Nebraska
Big Ten
2024-25 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
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Overall
Predictive Rating+11.9#43
Expected Predictive Rating+18.7#14
Pace71.6#130
Improvement-1.1#273

Offense
Total Offense+7.8#35
First Shot+10.2#6
After Offensive Rebound-2.5#317
Layup/Dunks+5.1#33
2 Pt Jumpshots-2.3#306
3 Pt Jumpshots+9.0#4
Freethrows-1.6#278
Improvement-0.7#255

Defense
Total Defense+4.1#66
First Shot+1.7#115
After Offensive Rebounds+2.4#50
Layups/Dunks+7.7#8
2 Pt Jumpshots-3.7#351
3 Pt Jumpshots-3.6#305
Freethrows+1.3#107
Improvement-0.4#229
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.2% 0.2% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 1.0% 1.0% 0.4%
Top 4 Seed 7.0% 7.1% 0.7%
Top 6 Seed 20.7% 20.9% 5.8%
NCAA Tourney Bid 62.9% 63.3% 36.2%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 62.6% 63.0% 36.2%
Average Seed 7.6 7.6 8.5
.500 or above 93.5% 93.8% 77.5%
.500 or above in Conference 48.5% 48.8% 28.1%
Conference Champion 0.4% 0.4% 0.4%
Last Place in Conference 1.9% 1.8% 5.4%
First Four8.2% 8.3% 5.4%
First Round58.6% 59.0% 33.0%
Second Round33.3% 33.6% 16.2%
Sweet Sixteen10.9% 11.0% 4.5%
Elite Eight3.5% 3.5% 1.8%
Final Four1.1% 1.2% 0.4%
Championship Game0.4% 0.4% 0.0%
National Champion0.1% 0.1% 0.0%

Next Game: South Carolina Upstate (Home) - 98.5% chance of victory

Projected Seeding 9 seed  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a2 - 72 - 7
Quad 1b3 - 25 - 9
Quad 26 - 210 - 11
Quad 34 - 015 - 12
Quad 46 - 021 - 12


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Mon, Nov 3 311 West Georgia W 86-53 97%     1 - 0 +22.0 +7.6 +14.1
  Sat, Nov 8 215 Florida International W 96-66 95%     2 - 0 +23.6 +13.0 +7.9
  Tue, Nov 11 339 Maryland Eastern Shore W 69-50 98%     3 - 0 +5.1 -4.3 +10.2
  Sat, Nov 15 52 Oklahoma W 105-99 56%     4 - 0 +16.2 +31.9 -15.8
  Thu, Nov 20 101 New Mexico W 84-72 75%     5 - 0 +16.7 +3.1 +12.0
  Fri, Nov 21 54 Kansas St. W 86-85 58%     6 - 0 +10.7 +10.5 +0.2
  Tue, Nov 25 105 Winthrop W 80-73 84%     7 - 0 +8.3 +8.1 +0.3
  Sat, Nov 29 316 South Carolina Upstate W 90-67 99%    
  Sun, Dec 7 45 Creighton W 78-74 63%    
  Wed, Dec 10 27 Wisconsin W 80-79 53%    
  Sat, Dec 13 13 @Illinois L 77-86 20%    
  Sun, Dec 21 319 North Dakota W 88-65 98%    
  Tue, Dec 30 354 New Hampshire W 88-60 99%    
  Fri, Jan 2 12 Michigan St. L 72-75 38%    
  Mon, Jan 5 20 @Ohio St. L 75-81 28%    
  Sat, Jan 10 22 @Indiana L 74-80 28%    
  Tue, Jan 13 80 Oregon W 81-73 75%    
  Sat, Jan 17 56 @Northwestern L 75-76 48%    
  Wed, Jan 21 48 Washington W 79-75 66%    
  Sat, Jan 24 103 @Minnesota W 72-68 66%    
  Tue, Jan 27 1 @Michigan L 71-88 6%    
  Sun, Feb 1 13 Illinois L 80-83 39%    
  Sat, Feb 7 120 @Rutgers W 76-70 70%    
  Tue, Feb 10 3 Purdue L 73-80 26%    
  Sat, Feb 14 56 Northwestern W 78-73 67%    
  Tue, Feb 17 21 @Iowa L 71-77 29%    
  Sat, Feb 21 100 Penn St. W 82-72 81%    
  Wed, Feb 25 93 Maryland W 82-73 80%    
  Sat, Feb 28 31 @USC L 78-83 34%    
  Tue, Mar 3 32 @UCLA L 70-74 35%    
  Sun, Mar 8 21 Iowa L 73-74 49%    
Projected Record 20 - 11 9 - 11




