Rutgers
Big Ten
2024-25 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
Switch to All-time Team Page
All team stats adjusted for opponents. See methodology page for descriptions of rating types.

Predictive Rating +3.2 113
Results Rating +3.7 107
Consistency 0.15 195
Pace 65.9 252
Improvement +2.7 82

Overall 1st FGA Second Chance TOs Free
throws
Shot Selection
Offense C+ 114 D+ B B B F+
Defense C+ 141 C C C+ B C+

Offense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 34% 315 D+ 55% 269 -4.1 320
2 Pt. Jumpers 52% 42 B- 40% 89 +4.9 17
Three Pointers 35% 305 C- 33% 225 -3.6 303
Shot Selection/Accuracy F+ -1.7 343 C- -0.9 204
1st FG Attempt D+ 0.97 262
Second Chance B- 33.3% 93 B 1.14 49 B 0.38 54
Opponents' Steals B- 8.4% 83
Other Turnovers B- 6.4% 75
Turnovers B 14.8% 63
Freethrows B 0.35 51 C+ 74% 157 B 0.26 52
Total Offense C+ +2.2 114

Assists Blocks (Opponents')
Close Shots C 49% 160 D+ 12.4% 268
2 Pt. Jumpers Shots C 26% 153 C+ 4.1% 116
Three Pointers B 90% 60 B- 0.6% 109
Total C- 53% 229 C 5.7% 196

Defense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 37% 223 C 57% 166 -0.9 137
2 Pt. Jumpers 22% 126 B+ 33% 33 -0.5 154
Three Pointers 41% 192 D+ 36% 277 +1.1 243
Shot Selection/Accuracy C+ -0.3 122 C +0.0 177
1st FG Attempt C 1.02 167
Second Chance C- 31.3% 229 B- 0.97 84 C 0.30 161
Turnovers from Steals C 9.5% 186
Other Turnovers B- 8.1% 82
Turnovers C+ 17.6% 128
Freethrows B+ 0.25 30 D+ 74% 303 B 0.19 50
Total Defense C+ +1.0 141

Assists Blocks
Close Shots C 49% 184 C 11.6% 148
2 Pt. Jumpers Shots B- 22% 113 B- 7.0% 63
Three Pointers C 84% 195 C- 0.7% 214
Total C 56% 198 C+ 6.1% 136

Miscellaneous
Offense Defense
Possession Length 17.2 156 18.3 314
Fast Break Points Per Possession 0.21 72 0.16 140
Consistency 0.11 59 0.12 182
Improvement +2.6 65 +0.1 180

NCAA Tournament Selection
At-Large Selection Status Out of Consideration
Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Prediction Ranges
Pessimistic
5th Percentile
Expected
50th Percentile
Optimistic
95th Percentile
Predictive Rating Rank 131 116 104
Results Rating Rank 132 107 97
Conference Record 4 - 16 5 - 15 6 - 14
Conference Finish 17 15 13
NCAA Tourney Seed None None None
NCAA Tourney Finish None None None

NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0% 0% 0%
#1 Seed 0% 0% 0%
Top 2 Seed 0% 0% 0%
Top 4 Seed 0% 0% 0%
Top 6 Seed 0% 0% 0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 0% 0% 0%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0% 0% 0%
Average Seed n/a n/a n/a
.500 or above 0% 0% 0%
.500 or above in Conference 0% 0% 0%
Conference Champion 0% 0% 0%
Last Place in Conference 10% 0% 15%
First Four0% 0% 0%
First Round0% 0% 0%
Second Round0% 0% 0%
Sweet Sixteen0% 0% 0%
Elite Eight0% 0% 0%
Final Four0% 0% 0%
Championship Game0% 0% 0%
National Champion0% 0% 0%
Next Game: Maryland (Away) - 33.4% chance of victory

Projected Record by Quadrant
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 100 - 10
Quad 1b0 - 30 - 13
Quad 21 - 52 - 17
Quad 35 - 16 - 18
Quad 46 - 112 - 19


