Louisiana
Sun Belt
2024-25 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
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All team stats adjusted for opponents. See methodology page for descriptions of rating types.

Predictive Rating -8.2 301
Results Rating -8.2 297
Consistency 0.13 91
Pace 60.2 357
Improvement +5.0 26

Overall 1st FGA Second Chance TOs Free
throws		 Shot Selection
Offense D 320 D D- C F+ F
Defense C- 243 D+ C- C+ F+ D

Offense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 27% 363 D- 50% 345 -8.8 364
2 Pt. Jumpers 50% 51 C 38% 168 +5.0 15
Three Pointers 39% 217 C+ 34% 152 -0.5 200
Shot Selection/Accuracy F -2.4 362 C- -1.8 242
1st FG Attempt D 0.94 307
Second Chance D+ 26.6% 291 F+ 0.86 353 D- 0.23 345
Opponents' Steals A- 7.3% 18
Other Turnovers F 9.6% 357
Turnovers C 16.9% 188
Freethrows F 0.23 362 D+ 69% 278 F+ 0.16 359
Total Offense D -5.9 320

Assists Blocks (Opponents')
Close Shots F 32% 355 C- 12.3% 258
2 Pt. Jumpers Shots D 14% 334 B+ 2.4% 25
Three Pointers C+ 87% 128 B+ 0.3% 35
Total F+ 45% 352 B 4.2% 39

Defense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 44% 41 C- 59% 215 +3.8 308
2 Pt. Jumpers 17% 299 B- 36% 103 -1.8 45
Three Pointers 39% 233 D- 38% 323 +1.3 248
Shot Selection/Accuracy D +0.9 331 D+ +2.3 272
1st FG Attempt D+ 1.09 286
Second Chance D+ 32.2% 260 C 1.03 188 C- 0.33 242
Turnovers from Steals C- 8.7% 234
Other Turnovers A- 9.1% 17
Turnovers C+ 17.9% 115
Freethrows F+ 0.38 352 C- 73% 232 F+ 0.28 347
Total Defense C- -2.3 243

Assists Blocks
Close Shots C 48% 171 C+ 12.2% 125
2 Pt. Jumpers Shots B+ 14% 8 C+ 5.4% 125
Three Pointers C- 85% 217 C 1.0% 131
Total C 55% 178 B- 6.7% 93

Miscellaneous
Offense Defense
Possession Length 19.5 350 17.5 225
Fast Break Points Per Possession 0.11 344 0.16 155
Consistency 0.13 258 0.12 177
Improvement +5.3 6 -0.3 205

NCAA Tournament Selection
At-Large Selection Status Out of Consideration
Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Prediction Ranges
Pessimistic
5th Percentile 		Expected
50th Percentile 		Optimistic
95th Percentile
Predictive Rating Rank 304 300 297
Results Rating Rank 297 293 288
Conference Record 7 - 11 7 - 11 7 - 11
Conference Finish 11 11 11
NCAA Tourney Seed None None None
NCAA Tourney Finish None None None

NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0% n/a n/a
#1 Seed 0% n/a n/a
Top 2 Seed 0% n/a n/a
Top 4 Seed 0% n/a n/a
Top 6 Seed 0% n/a n/a
NCAA Tourney Bid 0% n/a n/a
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0% n/a n/a
Average Seed n/a n/a n/a
.500 or above 0% n/a n/a
.500 or above in Conference 0% 0% 0.0%
Conference Champion 0% 0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 0% 0% 0.0%
First Four0% n/a n/a
First Round0% n/a n/a
Second Round0% n/a n/a
Sweet Sixteen0% n/a n/a
Elite Eight0% n/a n/a
Final Four0% n/a n/a
Championship Game0% n/a n/a
National Champion0% n/a n/a

Projected Record by Quadrant
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 10 - 1
Quad 1b0 - 20 - 3
Quad 20 - 10 - 4
Quad 32 - 102 - 13
Quad 48 - 810 - 21


