Monmouth
Colonial Athletic
2024-25 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
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Overall
Predictive Rating-3.6#221
Expected Predictive Rating-5.1#244
Pace67.8#225
Improvement-1.4#281

Offense
Total Offense-1.6#210
First Shot-2.3#236
After Offensive Rebound+0.7#134
Layup/Dunks-1.9#254
2 Pt Jumpshots+2.4#62
3 Pt Jumpshots-2.7#272
Freethrows+0.0#178
Improvement-0.7#235

Defense
Total Defense-2.0#246
First Shot-4.1#313
After Offensive Rebounds+2.0#48
Layups/Dunks-3.0#288
2 Pt Jumpshots+1.1#103
3 Pt Jumpshots-2.1#264
Freethrows-0.1#187
Improvement-0.8#249
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 2.2% 2.7% 1.8%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 14.8 14.6 15.0
.500 or above 28.6% 38.7% 18.4%
.500 or above in Conference 31.8% 36.8% 26.7%
Conference Champion 1.1% 1.4% 0.8%
Last Place in Conference 11.7% 9.4% 14.1%
First Four0.3% 0.3% 0.4%
First Round2.1% 2.6% 1.6%
Second Round0.1% 0.1% 0.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Quinnipiac (Home) - 50.3% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 00 - 0
Quad 1b0 - 10 - 2
Quad 20 - 30 - 5
Quad 33 - 74 - 12
Quad 410 - 614 - 18


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Sat, Nov 8 240 @La Salle L 60-73 41%     0 - 1 -14.3 -8.2 -6.9
  Thu, Nov 13 56 @Seton Hall L 58-70 7%     0 - 2 +0.5 -3.6 +3.6
  Tue, Nov 18 69 @Syracuse L 73-78 9%     0 - 3 +6.1 +5.7 +0.4
  Sun, Nov 23 186 Robert Morris W 71-70 OT 54%     1 - 3 -3.6 -2.0 -1.6
  Fri, Nov 28 306 Ball St. W 80-73 67%     2 - 3 -1.2 +8.9 -9.8
  Sat, Nov 29 311 Le Moyne L 79-83 69%     2 - 4 -12.8 +0.6 -13.5
  Sun, Nov 30 319 @Lafayette W 88-74 61%     3 - 4 +7.6 +12.7 -5.2
  Wed, Dec 3 259 Princeton W 63-58 68%     4 - 4 -3.4 -9.5 +6.3
  Sat, Dec 6 128 @Georgia Tech L 67-79 21%     4 - 5 -6.9 -1.3 -5.5
  Sun, Dec 14 298 @Fairfield L 65-73 53%     4 - 6 -12.4 -3.1 -10.1
  Wed, Dec 17 168 Quinnipiac W 76-75 50%    
  Sun, Dec 21 307 Lehigh W 76-68 77%    
  Wed, Dec 31 229 Campbell W 76-73 62%    
  Sat, Jan 3 140 @Towson L 64-72 24%    
  Thu, Jan 8 121 William & Mary L 77-81 37%    
  Sat, Jan 10 114 @Hofstra L 66-76 18%    
  Thu, Jan 15 285 Drexel W 72-66 71%    
  Sat, Jan 17 215 Northeastern W 74-71 60%    
  Thu, Jan 22 232 @Hampton L 68-71 40%    
  Sat, Jan 24 229 @Campbell L 73-76 41%    
  Thu, Jan 29 302 N.C. A&T W 77-70 75%    
  Sat, Jan 31 114 Hofstra L 69-73 36%    
  Thu, Feb 5 198 @Stony Brook L 69-73 36%    
  Thu, Feb 12 285 @Drexel W 70-69 51%    
  Sat, Feb 14 140 Towson L 67-69 43%    
  Thu, Feb 19 108 @UNC Wilmington L 66-76 17%    
  Sat, Feb 21 171 @College of Charleston L 69-75 30%    
  Thu, Feb 26 198 Stony Brook W 72-70 57%    
  Sat, Feb 28 191 Elon W 78-77 55%    
  Tue, Mar 3 215 @Northeastern L 71-74 39%    
Projected Record 13 - 17 7 - 10




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Colonial Athletic Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.2 0.4 0.4 0.1 0.0 1.1 1st
2nd 0.0 0.3 0.9 0.7 0.3 0.0 2.2 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.4 1.7 1.2 0.3 0.0 3.6 3rd
4th 0.0 0.3 2.1 2.4 0.6 0.0 5.3 4th
5th 0.0 0.2 2.1 3.7 1.2 0.1 7.3 5th
6th 0.1 1.6 4.8 2.2 0.2 8.8 6th
7th 0.0 1.1 5.1 3.8 0.4 0.0 10.4 7th
8th 0.0 0.5 4.3 5.2 1.0 0.0 11.0 8th
9th 0.0 0.3 3.3 5.8 2.0 0.1 11.6 9th
10th 0.0 0.2 2.3 6.0 3.3 0.3 0.0 12.1 10th
11th 0.2 1.7 4.6 3.7 0.6 0.0 10.8 11th
12th 0.0 0.3 1.5 3.7 3.1 0.7 0.0 9.5 12th
13th 0.1 0.5 1.4 2.2 1.7 0.5 0.0 6.3 13th
Total 0.1 0.5 1.7 3.9 7.3 10.8 14.3 15.2 14.5 12.1 8.7 5.7 3.0 1.4 0.6 0.2 0.0 Total



Colonial Athletic Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2 100.0% 0.0    0.0 0.0
15-3 89.1% 0.1    0.1 0.0 0.0
14-4 56.0% 0.4    0.2 0.1 0.0 0.0
13-5 26.5% 0.4    0.1 0.2 0.1 0.0
12-6 5.8% 0.2    0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0
11-7 0.2% 0.0    0.0 0.0 0.0
10-8 0.0%
9-9 0.0%
Total 1.1% 1.1 0.4 0.4 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2 0.0% 0.0 0.0 0.0
15-3 0.2% 30.4% 30.4% 13.2 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1
14-4 0.6% 18.1% 18.1% 13.7 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.5
13-5 1.4% 12.9% 12.9% 13.6 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 1.2
12-6 3.0% 9.1% 9.1% 14.2 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 2.7
11-7 5.7% 6.7% 6.7% 14.5 0.0 0.2 0.2 0.0 5.4
10-8 8.7% 4.4% 4.4% 14.8 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.1 8.3
9-9 12.1% 2.6% 2.6% 15.2 0.0 0.2 0.1 11.8
8-10 14.5% 1.6% 1.6% 15.5 0.0 0.1 0.1 14.2
7-11 15.2% 1.0% 1.0% 15.9 0.0 0.1 15.0
6-12 14.3% 0.8% 0.8% 16.0 0.1 14.2
5-13 10.8% 0.2% 0.2% 16.0 0.0 10.8
4-14 7.3% 7.3
3-15 3.9% 0.1% 0.1% 16.0 0.0 3.9
2-16 1.7% 1.7
1-17 0.5% 0.5
0-18 0.1% 0.1
Total 100% 2.2% 2.2% 0.0% 14.8 0.0 0.2 0.6 0.8 0.6 97.8 0.0%