LIU Brooklyn
Northeast
2019-20 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
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Predictive Rating -2.9 #202
Expected Predictive Rating -0.8 #172
Pace 73.2 #76
Improvement +3.0 #39

Overall 1st FG Attempt Freethrows Second Chance Turnovers Shot Selection
Offense #196 B- C C+ F C
Defense #228 C C F B- D

Offense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 46% #18 1.16 #184 +4.6 #48
2 Pt. Jumpers 24% #98 0.86 #68 +2.9 #56
Three Pointers 29% #358 1.14 #49 -4.2 #305
1st FG Attempt 1.08 #92 +3.3 #91
Freethrows 18.1 #143 67% #315 12.1 #206
Second Chance 33.7% #92 1.03 #189 0.35 #119
Turnovers 20.0% #337
Total Offense -1.1 #196

Defense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Total Effect
Close Shots 47% #16 1.14 #152 -4.1 #305
2 Pt. Jumpers 20% #190 0.72 #149 +0.5 #159
Three Pointers 34% #340 1.05 #233 +3.0 #73
1st FG Attempt 1.03 #204 -0.5 #204
Freethrows 18.8 #258 67% #27 12.5 #202
Second Chance 37.2% #347 1.15 #291 0.43 #347
Turnovers 18.2% #99
Total Defense -1.8 #228

Miscellaneous
Offense Defense
Shot Type Mix Effect 0.2% #178 1.4% #296
Shot Type Make % Effect 6.2% #94 -0.3% #181
Possession Length 16.4 #106 16.6 #97
Fast Break Points Per Possession 0.25 #33 0.18 #195
Improvement +2.0 #45 +1.0 #122

See methodology page for descriptions of rating types.
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 43.8% 47.6% 37.3%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 15.7 15.3 15.6
.500 or above 94.9% 97.3% 88.1%
.500 or above in Conference 96.4% 97.0% 94.8%
Conference Champion 45.8% 53.6% 24.6%
Last Place in Conference 0.2% 0.1% 0.4%
First Four10.2% 9.4% 12.4%
First Round40.1% 43.2% 31.5%
Second Round0.5% 0.6% 0.3%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Central Connecticut St. (Home) - 73.3% chance of victory

Projected Seeding 16 seed  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 20 - 2
Quad 1b0 - 10 - 3
Quad 20 - 10 - 4
Quad 31 - 21 - 6
Quad 419 - 620 - 12


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Avg Lead Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Mon, Nov 3 61 @Notre Dame L 67-89 9%     -14.8   0 - 1 -10.0 +0.7 -10.4
  Thu, Nov 6 354 @IU Indianapolis W 94-90 77%     -0.7   1 - 1 -6.7 -3.8 -3.6
  Tue, Nov 11 324 @Air Force W 76-72 65%     0.3   2 - 1 -2.8 +3.4 -6.2
  Sat, Nov 15 205 James Madison W 88-79 62%     9.9   3 - 1 +3.0 +2.5 -0.2
  Thu, Nov 20 185 @Fordham L 53-69 34%     -10.7   3 - 2 -14.6 -14.2 -1.3
  Sat, Nov 22 8 @Illinois L 58-98 2%     -26.2   3 - 3 -16.6 -6.7 -9.2
  Mon, Nov 24 225 @Missouri St. W 75-61 42%     -1.3   4 - 3 +13.3 +12.9 +2.0
  Tue, Dec 2 150 Winthrop L 92-94 OT 49%     -3.9   4 - 4 -4.6 +7.0 -11.4
  Sat, Dec 6 327 @Lehigh W 87-82 66%     6.7   5 - 4 -2.0 +7.8 -10.0
  Sat, Dec 13 231 La Salle W 70-60 66%     4.6   6 - 4 +2.8 -1.6 +5.0
  Tue, Dec 16 73 @Mississippi St. L 83-87 11%     -2.7   6 - 5 +6.9 +13.4 -6.4
  Sat, Dec 20 186 @Florida International L 79-86 34%     -1.6   6 - 6 -5.6 -0.2 -4.8
  Mon, Dec 29 21 @Georgia L 74-89 3%     -0.9   6 - 7 +4.2 +4.8 +0.4
  Fri, Jan 2 279 Central Connecticut St. W 76-69 73%    
  Sun, Jan 4 334 @Chicago St. W 80-75 68%    
  Thu, Jan 8 317 Mercyhurst W 76-66 82%    
  Sat, Jan 17 357 @Fairleigh Dickinson W 81-73 78%    
  Mon, Jan 19 309 @Le Moyne W 81-78 61%    
  Fri, Jan 23 337 @Stonehill W 74-68 69%    
  Sun, Jan 25 291 Wagner W 78-71 75%    
  Thu, Jan 29 309 Le Moyne W 84-75 79%    
  Sat, Jan 31 279 @Central Connecticut St. W 73-72 53%    
  Thu, Feb 5 340 New Haven W 76-64 86%    
  Sat, Feb 7 337 Stonehill W 77-65 86%    
  Thu, Feb 12 291 @Wagner W 75-74 55%    
  Sat, Feb 14 340 @New Haven W 73-67 70%    
  Thu, Feb 19 361 @St. Francis (PA) W 82-72 81%    
  Sat, Feb 21 317 @Mercyhurst W 73-69 63%    
  Thu, Feb 26 334 Chicago St. W 83-72 84%    
  Sat, Feb 28 357 Fairleigh Dickinson W 84-70 90%    
Projected Record 19 - 11 13 - 4