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Lead Record Total Rating Offense Defense
Avg Time Overall Conf Total First
FGA
2nd Chance TOs Total First
FGA
2nd Chance TOs
 Wed, Nov 5 356 Rider W 81 - 53 97% +14  93% 1 - 0 B +10 C +1 F B+ A A +10 A+ D+ A-
 Mon, Nov 10 340 Maine W 72 - 60 94% +11  98% 2 - 0 C- -3 C +1 C+ A F+ C- -2 F C+ A+
 Fri, Nov 14 295 Lehigh W 84 - 72 90% +4  73% 3 - 0 C +1 B- +4 C+ A- B- C- -3 C+ C- F
 Tue, Nov 18 251 American W 80 - 71 85% +1  49% 4 - 0 C +1 C +0 F+ A+ B C+ +1 A- C F
 Fri, Nov 21 302 Central Connecticut St. L 54 - 67 91% -5  11% 4 - 1 F -24 F -22 F F+ F+ D+ -4 C+ A- F
 Mon, Nov 24 19 Tennessee L 60 - 85 9% -19  1% 4 - 2 D+ -7 D+ -2 D+ B- D- D -5 D F+ B-
 Tue, Nov 25 90 Notre Dame L 63 - 68 39% -8  6% 4 - 3 C +1 C- -2 D A+ F B- +2 C- F A+
 Thu, Nov 27 122 UNLV W 80 - 65 52% +3  58% 5 - 3 A +18 B- +4 F A- B+ A+ +14 A A F
 Tue, Dec 2 7 Purdue L 65 - 81 9% -12  7% 5 - 4 0 - 1 C+ +2 C +0 B+ D A- C+ +0 B+ B- B-
 Sat, Dec 6 1 @Michigan L 60 - 101 2% -22  0% 5 - 5 0 - 2 D -11 D+ -3 D+ A+ F+ D- -7 F C+ C
 Sat, Dec 13 54 @Seton Hall L 59 - 81 18% -11  0% 5 - 6 D -9 C- -2 F A+ D- D- -8 F F A+
 Sat, Dec 20 166 Penn W 70 - 69 74% -4  7% 6 - 6 C- -2 D -4 F+ F A+ B- +2 A+ F A-
 Mon, Dec 29 361 Delaware St. W 65 - 50 98% +9  90% 7 - 6 D+ -5 F -13 F A+ F A- +8 B- C B
 Fri, Jan 2 36 Ohio St. L 73 - 80 23% +1  46% 7 - 7 0 - 3 C+ +4 A- +10 C A+ A D- -7 D+ C+ A
 Mon, Jan 5 84 Oregon W 88 - 85 OT 47% -1  40% 8 - 7 1 - 3 B- +7 A- +11 C+ D+ A+ D+ -4 C+ F A+
 Thu, Jan 8 5 @Illinois L 55 - 81 3% -17  2% 8 - 8 1 - 4 C -1 D- -7 D C B B +4 D+ A+ D+
 Sun, Jan 11 65 Northwestern W 77 - 75 OT 40% -4  11% 9 - 8 2 - 4 B- +8 C+ +3 C+ C- A+ B +5 A+ B+ F+
 Sat, Jan 17 30 @Wisconsin L 87 - 96 10% -13  3% 9 - 9 2 - 5 B +9 A +14 A A B D -5 B F C
 Tue, Jan 20 24 @Iowa L 62 - 68 8% -1  34% 9 - 10 2 - 6 B+ +13 C +0 B- D+ F A+ +12 A- A+ A-
 Fri, Jan 23 40 Indiana L 59 - 82 25% -13  0% 9 - 11 2 - 7 D- -13 C- -2 D- C+ A+ F -15 F B- F
 Tue, Jan 27 10 Michigan St. L 79 - 88 OT 11% +5  80% 9 - 12 2 - 8 B- +8 A +12 B B- A+ D+ -4 B- F A-
 Sat, Jan 31 59 @USC L 75 - 78 19% -10  3% 9 - 13 2 - 9 B +9 B +7 F+ A+ A+ B- +3 F A A+
 Tue, Feb 3 35 @UCLA L 66 - 98 10% -14  3% 9 - 14 2 - 10 F+ -15 B- +5 B- C A+ F -23 F F+ F
 Sat, Feb 7 13 Nebraska L 68 - 80 12% -10  3% 9 - 15 2 - 11 C+ +4 B- +5 A- B D+ C -1 B B F
 Sun, Feb 15 102 Maryland W 68 - 57 57% +4  80% 10 - 15 3 - 11 B+ +13 C- -1 F A B- A+ +15 A+ A D
 Wed, Feb 18 117 @Penn St. W 85 - 72 39% +13  100% 11 - 15 4 - 11 A +19 A +12 A- C- B- A- +7 D A A+
 Sat, Feb 21 58 @Minnesota L 61 - 80 19% -10  8% 11 - 16 4 - 12 D+ -7 B- +4 C+ C A+ F -14 F C- C+
 Tue, Feb 24 48 Washington L 72 - 79 31% -9  2% 11 - 17 4 - 13 C +1 C +0 C- C- A+ C+ +1 C B- C-
 Sun, Mar 1 102 @Maryland L 71 - 75 33%
 Thu, Mar 5 10 @Michigan St. L 60 - 80 3%
 Sun, Mar 8 117 Penn St. W 78 - 75 62%
Totals 12 - 19 5 - 15 +3 C+ +2 A C- F+ C+ +1 C- C+ B



