Marshall
Sun Belt
2024-25 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
Switch to All-time Team Page
All team stats adjusted for opponents. See methodology page for descriptions of rating types.

Predictive Rating -1.8 186
Results Rating -0.2 161
Consistency 0.17 273
Pace 72.2 83
Improvement -4.6 336

Overall 1st FGA Second Chance TOs Free
throws
Shot Selection
Offense C+ 108 B- B- C D D
Defense D 304 C C- C D B-

Offense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 31% 349 B+ 65% 40 -2.4 268
2 Pt. Jumpers 41% 144 C 38% 160 +1.9 83
Three Pointers 44% 114 B- 36% 106 +2.8 87
Shot Selection/Accuracy D -1.1 320 B +3.4 76
1st FG Attempt B- 1.07 107
Second Chance C 30.9% 169 B 1.13 56 B- 0.35 100
Opponents' Steals D+ 10.5% 277
Other Turnovers B- 6.7% 101
Turnovers C 17.2% 204
Freethrows D- 0.25 339 C+ 73% 168 D 0.18 319
Total Offense C+ +2.6 108

Assists Blocks (Opponents')
Close Shots A- 63% 11 C 11.0% 178
2 Pt. Jumpers Shots C- 21% 231 B- 4.0% 106
Three Pointers D+ 79% 286 C- 1.1% 236
Total B- 60% 88 B- 4.8% 95

Defense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 35% 274 D+ 61% 255 -0.8 145
2 Pt. Jumpers 23% 95 B 34% 60 +0.1 194
Three Pointers 42% 146 D+ 36% 254 +1.4 255
Shot Selection/Accuracy B- -0.5 88 C- +1.1 226
1st FG Attempt C 1.03 197
Second Chance D- 34.5% 327 B- 0.97 83 C- 0.34 244
Turnovers from Steals C- 8.7% 235
Other Turnovers B- 7.9% 101
Turnovers C 16.6% 192
Freethrows D 0.35 315 C 73% 197 D 0.25 309
Total Defense D -4.3 304

Assists Blocks
Close Shots B- 44% 96 B- 13.4% 80
2 Pt. Jumpers Shots C+ 24% 173 B+ 8.2% 42
Three Pointers B- 80% 65 C 0.9% 163
Total C+ 53% 118 B- 7.0% 75

Miscellaneous
Offense Defense
Possession Length 15.6 33 18.0 287
Fast Break Points Per Possession 0.20 89 0.18 211
Consistency 0.13 230 0.14 320
Improvement +3.1 47 -7.7 365

NCAA Tournament Selection
At-Large Selection Status Out of Consideration
Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Prediction Ranges
Pessimistic
5th Percentile
Expected
50th Percentile
Optimistic
95th Percentile
Predictive Rating Rank 205 191 172
Results Rating Rank 180 169 139
Conference Record 11 - 7 11 - 7 11 - 7
Conference Finish 2 2 2
NCAA Tourney Seed None None 14
NCAA Tourney Finish None None 1st Round

NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0% 0% 0%
#1 Seed 0% 0% 0%
Top 2 Seed 0% 0% 0%
Top 4 Seed 0% 0% 0%
Top 6 Seed 0% 0% 0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 23% 44% 0%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0% 0% 0%
Average Seed 14.5 14.5 n/a
.500 or above 100% 100% 100%
.500 or above in Conference 100% 100% 100.0%
Conference Champion 0% 0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 0% 0% 0.0%
First Four0% 0% 0%
First Round23% 44% 0%
Second Round0% 0% 0%
Sweet Sixteen0% 0% 0%
Elite Eight0% 0% 0%
Final Four0% 0% 0%
Championship Game0% 0% 0%
National Champion0% 0% 0%

Projected Record by Quadrant
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 10 - 1
Quad 1b0 - 00 - 1
Quad 20 - 20 - 3
Quad 37 - 47 - 7
Quad 412 - 519 - 13


