Stanford
Pac-12
2021-22 - 2022-23 - 2023-24
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Overall
Predictive Rating+5.5#90
Expected Predictive Rating+1.2#145
Pace65.8#257
Improvement+0.1#170

Offense
Total Offense+2.8#96
First Shot+1.0#145
After Offensive Rebound+1.8#60
Layup/Dunks+0.6#143
2 Pt Jumpshots-1.7#279
3 Pt Jumpshots+1.8#108
Freethrows+0.3#158
Improvement+1.1#30

Defense
Total Defense+2.7#97
First Shot-0.7#197
After Offensive Rebounds+3.4#3
Layups/Dunks+2.5#78
2 Pt Jumpshots-0.6#253
3 Pt Jumpshots-3.3#304
Freethrows+0.7#133
Improvement-1.0#314
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 2.0% 2.5% 1.9%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 15.7 15.4 15.8
.500 or above 3.2% 8.7% 1.5%
.500 or above in Conference 3.2% 8.7% 1.5%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 5.5% 1.4% 6.8%
First Four1.5% 1.4% 1.6%
First Round1.8% 2.4% 1.6%
Second Round0.2% 0.4% 0.2%
Sweet Sixteen0.1% 0.2% 0.1%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Utah (Away) - 24.2% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 40 - 4
Quad 1b1 - 61 - 10
Quad 22 - 63 - 15
Quad 32 - 25 - 17
Quad 48 - 113 - 18


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 07, 2022 208   Pacific W 88-78 83%     1 - 0 +5.5 +4.6 +0.1
  Nov 11, 2022 57   Wisconsin L 50-60 36%     1 - 1 -0.9 -14.2 +12.9
  Nov 15, 2022 33   San Diego St. L 62-74 35%     1 - 2 -2.6 -4.3 +1.4
  Nov 18, 2022 298   Cal Poly W 80-43 92%     2 - 2 +26.7 +12.0 +18.1
  Nov 24, 2022 95   Mississippi L 68-72 52%     2 - 3 +1.0 +1.4 -0.5
  Nov 25, 2022 140   Florida St. W 70-60 65%     3 - 3 +11.7 -3.1 +14.8
  Nov 27, 2022 38   Memphis L 48-56 28%     3 - 4 +3.4 -12.8 +15.1
  Dec 01, 2022 5   UCLA L 66-80 18%     3 - 5 0 - 1 +1.4 +5.2 -4.5
  Dec 04, 2022 66   @ Arizona St. L 64-68 29%     3 - 6 0 - 2 +7.1 -3.5 +10.7
  Dec 16, 2022 362   Green Bay W 85-40 98%     4 - 6 +25.0 +1.1 +23.4
  Dec 18, 2022 10   Texas L 62-72 17%     4 - 7 +5.8 +0.6 +4.4
  Dec 22, 2022 220   Loyola Chicago W 75-62 78%     5 - 7 +10.5 +2.4 +8.3
  Dec 29, 2022 61   Colorado L 70-73 49%     5 - 8 0 - 3 +2.9 +4.3 -1.4
  Dec 31, 2022 51   Utah L 66-71 44%     5 - 9 0 - 4 +2.2 +3.3 -1.5
  Jan 06, 2023 224   @ California L 70-92 71%     5 - 10 0 - 5 -22.2 +9.8 -35.7
  Jan 12, 2023 102   @ Washington L 69-86 44%     5 - 11 0 - 6 -9.9 -0.7 -8.8
  Jan 14, 2023 63   @ Washington St. L 59-60 29%     5 - 12 0 - 7 +10.2 +11.1 -1.3
  Jan 19, 2023 185   Oregon St. W 67-46 81%     6 - 12 1 - 7 +17.4 +2.5 +17.6
  Jan 21, 2023 48   Oregon W 71-64 43%     7 - 12 2 - 7 +14.3 +4.6 +10.0
  Jan 25, 2023 317   Chicago St. W 72-65 93%     8 - 12 -4.1 +2.6 -5.6
  Jan 28, 2023 224   California W 75-46 85%     9 - 12 3 - 7 +23.3 +8.4 +18.0
  Feb 02, 2023 51   @ Utah L 63-70 24%    
  Feb 05, 2023 61   @ Colorado L 65-71 28%    
  Feb 09, 2023 66   Arizona St. L 67-68 51%    
  Feb 11, 2023 9   Arizona L 71-79 25%    
  Feb 16, 2023 5   @ UCLA L 59-74 7%    
  Feb 18, 2023 44   @ USC L 65-73 23%    
  Feb 23, 2023 63   Washington St. L 65-66 50%    
  Feb 26, 2023 102   Washington W 71-67 65%    
  Mar 02, 2023 185   @ Oregon St. W 66-62 62%    
  Mar 04, 2023 48   @ Oregon L 66-73 24%    
Projected Record 13 - 18 7 - 13




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Pac-12 Finish

0-20 1-19 2-18 3-17 4-16 5-15 6-14 7-13 8-12 9-11 10-10 11-9 12-8 13-7 14-6 15-5 16-4 17-3 18-2 19-1 20-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 3rd
4th 0.1 0.2 0.0 0.3 4th
5th 0.1 0.5 0.3 0.0 0.9 5th
6th 0.1 1.5 1.4 0.1 3.1 6th
7th 0.1 2.2 3.9 0.6 0.0 6.8 7th
8th 0.3 3.9 8.2 2.2 0.0 14.5 8th
9th 0.2 4.3 11.6 4.7 0.2 20.9 9th
10th 0.9 9.5 17.6 8.4 0.6 0.0 37.0 10th
11th 0.7 5.0 6.8 2.3 0.2 15.0 11th
12th 0.5 0.7 0.2 0.0 1.4 12th
Total 1.3 6.6 16.7 24.5 24.1 15.8 7.8 2.6 0.6 0.1 Total



Pac-12 Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
20-0
19-1
18-2
17-3
16-4
15-5
14-6
13-7
12-8 0.0%
11-9 0.0%
10-10 0.0%
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
20-0
19-1
18-2
17-3
16-4
15-5
14-6
13-7
12-8 0.1% 7.0% 7.0% 12.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1
11-9 0.6% 3.1% 3.1% 12.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.6
10-10 2.6% 4.4% 4.4% 13.9 0.0 0.1 0.0 2.5
9-11 7.8% 3.2% 3.2% 15.1 0.0 0.2 0.0 7.5
8-12 15.8% 2.6% 2.6% 16.0 0.0 0.4 15.4
7-13 24.1% 2.0% 2.0% 16.0 0.5 23.6
6-14 24.5% 1.8% 1.8% 16.0 0.4 24.0
5-15 16.7% 1.2% 1.2% 16.0 0.2 16.5
4-16 6.6% 1.2% 1.2% 16.0 0.1 6.5
3-17 1.3% 1.1% 1.1% 16.0 0.0 1.2
2-18
1-19
0-20
Total 100% 2.0% 2.0% 0.0% 15.7 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 1.6 98.0 0.0%


Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid		Avg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Lose Out 1.3% 1.1% 16.0 1.1