Game Detail
Grades are adjusted for opponent strength in each category. Game stats are not adjusted for oppoent strength. See methodology page for descriptions of rating types.
Offense Defense
Tot Off First Field Goal Attempt Second Chance TOs Freethrows Tot Def First Field Goal Attempt Second Chance TOs Freethrows
Shot Accuracy Shot Selection Points Per Shot Shot Accuracy Shot Selection Points Per Shot
2 C 2 L 3 Tot 2 C 2 L 3 Tot Off Reb PPP Tot Att Perc Tot 2 C 2 L 3 Tot 2 C 2 L 3 Tot Off Reb PPP Tot Att Perc Tot
Season Ratings C+ D+ B- C- C- 34% 52% 35% F+ D+ B- B B B B C+ B C+ C B+ D+ C 37% 22% 41% C+ C C- B- C C+ B+ D+ B
1.12 55% 40% 33% -1 -2 0.97 33% 1.1 .38 15% .35 74% .26 1.07 57% 33% 36% 0 0 1.02 31% 1.0 .30 18% .25 74% .26
Nov
5
Rider C F C B- F 42% 11% 47% C F A D+ B+ A A+ D- A+ A A- A+ A+ A+ 38% 30% 32% D A+ F A- D+ A- F+ F F
1.22 42% 40% 38% -4 +2 0.98 44% 1.0 .42 11% .55 64% .35 0.80 44% 14% 13% -22 -1 0.55 44% 0.7 .31 21% .34 83% .29
Nov
10
Maine C B- F+ A- B- 43% 25% 33% D+ C+ A- B A F+ A+ F A+ C- B+ D F F 23% 32% 45% A+ F D+ A C+ A+ B A+ A-
1.13 65% 30% 38% +3 0 1.08 45% 1.1 .52 22% .58 62% .36 0.94 50% 43% 45% +7 -3 1.11 21% 0.8 .17 28% .28 54% .15
Nov
14
Lehigh B- C+ A+ F B- 45% 31% 24% D C+ A- B- A- B- A+ D+ A+ C- C+ C- C+ C+ 29% 27% 44% B C+ B F C- F C+ B B-
1.20 59% 60% 25% +4 -1 1.08 42% 1.1 .45 14% .45 70% .32 1.03 56% 40% 33% 0 -2 0.98 18% 1.1 .21 13% .26 69% .18
Nov
18
American C C F C- F+ 44% 29% 27% D F+ C- A+ A+ B A+ A A+ C+ A+ A+ D A 39% 15% 46% C A- C C+ C F B D B-
1.14 60% 23% 33% -4 -1 0.93 30% 1.8 .53 16% .50 80% .40 1.01 39% 22% 37% -8 +1 0.88 25% 0.9 .23 11% .22 79% .18
Nov
21
Central Connecticut St. F F+ F F F 35% 29% 37% F F D F F+ F+ F+ F F D+ C+ B+ F C 31% 37% 33% B- C+ F+ A+ A- F C A- B-
0.87 47% 29% 28% -10 -1 0.80 26% 0.8 .21 16% .19 70% .13 1.08 56% 32% 41% +1 -3 0.98 33% 0.5 .18 11% .25 71% .18
Nov
24
Tennessee D+ C- F C- C- 33% 31% 36% D D+ B C B- D- A+ C A+ D B A+ F D 39% 17% 43% C D C F F+ B- B+ C B
0.90 53% 21% 31% -8 -2 0.82 28% 0.9 .26 21% .46 67% .30 1.27 56% 25% 50% +7 0 1.17 47% 1.3 .59 19% .32 71% .22
Nov
25
Notre Dame C- F F A D+ 16% 30% 53% F D A- A+ A+ F A- D- B B- B C+ F C 52% 18% 30% F C- F C- F A+ A+ B- A+
1.01 43% 15% 39% -5 -3 0.86 31% 1.5 .46 23% .35 71% .25 1.09 57% 38% 46% +4 +1 1.14 43% 1.0 .43 26% .19 67% .13
Nov
27
