College of Charleston
Colonial Athletic
2019-20 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
Switch to All-time Team Page
Predictive Rating -0.4 162
Expected Predictive Rating +1.1 142
Pace 71.1 113
Improvement +1.7 115

Overall 1st FGA Second Chance TOs Free
throws		 Shot Selection
Offense C- 199 C- C C B+ C-
Defense C 140 B- C+ D- A- B+

Offense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 37% 222 B 64% 55 +1.4 122
2 Pt. Jumpers 22% 143 C- 36% 241 +0.2 165
Three Pointers 41% 190 F+ 29% 351 -3.4 300
Shot Selection/Accuracy C- -0.3 237 C- -1.4 221
1st FG Attempt C- 0.98 226
Second Chance C- 28.8% 229 C+ 1.07 123 C 0.31 188
Turnovers C 17.0% 182
Freethrows B+ 0.36 36 B- 75% 93 B+ 0.27 28
Total Offense C- -1.3 199

Defense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 31% 337 D+ 62% 280 +3.2 74
2 Pt. Jumpers 24% 66 B 35% 65 -0.5 230
Three Pointers 45% 67 B- 32% 84 -0.5 209
Shot Selection/Accuracy B+ -0.3 237 C+ -1.4 221
1st FG Attempt 0.98 107 B- +2.2 109
Second Chance C 30.8% 197 B- 0.97 94 C+ 0.30 143
Turnovers D- 13.8% 337
Freethrows B+ 0.24 19 B 70% 57 A- 0.17 16
Total Defense C +0.9 140

Miscellaneous
Offense Defense
Possession Length 17.0 143 17.2 165
Fast Break Points Per Possession 0.17 167 0.18 217
Improvement -2.6 #311 +4.3 #20

See methodology page for descriptions of rating types.
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0% 0% 0%
#1 Seed 0% 0% 0%
Top 2 Seed 0% 0% 0%
Top 4 Seed 0% 0% 0%
Top 6 Seed 0% 0% 0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 10% 11% 8%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0% 0% 0%
Average Seed 14.0 13.9 14.2
.500 or above 99% 100% 98%
.500 or above in Conference 100% 100% 100%
Conference Champion 10% 17% 5%
Last Place in Conference 0% 0% 0%
First Four0% 0% 0%
First Round10% 11% 8%
Second Round0% 0% 0%
Sweet Sixteen0% 0% 0%
Elite Eight0% 0% 0%
Final Four0% 0% 0%
Championship Game0% 0% 0%
National Champion0% 0% 0%

Next Game: Campbell (Away) - 44.5% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 00 - 0
Quad 1b0 - 10 - 1
Quad 21 - 41 - 5
Quad 35 - 66 - 11
Quad 412 - 219 - 13