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Lead Record Total Rating Offense Defense
Avg Time Overall Conf Total First
FGA
2nd Chance TOs Total First
FGA
2nd Chance TOs
 Mon, Nov 3 190 @Massachusetts W 78 - 72 39% +5  87% 1 - 0 B- +7 F+ -9 B C F A+ +15 C+ A+ A+
 Sat, Nov 8 164 @Toledo W 85 - 73 33% -1  34% 2 - 0 A- +15 B +7 A+ F+ D- A- +8 B B A
 Wed, Nov 12 225 Elon W 96 - 89 68% +6  95% 3 - 0 C +0 B +6 B+ A+ D- D -6 C- C D-
 Sat, Nov 15 20 @Virginia L 78 - 104 3% -20  0% 3 - 1 C- -5 B +7 C A+ D- F -10 D+ D- D-
 Thu, Nov 20 330 Arkansas Pine Bluff W 98 - 70 87% +5  50% 4 - 1 B+ +14 B +6 A+ F B- B+ +6 A C B
 Sun, Nov 23 289 Mercyhurst W 69 - 60 80% +5  87% 5 - 1 C -2 D+ -3 B F+ C+ B- +2 A- C+ C
 Wed, Nov 26 197 Lipscomb L 67 - 90 63% -17  0% 5 - 2 F -28 F -17 F B F F+ -9 F A- B
 Wed, Dec 3 107 @UNC Wilmington L 69 - 70 20% -1  31% 5 - 3 B- +6 B- +5 C- A+ F+ C+ +0 A+ B- F
 Sat, Dec 6 210 @Ohio L 81 - 88 42% -6  0% 5 - 4 D+ -7 C+ +2 D+ B+ C F+ -9 D C+ F+
 Wed, Dec 10 140 Western Kentucky W 77 - 61 50% +7  71% 6 - 4 B+ +14 B- +4 C- B+ A+ A +11 B A+ B-
 Sat, Dec 13 162 Wright St. W 76 - 74 56% -1  28% 7 - 4 C -1 B +6 C+ A C- D- -7 D+ A+ F
 Sat, Dec 20 151 @Troy L 63 - 70 31% -6  10% 7 - 5 0 - 1 C- -4 F -11 F D+ F+ A- +7 A B B
 Wed, Dec 31 296 Georgia St. W 84 - 80 81% +2  61% 8 - 5 1 - 1 D+ -7 C +0 C A F+ D- -7 D F+ C+
 Sat, Jan 3 170 Appalachian St. W 88 - 81 58% +8  92% 9 - 5 2 - 1 C+ +3 A +12 A+ D- B F+ -9 D- D- C
 Wed, Jan 7 202 @James Madison W 66 - 64 41% +8  96% 10 - 5 3 - 1 C+ +3 C- -1 F B+ B+ B +4 A D+ C+
 Sat, Jan 10 296 @Georgia St. L 73 - 81 63% +3  56% 10 - 6 3 - 2 D- -13 D- -6 D- B- F D- -7 B F B
 Wed, Jan 14 228 Coastal Carolina L 83 - 85 68% -5  17% 10 - 7 3 - 3 D -9 B+ +8 A D+ A- F -17 F B- B-
 Sat, Jan 17 202 James Madison W 77 - 72 64% -0  59% 11 - 7 4 - 3 C -0 C -0 D B+ F C -0 B F B+
 Thu, Jan 22 353 Louisiana Monroe W 115 - 60 92% +28  97% 12 - 7 5 - 3 A+ +37 A+ +23 A+ A+ D A+ +11 A+ C C-
 Wed, Jan 28 234 @Texas St. L 68 - 72 47% -4  21% 12 - 8 5 - 4 D+ -5 D -5 D F+ A+ C +0 C F C
 Sat, Jan 31 145 @Arkansas St. W 70 - 61 29% +4  76% 13 - 8 6 - 4 B+ +13 C+ +3 C B F+ A +11 A+ A C-
 Wed, Feb 4 226 Southern Miss W 81 - 77 68% -2  29% 14 - 8 7 - 4 C- -3 B+ +9 A B C+ F -11 D D- B
 Sat, Feb 7 87 Miami (OH) L 74 - 90 31% -13  0% 14 - 9 D- -13 C- -2 D+ C+ B- F -11 C- F B+
 Wed, Feb 11 240 @Old Dominion W 81 - 79 48% -7  10% 15 - 9 8 - 4 C +1 B- +4 A+ F C+ D+ -4 D D+ D-
 Sat, Feb 14 261 @Georgia Southern L 87 - 101 53% -11  13% 15 - 10 8 - 5 F+ -17 C +0 D+ F B+ F -15 F C+ B-
 Mon, Feb 16 185 South Alabama W 84 - 80 61% +8  89% 16 - 10 9 - 5 C -1 A +14 A- A A+ F -14 F F B
 Thu, Feb 19 170 @Appalachian St. W 94 - 93 35% -6  8% 17 - 10 10 - 5 C+ +3 A+ +26 A+ B A+ F -23 F F F
 Sat, Feb 21 228 @Coastal Carolina L 75 - 79 46% -8  0% 17 - 11 10 - 6 C- -5 D+ -3 F B+ D+ C -1 B- C- B-
 Tue, Feb 24 240 Old Dominion W 97 - 88 71% +7  96% 18 - 11 11 - 6 C +2 A+ +15 A+ B- A F -14 C- F F
 Fri, Feb 27 261 Georgia Southern L 82 - 99 74% -1  31% 18 - 12 11 - 7 F -26 C- -1 B- B- D+ F -24 F F F+
Totals 18 - 12 11 - 7 -2 C+ +3 F B D D -4 B- C+ D