UNLV B- F C+ F F+ 33% 38% 29% F F A- C+ A- B+ A+ A- A+ A+ A F A+ A 36% 29% 35% A A A A A F A+ A- A+
1.15 44% 39% 29% -7 -3 0.83 38% 1.1 .43 14% .61 78% .47 0.94 45% 56% 26% -3 -1 0.93 24% 0.7 .17 12% .26 63% .16
Dec
2
Purdue C F+ B- A+ A- 33% 37% 29% D B+ D+ F D A- C- D+ C- C+ D A+ D+ A- 34% 18% 48% D+ B+ C+ C+ B- B- F+ F F
1.00 47% 42% 47% +3 -3 1.04 19% 0.8 .16 14% .20 64% .13 1.25 71% 22% 38% +4 0 1.10 37% 1.2 .43 14% .36 85% .30
Dec
6
Michigan D+ C D F C- 22% 43% 35% F D+ A- A+ A+ F+ D- D- D- D- F F F F 48% 3% 48% D F D+ B+ C+ C A+ A A+
0.83 50% 30% 21% -12 -4 0.70 33% 1.3 .42 22% .16 67% .11 1.39 75% 50% 46% +18 +3 1.43 42% 1.3 .54 15% .24 67% .16
Dec
13
Seton Hall C- F F C F 45% 26% 29% C- F A A+ A+ D- A+ D+ A- D- F B- C F 54% 23% 23% D+ F F C F A+ A+ D A
0.87 37% 18% 33% -15 0 0.71 41% 1.3 .51 27% .44 68% .30 1.20 75% 33% 33% +8 +1 1.19 50% 1.0 .50 22% .23 75% .17
Dec
20
Penn D F A+ F D 32% 34% 34% F F+ F F F A+ A+ B- A+ B- D- D+ A+ A+ 37% 28% 35% C A+ D- F F A- F D+ F
1.02 44% 65% 18% -4 -2 0.90 21% 0.6 .13 9% .50 68% .34 1.01 63% 42% 7% -12 -1 0.77 36% 1.7 .61 20% .46 72% .33
Dec
29
Delaware St. F F D+ F F 21% 33% 45% F F A+ B+ A+ F A+ A+ A+ A- A- A+ D- C+ 30% 39% 30% B B- B+ F C B D- A- C-
0.97 22% 36% 16% -21 -3 0.55 50% 1.3 .64 25% .58 83% .48 0.74 43% 22% 36% -10 -3 0.76 18% 1.0 .18 22% .35 61% .21
Jan
2
Ohio St. A- C A+ F C 33% 29% 38% C C A+ C A+ A B- B B D- F+ A+ F C- 48% 24% 29% D- D+ F A+ C+ A F F+ F
1.18 56% 50% 22% -4 -1 0.92 47% 1.0 .47 13% .31 76% .24 1.29 75% 20% 50% +11 0 1.24 50% 0.7 .35 19% .46 83% .38
Jan
5
Oregon A- F A B+ B 27% 44% 29% F C+ D+ D D+ A+ A+ A+ A+ D+ B A+ F+ C+ 32% 15% 53% B- C+ F F+ F A+ B+ C- B
1.19 40% 50% 38% +2 -4 0.98 27% 0.8 .22 9% .51 88% .45 1.15 53% 13% 39% -1 0 1.00 42% 1.3 .55 23% .28 75% .21
Jan
8
Illinois D- F C+ C- C- 18% 48% 34% F D D+ B C B D+ F F+ B C+ F D- D- 31% 16% 53% B D+ A A+ A+ D+ D- F+ F
0.85 30% 37% 32% -7 -5 0.79 21% 1.0 .21 11% .14 38% .05 1.26 60% 75% 38% +10 0 1.22 34% 0.3 .11 11% .37 86% .31
Jan
11
Northwestern C+ D+ B B- B 30% 39% 30% F C+ C D+ C- A+ A+ C- A+ B A+ F A- A 36% 39% 25% A+ A+ A- C B+ F+ F A+ C-
1.09 53% 41% 35% 0 -3 0.96 31% 0.8 .26 8% .42 70% .29 1.06 35% 50% 29% -6 -3 0.86 24% 1.3 .31 8% .45 59% .26
Jan
17
Wisconsin A B+ A+ B+ A+ 15% 36% 49% F A A B A B B A- A- D D+ A+ D+ B 33% 14% 53% B- B B+ F F C F F F
1.19 63% 55% 37% +9 -4 1.13 34% 1.1 .38 14% .30 79% .24 1.32 65% 14% 37% +1 +1 1.06 27% 2.3 .60 12% .45 90% .41
