Drexel
Colonial Athletic
2024-25 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
Switch to All-time Team Page
Predictive Rating -3.7 225
Expected Predictive Rating -3.9 229
Pace 62.1 340
Improvement +3.1 67

Overall 1st FGA Second Chance TOs Free
throws		 Shot Selection
Offense D+ 284 C D+ D D- C
Defense C 149 C+ C- C- C- C+

Offense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 38% 192 D+ 54% 273 +20.8 243
2 Pt. Jumpers 38% 166 C- 36% 237 +7.4 203
Three Pointers 42% 165 B 37% 49 +23.2 98
Shot Selection/Accuracy C +0.0 194 C +0.2 165
1st FG Attempt C 1.02 169
Second Chance C- 29.4% 215 D- 0.89 340 D+ 0.26 292
Turnovers D 19.3% 320
Freethrows D 0.26 314 D- 67% 343 D- 0.17 341
Total Offense D+ -4.4 284

Defense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 39% 165 C+ 56% 126 +22.0 207
2 Pt. Jumpers 24% 74 C 39% 215 +9.3 68
Three Pointers 37% 292 B- 32% 102 +18.0 301
Shot Selection/Accuracy C+ -0.3 105 C+ -1.5 120
1st FG Attempt C+ 0.98 115
Second Chance C- 31.5% 221 C- 1.05 211 C- 0.33 229
Turnovers C- 15.8% 238
Freethrows C 0.31 199 D- 76% 332 C- 0.23 242
Total Defense C +0.6 149

Miscellaneous
Offense Defense
Possession Length 19.2 341 17.2 163
Fast Break Points Per Possession 0.14 248 0.20 271
Improvement -1.1 #252 +4.2 #22

See methodology page for descriptions of rating types.
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0% 0% 0%
#1 Seed 0% 0% 0%
Top 2 Seed 0% 0% 0%
Top 4 Seed 0% 0% 0%
Top 6 Seed 0% 0% 0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 2% 3% 2%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0% 0% 0%
Average Seed 15.2 15.0 15.4
.500 or above 27% 47% 15%
.500 or above in Conference 70% 91% 57%
Conference Champion 0% 0% 0%
Last Place in Conference 0% 0% 0%
First Four0% 0% 0%
First Round2% 3% 2%
Second Round0% 0% 0%
Sweet Sixteen0% 0% 0%
Elite Eight0% 0% 0%
Final Four0% 0% 0%
Championship Game0% 0% 0%
National Champion0% 0% 0%

Next Game: Stony Brook (Away) - 36.8% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 00 - 0
Quad 1b0 - 00 - 0
Quad 20 - 30 - 3
Quad 34 - 84 - 11
Quad 411 - 615 - 17