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Lead Record Total Rating Offense Defense
Avg Time Overall Conf Total First
FGA		 2nd Chance TOs Total First
FGA		 2nd Chance TOs
 Mon, Nov 3 313 @Ball St. L 64 - 75 42% -2  10% 0 - 1 F+ -17 D -6 D D C F -12 F D- C+
 Fri, Nov 7 290 SE Louisiana W 58 - 52 59% +9  99% 1 - 1 C- -5 F+ -8 A- F D+ B +5 A C C+
 Tue, Nov 11 180 Tulane L 62 - 66 35% -3  25% 1 - 2 D -8 F+ -9 F+ C A C+ +0 B- F+ C+
 Fri, Nov 14 85 @McNeese St. L 62 - 88 5% -18  0% 1 - 3 F+ -16 D -5 F C+ C- F -12 F A+ B+
 Tue, Nov 18 75 @Stanford L 66 - 93 5% -12  10% 1 - 4 F+ -16 D -5 B- F+ C- F -11 F+ B- C-
 Fri, Nov 21 43 @Santa Clara L 43 - 80 2% -20  0% 1 - 5 F -22 F -25 F F F C+ +1 A+ F D-
 Mon, Nov 24 175 @UC Davis L 56 - 77 17% -8  0% 1 - 6 F -19 F -14 F F D D -6 F C- D-
 Fri, Nov 28 344 Jackson St. L 45 - 51 75% -5  5% 1 - 7 F -21 F -33 F C- F A +11 B B B
 Wed, Dec 3 220 @Lamar L 55 - 65 23% +2  53% 1 - 8 D -10 F -11 D C F C -1 D+ B D-
 Sat, Dec 6 107 UNC Wilmington L 63 - 70 19% -3  10% 1 - 9 D+ -6 D -6 D+ C- C C -1 C- B- B
 Sat, Dec 13 216 @Louisiana Tech L 44 - 65 22% -11  6% 1 - 10 F -21 F -20 F+ F F D+ -4 C- F A+
 Thu, Dec 18 226 @Southern Miss L 54 - 62 23% -2  27% 1 - 11 0 - 1 D -9 F -18 F F B A +9 A+ A- F
 Sat, Dec 20 353 @Louisiana Monroe W 76 - 62 63% +12  99% 2 - 11 1 - 1 C+ +2 C +1 B- F A+ B- +3 B- F+ A
 Sun, Dec 28 304 Norfolk St. W 63 - 54 63% +9  99% 3 - 11 C- -3 D -5 C+ F A+ B +4 A B D
 Wed, Dec 31 185 South Alabama L 58 - 63 37% -2  13% 3 - 12 1 - 2 D -10 D+ -4 D C B+ D- -7 C- F+ A+
 Sat, Jan 3 226 Southern Miss L 67 - 74 44% -2  27% 3 - 13 1 - 3 D- -14 D- -7 D A+ F+ D- -7 F B A+
 Thu, Jan 8 353 Louisiana Monroe W 85 - 79 81% +3  68% 4 - 13 2 - 3 D- -12 C- -2 C- B+ F F+ -9 F C+ C
 Sat, Jan 10 151 Troy L 70 - 90 29% -16  0% 4 - 14 2 - 4 F -23 C -0 A F C+ F -24 F F A-
 Wed, Jan 14 234 @Texas St. L 54 - 59 24% -5  6% 4 - 15 2 - 5 D+ -6 F -12 F D- B- B+ +5 F A+ B
 Sat, Jan 17 185 @South Alabama W 59 - 56 18% +1  62% 5 - 15 3 - 5 C+ +4 C- -2 C- D- A B+ +7 B- F C+
 Thu, Jan 22 170 @Appalachian St. L 58 - 72 17% -1  45% 5 - 16 3 - 6 D- -12 D+ -4 F C+ A- F -10 F C A+
 Thu, Jan 29 296 Georgia St. W 82 - 72 61% +10  94% 6 - 16 4 - 6 C -1 A- +10 A B- C- F -10 B+ D+ F
 Sat, Jan 31 261 Georgia Southern W 69 - 60 51% +6  93% 7 - 16 5 - 6 C +0 D+ -3 B- D- B B +5 B C A+
 Wed, Feb 4 202 @James Madison W 64 - 61 20% +1  56% 8 - 16 6 - 6 C+ +4 C+ +3 D+ C+ D+ C+ +1 D D C
 Sat, Feb 7 266 Central Michigan W 85 - 80 53% -1  34% 9 - 16 C- -4 A +12 A+ D C- F -16 F F F+
 Thu, Feb 12 228 Coastal Carolina L 65 - 69 44% -5  0% 9 - 17 6 - 7 D -11 F -11 D D- D C +0 D+ D+ A+
 Mon, Feb 16 240 @Old Dominion L 72 - 83 25% -2  20% 9 - 18 6 - 8 D- -12 C- -0 F+ C B F -13 F A F+
 Thu, Feb 19 145 Arkansas St. L 62 - 79 28% -1  42% 9 - 19 6 - 9 F -19 F -14 F F A+ D -5 F C- A+
 Sat, Feb 21 234 Texas St. W 67 - 54 45% +11  99% 10 - 19 7 - 9 B- +6 C +1 B B F+ A- +7 A+ D- A+
 Tue, Feb 24 151 @Troy L 59 - 78 14% -6  29% 10 - 20 7 - 10 F+ -16 C- -2 C F C- F -18 F F C+
 Fri, Feb 27 145 @Arkansas St. L 58 - 81 13% -14  0% 10 - 21 7 - 11 F -19 F -20 F F B+ B- +3 C- A F+
Totals 10 - 21 7 - 11 -8 D -6 F C- F C- -2 C+ D+ F+



