Campbell
Colonial Athletic
2024-25 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
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All team stats adjusted for opponents. See methodology page for descriptions of rating types.

Predictive Rating -2.0 195
Results Rating -1.8 190
Consistency 0.16 250
Pace 73.7 52
Improvement +3.3 62

Overall 1st FGA Second Chance TOs Free
throws		 Shot Selection
Offense C 160 C- C+ C- A- B+
Defense C- 245 D D C+ C C

Offense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 47% 11 D+ 55% 256 +3.7 54
2 Pt. Jumpers 36% 196 D- 31% 346 -3.1 326
Three Pointers 38% 248 C- 33% 233 -2.3 260
Shot Selection/Accuracy B+ +1.3 28 D+ -3.0 287
1st FG Attempt C- 0.99 226
Second Chance B- 33.5% 89 C- 1.01 204 C+ 0.34 112
Turnovers from Steals C- 9.8% 227
Other Turnovers C- 7.9% 254
Turnovers C- 17.7% 251
Freethrows A 0.38 7 C 72% 201 A- 0.27 13
Total Offense C +0.3 160

Assists Blocks (Opponents')
Close Shots D 39% 308 C 10.9% 171
2 Pt. Jumpers Shots D- 11% 346 F 11.4% 361
Three Pointers D 78% 309 C+ 0.7% 125
Total D- 47% 326 D- 7.1% 326

Defense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 46% 15 D 64% 321 +6.9 358
2 Pt. Jumpers 24% 77 C+ 37% 126 +0.9 263
Three Pointers 30% 363 D+ 36% 288 -4.3 25
Shot Selection/Accuracy C +0.1 185 D +3.2 306
1st FG Attempt D 1.09 295
Second Chance C- 31.1% 211 D- 1.15 336 D 0.36 297
Turnovers from Steals C 9.8% 161
Other Turnovers C+ 7.8% 113
Turnovers C+ 17.6% 129
Freethrows C 0.31 201 C- 73% 232 C 0.23 213
Total Defense C- -2.4 245

Assists Blocks
Close Shots C- 51% 241 F 4.0% 361
2 Pt. Jumpers Shots C+ 22% 123 F+ 0.9% 358
Three Pointers C 84% 176 D 0.1% 343
Total C+ 53% 132 F 2.1% 363

Miscellaneous
Offense Defense
Possession Length 16.8 112 16.4 34
Fast Break Points Per Possession 0.22 65 0.22 328
Consistency 0.13 249 0.09 18
Improvement +2.0 95 +1.3 111

NCAA Tournament Selection
At-Large Selection Status Out of Consideration
Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Prediction Ranges
Pessimistic
5th Percentile 		Expected
50th Percentile 		Optimistic
95th Percentile
Predictive Rating Rank 225 196 166
Results Rating Rank 246 193 160
Conference Record 7 - 11 9 - 9 10 - 8
Conference Finish 9 7 4
NCAA Tourney Seed None None None
NCAA Tourney Finish None None None

NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0% 0% 0%
#1 Seed 0% 0% 0%
Top 2 Seed 0% 0% 0%
Top 4 Seed 0% 0% 0%
Top 6 Seed 0% 0% 0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 3% 3% 2%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0% 0% 0%
Average Seed 15.3 14.8 15.7
.500 or above 4% 8% 1%
.500 or above in Conference 51% 85% 26%
Conference Champion 0% 0% 0%
Last Place in Conference 0% 0% 0%
First Four1% 0% 1%
First Round2% 3% 2%
Second Round0% 0% 0%
Sweet Sixteen0% 0% 0%
Elite Eight0% 0% 0%
Final Four0% 0% 0%
Championship Game0% 0% 0%
National Champion0% 0% 0%
Next Game: Drexel (Away) - 43.2% chance of victory

Projected Record by Quadrant
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 20 - 2
Quad 1b0 - 20 - 4
Quad 21 - 31 - 8
Quad 34 - 75 - 14
Quad 48 - 313 - 17


