
Total 100% 3.8% 3.8% 0.0% 16.0 0.1 3.7 96.2 0.0%


Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid		Avg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Win Out 0.4% 12.8% 15.4 8.0 4.8
Lose Out 0.9% 0.6% 16.0 0.6