Game Detail
Grades are adjusted for opponent strength in each category. Game stats are not adjusted for oppoent strength. See methodology page for descriptions of rating types.
Offense Defense
Tot Off First Field Goal Attempt Second Chance TOs Freethrows Tot Def First Field Goal Attempt Second Chance TOs Freethrows
Shot Accuracy Shot Selection Points Per Shot Shot Accuracy Shot Selection Points Per Shot
2 C 2 L 3 Tot 2 C 2 L 3 Tot Off Reb PPP Tot Att Perc Tot 2 C 2 L 3 Tot 2 C 2 L 3 Tot Off Reb PPP Tot Att Perc Tot
Season Ratings D D- C C+ C- 27% 50% 39% F D D+ F+ D- C F D+ F+ C- C- B- D- D+ 44% 17% 39% D D+ D+ C C- C+ F+ C- F+
1.00 50% 38% 34% -2 -2 0.94 27% 0.9 .23 17% .23 69% .16 1.12 59% 36% 38% +2 +1 1.09 32% 1.0 .33 18% .38 73% .17
Nov
3		 Ball St. D B- B+ F+ D+ 22% 31% 47% F D F+ B D C F F F F D- A+ F F 58% 13% 30% F F D+ F+ D- C+ F B- F
1.00 64% 44% 29% 0 -3 0.96 26% 1.1 .29 19% .17 56% .10 1.17 61% 0% 58% +8 +2 1.23 29% 1.0 .29 17% .53 68% .36
Nov
7		 SE Louisiana F+ D+ A+ B+ A+ 22% 46% 32% F A- F F F D+ F F F B B- A+ A+ A+ 41% 8% 51% F A D B C C+ F A+ F
1.00 56% 63% 38% +13 -5 1.20 16% 0.5 .08 21% .26 58% .15 0.89 53% 0% 21% -15 +2 0.76 31% 0.8 .26 19% .66 58% .38
Nov
11		 Tulane F+ A- C- F D 13% 31% 56% F F+ D+ B C A B+ F D+ C+ F A+ A+ B+ 54% 17% 29% F+ B- B- F F+ C+ F C- F
0.97 67% 36% 28% -5 -3 0.87 31% 1.1 .33 13% .38 52% .20 1.03 73% 0% 17% -6 +2 0.93 19% 1.8 .35 16% .50 78% .39
Nov
14		 McNeese St. D F F F F 31% 26% 43% D- F B+ D C+ C- A A+ A+ F D- F F F 44% 7% 49% F F B- A+ A+ B+ F C- F
0.93 46% 18% 22% -16 -1 0.67 41% 1.0 .41 25% .46 87% .40 1.32 67% 67% 50% +18 +2 1.41 32% 0.4 .12 16% .70 77% .54
Nov
18		 Stanford D C+ A F B- 48% 34% 18% C- B- F+ D+ F+ C- D F F F F B- C- F 29% 13% 58% A- F+ C B B- C- F F F
0.93 58% 47% 22% 0 -1 1.00 18% 1.0 .18 20% .30 59% .17 1.30 86% 33% 36% +9 0 1.21 34% 0.9 .31 14% .57 80% .46
Nov
21		 Santa Clara F F F F F 55% 26% 18% C F D+ F F F A+ A A+ C+ D+ D- A+ A+ 50% 4% 46% F A+ F C+ F D- F A+ D+
0.65 33% 20% 14% -24 0 0.55 27% 0.6 .15 27% .52 80% .41 1.20 65% 50% 17% -8 +3 0.92 50% 1.1 .55 12% .33 63% .21
Nov
