Drexel
Colonial Athletic
2024-25 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
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Overall
Predictive Rating-5.9#273
Expected Predictive Rating-8.5#300
Pace63.3#328
Improvement+1.5#91

Offense
Total Offense-3.4#266
First Shot-1.4#208
After Offensive Rebound-2.0#309
Layup/Dunks-1.9#256
2 Pt Jumpshots-2.0#286
3 Pt Jumpshots+4.4#54
Freethrows-1.9#297
Improvement+0.9#113

Defense
Total Defense-2.5#256
First Shot-2.6#266
After Offensive Rebounds+0.2#180
Layups/Dunks-1.6#245
2 Pt Jumpshots-0.9#261
3 Pt Jumpshots+1.9#103
Freethrows-2.1#307
Improvement+0.6#131
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 0.8% 1.2% 0.7%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 15.5 15.3 15.5
.500 or above 10.0% 20.5% 7.1%
.500 or above in Conference 21.1% 37.7% 16.5%
Conference Champion 0.4% 1.2% 0.2%
Last Place in Conference 19.2% 8.5% 22.2%
First Four0.3% 0.3% 0.3%
First Round0.7% 1.1% 0.5%
Second Round0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: College of Charleston (Away) - 21.8% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 00 - 0
Quad 1b0 - 00 - 0
Quad 20 - 30 - 3
Quad 32 - 92 - 12
Quad 410 - 712 - 19


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Sat, Nov 8 173 @Saint Joseph's L 65-76 22%     0 - 1 -8.8 -5.7 -2.9
  Tue, Nov 11 183 @Colgate L 83-90 24%     0 - 2 -5.6 +10.8 -16.5
  Sat, Nov 15 75 Syracuse L 50-80 11%     0 - 3 -22.6 -14.9 -10.3
  Tue, Nov 18 351 NJIT W 75-43 82%     1 - 3 +16.3 -1.7 +18.1
  Fri, Nov 21 239 Penn L 68-84 56%     1 - 4 -23.5 -6.5 -17.7
  Sun, Nov 23 214 Old Dominion W 75-71 53%     2 - 4 -2.6 +3.7 -6.0
  Tue, Nov 25 360 @Morgan St. W 71-66 73%     3 - 4 -7.2 -3.7 -3.1
  Wed, Dec 3 253 @American L 73-75 36%     3 - 5 -4.2 +2.5 -6.8
  Sat, Dec 6 233 La Salle L 64-69 44%     3 - 6 -9.4 -6.0 -3.8
  Tue, Dec 16 262 Howard L 66-74 60%     3 - 7 -16.5 -5.7 -11.2
  Fri, Dec 19 300 Mount St. Mary's W 75-67 67%     4 - 7 -2.5 -3.6 +0.9
  Sun, Dec 21 342 Maine W 74-56 79%     5 - 7 +3.6 +14.6 -7.0
  Mon, Dec 29 168 @College of Charleston L 66-74 22%    
  Wed, Dec 31 120 @UNC Wilmington L 62-74 13%    
  Sat, Jan 3 110 Hofstra L 64-71 26%    
  Thu, Jan 8 249 Stony Brook W 68-66 57%    
  Sat, Jan 10 119 William & Mary L 73-79 29%    
  Thu, Jan 15 225 @Monmouth L 67-72 32%    
  Sat, Jan 17 137 @Towson L 60-70 17%    
  Sat, Jan 17 205 Northeastern W 70-69 50%    
  Thu, Jan 29 236 Hampton W 69-67 56%    
  Sat, Jan 31 302 N.C. A&T W 73-68 67%    
  Thu, Feb 5 252 @Campbell L 70-74 36%    
  Sat, Feb 7 166 @Elon L 69-77 22%    
  Thu, Feb 12 225 Monmouth W 70-69 54%    
  Mon, Feb 16 249 @Stony Brook L 65-69 36%    
  Thu, Feb 19 205 @Northeastern L 67-73 30%    
  Sat, Feb 21 137 Towson L 63-67 35%    
  Thu, Feb 26 252 Campbell W 73-71 58%    
  Tue, Mar 3 110 @Hofstra L 61-74 13%    
Projected Record 12 - 18 7 - 11




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Colonial Athletic Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.4 1st
2nd 0.0 0.3 0.5 0.4 0.1 0.0 1.2 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.3 0.9 0.7 0.1 0.0 2.0 3rd
4th 0.0 0.3 1.4 1.5 0.3 0.0 3.5 4th
5th 0.2 1.8 2.4 0.7 0.1 5.1 5th
6th 0.1 1.5 3.7 1.4 0.1 6.8 6th
7th 0.0 1.1 4.5 2.8 0.3 8.7 7th
8th 0.0 0.6 4.1 4.6 0.8 0.0 10.1 8th
9th 0.0 0.4 3.5 6.3 1.7 0.0 11.8 9th
10th 0.0 0.2 2.6 6.5 3.0 0.2 0.0 12.5 10th
11th 0.0 0.2 2.3 6.1 4.2 0.6 0.0 13.5 11th
12th 0.0 0.5 2.5 5.4 4.3 0.8 0.0 13.6 12th
13th 0.1 1.0 2.6 3.7 2.7 0.7 0.0 10.9 13th
Total 0.1 1.0 3.1 6.4 10.7 14.1 15.6 15.2 12.6 9.2 5.8 3.5 1.6 0.7 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.0 Total



Colonial Athletic Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1 100.0% 0.0    0.0
16-2 100.0% 0.0    0.0
15-3 87.5% 0.0    0.0 0.0
14-4 54.1% 0.1    0.1 0.0 0.0
13-5 21.7% 0.2    0.0 0.1 0.0 0.0
12-6 5.0% 0.1    0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
11-7 0.1% 0.0    0.0
10-8 0.0%
9-9 0.0%
Total 0.4% 0.4 0.2 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1 0.0% 0.0
16-2 0.0% 0.0
15-3 0.1% 0.0 0.0 0.0
14-4 0.2% 4.9% 4.9% 14.7 0.0 0.0 0.2
13-5 0.7% 7.2% 7.2% 14.7 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.6
12-6 1.6% 5.6% 5.6% 14.8 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 1.5
11-7 3.5% 3.5% 3.5% 14.9 0.0 0.1 0.0 3.4
10-8 5.8% 2.4% 2.4% 15.5 0.0 0.1 0.1 5.7
9-9 9.2% 0.8% 0.8% 15.7 0.0 0.1 9.2
8-10 12.6% 0.8% 0.8% 16.0 0.1 12.5
7-11 15.2% 0.5% 0.5% 16.0 0.1 15.1
6-12 15.6% 0.4% 0.4% 16.0 0.1 15.6
5-13 14.1% 0.2% 0.2% 16.0 0.0 14.1
4-14 10.7% 0.0% 0.0% 16.0 0.0 10.7
3-15 6.4% 0.1% 0.1% 16.0 0.0 6.4
2-16 3.1% 3.1
1-17 1.0% 1.0
0-18 0.1% 0.1
Total 100% 0.8% 0.8% 0.0% 15.5 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.4 99.2 0.0%


Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid		Avg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Lose Out 0.1%