Stony Brook
America East
2019-20 - 2021-22 - 2022-23
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Overall
Predictive Rating-3.7#233
Expected Predictive Rating-1.6#199
Pace67.7#222
Improvement+1.6#68

Offense
Total Offense-1.8#225
First Shot-2.7#254
After Offensive Rebound+0.9#124
Layup/Dunks-6.4#338
2 Pt Jumpshots+2.4#64
3 Pt Jumpshots+3.6#73
Freethrows-2.3#294
Improvement+2.0#36

Defense
Total Defense-1.9#236
First Shot-1.1#212
After Offensive Rebounds-0.8#231
Layups/Dunks-4.6#317
2 Pt Jumpshots-0.9#247
3 Pt Jumpshots+0.9#151
Freethrows+3.5#7
Improvement-0.3#213
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 6.8% 8.5% 5.8%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 15.3 15.1 15.5
.500 or above 50.6% 65.4% 41.8%
.500 or above in Conference 65.1% 72.0% 61.0%
Conference Champion 6.1% 8.1% 4.9%
Last Place in Conference 1.8% 1.2% 2.1%
First Four1.7% 1.5% 1.8%
First Round6.0% 7.8% 4.9%
Second Round0.2% 0.3% 0.2%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.1% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Hofstra (Home) - 37.6% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 20 - 2
Quad 1b0 - 10 - 2
Quad 20 - 21 - 4
Quad 32 - 63 - 10
Quad 413 - 616 - 16


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 09, 2021 139   @ George Mason L 52-74 21%     0 - 1 -17.1 -18.3 +1.1
  Nov 18, 2021 6   @ Kansas L 59-88 2%     0 - 2 -8.0 -5.6 -2.7
  Nov 22, 2021 291   Sacred Heart W 75-72 74%     1 - 2 -7.4 -6.9 -0.6
  Nov 24, 2021 210   @ Fairfield L 78-83 OT 32%     1 - 3 -3.9 +3.7 -7.6
  Nov 28, 2021 135   @ Yale W 85-81 20%     2 - 3 +9.2 +12.1 -3.0
  Dec 01, 2021 329   American W 80-57 84%     3 - 3 +8.7 +1.8 +7.6
  Dec 04, 2021 120   Wagner L 49-78 35%     3 - 4 -28.7 -22.1 -7.4
  Dec 08, 2021 125   Hofstra L 72-75 38%    
  Dec 11, 2021 258   Bryant W 76-72 66%    
  Dec 14, 2021 347   Central Connecticut St. W 76-63 89%    
  Dec 18, 2021 208   St. Peter's W 66-65 54%    
  Dec 22, 2021 30   @ Florida L 59-78 4%    
  Jan 02, 2022 254   @ Hartford L 69-71 43%    
  Jan 06, 2022 201   Maryland Baltimore Co. W 72-71 53%    
  Jan 08, 2022 353   Maine W 72-56 92%    
  Jan 12, 2022 103   @ Vermont L 60-71 15%    
  Jan 15, 2022 187   New Hampshire W 65-64 51%    
  Jan 19, 2022 317   @ Binghamton W 70-67 59%    
  Jan 22, 2022 300   @ Albany W 68-67 54%    
  Jan 26, 2022 103   Vermont L 63-68 32%    
  Jan 29, 2022 187   @ New Hampshire L 62-68 31%    
  Feb 02, 2022 317   Binghamton W 73-64 78%    
  Feb 05, 2022 256   @ NJIT L 66-68 43%    
  Feb 09, 2022 225   Umass Lowell W 71-69 57%    
  Feb 13, 2022 353   @ Maine W 69-59 80%    
  Feb 16, 2022 201   @ Maryland Baltimore Co. L 69-74 32%    
  Feb 19, 2022 254   Hartford W 72-68 64%    
  Feb 23, 2022 225   @ Umass Lowell L 68-72 35%    
  Feb 26, 2022 300   Albany W 71-64 73%    
  Mar 01, 2022 256   NJIT W 69-65 65%    
Projected Record 15 - 15 10 - 8





Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.




Projected America East Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.3 1.2 2.0 1.5 0.8 0.2 0.0 6.1 1st
2nd 0.1 1.3 3.8 4.2 2.1 0.5 0.1 12.0 2nd
3rd 0.2 2.0 5.7 4.7 1.5 0.2 0.0 14.3 3rd
4th 0.0 0.2 2.3 6.3 4.9 1.1 0.1 14.8 4th
5th 0.0 0.2 2.2 6.5 4.7 1.0 0.0 14.6 5th
6th 0.0 0.2 2.1 5.8 4.5 0.7 0.0 13.2 6th
7th 0.0 0.3 2.0 4.9 3.6 0.7 0.0 11.5 7th
8th 0.0 0.0 0.4 1.8 3.0 2.2 0.4 0.0 7.9 8th
9th 0.1 0.5 1.3 1.7 0.9 0.2 0.0 4.7 9th
10th 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.8 10th
Total 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.8 1.9 3.9 6.2 9.6 12.2 14.1 13.8 12.9 10.0 6.9 4.2 2.0 0.9 0.2 0.0 Total



America East Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0 100.0% 0.0    0.0
17-1 100.0% 0.2    0.2 0.0
16-2 91.7% 0.8    0.7 0.1
15-3 75.8% 1.5    1.0 0.5 0.0
14-4 46.5% 2.0    0.9 0.9 0.2 0.0
13-5 17.2% 1.2    0.3 0.5 0.3 0.0 0.0
12-6 3.1% 0.3    0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0
11-7 0.1% 0.0    0.0 0.0 0.0
10-8 0.0%
9-9 0.0%
Total 6.1% 6.1 3.2 2.1 0.6 0.1 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid
AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0 0.0% 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
17-1 0.2% 40.4% 40.4% 13.5 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1
16-2 0.9% 33.7% 33.7% 14.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.6
15-3 2.0% 24.7% 24.7% 14.5 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.0 1.5
14-4 4.2% 19.5% 19.5% 14.8 0.0 0.2 0.4 0.1 3.4
13-5 6.9% 14.3% 14.3% 15.2 0.0 0.1 0.6 0.3 5.9
12-6 10.0% 11.1% 11.1% 15.5 0.0 0.0 0.5 0.6 8.9
11-7 12.9% 7.7% 7.7% 15.6 0.0 0.3 0.7 11.9
10-8 13.8% 5.8% 5.8% 15.8 0.0 0.2 0.6 13.0
9-9 14.1% 4.4% 4.4% 15.9 0.1 0.6 13.5
8-10 12.2% 2.8% 2.8% 16.0 0.3 11.9
7-11 9.6% 1.6% 1.6% 16.0 0.2 9.4
6-12 6.2% 0.8% 0.8% 16.0 0.1 6.1
5-13 3.9% 0.6% 0.6% 16.0 0.0 3.9
4-14 1.9% 1.9
3-15 0.8% 0.8
2-16 0.2% 0.2
1-17 0.1% 0.1
0-18 0.0% 0.0
Total 100% 6.8% 6.8% 0.0% 15.3 0.0 0.2 0.8 2.3 3.5 93.2 0.0%