LIU Brooklyn
Northeast
2019-20 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
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Predictive Rating -2.3 #195
Expected Predictive Rating +0.6 #152
Pace 70.5 #136
Improvement +1.6 #112

Overall 1st FGA Second Chance TOs Free
throws		 Shot Selection
Offense #225 C C+ F+ D+ C
Defense #176 C D+ C+ C D

Offense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 44% #38 1.14 #190 +3.1 #78
2 Pt. Jumpers 25% #84 0.82 #90 +2.6 #62
Three Pointers 30% #352 1.04 #136 -5.1 #330
1st FG Attempt 1.03 #153 +0.7 #153
Freethrows 0.29 #208 65% #361 0.19 #285
Second Chance 35.5% #50 0.99 #231 0.35 #95
Turnovers 20.2% #347
Total Offense -2.0 #225

Defense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 46% #16 1.12 #124 -3.7 #301
2 Pt. Jumpers 19% #221 0.74 #143 +0.8 #124
Three Pointers 35% #338 1.04 #222 +2.8 #73
1st FG Attempt 1.02 #183 -0.1 #183
Freethrows 0.32 #265 68% #25 0.22 #207
Second Chance 33.6% #300 1.07 #260 0.36 #295
Turnovers 17.9% #107
Total Defense -0.3 #176

Miscellaneous
Offense Defense
Shot Type Mix Effect -0.4% #218 1.5% #312
Shot Type Accuracy Effect 1.7% #143 -1.3% #157
Possession Length 17.1 #153 17.0 #145
Fast Break Points Per Possession 0.25 #23 0.20 #271
Improvement -1.4 #266 +3.1 #37

See methodology page for descriptions of rating types.
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 61.5% 62.1% 57.9%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 15.1 15.0 15.5
.500 or above 100.0% 100.0% 99.9%
.500 or above in Conference 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%
Conference Champion 96.5% 97.9% 88.1%
Last Place in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Four5.3% 4.5% 10.2%
First Round59.1% 60.1% 53.2%
Second Round0.7% 0.7% 0.6%
Sweet Sixteen0.1% 0.1% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: New Haven (Home) - 86.0% chance of victory

Projected Seeding 16 seed  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 20 - 2
Quad 1b0 - 10 - 3
Quad 20 - 10 - 4
Quad 31 - 31 - 7
Quad 421 - 322 - 10


