Davidson
Atlantic 10
2024-25 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
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Predictive Rating +1.5 #136
Expected Predictive Rating +4.4 #99
Pace 63.2 #327
Improvement -3.6 #331

Overall 1st FGA Second Chance TOs Free
throws		 Shot Selection
Offense #161 B C C C C
Defense #119 C+ B C B- B+

Offense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 36% #251 1.13 #204 -1.8 #252
2 Pt. Jumpers 18% #211 0.91 #31 +0.7 #141
Three Pointers 45% #96 1.14 #32 +5.0 #36
1st FG Attempt 1.10 #78 +3.8 #78
Freethrows 18.5 #122 68% #298 12.7 #181
Second Chance 29.5% #216 1.07 #141 0.32 #176
Turnovers 16.7% #191
Total Offense +0.0 #161

Defense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 37% #236 1.18 #199 +0.8 #144
2 Pt. Jumpers 27% #31 0.77 #199 -2.7 #346
Three Pointers 36% #299 0.94 #91 +3.7 #53
1st FG Attempt 0.98 #126 +1.9 #125
Freethrows 16.8 #157 68% #34 11.5 #121
Second Chance 28.0% #90 0.96 #72 0.27 #65
Turnovers 16.3% #190
Total Defense +1.5 #119

Miscellaneous
Offense Defense
Shot Type Mix Effect 0.2% #192 -1.9% #42
Shot Type Accuracy Effect 7.3% #66 -1.7% #151
Possession Length 18.1 #257 18.5 #328
Fast Break Points Per Possession 0.12 #306 0.16 #150
Improvement -2.4 #313 -1.2 #259

See methodology page for descriptions of rating types.
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 0.9% 1.1% 0.3%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 12.1 12.0 12.6
.500 or above 79.4% 85.5% 61.9%
.500 or above in Conference 60.2% 68.4% 36.6%
Conference Champion 0.2% 0.3% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 0.6% 0.2% 1.5%
First Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Round0.9% 1.1% 0.3%
Second Round0.1% 0.1% 0.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Fordham (Home) - 74.2% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 10 - 1
Quad 1b1 - 31 - 4
Quad 22 - 43 - 8
Quad 37 - 59 - 13
Quad 47 - 117 - 14


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Avg Lead Record Total Rating Offense Defense
Overall Conf Total First
FGA		 2nd Chance TOs Total First
FGA		 2nd Chance TOs
 Fri, Nov 7 138 Washington St. W 85 - 69 62% +16  1 - 0 +14 +11 A+ C- F +4 A+ F A+
 Tue, Nov 11 171 @Charlotte W 62 - 55 49% +10  2 - 0 +9 +1 A- F F +10 A+ A+ C-
 Sat, Nov 15 130 Bowling Green W 91 - 87 59% +9  3 - 0 +3 +8 A+ F F -5 B+ D- F
 Fri, Nov 21 140 Boston College W 59 - 49 51% +3  4 - 0 +11 +3 B F A+ +11 B+ B- A+
 Sun, Nov 23 39 Utah St. L 60 - 94 15% -17  4 - 1 -21 -9 D+ C F -12 F A+ A+
 Fri, Nov 28 310 N.C. A&T W 90 - 74 89% +9  5 - 1 +4 +17 A+ A+ A- -11 F A+ D+
 Thu, Dec 4 354 The Citadel W 79 - 63 94% +9  6 - 1 -0 +4 D- C A+ -3 F A- B
 Sun, Dec 7 44 St. Mary's L 61 - 70 24% -1  6 - 2 -0 -2 C+ F C+ +1 C+ A- B-
 Sat, Dec 13 305 Mercyhurst W 80 - 47 88% +17  7 - 2 +22 +19 A+ C+ B+ +9 C+ A+ C+
 Thu, Dec 18 142 Temple L 63 - 68 63% -6  7 - 3 -7 -3 F A+ B -4 B+ A+ F
 Mon, Dec 22 18 @Kansas L 61 - 90 5% -20  7 - 4 -9 -4 B- B- F -3 F D A+
 Tue, Dec 30 121 Duquesne L 83 - 89 2OT 57% +3  7 - 5 0 - 1 -6 +1 D- D- A+ -7 B+ C F
 Sat, Jan 3 158 @Saint Joseph's W 62 - 56 44% -5  8 - 5 1 - 1 +9 +3 D- A+ F +7 A C B-
 Wed, Jan 7 269 @Loyola Chicago W 79 - 64 67% +10  9 - 5 2 - 1 +12 +8 A C+ F +5 A+ F C-
 Sat, Jan 10 128 Rhode Island L 45 - 70 59% -14  9 - 6 2 - 2 -26 -19 F F C- -10 F A+ F
 Wed, Jan 14 73 @George Washington W 84 - 79 19% +9  10 - 6 3 - 2 +16 +18 A+ A+ B- -2 A+ C+ F
 Wed, Jan 21 193 Fordham W 69 - 62 74%
 Sat, Jan 24 54 Virginia Commonwealth L 70 - 76 29%
 Wed, Jan 28 84 @George Mason L 63 - 72 21%
 Sat, Jan 31 118 @Richmond L 69 - 73 33%
 Tue, Feb 3 28 Saint Louis L 68 - 78 17%
 Fri, Feb 6 269 Loyola Chicago W 76 - 65 83%
 Sun, Feb 15 68 @Dayton L 62 - 72 18%
 Wed, Feb 18 118 Richmond W 72 - 70 56%
 Sat, Feb 21 193 @Fordham W 66 - 65 52%
 Wed, Feb 25 121 @Duquesne L 72 - 76 34%
 Sun, Mar 1 208 La Salle W 72 - 64 76%
 Wed, Mar 4 158 Saint Joseph's W 70 - 65 67%
 Sat, Mar 7 137 @St. Bonaventure L 69 - 72 39%
Totals 16 - 13 9 - 9 +2 +0 B C C +1 C+ B C




