Big 12
2019-20 - 2025-26 - 2026-27


Rank Team Tourney Chance Exp Seed Record Conf Record Predictive Rating Offense Defense Pace EPR Conference EPR
2 Arizona 100.0%   1   21 - 0 8 - 0 +24.3      +12.3 4 +12.0 3 76.2 30 +33.2 1 +28.5 1
4 Houston 100.0%   2   18 - 2 6 - 1 +21.4      +11.0 10 +10.4 9 61.9 344 +22.8 9 +23.7 3
6 Iowa St. 100.0%   3   19 - 2 6 - 2 +20.9      +10.3 16 +10.6 7 70.5 138 +23.1 7 +17.4 5
14 BYU 99.8%   4   17 - 3 5 - 2 +18.9      +10.8 12 +8.0 19 74.2 51 +20.1 13 +17.1 6
15 Texas Tech 100.0%   4   16 - 4 6 - 1 +18.2      +11.3 9 +6.8 30 68.7 184 +21.0 11 +25.2 2
17 Kansas 99.5%   5   15 - 5 5 - 2 +17.9      +8.3 31 +9.6 11 68.2 201 +17.6 18 +16.6 7
46 TCU 50.5%   11   13 - 8 3 - 5 +11.5      +4.1 79 +7.4 25 69.6 163 +11.0 53 +11.3 9
47 Baylor 14.1%   10 - 9 1 - 7 +11.1      +8.2 34 +2.9 93 70.1 145 +9.3 65 +4.1 15
50 Central Florida 74.3%   10   16 - 4 5 - 3 +10.8      +7.2 48 +3.6 78 73.0 71 +17.1 22 +16.1 8
52 Cincinnati 7.3%   11 - 10 3 - 5 +10.4      -0.3 174 +10.7 6 70.9 126 +6.5 83 +10.4 10
57 West Virginia 27.9%   14 - 7 5 - 3 +9.9      +3.3 91 +6.6 34 60.5 358 +10.9 55 +18.8 4
63 Oklahoma St. 18.9%   14 - 6 2 - 5 +8.9      +6.1 57 +2.9 94 79.3 9 +11.9 49 +7.2 11
77 Arizona St. 3.2%   11 - 10 2 - 6 +7.5      +5.8 64 +1.7 115 72.5 83 +8.8 69 +4.3 13
85 Colorado 0.8%   12 - 9 2 - 6 +6.7      +5.9 61 +0.9 137 70.7 136 +6.8 81 +5.5 12
87 Kansas St. 0.3%   10 - 11 1 - 7 +6.6      +3.6 88 +3.0 91 77.0 21 +5.7 91 +0.1 16
104 Utah 0.0%   9 - 11 1 - 6 +4.7      +5.3 69 -0.5 183 70.9 127 +3.8 106 +4.1 14


Recent Games

Date Team Points Team Points Interest
Mon, Jan 26 2 Arizona 86 14 BYU 83   
Tue, Jan 27 77 Arizona St. 76 50 Central Florida 79   
Tue, Jan 27 87 Kansas St. 54 57 West Virginia 59   
Wed, Jan 28 4 Houston 79 46 TCU 70   
Wed, Jan 28 47 Baylor 57 52 Cincinnati 67   
Thu, Jan 29 85 Colorado 67 6 Iowa St. 97   


Upcoming Games

Date Team Points Team Points Chance Interest
Sat, Jan 31 14 BYU 76 17 Kansas 78 58%   
Sat, Jan 31 47 Baylor 70 57 West Virginia 72 57%   
Sat, Jan 31 15 Texas Tech 82 50 Central Florida 78 66%   
Sat, Jan 31 52 Cincinnati 59 4 Houston 73 90%   
Sat, Jan 31 63 Oklahoma St. 86 104 Utah 85 55%   
Sat, Jan 31 2 Arizona 89 77 Arizona St. 75 90%   
Sun, Feb 1 85 Colorado 75 46 TCU 77 57%   
Sun, Feb 1 6 Iowa St. 85 87 Kansas St. 74 85%   
Mon, Feb 2 17 Kansas 74 15 Texas Tech 77 62%   