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Lead Record Total Rating Offense Defense
Avg Time Overall Conf Total First
FGA		 2nd Chance TOs Total First
FGA		 2nd Chance TOs
 Fri, Nov 7 93 @Liberty L 75 - 90 20% -8  4% 0 - 1 D+ -7 A- +10 B A+ D+ F -18 D- F F
 Sat, Nov 8 114 Florida Atlantic L 77 - 94 37% -15  0% 0 - 2 D- -14 B +6 C D A- F -21 C- F F
 Fri, Nov 14 358 South Carolina St. W 88 - 61 94% +14  86% 1 - 2 B +9 B+ +9 C+ C+ A+ C+ +1 B- B+ D-
 Mon, Nov 17 182 Drake L 62 - 71 65% -5  21% 1 - 3 D- -13 F -16 F D- D+ B- +3 C+ B+ A
 Fri, Nov 21 180 Massachusetts W 69 - 65 54% -1  37% 2 - 3 C+ +3 D -5 F A+ A- A- +8 C- C+ B+
 Sun, Nov 23 81 Yale L 63 - 74 25% -9  0% 2 - 4 C- -4 F+ -9 F+ F C+ B- +4 C A+ D-
 Mon, Nov 24 275 Evansville W 78 - 59 73% +12  93% 3 - 4 B+ +12 C +0 C+ D+ C A +12 A A F
 Sun, Nov 30 78 Belmont L 73 - 96 32% -19  1% 3 - 5 F -19 D+ -4 F B A+ F -14 F A F
 Wed, Dec 10 62 @South Florida L 75 - 81 13% -2  27% 3 - 6 B- +6 B +6 D B- C+ C -0 B- C+ D
 Sun, Dec 14 170 Charlotte W 74 - 67 62% +3  74% 4 - 6 C+ +3 D+ -4 B C+ D- B+ +7 B+ A D
 Wed, Dec 17 346 The Citadel W 82 - 78 91% -2  42% 5 - 6 D- -11 D+ -4 C F C- D- -8 D- C- D+
 Sun, Dec 21 206 @Northern Kentucky W 85 - 74 47% +4  86% 6 - 6 B+ +11 B- +5 A- C+ C- B +5 C B A+
 Mon, Dec 29 230 Drexel W 72 - 63 73% -1  37% 7 - 6 1 - 0 C+ +2 B- +4 B+ A D+ C -1 C+ C+ D+
 Wed, Dec 31 220 @Elon W 85 - 81 49% +7  89% 8 - 6 2 - 0 C+ +4 C+ +2 D- B C- C+ +2 B+ B- F
 Mon, Jan 5 130 William & Mary W 88 - 79 53% +6  84% 9 - 6 3 - 0 B- +8 C- -2 B F F+ A- +9 A+ C F
 Sat, Jan 10 246 Hampton W 74 - 70 76% +5  95% 10 - 6 4 - 0 C- -4 B- +5 C+ B- A D- -8 B- D- F
 Thu, Jan 15 166 @Towson L 52 - 61 39% -9  0% 10 - 7 4 - 1 D+ -6 F -18 F C- F A +11 A+ F+ C-
 Sat, Jan 17 222 @Stony Brook L 106 - 112 2OT 50% -3  17% 10 - 8 4 - 2 D+ -6 A +11 C A A- F -16 F C+ F
 Thu, Jan 22 191 Campbell W 87 - 83 67% +3  54% 11 - 8 5 - 2 C -1 B- +4 B+ C+ D+ D+ -5 D+ F C
 Sat, Jan 24 220 Elon W 80 - 70 71% +10  98% 12 - 8 6 - 2 C+ +4 D+ -4 C D+ F B+ +7 A+ C+ C
 Thu, Jan 29 113 @Hofstra W 66 - 64 26% -3  18% 13 - 8 7 - 2 B +8 D -5 F B+ B- A+ +13 A+ C+ D
 Sat, Jan 31 281 @Northeastern W 89 - 84 64% -2  21% 14 - 8 8 - 2 C +1 A- +11 C- C A+ F+ -9 F C F
 Thu, Feb 5 285 N.C. A&T W 78 - 62 82% +5  68% 15 - 8 9 - 2 B- +6 D+ -4 B- D+ F A- +9 B- B A+
 Mon, Feb 9 112 UNC Wilmington L 64 - 76 47% -9  0% 15 - 9 9 - 3 D- -12 F -10 D C- F C- -2 B C- F
 Thu, Feb 12 113 Hofstra L 62 - 66 48% -4  17% 15 - 10 9 - 4 C- -4 F -14 F+ F+ C- A +10 A A+ C-
 Sun, Feb 15 191 @Campbell L 79 - 80 45%
 Thu, Feb 19 285 @N.C. A&T W 78 - 74 65%
 Sat, Feb 21 189 Monmouth W 74 - 70 66%
 Thu, Feb 26 246 @Hampton W 70 - 69 55%
 Sat, Feb 28 112 @UNC Wilmington L 68 - 75 27%
Totals 18 - 12 12 - 6 +0 F -1 D- C- C- B- +1 F+ B- B+



