Drexel
Colonial Athletic
2024-25 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
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Predictive Rating -2.7 #202
Expected Predictive Rating -5.4 #250
Pace 60.9 #355
Improvement +7.4 #4

Overall 1st FGA Second Chance TOs Free
throws		 Shot Selection
Offense #279 C D+ F F C
Defense #131 C+ C- C- C C+

Offense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 38% #202 1.06 #288 -2.3 #266
2 Pt. Jumpers 19% #203 0.67 #304 -1.5 #254
Three Pointers 43% #137 1.15 #25 +4.3 #48
1st FG Attempt 1.03 #166 +0.5 #166
Freethrows 15.4 #276 65% #353 10.0 #323
Second Chance 31.0% #170 0.88 #344 0.27 #275
Turnovers 19.1% #327
Total Offense -3.7 #279

Defense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 40% #149 1.14 #154 -0.4 #192
2 Pt. Jumpers 24% #72 0.76 #172 -1.4 #290
Three Pointers 36% #310 0.95 #102 +3.7 #48
1st FG Attempt 0.98 #124 +1.9 #124
Freethrows 18.1 #219 71% #103 12.8 #200
Second Chance 32.2% #253 1.07 #217 0.34 #244
Turnovers 15.5% #239
Total Defense +1.0 #131

Miscellaneous
Offense Defense
Shot Type Mix Effect 0.3% #177 -0.7% #104
Shot Type Accuracy Effect 0.7% #164 -3.0% #129
Possession Length 19.6 #351 17.2 #158
Fast Break Points Per Possession 0.14 #252 0.20 #269
Improvement +0.3 #160 +7.1 #1

See methodology page for descriptions of rating types.
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 3.7% 4.2% 2.7%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 15.1 14.9 15.4
.500 or above 28.1% 34.9% 14.4%
.500 or above in Conference 53.6% 63.3% 34.1%
Conference Champion 0.8% 1.1% 0.2%
Last Place in Conference 1.3% 0.6% 2.6%
First Four0.6% 0.4% 0.8%
First Round3.5% 4.1% 2.4%
Second Round0.1% 0.0% 0.1%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Northeastern (Home) - 66.8% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 00 - 0
Quad 1b0 - 00 - 0
Quad 20 - 30 - 3
Quad 33 - 93 - 12
Quad 411 - 514 - 17


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Avg Lead Record Total Rating Offense Defense
Overall Conf Total First
FGA		 2nd Chance TOs Total First
FGA		 2nd Chance TOs
 Sat, Nov 8 158 @Saint Joseph's L 65 - 76 29% -1  0 - 1 -8 -5 F B D- -3 B A- D-
 Tue, Nov 11 199 @Colgate L 83 - 90 38% -7  0 - 2 -7 +10 A+ C- D -16 F D+ A-
 Sat, Nov 15 67 Syracuse L 50 - 80 15% -10  0 - 3 -22 -14 D+ F F -10 C D F
 Tue, Nov 18 334 NJIT W 75 - 43 85% +13  1 - 3 +18 -2 C- D C +20 A+ A A+
 Fri, Nov 21 179 Penn L 68 - 84 57% -9  1 - 4 -20 -5 F C- B- -16 D+ F C
 Sun, Nov 23 241 Old Dominion W 75 - 71 67% +1  2 - 4 -3 +4 B- B- D -7 C- D+ D
 Tue, Nov 25 361 @Morgan St. W 71 - 66 83% +7  3 - 4 -8 -4 D F F -4 D A+ F
 Wed, Dec 3 228 @American L 73 - 75 42% +1  3 - 5 -3 +4 A- F B -7 D+ A+ F
 Sat, Dec 6 196 La Salle L 64 - 69 49% -8  3 - 6 -7 -6 F A C -2 D+ C F
 Tue, Dec 16 269 Howard L 66 - 74 72% -7  3 - 7 -17 -5 C F D- -12 F F A+
 Fri, Dec 19 282 Mount St. Mary's W 75 - 67 75% +11  4 - 7 -2 -2 A+ D+ F -0 D- D- A+
 Sun, Dec 21 343 Maine W 74 - 56 87% +9  5 - 7 +3 +16 A+ D- F -8 C F C+
 Mon, Dec 29 161 @College of Charleston L 63 - 72 31% +1  5 - 8 0 - 1 -6 -1 C D F -6 F F B
 Wed, Dec 31 123 @UNC Wilmington L 53 - 65 21% -8  5 - 9 0 - 2 -6 -8 F B F -0 A- C- F
 Sat, Jan 3 121 Hofstra L 67 - 70 41% -8  5 - 10 0 - 3 -3 +5 C D+ A+ -9 C F D
 Thu, Jan 8 257 Stony Brook W 56 - 37 71% +7  6 - 10 1 - 3 +11 -8 F A F +23 A+ D- D-
 Sat, Jan 10 144 William & Mary W 64 - 58 48% +5  7 - 10 2 - 3 +4 -6 A+ F F +10 A+ A+ B-
 Thu, Jan 15 198 @Monmouth W 73 - 51 38% +14  8 - 10 3 - 3 +22 +15 A+ A+ F +11 A C A+
 Mon, Jan 19 163 @Towson L 58 - 59 31% +7  8 - 11 3 - 4 +1 -4 A F F +6 A+ D- C-
 Sat, Jan 24 239 Northeastern W 73 - 68 67%
 Thu, Jan 29 233 Hampton W 66 - 62 66%
 Sat, Jan 31 310 N.C. A&T W 74 - 65 80%
 Thu, Feb 5 188 @Campbell L 69 - 73 35%
 Sat, Feb 7 169 @Elon L 68 - 73 33%
 Thu, Feb 12 198 Monmouth W 66 - 63 59%
 Mon, Feb 16 257 @Stony Brook L 64 - 65 49%
 Thu, Feb 19 239 @Northeastern L 70 - 71 45%
 Sat, Feb 21 163 Towson W 62 - 61 54%
 Thu, Feb 26 188 Campbell W 72 - 70 58%
 Tue, Mar 3 121 @Hofstra L 62 - 70 22%
Totals 14 - 16 9 - 9 -3 -4 C D+ F +1 C+ C- C-




