UCLA
Big Ten
2024-25 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
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Overall
Predictive Rating+13.4#32
Expected Predictive Rating+4.1#112
Pace63.7#321
Improvement+1.8#55

Offense
Total Offense+6.0#55
First Shot+6.0#38
After Offensive Rebound+0.0#172
Layup/Dunks+2.6#90
2 Pt Jumpshots+2.5#56
3 Pt Jumpshots+0.4#167
Freethrows+0.5#144
Improvement-0.2#205

Defense
Total Defense+7.4#19
First Shot+6.1#27
After Offensive Rebounds+1.2#113
Layups/Dunks+2.4#94
2 Pt Jumpshots+2.2#24
3 Pt Jumpshots+0.0#183
Freethrows+1.6#91
Improvement+2.0#29
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.3% 0.5% 0.2%
Top 2 Seed 1.1% 1.8% 0.5%
Top 4 Seed 6.3% 9.0% 3.5%
Top 6 Seed 18.2% 25.4% 11.1%
NCAA Tourney Bid 57.9% 69.5% 46.3%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 57.2% 68.9% 45.7%
Average Seed 7.5 7.2 8.0
.500 or above 86.7% 93.5% 80.0%
.500 or above in Conference 66.9% 79.5% 54.5%
Conference Champion 1.3% 2.1% 0.5%
Last Place in Conference 0.6% 0.2% 1.0%
First Four6.2% 5.6% 6.9%
First Round55.0% 66.8% 43.3%
Second Round33.9% 42.2% 25.6%
Sweet Sixteen13.1% 17.1% 9.2%
Elite Eight5.4% 6.9% 3.8%
Final Four2.2% 2.8% 1.5%
Championship Game0.9% 1.1% 0.6%
National Champion0.3% 0.3% 0.2%

Next Game: Washington (Away) - 49.8% chance of victory

Projected Seeding 9 seed  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a2 - 82 - 8
Quad 1b2 - 25 - 10
Quad 25 - 310 - 13
Quad 33 - 013 - 13
Quad 47 - 020 - 13


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Mon, Nov 3 240 Eastern Washington W 80-74 96%     1 - 0 -1.6 +1.0 -2.7
  Fri, Nov 7 264 Pepperdine W 74-63 97%     2 - 0 +2.5 +7.3 -3.6
  Mon, Nov 10 311 West Georgia W 83-62 98%     3 - 0 +10.0 +11.3 +0.2
  Fri, Nov 14 11 Arizona L 65-69 30%     3 - 1 +14.7 +3.6 +11.0
  Tue, Nov 18 272 Sacramento St. W 79-48 97%     4 - 1 +22.0 +1.2 +20.4
  Fri, Nov 21 275 Presbyterian W 86-46 97%     5 - 1 +30.8 +13.5 +19.0
  Tue, Nov 25 67 California L 72-80 69%     5 - 2 +0.3 +1.7 -1.3
  Wed, Dec 3 48 @Washington L 69-70 50%    
  Sat, Dec 6 80 Oregon W 74-65 80%    
  Sat, Dec 13 6 Gonzaga L 69-75 29%    
  Wed, Dec 17 83 Arizona St. W 77-68 82%    
  Fri, Dec 19 245 Cal Poly W 87-66 97%    
  Tue, Dec 23 257 UC Riverside W 80-58 98%    
  Sat, Jan 3 21 @Iowa L 65-70 33%    
  Tue, Jan 6 27 @Wisconsin L 71-75 37%    
  Sat, Jan 10 93 Maryland W 76-65 83%    
  Wed, Jan 14 100 @Penn St. W 73-67 69%    
  Sat, Jan 17 20 @Ohio St. L 69-74 33%    
  Tue, Jan 20 3 Purdue L 67-73 30%    
  Sat, Jan 24 56 Northwestern W 73-66 73%    
  Wed, Jan 28 80 @Oregon W 71-68 61%    
  Sat, Jan 31 22 Indiana W 70-69 54%    
  Tue, Feb 3 120 Rutgers W 74-61 88%    
  Sat, Feb 7 48 Washington W 73-67 70%    
  Sat, Feb 14 1 @Michigan L 65-80 9%    
  Tue, Feb 17 12 @Michigan St. L 63-71 25%    
  Sat, Feb 21 13 Illinois L 73-75 45%    
  Tue, Feb 24 31 USC W 75-72 60%    
  Sat, Feb 28 103 @Minnesota W 67-61 70%    
  Tue, Mar 3 43 Nebraska W 74-70 65%    
  Sat, Mar 7 31 @USC L 72-75 39%    
Projected Record 19 - 12 11 - 9