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Lead Record Total Rating Offense Defense
Avg Time Overall Conf Total First
FGA		 2nd Chance TOs Total First
FGA		 2nd Chance TOs
 Mon, Nov 3 25 @Wisconsin L 64 - 96 4% -8  16% 0 - 1 D- -14 D -6 D+ A F D- -7 C- F C+
 Thu, Nov 6 56 @West Virginia L 65 - 73 9% -6  0% 0 - 2 C+ +5 C +1 D B+ C+ B- +3 A+ D+ C
 Sun, Nov 9 281 Western Michigan W 91 - 82 77% +6  92% 1 - 2 C -1 D+ -4 C B- F C+ +2 C+ B+ B-
 Wed, Nov 19 210 @Weber St. L 85 - 91 41% -5  36% 1 - 3 D+ -6 C+ +3 F A+ D+ F+ -8 F D- C
 Fri, Nov 21 180 Texas Arlington W 71 - 67 47% -4  8% 2 - 3 C+ +3 D -5 C- A F A- +7 A- C C
 Tue, Nov 25 69 @Wake Forest L 51 - 99 11% -26  0% 2 - 4 F -36 F -21 F D C+ F -14 F F D-
 Tue, Dec 2 116 @Penn St. L 76 - 87 22% -5  16% 2 - 5 D+ -5 C- -2 C C+ F C- -3 D- A+ F
 Sun, Dec 14 312 Ball St. W 69 - 64 83% -1  31% 3 - 5 D+ -7 F+ -9 F F+ C+ B- +2 B D+ A-
 Wed, Dec 17 12 @Gonzaga L 70 - 98 2% -14  0% 3 - 6 D+ -6 D -5 C C- F+ B- +3 D- C+ A
 Sun, Dec 21 58 @Minnesota L 50 - 78 9% -18  0% 3 - 7 F+ -16 F -11 D- F+ F F+ -9 F+ F B-
 Tue, Dec 23 228 Green Bay W 102 - 79 68% +9  78% 4 - 7 A- +16 A+ +26 A+ A+ B F+ -8 F D- B+
 Mon, Dec 29 106 @Hofstra L 72 - 86 19% -12  18% 4 - 8 0 - 1 D+ -7 B- +4 F+ A A- F -11 D- F A
 Wed, Dec 31 199 @Monmouth W 68 - 65 39% -2  16% 5 - 8 1 - 1 C+ +4 C +0 F A F B +4 A- C- F
 Sat, Jan 3 290 Northeastern W 97 - 82 79% +8  90% 6 - 8 2 - 1 C+ +4 A- +11 A- D A D- -7 D- D+ D
 Thu, Jan 8 259 Hampton W 86 - 72 74% +13  93% 7 - 8 3 - 1 B- +5 B- +4 C- F C- C+ +1 D F+ A+
 Sat, Jan 10 225 @Elon L 82 - 83 45% +6  93% 7 - 9 3 - 2 C- -2 B +6 B F+ A- D- -7 D- F D+
 Sat, Jan 17 109 @UNC Wilmington L 75 - 78 20% +4  67% 7 - 10 3 - 3 C+ +4 B +6 A+ F+ F C- -2 D- A+ F
 Thu, Jan 22 151 @College of Charleston L 83 - 87 30% -3  35% 7 - 11 3 - 4 C -1 B+ +8 B A+ F+ F+ -8 F D- B
 Sat, Jan 24 199 Monmouth L 73 - 88 62% -5  12% 7 - 12 3 - 5 F -20 D -5 F+ D- A+ F -14 F F A+
 Thu, Jan 29 214 Stony Brook L 69 - 81 65% -3  20% 7 - 13 3 - 6 F -18 D -5 D+ C- C- F -13 F B+ D
 Sat, Jan 31 136 @William & Mary W 104 - 96 26% +13  96% 8 - 13 4 - 6 B+ +13 A+ +18 A+ D- B+ D- -7 D- F+ C+
 Thu, Feb 5 216 Drexel W 81 - 60 65% +6  54% 9 - 13 5 - 6 A- +15 B +6 B+ B C- A +9 C B- A+
 Sat, Feb 7 271 @N.C. A&T W 79 - 71 55% +6  93% 10 - 13 6 - 6 C+ +5 C +1 D A+ F+ B +4 D+ A F
 Sun, Feb 15 151 College of Charleston L 57 - 62 52% -2  21% 10 - 14 6 - 7 D+ -8 F+ -9 F F B C+ +1 B+ F A
 Thu, Feb 19 136 William & Mary W 84 - 83 48% -2  35% 11 - 14 7 - 7 C -0 C+ +2 D A B C- -3 D- A B-
 Sat, Feb 21 109 UNC Wilmington L 68 - 73 39% +1  65% 11 - 15 7 - 8 C- -4 D -5 D D A- C+ +1 B+ B+ D+
 Thu, Feb 26 216 @Drexel L 71 - 73 43%
 Sat, Feb 28 173 @Towson L 69 - 73 35%
 Tue, Mar 3 271 N.C. A&T W 84 - 77 75%
Totals 13 - 16 9 - 9 -2 C +0 D- D+ B+ C- -2 C- C A-