Game Detail
Grades are adjusted for opponent strength in each category. Game stats are not adjusted for oppoent strength. See methodology page for descriptions of rating types.
Offense Defense
Tot Off First Field Goal Attempt Second Chance TOs Freethrows Tot Def First Field Goal Attempt Second Chance TOs Freethrows
Shot Accuracy Shot Selection Points Per Shot Shot Accuracy Shot Selection Points Per Shot
2 C 2 L 3 Tot 2 C 2 L 3 Tot Off Reb PPP Tot Att Perc Tot 2 C 2 L 3 Tot 2 C 2 L 3 Tot Off Reb PPP Tot Att Perc Tot
Season Ratings C+ B+ C B- B 31% 41% 44% D B- C B B- C D- C+ D D D+ B D+ C- 35% 23% 42% B- C D- B- C- C D C D
1.12 65% 38% 36% +3 -1 1.07 31% 1.1 .35 17% .25 73% .18 1.15 61% 34% 36% +1 -1 1.03 35% 1.0 .34 17% .35 73% .18
Nov
3
Massachusetts F+ A+ F C B+ 33% 14% 53% C B A- F C F D C+ D+ A+ C D- B+ C+ 43% 22% 35% C- C+ A A+ A+ A+ F A F
0.96 82% 29% 33% +6 +1 1.16 36% 0.8 .29 32% .34 74% .25 0.88 57% 45% 29% -1 0 1.00 25% 0.4 .10 25% .58 58% .34
Nov
8
Toledo B A+ F A+ A+ 25% 10% 65% C- A+ C+ F F+ D- D+ D- D A- A+ F C B 41% 29% 30% C+ B F A+ B A D- D F+
1.20 85% 20% 44% +15 0 1.33 36% 0.7 .24 21% .21 67% .14 1.03 35% 69% 35% 0 -1 1.00 37% 0.6 .22 20% .33 79% .26
Nov
12
Elon B B C- A B+ 31% 15% 54% C B+ D A+ A+ D- A- D B D F A B C- 37% 7% 56% C C- C- C C D- D+ C- D+
1.26 63% 38% 43% +8 0 1.19 28% 2.1 .59 18% .35 68% .24 1.16 71% 25% 31% +2 +2 1.09 33% 1.0 .33 13% .33 73% .24
Nov
15
Virginia B D A+ F C 28% 30% 42% D+ C B A+ A+ D- A+ B+ A+ F B- C F D+ 42% 13% 45% C- D+ B+ F D- D- F C F
1.03 47% 50% 23% -7 -2 0.85 31% 1.8 .56 20% .40 79% .31 1.37 57% 43% 44% +7 +1 1.18 35% 1.5 .51 12% .54 72% .39
Nov
20
Arkansas Pine Bluff B A+ D A+ A+ 32% 26% 42% F A+ F+ F F B- D- B+ D+ B+ F+ C+ A+ B 17% 50% 33% A+ A C C+ C B F D+ F
1.28 78% 33% 54% +18 -1 1.35 28% 0.6 .16 14% .32 81% .26 0.91 67% 35% 24% -5 -5 0.81 26% 0.9 .23 21% .43 77% .33
Nov
23
Mercyhurst D+ D+ F A+ A- 25% 18% 57% D- B D+ F F+ C+ F+ A D+ B- C B+ A+ A 40% 34% 26% D+ A- F+ A+ C+ C F A+ D+
1.09 55% 13% 48% +6 -1 1.14 30% 0.8 .24 17% .31 81% .25 0.95 55% 35% 15% -9 -2 0.80 32% 0.8 .27 16% .30 56% .17
Nov
26