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Conference Season

Projected Place
Team Avg
Place		 1st 2nd 3rd 4th 5th 6th 7th 8th 9th 10th 11th 12th 13th 14th 15th 16th
Arizona 1.4 77.7 13.6 5.5 2.2 0.8 0.2 0.0
Houston 2.3 26.9 38.0 19.0 10.4 3.9 1.3 0.5 0.0
Iowa St. 3.4 8.1 23.5 25.6 20.1 13.2 6.6 2.3 0.5 0.2 0.0
BYU 4.6 3.3 11.5 15.2 18.5 20.8 16.3 9.2 3.3 1.4 0.4 0.2 0.0 0.0
Texas Tech 3.4 8.8 22.7 25.2 19.4 12.7 6.7 3.1 1.1 0.2 0.0 0.0
Kansas 5.0 1.8 6.9 12.0 16.2 21.4 23.7 11.3 4.5 1.5 0.4 0.2 0.0 0.0
TCU 8.5 0.0 0.4 1.2 2.9 9.0 16.0 23.4 20.4 12.0 7.7 3.6 1.8 1.1 0.4 0.1
Baylor 12.1 0.0 0.1 0.6 3.0 6.6 12.1 18.2 17.0 16.8 11.9 8.6 5.2
Central Florida 7.2 0.1 0.7 2.3 4.4 8.8 17.1 22.1 21.0 13.7 5.7 2.9 1.1 0.2 0.0
Cincinnati 9.7 0.0 0.1 0.9 3.3 6.6 14.4 21.1 23.0 14.5 8.9 4.4 1.8 0.8 0.1
West Virginia 7.3 0.1 0.7 2.1 4.5 9.3 15.3 21.9 21.7 14.1 6.4 2.9 0.7 0.4 0.1
Oklahoma St. 11.3 0.0 0.4 1.1 3.2 6.2 10.7 14.9 16.9 14.9 13.9 9.7 5.8 2.3
Arizona St. 12.3 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.7 2.5 6.3 10.7 15.2 17.1 17.0 14.1 10.7 5.6
Colorado 12.5 0.1 0.1 0.3 1.5 4.8 10.1 15.2 16.3 18.7 15.4 11.0 6.6
Kansas St. 14.1 0.0 0.4 1.6 2.8 6.3 8.3 12.4 18.0 24.8 25.4
Utah 13.7 0.0 0.1 1.1 2.1 5.0 8.2 10.3 13.9 16.8 21.1 21.4

Projected Wins
Team Exp Conf Record Exp Overall Record 0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0
Arizona 16 - 2 29 - 2 0.0 0.2 1.1 4.5 11.3 21.6 28.5 23.2 9.7
Houston 14 - 4 26 - 5 0.0 0.0 0.6 1.9 8.1 19.0 26.2 26.4 14.4 3.5
Iowa St. 13 - 5 26 - 5 0.1 0.9 3.4 9.4 19.8 27.3 24.0 12.5 2.5
BYU 12 - 6 24 - 7 0.2 0.5 1.6 5.3 12.5 19.3 23.0 20.1 12.4 4.6 0.6
Texas Tech 13 - 5 23 - 8 0.0 0.0 0.2 1.0 4.1 10.5 18.3 25.5 22.3 13.3 3.9 0.7
Kansas 11 - 7 21 - 10 0.1 0.0 0.5 2.6 6.8 15.7 24.2 24.4 15.8 7.8 1.8 0.3
TCU 8 - 10 18 - 13 0.1 1.0 3.8 8.3 16.7 22.2 22.1 16.0 7.4 2.1 0.3
Baylor 5 - 13 15 - 15 0.2 2.0 8.0 17.7 24.4 23.0 16.0 7.0 1.6 0.1
Central Florida 9 - 9 20 - 10 0.3 2.7 8.2 16.7 22.1 22.4 16.6 8.0 2.6 0.5 0.0
Cincinnati 7 - 11 15 - 16 0.3 2.6 9.1 18.2 25.9 23.4 13.4 5.7 1.1 0.3
West Virginia 9 - 9 18 - 13 0.5 2.9 8.5 17.1 22.2 21.9 14.6 8.2 3.2 0.7 0.1
Oklahoma St. 6 - 12 18 - 13 0.9 5.8 12.6 21.1 22.1 17.6 12.1 5.4 2.0 0.3 0.0
Arizona St. 5 - 13 14 - 17 1.9 9.2 20.2 25.2 22.0 13.0 6.4 1.8 0.3 0.0
Colorado 5 - 13 15 - 16 2.0 10.4 22.1 26.2 22.3 11.4 4.6 0.8 0.1 0.1
Kansas St. 4 - 14 13 - 18 4.3 14.4 24.7 25.9 17.9 9.3 2.9 0.6 0.1 0.0
Utah 4 - 14 12 - 19 3.3 11.7 21.5 24.4 20.1 11.5 5.5 1.6 0.5 0.1 0.0

Projected Regular Season Champion
Team Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
Arizona 77.7% 59.7 14.5 2.8 0.6 0.1 0.0
Houston 26.9% 12.1 11.3 2.7 0.6 0.1 0.0
Iowa St. 8.1% 2.1 3.9 1.4 0.5 0.1 0.0
BYU 3.3% 0.7 1.5 0.7 0.4 0.0 0.0
Texas Tech 8.8% 3.2 3.4 1.7 0.5 0.1 0.0
Kansas 1.8% 0.5 0.6 0.4 0.2 0.0 0.0
TCU
Baylor
Central Florida 0.1% 0.0 0.0 0.0
Cincinnati
West Virginia 0.1% 0.0 0.0 0.0
Oklahoma St.
Arizona St.
Colorado
Kansas St.
Utah


