Elon
Colonial Athletic
2024-25 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
Switch to All-time Team Page
Overall
Predictive Rating-0.5#166
Expected Predictive Rating+0.2#161
Pace67.2#246
Improvement+3.5#26

Offense
Total Offense+3.7#88
First Shot+2.8#92
After Offensive Rebound+0.9#119
Layup/Dunks+3.3#68
2 Pt Jumpshots-3.4#346
3 Pt Jumpshots+2.8#86
Freethrows+0.2#165
Improvement-0.1#180

Defense
Total Defense-4.2#314
First Shot-3.8#310
After Offensive Rebounds-0.4#223
Layups/Dunks+1.4#127
2 Pt Jumpshots+1.6#57
3 Pt Jumpshots-5.9#352
Freethrows-1.0#256
Improvement+3.6#8
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 6.9% 7.7% 5.0%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 13.8 13.7 14.1
.500 or above 67.8% 75.3% 50.4%
.500 or above in Conference 65.7% 73.5% 47.6%
Conference Champion 6.4% 8.2% 2.4%
Last Place in Conference 2.7% 1.4% 5.8%
First Four0.2% 0.1% 0.3%
First Round6.8% 7.7% 4.9%
Second Round0.4% 0.4% 0.2%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Northeastern (Home) - 69.8% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 10 - 1
Quad 1b0 - 10 - 2
Quad 21 - 31 - 5
Quad 36 - 67 - 11
Quad 410 - 317 - 14


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Sat, Nov 8 294 @UNC Greensboro W 92-90 OT 64%     1 - 0 -2.1 +10.6 -12.8
  Wed, Nov 12 161 @Marshall L 89-96 37%     1 - 1 -4.1 +10.2 -13.8
  Sat, Nov 15 362 Gardner-Webb W 95-84 94%     2 - 1 -7.5 +6.6 -14.9
  Thu, Nov 20 35 @Miami (FL) L 72-99 7%     2 - 2 -10.8 +4.4 -14.0
  Mon, Nov 24 228 @Appalachian St. W 88-53 52%     3 - 2 +33.9 +29.7 +9.3
  Sat, Nov 29 174 Mercer L 84-91 64%     3 - 3 -11.1 +1.2 -11.6
  Wed, Dec 3 148 Furman L 88-97 56%     3 - 4 -11.1 +11.5 -22.4
  Sat, Dec 6 220 @Wofford W 73-52 51%     4 - 4 +20.2 +10.6 +12.8
  Sat, Dec 13 328 Northern Illinois W 85-79 87%     5 - 4 -6.9 +4.0 -11.0
  Wed, Dec 17 104 Richmond W 73-70 42%     6 - 4 +4.5 +5.5 -0.8
  Sat, Dec 20 74 @Virginia Tech L 81-82 OT 15%     6 - 5 +9.7 +13.3 -3.6
  Mon, Dec 29 205 Northeastern W 80-75 70%    
  Wed, Dec 31 169 College of Charleston W 78-75 62%    
  Thu, Jan 8 301 @N.C. A&T W 79-75 66%    
  Sat, Jan 10 225 Campbell W 83-77 73%    
  Thu, Jan 15 205 @Northeastern L 77-78 48%    
  Sat, Jan 17 110 @Hofstra L 70-77 26%    
  Thu, Jan 22 128 Towson W 71-70 51%    
  Sat, Jan 24 169 @College of Charleston L 75-78 40%    
  Thu, Jan 29 118 William & Mary L 83-84 47%    
  Sat, Jan 31 246 Stony Brook W 76-69 75%    
  Thu, Feb 5 238 @Hampton W 75-74 54%    
  Sat, Feb 7 274 Drexel W 77-68 78%    
  Thu, Feb 12 120 @UNC Wilmington L 71-77 28%    
  Sat, Feb 14 118 @William & Mary L 80-87 28%    
  Sat, Feb 21 301 N.C. A&T W 82-72 82%    
  Thu, Feb 26 128 @Towson L 67-73 30%    
  Sat, Feb 28 224 @Monmouth W 76-75 52%    
  Tue, Mar 3 120 UNC Wilmington L 73-74 49%    
Projected Record 16 - 13 10 - 8




