Drexel
Colonial Athletic
2024-25 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
Switch to All-time Team Page
All team stats adjusted for opponents. See methodology page for descriptions of rating types.

Predictive Rating -3.1 215
Results Rating -3.3 222
Consistency 0.17 275
Pace 62.6 333
Improvement +3.6 51

Overall 1st FGA Second Chance TOs Free
throws		 Shot Selection
Offense D+ 288 C D D- D C
Defense C+ 134 B- C- D+ C- B-

Offense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 38% 189 D+ 55% 263 -1.3 231
2 Pt. Jumpers 38% 173 C- 37% 210 -0.3 193
Three Pointers 41% 166 B 37% 52 +2.1 107
Shot Selection/Accuracy C +0.0 190 C +0.4 154
1st FG Attempt C 1.03 157
Second Chance C- 29.1% 216 D- 0.88 345 D 0.26 301
Turnovers from Steals D- 11.7% 339
Other Turnovers C- 7.8% 252
Turnovers D- 19.5% 329
Freethrows D+ 0.27 277 F+ 67% 342 D 0.18 321
Total Offense D+ -4.4 288

Assists Blocks (Opponents')
Close Shots D+ 42% 286 C 10.7% 158
2 Pt. Jumpers Shots C- 22% 218 C+ 4.7% 163
Three Pointers B+ 93% 17 C+ 0.7% 134
Total C 56% 165 C+ 5.3% 151

Defense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 39% 168 B- 55% 99 -0.9 139
2 Pt. Jumpers 24% 66 C 39% 206 +1.6 306
Three Pointers 37% 299 B- 32% 94 -3.2 53
Shot Selection/Accuracy B- -0.4 99 B- -2.1 98
1st FG Attempt B- 0.97 95
Second Chance C 30.5% 186 C- 1.08 255 C- 0.33 232
Turnovers from Steals D+ 8.4% 263
Other Turnovers C- 6.9% 231
Turnovers D+ 15.4% 266
Freethrows C 0.31 208 D- 76% 344 C- 0.24 247
Total Defense C+ +1.3 134

Assists Blocks
Close Shots C 48% 165 C 11.3% 158
2 Pt. Jumpers Shots D+ 31% 296 C 5.0% 167
Three Pointers B 78% 43 D 0.2% 314
Total C+ 53% 119 C 5.7% 165

Miscellaneous
Offense Defense
Possession Length 19.1 338 17.2 160
Fast Break Points Per Possession 0.14 265 0.19 249
Consistency 0.10 48 0.15 349
Improvement -1.5 266 +5.1 11

NCAA Tournament Selection
At-Large Selection Status Out of Consideration
Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Prediction Ranges
Pessimistic
5th Percentile 		Expected
50th Percentile 		Optimistic
95th Percentile
Predictive Rating Rank 237 215 188
Results Rating Rank 249 219 186
Conference Record 9 - 9 10 - 8 11 - 7
Conference Finish 7 5 3
NCAA Tourney Seed None None None
NCAA Tourney Finish None None None

NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0% 0% 0%
#1 Seed 0% 0% 0%
Top 2 Seed 0% 0% 0%
Top 4 Seed 0% 0% 0%
Top 6 Seed 0% 0% 0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 2% 3% 1%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0% 0% 0%
Average Seed 15.0 14.9 15.2
.500 or above 42% 64% 13%
.500 or above in Conference 100% 100% 100%
Conference Champion 0% 0% 0%
Last Place in Conference 0% 0% 0%
First Four0% 0% 0%
First Round2% 3% 1%
Second Round0% 0% 0%
Sweet Sixteen0% 0% 0%
Elite Eight0% 0% 0%
Final Four0% 0% 0%
Championship Game0% 0% 0%
National Champion0% 0% 0%
Next Game: Campbell (Home) - 56.8% chance of victory

Projected Record by Quadrant
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 00 - 0
Quad 1b0 - 00 - 0
Quad 20 - 30 - 3
Quad 33 - 73 - 11
Quad 412 - 516 - 16