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Big Ten Finish

0-20 1-19 2-18 3-17 4-16 5-15 6-14 7-13 8-12 9-11 10-10 11-9 12-8 13-7 14-6 15-5 16-4 17-3 18-2 19-1 20-0 Total
1st 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.4 1st
2nd 0.0 0.0 0.3 0.6 0.5 0.2 0.0 1.7 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.4 1.4 1.1 0.2 0.0 3.1 3rd
4th 0.0 0.6 2.0 1.8 0.3 0.0 4.7 4th
5th 0.0 0.3 2.0 2.4 0.6 0.0 5.4 5th
6th 0.2 1.9 3.4 1.3 0.1 6.9 6th
7th 0.0 1.1 4.0 2.5 0.3 0.0 7.9 7th
8th 0.0 0.6 3.7 3.6 0.7 0.0 8.6 8th
9th 0.2 2.4 4.8 1.7 0.1 9.3 9th
10th 0.1 1.6 4.9 2.8 0.3 0.0 9.7 10th
11th 0.0 0.9 4.1 4.0 0.7 0.0 9.7 11th
12th 0.0 0.3 3.0 4.7 1.3 0.1 9.4 12th
13th 0.2 1.8 3.9 1.7 0.1 7.7 13th
14th 0.1 0.8 3.0 2.0 0.3 0.0 6.2 14th
15th 0.0 0.4 1.8 1.6 0.4 0.0 4.2 15th
16th 0.0 0.2 1.2 1.2 0.4 0.0 3.0 16th
17th 0.0 0.1 0.4 0.7 0.2 0.0 1.5 17th
18th 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.3 0.2 0.0 0.8 18th
Total 0.0 0.1 0.4 0.9 2.5 4.3 7.0 10.3 12.6 13.3 13.5 11.8 9.2 6.5 4.1 2.0 0.9 0.4 0.1 0.0 Total



Big Ten Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
20-0
19-1 100.0% 0.0    0.0
18-2 65.4% 0.1    0.0 0.0
17-3 40.4% 0.1    0.0 0.1 0.0
16-4 12.9% 0.1    0.0 0.1 0.0 0.0
15-5 3.6% 0.1    0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
14-6 0.0%
13-7 0.0%
12-8 0.0%
11-9 0.0%
10-10 0.0%
Total 0.4% 0.4 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
20-0
19-1 0.0% 0.0
18-2 0.1% 100.0% 100.0% 2.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 100.0%
17-3 0.4% 100.0% 13.8% 86.2% 2.5 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 100.0%
16-4 0.9% 100.0% 4.9% 95.1% 2.8 0.1 0.3 0.3 0.2 0.0 0.0 100.0%
15-5 2.0% 100.0% 4.6% 95.4% 3.8 0.1 0.2 0.6 0.7 0.4 0.1 0.0 100.0%
14-6 4.1% 99.8% 3.6% 96.2% 4.5 0.0 0.1 0.6 1.3 1.3 0.5 0.2 0.0 0.0 99.8%
13-7 6.5% 99.7% 2.5% 97.2% 5.5 0.0 0.4 0.9 2.0 1.8 1.0 0.3 0.0 0.0 0.0 99.7%
12-8 9.2% 99.5% 1.9% 97.5% 6.5 0.1 0.4 1.6 2.6 2.5 1.3 0.5 0.1 0.0 0.1 99.4%
11-9 11.8% 97.3% 0.4% 97.0% 7.5 0.0 0.1 0.6 1.9 3.2 2.9 1.9 0.8 0.1 0.3 97.3%
10-10 13.5% 91.2% 0.5% 90.7% 8.5 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.6 1.9 3.3 3.4 2.3 0.7 1.2 91.2%
9-11 13.3% 70.6% 0.2% 70.4% 9.7 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.9 2.3 3.3 2.4 0.0 3.9 70.5%
8-12 12.6% 39.7% 0.1% 39.7% 10.5 0.0 0.1 0.5 1.3 2.9 0.2 0.0 7.6 39.7%
7-13 10.3% 13.8% 13.8% 10.9 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 1.0 0.2 8.9 13.8%
6-14 7.0% 1.9% 1.9% 11.3 0.1 0.0 0.0 6.9 1.9%
5-15 4.3% 4.3
4-16 2.5% 2.5
3-17 0.9% 0.9
2-18 0.4% 0.4
1-19 0.1% 0.1
0-20 0.0% 0.0
Total 100% 62.9% 0.8% 62.1% 7.6 0.2 0.8 2.2 3.8 6.0 7.7 9.1 8.9 8.6 8.0 7.2 0.5 0.0 37.1 62.6%