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Lead Record Total Rating Offense Defense
Avg Time Overall Conf Total First
FGA		 2nd Chance TOs Total First
FGA		 2nd Chance TOs
 Sat, Nov 8 136 @Saint Joseph's L 65 - 76 22% -1  45% 0 - 1 D+ -6 D- -6 F B D+ C -0 B A- F+
 Tue, Nov 11 217 @Colgate L 83 - 90 36% -7  11% 0 - 2 D+ -7 B+ +8 A C- C- F -15 F C- B
 Sat, Nov 15 64 Syracuse L 50 - 80 13% -10  15% 0 - 3 F -22 F -18 D+ F F D -7 C D- F
 Tue, Nov 18 306 NJIT W 75 - 43 77% +13  82% 1 - 3 A +20 D+ -4 C D+ C A+ +24 A+ B+ A
 Fri, Nov 21 175 Penn L 68 - 84 51% -9  0% 1 - 4 F -20 D -6 D- C B+ F -15 D F C-
 Sun, Nov 23 238 Old Dominion W 75 - 71 64% +1  56% 2 - 4 C- -3 C +1 B- B D D+ -4 C- C- D
 Tue, Nov 25 352 @Morgan St. W 71 - 66 75% +7  96% 3 - 4 D+ -6 D -5 C- F F C -0 D A+ F
 Wed, Dec 3 257 @American L 73 - 75 45% +1  54% 3 - 5 C- -5 C +0 B+ F B- D+ -5 D+ A F
 Sat, Dec 6 221 La Salle L 64 - 69 49% -8  9% 3 - 6 D -8 F+ -8 F A- C+ C -0 D+ D+ D
 Tue, Dec 16 226 Howard L 66 - 74 62% -7  4% 3 - 7 F+ -15 D- -6 B- F+ D+ D- -9 D- F+ B+
 Fri, Dec 19 289 Mount St. Mary's W 75 - 67 73% +7  84% 4 - 7 C- -2 D -5 A D+ F B- +2 F+ C+ A+
 Sun, Dec 21 345 Maine W 74 - 56 86% +9  81% 5 - 7 C+ +2 A +12 A+ D- F D+ -5 C+ F B-
 Mon, Dec 29 163 @College of Charleston L 63 - 72 27% +1  58% 5 - 8 0 - 1 D+ -6 D+ -2 C+ D F+ D+ -5 F+ F C+
 Wed, Dec 31 112 @UNC Wilmington L 53 - 65 17% -8  1% 5 - 9 0 - 2 D+ -6 F -11 F A- F B- +3 A D+ F
 Sat, Jan 3 113 Hofstra L 67 - 70 35% -8  0% 5 - 10 0 - 3 C- -3 C+ +3 C C- A+ D -7 C- F D+
 Thu, Jan 8 218 Stony Brook W 56 - 37 60% +7  82% 6 - 10 1 - 3 B+ +13 F+ -9 F A- F A+ +26 A+ D F+
 Sat, Jan 10 132 William & Mary W 64 - 58 41% +5  90% 7 - 10 2 - 3 C+ +5 F+ -10 A+ F+ F A+ +15 A+ A B
 Thu, Jan 15 189 @Monmouth W 73 - 51 32% +14  95% 8 - 10 3 - 3 A+ +23 A +13 A+ A- D A+ +14 A C+ A+
 Mon, Jan 19 166 @Towson L 58 - 59 27% +7  86% 8 - 11 3 - 4 C +2 D- -7 B+ F+ F A- +9 A+ F+ C-
 Sat, Jan 24 282 Northeastern W 83 - 78 73% +6  87% 9 - 11 4 - 4 D+ -5 C +1 B F A+ D -6 C+ F+ F
 Thu, Jan 29 250 Hampton W 58 - 51 65% +3  69% 10 - 11 5 - 4 C -1 F -12 F C+ D- A +12 B A+ B
 Sat, Jan 31 285 N.C. A&T W 61 - 60 73% +6  85% 11 - 11 6 - 4 D -9 F -14 D- B- F+ B +5 B+ A D-
 Thu, Feb 5 191 @Campbell L 60 - 81 32% -6  45% 11 - 12 6 - 5 F -20 F -16 D+ F F D+ -4 D D D
 Sat, Feb 7 206 @Elon W 82 - 77 35% +6  96% 12 - 12 7 - 5 B- +5 B +7 B F A+ C -1 A F D+
 Thu, Feb 12 189 Monmouth L 73 - 93 54% -16  7% 12 - 13 7 - 6 F -25 D -5 B F D+ F -20 F F D-
 Mon, Feb 16 218 @Stony Brook L 63 - 67 37%
 Thu, Feb 19 282 @Northeastern W 73 - 72 51%
 Sat, Feb 21 166 Towson L 62 - 63 50%
 Thu, Feb 26 191 Campbell W 73 - 72 55%
 Tue, Mar 3 113 @Hofstra L 61 - 71 18%
Totals 14 - 16 9 - 9 -4 F -4 D- C C C+ +1 B D- D-



