Stanford
Atlantic Coast
2023-24 - 2024-25 - 2025-26
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Overall
Predictive Rating+5.7#93
Expected Predictive Rating+4.5#103
Pace69.5#170
Improvement-3.0#340

Offense
Total Offense+3.6#83
First Shot+1.3#142
After Offensive Rebound+2.3#66
Layup/Dunks-1.2#225
2 Pt Jumpshots+3.7#24
3 Pt Jumpshots-2.2#242
Freethrows+1.0#122
Improvement-2.5#338

Defense
Total Defense+2.1#103
First Shot-0.9#200
After Offensive Rebounds+3.0#25
Layups/Dunks+0.8#147
2 Pt Jumpshots-1.9#313
3 Pt Jumpshots+2.8#83
Freethrows-2.6#321
Improvement-0.5#228
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.1% 0.2% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 3.8% 5.7% 2.2%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 3.2% 4.8% 1.8%
Average Seed 10.0 9.9 10.2
.500 or above 68.3% 80.1% 58.1%
.500 or above in Conference 39.1% 52.2% 27.8%
Conference Champion 0.3% 0.5% 0.1%
Last Place in Conference 5.2% 2.2% 7.9%
First Four1.4% 2.1% 0.8%
First Round3.1% 4.5% 1.8%
Second Round1.2% 1.8% 0.7%
Sweet Sixteen0.3% 0.4% 0.1%
Elite Eight0.1% 0.2% 0.1%
Final Four0.0% 0.1% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: California (Away) - 46.3% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a1 - 41 - 4
Quad 1b1 - 32 - 7
Quad 24 - 45 - 11
Quad 36 - 311 - 14
Quad 46 - 117 - 15


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 04, 2024 321   Denver W 85-62 94%     1 - 0 +11.0 +6.5 +4.8
  Nov 08, 2024 307   Cal St. Fullerton W 80-53 93%     2 - 0 +16.5 +12.2 +7.0
  Nov 12, 2024 301   Northern Arizona W 90-64 92%     3 - 0 +15.7 +24.0 -4.5
  Nov 17, 2024 204   UC Davis W 79-65 84%     4 - 0 +9.1 +4.8 +3.8
  Nov 20, 2024 153   Norfolk St. W 70-63 79%     5 - 0 +4.4 +2.6 +2.5
  Nov 23, 2024 84   @ Santa Clara W 71-69 36%     6 - 0 +11.4 +2.3 +9.0
  Nov 26, 2024 100   Grand Canyon L 71-78 52%     6 - 1 -1.8 -3.6 +2.3
  Nov 30, 2024 228   Cal Poly L 90-97 87%     6 - 2 -13.7 +5.9 -19.0
  Dec 03, 2024 184   Utah Valley W 77-63 82%     7 - 2 +9.9 -0.6 +9.7
  Dec 07, 2024 109   @ California L 77-78 46%    
  Dec 17, 2024 222   Merrimack W 73-61 87%    
  Dec 21, 2024 22   Oregon L 69-78 21%    
  Jan 01, 2025 28   @ Clemson L 66-76 17%    
  Jan 04, 2025 36   @ Pittsburgh L 69-79 18%    
  Jan 08, 2025 129   Virginia Tech W 75-68 74%    
  Jan 11, 2025 90   Virginia W 65-62 60%    
  Jan 15, 2025 89   @ Wake Forest L 69-72 38%    
  Jan 18, 2025 17   @ North Carolina L 76-88 14%    
  Jan 22, 2025 87   Miami (FL) W 78-76 59%    
  Jan 25, 2025 61   Florida St. L 75-76 48%    
  Jan 29, 2025 96   Syracuse W 80-77 61%    
  Feb 01, 2025 62   @ SMU L 74-81 28%    
  Feb 05, 2025 89   Wake Forest W 72-69 60%    
  Feb 08, 2025 72   North Carolina St. W 73-72 53%    
  Feb 12, 2025 111   @ Georgia Tech L 76-77 47%    
  Feb 15, 2025 2   @ Duke L 63-81 5%    
  Feb 22, 2025 109   California W 80-75 67%    
  Feb 26, 2025 145   Boston College W 75-67 76%    
  Mar 01, 2025 62   SMU L 77-78 48%    
  Mar 05, 2025 80   @ Notre Dame L 69-73 35%    
  Mar 08, 2025 43   @ Louisville L 71-79 23%    
Projected Record 17 - 14 9 - 11




