Drexel
Colonial Athletic
2023-24 - 2024-25 - 2025-26
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Overall
Predictive Rating-0.6#167
Expected Predictive Rating-2.7#211
Pace62.2#337
Improvement-1.5#271

Offense
Total Offense+0.5#162
First Shot-3.3#273
After Offensive Rebound+3.9#22
Layup/Dunks+1.4#133
2 Pt Jumpshots-0.6#206
3 Pt Jumpshots+1.3#140
Freethrows-5.4#359
Improvement+1.3#79

Defense
Total Defense-1.2#208
First Shot-2.0#239
After Offensive Rebounds+0.9#122
Layups/Dunks-2.6#267
2 Pt Jumpshots+1.0#113
3 Pt Jumpshots-0.9#218
Freethrows+0.5#157
Improvement-2.8#354
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 8.9% 9.9% 6.6%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 14.1 14.0 14.4
.500 or above 69.1% 75.5% 53.4%
.500 or above in Conference 75.7% 78.6% 68.8%
Conference Champion 12.8% 14.4% 8.8%
Last Place in Conference 1.5% 1.3% 2.0%
First Four0.2% 0.1% 0.4%
First Round8.8% 9.8% 6.4%
Second Round0.7% 0.8% 0.3%
Sweet Sixteen0.1% 0.1% 0.1%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Penn (Neutral) - 70.8% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 00 - 0
Quad 1b0 - 00 - 0
Quad 20 - 20 - 2
Quad 35 - 75 - 9
Quad 412 - 518 - 14


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 09, 2024 246   Colgate W 73-56 74%     1 - 0 +9.5 +0.9 +9.6
  Nov 12, 2024 118   @ Temple L 61-69 27%     1 - 1 -2.2 -3.8 +0.9
  Nov 16, 2024 143   La Salle L 68-71 55%     1 - 2 -5.0 -4.6 -0.5
  Nov 19, 2024 283   @ Fairfield W 67-61 61%     2 - 2 +2.6 -1.3 +4.4
  Nov 22, 2024 201   @ Fordham W 73-71 43%     3 - 2 +3.1 +7.9 -4.6
  Nov 25, 2024 150   Purdue Fort Wayne L 81-87 45%     3 - 3 -5.4 +12.3 -18.2
  Nov 26, 2024 359   Chicago St. W 83-71 89%     4 - 3 -2.3 +11.7 -12.9
  Dec 02, 2024 176   Bryant L 73-78 62%     4 - 4 -8.8 -2.7 -6.1
  Dec 07, 2024 279   Penn W 73-67 71%    
  Dec 14, 2024 237   @ Albany W 74-73 51%    
  Dec 17, 2024 284   @ Howard W 72-69 61%    
  Dec 21, 2024 31   Penn St. L 67-78 16%    
  Jan 02, 2025 278   @ Campbell W 67-64 60%    
  Jan 04, 2025 311   @ N.C. A&T W 77-73 66%    
  Jan 09, 2025 327   @ Stony Brook W 72-66 70%    
  Jan 11, 2025 147   Towson W 63-61 56%    
  Jan 16, 2025 173   Elon W 70-67 61%    
  Jan 20, 2025 156   Hofstra W 66-64 58%    
  Jan 23, 2025 152   @ Northeastern L 65-69 35%    
  Jan 25, 2025 213   Delaware W 76-71 67%    
  Jan 30, 2025 287   @ Monmouth W 71-68 60%    
  Feb 01, 2025 147   @ Towson L 60-64 35%    
  Feb 06, 2025 219   William & Mary W 79-73 69%    
  Feb 08, 2025 140   UNC Wilmington W 69-68 54%    
  Feb 13, 2025 264   @ Hampton W 67-65 57%    
  Feb 15, 2025 219   @ William & Mary L 75-76 48%    
  Feb 20, 2025 213   @ Delaware L 73-74 46%    
  Feb 22, 2025 127   College of Charleston W 73-72 52%    
  Feb 27, 2025 264   Hampton W 70-62 77%    
  Mar 01, 2025 287   Monmouth W 74-65 79%    
Projected Record 16 - 14 10 - 8




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Colonial Athletic Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.4 2.1 3.8 3.4 2.1 0.7 0.1 12.8 1st
2nd 0.0 0.4 2.7 4.7 3.0 0.8 0.1 11.8 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.2 2.6 5.1 2.9 0.5 0.0 11.3 3rd
4th 0.0 1.7 5.2 3.2 0.6 0.0 10.7 4th
5th 0.0 0.7 4.5 4.3 0.7 0.0 10.1 5th
6th 0.2 3.0 4.5 1.1 0.1 8.9 6th
7th 0.0 0.1 1.5 4.7 2.0 0.1 8.5 7th
8th 0.0 0.6 3.4 2.8 0.2 7.0 8th
9th 0.2 2.1 3.0 0.5 0.0 5.9 9th
10th 0.1 1.1 2.6 1.0 0.0 4.8 10th
11th 0.1 0.6 1.8 1.2 0.1 0.0 3.7 11th
12th 0.0 0.3 0.9 0.9 0.2 2.3 12th
13th 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.6 0.5 0.2 0.0 1.6 13th
14th 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.1 0.7 14th
Total 0.0 0.1 0.5 1.2 2.2 4.3 6.8 9.2 11.8 13.1 13.7 12.2 10.3 7.2 4.3 2.2 0.7 0.1 Total



Colonial Athletic Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0 100.0% 0.1    0.1
17-1 100.0% 0.7    0.7 0.0
16-2 95.3% 2.1    1.9 0.2 0.0
15-3 80.1% 3.4    2.4 1.0 0.1
14-4 52.4% 3.8    1.7 1.5 0.5 0.1
13-5 20.2% 2.1    0.4 0.9 0.6 0.2 0.0 0.0
12-6 3.5% 0.4    0.0 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.0 0.0
11-7 0.2% 0.0    0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
10-8 0.0%
9-9 0.0%
Total 12.8% 12.8 7.2 3.7 1.4 0.4 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0 0.1% 24.6% 24.6% 11.5 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1
17-1 0.7% 38.5% 38.5% 12.5 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.5
16-2 2.2% 27.9% 27.9% 12.9 0.0 0.2 0.3 0.1 0.0 1.6
15-3 4.3% 21.5% 21.5% 13.3 0.1 0.5 0.3 0.0 3.4
14-4 7.2% 20.5% 20.5% 13.7 0.1 0.5 0.7 0.2 5.8
13-5 10.3% 15.3% 15.3% 14.0 0.1 0.4 0.7 0.5 0.0 8.7
12-6 12.2% 13.0% 13.0% 14.4 0.0 0.2 0.6 0.6 0.1 10.7
11-7 13.7% 8.9% 8.9% 14.7 0.1 0.4 0.6 0.1 12.5
10-8 13.1% 4.7% 4.7% 14.9 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.1 12.5
9-9 11.8% 2.1% 2.1% 15.2 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 11.5
8-10 9.2% 2.1% 2.1% 15.7 0.0 0.1 0.1 9.0
7-11 6.8% 1.2% 1.2% 15.8 0.0 0.0 0.1 6.7
6-12 4.3% 0.6% 0.6% 15.9 0.0 0.0 4.2
5-13 2.2% 2.2
4-14 1.2% 1.2
3-15 0.5% 0.4% 0.4% 16.0 0.0 0.5
2-16 0.1% 0.1
1-17 0.0% 0.0
0-18
Total 100% 8.9% 8.9% 0.0% 14.1 0.0 0.0 0.6 2.1 3.0 2.5 0.7 91.1 0.0%