Texas Tech
Big 12
2019-20 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
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Overall
Predictive Rating+14.7#27
Expected Predictive Rating+14.7#29
Pace67.2#246
Improvement-0.5#213

Offense
Total Offense+9.9#16
First Shot+8.8#14
After Offensive Rebound+1.2#104
Layup/Dunks-0.7#204
2 Pt Jumpshots+2.4#59
3 Pt Jumpshots+8.1#13
Freethrows-1.0#245
Improvement+2.0#47

Defense
Total Defense+4.8#54
First Shot+4.2#54
After Offensive Rebounds+0.5#154
Layups/Dunks+3.3#69
2 Pt Jumpshots-7.9#364
3 Pt Jumpshots+5.3#26
Freethrows+3.5#15
Improvement-2.5#335
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.2% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.6% 1.3% 0.4%
Top 2 Seed 2.2% 4.8% 1.5%
Top 4 Seed 15.7% 26.5% 12.6%
Top 6 Seed 39.0% 56.5% 34.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 77.6% 90.0% 74.1%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 76.9% 89.5% 73.4%
Average Seed 6.7 5.9 6.9
.500 or above 91.8% 97.9% 90.1%
.500 or above in Conference 70.4% 77.3% 68.4%
Conference Champion 2.1% 3.2% 1.8%
Last Place in Conference 0.7% 0.4% 0.9%
First Four6.9% 4.5% 7.6%
First Round74.5% 88.2% 70.6%
Second Round51.1% 64.8% 47.2%
Sweet Sixteen21.0% 29.5% 18.6%
Elite Eight7.9% 11.9% 6.8%
Final Four2.9% 4.5% 2.4%
Championship Game1.0% 1.9% 0.8%
National Champion0.3% 0.6% 0.3%

Next Game: Duke (Neutral) - 22.2% chance of victory

Projected Seeding 7 seed  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a3 - 93 - 9
Quad 1b3 - 26 - 11
Quad 25 - 111 - 13
Quad 35 - 016 - 13
Quad 44 - 020 - 13


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Tue, Nov 4 228 Lindenwood W 98-60 97%     1 - 0 +30.9 +14.7 +12.9
  Fri, Nov 7 117 Sam Houston St. W 98-77 90%     2 - 0 +21.3 +23.5 -2.4
  Tue, Nov 11 12 @Illinois L 77-81 27%     2 - 1 +16.9 +9.8 +7.3
  Fri, Nov 14 233 Wisconsin-Milwaukee W 80-63 97%     3 - 1 +9.9 +9.2 +2.0
  Thu, Nov 20 53 Wake Forest W 84-83 67%     4 - 1 +11.2 +10.7 +0.5
  Fri, Nov 21 7 Purdue L 56-86 29%     4 - 2 -9.5 -6.4 -4.7
  Wed, Nov 26 244 New Orleans W 82-50 97%     5 - 2 +24.2 +3.2 +20.7
  Sun, Nov 30 90 Wyoming W 76-72 86%     6 - 2 +6.9 +6.4 +0.7
  Sun, Dec 7 35 LSU W 82-58 57%     7 - 2 +36.9 +13.9 +22.7
  Sat, Dec 13 20 Arkansas L 86-93 46%     7 - 3 +8.7 +24.1 -15.7
  Tue, Dec 16 151 Northern Colorado W 101-90 94%     8 - 3 +8.6 +27.7 -18.9
  Sat, Dec 20 2 Duke L 71-79 22%    
  Sun, Dec 28 113 Winthrop W 87-73 91%    
  Sat, Jan 3 51 Oklahoma St. W 86-79 75%    
  Tue, Jan 6 8 @Houston L 65-73 22%    
  Sat, Jan 10 65 @Colorado W 80-77 61%    
  Wed, Jan 14 119 Utah W 85-70 91%    
  Sat, Jan 17 9 BYU L 75-77 43%    
  Tue, Jan 20 32 @Baylor L 79-81 44%    
  Sat, Jan 24 8 Houston L 68-70 42%    
  Sat, Jan 31 55 @Central Florida W 80-78 56%    
  Mon, Feb 2 17 Kansas W 73-72 52%    
  Sun, Feb 8 68 @West Virginia W 72-69 62%    
  Wed, Feb 11 65 Colorado W 83-74 79%    
  Sat, Feb 14 3 @Arizona L 73-84 16%    
  Tue, Feb 17 63 @Arizona St. W 79-76 60%    
  Sat, Feb 21 67 Kansas St. W 86-77 79%    
  Tue, Feb 24 69 Cincinnati W 78-68 81%    
  Sat, Feb 28 4 @Iowa St. L 71-81 18%    
  Tue, Mar 3 54 TCU W 77-69 76%    
  Sat, Mar 7 9 @BYU L 72-80 23%    
Projected Record 19 - 12 10 - 8