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Lead Record Total Rating Offense Defense
Avg Time Overall Conf Total First
FGA		 2nd Chance TOs Total First
FGA		 2nd Chance TOs
 Sat, Nov 8 125 @Saint Joseph's L 65 - 76 20% -1  45% 0 - 1 D+ -5 D -5 F B+ D+ C+ +0 B A- D-
 Tue, Nov 11 247 @Colgate L 83 - 90 45% -7  11% 0 - 2 D -9 B +6 A C- D+ F -15 F C- B+
 Sat, Nov 15 73 Syracuse L 50 - 80 15% -10  15% 0 - 3 F -22 F -18 D F F D- -7 C D F
 Tue, Nov 18 316 NJIT W 75 - 43 81% +13  82% 1 - 3 A +19 D -5 C D C A+ +24 A+ B+ A
 Fri, Nov 21 169 Penn L 68 - 84 51% -9  0% 1 - 4 F -19 D -5 D C B+ F -15 D F C-
 Sun, Nov 23 243 Old Dominion W 75 - 71 67% +1  56% 2 - 4 C- -4 C +1 C+ B D D+ -4 C- C- D
 Tue, Nov 25 348 @Morgan St. W 71 - 66 75% +7  96% 3 - 4 D+ -5 D -5 C- F F C+ +0 D+ A+ F
 Wed, Dec 3 253 @American L 73 - 75 46% +1  54% 3 - 5 C- -4 C +0 B+ F B- D+ -4 D+ A+ F
 Sat, Dec 6 212 La Salle L 64 - 69 49% -8  9% 3 - 6 D+ -8 D- -7 F A C+ C -1 D D+ D-
 Tue, Dec 16 201 Howard L 66 - 74 58% -7  4% 3 - 7 D- -13 D -6 B- F D+ D- -8 D F+ A-
 Fri, Dec 19 282 Mount St. Mary's W 75 - 67 74% +7  84% 4 - 7 C- -2 D -4 A+ D+ F B- +2 F+ C+ A+
 Sun, Dec 21 343 Maine W 74 - 56 87% +9  81% 5 - 7 C+ +2 A +12 A+ D- F D -6 B- F B
 Mon, Dec 29 151 @College of Charleston L 63 - 72 26% +1  58% 5 - 8 0 - 1 D+ -6 C- -2 C+ D F+ D -5 F+ F C+
 Wed, Dec 31 110 @UNC Wilmington L 53 - 65 18% -8  1% 5 - 9 0 - 2 D+ -5 F -10 F A F B- +3 A D F
 Sat, Jan 3 105 Hofstra L 67 - 70 34% -8  0% 5 - 10 0 - 3 C- -2 B- +4 C C- A+ D -6 C- F C-
 Thu, Jan 8 214 Stony Brook W 56 - 37 61% +7  82% 6 - 10 1 - 3 B+ +13 F+ -9 F A- F A+ +26 A+ D- F+
 Sat, Jan 10 135 William & Mary W 64 - 58 44% +5  90% 7 - 10 2 - 3 C+ +5 F+ -10 A+ F F A+ +14 A+ A B
 Thu, Jan 15 198 @Monmouth W 73 - 51 35% +14  95% 8 - 10 3 - 3 A +23 A +13 A+ A- D- A+ +14 A C A+
 Mon, Jan 19 172 @Towson L 58 - 59 30% +7  86% 8 - 11 3 - 4 C +1 D- -7 B+ F+ F A- +8 A+ F+ C-
 Sat, Jan 24 290 Northeastern W 83 - 78 76% +6  87% 9 - 11 4 - 4 D+ -6 C +1 B- F A+ D -6 C F+ F
 Thu, Jan 29 260 Hampton W 58 - 51 70% +3  69% 10 - 11 5 - 4 C -2 F -12 F C+ D- A+ +11 B A+ B
 Sat, Jan 31 270 N.C. A&T W 61 - 60 72% +6  85% 11 - 11 6 - 4 D -8 F -14 D- B- F+ B+ +6 B+ A+ D-
 Thu, Feb 5 195 @Campbell L 60 - 81 35% -6  45% 11 - 12 6 - 5 F -20 F -15 D+ F F D -5 D- D D+
 Sat, Feb 7 227 @Elon W 82 - 77 41% +6  96% 12 - 12 7 - 5 C+ +4 B- +5 B F A+ C -1 A F D+
 Thu, Feb 12 198 Monmouth L 73 - 93 58% -16  7% 12 - 13 7 - 6 F -25 D -5 B F D F -20 F F F+
 Mon, Feb 16 214 @Stony Brook L 69 - 72 38% +1  52% 12 - 14 7 - 7 C- -3 C- -1 B- B- F C- -2 C+ B- F
 Thu, Feb 19 290 @Northeastern W 70 - 61 56% +3  80% 13 - 14 8 - 7 C+ +4 D- -7 A- F F A+ +12 A+ C+ C-
 Sun, Feb 22 172 Towson W 68 - 62 53% +4  82% 14 - 14 9 - 7 C+ +2 D+ -3 D+ C+ C B+ +5 A+ D+ F
 Thu, Feb 26 195 Campbell W 73 - 71 57%
 Tue, Mar 3 105 @Hofstra L 61 - 71 17%
Totals 15 - 15 10 - 8 -3 D+ -4 A+ C C C+ +1 B F+ D



