Davidson
Atlantic 10
2024-25 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
Switch to All-time Team Page
All team stats adjusted for opponents. See methodology page for descriptions of rating types.

Predictive Rating +3.7 110
Results Rating +4.6 102
Consistency 0.19 349
Pace 61.1 349
Improvement -0.3 202

Overall 1st FGA Second Chance TOs Free
throws		 Shot Selection
Offense C 139 B- C+ C D C
Defense B- 100 B- C+ C+ B- B

Offense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 35% 286 C 58% 164 -1.8 249
2 Pt. Jumpers 33% 235 A- 45% 26 +1.1 114
Three Pointers 45% 91 B 37% 57 +4.1 52
Shot Selection/Accuracy C -0.1 208 B +3.5 75
1st FG Attempt B- 1.09 80
Second Chance C+ 31.3% 157 C 1.05 153 C+ 0.33 138
Opponents' Steals C 9.5% 186
Other Turnovers C 7.4% 195
Turnovers C 16.9% 189
Freethrows C- 0.29 245 F+ 66% 351 D 0.19 304
Total Offense C +1.0 139

Assists Blocks (Opponents')
Close Shots C+ 51% 129 C 11.4% 203
2 Pt. Jumpers Shots C- 21% 237 B 2.6% 32
Three Pointers C 85% 179 C- 1.2% 265
Total C+ 57% 139 C+ 5.0% 115

Defense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 38% 194 C 57% 162 -0.4 158
2 Pt. Jumpers 26% 36 D 42% 304 +3.0 354
Three Pointers 36% 326 B+ 30% 38 -4.7 18
Shot Selection/Accuracy B -0.7 63 C+ -1.4 127
1st FG Attempt B- 0.98 113
Second Chance C+ 29.5% 149 C+ 1.01 148 C+ 0.30 147
Turnovers from Steals C+ 9.9% 148
Other Turnovers B- 7.9% 95
Turnovers C+ 17.9% 111
Freethrows C 0.30 182 A+ 66% 3 B- 0.20 93
Total Defense B- +2.8 100

Assists Blocks
Close Shots C+ 46% 139 C+ 12.7% 100
2 Pt. Jumpers Shots B 18% 48 C 5.2% 153
Three Pointers C+ 82% 137 C+ 1.1% 116
Total B 48% 39 B- 6.6% 98

Miscellaneous
Offense Defense
Possession Length 18.3 273 18.7 345
Fast Break Points Per Possession 0.14 262 0.15 116
Consistency 0.14 278 0.11 106
Improvement -1.0 235 +0.7 147

NCAA Tournament Selection
At-Large Selection Status Out of Consideration
Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Prediction Ranges
Pessimistic
5th Percentile 		Expected
50th Percentile 		Optimistic
95th Percentile
Predictive Rating Rank 128 110 96
Results Rating Rank 122 104 88
Conference Record 9 - 9 10 - 8 11 - 7
Conference Finish 7 5 4
NCAA Tourney Seed None None None
NCAA Tourney Finish None None None

NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0% 0% 0%
#1 Seed 0% 0% 0%
Top 2 Seed 0% 0% 0%
Top 4 Seed 0% 0% 0%
Top 6 Seed 0% 0% 0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 2% 2% 1%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0% 0% 0%
Average Seed 12.1 12.1 12.2
.500 or above 100% 100% 100%
.500 or above in Conference 96% 100% 79%
Conference Champion 0% 0% 0%
Last Place in Conference 0% 0% 0%
First Four0% 0% 0%
First Round2% 2% 1%
Second Round0% 0% 0%
Sweet Sixteen0% 0% 0%
Elite Eight0% 0% 0%
Final Four0% 0% 0%
Championship Game0% 0% 0%
National Champion0% 0% 0%
Next Game: La Salle (Home) - 81.3% chance of victory

Projected Record by Quadrant
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 20 - 2
Quad 1b0 - 30 - 5
Quad 22 - 33 - 8
Quad 38 - 410 - 12
Quad 48 - 118 - 13


