Stanford
Pac-12
2020-21 - 2021-22 - 2022-23
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Overall
Predictive Rating+5.2#97
Expected Predictive Rating+5.6#98
Pace70.8#138
Improvement-0.4#217

Offense
Total Offense+1.3#128
First Shot-3.4#280
After Offensive Rebound+4.7#4
Layup/Dunks+1.7#115
2 Pt Jumpshots-2.4#294
3 Pt Jumpshots-1.4#218
Freethrows-1.4#262
Improvement-0.6#255

Defense
Total Defense+3.9#71
First Shot+1.3#135
After Offensive Rebounds+2.6#43
Layups/Dunks+2.4#99
2 Pt Jumpshots+0.1#174
3 Pt Jumpshots-2.6#273
Freethrows+1.3#116
Improvement+0.2#161
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.1% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.2% 0.5% 0.1%
Top 6 Seed 0.6% 1.4% 0.3%
NCAA Tourney Bid 9.0% 15.1% 5.9%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 8.1% 13.8% 5.3%
Average Seed 9.6 9.4 10.0
.500 or above 35.3% 51.7% 27.2%
.500 or above in Conference 27.1% 43.0% 19.2%
Conference Champion 0.5% 1.0% 0.2%
Last Place in Conference 13.0% 5.3% 16.8%
First Four2.5% 3.7% 1.9%
First Round7.7% 13.2% 4.9%
Second Round3.2% 5.5% 2.1%
Sweet Sixteen0.9% 1.5% 0.6%
Elite Eight0.2% 0.4% 0.1%
Final Four0.0% 0.1% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Colorado (Away) - 33.2% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a1 - 71 - 7
Quad 1b1 - 32 - 10
Quad 23 - 55 - 14
Quad 34 - 29 - 16
Quad 45 - 014 - 17


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 09, 2021 180   Tarleton St. W 62-50 80%     1 - 0 +8.2 -1.6 +11.7
  Nov 12, 2021 77   @ Santa Clara L 72-88 33%     1 - 1 -6.3 -0.3 -5.5
  Nov 15, 2021 289   San Jose St. W 76-62 92%     2 - 1 +3.9 +1.1 +3.7
  Nov 17, 2021 202   Valparaiso W 74-60 83%     3 - 1 +9.2 -2.7 +11.4
  Nov 20, 2021 3   @ Baylor L 48-86 7%     3 - 2 -16.2 -11.7 -7.2
  Nov 23, 2021 278   N.C. A&T W 79-65 91%     4 - 2 +4.6 -0.7 +4.5
  Nov 28, 2021 75   @ Colorado L 66-71 33%    
  Dec 12, 2021 56   Oregon L 69-70 49%    
  Dec 16, 2021 242   Dartmouth W 74-62 87%    
  Dec 19, 2021 11   Texas L 60-71 16%    
  Dec 22, 2021 91   Wyoming L 70-71 47%    
  Jan 02, 2022 129   California W 68-62 70%    
  Jan 06, 2022 5   UCLA L 68-77 19%    
  Jan 08, 2022 14   USC L 64-71 28%    
  Jan 12, 2022 48   @ Washington St. L 68-75 26%    
  Jan 15, 2022 131   @ Washington L 71-72 49%    
  Jan 20, 2022 6   Arizona L 69-78 21%    
  Jan 22, 2022 96   Arizona St. W 74-71 60%    
  Jan 27, 2022 14   @ USC L 61-74 14%    
  Jan 29, 2022 5   @ UCLA L 65-80 9%    
  Feb 03, 2022 48   Washington St. L 71-72 46%    
  Feb 06, 2022 131   Washington W 74-68 69%    
  Feb 10, 2022 56   @ Oregon L 67-73 30%    
  Feb 12, 2022 128   @ Oregon St. L 66-67 49%    
  Feb 17, 2022 51   Utah L 69-70 48%    
  Feb 19, 2022 75   Colorado W 69-68 56%    
  Feb 26, 2022 129   @ California L 64-65 49%    
  Mar 03, 2022 6   @ Arizona L 66-81 9%    
  Mar 05, 2022 96   @ Arizona St. L 71-74 40%    
Projected Record 13 - 16 8 - 12





Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.




