IN CC Stats - NCAA Basketball

Nevada
Mountain West
2024-25 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
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Overall
Predictive Rating	+5.6	#91
Expected Predictive Rating	+8.2	#33

Pace	61.6	#343
Improvement	-	-

Offense
Total Offense	+1.5	#112

First Shot	-	-
After Offensive Rebound	-	-

Layup/Dunks	-	-
2 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
3 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
Freethrows	-	-

Improvement	-	-

Defense
Total Defense	+4.0	#65

First Shot	-	-
After Offensive Rebounds	-	-

Layups/Dunks	-	-
2 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
3 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
Freethrows	-	-

Improvement	-	-

	Now	Win Next	Lose Next
#1 Overall Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
#1 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Top 2 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Top 4 Seed	0.3%	0.4%	0.0%
Top 6 Seed	0.8%	0.9%	0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid	13.4%	14.8%	5.3%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier	7.1%	7.9%	2.7%
Average Seed	10.0	10.0	10.5

.500 or above	78.0%	81.1%	60.1%
.500 or above in Conference	70.7%	72.7%	59.0%
Conference Champion	8.1%	9.0%	2.4%
Last Place in Conference	1.6%	1.1%	4.2%

First Four	3.5%	3.7%	2.1%
First Round	11.4%	12.7%	3.7%
Second Round	3.6%	4.1%	0.5%
Sweet Sixteen	0.9%	1.1%	0.0%
Elite Eight	0.2%	0.2%	0.0%
Final Four	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Championship Game	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
National Champion	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%

Next Game: Pacific (Home) - 85.5% chance of victory

Projected Seeding

Not in Tournament

Projected Record by Quad
Quad	Projected	Projected Cumulative
Quad 1a	0 - 2	0 - 2
Quad 1b	1 - 2	1 - 4
Quad 2	3 - 4	4 - 8
Quad 3	7 - 3	11 - 12
Quad 4	9 - 1	19 - 13

Date	Opponent		Result/Prediction			Record	Conf		Rating	Offense	Defense
Nov 04, 2025	182	Louisiana Tech	W	77-50	83%	1 - 0			+22.2	+12.1	+13.2
Nov 08, 2025	198	Pacific	W	72-61	86%
Nov 12, 2025	138	Southern Illinois	W	70-62	77%
Nov 15, 2025	99	@ Santa Clara	L	67-69	40%
Nov 18, 2025	218	UC Davis	W	71-59	86%
Nov 22, 2025	123	UC Santa Barbara	W	68-62	72%
Nov 27, 2025	51	Washington	L	66-71	32%
Dec 02, 2025	143	UC San Diego	W	69-61	77%
Dec 07, 2025	148	@ Washington St.	W	72-69	60%
Dec 13, 2025	102	Duquesne	W	66-61	64%
Dec 20, 2025	55	Boise St.	L	65-66	46%
Dec 30, 2025	76	@ Colorado St.	L	64-68	36%
Jan 03, 2026	232	@ Fresno St.	W	73-66	71%
Jan 06, 2026	39	San Diego St.	L	62-66	37%
Jan 10, 2026	158	Wyoming	W	68-59	78%
Jan 14, 2026	53	@ Utah St.	L	64-72	26%
Jan 17, 2026	310	@ Air Force	W	68-58	81%
Jan 20, 2026	163	San Jose St.	W	70-61	80%
Jan 24, 2026	93	@ New Mexico	L	68-71	41%
Jan 27, 2026	78	Grand Canyon	W	71-69	58%
Jan 30, 2026	122	UNLV	W	69-63	72%
Feb 03, 2026	55	@ Boise St.	L	62-69	28%
Feb 07, 2026	232	Fresno St.	W	76-63	85%
Feb 14, 2026	39	@ San Diego St.	L	59-69	21%
Feb 17, 2026	163	@ San Jose St.	W	67-64	61%
Feb 21, 2026	53	Utah St.	L	67-69	44%
Feb 24, 2026	93	New Mexico	W	71-68	59%
Feb 28, 2026	122	@ UNLV	W	67-66	51%
Mar 03, 2026	158	@ Wyoming	W	65-62	61%
Mar 07, 2026	310	Air Force	W	71-55	91%
Projected Record						18 - 12	11 - 9

Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.