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Atlantic Coast Finish

0-20 1-19 2-18 3-17 4-16 5-15 6-14 7-13 8-12 9-11 10-10 11-9 12-8 13-7 14-6 15-5 16-4 17-3 18-2 19-1 20-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.3 1st
2nd 0.1 0.4 0.5 0.3 0.1 1.3 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.2 0.8 1.1 0.5 0.1 0.0 2.7 3rd
4th 0.1 1.0 1.8 0.9 0.1 0.0 3.9 4th
5th 0.0 0.8 2.5 1.4 0.2 0.0 5.0 5th
6th 0.0 0.4 2.8 2.4 0.4 0.0 6.0 6th
7th 0.2 2.0 3.7 1.1 0.1 7.0 7th
8th 0.0 0.8 4.1 2.3 0.2 0.0 7.5 8th
9th 0.2 3.3 3.7 0.7 0.0 7.9 9th
10th 0.0 1.6 4.7 1.7 0.1 8.1 10th
11th 0.5 4.0 3.8 0.4 0.0 8.7 11th
12th 0.1 2.1 5.0 1.2 0.0 8.4 12th
13th 0.0 0.8 4.0 2.5 0.1 7.5 13th
14th 0.0 0.3 2.7 3.7 0.7 0.0 7.4 14th
15th 0.1 1.4 3.2 1.4 0.1 6.2 15th
16th 0.1 0.9 2.5 1.8 0.3 0.0 5.6 16th
17th 0.0 0.1 0.7 1.4 1.6 0.3 0.0 4.2 17th
18th 0.0 0.2 0.5 0.9 0.7 0.3 0.0 2.6 18th
Total 0.0 0.2 0.6 1.7 3.1 6.1 9.1 12.0 13.9 14.1 12.4 10.4 7.3 4.5 2.7 1.2 0.5 0.1 0.0 Total



Atlantic Coast Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
20-0
19-1
18-2 100.0% 0.0    0.0 0.0
17-3 47.2% 0.1    0.0 0.0 0.0
16-4 18.9% 0.1    0.0 0.0 0.0
15-5 6.5% 0.1    0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
14-6 0.9% 0.0    0.0 0.0 0.0
13-7 0.0% 0.0    0.0
12-8 0.0%
11-9 0.0%
10-10 0.0%
Total 0.3% 0.3 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
20-0
19-1
18-2 0.0% 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
17-3 0.1% 91.7% 15.3% 76.4% 7.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 90.2%
16-4 0.5% 76.8% 8.3% 68.4% 8.6 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.1 74.6%
15-5 1.2% 54.1% 6.0% 48.1% 9.6 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.0 0.5 51.2%
14-6 2.7% 34.4% 6.6% 27.7% 10.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.4 0.0 1.8 29.7%
13-7 4.5% 16.9% 2.2% 14.7% 10.5 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.4 0.0 3.8 15.0%
12-8 7.3% 7.3% 1.1% 6.1% 10.8 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.1 6.8 6.2%
11-9 10.4% 2.9% 0.7% 2.3% 10.9 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.1 10.1 2.3%
10-10 12.4% 0.8% 0.3% 0.5% 11.1 0.0 0.1 0.0 12.3 0.6%
9-11 14.1% 0.2% 0.1% 0.1% 11.3 0.0 0.0 0.0 14.1 0.1%
8-12 13.9% 0.1% 0.1% 11.3 0.0 0.0 13.9
7-13 12.0% 0.1% 0.1% 12.0 0.0 12.0
6-14 9.1% 9.1
5-15 6.1% 6.1
4-16 3.1% 3.1
3-17 1.7% 1.7
2-18 0.6% 0.6
1-19 0.2% 0.2
0-20 0.0% 0.0
Total 100% 3.8% 0.6% 3.2% 10.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.3 0.5 0.9 1.6 0.2 96.2 3.2%