Stanford
Atlantic Coast
2024-25 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
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Overall
Predictive Rating+6.9#81
Expected Predictive Rating+10.0#60
Pace72.6#92
Improvement+0.7#134

Offense
Total Offense+3.4#96
First Shot+1.5#131
After Offensive Rebound+1.9#63
Layup/Dunks+0.2#180
2 Pt Jumpshots-3.1#337
3 Pt Jumpshots+2.0#119
Freethrows+2.5#51
Improvement+0.2#158

Defense
Total Defense+3.5#76
First Shot+3.1#83
After Offensive Rebounds+0.5#159
Layups/Dunks+2.1#103
2 Pt Jumpshots-1.3#283
3 Pt Jumpshots+3.7#51
Freethrows-1.3#279
Improvement+0.4#154
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.3% 0.3% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 14.1% 15.0% 6.1%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 13.9% 14.8% 6.1%
Average Seed 9.7 9.7 10.0
.500 or above 82.5% 85.0% 61.5%
.500 or above in Conference 27.2% 28.3% 17.3%
Conference Champion 0.2% 0.2% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 6.8% 6.3% 10.9%
First Four4.9% 5.2% 2.9%
First Round11.2% 12.0% 4.5%
Second Round3.8% 4.1% 1.2%
Sweet Sixteen0.5% 0.6% 0.2%
Elite Eight0.1% 0.1% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Cal St. Northridge (Home) - 89.3% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a1 - 41 - 4
Quad 1b2 - 43 - 8
Quad 24 - 37 - 11
Quad 35 - 312 - 13
Quad 46 - 018 - 14


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Tue, Nov 4 173 Portland St. W 89-79 85%     1 - 0 +6.0 +6.3 -1.7
  Sat, Nov 8 209 Montana W 91-68 89%     2 - 0 +16.8 +8.5 +6.8
  Wed, Nov 12 168 Montana St. W 77-68 84%     3 - 0 +5.4 -1.6 +6.5
  Tue, Nov 18 314 Louisiana W 93-66 95%     4 - 0 +15.1 +16.3 -1.7
  Fri, Nov 21 112 Seattle L 69-77 73%     4 - 1 -7.5 -3.6 -3.7
  Thu, Nov 27 96 Minnesota W 72-68 54%     5 - 1 +9.8 +9.1 +1.1
  Fri, Nov 28 37 Saint Louis W 78-77 27%     6 - 1 +14.1 +8.8 +5.3
  Mon, Dec 1 256 Portland W 94-72 91%     7 - 1 +13.7 +18.7 -4.8
  Sun, Dec 7 133 UNLV L 74-75 78%     7 - 2 -2.3 -2.4 +0.2
  Sat, Dec 13 197 @San Jose St. W 86-82 73%     8 - 2 +4.7 +13.2 -8.5
  Wed, Dec 17 167 Texas Arlington W 76-60 84%     9 - 2 +12.4 +7.5 +5.5
  Sat, Dec 20 73 Colorado W 77-68 47%     10 - 2 +16.7 +5.1 +11.5
  Sat, Dec 27 212 Cal St. Northridge W 88-75 89%    
  Tue, Dec 30 64 Notre Dame W 73-72 56%    
  Fri, Jan 2 13 Louisville L 77-85 23%    
  Wed, Jan 7 74 @Virginia Tech L 75-79 36%    
  Sat, Jan 10 26 @Virginia L 71-82 15%    
  Wed, Jan 14 21 North Carolina L 73-79 28%    
  Sat, Jan 17 4 Duke L 70-82 13%    
  Sat, Jan 24 65 California W 76-74 56%    
  Wed, Jan 28 35 @Miami (FL) L 73-82 19%    
  Sat, Jan 31 113 @Florida St. W 82-81 52%    
  Wed, Feb 4 40 Clemson L 70-72 42%    
  Sat, Feb 7 129 Georgia Tech W 80-72 76%    
  Wed, Feb 11 156 @Boston College W 73-69 63%    
  Sat, Feb 14 61 @Wake Forest L 75-80 33%    
  Sat, Feb 21 65 @California L 73-77 35%    
  Wed, Feb 25 84 Pittsburgh W 74-71 62%    
  Sat, Feb 28 42 SMU L 78-80 42%    
  Wed, Mar 4 64 @Notre Dame L 70-75 34%    
  Sat, Mar 7 28 @North Carolina St. L 74-85 17%    
Projected Record 18 - 13 7 - 11