Projected Mountain West Finish

	0-20	1-19	2-18	3-17	4-16	5-15	6-14	7-13	8-12	9-11	10-10	11-9	12-8	13-7	14-6	15-5	16-4	17-3	18-2	19-1	20-0		Total
1st															0.3	0.8	3.0	2.2	1.1	0.5	0.0		8.1	1st
2nd														0.7	2.9	3.3	2.5	0.5	0.2				10.0	2nd
3rd												0.2	1.5	4.1	4.3	1.6	0.6						12.3	3rd
4th										0.0	0.0	1.7	4.4	5.0	1.4	0.2							12.8	4th
5th										0.2	2.0	5.1	5.1	1.3	0.0								13.7	5th
6th									0.2	2.4	4.1	3.9	0.7	0.1									11.3	6th
7th								0.1	2.1	4.3	3.6	0.9	0.0										11.0	7th
8th						0.0	0.3	1.8	3.5	1.9	0.7	0.0											8.3	8th
9th					0.0	0.3	1.2	2.7	1.4	0.6													6.2	9th
10th				0.0	0.4	1.0	1.4	0.7	0.2														3.7	10th
11th			0.1	0.4	0.7	0.6	0.2																1.9	11th
12th	0.0	0.0	0.2	0.2	0.2		0.0																0.7	12th

Total	0.0	0.0	0.3	0.6	1.3	2.0	3.0	5.3	7.3	9.3	10.4	11.8	11.7	11.2	9.0	6.0	6.1	2.7	1.3	0.5	0.0			Total

Mountain West Regular Season Championship

Record	Champion	Total		Outright	2-Way	3-Way	4-Way	5-Way	6-Way	7-Way	8-Way
20-0	100.0%	0.0		0.0
19-1	100.0%	0.5		0.5	0.0
18-2	88.3%	1.1		1.0	0.1
17-3	81.4%	2.2		1.4	0.7
16-4	49.4%	3.0		1.4	1.3	0.2	0.1
15-5	14.0%	0.8		0.5	0.2	0.1	0.0
14-6	3.8%	0.3		0.0	0.2	0.1	0.1
13-7	0.0%
12-8	0.0%
11-9	0.0%
10-10	0.0%

Total	8.1%	8.1		5.0	2.5	0.4	0.2

NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf Record	Record Chance		Tourney Bid	Auto	At-Large	Avg Seed		1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16	No Bid		At-Large if not Auto
20-0	0.0%										0.0
19-1	0.5%		100.0%	35.5%	64.5%	6.4				0.0	0.1		0.1	0.1	0.2	0.0										100.0%
18-2	1.3%		82.3%	32.2%	50.1%	7.4					0.1	0.2	0.2	0.2	0.2	0.1	0.2	0.1						0.2		73.9%
17-3	2.7%		61.3%	18.5%	42.8%	9.2						0.1		0.2	0.2	0.4	0.3	0.4	0.0					1.0		52.5%
16-4	6.1%		53.8%	23.1%	30.6%	9.8						0.0		0.2	0.3	0.7	0.8	1.2	0.1					2.8		39.9%
15-5	6.0%		36.9%	15.9%	21.0%	10.7									0.0	0.2	0.4	1.3	0.2					3.8		24.9%
14-6	9.0%		21.1%	11.8%	9.2%	10.8									0.0	0.1	0.3	1.0	0.4					7.1		10.5%
13-7	11.2%		10.6%	7.2%	3.4%	11.1											0.2	0.7	0.3					10.0		3.7%
12-8	11.7%		8.1%	7.4%	0.6%	11.4												0.5	0.4					10.8		0.7%
11-9	11.8%		1.9%	1.6%	0.3%	11.5												0.1	0.1					11.5		0.3%
10-10	10.4%		2.2%	1.8%	0.4%	12.3												0.1	0.0	0.1	0.0			10.2		0.4%
9-11	9.3%		1.2%	1.2%		13.0												0.0		0.0		0.0		9.2
8-12	7.3%		1.0%	1.0%		12.0													0.1					7.3
7-13	5.3%																							5.3
6-14	3.0%																							3.0
5-15	2.0%																							2.0
4-16	1.3%																							1.3
3-17	0.6%																							0.6
2-18	0.3%																							0.3
1-19	0.0%																							0.0
0-20	0.0%																							0.0

Total	100%		13.4%	6.8%	6.6%	10.0				0.0	0.3	0.3	0.2	0.6	0.9	1.6	2.2	5.5	1.6	0.1	0.0	0.0		86.6		7.1%