Game Detail
Grades are adjusted for opponent strength in each category. Game stats are not adjusted for oppoent strength. See methodology page for descriptions of rating types.
Offense Defense
Tot Off First Field Goal Attempt Second Chance TOs Freethrows Tot Def First Field Goal Attempt Second Chance TOs Freethrows
Shot Accuracy Shot Selection Points Per Shot Shot Accuracy Shot Selection Points Per Shot
2 C 2 L 3 Tot 2 C 2 L 3 Tot Off Reb PPP Tot Att Perc Tot 2 C 2 L 3 Tot 2 C 2 L 3 Tot Off Reb PPP Tot Att Perc Tot
Season Ratings C- B C- F+ C- 37% 22% 41% C- C- C- C+ C C B+ B- B+ C D+ B B- C+ 31% 24% 45% B+ B- C B- C+ D- B+ B A-
1.07 64% 36% 29% -1 0 0.98 29% 1.1 .31 17% .36 75% .27 1.07 62% 35% 32% -1 -1 0.98 31% 1.0 .30 14% .24 70% .25
Nov
7		 Liberty A- D A A- B 35% 22% 43% C- B B A+ A+ D+ A+ F B+ F C- F F F+ 44% 8% 48% B- D- F F F F D C- D
1.20 50% 50% 40% +4 0 1.09 36% 1.5 .55 19% .34 65% .22 1.44 64% 50% 46% +12 +2 1.30 32% 1.3 .42 8% .30 71% .21
Nov
8		 Florida Atlantic B C- D- B C 43% 20% 37% C- C A F D A- A A+ A+ F D F B C- 35% 15% 50% C- C- F F F F D- F+ F+
1.14 55% 30% 37% -1 0 1.00 36% 0.5 .19 13% .41 88% .36 1.39 63% 63% 30% +2 +1 1.07 46% 1.3 .62 10% .36 77% .28
Nov
14		 South Carolina St. B+ A+ F F C+ 48% 14% 38% C C+ A- D- C+ A+ A+ D- A- C+ F+ A+ F C- 17% 52% 31% A+ B- F A+ B+ D- F A+ C-
1.31 92% 29% 16% +4 +2 1.14 47% 1.1 .50 10% .51 68% .35 0.91 63% 20% 47% -3 -6 0.85 38% 0.6 .22 18% .49 44% .22
Nov
17		 Drake F A+ F F F+ 13% 44% 42% F F B F D- D+ B- F+ C B- D A+ D+ C 26% 21% 53% C+ C+ C- A+ B+ A B+ A+ A
0.90 100% 26% 27% -4 -5 0.85 36% 0.6 .20 16% .33 63% .21 1.03 64% 27% 36% +1 -1 1.02 27% 0.8 .22 19% .25 57% .14
Nov
21		 Massachusetts D B+ B- F F 40% 15% 45% C+ F F A+ A+ A- A+ A+ A+ A- B+ F B D+ 35% 22% 43% C+ C- C B- C+ B+ A A+ A+
1.02 68% 43% 14% -8 +1 0.87 11% 4.3 .48 13% .49 83% .41 0.96 50% 70% 30% +2 0 1.04 32% 1.1 .35 22% .25 46% .11
Nov
23		 Yale F+ C+ F F F 42% 17% 42% B F+ C- F F C+ A+ D A+ B- B C- F C- 39% 29% 33% A- C B+ A+ A+ D- C+ A+ A-
0.97 60% 25% 25% -7 +1 0.90 29% 0.5 .14 14% .43 67% .29 1.14 53% 43% 50% +7 -1 1.14 29% 0.9 .26 12% .32 61% .19
Nov
24		 Evansville C D C A C+ 31% 20% 49% C C+ D B- D+ C A B A A B+ B- A+ A+ 47% 21% 32% F A A+ F A F C- C C-
1.11 53% 40% 42% +5 -1 1.10 27% 1.1 .30 17% .36 76% .27 0.84 52% 36% 18% -11 +1 0.81 6% 2.0 .11 14% .30 72% .22
Nov
30		 Belmont D+ F F F F 13% 17% 69% D F C A- B A+ A+ D+ A+ F F F F F 32% 20% 48% A F C+ A+ A F C+ A+ B
1.03 43% 22% 25% -14 -1 0.71 33% 1.2 .39 11% .48 73% .35 1.36 83% 55% 48% +22 0 1.45 28% 0.9 .24 8% .29 58% .17
Dec
10		 South Florida B F+ F C- F+ 42% 12% 46% A D A D B- C+ A+ A+ A+ C D+ F A+ B- 44% 8% 48% C B- F A C+ D C B C+
1.09 45% 17% 33% -8 +1 0.88 40% 0.9 .35 19% .45 80% .36 1.18 61% 50% 24% -5 +2 0.96 46% 1.0 .43 13% .38 70% .27
Dec
14		 Charlotte D+ A A- D- B 40% 26% 34% C- B D A C+ D- D F D- B+ F C A+ B+ 28% 16% 56% B+ B+ A A+ A D A F B
1.09 70% 46% 29% +5 -1 1.10 26% 1.4 .35 18% .29 63% .18 0.98 79% 38% 25% -2 0 0.98 27% 0.7 .18 16% .25 86% .21
Dec
17		 The Citadel D+ A+ C D- C+ 33% 12% 55% C- C F A+ F C- A+ B+ A+ D- B B+ F F+ 27% 17% 56% C+ D- C- C C- D+ A+ A A+
1.14 86% 40% 30% +7 +1 1.17 10% 1.3 .14 15% .67 76% .51 1.08 50% 30% 39% +1 0 1.03 29% 0.9 .26 17% .17 60% .10
Dec