Game Detail
Grades are adjusted for opponent strength in each category. Game stats are not adjusted for oppoent strength. See methodology page for descriptions of rating types.
Offense Defense
Tot Off First Field Goal Attempt Second Chance TOs Freethrows Tot Def First Field Goal Attempt Second Chance TOs Freethrows
Shot Accuracy Shot Selection Points Per Shot Shot Accuracy Shot Selection Points Per Shot
2 C 2 L 3 Tot 2 C 2 L 3 Tot Off Reb PPP Tot Att Perc Tot 2 C 2 L 3 Tot 2 C 2 L 3 Tot Off Reb PPP Tot Att Perc Tot
Season Ratings C D+ D- C- D+ 47% 36% 38% B+ C- B- C- C+ C- A C A- C- D C+ D+ D 46% 24% 30% C D C- D- D C+ C C- C
1.09 55% 31% 33% -3 +1 0.99 33% 1.0 .34 18% .38 72% .27 1.12 64% 37% 36% +3 0 1.09 31% 1.2 .36 18% .31 73% .28
Nov
3		 Wisconsin D D A F D- 44% 18% 38% A- D+ B+ A A F A- B+ A D- F A+ C- C- 41% 14% 45% C C- F F F C+ B- F C-
0.90 50% 50% 24% -7 +1 0.89 30% 1.2 .37 27% .33 76% .25 1.35 74% 25% 36% +6 +1 1.16 38% 1.5 .56 13% .31 89% .27
Nov
6		 West Virginia C C+ F F F 59% 11% 30% A+ D A C- B+ C+ A+ B+ A+ B- A B+ A A+ 49% 19% 32% C- A+ C D- D+ C F F+ F
0.96 56% 20% 14% -12 +3 0.83 37% 0.9 .34 18% .57 78% .45 1.07 48% 33% 27% -9 +1 0.85 32% 1.3 .39 16% .47 74% .35
Nov
9		 Western Michigan D+ F D+ A+ C 32% 13% 55% C- C D- A+ B- F A+ C- A+ C+ B- C+ C- C+ 50% 25% 25% D C+ C+ A B+ B- F F F
1.13 47% 33% 42% +3 +1 1.09 24% 1.6 .38 19% .63 71% .44 1.02 50% 36% 36% -4 0 0.95 28% 0.8 .23 19% .40 81% .32
Nov
19		 Weber St. C+ F A+ F F 62% 10% 28% A F A A+ A+ D+ A+ A+ A+ F+ F C+ D F 37% 23% 40% A F F+ C- D- C D A- C
1.15 48% 80% 14% -10 +3 0.88 38% 1.4 .53 18% .51 90% .46 1.23 84% 33% 38% +11 0 1.23 38% 1.0 .38 16% .37 65% .24
Nov
21		 Texas Arlington D C- D F D 51% 20% 29% A- C- B A+ A F A+ F A A- B A+ C- A 56% 21% 23% D+ A- B+ D- C C C A- B-
0.97 57% 33% 23% -6 +1 0.91 34% 1.4 .47 23% .57 59% .34 0.91 48% 9% 33% -12 +1 0.81 30% 1.1 .33 20% .34 65% .22
Nov
25		 Wake Forest F F F F F 35% 15% 50% C+ F D+ D+ D C+ A+ F B F F C F F 41% 13% 46% D F D F F D- D+ F F+
0.71 44% 13% 15% -23 0 0.58 26% 0.9 .24 19% .45 58% .26 1.38 73% 43% 40% +11 +1 1.26 36% 1.6 .57 11% .34 86% .30
Dec
2		 Penn St. C- D F A+ D+ 52% 12% 36% A C A F C+ F A+ F C+ C- C- F F+ F+ 52% 23% 25% C D- A+ A+ A+ F D- F F
1.04 54% 17% 44% +1 +2 1.08 38% 1.0 .38 23% .34 53% .18 1.19 63% 58% 38% +9 +1 1.21 20% 0.3 .07 10% .38 88% .33
Dec
14		 Ball St. F+ B- D F F 35% 24% 41% D+ F A- F F+ C+ A+ F A- B- A- F A+ B 47% 26% 26% C+ B F+ C+ D+ A- F C+ F+
0.99 65% 33% 20% -7 -1 0.86 42% 0.6 .24 17% .50 55% .28 0.92 44% 50% 14% -11 0 0.79 32% 0.8 .26 20% .36 70% .25
Dec
17		 Gonzaga D C B F C- 42% 19% 40% A C C+ D- C- F+ A F+ B+ B- D+ C- F D 59% 24% 17% F D- B- C C+ A D- C- D-
0.85 55% 40% 24% -7 0 0.89 25% 0.7 .18 24% .38 63% .24 1.19 68% 43% 50% +11 +1 1.26 34% 1.2 .41 18% .36 71% .25
Dec
21		 Minnesota F C+ C F F+ 38% 21% 41% B D- A- F F+ F A+ A- A+ F+ F A+ F F 44% 22% 33% B- F+ C- F F B- A+ F A
0.82 60% 38% 19% -9 0 0.85 34% 0.4 .13 28% .44 79% .34 1.29 85% 20% 40% +11 0 1.24 30% 2.0 .61 18% .18 89% .16
Dec
23		 Green Bay A+ C B+ A+ A+ 43% 15% 43% B+ A+ A+ A+ A+ B A+ F A- F+ F F D+ F 36% 39% 25% A+ F F B- D- B+ F A+ C-
1.54 60% 43% 55% +15 +1 1.34 47% 1.6 .73 12% .46 67% .31 1.19 69% 65% 36% +15 -2 1.27 32% 1.0 .32 20% .43 65% .28
Dec
29		 Hofstra B- C+ F F F 46% 14% 40% A F+ C+ A+ A A- A- D B F F+ B- D D- 38% 19% 44% D- D- F F F A F+ A D