Lipscomb F D- F F F 35% 22% 43% C F C- A+ B F A A A+ F+ F+ C F F 37% 17% 46% B+ F A- A A- B F A+ F
0.86 53% 25% 17% -15 0 0.70 29% 1.3 .37 22% .36 77% .28 1.16 68% 33% 50% +14 0 1.31 18% 0.8 .15 19% .41 65% .27
Dec
3
UNC Wilmington B- A+ C+ F C+ 17% 42% 42% F C- B A+ A+ F+ F A+ C- C+ F+ A+ B+ A+ 21% 38% 40% A+ A+ F A+ B- F F D- F
1.11 88% 40% 25% 0 -4 0.94 31% 1.5 .47 18% .18 100% .18 1.12 67% 13% 29% -11 -3 0.74 43% 0.8 .33 10% .69 74% .51
Dec
6
Ohio C+ A- D F D 48% 11% 41% A- D+ B- B+ B+ C C+ B- B- F+ A F F D- 33% 24% 43% C+ D B- C- C+ F+ F C+ F
1.12 67% 33% 22% -4 +2 0.98 37% 1.2 .43 17% .33 75% .25 1.21 44% 54% 43% +5 -1 1.11 25% 1.0 .25 12% .46 69% .31
Dec
10
Western Kentucky B- D+ B C+ C+ 26% 40% 34% F C- B+ B B+ A+ F D F A B- A- B+ B- 35% 27% 38% A- B D+ A+ A+ B- D B- D+
1.12 53% 43% 35% +1 -3 0.98 34% 1.0 .34 12% .25 67% .17 0.89 50% 29% 30% -8 -1 0.85 34% 0.4 .14 16% .36 71% .26
Dec
13
Wright St. B A+ B D B- 25% 27% 48% F C+ A- B+ A C- C A+ B- D- D A F F+ 24% 29% 47% A+ D+ F A+ A+ F A+ A A+
1.20 75% 46% 30% +4 -2 1.06 39% 1.2 .45 17% .31 81% .25 1.17 64% 29% 43% +5 -2 1.08 41% 0.5 .20 8% .10 67% .07
Dec
20
Troy F A F F F 25% 26% 49% F+ F B F D+ F+ D+ F+ D A- A+ A+ B- A+ 47% 4% 49% F+ A B- B+ B B F F F
0.90 69% 29% 19% -11 -2 0.77 37% 0.8 .28 20% .25 64% .16 1.00 42% 0% 32% -11 +3 0.86 32% 0.8 .27 19% .41 83% .33
Dec
31
Georgia St. C A+ F D C+ 33% 16% 51% C C D- A+ A F+ A- F B- D- F D+ B F+ 23% 38% 40% A- D F+ D- F+ C+ F F F
1.12 76% 25% 31% +2 0 1.06 27% 1.8 .48 20% .37 64% .23 1.07 67% 40% 29% -1 -3 0.94 32% 1.2 .38 17% .37 87% .32
Jan
3
Appalachian St. A B- A- A+ A+ 34% 26% 40% D A+ F+ D D- B A+ C+ A+ F+ F+ F B- F 33% 27% 41% A D- D+ D- D- C F A F
1.25 59% 46% 55% +15 -1 1.30 21% 0.8 .18 11% .40 72% .29 1.15 69% 46% 30% +3 -1 1.06 33% 1.2 .38 16% .52 55% .29
Jan
7
James Madison C- F A+ F F+ 29% 27% 43% F+ F B- A B+ B+ D- B- D B C A+ A A 35% 19% 46% B- A F B+ D+ C+ B A A-
1.07 33% 50% 27% -8 -2 0.82 33% 1.2 .41 10% .29 75% .21 1.03 59% 22% 27% -7 0 0.88 36% 0.9 .33 18% .26 62% .16
Jan
10
Georgia St. D- C F D D- 34% 20% 46% D+ D- B C B- F A F C+ D- B+ C A+ B+ 31% 26% 43% D+ B F F F B F F+ F
