College of Charleston
Colonial Athletic
2019-20 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
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Overall
Predictive Rating-1.7#185
Expected Predictive Rating-2.0#199
Pace67.9#226
Improvement+1.0#105

Offense
Total Offense-0.2#169
First Shot-0.5#186
After Offensive Rebound+0.2#163
Layup/Dunks-0.5#197
2 Pt Jumpshots+0.1#166
3 Pt Jumpshots-1.9#249
Freethrows+1.8#84
Improvement-1.1#277

Defense
Total Defense-1.4#220
First Shot-3.4#293
After Offensive Rebounds+1.9#53
Layups/Dunks+1.6#122
2 Pt Jumpshots-3.0#341
3 Pt Jumpshots-4.5#330
Freethrows+2.5#44
Improvement+2.1#46
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 5.1% 6.3% 4.2%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 14.3 14.1 14.5
.500 or above 47.0% 61.3% 36.7%
.500 or above in Conference 59.1% 65.3% 54.5%
Conference Champion 4.5% 5.5% 3.9%
Last Place in Conference 4.0% 2.6% 5.0%
First Four0.3% 0.2% 0.4%
First Round4.9% 6.2% 4.0%
Second Round0.2% 0.3% 0.2%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Northern Kentucky (Away) - 41.7% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 00 - 0
Quad 1b0 - 10 - 1
Quad 20 - 51 - 5
Quad 35 - 85 - 13
Quad 410 - 315 - 16


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Fri, Nov 7 107 @Liberty L 75-90 21%     0 - 1 -8.2 +13.3 -23.3
  Sat, Nov 8 118 Florida Atlantic L 77-94 32%     0 - 2 -13.8 +6.5 -21.0
  Fri, Nov 14 361 South Carolina St. W 88-61 93%     1 - 2 +9.1 +10.6 -0.5
  Mon, Nov 17 136 Drake L 62-71 49%     1 - 3 -10.4 -11.5 +1.0
  Fri, Nov 21 154 Massachusetts W 69-65 42%     2 - 3 +4.4 -0.4 +5.0
  Sun, Nov 23 78 Yale L 63-74 20%     2 - 4 -3.6 -6.4 +1.9
  Mon, Nov 24 269 Evansville W 78-59 65%     3 - 4 +13.2 +3.7 +9.4
  Sun, Nov 30 87 Belmont L 73-96 32%     3 - 5 -19.8 +0.0 -19.6
  Wed, Dec 10 83 @South Florida L 75-81 15%     3 - 6 +3.7 +7.3 -3.7
  Sun, Dec 14 198 Charlotte W 74-67 64%     4 - 6 +1.6 -0.3 +2.1
  Wed, Dec 17 354 The Citadel W 82-78 91%     5 - 6 -12.7 -3.4 -9.3
  Sun, Dec 21 195 @Northern Kentucky L 73-75 42%    
  Mon, Dec 29 287 Drexel W 74-66 77%    
  Wed, Dec 31 180 @Elon L 75-78 38%    
  Mon, Jan 5 120 William & Mary L 79-81 44%    
  Sat, Jan 10 227 Hampton W 72-67 69%    
  Thu, Jan 15 137 @Towson L 65-71 29%    
  Sat, Jan 17 239 @Stony Brook L 70-71 49%    
  Thu, Jan 22 229 Campbell W 79-74 69%    
  Sat, Jan 24 180 Elon W 78-75 60%    
  Thu, Jan 29 115 @Hofstra L 67-75 23%    
  Sat, Jan 31 212 @Northeastern L 72-73 46%    
  Thu, Feb 5 304 N.C. A&T W 78-69 79%    
  Mon, Feb 9 108 UNC Wilmington L 70-72 41%    
  Thu, Feb 12 115 Hofstra L 70-72 43%    
  Sat, Feb 14 229 @Campbell L 76-77 48%    
  Thu, Feb 19 304 @N.C. A&T W 75-72 61%    
  Sat, Feb 21 237 Monmouth W 76-70 70%    
  Thu, Feb 26 227 @Hampton L 69-70 48%    
  Sat, Feb 28 108 @UNC Wilmington L 67-75 22%    
Projected Record 15 - 15 9 - 9




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Colonial Athletic Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.3 1.2 1.5 1.0 0.4 0.1 0.0 4.5 1st
2nd 0.6 2.2 2.9 1.3 0.3 0.0 7.3 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.5 3.1 4.0 1.6 0.2 0.0 9.5 3rd
4th 0.0 0.4 3.4 5.3 2.0 0.2 0.0 11.2 4th
5th 0.0 0.2 2.8 6.0 2.5 0.3 11.8 5th
6th 0.1 2.0 5.9 3.3 0.3 0.0 11.6 6th
7th 0.0 0.8 5.3 3.8 0.5 0.0 10.5 7th
8th 0.0 0.3 3.3 4.4 1.0 0.0 9.1 8th
9th 0.0 0.1 2.0 4.4 1.7 0.1 8.3 9th
10th 0.1 1.1 3.1 2.0 0.2 0.0 6.4 10th
11th 0.0 0.5 2.1 1.8 0.3 0.0 4.7 11th
12th 0.0 0.4 1.2 1.3 0.3 0.0 3.3 12th
13th 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.6 0.6 0.2 0.0 1.9 13th
Total 0.0 0.1 0.3 1.1 2.5 4.7 7.5 11.0 13.8 13.9 13.7 11.8 8.8 5.9 3.0 1.3 0.4 0.1 0.0 Total



Colonial Athletic Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0 100.0% 0.0    0.0
17-1 100.0% 0.1    0.1
16-2 93.8% 0.4    0.3 0.1
15-3 76.6% 1.0    0.7 0.3 0.0
14-4 48.1% 1.5    0.7 0.5 0.2
13-5 20.8% 1.2    0.3 0.5 0.3 0.1 0.0
12-6 3.3% 0.3    0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0
11-7 0.2% 0.0    0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
10-8 0.0%
9-9 0.0%
Total 4.5% 4.5 2.1 1.5 0.7 0.2 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0 0.0% 0.0 0.0
17-1 0.1% 46.7% 46.7% 12.5 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1
16-2 0.4% 24.6% 24.6% 12.6 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.3
15-3 1.3% 20.1% 20.1% 13.2 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 1.1
14-4 3.0% 16.5% 16.5% 13.6 0.0 0.2 0.2 0.0 2.5
13-5 5.9% 13.6% 13.6% 13.7 0.0 0.3 0.4 0.1 0.0 5.1
12-6 8.8% 10.7% 10.7% 14.1 0.2 0.5 0.2 0.0 7.9
11-7 11.8% 8.2% 8.2% 14.4 0.1 0.4 0.4 0.0 10.8
10-8 13.7% 4.4% 4.4% 14.8 0.0 0.2 0.4 0.1 13.1
9-9 13.9% 2.4% 2.4% 15.0 0.0 0.3 0.0 13.6
8-10 13.8% 2.1% 2.1% 15.7 0.1 0.2 13.5
7-11 11.0% 1.2% 1.2% 16.0 0.1 10.8
6-12 7.5% 1.2% 1.2% 16.0 0.1 7.4
5-13 4.7% 0.1% 0.1% 16.0 0.0 4.7
4-14 2.5% 2.5
3-15 1.1% 1.1
2-16 0.3% 0.3
1-17 0.1% 0.1
0-18 0.0% 0.0
Total 100% 5.1% 5.1% 0.0% 14.3 0.0 0.1 1.0 1.8 1.5 0.6 94.9 0.0%