Jan
20
Iowa C A+ F+ D+ B 33% 28% 40% D- B- A F D+ F A+ A- A+ A+ C B- B- A- 40% 21% 38% B A- A+ A+ A+ A- B- D C+
0.96 77% 27% 31% +2 -1 1.03 35% 0.6 .19 29% .53 79% .42 1.05 63% 40% 33% +2 0 1.06 24% 0.7 .17 19% .30 81% .25
Jan
23
Indiana C- F C F D- 33% 37% 29% D- D- D+ A+ C+ A+ D A+ C F B- F F F 24% 10% 65% B+ F F A+ B- F A+ F A+
1.00 41% 37% 27% -9 -3 0.78 24% 1.3 .32 8% .26 86% .22 1.39 58% 80% 47% +17 0 1.37 38% 0.7 .28 8% .13 100% .13
Shot Accuracy Shot Selection PPS 2nd Chance TOs Freethrows Shot Accuracy Shot Selection PPS 2nd Chance TOs Freethrows
Jan
27
Michigan St. A C B- B- A- 24% 29% 47% D- B D+ A+ B- A+ A+ A+ A+ D+ F A+ C+ B 40% 23% 38% D+ B- D- F F A- F F F
1.10 54% 38% 35% -1 -2 0.96 16% 1.2 .18 7% .35 83% .29 1.23 79% 9% 33% +1 0 1.04 45% 1.4 .62 21% .46 92% .42
Jan
31
USC B F+ D F+ D 31% 38% 31% F F+ A A A+ A+ F C F B- F D- D F 49% 32% 20% B- F F A+ A A+ F C- F
1.06 44% 36% 28% -8 -3 0.81 38% 1.1 .42 11% .19 75% .14 1.11 75% 46% 38% +12 -1 1.24 43% 0.6 .25 24% .56 73% .41
Feb
3
UCLA B- D- A+ C- B+ 26% 33% 41% F+ B- C C- C A+ A F C F D D F F 33% 33% 33% B F C- F F+ F B F C-
1.05 50% 53% 32% +1 -2 1.00 31% 0.9 .28 14% .37 55% .20 1.55 67% 44% 61% +19 -2 1.35 34% 1.4 .48 3% .29 89% .26
Feb
7
Nebraska B- A+ A+ D A+ 15% 44% 40% F A- C A+ B D+ C+ F C- C B+ F C- B+ 41% 14% 45% C B B B B F A F B-
1.00 75% 52% 29% +6 -5 1.04 24% 1.1 .27 22% .23 58% .13 1.17 57% 50% 36% +2 +1 1.09 24% 1.0 .24 9% .19 92% .18
Feb
15
Maryland C- F C F+ F+ 22% 41% 37% F F C+ A+ A B- A+ A A+ A+ C+ A+ A- A+ 31% 20% 49% B- A+ D+ A+ A D A+ A+ A+
1.05 40% 37% 29% -7 -4 0.80 28% 1.4 .41 15% .44 79% .35 0.88 56% 10% 28% -10 0 0.80 38% 0.7 .28 15% .24 46% .11
Feb
18
Penn St. A A A+ D+ A 42% 27% 31% D+ A- D B- C- B- A+ A+ A+ A- F F A+ F+ 33% 26% 40% A D A- A A A+ F D+ F
1.25 70% 62% 33% +11 -1 1.23 25% 1.3 .33 18% .41 87% .36 1.06 93% 64% 18% +8 -1 1.17 23% 1.0 .23 22% .41 77% .32
Feb
21
Minnesota B- C- B- B- B- 32% 34% 34% D C+ F+ A+ C A+ F B- F+ F D+ B- F F 39% 7% 54% D- F A- F C- C+ A+ D+ A+
1.04 56% 41% 35% +1 -2 1.00 19% 1.2 .22 12% .16 75% .12 1.37 67% 33% 56% +21 +2 1.48 24% 1.4 .33 17% .14 71% .10
Feb
24
Washington C B C F C 31% 43% 25% F+ C- D+ C C- A+ A+ B- A+ C+ C A+ F+ C+ 43% 20% 37% F+ C A+ F B- C- D- C D-
1.02 63% 36% 23% -4 -3 0.88 23% 1.0 .23 10% .50 72% .36 1.12 62% 30% 39% +3 0 1.08 25% 1.4 .36 14% .35 76% .26