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Colonial Athletic Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 0.1 0.3 0.4 0.1 0.8 1st
2nd 0.0 1.1 1.8 0.7 0.0 3.6 2nd
3rd 0.0 1.2 3.8 1.7 0.2 6.8 3rd
4th 0.0 0.3 4.5 4.0 0.3 9.1 4th
5th 0.1 3.1 6.6 1.2 0.0 11.1 5th
6th 0.8 7.3 3.5 0.1 11.7 6th
7th 0.1 4.3 7.7 0.6 12.8 7th
8th 0.0 1.1 8.2 2.6 0.1 12.0 8th
9th 0.2 4.8 5.6 0.3 10.9 9th
10th 0.1 2.0 6.3 1.5 0.0 9.9 10th
11th 0.0 0.8 3.9 2.2 0.1 7.0 11th
12th 0.0 0.6 1.6 1.6 0.2 4.0 12th
13th 0.0 0.2 0.2 0.4 13th
Total 0.1 0.8 2.7 7.7 14.6 20.6 21.4 16.6 10.2 4.0 1.3 0.1 Total



Colonial Athletic Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4 84.6% 0.1    0.1 0.0
13-5 27.9% 0.4    0.1 0.2 0.1 0.0
12-6 6.8% 0.3    0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0
11-7 0.5% 0.1    0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
10-8 0.0%
9-9 0.0%
Total 0.8% 0.8 0.2 0.3 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4 0.1% 0.0 0.0 0.1
13-5 1.3% 14.7% 14.7% 13.9 0.1 0.1 0.0 1.1
12-6 4.0% 12.8% 12.8% 14.3 0.1 0.3 0.2 0.0 3.5
11-7 10.2% 7.6% 7.6% 14.9 0.0 0.2 0.6 0.1 9.4
10-8 16.6% 4.7% 4.7% 15.1 0.0 0.1 0.6 0.1 15.8
9-9 21.4% 3.0% 3.0% 15.3 0.5 0.2 20.7
8-10 20.6% 2.2% 2.2% 16.0 0.0 0.4 20.1
7-11 14.6% 1.3% 1.3% 16.0 0.2 14.4
6-12 7.7% 1.4% 1.4% 16.0 0.1 7.6
5-13 2.7% 0.7% 0.7% 16.0 0.0 2.7
4-14 0.8% 1.3% 1.3% 16.0 0.0 0.8
3-15 0.1% 0.1
2-16
1-17
0-18
Total 100% 3.7% 3.7% 0.0% 15.1 96.3 0.0%