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Atlantic 10 Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.2 1st
2nd 0.0 0.3 0.8 0.6 0.1 1.7 2nd
3rd 0.1 0.8 2.3 1.3 0.2 4.6 3rd
4th 0.0 1.1 3.8 2.6 0.4 8.0 4th
5th 0.1 1.6 6.3 5.3 0.8 0.0 14.1 5th
6th 0.0 1.5 8.0 8.2 1.8 0.1 19.6 6th
7th 0.5 5.4 8.5 2.1 0.1 16.5 7th
8th 0.1 2.8 7.4 2.7 0.1 13.0 8th
9th 0.0 0.7 5.6 3.3 0.3 10.0 9th
10th 0.2 2.9 3.2 0.3 0.0 6.6 10th
11th 0.0 0.8 2.2 0.5 3.5 11th
12th 0.1 0.9 0.5 0.0 1.6 12th
13th 0.0 0.3 0.3 0.0 0.6 13th
14th 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.1 14th
Total 0.0 0.5 2.2 6.4 12.7 18.0 21.0 17.8 11.7 6.1 2.5 0.8 0.2 0.0 Total



Atlantic 10 Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2 100.0% 0.0    0.0
15-3 68.8% 0.1    0.0 0.1 0.0
14-4 8.9% 0.1    0.1 0.0
13-5 1.2% 0.0    0.0 0.0
12-6 0.0%
11-7 0.0%
10-8 0.0%
9-9 0.0%
Total 0.2% 0.2 0.0 0.2 0.0 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2 0.0% 0.0
15-3 0.2% 0.2
14-4 0.8% 2.5% 2.5% 12.0 0.0 0.8
13-5 2.5% 4.7% 4.7% 11.6 0.1 0.1 2.4
12-6 6.1% 2.0% 2.0% 11.7 0.0 0.1 6.0
11-7 11.7% 2.4% 2.4% 12.1 0.0 0.2 0.1 11.4
10-8 17.8% 0.9% 0.9% 12.2 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.0 17.7
9-9 21.0% 0.6% 0.6% 12.1 0.1 0.0 20.9
8-10 18.0% 0.2% 0.2% 12.7 0.0 0.0 17.9
7-11 12.7% 0.2% 0.2% 13.3 0.0 0.0 12.7
6-12 6.4% 6.4
5-13 2.2% 2.2
4-14 0.5% 0.5
3-15 0.0% 0.0
2-16
1-17
0-18
Total 100% 0.9% 0.9% 0.0% 12.1 99.1 0.0%