Rutgers
Big Ten
2024-25 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
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Predictive Rating +2.1 #124
Expected Predictive Rating +4.3 #103
Pace 65.4 #283
Improvement +2.2 #71

Overall 1st FGA Second Chance TOs Free
throws		 Shot Selection
Offense #143 D B+ B- B F
Defense #122 C+ C C B+ C+

Offense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 34% #295 1.03 #317 -4.8 #331
2 Pt. Jumpers 31% #25 0.75 #173 +3.9 #30
Three Pointers 35% #302 1.01 #188 -3.1 #288
1st FG Attempt 0.94 #290 -4.0 #290
Freethrows 20.1 #59 72% #224 14.4 #74
Second Chance 34.7% #72 1.13 #79 0.39 #57
Turnovers 15.2% #99
Total Offense +0.6 #143

Defense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 38% #214 1.10 #100 +1.6 #120
2 Pt. Jumpers 22% #118 0.65 #53 +0.4 #163
Three Pointers 40% #209 1.08 #274 -1.0 #222
1st FG Attempt 0.99 #144 +1.1 #144
Freethrows 13.6 #29 74% #258 10.1 #332
Second Chance 32.5% #258 1.00 #121 0.32 #193
Turnovers 17.1% #144
Total Defense +1.5 #122

Miscellaneous
Offense Defense
Shot Type Mix Effect -3.3% #340 -0.5% #124
Shot Type Accuracy Effect -4.8% #247 -1.7% #151
Possession Length 17.4 #179 18.3 #325
Fast Break Points Per Possession 0.21 #93 0.17 #178
Improvement +0.8 #131 +1.4 #100

See methodology page for descriptions of rating types.
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 0.0% 0.1% 0.0%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.1% 0.0%
Average Seed 10.7 10.0 11.0
.500 or above 2.7% 9.4% 2.0%
.500 or above in Conference 0.8% 3.4% 0.5%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 19.0% 6.5% 20.3%
First Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Round0.0% 0.1% 0.0%
Second Round0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Wisconsin (Away) - 9.4% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 90 - 9
Quad 1b0 - 41 - 13
Quad 22 - 53 - 17
Quad 33 - 16 - 18
Quad 46 - 112 - 19