0.99 59% 30% 30% -4 0 0.94 38% 1.0 .38 23% .39 59% .23 1.10 46% 36% 22% -12 -1 0.76 41% 1.4 .56 19% .66 85% .55
Jan
14
Coastal Carolina B+ B- B- A+ A+ 20% 52% 28% F A B- F D+ A- D F F+ F F F F F 33% 24% 43% D F A+ F B- B- D F F
1.20 58% 42% 53% +10 -5 1.12 31% 0.8 .23 9% .25 63% .16 1.23 75% 58% 43% +16 -1 1.33 17% 1.3 .21 17% .30 88% .26
Jan
17
James Madison C C F B- D+ 35% 28% 37% D- D A+ D- B+ F A+ A+ A+ C A+ C- D C+ 26% 23% 51% A B F D F B+ F+ B+ D
1.13 56% 23% 35% -4 -1 0.91 46% 0.9 .41 19% .51 82% .42 1.05 42% 36% 38% -2 -1 0.96 36% 1.1 .40 20% .37 65% .24
Jan
22
Louisiana Monroe A+ C F A+ A+ 26% 7% 67% C A+ A+ A- A+ D F A F A+ A+ F A+ A+ 35% 19% 46% C A+ C C C C- F C F
1.55 63% 25% 51% +18 +1 1.39 54% 1.3 .71 18% .15 78% .11 0.81 28% 50% 17% -20 0 0.62 24% 1.0 .24 16% .47 72% .34
Jan
28
Texas St. D A C- F D 40% 25% 35% D D F B- F+ A+ F F F C B+ A+ F C+ 48% 24% 28% F+ C C+ F F C D- A D+
0.99 70% 36% 25% -1 0 1.00 17% 1.0 .17 10% .19 58% .11 1.05 50% 25% 43% -3 0 0.96 31% 1.3 .39 19% .34 68% .23
Shot Accuracy Shot Selection PPS 2nd Chance TOs Freethrows Shot Accuracy Shot Selection PPS 2nd Chance TOs Freethrows
Jan
31
Arkansas St. C+ C+ D A B- 27% 38% 35% F C A- C- B F+ D A+ C A D- A+ A+ A+ 32% 11% 57% C- A+ D- A+ A C- F A+ F
1.10 62% 33% 41% +3 -3 1.02 35% 1.0 .35 19% .29 80% .23 0.96 67% 20% 19% -13 +1 0.79 42% 0.7 .28 19% .49 64% .31
Feb
4
Southern Miss B+ A+ A+ B+ A+ 32% 30% 38% F A C+ A- B C+ B C- B- F F A+ F F 12% 35% 53% A+ D F A D- B F B F
1.22 80% 50% 39% +13 -2 1.26 29% 1.2 .35 17% .40 68% .27 1.16 100% 13% 43% +4 -4 1.02 46% 0.8 .38 21% .57 70% .40
Feb
7
Miami (OH) C- A+ F F D 32% 20% 48% C D+ A F+ C+ B- C F D- F F A+ F D+ 40% 23% 36% B- C- F F F B+ D C- D
1.05 78% 27% 26% -2 0 0.98 39% 0.7 .28 16% .29 59% .17 1.28 79% 18% 41% +8 0 1.17 41% 1.6 .66 18% .37 76% .28
Feb
11
Old Dominion B- A C- A+ A+ 38% 25% 36% D+ A+ F F F C+ F+ F F D+ D- F C F+ 32% 36% 32% A- D B+ F D+ D- A A+ A+
1.15 71% 36% 50% +13 -1 1.27 14% 0.5 .07 14% .28 65% .18 1.12 67% 45% 33% +5 -2 1.07 21% 1.6 .32 13% .21 62% .13
Feb
14
Georgia Southern C F+ B+ B C- 34% 19% 47% D D+ F+ F F B+ C+ B B- F D- A+ F F 37% 8% 56% D+ F D- A C+ B- F F F