NCAA Tournament Selection and Simulation

Tournament Selection
TeamTourney BidAutoAt-LargeExp Seed 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
Arizona 100.0% 38.3% 61.7% 1   81.4 17.7 0.8 0.0 100.0%
Houston 100.0% 21.5% 78.5% 2   23.0 33.1 23.3 14.4 5.0 1.2 0.1 0.0 0.0 100.0%
Iowa St. 100.0% 16.1% 83.9% 3   17.7 30.4 26.5 16.3 6.9 2.0 0.2 0.0 100.0%
BYU 99.8% 8.6% 91.2% 4   4.0 12.4 23.2 25.1 18.8 11.0 3.2 1.2 0.7 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.2 99.7%
Texas Tech 100.0% 8.6% 91.4% 4   3.8 9.2 22.2 27.4 20.8 10.6 4.4 0.9 0.5 0.1 0.1 0.1 99.9%
Kansas 99.5% 5.9% 93.6% 5   1.4 4.0 11.4 19.5 23.8 20.2 10.8 4.8 2.0 0.9 0.5 0.5 99.4%
TCU 50.5% 0.3% 50.2% 11   0.0 0.1 0.2 0.9 2.5 7.8 12.3 14.4 12.2 0.1 49.5 50.3%
Baylor 14.1% 0.1% 14.0% 0.1 0.4 1.3 1.9 3.5 6.5 0.5 85.9 14.0%
Central Florida 74.3% 0.3% 74.0% 10   0.1 0.1 0.9 3.7 8.3 13.7 18.8 17.1 11.4 0.2 25.7 74.2%
Cincinnati 7.3% 0.2% 7.2% 0.0 0.1 0.4 0.8 1.8 4.1 0.2 92.7 7.2%
West Virginia 27.9% 0.2% 27.8% 0.0 0.3 1.1 3.3 5.7 8.8 8.5 0.2 72.1 27.8%
Oklahoma St. 18.9% 0.0% 18.8% 0.0 0.1 0.4 1.2 2.8 4.5 9.5 0.3 81.2 18.8%
Arizona St. 3.2% 0.0% 3.2% 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.7 2.0 0.2 96.8 3.2%
Colorado 0.8% 0.0% 0.8% 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.5 0.0 99.2 0.8%
Kansas St. 0.3% 0.0% 0.2% 0.1 0.0 0.1 0.1 99.7 0.2%
Utah 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0 100.0 0.0%

Conference Totals
Number of Teams
One or MoreAvg # 0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14
Tourney Bid 100.0% 8.0 2.8 26.6 45.5 21.8 3.1 0.2
1st Round 100.0% 7.7 0.0 6.4 37.2 42.1 13.1 1.2 0.0
2nd Round 100.0% 6.2 0.1 2.2 17.7 44.5 29.1 6.1 0.2 0.0
Sweet Sixteen 100.0% 3.8 0.0 1.6 8.5 26.0 38.9 20.8 4.0 0.2 0.0
Elite Eight 96.0% 2.1 4.0 23.1 39.2 27.0 6.1 0.6 0.0
Final Four 78.3% 1.1 21.7 47.4 26.4 4.3 0.2
Final Game 52.4% 0.6 47.6 45.1 7.3
Champion 30.5% 0.3 69.5 30.5

Tournament Simulation
TeamTourney
Bid		First
Four		First
Round		Second
Round		Sweet
Sixteen		Elite
Eight		Final
Four		Final
Game		Champion
Arizona 100.0% 0.0% 100.0% 99.6% 84.2% 61.4% 41.5% 26.1% 15.3%
Houston 100.0% 0.0% 100.0% 97.3% 70.9% 42.8% 23.1% 12.0% 6.1%
Iowa St. 100.0% 0.0% 100.0% 96.6% 69.0% 39.0% 20.5% 10.3% 4.5%
BYU 99.8% 0.1% 99.8% 90.8% 53.8% 23.9% 11.0% 4.6% 2.0%
Texas Tech 100.0% 0.1% 99.9% 89.6% 50.7% 22.1% 9.6% 4.0% 1.5%
Kansas 99.5% 0.6% 99.3% 81.5% 41.7% 17.9% 7.4% 2.8% 1.1%
TCU 50.5% 12.7% 43.9% 18.9% 3.8% 1.4% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0%
Baylor 14.1% 7.3% 11.1% 4.6% 0.8% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Central Florida 74.3% 11.9% 67.5% 26.2% 4.1% 0.8% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0%
Cincinnati 7.3% 4.3% 5.2% 2.0% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
West Virginia 27.9% 8.8% 23.1% 7.7% 1.4% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
Oklahoma St. 18.9% 9.7% 13.5% 4.2% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Arizona St. 3.2% 2.2% 1.8% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Colorado 0.8% 0.5% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Kansas St. 0.3% 0.1% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Utah 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%