Projected Pac-12 Finish

0-20 1-19 2-18 3-17 4-16 5-15 6-14 7-13 8-12 9-11 10-10 11-9 12-8 13-7 14-6 15-5 16-4 17-3 18-2 19-1 20-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.2 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.5 1st
2nd 0.0 0.3 0.4 0.4 0.1 0.1 0.0 1.3 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.1 0.6 1.1 0.8 0.2 0.0 2.9 3rd
4th 0.0 0.4 1.5 2.1 1.3 0.3 0.0 5.7 4th
5th 0.0 0.7 2.8 3.5 1.5 0.4 0.0 8.8 5th
6th 0.1 0.9 3.8 4.4 1.8 0.2 0.0 11.1 6th
7th 0.1 1.1 4.3 5.4 1.9 0.3 0.0 13.0 7th
8th 0.1 1.2 4.9 5.4 2.1 0.2 13.9 8th
9th 0.2 1.2 4.3 5.3 1.9 0.2 13.0 9th
10th 0.2 1.2 3.9 4.7 1.7 0.2 11.8 10th
11th 0.2 1.5 3.6 3.4 1.6 0.1 10.5 11th
12th 0.1 0.6 1.7 2.5 2.0 0.6 0.1 0.0 7.7 12th
Total 0.1 0.6 1.9 4.2 7.0 9.2 12.0 13.2 12.7 12.1 9.8 7.1 4.4 3.2 1.5 0.7 0.3 0.1 0.0 0.0 Total



Pac-12 Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
20-0
19-1 100.0% 0.0    0.0
18-2 66.7% 0.0    0.0
17-3 58.3% 0.1    0.0 0.0
16-4 63.0% 0.2    0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0
15-5 20.3% 0.2    0.0 0.1 0.0
14-6 2.0% 0.0    0.0 0.0
13-7 0.0%
12-8 0.0%
11-9 0.0%
10-10 0.0%
Total 0.5% 0.5 0.2 0.2 0.1 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid
AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
20-0
19-1 0.0% 0.0
18-2 0.0% 0.0 0.0 0.0
17-3 0.1% 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
16-4 0.3% 96.3% 11.1% 85.2% 6.1 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 95.8%
15-5 0.7% 94.6% 6.8% 87.8% 7.5 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.0 94.2%
14-6 1.5% 88.0% 7.3% 80.7% 8.5 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.3 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.2 87.1%
13-7 3.2% 68.2% 5.0% 63.2% 9.6 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.4 0.5 0.4 0.6 0.2 1.0 66.6%
12-8 4.4% 42.4% 3.4% 39.0% 10.3 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.3 0.3 0.7 0.3 0.0 2.5 40.3%
11-9 7.1% 21.3% 2.1% 19.2% 10.9 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.6 0.4 0.0 5.6 19.6%
10-10 9.8% 7.6% 1.3% 6.2% 11.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.3 0.0 9.0 6.3%
9-11 12.1% 1.2% 0.6% 0.6% 11.6 0.1 0.1 12.0 0.6%
8-12 12.7% 0.6% 0.6% 13.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 12.7
7-13 13.2% 0.1% 0.1% 15.0 0.0 13.1
6-14 12.0% 0.1% 0.1% 16.0 0.0 12.0
5-15 9.2% 9.2
4-16 7.0% 7.0
3-17 4.2% 4.2
2-18 1.9% 1.9
1-19 0.6% 0.6
0-20 0.1% 0.1
Total 100% 9.0% 1.0% 8.0% 9.6 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.2 0.3 0.6 1.0 1.5 1.5 2.4 1.2 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 91.0 8.1%