College of Charleston
Colonial Athletic
2019-20 - 2021-22 - 2022-23
Switch to All-time Team Page
Overall
Predictive Rating-1.9#202
Expected Predictive Rating+6.7#88
Pace90.8#1
Improvement-0.6#233

Offense
Total Offense-1.0#204
First Shot-1.4#212
After Offensive Rebound+0.5#148
Layup/Dunks-1.5#227
2 Pt Jumpshots-0.8#213
3 Pt Jumpshots-0.4#183
Freethrows+1.2#101
Improvement-1.1#288

Defense
Total Defense-1.0#205
First Shot-5.0#319
After Offensive Rebounds+4.0#11
Layups/Dunks-3.1#272
2 Pt Jumpshots-1.2#265
3 Pt Jumpshots+2.4#87
Freethrows-3.1#322
Improvement+0.4#127
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 7.4% 8.8% 5.8%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 14.7 14.5 14.9
.500 or above 57.6% 69.5% 44.4%
.500 or above in Conference 57.5% 63.9% 50.4%
Conference Champion 7.8% 10.0% 5.3%
Last Place in Conference 4.1% 2.9% 5.5%
First Four0.6% 0.6% 0.6%
First Round7.1% 8.5% 5.5%
Second Round0.4% 0.4% 0.3%
Sweet Sixteen0.1% 0.0% 0.1%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Tulane (Home) - 52.7% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 10 - 1
Quad 1b0 - 10 - 2
Quad 21 - 31 - 5
Quad 34 - 76 - 12
Quad 411 - 417 - 16


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 11, 2021 354   South Carolina St. W 106-74 95%     1 - 0 +11.5 -1.0 +5.2
  Nov 12, 2021 220   Lipscomb W 86-77 64%     2 - 0 +3.5 -4.8 +6.9
  Nov 13, 2021 286   Loyola Maryland W 79-72 77%     3 - 0 -2.8 -3.7 +0.4
  Nov 16, 2021 43   North Carolina L 83-94 19%     3 - 1 -3.8 -4.2 +2.3
  Nov 22, 2021 33   @ Oklahoma St. L 66-96 7%     3 - 2 -15.1 -5.9 -4.9
  Nov 27, 2021 109   @ Chattanooga W 68-66 20%     4 - 2 +9.0 -0.8 +9.9
  Nov 30, 2021 163   Tulane W 78-77 53%    
  Dec 03, 2021 101   @ Furman L 78-88 19%    
  Dec 07, 2021 163   @ Tulane L 75-80 31%    
  Dec 12, 2021 283   Presbyterian W 77-69 76%    
  Dec 16, 2021 270   @ Stetson W 79-78 53%    
  Dec 19, 2021 73   Rhode Island L 74-83 21%    
  Dec 22, 2021 234   @ Old Dominion L 72-73 45%    
  Dec 29, 2021 168   Drexel W 78-77 54%    
  Dec 31, 2021 162   Delaware W 84-83 52%    
  Jan 03, 2022 149   @ Northeastern L 70-76 29%    
  Jan 05, 2022 131   @ Hofstra L 80-87 26%    
  Jan 09, 2022 268   Elon W 86-79 73%    
  Jan 11, 2022 333   William & Mary W 87-74 87%    
  Jan 17, 2022 282   UNC Wilmington W 81-73 75%    
  Jan 20, 2022 169   @ Towson L 75-80 34%    
  Jan 22, 2022 164   @ James Madison L 81-86 32%    
  Jan 27, 2022 131   Hofstra L 83-84 45%    
  Jan 29, 2022 149   Northeastern L 73-74 49%    
  Feb 03, 2022 333   @ William & Mary W 84-77 71%    
  Feb 05, 2022 268   @ Elon W 83-82 53%    
  Feb 12, 2022 282   @ UNC Wilmington W 78-76 55%    
  Feb 17, 2022 164   James Madison W 84-83 53%    
  Feb 19, 2022 169   Towson W 78-77 53%    
  Feb 24, 2022 162   @ Delaware L 81-86 32%    
  Feb 26, 2022 168   @ Drexel L 75-80 34%    
Projected Record 16 - 15 9 - 9





Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.




Projected Colonial Athletic Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 0.1 0.8 2.2 2.4 1.5 0.7 0.2 0.0 7.8 1st
2nd 0.1 1.5 3.7 3.0 0.9 0.1 9.3 2nd
3rd 0.1 1.9 4.7 3.3 0.8 0.1 10.8 3rd
4th 0.1 1.6 5.7 4.0 0.5 0.0 11.8 4th
5th 0.1 1.8 6.0 4.5 0.8 0.0 13.3 5th
6th 0.0 0.2 2.0 5.4 4.6 0.8 0.1 13.1 6th
7th 0.0 0.3 2.2 5.7 4.6 1.0 0.0 13.9 7th
8th 0.1 0.6 2.4 4.3 3.1 0.7 0.0 11.1 8th
9th 0.1 0.7 1.9 2.4 1.4 0.3 6.8 9th
10th 0.0 0.2 0.4 0.7 0.6 0.3 0.1 2.1 10th
Total 0.0 0.2 0.5 1.5 3.1 5.3 8.0 11.2 12.7 13.4 13.0 11.1 8.4 5.9 3.3 1.6 0.7 0.2 0.0 Total



Colonial Athletic Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0 100.0% 0.0    0.0
17-1 100.0% 0.2    0.2
16-2 100.0% 0.7    0.6 0.0
15-3 94.9% 1.5    1.3 0.2
14-4 71.4% 2.4    1.5 0.7 0.1 0.0
13-5 36.4% 2.2    0.6 1.2 0.3 0.1
12-6 9.8% 0.8    0.1 0.3 0.3 0.1 0.0
11-7 0.7% 0.1    0.0 0.1 0.0
10-8 0.0%
9-9 0.0%
Total 7.8% 7.8 4.4 2.4 0.8 0.2 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid
AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0 0.0% 0.0 0.0
17-1 0.2% 0.0 0.0 0.1
16-2 0.7% 40.3% 40.3% 13.2 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.1 0.4
15-3 1.6% 30.8% 30.1% 0.6% 13.4 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.2 0.0 1.1 0.9%
14-4 3.3% 21.4% 21.4% 14.0 0.0 0.1 0.4 0.2 2.6
13-5 5.9% 19.2% 19.2% 14.2 0.2 0.5 0.4 0.0 4.8
12-6 8.4% 13.3% 13.3% 14.6 0.1 0.4 0.5 0.1 7.2
11-7 11.1% 10.1% 10.1% 14.9 0.0 0.3 0.6 0.2 10.0
10-8 13.0% 6.8% 6.8% 15.2 0.0 0.1 0.5 0.3 12.1
9-9 13.4% 6.1% 6.1% 15.4 0.1 0.4 0.4 12.6
8-10 12.7% 3.3% 3.3% 15.8 0.1 0.3 12.3
7-11 11.2% 2.6% 2.6% 15.9 0.0 0.3 10.9
6-12 8.0% 1.0% 1.0% 15.9 0.0 0.1 8.0
5-13 5.3% 0.2% 0.2% 16.0 0.0 5.3
4-14 3.1% 3.1
3-15 1.5% 1.5
2-16 0.5% 0.5
1-17 0.2% 0.2
0-18 0.0% 0.0
Total 100% 7.4% 7.4% 0.0% 14.7 0.0 0.1 0.8 2.1 2.7 1.7 92.6 0.0%