College of Charleston
Colonial Athletic
2019-20 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
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Overall
Predictive Rating-0.6#169
Expected Predictive Rating-0.3#169
Pace68.8#205
Improvement+2.5#44

Offense
Total Offense+0.3#155
First Shot-0.2#179
After Offensive Rebound+0.5#145
Layup/Dunks-0.1#195
2 Pt Jumpshots-0.1#186
3 Pt Jumpshots-2.0#250
Freethrows+2.0#69
Improvement-0.5#213

Defense
Total Defense-1.0#199
First Shot-2.6#264
After Offensive Rebounds+1.7#60
Layups/Dunks+1.7#118
2 Pt Jumpshots-2.1#323
3 Pt Jumpshots-4.2#321
Freethrows+2.0#59
Improvement+3.0#20
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 6.8% 7.4% 4.4%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 13.9 13.9 14.3
.500 or above 63.5% 68.8% 44.0%
.500 or above in Conference 67.9% 73.1% 48.9%
Conference Champion 7.1% 8.4% 2.3%
Last Place in Conference 2.5% 1.5% 6.1%
First Four0.2% 0.1% 0.3%
First Round6.7% 7.4% 4.4%
Second Round0.3% 0.3% 0.2%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Drexel (Home) - 78.7% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 00 - 0
Quad 1b0 - 10 - 1
Quad 21 - 51 - 6
Quad 35 - 76 - 12
Quad 411 - 317 - 15


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Fri, Nov 7 102 @Liberty L 75-90 21%     0 - 1 -7.1 +14.0 -22.8
  Sat, Nov 8 114 Florida Atlantic L 77-94 35%     0 - 2 -13.6 +7.2 -21.5
  Fri, Nov 14 358 South Carolina St. W 88-61 94%     1 - 2 +9.1 +10.5 -0.3
  Mon, Nov 17 143 Drake L 62-71 55%     1 - 3 -10.8 -11.5 +0.5
  Fri, Nov 21 164 Massachusetts W 69-65 49%     2 - 3 +3.6 +0.2 +3.5
  Sun, Nov 23 76 Yale L 63-74 23%     2 - 4 -3.7 -6.1 +1.5
  Mon, Nov 24 252 Evansville W 78-59 67%     3 - 4 +13.8 +4.4 +9.3
  Sun, Nov 30 69 Belmont L 73-96 29%     3 - 5 -18.0 +1.0 -18.8
  Wed, Dec 10 79 @South Florida L 75-81 16%     3 - 6 +3.9 +7.6 -3.7
  Sun, Dec 14 183 Charlotte W 74-67 65%     4 - 6 +2.3 -0.7 +3.2
  Wed, Dec 17 355 The Citadel W 82-78 93%     5 - 6 -12.7 -3.2 -9.7
  Sun, Dec 21 208 @Northern Kentucky W 85-74 48%     6 - 6 +10.9 +8.3 +2.0
  Mon, Dec 29 274 Drexel W 74-66 79%    
  Wed, Dec 31 166 @Elon L 75-78 38%    
  Mon, Jan 5 118 William & Mary L 80-81 47%    
  Sat, Jan 10 238 Hampton W 75-68 74%    
  Thu, Jan 15 128 @Towson L 65-71 29%    
  Sat, Jan 17 246 @Stony Brook W 71-70 55%    
  Thu, Jan 22 225 Campbell W 81-75 72%    
  Sat, Jan 24 166 Elon W 78-75 60%    
  Thu, Jan 29 110 @Hofstra L 68-75 25%    
  Sat, Jan 31 205 @Northeastern L 74-75 47%    
  Thu, Feb 5 301 N.C. A&T W 80-70 82%    
  Mon, Feb 9 120 UNC Wilmington L 71-72 48%    
  Thu, Feb 12 110 Hofstra L 71-72 45%    
  Sat, Feb 14 225 @Campbell W 78-77 51%    
  Thu, Feb 19 301 @N.C. A&T W 77-73 64%    
  Sat, Feb 21 224 Monmouth W 76-70 72%    
  Thu, Feb 26 238 @Hampton W 72-71 53%    
  Sat, Feb 28 120 @UNC Wilmington L 69-75 29%    
Projected Record 16 - 14 10 - 8




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Colonial Athletic Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.5 1.6 2.4 1.7 0.7 0.2 0.0 7.1 1st
2nd 0.1 0.6 2.8 3.3 1.7 0.3 0.0 8.9 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.6 3.8 4.7 2.0 0.3 0.0 11.3 3rd
4th 0.4 3.6 5.9 2.4 0.2 0.0 12.5 4th
5th 0.2 2.8 6.6 2.9 0.3 0.0 12.9 5th
6th 0.0 1.7 5.9 3.5 0.4 11.5 6th
7th 0.0 0.8 4.4 4.0 0.6 0.0 9.9 7th
8th 0.0 0.3 2.8 4.1 0.9 0.0 8.1 8th
9th 0.1 1.3 3.3 1.4 0.0 6.2 9th
10th 0.0 0.6 2.4 1.5 0.1 4.7 10th
11th 0.0 0.4 1.4 1.3 0.4 0.0 3.5 11th
12th 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.6 1.0 0.3 0.0 2.2 12th
13th 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.4 0.4 0.1 0.0 1.1 13th
Total 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.6 1.4 3.3 5.7 8.8 12.0 14.1 15.1 13.6 10.8 7.1 4.4 2.0 0.7 0.2 0.0 Total



Colonial Athletic Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0 100.0% 0.0    0.0
17-1 100.0% 0.2    0.2
16-2 97.1% 0.7    0.6 0.1
15-3 84.8% 1.7    1.2 0.4 0.1
14-4 54.9% 2.4    1.1 0.9 0.3 0.0 0.0
13-5 22.3% 1.6    0.4 0.7 0.4 0.1 0.0
12-6 4.8% 0.5    0.1 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.0
11-7 0.2% 0.0    0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
10-8 0.0%
9-9 0.0%
Total 7.1% 7.1 3.5 2.3 1.0 0.2 0.1



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0 0.0% 0.0 0.0 0.0
17-1 0.2% 19.1% 19.1% 12.3 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1
16-2 0.7% 24.2% 24.2% 12.6 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.5
15-3 2.0% 21.0% 21.0% 13.0 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.0 1.6
14-4 4.4% 19.1% 19.1% 13.3 0.1 0.4 0.3 0.0 3.5
13-5 7.1% 15.9% 15.9% 13.7 0.1 0.4 0.6 0.1 6.0
12-6 10.8% 11.6% 11.6% 13.8 0.0 0.4 0.7 0.2 9.5
11-7 13.6% 8.9% 8.9% 14.1 0.0 0.3 0.6 0.4 0.0 12.4
10-8 15.1% 6.0% 6.0% 14.4 0.1 0.4 0.4 0.0 14.2
9-9 14.1% 2.4% 2.4% 14.9 0.1 0.3 0.0 13.7
8-10 12.0% 2.1% 2.1% 15.3 0.0 0.2 0.1 11.7
7-11 8.8% 1.7% 1.7% 15.9 0.0 0.1 8.7
6-12 5.7% 0.8% 0.8% 16.0 0.0 5.7
5-13 3.3% 0.7% 0.7% 16.0 0.0 3.3
4-14 1.4% 0.2% 0.2% 16.0 0.0 1.4
3-15 0.6% 0.6
2-16 0.1% 0.1
1-17 0.0% 0.0
0-18 0.0% 0.0
Total 100% 6.8% 6.8% 0.0% 13.9 0.0 0.3 1.8 2.7 1.5 0.4 93.2 0.0%