24		 UC Davis F A- F D- F+ 12% 36% 52% F F C- F F D F C- F D F F+ F F 35% 23% 43% C+ F B+ F C- D- F A- F
0.86 67% 28% 31% -5 -4 0.84 29% 0.6 .17 21% .21 73% .16 1.18 71% 44% 41% +11 0 1.23 22% 1.3 .30 15% .58 69% .40
Nov
28		 Jackson St. F D- F F F 35% 14% 51% C F C D+ C- F C F F A B+ F+ A+ A- 38% 22% 40% D- B B B+ B B A+ D A+
0.73 53% 17% 14% -20 +1 0.63 37% 1.0 .37 26% .35 50% .17 0.82 47% 45% 20% -11 0 0.80 23% 0.9 .20 21% .10 80% .08
Dec
3		 Lamar F C F B- D+ 27% 23% 50% D D D- A+ C F F B+ F C A- F F C+ 67% 22% 11% F D+ D+ A B D- F A F
0.90 58% 20% 36% -2 -1 0.95 24% 1.3 .31 28% .18 75% .14 1.06 43% 60% 40% -4 +2 0.98 35% 0.8 .26 13% .45 63% .28
Dec
6		 UNC Wilmington D F+ C C D+ 27% 25% 48% C D+ D B C- C C- B- C C B A+ F+ C+ 47% 12% 42% F C- C B- B- B F C- F
0.99 50% 38% 32% -3 -1 0.92 22% 1.1 .25 14% .24 77% .18 1.10 50% 20% 39% -3 +2 1.00 33% 1.0 .33 17% .45 71% .32
Dec
13		 Louisiana Tech F F C- C D- 26% 26% 49% F F+ C+ F F F C- F F D+ D+ A+ A- C+ 52% 12% 36% F C- F F F A+ F F F
0.73 27% 36% 33% -9 -2 0.81 34% 0.3 .11 27% .29 54% .16 1.08 59% 20% 27% -6 +2 0.95 43% 1.0 .43 25% .42 84% .35
Dec
18		 Southern Miss F F B- F F 20% 49% 31% F F F F F B F A F A A+ B+ C- A+ 26% 31% 43% B+ A+ A+ F A- F F A F
0.80 36% 41% 24% -8 -5 0.76 13% 0.4 .05 15% .22 77% .17 0.91 9% 31% 33% -15 -2 0.67 18% 1.3 .23 12% .65 67% .43
Dec
20		 Louisiana Monroe C B C- A+ A- 30% 30% 40% F B- F F F A+ B+ F C- B- A+ A F C+ 36% 28% 36% B+ B- C+ F F+ A F F+ F
1.19 67% 40% 50% +13 -2 1.24 21% 0.7 .14 9% .31 56% .17 0.97 36% 27% 43% -6 -1 0.87 23% 1.4 .33 22% .67 79% .52
Dec
28		 Norfolk St. D D- B+ A+ B 24% 24% 52% F C+ F+ F F A+ F B- F+ B A+ A+ D- A+ 41% 18% 41% F+ A C A- B D C+ D+ C
1.07 55% 45% 42% +7 -1 1.13 26% 0.4 .10 12% .29 73% .21 0.92 33% 13% 39% -12 0 0.80 30% 0.8 .24 17% .33 69% .23
Dec
31		 South Alabama D+ F A- C- D+ 9% 20% 70% F D C+ C- C B+ F D+ F D- D+ B C+ C- 41% 16% 43% C C- F A F+ A+ F F F
1.04 25% 44% 32% -4 -2 0.91 32% 1.1 .35 14% .15 71% .10 1.13 60% 33% 31% -2 +1 1.00 37% 1.0 .37 20% .45 85% .38
Jan
3		 Southern Miss D- B- C C C 21% 44% 35% F D C+ A+ A+ F+ D- A- D+ D- F B- A F 49% 22% 29% F F D A+ B A+ F F F