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Avg Lead Record Total Rating Offense Defense
Overall Conf Total First
FGA		 2nd Chance TOs Total First
FGA		 2nd Chance TOs
 Wed, Nov 5 348 Rider W 81 - 53 94% +14  1 - 0 +12 +7 C- A- A- +6 A+ C- A-
 Mon, Nov 10 341 Maine W 72 - 60 93% +11  2 - 0 -2 +4 B- A+ F -5 F A- A+
 Fri, Nov 14 313 Lehigh W 84 - 72 90% +4  3 - 0 +0 +6 C+ B+ A- -6 C- B- F
 Tue, Nov 18 239 American W 80 - 71 82% +1  4 - 0 +2 +4 F A+ B -2 A C F
 Fri, Nov 21 260 Central Connecticut St. L 54 - 67 84% -5  4 - 1 -22 -16 F F D- -7 C+ A- F
 Mon, Nov 24 20 Tennessee L 60 - 85 10% -19  4 - 2 -9 -0 D- B- D -9 D+ F B
 Tue, Nov 25 71 Notre Dame L 63 - 68 29% -8  4 - 3 +3 +3 D+ A+ F -1 C- F A+
 Thu, Nov 27 134 UNLV W 80 - 65 53% +3  5 - 3 +16 +9 F B- A+ +8 A- A+ F
 Tue, Dec 2 3 Purdue L 65 - 81 7% -12  5 - 4 0 - 1 +3 +4 A D- B+ -2 A B- C
 Sat, Dec 6 1 @Michigan L 60 - 101 2% -22  5 - 5 0 - 2 -13 +0 C- A+ F -11 F C- B
 Sat, Dec 13 49 @Seton Hall L 59 - 81 14% -11  5 - 6 -8 -1 F A+ F -8 F F A+
 Sat, Dec 20 206 Penn W 70 - 69 77% -4  6 - 6 -5 -6 F F A+ +1 A+ F A-
 Mon, Dec 29 356 Delaware St. W 65 - 50 95% +9  7 - 6 -2 -8 F A+ F +7 B- D+ B
 Fri, Jan 2 36 Ohio St. L 73 - 80 21% +1  7 - 7 0 - 3 +4 +13 C A+ A- -10 D C A
 Mon, Jan 5 72 Oregon W 88 - 85 OT 40% -1  8 - 7 1 - 3 +8 +12 C+ D- A+ -5 C F A+
 Thu, Jan 8 8 @Illinois L 55 - 81 3% -17  8 - 8 1 - 4 -2 -3 D+ C B+ -2 D A+ D-
 Sun, Jan 11 63 Northwestern W 77 - 75 OT 36% -4  9 - 8 2 - 4 +8 +5 C+ D+ A+ +3 A+ A F
 Sat, Jan 17 39 @Wisconsin L 68 - 82 9%
 Tue, Jan 20 22 @Iowa L 60 - 77 5%
 Fri, Jan 23 31 Indiana L 69 - 78 20%
 Tue, Jan 27 13 Michigan St. L 60 - 74 10%
 Sat, Jan 31 47 @USC L 68 - 80 13%
 Tue, Feb 3 38 @UCLA L 63 - 77 10%
 Sat, Feb 7 16 Nebraska L 65 - 77 13%
 Sun, Feb 15 112 Maryland W 71 - 70 55%
 Wed, Feb 18 99 @Penn St. L 71 - 77 30%
 Sat, Feb 21 76 @Minnesota L 63 - 71 22%
 Tue, Feb 24 46 Washington L 69 - 75 28%
 Sun, Mar 1 112 @Maryland L 68 - 73 33%
 Thu, Mar 5 13 @Michigan St. L 57 - 77 4%
 Sun, Mar 8 99 Penn St. L 73 - 74 50%
Totals 12 - 19 5 - 15 +2 +1 D B+ B- +1 C+ C C




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Big Ten Finish

0-20 1-19 2-18 3-17 4-16 5-15 6-14 7-13 8-12 9-11 10-10 11-9 12-8 13-7 14-6 15-5 16-4 17-3 18-2 19-1 20-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 4th
5th 0.0 0.0 5th
6th 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 6th
7th 0.1 0.1 0.1 7th
8th 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.3 8th
9th 0.1 0.3 0.2 0.0 0.6 9th
10th 0.0 0.6 0.6 0.1 1.4 10th
11th 0.0 0.5 1.6 0.6 0.0 2.6 11th
12th 0.0 0.4 2.6 1.8 0.2 5.0 12th
13th 0.4 3.5 4.0 0.8 0.0 8.7 13th
14th 0.0 0.6 5.2 8.3 3.0 0.1 17.2 14th
15th 0.0 0.4 4.7 10.2 5.0 0.4 0.0 20.7 15th
16th 0.1 2.7 9.9 6.4 0.7 0.0 19.9 16th
17th 1.0 6.7 6.0 1.1 0.0 14.9 17th
18th 3.2 4.4 0.9 0.0 8.6 18th
Total 4.3 14.2 22.1 23.3 18.0 10.5 5.0 1.8 0.6 0.2 0.0 0.0 Total



Big Ten Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
20-0
19-1
18-2
17-3
16-4
15-5
14-6
13-7 0.0%
12-8 0.0%
11-9 0.0%
10-10 0.0%
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
20-0
19-1
18-2
17-3
16-4
15-5
14-6
13-7 0.0% 0.0
12-8 0.0% 0.0
11-9 0.2% 3.2% 3.2% 11.0 0.0 0.2 3.2%
10-10 0.6% 0.8% 0.8% 11.0 0.0 0.6 0.8%
9-11 1.8% 1.8
8-12 5.0% 5.0
7-13 10.5% 10.5
6-14 18.0% 18.0
5-15 23.3% 23.3
4-16 22.1% 22.1
3-17 14.2% 14.2
2-18 4.3% 4.3
1-19
0-20
Total 100% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 10.7 100.0 0.0%


Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid		Avg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Lose Out 4.3%