Drexel
Colonial Athletic
2020-21 - 2021-22 - 2022-23
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Overall
Predictive Rating-0.1#168
Expected Predictive Rating-0.6#182
Pace62.7#326
Improvement+0.3#145

Offense
Total Offense+1.9#118
First Shot+4.5#51
After Offensive Rebound-2.6#311
Layup/Dunks+3.5#66
2 Pt Jumpshots+4.0#27
3 Pt Jumpshots-4.2#299
Freethrows+1.2#100
Improvement+0.3#136

Defense
Total Defense-2.0#241
First Shot-6.0#332
After Offensive Rebounds+4.0#12
Layups/Dunks-7.2#347
2 Pt Jumpshots-2.4#312
3 Pt Jumpshots+3.6#54
Freethrows-0.1#193
Improvement+0.0#180
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 12.6% 13.0% 9.0%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 14.7 14.7 15.3
.500 or above 64.5% 67.7% 39.1%
.500 or above in Conference 73.1% 74.3% 63.4%
Conference Champion 15.2% 16.0% 8.7%
Last Place in Conference 1.8% 1.7% 3.0%
First Four1.2% 1.1% 2.2%
First Round12.0% 12.5% 8.0%
Second Round1.0% 1.0% 0.5%
Sweet Sixteen0.3% 0.3% 0.4%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.2%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Fairleigh Dickinson (Home) - 88.8% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 00 - 0
Quad 1b0 - 10 - 1
Quad 21 - 31 - 3
Quad 36 - 76 - 11
Quad 410 - 317 - 14


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 14, 2021 76   @ Syracuse L 60-75 18%     0 - 1 -5.3 -7.7 +1.4
  Nov 17, 2021 221   @ Saint Joseph's W 78-75 48%     1 - 1 +3.4 +3.9 -0.5
  Nov 22, 2021 163   Tulane L 87-90 OT 49%     1 - 2 -2.7 +5.9 -8.3
  Nov 23, 2021 198   Charlotte W 67-55 56%     2 - 2 +10.3 +1.6 +10.3
  Nov 24, 2021 147   Jacksonville St. L 64-72 45%     2 - 3 -6.7 -3.7 -3.5
  Dec 02, 2021 325   Fairleigh Dickinson W 80-67 89%    
  Dec 04, 2021 150   @ Princeton L 68-72 35%    
  Dec 11, 2021 143   @ Abilene Christian L 66-71 33%    
  Dec 14, 2021 303   Coppin St. W 77-66 85%    
  Dec 18, 2021 148   @ Temple L 67-71 34%    
  Dec 21, 2021 243   @ La Salle W 68-67 53%    
  Dec 29, 2021 202   @ College of Charleston L 77-78 46%    
  Dec 31, 2021 282   @ UNC Wilmington W 68-65 62%    
  Jan 03, 2022 169   Towson W 69-66 61%    
  Jan 05, 2022 164   James Madison W 73-70 60%    
  Jan 11, 2022 162   Delaware W 73-71 59%    
  Jan 15, 2022 149   @ Northeastern L 61-65 35%    
  Jan 17, 2022 131   @ Hofstra L 69-74 31%    
  Jan 20, 2022 268   Elon W 75-66 77%    
  Jan 22, 2022 333   William & Mary W 76-62 90%    
  Jan 27, 2022 164   @ James Madison L 70-73 39%    
  Jan 29, 2022 169   @ Towson L 66-69 40%    
  Feb 05, 2022 162   @ Delaware L 70-74 37%    
  Feb 10, 2022 131   Hofstra W 72-71 52%    
  Feb 12, 2022 149   Northeastern W 64-62 56%    
  Feb 17, 2022 333   @ William & Mary W 73-65 77%    
  Feb 19, 2022 268   @ Elon W 72-69 59%    
  Feb 24, 2022 282   UNC Wilmington W 71-62 81%    
  Feb 26, 2022 202   College of Charleston W 80-75 66%    
Projected Record 16 - 13 10 - 8





Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.




Projected Colonial Athletic Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 0.1 1.0 3.3 4.8 3.5 1.8 0.7 0.1 15.2 1st
2nd 0.1 1.7 5.0 5.2 2.0 0.3 0.0 14.4 2nd
3rd 0.1 1.9 5.6 5.0 1.2 0.1 13.9 3rd
4th 0.1 1.6 5.7 4.5 0.9 0.0 12.9 4th
5th 0.1 1.4 5.2 4.8 0.8 12.3 5th
6th 0.0 0.2 1.4 4.4 4.3 0.9 11.1 6th
7th 0.2 1.3 3.3 3.6 0.8 0.1 9.2 7th
8th 0.0 0.3 1.5 2.4 2.0 0.5 6.8 8th
9th 0.0 0.3 0.7 1.4 0.9 0.2 0.0 3.5 9th
10th 0.0 0.2 0.3 0.3 0.1 0.0 0.9 10th
Total 0.0 0.2 0.6 1.3 3.1 4.8 6.9 10.0 12.1 13.5 12.7 12.0 9.7 6.9 3.8 1.8 0.7 0.1 Total



Colonial Athletic Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0 100.0% 0.1    0.1
17-1 100.0% 0.7    0.7
16-2 98.9% 1.8    1.7 0.1
15-3 91.8% 3.5    2.8 0.7 0.0
14-4 69.4% 4.8    2.7 1.8 0.3 0.0
13-5 33.9% 3.3    1.1 1.6 0.6 0.1 0.0
12-6 8.6% 1.0    0.2 0.3 0.3 0.2 0.0
11-7 0.7% 0.1    0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
10-8 0.0%
9-9 0.0%
Total 15.2% 15.2 9.1 4.5 1.2 0.3 0.1



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid
AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0 0.1% 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1
17-1 0.7% 51.5% 51.5% 12.9 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.3
16-2 1.8% 39.3% 39.3% 13.3 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.2 0.1 1.1
15-3 3.8% 34.9% 34.9% 13.7 0.0 0.1 0.4 0.6 0.2 0.0 2.5
14-4 6.9% 26.2% 26.2% 14.3 0.0 0.3 0.8 0.7 0.1 5.1
13-5 9.7% 20.5% 20.5% 14.6 0.2 0.7 0.9 0.3 7.7
12-6 12.0% 16.5% 16.5% 15.0 0.0 0.4 1.2 0.4 10.0
11-7 12.7% 12.4% 12.4% 15.2 0.2 0.9 0.5 11.1
10-8 13.5% 9.6% 9.6% 15.5 0.1 0.5 0.7 12.2
9-9 12.1% 6.2% 6.2% 15.7 0.0 0.2 0.5 11.3
8-10 10.0% 4.8% 4.8% 15.9 0.0 0.4 9.5
7-11 6.9% 2.6% 2.6% 16.0 0.2 6.7
6-12 4.8% 2.1% 2.1% 16.0 0.1 4.7
5-13 3.1% 1.3% 1.3% 16.0 0.0 3.1
4-14 1.3% 1.3
3-15 0.6% 0.6
2-16 0.2% 0.2
1-17 0.0% 0.0
0-18
Total 100% 12.6% 12.6% 0.0% 14.7 0.0 0.3 1.3 3.0 4.6 3.2 87.4 0.0%