Game Detail
Grades are adjusted for opponent strength in each category. Game stats are not adjusted for oppoent strength. See methodology page for descriptions of rating types.
Offense Defense
Tot Off First Field Goal Attempt Second Chance TOs Freethrows Tot Def First Field Goal Attempt Second Chance TOs Freethrows
Shot Accuracy Shot Selection Points Per Shot Shot Accuracy Shot Selection Points Per Shot
2 C 2 L 3 Tot 2 C 2 L 3 Tot Off Reb PPP Tot Att Perc Tot 2 C 2 L 3 Tot 2 C 2 L 3 Tot Off Reb PPP Tot Att Perc Tot
Season Ratings D+ D+ C- B C 38% 38% 41% C C C- D- D D- D+ F+ D C+ B- C B- B- 39% 24% 37% B- B- C C- C- D+ C D- C-
1.02 55% 37% 37% 0 0 1.03 29% 0.9 .26 20% .27 67% .18 1.07 55% 39% 32% -2 0 0.97 30% 1.1 .33 15% .31 76% .21
Nov
8		 Saint Joseph's D F F B F 39% 23% 39% B- F B+ B- B+ D+ C+ F+ C C+ C+ A+ C- B 44% 25% 31% B+ B B- A A- D- F F F
0.91 36% 8% 36% -14 0 0.74 36% 1.1 .39 17% .24 64% .15 1.06 57% 17% 33% -6 0 0.90 30% 0.8 .24 14% .49 87% .42
Nov
11		 Colgate B D A+ A+ A 39% 4% 57% A A A- F C- D+ D- F F F D- F F F 40% 33% 28% B F A+ F C- B+ F F F
1.19 52% 50% 45% +8 +2 1.22 38% 0.7 .28 16% .26 53% .14 1.30 65% 64% 58% +21 -1 1.42 17% 1.7 .28 19% .48 89% .42
Nov
15		 Syracuse F F B+ D D 37% 23% 40% C- D A+ F F F F F F D- D- A F C- 42% 25% 33% B C D- D+ D F A F B
0.78 38% 40% 29% -10 0 0.81 43% 0.5 .21 28% .22 60% .13 1.24 68% 31% 41% +6 0 1.13 36% 1.1 .39 11% .26 73% .19
Nov
18		 NJIT D D+ D+ C D+ 53% 13% 33% A- C C- D- D C A+ F A+ A+ D+ A+ A+ A+ 21% 28% 51% B+ A+ B A B+ A F B F
1.07 54% 33% 33% -3 +2 1.00 32% 0.9 .30 14% .57 62% .35 0.62 60% 8% 13% -24 -2 0.49 22% 0.7 .16 23% .45 67% .30
Nov
21		 Penn D C- F D+ D 49% 26% 25% C- D C+ D+ C B+ B F D- F C+ F C+ D 36% 21% 43% D D F+ F F C- F F F
1.01 58% 29% 31% -4 0 0.94 33% 0.9 .28 13% .29 41% .12 1.25 53% 60% 35% +3 0 1.09 37% 1.4 .50 16% .50 79% .39
Nov
23		 Old Dominion C D- D- A+ C+ 46% 22% 33% C+ C+ B- B- B D B B- B D+ A+ C- F D+ 40% 36% 25% B C- F+ A C- D C A+ B+
1.14 52% 30% 47% +2 0 1.07 34% 1.1 .37 17% .38 76% .29 1.08 43% 37% 54% +1 -2 1.00 32% 0.9 .29 14% .28 56% .16