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Northeast Finish

0-16 1-15 2-14 3-13 4-12 5-11 6-10 7-9 8-8 9-7 10-6 11-5 12-4 13-3 14-2 15-1 16-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.5 3.9 10.1 12.7 11.1 5.9 44.3 1st
2nd 0.5 3.9 8.4 7.3 2.9 0.7 0.1 23.7 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.2 2.6 5.9 4.0 0.9 0.1 13.8 3rd
4th 0.1 1.6 3.7 2.1 0.4 7.8 4th
5th 0.0 0.6 2.2 1.3 0.2 4.3 5th
6th 0.0 0.3 1.2 0.8 0.1 2.4 6th
7th 0.2 0.7 0.4 0.1 1.3 7th
8th 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.2 0.0 0.6 8th
9th 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.2 9th
10th 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 10th
Total 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.6 1.3 2.4 4.9 8.1 12.5 16.6 18.3 15.8 11.8 5.9 Total



Northeast Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
16-0 99.2% 5.9    5.8 0.1
15-1 93.9% 11.1    9.9 1.2 0.0
14-2 80.7% 12.7    9.5 3.0 0.2
13-3 55.2% 10.1    4.9 4.3 0.9 0.0
12-4 23.5% 3.9    1.1 1.5 1.1 0.2 0.0
11-5 3.8% 0.5    0.0 0.2 0.2 0.0 0.0
10-6 0.2% 0.0    0.0
9-7 0.0%
8-8 0.0%
Total 44.3% 44.3 31.2 10.3 2.5 0.3 0.1



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
16-0 5.9% 65.8% 65.8% 14.3 0.4 1.9 1.5 0.0 2.0
15-1 11.8% 60.8% 60.8% 14.9 0.1 1.5 4.6 1.0 4.6
14-2 15.8% 54.4% 54.4% 15.4 0.0 0.4 4.6 3.6 7.2
13-3 18.3% 48.9% 48.9% 15.6 0.2 3.4 5.4 9.4
12-4 16.6% 38.7% 38.7% 15.8 0.1 1.3 5.1 10.2
11-5 12.5% 32.8% 32.8% 15.9 0.4 3.7 8.4
10-6 8.1% 31.5% 31.5% 16.0 0.1 2.5 5.6
9-7 4.9% 26.2% 26.2% 16.0 0.0 1.3 3.6
8-8 2.4% 17.2% 17.2% 16.0 0.0 0.4 2.0
7-9 1.3% 20.0% 20.0% 16.0 0.3 1.0
6-10 0.6% 12.7% 12.7% 16.0 0.1 0.5
5-11 0.1% 0.0 0.1
4-12 0.1% 0.0 0.1
3-13 0.0% 0.0
2-14
1-15
0-16
Total 100% 43.8% 43.8% 0.0% 15.4 0.5 4.1 15.9 23.3 56.2 0.0%


Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid		Avg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Win Out 1.0% 100.0% 13.1 1.0 15.4 56.7 25.0 1.9
Win Out, Lose in Conf. Tourney Championship 0.3%