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Big 12 Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.2 0.7 0.8 0.4 0.1 0.0 2.1 1st
2nd 0.0 0.2 1.4 1.8 0.7 0.1 4.3 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.4 2.2 3.4 1.3 0.1 7.4 3rd
4th 0.0 0.3 2.8 5.0 2.1 0.1 0.0 10.2 4th
5th 0.2 2.9 6.4 3.4 0.3 0.0 13.2 5th
6th 0.1 2.2 6.8 4.3 0.4 0.0 13.8 6th
7th 0.0 1.1 5.4 4.8 0.7 0.0 12.0 7th
8th 0.3 3.4 5.2 1.2 0.0 10.1 8th
9th 0.0 1.5 4.4 1.8 0.1 7.8 9th
10th 0.4 2.9 2.5 0.2 6.1 10th
11th 0.1 1.5 2.6 0.5 0.0 4.7 11th
12th 0.0 0.5 2.1 0.8 0.1 3.5 12th
13th 0.2 0.9 1.1 0.1 0.0 2.3 13th
14th 0.0 0.1 0.5 0.8 0.2 1.6 14th
15th 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.2 0.0 0.6 15th
16th 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.3 16th
Total 0.0 0.1 0.3 1.0 2.6 5.3 8.2 12.1 15.0 16.0 14.7 11.3 7.4 3.8 1.6 0.5 0.1 0.0 Total



Big 12 Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0 100.0% 0.0    0.0
17-1 100.0% 0.1    0.1 0.0
16-2 80.7% 0.4    0.3 0.1 0.0
15-3 48.5% 0.8    0.3 0.4 0.1
14-4 17.1% 0.7    0.1 0.2 0.2 0.1 0.0
13-5 2.2% 0.2    0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.0
12-6 0.0% 0.0    0.0
11-7 0.0%
10-8 0.0%
9-9 0.0%
Total 2.1% 2.1 0.8 0.8 0.4 0.1 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0 0.0% 0.0
17-1 0.1% 100.0% 35.5% 64.5% 1.9 0.0 0.0 0.0 100.0%
16-2 0.5% 100.0% 20.7% 79.3% 2.3 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.1 100.0%
15-3 1.6% 100.0% 11.8% 88.2% 2.6 0.2 0.5 0.6 0.2 0.0 0.0 100.0%
14-4 3.8% 100.0% 10.0% 90.0% 3.4 0.1 0.5 1.5 1.1 0.5 0.1 0.0 100.0%
13-5 7.4% 100.0% 8.2% 91.8% 4.2 0.1 0.3 1.5 2.8 1.9 0.7 0.1 100.0%
12-6 11.3% 99.9% 6.2% 93.6% 5.0 0.0 0.1 1.1 2.4 3.7 2.7 1.0 0.2 0.0 0.0 99.8%
11-7 14.7% 99.5% 2.5% 97.0% 6.0 0.1 0.3 1.3 3.6 4.2 3.3 1.4 0.3 0.1 0.1 99.5%
10-8 16.0% 97.9% 1.7% 96.2% 7.2 0.0 0.3 1.4 3.1 4.8 3.6 1.8 0.7 0.1 0.0 0.3 97.8%
9-9 15.0% 88.8% 0.9% 87.9% 8.7 0.0 0.2 1.0 1.9 2.5 3.3 2.9 1.4 0.0 1.7 88.7%
8-10 12.1% 59.9% 0.9% 59.1% 10.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.5 1.0 2.0 3.3 0.1 4.9 59.6%
7-11 8.2% 22.5% 0.0% 22.4% 10.6 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.4 1.2 0.1 0.0 6.4 22.5%
6-12 5.3% 4.5% 0.4% 4.0% 11.0 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.0 5.1 4.0%
5-13 2.6% 0.1% 0.1% 11.0 0.0 2.6
4-14 1.0% 1.0
3-15 0.3% 0.3
2-16 0.1% 0.1
1-17 0.0% 0.0
0-18
Total 100% 77.6% 2.9% 74.7% 6.7 0.6 1.6 5.2 8.2 11.4 11.9 11.3 8.2 6.6 6.1 6.2 0.2 0.0 22.4 76.9%