Nov
25		 Morgan St. D B+ F C C- 45% 12% 43% C C- B F F F A A+ A+ C+ F+ F+ A+ D- 40% 38% 23% B D+ A+ A+ A+ F C- C- D+
1.09 68% 20% 33% +2 +2 1.10 41% 0.4 .18 23% .52 81% .42 1.01 63% 44% 18% -1 -2 0.96 21% 0.6 .12 11% .36 76% .28
Dec
3		 American C B+ F A+ B 54% 19% 27% B B+ D F F B- F F F D+ B+ F F+ D 37% 16% 47% C+ D+ C A+ A+ F F A F
1.09 68% 30% 43% +7 +1 1.19 26% 0.3 .09 16% .27 60% .16 1.12 50% 50% 39% +3 0 1.08 26% 0.4 .10 9% .44 67% .30
Dec
6		 La Salle D- F D F F 42% 24% 34% C- F A+ D- A C+ B D- C+ C C- C- C D 46% 22% 33% D D C+ F+ D+ D- F+ A+ B-
0.97 38% 33% 18% -18 0 0.66 45% 1.0 .45 17% .29 63% .18 1.04 57% 40% 33% 0 0 1.02 32% 1.1 .35 15% .41 52% .21
Dec
16		 Howard D A+ D- C+ B+ 18% 16% 66% F+ B- F C+ F D+ B- F C- D- B A F D+ 60% 17% 24% F+ D D+ F+ F+ A- F F F
0.99 75% 29% 34% +2 -1 1.05 21% 1.1 .24 21% .36 63% .23 1.11 48% 29% 50% -2 +2 1.02 38% 1.2 .46 24% .49 92% .45
Dec
19		 Mount St. Mary's D B+ F A+ A 51% 5% 44% A+ A+ F A+ D+ F A A A+ B- A+ F F F 24% 22% 54% A+ F+ D+ A- C+ A+ F F F
1.05 64% 0% 42% +6 +3 1.21 13% 2.0 .26 25% .43 83% .35 0.93 40% 44% 45% +6 -1 1.12 31% 0.9 .28 32% .41 75% .31
Dec
21		 Maine A A+ D A+ A+ 29% 14% 57% C- A+ D+ F+ D- F F F F D F A+ A+ B 50% 21% 29% D B- F F F B A- F B-
1.29 83% 33% 54% +24 0 1.50 35% 0.9 .30 23% .16 57% .09 0.98 71% 22% 8% -8 +1 0.88 33% 1.3 .44 23% .25 73% .18
Dec
29		 College of Charleston C- D+ F A+ B- 20% 25% 55% D C+ C- D- D F+ A C- A- D F D+ B+ F 33% 28% 39% B+ F+ D- F F C+ B A+ A+
1.01 56% 18% 42% +1 -2 1.00 29% 0.8 .24 18% .31 69% .21 1.15 87% 38% 28% +6 -1 1.11 33% 1.4 .47 18% .31 56% .17
Dec
31		 UNC Wilmington F F+ A- F F 18% 25% 57% D+ F A C A F A+ F A- B- A+ F A+ A- 30% 37% 33% A+ A C+ F D F F C- F
0.88 50% 45% 12% -18 -2 0.61 38% 1.1 .40 18% .39 63% .24 1.08 38% 50% 21% -8 -3 0.81 31% 1.3 .40 10% .52 71% .37
Jan
3		 Hofstra B- F+ D+ B C- 44% 18% 38% A- C C- C- C- A+ B+ F C D B+ F C C 41% 20% 39% D- C- C F F C- D- B+ D+
1.13 45% 33% 37% -5 +1 0.94 29% 1.0 .29 5% .36 60% .21 1.18 50% 56% 35% +1 0 1.05 33% 1.6 .53 15% .34 71% .24
