Rutgers
Big Ten
2024-25 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
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Overall
Predictive Rating+2.9#120
Expected Predictive Rating-0.1#173
Pace65.6#284
Improvement+0.1#165

Offense
Total Offense+0.7#139
First Shot-4.1#294
After Offensive Rebound+4.8#8
Layup/Dunks-5.0#332
2 Pt Jumpshots+0.1#168
3 Pt Jumpshots-0.8#213
Freethrows+1.6#89
Improvement-1.1#280

Defense
Total Defense+2.2#103
First Shot+3.0#82
After Offensive Rebounds-0.8#247
Layups/Dunks+1.8#118
2 Pt Jumpshots+0.5#172
3 Pt Jumpshots-3.2#294
Freethrows+3.9#12
Improvement+1.2#66
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 0.6% 2.5% 0.4%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.6% 2.5% 0.4%
Average Seed 10.0 9.6 10.2
.500 or above 7.2% 19.8% 6.3%
.500 or above in Conference 2.7% 9.4% 2.2%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 34.2% 16.7% 35.4%
First Four0.3% 0.5% 0.2%
First Round0.4% 2.2% 0.3%
Second Round0.2% 0.8% 0.1%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.2% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.1% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Purdue (Home) - 6.4% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 90 - 9
Quad 1b1 - 41 - 12
Quad 22 - 53 - 17
Quad 33 - 16 - 19
Quad 46 - 112 - 20


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Wed, Nov 5 343 Rider W 81-53 94%     1 - 0 +13.6 +6.6 +8.4
  Mon, Nov 10 321 Maine W 72-60 91%     2 - 0 +0.4 +4.7 -3.2
  Fri, Nov 14 312 Lehigh W 84-72 90%     3 - 0 +0.9 +6.9 -6.1
  Tue, Nov 18 283 American W 80-71 88%     4 - 0 -0.7 +2.4 -3.1
  Fri, Nov 21 244 Central Connecticut St. L 54-67 84%     4 - 1 -20.7 -13.6 -8.7
  Mon, Nov 24 14 Tennessee L 60-85 9%     4 - 2 -7.1 -1.9 -6.5
  Tue, Nov 25 66 Notre Dame L 63-68 30%     4 - 3 +3.5 +2.6 +0.3
  Thu, Nov 27 129 UNLV W 80-65 53%     5 - 3 +17.1 +7.2 +10.0
  Tue, Dec 2 3 Purdue L 63-79 6%    
  Sat, Dec 6 1 @Michigan L 60-86 1%    
  Sat, Dec 13 76 @Seton Hall L 61-69 24%    
  Sat, Dec 20 223 Penn W 79-69 81%    
  Mon, Dec 29 357 Delaware St. W 77-58 96%    
  Fri, Jan 2 20 Ohio St. L 68-77 19%    
  Mon, Jan 5 80 Oregon L 70-71 45%    
  Thu, Jan 8 13 @Illinois L 66-84 5%    
  Sun, Jan 11 56 Northwestern L 68-72 37%    
  Sat, Jan 17 27 @Wisconsin L 67-81 10%    
  Tue, Jan 20 21 @Iowa L 61-76 8%    
  Fri, Jan 23 22 Indiana L 66-75 20%    
  Tue, Jan 27 12 Michigan St. L 62-74 14%    
  Sat, Jan 31 31 @USC L 68-81 11%    
  Tue, Feb 3 32 @UCLA L 61-74 12%    
  Sat, Feb 7 43 Nebraska L 70-76 30%    
  Sun, Feb 15 93 Maryland W 72-71 51%    
  Wed, Feb 18 100 @Penn St. L 69-74 33%    
  Sat, Feb 21 103 @Minnesota L 63-68 34%    
  Tue, Feb 24 48 Washington L 68-73 35%    
  Sun, Mar 1 93 @Maryland L 68-74 31%    
  Thu, Mar 5 12 @Michigan St. L 59-77 5%    
  Sun, Mar 8 100 Penn St. W 72-71 54%    
Projected Record 12 - 19 5 - 15





Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.




Projected Big Ten Finish

0-20 1-19 2-18 3-17 4-16 5-15 6-14 7-13 8-12 9-11 10-10 11-9 12-8 13-7 14-6 15-5 16-4 17-3 18-2 19-1 20-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 0.0 0.0 0.0 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 3rd
4th 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 4th
5th 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.1 5th
6th 0.0 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.3 6th
7th 0.1 0.3 0.1 0.5 7th
8th 0.0 0.1 0.5 0.1 0.0 0.8 8th
9th 0.1 0.6 0.5 0.1 1.2 9th
10th 0.1 0.6 1.1 0.3 0.0 2.1 10th
11th 0.0 0.5 1.6 0.8 0.1 3.0 11th
12th 0.0 0.4 2.3 2.1 0.3 5.2 12th
13th 0.0 0.4 2.5 3.4 1.1 0.0 7.3 13th
14th 0.3 2.5 4.8 2.4 0.2 10.1 14th
15th 0.0 0.2 2.6 6.2 3.5 0.5 0.0 13.0 15th
16th 0.2 2.4 7.0 5.3 1.0 0.0 15.9 16th
17th 0.3 3.0 7.5 6.1 1.6 0.1 18.7 17th
18th 1.5 5.4 7.8 5.3 1.6 0.2 21.7 18th
Total 1.5 5.6 11.0 15.4 17.6 16.1 12.3 9.2 5.6 2.9 1.6 0.7 0.3 0.1 0.0 0.0 Total



Big Ten Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
20-0
19-1
18-2
17-3
16-4
15-5 0.0%
14-6 0.0%
13-7 0.0%
12-8 0.0%
11-9 0.0%
10-10 0.0%
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid
AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
20-0
19-1
18-2
17-3
16-4
15-5 0.0% 0.0
14-6 0.0% 0.0 0.0
13-7 0.1% 92.6% 92.6% 9.6 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 92.6%
12-8 0.3% 40.2% 40.2% 9.3 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.2 40.2%
11-9 0.7% 27.2% 27.2% 10.4 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.5 27.2%
10-10 1.6% 6.2% 6.2% 10.9 0.0 0.1 0.0 1.5 6.2%
9-11 2.9% 0.9% 0.9% 10.8 0.0 0.0 2.9 0.9%
8-12 5.6% 5.6
7-13 9.2% 9.2
6-14 12.3% 12.3
5-15 16.1% 16.1
4-16 17.6% 17.6
3-17 15.4% 15.4
2-18 11.0% 11.0
1-19 5.6% 5.6
0-20 1.5% 1.5
Total 100% 0.6% 0.0% 0.6% 10.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.0 99.4 0.6%