0.99 60% 38% 35% +1 -4 0.96 29% 1.8 .52 21% .30 75% .22 1.09 80% 33% 25% +6 +1 1.15 35% 0.8 .26 25% .59 83% .49
Jan
8		 Louisiana Monroe C- C- A+ D+ C 28% 22% 50% F+ C- A+ D B+ F C+ F D F+ D+ A- F F 58% 15% 27% F F A+ F C+ C D- C- D-
1.19 60% 67% 33% +6 -1 1.13 49% 1.1 .51 21% .27 53% .14 1.11 57% 29% 54% +6 +2 1.19 15% 1.5 .23 17% .37 73% .27
Jan
10		 Troy C A+ B- A+ A+ 26% 23% 51% D- A F F F C+ D A- C- F B A+ F F 43% 15% 43% B- F F F F A- A A+ A+
1.10 75% 45% 42% +12 -1 1.23 20% 0.3 .07 16% .24 77% .19 1.41 50% 14% 55% +6 +1 1.17 58% 1.7 .97 20% .22 45% .10
Jan
14		 Texas St. F F F A F 37% 23% 40% D F F A+ D- B- B D C+ B+ D+ F F F 60% 23% 16% F F B+ A+ A+ B A- A+ A+
0.89 44% 10% 41% -8 0 0.86 16% 1.2 .19 16% .37 68% .26 0.97 62% 50% 43% +7 +1 1.19 27% 0.3 .08 21% .21 60% .13
Jan
17		 South Alabama C- D+ F C C- 14% 8% 78% D+ C- F A+ D- A F F F B+ B- A+ F+ B- 48% 23% 30% C+ B- F C F C+ A+ A+ A+
1.03 57% 25% 33% -2 0 0.98 16% 1.6 .25 12% .08 50% .04 0.98 52% 20% 38% -5 0 0.93 31% 1.2 .38 14% .20 30% .06
Shot Accuracy Shot Selection PPS 2nd Chance TOs Freethrows Shot Accuracy Shot Selection PPS 2nd Chance TOs Freethrows
Jan
22		 Appalachian St. D+ C+ D F F 24% 30% 46% F F F+ A+ C+ A- F A+ D- F C- F F F 25% 13% 63% C+ F F A C A+ C B- C+
0.98 58% 33% 22% -10 -2 0.78 22% 1.4 .30 10% .17 89% .15 1.22 60% 80% 48% +19 0 1.40 38% 0.8 .31 22% .32 60% .19
Jan
29		 Georgia St. A- C+ B+ A+ A+ 23% 45% 32% F A A- D+ B- C- A A A+ F A B- A+ A- 33% 28% 40% D+ B+ F B+ D+ F F F F
1.27 60% 45% 57% +15 -4 1.23 41% 0.9 .38 17% .39 81% .32 1.11 43% 33% 24% -12 -1 0.74 34% 0.9 .32 9% .60 94% .56
Jan
31		 Georgia Southern D+ D+ A- A+ B+ 39% 28% 33% F B- F B+ D- B F D- F B A A D+ B- 38% 21% 42% B+ B D B C A+ C+ F D
1.11 56% 46% 47% +8 -1 1.15 23% 1.2 .27 16% .27 71% .19 0.97 44% 30% 35% -6 0 0.90 30% 1.0 .30 23% .31 87% .27
Feb
4		 James Madison C+ C- F A C 23% 31% 46% F D+ A- F+ C+ D+ F A+ F C+ D- A+ C- D+ 50% 8% 43% F D F B- D C F A+ B
1.13 55% 20% 41% -2 -2 0.94 38% 0.9 .32 14% .18 89% .16 1.08 65% 0% 35% +1 +3 1.10 35% 1.0 .35 18% .41 42% .17