Game Detail
Grades are adjusted for opponent strength in each category. Game stats are not adjusted for oppoent strength. See methodology page for descriptions of rating types.
Offense Defense
Tot Off First Field Goal Attempt Second Chance TOs Freethrows Tot Def First Field Goal Attempt Second Chance TOs Freethrows
Shot Accuracy Shot Selection Points Per Shot Shot Accuracy Shot Selection Points Per Shot
2 C 2 L 3 Tot 2 C 2 L 3 Tot Off Reb PPP Tot Att Perc Tot 2 C 2 L 3 Tot 2 C 2 L 3 Tot Off Reb PPP Tot Att Perc Tot
Season Ratings D+ D+ C- B C 38% 38% 42% C C C- D- D+ D D D- D- C C+ C B- C+ 39% 24% 37% C+ C+ C- C- C- C- C D- C-
1.02 54% 36% 37% 0 0 1.02 29% 0.9 .26 19% .26 67% .17 1.08 56% 39% 32% -1 0 0.98 31% 1.0 .33 16% .31 76% .20
Nov
8		 Saint Joseph's D- F F B F 39% 23% 39% B- F B C+ B D+ C+ D- C C C+ A+ C- B 44% 25% 31% B B B A- A- F+ F F F
0.91 36% 8% 36% -14 0 0.74 36% 1.1 .39 17% .24 64% .15 1.06 57% 17% 33% -6 0 0.90 30% 0.8 .24 14% .49 87% .42
Nov
11		 Colgate B+ D- A+ A+ A 39% 4% 57% A A A- F C- C- F+ F F F D- F F F 40% 33% 28% B- F A+ F C- B F F F
1.19 52% 50% 45% +8 +2 1.22 38% 0.7 .28 16% .26 53% .14 1.30 65% 64% 58% +21 -1 1.42 17% 1.7 .28 19% .48 89% .42
Nov
15		 Syracuse F F B+ D D+ 37% 23% 40% C- D+ A+ F F F F F F D D- A F C- 42% 25% 33% B C D- D+ D- F A F B
0.78 38% 40% 29% -10 0 0.81 43% 0.5 .21 28% .22 60% .13 1.24 68% 31% 41% +6 0 1.13 36% 1.1 .39 11% .26 73% .19
Nov
18		 NJIT D+ D+ C- C C- 53% 13% 33% A- C C- D- D+ C A+ F A+ A+ D+ A+ A+ A+ 21% 28% 51% B+ A+ B A B+ A F B F
1.07 54% 33% 33% -3 +2 1.00 32% 0.9 .30 14% .57 62% .35 0.62 60% 8% 13% -24 -2 0.49 22% 0.7 .16 23% .45 67% .30
Nov
21		 Penn D C- F D+ D- 49% 26% 25% C- D- C+ D+ C B+ B F D- F C+ F C D 36% 21% 43% D D F+ F F C- F F F
1.01 58% 29% 31% -4 0 0.94 33% 0.9 .28 13% .29 41% .12 1.25 53% 60% 35% +4 0 1.09 37% 1.4 .50 16% .50 79% .39
Nov
23		 Old Dominion C D- D- A+ B- 46% 22% 33% C B- B- B- B D B C+ B D+ A+ C- F D+ 40% 36% 25% B C- F+ A- C- D C A+ B+
1.14 52% 30% 47% +2 0 1.07 34% 1.1 .37 17% .38 76% .29 1.08 43% 37% 54% +1 -2 1.00 32% 0.9 .29 14% .28 56% .16
Nov
25		 Morgan St. D B+ F C C- 45% 12% 43% C C- B+ F F F A- A+ A+ C D- F+ A+ D- 40% 38% 23% B- D A A+ A+ F C- D+ D+
1.09 68% 20% 33% +2 +2 1.10 41% 0.4 .18 23% .52 81% .42 1.01 63% 44% 18% -1 -2 0.96 21% 0.6 .12 11% .36 76% .28
Dec
3		 American C B+ F+ A+ B 54% 19% 27% B B+ D F F B- F F F D+ B+ F F+ D 37% 16% 47% C+ D+ C A+ A F F A+ F
1.09 68% 30% 43% +7 +1 1.19 26% 0.3 .09 16% .27 60% .16 1.12 50% 50% 39% +3 0 1.08 26% 0.4 .10 9% .44 67% .30
Dec
6		 La Salle F+ F D F F 42% 24% 34% C- F A+ D A- C+ B D- C+ C C- C- C D+ 46% 22% 33% D D+ C+ D- D+ D F+ A+ B-
0.97 38% 33% 18% -18 0 0.66 45% 1.0 .45 17% .29 63% .18 1.04 57% 40% 33% 0 0 1.02 32% 1.1 .35 15% .41 52% .21
Dec
16		 Howard D- A+ D- C+ B 18% 16% 66% F B- F B- F+ D+ C+ F C- D- B- A- F D- 60% 17% 24% F+ D- D+ D- F+ B+ F F F
0.99 75% 29% 34% +2 -1 1.05 21% 1.1 .24 21% .36 63% .23 1.11 48% 29% 50% -2 +2 1.02 38% 1.2 .46 24% .49 92% .45
Dec
19		 Mount St. Mary's D B+ F A+ A- 51% 5% 44% A+ A F A+ D+ F A A A+ B- A+ F F F 24% 22% 54% A+ F+ D+ B+ C+ A+ F F F
1.05 64% 0% 42% +7 +3 1.21 13% 2.0 .26 25% .43 83% .35 0.93 40% 44% 45% +6 -1 1.12 31% 0.9 .28 32% .41 75% .31
Dec