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Big Ten Finish

0-20 1-19 2-18 3-17 4-16 5-15 6-14 7-13 8-12 9-11 10-10 11-9 12-8 13-7 14-6 15-5 16-4 17-3 18-2 19-1 20-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.4 0.3 0.1 0.0 1.3 1st
2nd 0.0 0.3 1.2 1.4 0.7 0.1 3.8 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.8 2.5 2.6 0.8 0.1 0.0 6.8 3rd
4th 0.0 0.6 2.7 3.2 1.0 0.1 0.0 7.8 4th
5th 0.0 0.3 2.7 4.1 1.5 0.2 8.8 5th
6th 0.2 1.8 4.8 2.2 0.2 9.1 6th
7th 0.1 1.3 4.5 3.1 0.6 0.0 9.5 7th
8th 0.5 3.6 4.5 1.1 0.0 9.7 8th
9th 0.2 2.2 4.8 1.9 0.2 9.4 9th
10th 0.1 1.2 4.2 2.7 0.3 0.0 8.4 10th
11th 0.0 0.5 2.9 3.3 0.6 0.0 7.3 11th
12th 0.0 0.1 1.7 3.1 1.0 0.1 5.9 12th
13th 0.0 0.8 2.3 1.2 0.1 0.0 4.5 13th
14th 0.0 0.4 1.5 1.3 0.2 0.0 3.4 14th
15th 0.0 0.1 0.9 0.9 0.2 0.0 2.2 15th
16th 0.0 0.4 0.6 0.2 1.3 16th
17th 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.5 17th
18th 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.2 18th
Total 0.0 0.0 0.3 0.8 2.0 3.6 6.1 8.8 11.4 13.3 13.4 12.5 10.4 7.8 5.2 2.6 1.3 0.4 0.1 0.0 Total



Big Ten Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
20-0 100.0% 0.0    0.0
19-1 100.0% 0.1    0.1 0.0
18-2 74.0% 0.3    0.2 0.1 0.0
17-3 34.7% 0.4    0.1 0.3 0.1
16-4 13.2% 0.3    0.1 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.0
15-5 2.5% 0.1    0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
14-6 0.2% 0.0    0.0 0.0
13-7 0.0%
12-8 0.0%
11-9 0.0%
10-10 0.0%
Total 1.3% 1.3 0.5 0.6 0.2 0.1 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
20-0 0.0% 0.0 0.0
19-1 0.1% 100.0% 45.5% 54.5% 1.9 0.0 0.0 0.0 100.0%
18-2 0.4% 100.0% 9.8% 90.2% 2.4 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.1 0.0 100.0%
17-3 1.3% 100.0% 10.1% 89.9% 3.1 0.1 0.3 0.4 0.3 0.1 0.0 0.0 100.0%
16-4 2.6% 100.0% 7.0% 93.0% 4.1 0.1 0.2 0.6 0.8 0.6 0.2 0.1 0.0 100.0%
15-5 5.2% 99.7% 7.1% 92.6% 5.1 0.0 0.1 0.6 1.0 1.5 1.1 0.7 0.2 0.0 0.0 99.7%
14-6 7.8% 99.2% 3.6% 95.5% 6.0 0.0 0.3 0.7 1.8 1.9 1.9 0.8 0.2 0.0 0.0 0.1 99.2%
13-7 10.4% 97.9% 2.2% 95.7% 7.2 0.0 0.0 0.2 1.0 1.9 2.7 2.6 1.3 0.4 0.0 0.2 97.9%
12-8 12.5% 89.7% 1.1% 88.6% 8.1 0.0 0.1 0.3 1.0 2.1 3.4 2.6 1.4 0.3 1.3 89.5%
11-9 13.4% 75.4% 1.2% 74.2% 9.0 0.0 0.1 0.3 1.0 2.0 2.6 2.8 1.3 0.0 3.3 75.1%
10-10 13.3% 49.1% 0.5% 48.6% 9.9 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.6 1.1 2.3 2.2 0.1 6.8 48.8%
9-11 11.4% 19.0% 0.1% 18.9% 10.5 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.5 1.3 0.1 9.3 18.9%
8-12 8.8% 4.6% 0.1% 4.5% 10.9 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.1 8.4 4.5%
7-13 6.1% 0.3% 0.3% 10.7 0.0 0.0 6.0 0.3%
6-14 3.6% 0.2% 0.2% 11.0 0.0 3.6
5-15 2.0% 2.0
4-16 0.8% 0.8
3-17 0.3% 0.3
2-18 0.0% 0.0
1-19 0.0% 0.0
0-20
Total 100% 57.9% 1.7% 56.2% 7.5 0.3 0.8 2.0 3.2 5.3 6.6 8.8 9.8 8.0 7.4 5.4 0.3 42.1 57.2%