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Lead Record Total Rating Offense Defense
Avg Time Overall Conf Total First
FGA		 2nd Chance TOs Total First
FGA		 2nd Chance TOs
 Fri, Nov 7 127 Washington St. W 85 - 69 65% +16  99% 1 - 0 A- +16 B +7 A+ C- F A +9 A+ D- A
 Tue, Nov 11 169 @Charlotte W 62 - 55 56% +8  97% 2 - 0 B +9 D+ -3 A- F F A+ +13 A+ A D+
 Sat, Nov 15 177 Bowling Green W 91 - 87 77% +9  96% 3 - 0 C -0 B- +5 A+ C- F D -6 B+ F F
 Fri, Nov 21 136 Boston College W 59 - 49 59% +3  69% 4 - 0 B+ +11 C +0 C+ D B+ A+ +14 B+ B A+
 Sun, Nov 23 33 Utah St. L 60 - 94 16% -17  0% 4 - 1 F -20 F -10 D+ C F F+ -9 F B A
 Fri, Nov 28 275 N.C. A&T W 90 - 74 89% +9  86% 5 - 1 B- +7 A+ +14 A A A D- -7 F A- D
 Thu, Dec 4 349 The Citadel W 79 - 63 96% +9  98% 6 - 1 C -0 C+ +3 D+ C+ A+ C- -2 F B- A-
 Sun, Dec 7 37 St. Mary's L 61 - 70 24% -1  42% 6 - 2 C+ +2 D+ -3 C+ D- B- B +4 B- B+ C+
 Sat, Dec 13 289 Mercyhurst W 80 - 47 90% +17  98% 7 - 2 A +22 A+ +16 A+ C+ B+ A+ +13 B- A+ B-
 Thu, Dec 18 156 Temple L 63 - 68 74% -6  1% 7 - 3 D+ -8 D- -7 F B B C- -2 B- A+ F+
 Mon, Dec 22 18 @Kansas L 61 - 90 6% -20  0% 7 - 4 D+ -8 D -5 C+ C+ F C -1 F D+ A+
 Tue, Dec 30 119 Duquesne L 83 - 89 2OT 64% +3  70% 7 - 5 0 - 1 D+ -6 C- -0 D D A+ D -5 B D+ D
 Sat, Jan 3 126 @Saint Joseph's W 62 - 56 42% -5  10% 8 - 5 1 - 1 B+ +12 C+ +2 D+ A+ F A +10 A- C+ C+
 Wed, Jan 7 283 @Loyola Chicago W 79 - 64 77% +10  99% 9 - 5 2 - 1 B +11 B +6 B+ C+ D B+ +6 A F+ C-
 Sat, Jan 10 131 Rhode Island L 45 - 70 68% -14  0% 9 - 6 2 - 2 F -26 F -22 F F C- F+ -8 F A+ D
 Wed, Jan 14 78 @George Washington W 84 - 79 26% +9  88% 10 - 6 3 - 2 A- +15 A+ +15 A+ A+ B- C+ +0 A+ C F
 Wed, Jan 21 153 Fordham W 68 - 63 73% -1  36% 11 - 6 4 - 2 C+ +2 C -0 C+ D+ C- B- +3 F C+ A+
 Sat, Jan 24 49 Virginia Commonwealth L 69 - 75 33% -0  40% 11 - 7 4 - 3 C+ +2 B +6 A- C- A+ D+ -4 D+ F A-
 Wed, Jan 28 109 @George Mason L 52 - 60 38% -3  21% 11 - 8 4 - 4 C -1 F+ -10 F+ B- F A- +7 D+ A+ A+
 Sat, Jan 31 130 @Richmond W 79 - 54 45% +17  99% 12 - 8 5 - 4 A+ +30 A+ +22 A+ A+ C+ A+ +14 A+ F B+
 Tue, Feb 3 25 Saint Louis L 82 - 91 20% +1  55% 12 - 9 5 - 5 C+ +4 A +14 B A+ A+ F -10 B+ F D
 Fri, Feb 6 283 Loyola Chicago W 84 - 64 89% +16  96% 13 - 9 6 - 5 B +10 A +13 A+ F D+ C -1 F C- A
 Sun, Feb 15 77 @Dayton L 59 - 70 25% -5  12% 13 - 10 6 - 6 C -0 C -0 C C- A+ C- -2 B F A+
 Wed, Feb 18 130 Richmond W 65 - 63 68% +6  77% 14 - 10 7 - 6 C +1 D -6 F+ A C- A- +7 A B- F
 Sat, Feb 21 153 @Fordham L 59 - 63 52% -3  24% 14 - 11 7 - 7 C -1 C- -1 B+ D+ F C -0 C- C- C+
 Wed, Feb 25 119 @Duquesne W 67 - 56 41% +8  82% 15 - 11 8 - 7 A- +17 C- -0 C- C C+ A+ +18 A+ A F+
 Sun, Mar 1 212 La Salle W 70 - 60 81%
 Wed, Mar 4 126 Saint Joseph's W 68 - 64 65%
 Sat, Mar 7 133 @St. Bonaventure L 71 - 72 47%
Totals 17 - 12 10 - 8 +4 C +1 B B C B- +3 B F+ D