Jan
8		 Stony Brook F+ F F B- F 36% 12% 52% B F C- A+ A- F F+ A- D A+ A+ A+ A+ A+ 26% 17% 57% B A+ F+ C- D- F+ B- C- B-
0.98 33% 20% 36% -9 +1 0.86 30% 1.3 .40 23% .23 80% .18 0.65 25% 13% 15% -29 0 0.43 34% 0.9 .32 14% .22 73% .16
Jan
10		 William & Mary F+ B+ B+ A+ A+ 44% 22% 34% C- A+ C F F F C- F D A+ B A+ A+ A+ 45% 15% 40% C+ A+ C+ A+ A B A+ C A+
0.96 67% 44% 50% +13 0 1.29 31% 0.6 .19 29% .27 62% .17 0.87 54% 25% 24% -10 +1 0.85 26% 0.7 .18 20% .22 75% .17
Jan
15		 Monmouth A F A+ A+ A+ 27% 20% 54% D A+ A C+ A- D- B+ F D A+ D A+ A+ A 40% 33% 28% B- A F A+ C A+ F D F
1.23 45% 50% 55% +15 -1 1.32 42% 1.0 .42 22% .34 50% .17 0.86 63% 23% 18% -10 -1 0.80 42% 0.7 .31 23% .39 78% .31
Jan
19		 Towson D- B A C+ A- 44% 25% 31% C B+ F A+ F+ F F F F A- A+ C+ B+ A+ 36% 34% 30% B- A+ D- D F+ C- F D F
0.92 62% 50% 33% +4 0 1.10 8% 2.0 .15 21% .08 25% .02 0.94 29% 38% 29% -13 -2 0.72 41% 0.9 .39 16% .40 71% .28
Jan
24		 Northeastern C A- A+ C B+ 35% 31% 35% F B- D F F A+ A+ D- A- D A+ F D- C- 38% 24% 38% B+ C C F F+ F C- C+ C-
1.20 71% 60% 35% +12 -2 1.22 26% 0.4 .12 10% .45 68% .30 1.12 43% 54% 38% 0 0 1.02 26% 1.4 .38 12% .29 67% .20
Shot Accuracy Shot Selection PPS 2nd Chance TOs Freethrows Shot Accuracy Shot Selection PPS 2nd Chance TOs Freethrows
Jan
29		 Hampton F F+ C- F F 45% 33% 21% D- F C B- C+ D- B+ B+ A- A+ A+ F A+ B- 39% 37% 24% B B D A+ A+ B A F B+
0.93 53% 36% 22% -7 -1 0.86 28% 1.1 .31 19% .44 73% .32 0.82 37% 50% 25% -7 -2 0.84 37% 0.1 .05 21% .24 83% .20
Jan
31		 N.C. A&T F F D- B+ D- 41% 24% 35% C- D- C A- B- F+ F F F B+ B- C+ A+ A 35% 22% 43% D+ B+ A+ D- A+ D- A F B
0.95 48% 33% 39% -3 0 0.96 28% 1.2 .33 17% .04 0% .00 0.94 53% 36% 24% -9 0 0.84 16% 1.2 .19 16% .28 87% .24
Feb
5		 Campbell F C A+ F C 38% 36% 26% F D+ D- F F F F F F D F A+ B F+ 52% 21% 27% C+ D- D D+ D D+ F D F
0.87 61% 53% 25% +3 -2 1.04 25% 0.9 .21 28% .16 63% .10 1.17 76% 10% 31% +2 +1 1.08 37% 1.1 .40 16% .48 75% .36
Feb
