Louisiana
Sun Belt
2024-25 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
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Overall
Predictive Rating-7.8#304
Expected Predictive Rating-9.8#311
Pace64.0#318
Improvement-0.4#209

Offense
Total Offense-4.9#310
First Shot-3.4#274
After Offensive Rebound-1.5#277
Layup/Dunks-0.3#197
2 Pt Jumpshots+2.4#59
3 Pt Jumpshots-4.2#304
Freethrows-1.4#260
Improvement-0.9#269

Defense
Total Defense-2.9#269
First Shot-4.0#311
After Offensive Rebounds+1.1#121
Layups/Dunks-1.2#231
2 Pt Jumpshots+2.1#34
3 Pt Jumpshots-0.7#215
Freethrows-4.1#352
Improvement+0.5#136
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 0.7% 0.8% 0.4%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 15.5 15.5 15.6
.500 or above 5.6% 7.6% 1.7%
.500 or above in Conference 26.2% 29.8% 19.1%
Conference Champion 0.7% 0.8% 0.3%
Last Place in Conference 10.9% 8.9% 14.8%
First Four0.3% 0.2% 0.3%
First Round0.6% 0.7% 0.3%
Second Round0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Jackson St. (Home) - 66.3% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 00 - 0
Quad 1b0 - 10 - 1
Quad 20 - 30 - 4
Quad 32 - 92 - 13
Quad 48 - 810 - 21


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Mon, Nov 3 277 @Ball St. L 64-75 33%     0 - 1 -14.3 -4.0 -11.3
  Fri, Nov 7 250 SE Louisiana W 58-52 50%     1 - 1 -1.9 -3.8 +3.1
  Tue, Nov 11 152 Tulane L 62-66 32%     1 - 2 -7.1 -9.6 +2.0
  Fri, Nov 14 82 @McNeese St. L 62-88 6%     1 - 3 -16.0 -2.6 -14.7
  Tue, Nov 18 95 @Stanford L 66-93 7%     1 - 4 -18.4 -3.0 -14.9
  Fri, Nov 21 59 @Santa Clara L 43-80 4%     1 - 5 -24.7 -20.9 -5.7
  Mon, Nov 24 178 @UC Davis L 56-77 19%     1 - 6 -19.4 -10.0 -10.9
  Fri, Nov 28 326 Jackson St. W 72-68 66%    
  Wed, Dec 3 199 @Lamar L 60-68 22%    
  Sat, Dec 6 113 UNC Wilmington L 63-71 23%    
  Sat, Dec 13 194 @Louisiana Tech L 58-67 21%    
  Thu, Dec 18 237 @Southern Miss L 67-73 28%    
  Sat, Dec 20 361 @Louisiana Monroe W 74-71 62%    
  Sun, Dec 28 233 Norfolk St. L 63-64 48%    
  Wed, Dec 31 180 South Alabama L 63-66 39%    
  Sat, Jan 3 237 Southern Miss L 69-70 49%    
  Thu, Jan 8 361 Louisiana Monroe W 77-68 80%    
  Sat, Jan 10 131 Troy L 66-73 27%    
  Wed, Jan 14 203 @Texas St. L 61-69 23%    
  Sat, Jan 17 180 @South Alabama L 60-69 20%    
  Thu, Jan 22 279 @Appalachian St. L 62-66 34%    
  Sat, Jan 24 216 @Old Dominion L 66-73 26%    
  Thu, Jan 29 337 Georgia St. W 71-65 69%    
  Sat, Jan 31 246 Georgia Southern L 72-73 50%    
  Wed, Feb 4 147 @James Madison L 65-76 17%    
  Thu, Feb 12 253 Coastal Carolina W 70-69 51%    
  Thu, Feb 19 172 Arkansas St. L 72-76 38%    
  Sat, Feb 21 203 Texas St. L 64-66 42%    
  Tue, Feb 24 131 @Troy L 63-76 13%    
  Fri, Feb 27 172 @Arkansas St. L 69-79 20%    
Projected Record 10 - 20 7 - 11




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Sun Belt Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.7 1st
2nd 0.0 0.1 0.6 0.6 0.3 0.0 1.5 2nd
3rd 0.1 0.9 1.2 0.3 0.0 2.6 3rd
4th 0.0 0.0 0.8 1.7 0.6 0.0 3.2 4th
5th 0.0 0.3 2.2 1.6 0.1 4.2 5th
6th 0.2 2.3 2.7 0.3 0.0 5.5 6th
7th 0.1 1.5 3.9 1.3 0.0 6.8 7th
8th 0.0 1.1 4.3 2.6 0.2 8.3 8th
9th 0.0 0.5 4.2 4.7 0.8 0.0 10.2 9th
10th 0.5 3.5 5.8 1.8 0.1 11.7 10th
11th 0.0 0.5 3.2 6.2 3.0 0.3 13.3 11th
12th 0.0 0.7 3.7 6.1 3.5 0.5 14.5 12th
13th 0.1 1.0 3.1 4.5 2.5 0.4 0.0 11.6 13th
14th 0.2 0.8 1.8 2.0 0.9 0.2 0.0 6.0 14th
Total 0.2 0.9 2.8 5.8 9.7 12.5 14.2 14.8 12.9 9.9 7.2 4.7 2.7 1.1 0.5 0.1 0.0 0.0 Total



Sun Belt Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1 100.0% 0.0    0.0
16-2 100.0% 0.0    0.0 0.0
15-3 94.9% 0.1    0.1 0.0 0.0
14-4 45.8% 0.2    0.1 0.1 0.0
13-5 15.6% 0.2    0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0
12-6 4.4% 0.1    0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
11-7 0.0%
10-8 0.0%
9-9 0.0%
Total 0.7% 0.7 0.3 0.2 0.1 0.1 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1 0.0% 0.0
16-2 0.0% 0.0 0.0
15-3 0.1% 20.5% 20.5% 14.8 0.0 0.0 0.1
14-4 0.5% 16.8% 16.8% 15.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.4
13-5 1.1% 9.3% 9.3% 15.4 0.0 0.0 0.1 1.0
12-6 2.7% 6.5% 6.5% 15.6 0.0 0.1 0.1 2.5
11-7 4.7% 2.6% 2.6% 15.6 0.0 0.0 0.1 4.5
10-8 7.2% 1.4% 1.4% 15.9 0.0 0.1 7.1
9-9 9.9% 0.4% 0.4% 15.8 0.0 0.0 9.9
8-10 12.9% 0.3% 0.3% 16.0 0.0 12.9
7-11 14.8% 0.0% 0.0% 16.0 0.0 14.8
6-12 14.2% 14.2
5-13 12.5% 12.5
4-14 9.7% 9.7
3-15 5.8% 5.8
2-16 2.8% 2.8
1-17 0.9% 0.9
0-18 0.2% 0.2
Total 100% 0.7% 0.7% 0.0% 15.5 0.1 0.2 0.4 99.3 0.0%