Feb
7		 Central Michigan A D A A+ A+ 28% 41% 30% F A+ A F D C- C+ A+ A- F B- F F F 34% 25% 41% C F B+ F F F+ F D+ F
1.33 54% 47% 64% +16 -3 1.28 45% 0.8 .34 17% .36 84% .30 1.25 53% 73% 44% +13 -1 1.27 24% 1.8 .43 14% .38 71% .27
Feb
12		 Coastal Carolina F B D- D- D+ 21% 44% 35% F D D D- D- D A+ A A+ C A A- F D+ 37% 30% 33% C- D+ D+ D+ D+ A+ F F F
0.93 60% 33% 29% -4 -4 0.85 24% 0.9 .21 14% .42 80% .33 0.99 44% 31% 50% 0 -1 1.00 29% 1.0 .29 27% .45 87% .39
Feb
16		 Old Dominion C- C D A- C- 20% 55% 25% F F+ B F+ C B A C- A- F F D+ F F 51% 28% 21% D- F A+ B+ A F+ F F F
1.08 60% 32% 38% -1 -6 0.88 36% 0.9 .31 12% .43 72% .31 1.25 75% 38% 40% +11 0 1.23 16% 1.0 .16 12% .44 81% .36
Feb
19		 Arkansas St. F F A- F+ F 27% 37% 36% F F C F F A+ F C+ F D F F A+ F 50% 17% 33% D F F B+ C- A+ F B- F
0.90 31% 45% 29% -7 -3 0.81 27% 0.4 .12 4% .17 73% .12 1.15 71% 86% 21% +8 +1 1.21 45% 0.9 .41 26% .55 71% .39
Feb
21		 Texas St. C F C A+ A 28% 41% 31% F B C+ A- B F+ A C+ A- A- B+ A A+ A+ 30% 43% 28% A+ A+ F C+ D- A+ F C- F
1.12 45% 38% 67% +11 -3 1.18 31% 1.1 .35 22% .41 74% .30 0.90 50% 29% 18% -13 -3 0.70 41% 0.9 .35 25% .40 78% .31
Feb
24		 Troy C- D A C+ B- 30% 28% 43% D- C B- F F C- F B F F C F D+ F 58% 8% 35% F F F B F C+ F F F
1.03 50% 54% 35% +3 -2 1.04 35% 0.5 .16 18% .17 75% .13 1.37 57% 100% 36% +5 +3 1.18 54% 0.9 .46 18% .51 88% .45
Feb
27		 Arkansas St. F F D- F+ F 35% 28% 37% D F F F+ F B+ C+ F F+ B- D- A+ C+ C- 38% 7% 55% D- C- A+ F A F+ D A+ A-
0.77 35% 31% 29% -13 -1 0.74 18% 0.9 .16 12% .35 52% .18 1.07 67% 0% 32% -1 +2 1.04 21% 1.3 .28 16% .38 50% .19



Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Sun Belt Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 4th
5th 5th
6th 6th
7th 7th
8th 8th
9th 9th
10th 10th
11th 100.0 100.0 11th
12th 12th
13th 13th
14th 14th
Total 100.0 Total



Sun Belt Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8
9-9
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8
9-9
8-10
7-11 100.0% 100.0
6-12
5-13
4-14
3-15
2-16
1-17
0-18
Total 100% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0 100.0 0.0%