Game Detail
Grades are adjusted for opponent strength in each category. Game stats are not adjusted for oppoent strength. See methodology page for descriptions of rating types.
Offense Defense
Tot Off First Field Goal Attempt Second Chance TOs Freethrows Tot Def First Field Goal Attempt Second Chance TOs Freethrows
Shot Accuracy Shot Selection Points Per Shot Shot Accuracy Shot Selection Points Per Shot
2 C 2 L 3 Tot 2 C 2 L 3 Tot Off Reb PPP Tot Att Perc Tot 2 C 2 L 3 Tot 2 C 2 L 3 Tot Off Reb PPP Tot Att Perc Tot
Season Ratings C C A- B B 35% 33% 45% C B- C+ C C+ C C- F+ D B- C D B+ C+ 38% 26% 36% B B- C+ C+ C+ C+ C A+ B-
1.10 58% 45% 37% +3 0 1.09 31% 1.0 .33 17% .29 66% .19 1.05 57% 42% 30% -1 -1 0.98 30% 1.0 .30 18% .30 66% .19
Nov
7		 Washington St. B A+ A A+ A+ 30% 22% 48% C- A+ F+ A+ C- F A A A+ A A+ D+ A+ A+ 35% 26% 39% A- A+ D D- D- A F F F
1.22 79% 50% 45% +17 -1 1.35 18% 1.5 .27 21% .38 81% .31 0.99 44% 42% 28% -8 -1 0.85 33% 1.1 .36 23% .43 83% .35
Nov
11		 Charlotte D+ F+ A+ A+ A 29% 21% 50% D+ A- F D- F F F+ D F+ A+ A A+ A- A+ 40% 16% 44% C A+ F+ A+ A D+ F A+ C+
1.07 50% 56% 43% +8 -1 1.17 20% 1.0 .20 19% .25 67% .17 0.95 50% 14% 30% -10 +1 0.84 39% 0.5 .20 17% .42 55% .23
Nov
15		 Bowling Green B- B- A+ A+ A+ 30% 21% 49% D A+ D B C- F A+ C+ A+ D C C+ A+ B 49% 30% 21% A B+ D F F F F B F
1.15 62% 56% 48% +15 -1 1.30 23% 1.2 .27 23% .62 74% .46 1.10 57% 35% 25% -4 0 0.93 31% 1.1 .33 11% .50 69% .34
Nov
21		 Boston College C C- A+ F B 25% 30% 45% F+ C+ F B+ D B+ B B+ B+ A+ C- F A+ B 26% 32% 42% A B+ F A+ B A+ D+ A C
1.02 55% 62% 25% 0 -2 0.98 17% 1.0 .17 12% .33 71% .24 0.85 60% 50% 19% -5 -2 0.87 38% 0.7 .25 24% .32 57% .18
Nov
23		 Utah St. F A+ D F+ C 17% 28% 54% F D+ C+ D+ C F C+ F C- F+ F A F F 40% 13% 47% B- F A D B A A F B-
0.85 75% 31% 28% -4 -2 0.89 33% 0.9 .31 27% .33 65% .21 1.34 86% 29% 44% +17 +1 1.38 29% 1.3 .38 20% .25 86% .21
Nov
28		 N.C. A&T A+ B+ A A+ A 51% 13% 36% A- A B A A A A+ F A+ D- B+ F+ F F 32% 30% 39% B- F A B- A- D F A+ F+
1.36 65% 50% 44% +10 +2 1.27 33% 1.3 .42 9% .58 57% .33 1.12 50% 46% 47% +7 -2 1.14 23% 1.0 .23 17% .55 60% .33
Dec
4		 The Citadel C+ F A+ A- D+ 35% 16% 49% D+ D+ C+ C+ C+ A+ A- F B- C- D F A+ F 33% 24% 43% B F A- D+ B- A- C- A+ C+
1.24 50% 50% 40% +3 0 1.10 34% 1.1 .37 9% .36 62% .22 0.99 60% 73% 25% +3 -1 1.07 21% 1.0 .21 22% .28 57% .16
Dec
7		 St. Mary's D+ B B- F+ B 29% 29% 42% D- C+ C F D- B- B- F D B D+ D+ A- B- 46% 33% 22% A- B- F A+ B+ C+ C A+ A-
0.95 60% 40% 27% -3 -2 0.92 23% 0.6 .13 14% .27 53% .15 1.09 62% 40% 30% +1 -1 1.02 46% 0.8 .35 17% .32 65% .21
Dec
13		 Mercyhurst A+ A A+ A+ A+ 62% 10% 29% A A+ A- D- C+ B+ D F F+ A+ F A+ A C+ 33% 38% 29% B- B- A+ B A+ B- F A+ C+
1.36 69% 50% 58% +18 +3 1.45 42% 0.9 .38 15% .34 65% .22 0.80 79% 19% 25% -4 -3 0.88 9% 1.0 .09 17% .33 44% .14
Dec
18		 Temple D- F B+ F F 42% 22% 36% C F A D+ B B D+ F+ D C- D A+ D C 26% 36% 38% A+ B- A+ A A+ F+ F D F
1.02 43% 45% 22% -11 0 0.80 39% 0.9 .37 13% .28 67% .19 1.10 64% 27% 38% -1 -3 0.95 15% 0.8 .12 10% .59 79% .47
Dec
22		 Kansas D F F A- C+ 34% 18% 48% B C+ C B C+ F F F F C F B+ F F 44% 23% 33% D+ F B- F D+ A+ A+ F A+
0.83 37% 20% 37% -8 0 0.86 26% 0.9 .24 22% .10 33% .03 1.22 76% 31% 47% +13 0 1.28 30% 1.5 .44 20% .09 100% .09
Dec
30		 Duquesne C- C- F+ F D- 41% 15% 44% B+ D F+ B D A+ F A F D A+ A+ F B- 31% 17% 52% A B D+ D+ D+ D B- F C