1.12 50% 45% 37% +1 0 1.03 27% 0.8 .22 15% .38 80% .31 1.30 63% 25% 48% +13 +2 1.31 31% 0.9 .28 17% .50 81% .40
Feb
16
South Alabama A A+ F+ B- A 14% 12% 74% D A- C- A+ A A+ F F F F F A C- F 47% 29% 24% A- F F A+ F B A D B+
1.30 100% 29% 36% +7 -1 1.14 29% 1.6 .47 11% .16 67% .10 1.24 83% 27% 33% +8 -1 1.18 41% 0.9 .38 15% .24 69% .16
Feb
19
Appalachian St. A+ A- A+ A+ A+ 32% 25% 43% D A+ D+ A+ B A+ A- C+ A- F C- F F F 35% 5% 60% F F F F F F F F+ F
1.41 65% 62% 48% +17 -1 1.34 27% 1.3 .35 8% .34 71% .24 1.40 60% 50% 38% +5 +2 1.16 39% 1.6 .64 11% .67 70% .47
Feb
21
Coastal Carolina D+ D- D+ F F 34% 36% 30% D+ F C+ A B+ D+ D+ A+ B C C+ A C B- 30% 34% 36% B B- F A C- B- F B- F
1.00 48% 36% 22% -9 -2 0.79 30% 1.2 .36 13% .28 89% .24 1.05 53% 29% 33% -5 -2 0.88 36% 0.8 .27 17% .55 71% .38
Feb
24
Old Dominion A+ A+ A+ D A+ 28% 32% 40% F A+ D+ A B- A F A- F F D+ C- A C 47% 28% 26% D C- F D F F D+ F F
1.34 88% 79% 29% +19 -2 1.35 29% 1.3 .36 10% .15 80% .12 1.22 63% 38% 27% -1 0 1.00 38% 1.2 .46 11% .31 90% .28
Feb
27
Georgia Southern C- A B- C- B 41% 24% 35% D- B- F A+ B- D+ B- F+ C F F+ A+ F F 42% 15% 44% C F D- F F F+ D- F F
1.14 71% 42% 33% +6 0 1.14 23% 1.7 .40 20% .40 70% .28 1.38 65% 13% 46% +7 +1 1.18 32% 1.8 .58 11% .38 83% .31




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.




Projected Sun Belt Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 100.0 100.0 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 4th
5th 5th
6th 6th
7th 7th
8th 8th
9th 9th
10th 10th
11th 11th
12th 12th
13th 13th
14th 14th
Total 100.0 Total



Sun Belt Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7 0.0%
10-8
9-9
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid
AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7 100.0% 23.1% 23.1% 14.5 0.0 0.8 10.6 11.2 0.5 76.9
10-8
9-9
8-10
7-11
6-12
5-13
4-14
3-15
2-16
1-17
0-18
Total 100% 23.1% 23.1% 0.0% 14.5 76.9 0.0%


Best / Worst Case Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid
Avg
Seed
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Win Out 23.1% 100.0% 14.5 0.0 3.4 45.7 48.6 2.3
Win Out, Lose in Conf. Tourney Championship 29.9%
Win Out, Lose in Conf. Tourney Semi-Final 47.0%