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.




Projected Big Ten Finish

0-20 1-19 2-18 3-17 4-16 5-15 6-14 7-13 8-12 9-11 10-10 11-9 12-8 13-7 14-6 15-5 16-4 17-3 18-2 19-1 20-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 4th
5th 5th
6th 6th
7th 7th
8th 8th
9th 9th
10th 10th
11th 0.0 0.0 11th
12th 0.2 0.3 0.6 12th
13th 4.3 0.4 4.7 13th
14th 21.6 17.0 0.1 38.7 14th
15th 25.0 0.8 25.7 15th
16th 13.1 4.5 17.6 16th
17th 12.0 0.2 12.1 17th
18th 0.6 0.6 18th
Total 25.7 51.2 22.3 0.9 Total



Big Ten Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
20-0
19-1
18-2
17-3
16-4
15-5
14-6
13-7
12-8
11-9
10-10
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid
AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
20-0
19-1
18-2
17-3
16-4
15-5
14-6
13-7
12-8
11-9
10-10
9-11
8-12
7-13 0.9% 0.9
6-14 22.3% 22.3
5-15 51.2% 51.2
4-16 25.7% 25.7
3-17
2-18
1-19
0-20
Total 100% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0 100.0 0.0%


Best / Worst Case Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid
Avg
Seed
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Lose Out 25.7%