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Colonial Athletic Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.5 1.5 2.0 1.6 0.6 0.2 0.0 6.4 1st
2nd 0.1 0.7 2.8 3.5 1.4 0.3 0.0 8.8 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.6 3.7 4.6 1.9 0.2 0.0 10.9 3rd
4th 0.3 3.4 5.6 2.1 0.2 0.0 11.7 4th
5th 0.2 2.8 6.2 2.9 0.3 0.0 12.4 5th
6th 0.0 1.7 6.0 3.5 0.4 0.0 11.6 6th
7th 0.0 0.8 4.8 4.1 0.5 0.0 10.3 7th
8th 0.0 0.3 2.9 4.4 1.1 0.0 8.6 8th
9th 0.2 1.6 3.7 1.4 0.1 6.9 9th
10th 0.0 0.0 0.8 2.5 1.7 0.2 5.2 10th
11th 0.0 0.4 1.6 1.4 0.2 0.0 3.6 11th
12th 0.0 0.2 0.8 1.0 0.3 0.0 2.3 12th
13th 0.0 0.1 0.4 0.4 0.1 0.0 1.1 13th
Total 0.0 0.2 0.6 1.7 3.6 6.0 9.4 12.7 14.3 14.3 13.3 10.3 7.1 3.7 1.9 0.7 0.2 0.0 Total



Colonial Athletic Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0 100.0% 0.0    0.0
17-1 100.0% 0.2    0.2
16-2 95.0% 0.6    0.6 0.1 0.0
15-3 83.4% 1.6    1.1 0.4 0.0
14-4 55.6% 2.0    1.1 0.8 0.2 0.0
13-5 21.3% 1.5    0.4 0.7 0.4 0.1 0.0
12-6 4.4% 0.5    0.1 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.0
11-7 0.2% 0.0    0.0 0.0 0.0
10-8 0.0%
9-9 0.0%
Total 6.4% 6.4 3.3 2.1 0.8 0.2 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0 0.0% 0.0 0.0
17-1 0.2% 30.4% 30.4% 12.4 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1
16-2 0.7% 28.4% 28.4% 12.5 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.5
15-3 1.9% 23.7% 23.7% 12.8 0.1 0.3 0.0 1.5
14-4 3.7% 18.8% 18.8% 13.1 0.0 0.1 0.5 0.1 0.0 3.0
13-5 7.1% 16.1% 16.1% 13.4 0.1 0.6 0.4 0.1 5.9
12-6 10.3% 13.2% 13.2% 13.6 0.1 0.5 0.7 0.1 8.9
11-7 13.3% 8.0% 8.0% 13.9 0.0 0.3 0.5 0.2 12.3
10-8 14.3% 6.0% 6.0% 14.2 0.0 0.1 0.4 0.3 0.0 13.5
9-9 14.3% 3.5% 3.5% 14.6 0.0 0.2 0.3 0.0 13.8
8-10 12.7% 2.4% 2.4% 15.1 0.0 0.2 0.1 12.4
7-11 9.4% 1.6% 1.6% 15.8 0.0 0.1 9.3
6-12 6.0% 1.4% 1.4% 16.0 0.0 0.1 6.0
5-13 3.6% 0.7% 0.7% 16.0 0.0 3.6
4-14 1.7% 0.4% 0.4% 16.0 0.0 1.6
3-15 0.6% 0.5% 0.5% 16.0 0.0 0.6
2-16 0.2% 0.2
1-17 0.0% 0.0
0-18
Total 100% 6.9% 6.9% 0.0% 13.8 0.0 0.5 2.4 2.4 1.2 0.3 93.1 0.0%