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Atlantic Coast Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.2 1st
2nd 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.6 2nd
3rd 0.1 0.5 0.5 0.1 1.2 3rd
4th 0.1 0.6 0.9 0.3 0.0 1.9 4th
5th 0.4 1.4 0.7 0.1 2.5 5th
6th 0.1 1.5 1.6 0.2 0.0 3.5 6th
7th 0.0 1.1 2.6 0.8 0.0 4.4 7th
8th 0.5 3.1 2.1 0.2 5.9 8th
9th 0.1 2.4 3.9 0.8 0.0 7.1 9th
10th 0.0 1.2 4.7 2.2 0.1 8.1 10th
11th 0.0 0.4 4.0 4.2 0.5 9.1 11th
12th 0.1 2.2 5.8 1.8 0.0 9.9 12th
13th 0.0 0.9 5.0 3.7 0.4 10.0 13th
14th 0.0 0.4 3.6 5.0 1.1 0.0 10.0 14th
15th 0.0 0.2 2.2 4.9 1.8 0.1 9.2 15th
16th 0.1 1.2 3.8 2.5 0.2 0.0 7.8 16th
17th 0.1 0.7 2.3 1.9 0.4 5.3 17th
18th 0.0 0.5 1.2 1.1 0.3 0.0 3.1 18th
Total 0.0 0.5 2.0 4.8 8.6 12.3 14.7 16.0 14.0 10.9 7.5 4.7 2.4 1.2 0.3 0.1 0.0 Total



Atlantic Coast Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2 57.1% 0.0    0.0
15-3 61.5% 0.1    0.0 0.0 0.0
14-4 14.0% 0.0    0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
13-5 2.2% 0.0    0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
12-6 0.0%
11-7 0.0%
10-8 0.0%
9-9 0.0%
Total 0.2% 0.2 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2 0.0% 0.0 0.0 0.0
15-3 0.1% 100.0% 7.7% 92.3% 6.2 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.0 100.0%
14-4 0.3% 98.0% 3.0% 95.0% 7.2 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 97.9%
13-5 1.2% 91.6% 1.7% 90.0% 8.2 0.1 0.2 0.4 0.3 0.1 0.0 0.1 91.5%
12-6 2.4% 85.4% 2.1% 83.3% 8.9 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.5 0.8 0.5 0.1 0.4 85.1%
11-7 4.7% 67.4% 1.0% 66.4% 9.6 0.0 0.1 0.4 0.9 1.2 0.6 0.0 1.5 67.1%
10-8 7.5% 45.7% 0.7% 45.0% 10.1 0.0 0.1 0.6 1.5 1.2 0.0 4.1 45.4%
9-9 10.9% 22.9% 0.2% 22.8% 10.5 0.0 0.2 0.8 1.5 0.0 8.4 22.8%
8-10 14.0% 8.0% 0.1% 7.9% 10.8 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.8 0.1 12.9 7.9%
7-11 16.0% 1.5% 0.1% 1.4% 11.0 0.0 0.2 0.0 15.8 1.4%
6-12 14.7% 0.0% 0.0% 11.0 0.0 14.7 0.0%
5-13 12.3% 12.3
4-14 8.6% 8.6
3-15 4.8% 4.8
2-16 2.0% 2.0
1-17 0.5% 0.5
0-18 0.0% 0.0
Total 100% 14.1% 0.2% 13.9% 9.7 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.6 1.6 2.8 4.4 4.4 0.1 85.9 13.9%