1.06 56% 30% 28% -6 +1 0.91 20% 1.1 .22 8% .21 80% .17 1.14 44% 10% 43% -2 0 0.98 33% 1.1 .35 15% .32 81% .26
Jan
3		 Saint Joseph's C+ F A- D+ D 28% 23% 49% C D+ A- A+ A+ F A+ A+ A+ A D+ F A+ B+ 31% 26% 43% A+ A- C+ C+ C+ C+ F B F
1.02 36% 44% 32% -6 -1 0.87 39% 1.4 .54 23% .34 81% .28 0.92 62% 45% 17% -8 -1 0.83 31% 1.0 .31 18% .42 71% .30
Jan
7		 Loyola Chicago B F A+ A+ B+ 32% 16% 52% C+ B+ C+ C+ C+ D C+ F D+ B+ A+ F A+ A+ 50% 13% 38% D A D F+ F+ C- F A+ C-
1.19 31% 75% 46% +7 0 1.16 31% 1.1 .34 15% .30 65% .19 0.96 42% 67% 22% -11 +2 0.83 35% 1.1 .38 18% .39 57% .22
Jan
10		 Rhode Island F C+ F F F 53% 10% 38% A F F F F C- B F C F+ F F D+ F 42% 20% 38% C+ F A+ D+ A+ D A+ B- A+
0.75 57% 0% 13% -16 +2 0.75 13% 0.8 .10 22% .40 63% .25 1.16 79% 67% 35% +15 0 1.33 14% 1.0 .14 17% .20 70% .14
Jan
14		 George Washington A+ F+ F A+ A+ 48% 10% 43% A A+ A B A+ B- A+ F A- C+ B+ F+ A+ A+ 46% 11% 43% C+ A+ D- B+ C F D+ A+ B
1.27 50% 0% 67% +14 +2 1.33 39% 1.2 .45 17% .49 52% .25 1.19 54% 50% 25% -6 +2 0.93 41% 0.9 .39 8% .34 57% .20
Jan
21		 Fordham C A- A+ F B- 26% 30% 43% D C+ A F D+ C- A A- A B- B F B- F 42% 36% 22% A F A+ F C+ A+ A A+ A+
1.04 67% 64% 20% +1 -2 1.00 36% 0.6 .22 17% .35 74% .26 0.97 53% 69% 30% +7 -2 1.13 24% 1.3 .32 28% .15 57% .08
Jan
24		 Virginia Commonwealth B B A+ A- A+ 20% 37% 43% F A- C D+ C- A+ D F F D+ F F A+ F+ 34% 37% 29% A+ D+ F F+ F A- D+ B C
1.12 60% 50% 38% +7 -3 1.10 29% 0.9 .26 11% .26 50% .13 1.22 71% 60% 25% +9 -2 1.15 44% 1.3 .56 19% .40 70% .28
Jan
28		 George Mason F+ F+ B F D- 18% 33% 49% F F+ B+ C- B- F F D- F A- D- F B+ D+ 40% 18% 43% D+ D+ F A+ A+ A+ F A+ C-
0.89 50% 40% 27% -6 -3 0.84 33% 0.9 .31 21% .13 67% .09 1.03 69% 57% 29% +5 +1 1.13 40% 0.3 .13 22% .49 59% .29
Jan
31		 Richmond A+ C+ B- A+ A+ 27% 35% 39% D- A+ A+ B+ A+ C+ F F F A+ C- A A+ A+ 19% 26% 55% B- A+ D F F B+ C A B-
1.37 62% 41% 53% +13 -3 1.22 50% 1.3 .64 16% .08 50% .04 0.94 63% 27% 22% -12 -2 0.74 29% 1.6 .45 17% .34 69% .23
Shot Accuracy Shot Selection PPS 2nd Chance TOs Freethrows Shot Accuracy Shot Selection PPS 2nd Chance TOs Freethrows
Feb
3		 Saint Louis A C+ D- C B 34% 19% 47% C+ B C A+ A+ A+ C+ B- B- F C B+ D B 44% 12% 44% B B+ D- F F D F C F
1.18 56% 30% 32% -4 0 0.94 26% 1.7 .44 10% .34 76% .26 1.31 61% 33% 39% +4 +2 1.13 38% 1.5 .56 14% .44 73% .32
Feb
6		 Loyola Chicago A A+ A+ A+ A+ 30% 21% 49% C- A+ C- F F D+ F B- F C C F F F 46% 20% 34% B- F D C+ C- A F A+ D-
1.34 75% 64% 46% +19 -1 1.40 28% 0.6 .16 14% .19 80% .15 1.02 58% 50% 43% +7 +1 1.17 34% 0.9 .31 24% .44 57% .25
Feb
15		 Dayton C C- C+ C C 31% 27% 42% D+ C F A+ C- A+ F F+ F C- C+ B B B 49% 18% 33% C+ B F B- F A+ F F F
0.97 53% 38% 35% -1 -1 0.98 17% 1.6 .27 16% .22 64% .14 1.15 58% 29% 31% -3 +1 0.97 52% 1.1 .59 26% .54 88% .47
Feb
18		 Richmond D C F F F 28% 19% 53% B- F+ B- A A C- A+ F A- A- A B+ C A 26% 36% 38% A- A A+ F B- F A A+ A+
1.02 58% 25% 26% -9 0 0.84 34% 1.4 .47 17% .44 61% .27 0.99 50% 32% 35% -4 -3 0.89 14% 1.6 .22 6% .23 57% .13
Feb
21		 Fordham C- F B- A+ B+ 33% 23% 44% C+ B+ B F D+ F A F F C B F A+ C- 49% 18% 33% D- C- A+ F C- C+ F A- F
0.98 43% 40% 47% +4 -1 1.09 31% 0.7 .23 23% .35 31% .11 1.05 53% 71% 23% -2 +1 1.00 24% 1.4 .34 18% .57 64% .37
Feb
25		 Duquesne C- C+ F D- D 49% 13% 38% A C- B F+ C C+ A- D B A+ A B- A+ A+ 55% 6% 40% F A+ A B+ A F+ A+ A A+
1.02 59% 17% 29% -5 +2 0.96 33% 0.8 .28 17% .40 68% .27 0.85 48% 33% 19% -15 +3 0.79 23% 0.9 .21 14% .25 64% .16



Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Atlantic 10 Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 3.6 3.6 3rd
4th 3.2 14.9 18.1 4th
5th 3.6 31.8 6.7 42.0 5th
6th 0.1 14.3 10.8 0.2 25.3 6th
7th 1.0 6.7 0.3 7.9 7th
8th 2.1 0.2 2.2 8th
9th 0.8 0.8 9th
10th 10th
11th 11th
12th 12th
13th 13th
14th 14th
Total 3.9 24.7 46.0 25.4 Total



Atlantic 10 Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7 0.0%
10-8 0.0%
9-9 0.0%
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7 25.4% 3.2% 3.2% 11.9 0.2 0.6 0.1 24.6
10-8 46.0% 1.5% 1.5% 12.3 0.0 0.5 0.2 0.0 45.3
9-9 24.7% 0.7% 0.7% 12.3 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 24.6
8-10 3.9% 0.5% 0.5% 12.8 0.0 0.0 3.9
7-11
6-12
5-13
4-14
3-15
2-16
1-17
0-18
Total 100% 1.7% 1.7% 0.0% 12.1 98.3 0.0%


Best / Worst Case Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid		Avg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Win Out 0.8% 100.0% 11.9 21.6 68.5 9.9
Win Out, Lose in Conf. Tourney Championship 1.8%
Win Out, Lose in Conf. Tourney Semi-Final 10.0%
Lose Out 2.1%