7		 Elon B- C+ D A+ B 33% 18% 49% C B F C+ F A+ A+ C- A C B B+ A A+ 35% 14% 51% B+ A A- F F D+ F F F
1.21 59% 33% 44% +7 0 1.16 20% 1.1 .23 9% .39 71% .28 1.14 53% 29% 28% -8 +1 0.88 26% 2.0 .53 15% .47 85% .40
Feb
12		 Monmouth D A F C- B- 53% 10% 37% A- B F F F D B A- A- F A- F F F 41% 20% 39% D- F F F+ F F+ F F F
1.02 69% 20% 33% +4 +2 1.14 20% 0.7 .13 21% .34 79% .26 1.30 48% 60% 45% +6 0 1.16 39% 1.1 .44 14% .39 83% .32
Feb
16		 Stony Brook C- F+ A A+ B 36% 24% 40% D+ B- A D B- F F A- D- C- B+ D- C C+ 36% 21% 43% B- C+ C+ B B- F F+ F F
1.06 50% 45% 44% +5 -1 1.11 42% 0.8 .33 26% .21 80% .17 1.10 47% 45% 35% -2 0 0.98 27% 0.8 .22 9% .32 84% .27
Feb
19		 Northeastern D- A+ F B+ A- 48% 10% 43% B+ A- F F F F A+ F B+ A+ A+ F A- A+ 36% 28% 36% A A+ A F C+ C- B- F C-
1.04 85% 0% 39% +12 +2 1.31 4% 0.0 .00 22% .46 63% .29 0.91 33% 50% 28% -9 -1 0.82 19% 1.4 .27 16% .25 79% .20
Feb
22		 Towson D+ F+ A+ F D+ 38% 27% 36% D+ D+ B+ D C+ C A+ F A+ B+ A A+ A A+ 42% 35% 23% C A+ A+ F D+ F F D- F
1.03 47% 67% 19% -5 -1 0.91 33% 0.9 .30 15% .59 61% .36 0.94 45% 22% 25% -14 -2 0.71 21% 1.6 .33 8% .36 73% .26



Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Colonial Athletic Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 0.2 9.5 9.7 3rd
4th 0.4 26.8 0.4 27.6 4th
5th 7.3 25.6 32.9 5th
6th 15.4 1.1 16.5 6th
7th 10.7 10.7 7th
8th 2.6 2.6 8th
9th 9th
10th 10th
11th 11th
12th 12th
13th 13th
Total 36.4 53.7 9.9 Total



Colonial Athletic Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7 0.0%
10-8 0.0%
9-9 0.0%
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7 9.9% 5.8% 5.8% 14.5 0.0 0.2 0.3 9.3
10-8 53.7% 2.4% 2.4% 15.1 0.1 0.9 0.2 52.4
9-9 36.4% 1.3% 1.3% 15.3 0.3 0.1 35.9
8-10
7-11
6-12
5-13
4-14
3-15
2-16
1-17
0-18
Total 100% 2.3% 2.3% 0.0% 15.0 97.7 0.0%


Best / Worst Case Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid		Avg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Win Out 0.6% 100.0% 14.5 5.3 42.1 52.6
Win Out, Lose in Conf. Tourney Championship 0.8%
Win Out, Lose in Conf. Tourney Semi-Final 2.8%
Lose Out 17.8%