LIU Brooklyn
Northeast
2019-20 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
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Predictive Rating -2.8 #207
Expected Predictive Rating -0.1 #161
Pace 71.8 #109
Improvement +3.0 #46

Overall 1st FG Attempt Freethrows Second Chance Turnovers Shot Selection
Offense #157 B- C B- D- C
Defense #271 C- C F C+ D

Offense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 46% #24 1.15 #196 +4.1 #57
2 Pt. Jumpers 24% #109 0.86 #63 +2.6 #59
Three Pointers 30% #356 1.17 #25 -3.2 #287
1st FG Attempt 1.09 #89 +3.5 #87
Freethrows 18.4 #129 66% #322 12.2 #201
Second Chance 35.2% #62 1.03 #187 0.36 #93
Turnovers 19.5% #327
Total Offense +0.3 #157

Defense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Total Effect
Close Shots 46% #17 1.15 #150 -4.2 #313
2 Pt. Jumpers 20% #201 0.75 #172 +0.3 #169
Three Pointers 34% #341 1.08 #272 +2.4 #96
1st FG Attempt 1.05 #223 -1.5 #223
Freethrows 18.5 #243 68% #38 12.5 #192
Second Chance 37.3% #350 1.14 #296 0.43 #348
Turnovers 17.9% #106
Total Defense -3.1 #271

Miscellaneous
Offense Defense
Shot Type Mix Effect 0.3% #174 1.4% #294
Shot Type Make % Effect 6.7% #84 1.5% #213
Possession Length 16.6 #128 16.7 #105
Fast Break Points Per Possession 0.24 #40 0.18 #201
Improvement +4.0 #10 -1.0 #258

See methodology page for descriptions of rating types.
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 44.1% 47.9% 39.6%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 15.7 15.2 15.5
.500 or above 96.1% 98.1% 91.7%
.500 or above in Conference 97.1% 97.0% 97.3%
Conference Champion 46.2% 52.8% 31.3%
Last Place in Conference 0.1% 0.0% 0.2%
First Four8.9% 7.8% 11.5%
First Round41.1% 44.1% 34.4%
Second Round0.6% 0.7% 0.3%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Chicago St. (Away) - 69.4% chance of victory

Projected Seeding 16 seed  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 20 - 2
Quad 1b0 - 10 - 3
Quad 20 - 10 - 4
Quad 31 - 21 - 7
Quad 419 - 520 - 12


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Avg Lead Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Mon, Nov 3 59 @Notre Dame L 67-89 9%     -14.8   0 - 1 -10.0 +0.5 -10.2
  Thu, Nov 6 355 @IU Indianapolis W 94-90 78%     -0.7   1 - 1 -6.7 -3.7 -3.8
  Tue, Nov 11 331 @Air Force W 76-72 67%     0.3   2 - 1 -3.4 +4.0 -7.4
  Sat, Nov 15 195 James Madison W 88-79 60%     9.9   3 - 1 +3.8 +3.2 -0.2
  Thu, Nov 20 184 @Fordham L 53-69 34%     -10.7   3 - 2 -14.4 -13.8 -1.5
  Sat, Nov 22 9 @Illinois L 58-98 2%     -26.2   3 - 3 -17.0 -6.3 -10.1
  Mon, Nov 24 200 @Missouri St. W 75-61 37%     -1.3   4 - 3 +14.5 +13.1 +3.0
  Tue, Dec 2 151 Winthrop L 92-94 OT 50%     -3.9   4 - 4 -4.8 +6.8 -11.4
  Sat, Dec 6 329 @Lehigh W 87-82 67%     6.7   5 - 4 -2.4 +8.2 -10.8
  Sat, Dec 13 232 La Salle W 70-60 66%     4.6   6 - 4 +2.8 -1.2 +4.6
  Tue, Dec 16 64 @Mississippi St. L 83-87 10%     -2.7   6 - 5 +7.6 +13.4 -5.7
  Sat, Dec 20 161 @Florida International L 79-86 30%     -1.6   6 - 6 -4.3 -0.1 -3.7
  Mon, Dec 29 20 @Georgia L 74-89 3%     -0.9   6 - 7 +4.2 +4.2 +1.0
  Fri, Jan 2 278 Central Connecticut St. W 84-78 74%     1.5   7 - 7 1 - 0 -3.6 +22.6 -25.0
  Sun, Jan 4 337 @Chicago St. W 82-76 69%    
  Thu, Jan 8 332 Mercyhurst W 77-66 84%    
  Sat, Jan 17 352 @Fairleigh Dickinson W 81-74 75%    
  Mon, Jan 19 296 @Le Moyne W 81-79 56%    
  Fri, Jan 23 350 @Stonehill W 75-68 73%    
  Sun, Jan 25 271 Wagner W 79-72 73%    
  Thu, Jan 29 296 Le Moyne W 84-76 76%    
  Sat, Jan 31 278 @Central Connecticut St. W 75-74 53%    
  Thu, Feb 5 327 New Haven W 76-65 83%    
  Sat, Feb 7 350 Stonehill W 78-65 88%    
  Thu, Feb 12 271 @Wagner W 76-75 52%    
  Sat, Feb 14 327 @New Haven W 73-68 66%    
  Thu, Feb 19 363 @St. Francis (PA) W 82-71 85%    
  Sat, Feb 21 332 @Mercyhurst W 74-69 66%    
  Thu, Feb 26 337 Chicago St. W 85-73 85%    
  Sat, Feb 28 352 Fairleigh Dickinson W 84-71 88%    
Projected Record 19 - 11 13 - 4