21		 Maine A A+ D A+ A+ 29% 14% 57% C- A+ D+ D- D- F F F F D+ F A+ A+ B- 50% 21% 29% D C+ F F F B- A- F B-
1.29 83% 33% 54% +24 0 1.50 35% 0.9 .30 23% .16 57% .09 0.98 71% 22% 8% -8 +1 0.88 33% 1.3 .44 23% .25 73% .18
Dec
29		 College of Charleston D+ D+ F A+ B- 20% 25% 55% D C+ C- F+ D F+ A- C- B+ D+ F C- B+ F 33% 28% 39% B+ F+ D- F F C+ B A+ A+
1.01 56% 18% 42% +1 -2 1.00 29% 0.8 .24 18% .31 69% .21 1.15 87% 38% 28% +6 -1 1.11 33% 1.4 .47 18% .31 56% .17
Dec
31		 UNC Wilmington F F+ B+ F F 18% 25% 57% D+ F A C A- F A+ F A- B- A+ F A+ A- 30% 37% 33% A A B- F D+ F F C- F
0.88 50% 45% 12% -18 -2 0.61 38% 1.1 .40 18% .39 63% .24 1.08 38% 50% 21% -8 -3 0.81 31% 1.3 .40 10% .52 71% .37
Jan
3		 Hofstra C+ F+ D+ B D+ 44% 18% 38% A- C C D+ C- A+ B F C- D B+ F C C 41% 20% 39% F+ C- C+ F F D+ D A- C-
1.13 45% 33% 37% -5 +1 0.94 29% 1.0 .29 5% .36 60% .21 1.18 50% 56% 35% +1 0 1.05 33% 1.6 .53 15% .34 71% .24
Jan
8		 Stony Brook F+ F F B- F 36% 12% 52% B F C- A+ A- F F+ A D A+ A+ A+ A+ A+ 26% 17% 57% B A+ F+ C- D F+ B- C- C+
0.98 33% 20% 36% -9 +1 0.86 30% 1.3 .40 23% .23 80% .18 0.65 25% 13% 15% -29 0 0.43 34% 0.9 .32 14% .22 73% .16
Jan
10		 William & Mary F+ B B+ A+ A+ 44% 22% 34% C- A+ C F F+ F C- F D A+ B A+ A+ A+ 45% 15% 40% C+ A+ C+ A+ A B A+ C A
0.96 67% 44% 50% +13 0 1.29 31% 0.6 .19 29% .27 62% .17 0.87 54% 25% 24% -10 +1 0.85 26% 0.7 .18 20% .22 75% .17
Jan
15		 Monmouth A F A+ A+ A+ 27% 20% 54% D A+ A B- A- D B+ F D A+ D A+ A+ A 40% 33% 28% B A F A+ C+ A+ F D F
1.23 45% 50% 55% +16 -1 1.32 42% 1.0 .42 22% .34 50% .17 0.86 63% 23% 18% -10 -1 0.80 42% 0.7 .31 23% .39 78% .31
Jan
19		 Towson D- B- A C+ A- 44% 25% 31% C B+ F A+ F+ F F F F A- A+ C+ B A+ 36% 34% 30% B- A+ D- D- F+ C- F D+ F
0.92 62% 50% 33% +4 0 1.10 8% 2.0 .15 21% .08 25% .02 0.94 29% 38% 29% -13 -2 0.72 41% 0.9 .39 16% .40 71% .28
Jan
24		 Northeastern C A- A+ C+ A- 35% 31% 35% F B D- F F A+ A+ D- A- D A+ F D- C 38% 24% 38% B+ C+ C+ F F+ F C- C+ C
1.20 71% 60% 35% +12 -2 1.22 26% 0.4 .12 10% .45 68% .30 1.12 43% 54% 38% 0 0 1.02 26% 1.4 .38 12% .29 67% .20
Shot Accuracy Shot Selection PPS 2nd Chance TOs Freethrows Shot Accuracy Shot Selection PPS 2nd Chance TOs Freethrows
Jan
29		 Hampton F F+ C F F 45% 33% 21% D- F C- B C+ D- B+ B+ A- A A+ F A+ B 39% 37% 24% B B D+ A+ A+ B A+ F B+
0.93 53% 36% 22% -7 -1 0.86 28% 1.1 .31 19% .44 73% .32 0.82 37% 50% 25% -7 -2 0.84 37% 0.1 .05 21% .24 83% .20
Jan
31		 N.C. A&T F F+ D- B+ D- 41% 24% 35% C- D- C+ B+ B- F+ F F F B B- C+ A+ A- 35% 22% 43% D B+ A+ D- A D- A F B
0.95 48% 33% 39% -3 0 0.96 28% 1.2 .33 17% .04 0% .00 0.94 53% 36% 24% -9 -1 0.84 16% 1.2 .19 16% .28 87% .24
Feb
5		 Campbell F C A+ F C- 38% 36% 26% F D+ D- F F F F F F D+ F A+ B- D- 52% 21% 27% C+ D D+ D+ D D F D F
0.87 61% 53% 25% +3 -2 1.04 25% 0.9 .21 28% .16 63% .10 1.17 76% 10% 31% +2 +1 1.08 37% 1.1 .40 16% .48 75% .36
Feb
7		 Elon B C+ D A+ B 33% 18% 49% C B F C F A+ A C A C B A- A A+ 35% 14% 51% B+ A A- F F D+ F F F
1.21 59% 33% 44% +7 0 1.16 20% 1.1 .23 9% .39 71% .28 1.14 53% 29% 28% -8 +1 0.88 26% 2.0 .53 15% .47 85% .40
Feb
12		 Monmouth D A F C- B- 53% 10% 37% A- B F F F D+ B+ B+ A- F B+ F F F 41% 20% 39% D- F F D F D- F F F
1.02 69% 20% 33% +4 +2 1.14 20% 0.7 .13 21% .34 79% .26 1.30 48% 60% 45% +7 0 1.16 39% 1.1 .44 14% .39 83% .32



Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Colonial Athletic Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.0 1st
2nd 0.2 2.7 0.8 3.8 2nd
3rd 2.5 4.4 0.3 7.1 3rd
4th 0.3 10.5 2.1 12.8 4th
5th 3.8 9.5 0.1 13.4 5th
6th 0.1 13.2 2.6 15.8 6th
7th 2.3 13.2 0.1 15.6 7th
8th 0.0 9.1 3.2 12.2 8th
9th 1.2 9.7 0.2 11.0 9th
10th 3.4 2.4 5.8 10th
11th 2.3 0.2 2.4 11th
12th 12th
13th 13th
Total 6.8 23.7 33.9 25.3 9.2 1.1 Total



Colonial Athletic Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6 0.9% 0.0    0.0
11-7 0.0%
10-8 0.0%
9-9 0.0%
Total 0.0% 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6 1.1% 5.4% 5.4% 14.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.1
11-7 9.2% 4.7% 4.7% 14.7 0.2 0.3 0.0 8.8
10-8 25.3% 2.6% 2.6% 15.1 0.1 0.5 0.1 24.6
9-9 33.9% 1.7% 1.7% 15.4 0.3 0.3 33.3
8-10 23.7% 1.3% 1.3% 16.0 0.0 0.3 23.4
7-11 6.8% 0.9% 0.9% 16.0 0.1 6.8
6-12
5-13
4-14
3-15
2-16
1-17
0-18
Total 100% 2.1% 2.1% 0.0% 15.2 97.9 0.0%


Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid		Avg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Win Out, Lose in Conf. Tourney Semi-Final 0.4%
Lose Out 4.4%