1.09 57% 14% 20% -12 +1 0.80 32% 1.5 .46 11% .37 68% .25 1.30 67% 33% 38% +5 0 1.13 50% 1.8 .89 21% .36 68% .25
Dec
31		 Monmouth C F F C- F 58% 7% 35% A+ F B+ A A F A+ C A+ B C+ A+ A+ A 47% 26% 28% D A- B F C- F F A F
1.05 40% 0% 33% -14 +3 0.81 38% 1.2 .46 23% .60 73% .44 1.00 55% 25% 23% -10 0 0.83 28% 1.2 .33 11% .45 65% .29
Jan
3		 Northeastern A- A+ A+ D A- 55% 14% 31% B+ A- C+ F D A A+ B+ A+ D- D D F F 39% 25% 36% B+ D- A+ F D+ D A F C+
1.34 79% 57% 31% +13 +2 1.31 33% 0.8 .26 12% .49 77% .38 1.14 64% 43% 40% +7 0 1.14 14% 2.3 .32 15% .20 92% .18
Jan
8		 Hampton B- F D+ A+ D+ 42% 13% 46% B C- B F F C- A+ A+ A+ C+ F+ B B D- 47% 30% 23% D+ D D+ F F+ A+ F D- F
1.16 40% 33% 45% 0 +1 1.04 33% 0.4 .14 18% .62 84% .52 0.97 65% 31% 30% 0 -1 1.00 35% 1.1 .39 28% .49 77% .38
Jan
10		 Elon B F+ A A+ B 39% 15% 46% B- B D- D- F+ A- C C- C- D- C A F D 58% 8% 34% F+ D- B- F F D+ A+ A+ A+
1.22 48% 50% 48% +7 +1 1.19 28% 1.0 .28 12% .29 71% .20 1.23 58% 25% 44% +4 +3 1.17 30% 1.9 .57 15% .17 40% .07
Jan
17		 UNC Wilmington B A- A+ C- A 43% 15% 41% A A+ B+ F F+ F A+ D A+ C- D- C+ C+ D- 54% 23% 23% F D- B+ A+ A+ F D F F
1.11 70% 57% 32% +7 +1 1.17 32% 0.5 .16 21% .45 71% .32 1.15 64% 33% 33% +2 +1 1.08 29% 0.7 .20 10% .41 80% .33
Jan
22		 College of Charleston B+ B- D A+ B+ 20% 30% 50% F+ B B- A+ A+ F+ D+ D D+ F+ F D F F 44% 35% 21% B+ F F+ C- D- B F D- F
1.14 64% 31% 41% +4 -2 1.06 34% 1.8 .60 18% .20 67% .13 1.20 76% 41% 40% +11 -2 1.21 35% 1.1 .38 19% .49 79% .39
Jan
24		 Monmouth D D- F F+ F 47% 9% 44% A- F+ F+ D+ D- A+ A+ D A F F B- F F 46% 26% 28% D+ F F F F A+ F A+ F
1.01 50% 20% 29% -9 +2 0.89 24% 0.9 .21 11% .41 69% .28 1.22 71% 33% 54% +13 0 1.28 39% 1.4 .54 24% .45 64% .29
Jan
29		 Stony Brook D A- F B- D+ 31% 25% 43% D D+ F A+ C- C- C A B- F F D+ F F 45% 15% 40% D F F A+ B+ D D- F+ F+
1.04 69% 15% 36% -1 -1 0.98 23% 1.1 .26 17% .29 81% .23 1.22 67% 43% 47% +13 +1 1.30 36% 0.5 .18 15% .32 78% .25
Shot Accuracy Shot Selection PPS 2nd Chance TOs Freethrows Shot Accuracy Shot Selection PPS 2nd Chance TOs Freethrows
Jan
31		 William & Mary A+ A+ B A+ A+ 45% 13% 43% B- A+ B F D- B+ A+ A- A+ D- D- F A D 67% 9% 24% F D- B- F F+ C+ F D F
1.32 76% 43% 46% +16 +2 1.38 35% 0.7 .24 15% .45 77% .34 1.22 68% 50% 27% +5 +4 1.20 24% 1.7 .40 18% .66 79% .52
Feb
5		 Drexel B A+ F D+ B 52% 21% 27% B+ B+ B+ C B C- A+ C- A+ A D+ F A+ D+ 38% 36% 26% A+ C B C+ B- A+ A+ B A+
1.17 76% 10% 31% +2 +1 1.08 37% 1.1 .40 16% .48 75% .36 0.87 61% 53% 25% +3 -2 1.04 25% 0.9 .21 28% .16 63% .10
Feb
7		 N.C. A&T C F C+ B- F+ 55% 11% 34% A D C A+ A+ F+ A+ B A+ B C C C C- 51% 33% 16% D+ D+ B+ A+ A F C+ A+ A
1.13 46% 40% 38% -5 +3 0.98 27% 1.9 .52 17% .45 73% .33 1.01 57% 39% 33% 0 -1 1.00 25% 0.8 .20 13% .34 57% .20
Feb
15		 College of Charleston F+ B- F F F 54% 15% 31% A+ F A+ F F B D A+ C+ C+ D- A+ C+ B+ 41% 30% 28% B B+ D F F A A+ F A+
0.94 64% 0% 13% -12 +2 0.81 43% 0.3 .14 12% .19 90% .17 1.02 68% 7% 31% -6 -1 0.87 32% 1.7 .55 21% .17 88% .15
Feb
19		 William & Mary C+ F F A+ D 39% 11% 50% B- D B- A+ A B A+ C+ A+ C- F+ F+ D- F 36% 19% 45% A- D- B+ A+ A B- F C F
1.13 33% 17% 44% -4 +1 0.96 34% 1.3 .44 16% .47 72% .34 1.12 71% 44% 38% +9 0 1.19 21% 0.8 .18 19% .51 74% .38
Feb
21		 UNC Wilmington D F F A+ F+ 56% 17% 27% A+ D F+ B D A- B+ B A- C+ A- A+ C+ A 37% 22% 41% D+ B+ F+ A+ B+ D+ F A F
0.99 48% 0% 43% -8 +2 0.88 18% 1.2 .21 10% .31 79% .24 1.07 47% 18% 33% -9 0 0.84 39% 0.7 .28 13% .56 61% .34



Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Colonial Athletic Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 0.1 0.1 3rd
4th 0.3 6.2 6.5 4th
5th 5.6 5.8 11.4 5th
6th 0.1 15.5 0.3 15.9 6th
7th 3.5 13.2 16.6 7th
8th 0.6 23.2 4.4 28.2 8th
9th 5.0 11.6 16.6 9th
10th 3.8 0.3 4.2 10th
11th 0.6 0.6 11th
12th 12th
13th 13th
Total 10.0 38.7 39.0 12.3 Total



Colonial Athletic Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8 0.0%
9-9 0.0%
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8 12.3% 4.6% 4.6% 14.2 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.2 11.8
9-9 39.0% 2.8% 2.8% 15.2 0.0 0.9 0.2 37.9
8-10 38.7% 2.3% 2.3% 16.0 0.0 0.8 37.8
7-11 10.0% 1.6% 1.6% 16.0 0.2 9.8
6-12
5-13
4-14
3-15
2-16
1-17
0-18
Total 100% 2.7% 2.7% 0.0% 15.3 97.3 0.0%


Best / Worst Case Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid		Avg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Win Out 0.6% 100.0% 14.2 1.8 10.5 56.1 31.6
Win Out, Lose in Conf. Tourney Championship 1.1%
Win Out, Lose in Conf. Tourney Semi-Final 2.4%
Lose Out 5.8%