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Northeast Finish

0-16 1-15 2-14 3-13 4-12 5-11 6-10 7-9 8-8 9-7 10-6 11-5 12-4 13-3 14-2 15-1 16-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.4 2.7 9.2 13.8 11.8 6.5 44.5 1st
2nd 0.0 0.3 3.3 8.1 8.4 3.9 0.8 0.0 24.9 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.1 2.2 5.6 4.5 1.3 0.1 13.8 3rd
4th 0.1 1.2 3.5 2.4 0.4 0.0 7.6 4th
5th 0.0 0.5 1.8 1.4 0.2 4.0 5th
6th 0.0 0.2 0.9 0.8 0.1 2.0 6th
7th 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.4 0.1 0.9 7th
8th 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.0 0.4 8th
9th 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.1 9th
10th 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 10th
Total 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.8 1.9 4.0 7.6 11.9 15.7 19.0 17.8 12.7 6.5 Total



Northeast Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
16-0 99.5% 6.5    6.3 0.2
15-1 93.4% 11.8    10.2 1.6 0.0
14-2 77.4% 13.8    9.3 4.1 0.3 0.0
13-3 48.5% 9.2    4.0 4.2 1.0 0.1
12-4 17.5% 2.7    0.5 1.2 0.8 0.2 0.0
11-5 3.4% 0.4    0.0 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.0
10-6 0.1% 0.0    0.0
9-7 0.0%
8-8 0.0%
Total 44.5% 44.5 30.4 11.4 2.3 0.4 0.1 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
16-0 6.5% 65.5% 65.5% 14.3 0.0 0.5 1.9 1.8 0.1 2.3
15-1 12.7% 59.3% 59.3% 14.9 0.0 0.1 1.8 4.5 1.0 5.2
14-2 17.8% 53.8% 53.8% 15.3 0.0 0.9 5.0 3.6 8.2
13-3 19.0% 46.2% 46.2% 15.6 0.2 3.2 5.4 10.2
12-4 15.7% 39.2% 39.2% 15.8 0.1 1.4 4.7 9.5
11-5 11.9% 34.3% 34.3% 15.9 0.0 0.4 3.6 7.8
10-6 7.6% 28.9% 28.9% 15.9 0.2 2.1 5.4
9-7 4.0% 25.8% 25.8% 16.0 0.0 1.0 3.0
8-8 1.9% 13.4% 13.4% 16.0 0.3 1.6
7-9 0.8% 14.1% 14.1% 16.0 0.1 0.7
6-10 0.3% 19.6% 19.6% 16.0 0.1 0.2
5-11 0.1% 0.0 0.1
4-12 0.0% 0.0 0.0
3-13 0.0% 0.0
2-14
1-15
0-16
Total 100% 44.1% 44.1% 0.0% 15.4 0.0 0.6 4.9 16.6 21.9 56.0 0.0%


Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid		Avg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Win Out 1.3% 100.0% 13.1 0.4 17.4 58.5 23.3 0.4
Win Out, Lose in Conf. Tourney Championship 0.3%
Win Out, Lose in Conf. Tourney Semi-Final 0.2%