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Avg Lead Record Total Rating Offense Defense
Overall Conf Total First
FGA		 2nd Chance TOs Total First
FGA		 2nd Chance TOs
 Mon, Nov 3 82 @Notre Dame L 67 - 89 13% -15  0 - 1 -12 -2 D B- F -10 D F A+
 Thu, Nov 6 341 @IU Indianapolis W 94 - 90 72% -1  1 - 1 -5 -3 B- C+ F -3 B- D- C
 Tue, Nov 11 350 @Air Force W 76 - 72 75% +0  2 - 1 -5 +3 C B- F -8 C F D+
 Sat, Nov 15 204 James Madison W 88 - 79 63% +10  3 - 1 +3 +4 A+ F F -1 D+ C B
 Thu, Nov 20 170 @Fordham L 53 - 69 33% -11  3 - 2 -14 -14 F F D- -1 D- A+ D
 Sat, Nov 22 8 @Illinois L 58 - 98 2% -26  3 - 3 -16 -7 B- D- F -8 F+ F A-
 Mon, Nov 24 183 @Missouri St. W 75 - 61 36% -1  4 - 3 +15 +12 A+ C+ D- +5 A+ F D+
 Tue, Dec 2 123 Winthrop L 92 - 94 OT 43% -4  4 - 4 -3 +10 B+ A- D+ -12 B F D+
 Sat, Dec 6 302 @Lehigh W 87 - 82 61% +7  5 - 4 -0 +9 C A+ D- -10 C- F A+
 Sat, Dec 13 213 La Salle W 70 - 60 64% +5  6 - 4 +4 -1 D A+ F +5 B+ F A+
 Tue, Dec 16 72 @Mississippi St. L 83 - 87 11% -3  6 - 5 +7 +14 A- B A+ -7 C F D-
 Sat, Dec 20 186 @Florida International L 79 - 86 37% -2  6 - 6 -6 +1 C D+ F -6 F C+ B
 Mon, Dec 29 34 @Georgia L 74 - 89 5% -1  6 - 7 +2 +3 C+ C+ C- -0 B- D B+
 Fri, Jan 2 300 Central Connecticut St. W 84 - 78 80% +1  7 - 7 1 - 0 -5 +21 B+ A+ A -25 F F+ D-
 Sun, Jan 4 356 @Chicago St. W 74 - 55 80% +11  8 - 7 2 - 0 +8 +2 B- C F +8 B+ A D
 Thu, Jan 8 304 Mercyhurst W 60 - 58 80% +4  9 - 7 3 - 0 -9 -6 D D- C -2 C+ F+ C
 Sat, Jan 10 358 St. Francis (PA) W 67 - 63 91% +1  10 - 7 4 - 0 -13 -15 F A+ F +2 D A B
 Sat, Jan 17 344 @Fairleigh Dickinson W 66 - 59 73% +2  11 - 7 5 - 0 -2 -6 C C F +5 B B C
 Mon, Jan 19 296 @Le Moyne L 77 - 83 59% -4  11 - 8 5 - 1 -11 +1 D- A+ D -11 F A- C
 Fri, Jan 23 328 @Stonehill W 66 - 63 69% -3  12 - 8 6 - 1 -4 +1 D D+ B -5 D F B-
 Thu, Jan 29 296 Le Moyne W 83 - 61 79% +11  13 - 8 7 - 1 +11 -1 B D+ F +11 A+ A C+
 Sat, Jan 31 300 @Central Connecticut St. W 80 - 59 60% +2  14 - 8 8 - 1 +16 +8 B- B C- +9 A+ C+ C
 Thu, Feb 5 334 New Haven W 73 - 61 86%
 Sat, Feb 7 328 Stonehill W 72 - 61 85%
 Thu, Feb 12 330 @Wagner W 74 - 69 69%
 Sat, Feb 14 334 @New Haven W 70 - 64 70%
 Thu, Feb 19 358 @St. Francis (PA) W 80 - 71 80%
 Sat, Feb 21 304 @Mercyhurst W 70 - 67 61%
 Thu, Feb 26 356 Chicago St. W 81 - 66 92%
 Sat, Feb 28 344 Fairleigh Dickinson W 78 - 66 88%
Totals 20 - 10 14 - 3 -2 -2 C C+ F+ +0 C D+ C+




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Northeast Finish

0-16 1-15 2-14 3-13 4-12 5-11 6-10 7-9 8-8 9-7 10-6 11-5 12-4 13-3 14-2 15-1 16-0 Total
1st 0.4 4.4 15.2 28.2 31.9 16.4 96.5 1st
2nd 0.0 0.8 1.5 0.5 2.8 2nd
3rd 0.1 0.3 0.1 0.5 3rd
4th 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.2 4th
5th 0.0 0.0 0.0 5th
6th 0.0 0.0 6th
7th 7th
8th 8th
9th 9th
10th 10th
Total 0.0 0.3 1.6 5.9 15.7 28.2 31.9 16.4 Total



Northeast Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
16-0 100.0% 16.4    16.4
15-1 100.0% 31.9    31.9
14-2 100.0% 28.2    27.4 0.8
13-3 96.9% 15.2    12.1 3.1 0.1
12-4 74.4% 4.4    1.8 1.8 0.7 0.1
11-5 27.6% 0.4    0.0 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.0
10-6 0.0%
9-7 0.0%
8-8
Total 96.5% 96.5 89.5 5.9 1.0 0.1 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
16-0 16.4% 68.1% 68.1% 14.0 0.1 2.2 6.2 2.6 0.0 5.2
15-1 31.9% 64.1% 64.1% 15.0 0.1 3.8 13.0 3.6 11.4
14-2 28.2% 60.6% 60.6% 15.4 0.0 0.9 8.3 7.9 11.1
13-3 15.7% 57.3% 57.3% 15.7 0.1 2.7 6.2 6.7
12-4 5.9% 50.6% 50.6% 15.8 0.0 0.6 2.4 2.9
11-5 1.6% 44.3% 44.3% 15.9 0.1 0.6 0.9
10-6 0.3% 28.8% 28.8% 15.9 0.0 0.1 0.2
9-7 0.0% 0.0 0.0
8-8
7-9
6-10
5-11
4-12
3-13
2-14
1-15
0-16
Total 100% 61.5% 61.5% 0.0% 15.1 38.5 0.0%


Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid		Avg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Win Out 11.2% 100.0% 14.0 0.8 20.1 55.4 23.4 0.3
Win Out, Lose in Conf. Tourney Championship 2.8%
Win Out, Lose in Conf. Tourney Semi-Final 2.4%