21		 Northern Kentucky B- C+ A+ C- A- 43% 17% 39% C+ A- C- B C+ C- A+ C A+ B B- D- B- C 35% 14% 51% C C F+ A+ B A+ C+ F D
1.15 60% 88% 33% +9 +1 1.22 32% 1.2 .39 20% .49 69% .34 1.00 56% 43% 31% -3 +1 0.98 36% 0.7 .26 23% .28 88% .25
Dec
29		 Drexel B- A+ C F+ A 33% 28% 39% D B+ C+ A+ A D+ C F F+ C C A+ F C- 20% 25% 55% A C+ C B C+ D+ D D+ D
1.15 87% 38% 28% +6 -1 1.11 33% 1.4 .47 18% .31 56% .17 1.01 56% 18% 42% +1 -2 1.00 29% 0.8 .24 18% .31 69% .21
Dec
31		 Elon C+ F A+ C- F+ 43% 16% 41% B D- C A B C- A+ A+ A+ C+ C F A+ B+ 45% 10% 45% C B+ A+ F B- F C+ B+ B-
1.15 43% 50% 35% -4 +1 0.96 33% 1.4 .45 16% .47 90% .42 1.10 59% 50% 26% -4 +2 0.98 24% 1.2 .29 8% .30 65% .19
Jan
5		 William & Mary C- A+ F A- A- 25% 26% 49% F B F+ F F F+ A+ A+ A+ A- F A+ A+ A+ 20% 31% 49% A+ A+ C+ D+ C F C D- D+
1.07 92% 21% 38% +7 -2 1.13 24% 0.8 .18 23% .46 79% .36 0.96 85% 5% 22% -14 -3 0.69 25% 1.2 .31 7% .33 80% .26
Jan
10		 Hampton B- A+ B- F+ B- 32% 24% 44% D C+ F A+ B- A A+ A- A+ D- D D- A+ C+ 25% 37% 37% A B- F B- D- F A C+ A
1.18 85% 40% 28% +5 -1 1.10 17% 2.0 .35 13% .55 73% .40 1.11 62% 42% 21% -5 -3 0.86 45% 0.9 .39 13% .25 71% .18
Jan
15		 Towson F F F D- F 36% 14% 50% B- F A- F C- F F D F A A+ C+ A+ A+ 29% 25% 46% C- A+ A- F F+ C- D+ F F
0.77 39% 14% 28% -15 +1 0.74 34% 0.7 .25 22% .17 67% .11 0.90 40% 38% 17% -17 -1 0.65 30% 1.3 .38 16% .30 88% .26
Jan
17		 Stony Brook A D+ F A C- 46% 19% 35% B- C D A+ A A- A+ A+ A+ F D F F+ F 35% 12% 53% D+ F A F C+ F F A- F
1.23 55% 25% 41% 0 +1 1.03 26% 1.6 .43 12% .47 83% .39 1.30 61% 75% 40% +10 +1 1.24 20% 1.2 .24 9% .40 65% .26
Jan
22		 Campbell B- A+ B- A- A- 44% 35% 21% F+ B+ B- D+ C+ D+ A+ B+ A+ D+ D B F F 20% 30% 50% A+ D+ C- F F C A+ B+ A+
1.20 76% 41% 40% +11 -2 1.21 35% 1.1 .38 19% .49 79% .39 1.14 64% 31% 41% +4 -2 1.06 34% 1.8 .60 18% .20 67% .13
Jan
24		 Elon D+ A+ F F C+ 30% 28% 42% D- C B F D+ F A+ F A B+ D- F A+ A 27% 23% 50% A+ A+ B+ D C+ C C+ C- C
1.11 100% 21% 29% +5 -2 1.08 38% 0.9 .34 22% .46 62% .29 0.97 67% 54% 18% -6 -1 0.88 28% 1.1 .31 17% .30 72% .22
Shot Accuracy Shot Selection PPS 2nd Chance TOs Freethrows Shot Accuracy Shot Selection PPS 2nd Chance TOs Freethrows
Jan
29		 Hofstra D F B F F 47% 24% 29% B F A- C B+ B- A- F C A+ A A+ A A+ 32% 23% 45% C- A+ F+ A C+ D A+ A+ A+
0.96 42% 42% 13% -16 0 0.71 38% 1.1 .40 13% .37 59% .22 0.94 44% 23% 28% -12 -1 0.77 41% 0.9 .35 15% .09 40% .03
Jan
31		 Northeastern A- B+ A+ F D+ 58% 13% 28% A- C- D- A C A+ A- B A F+ F C+ F F 40% 23% 37% B+ F F+ A C F A+ A+ A+
1.29 68% 57% 20% +2 +2 1.11 27% 1.2 .33 7% .41 77% .31 1.22 71% 36% 41% +8 0 1.18 33% 0.8 .28 7% .08 40% .03
Feb
5		 N.C. A&T D+ A+ C+ F B+ 35% 31% 33% F+ B- D C- D+ F F+ B- D- A- D- A+ C+ B- 23% 30% 47% B+ B- C- A+ B A+ B- F C-
1.10 84% 41% 28% +7 -2 1.13 23% 1.0 .23 20% .25 71% .18 0.87 64% 21% 32% -5 -2 0.87 31% 0.8 .26 25% .34 83% .28
Feb
9		 UNC Wilmington F C- B+ F D+ 27% 33% 40% D- D D A C- F A+ A A+ C- F A+ C- B- 23% 37% 40% A+ B B F C- F A C A-
0.94 58% 47% 22% -4 -2 0.89 21% 1.3 .27 19% .42 83% .35 1.12 77% 14% 35% -4 -3 0.88 30% 1.3 .40 7% .27 71% .19
Feb
12		 Hofstra F F F D+ F+ 23% 23% 54% D+ F+ F B- F+ C- C+ A+ B+ A D B A+ A 22% 25% 53% B A B A+ A+ C- F B F
0.88 42% 17% 32% -10 -1 0.79 18% 1.1 .20 16% .32 84% .27 0.94 64% 31% 26% -7 -2 0.84 31% 0.5 .14 16% .44 73% .32



Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Colonial Athletic Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 0.0 1.5 5.8 2.9 10.1 1st
2nd 0.1 7.6 25.8 11.4 0.6 45.4 2nd
3rd 1.7 15.6 5.0 22.3 3rd
4th 0.0 5.3 6.1 0.0 11.5 4th
5th 0.3 5.7 0.6 6.6 5th
6th 1.1 1.5 0.0 2.6 6th
7th 1.0 0.1 1.2 7th
8th 0.4 0.4 8th
9th 0.0 0.0 9th
10th 10th
11th 11th
12th 12th
13th 13th
Total 2.8 14.4 29.9 32.2 17.2 3.4 Total



Colonial Athletic Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4 83.2% 2.9    1.7 1.1
13-5 33.5% 5.8    1.2 3.5 1.0 0.0
12-6 4.5% 1.5    0.1 0.3 0.7 0.3 0.0
11-7 0.1% 0.0    0.0 0.0 0.0
10-8 0.0%
9-9 0.0%
Total 10.1% 10.1 3.0 5.0 1.7 0.4 0.1 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4 3.4% 16.0% 16.0% 12.9 0.1 0.4 0.1 0.0 2.9
13-5 17.2% 14.2% 14.2% 13.8 0.0 0.8 1.4 0.2 14.7
12-6 32.2% 11.2% 11.2% 14.1 0.0 0.6 2.1 0.9 0.0 28.6
11-7 29.9% 8.4% 8.4% 14.3 0.0 0.2 1.3 0.9 0.1 27.4
10-8 14.4% 4.1% 4.1% 14.5 0.0 0.2 0.3 0.0 13.9
9-9 2.8% 2.7% 2.7% 15.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 2.7
8-10
7-11
6-12
5-13
4-14
3-15
2-16
1-17
0-18
Total 100% 9.7% 9.7% 0.0% 14.0 90.3 0.0%


Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid		Avg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Win Out 0.6% 100.0% 12.9 21.8 68.2 9.1 0.9
Win Out, Lose in Conf. Tourney Championship 0.6%
Win Out, Lose in Conf. Tourney Semi-Final 1.0%
Lose Out 1.4%