Duquesne
Atlantic 10
2020-21 - 2021-22 - 2022-23
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Overall
Predictive Rating-1.5#194
Expected Predictive Rating-3.6#233
Pace70.2#152
Improvement-1.7#310

Offense
Total Offense-0.7#197
First Shot-2.6#262
After Offensive Rebound+1.9#71
Layup/Dunks-0.6#183
2 Pt Jumpshots+0.1#169
3 Pt Jumpshots-3.8#291
Freethrows+1.7#72
Improvement+0.6#112

Defense
Total Defense-0.7#194
First Shot+0.9#140
After Offensive Rebounds-1.7#283
Layups/Dunks-4.0#299
2 Pt Jumpshots+0.7#144
3 Pt Jumpshots+3.1#66
Freethrows+1.1#123
Improvement-2.3#339
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 0.5% 0.7% 0.2%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 13.6 13.5 14.0
.500 or above 15.1% 19.4% 6.8%
.500 or above in Conference 24.1% 27.0% 18.6%
Conference Champion 0.5% 0.7% 0.2%
Last Place in Conference 11.4% 9.1% 15.7%
First Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Round0.5% 0.7% 0.2%
Second Round0.1% 0.1% 0.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Bowling Green (Home) - 65.6% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 10 - 1
Quad 1b0 - 20 - 3
Quad 21 - 72 - 10
Quad 33 - 75 - 17
Quad 48 - 313 - 20


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 09, 2021 264   Rider W 73-61 75%     1 - 0 +3.5 +3.8 +0.8
  Nov 13, 2021 131   Hofstra L 63-73 47%     1 - 1 -10.7 -9.4 -1.9
  Nov 15, 2021 98   Weber St. L 59-63 36%     1 - 2 -1.7 -14.6 +13.0
  Nov 19, 2021 149   Northeastern L 55-71 40%     1 - 3 -14.8 -10.6 -4.9
  Nov 20, 2021 74   Colorado L 76-84 OT 22%     1 - 4 -1.2 +0.6 -1.4
  Nov 22, 2021 212   Bradley W 78-70 53%     2 - 4 +5.8 +4.4 +1.3
  Nov 28, 2021 321   American W 88-79 84%     3 - 4 -3.0 +6.2 -9.4
  Dec 01, 2021 226   Bowling Green W 77-73 66%    
  Dec 04, 2021 114   @ Marshall L 76-84 23%    
  Dec 07, 2021 85   @ DePaul L 70-81 16%    
  Dec 11, 2021 195   New Hampshire W 68-65 61%    
  Dec 19, 2021 69   UC Irvine L 62-71 22%    
  Dec 22, 2021 118   Wofford L 69-71 44%    
  Dec 30, 2021 84   @ Davidson L 64-75 16%    
  Jan 02, 2022 115   George Mason L 70-72 43%    
  Jan 05, 2022 266   George Washington W 73-66 74%    
  Jan 08, 2022 117   @ Massachusetts L 76-84 24%    
  Jan 12, 2022 248   @ Fordham W 68-67 51%    
  Jan 15, 2022 111   Dayton L 66-68 43%    
  Jan 21, 2022 40   St. Bonaventure L 63-72 21%    
  Jan 26, 2022 221   @ Saint Joseph's L 75-77 43%    
  Jan 29, 2022 62   Saint Louis L 70-76 30%    
  Feb 01, 2022 80   Richmond L 72-77 32%    
  Feb 05, 2022 81   @ Virginia Commonwealth L 58-69 16%    
  Feb 09, 2022 111   @ Dayton L 63-71 24%    
  Feb 12, 2022 248   Fordham W 70-64 71%    
  Feb 19, 2022 40   @ St. Bonaventure L 60-75 9%    
  Feb 23, 2022 84   Davidson L 67-72 33%    
  Feb 26, 2022 73   @ Rhode Island L 64-75 16%    
  Mar 02, 2022 266   @ George Washington W 70-69 54%    
  Mar 05, 2022 243   La Salle W 73-67 69%    
Projected Record 12 - 19 7 - 11





Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.




Projected Atlantic 10 Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.5 1st
2nd 0.0 0.3 0.4 0.2 0.9 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.4 0.8 0.4 0.1 1.6 3rd
4th 0.0 0.4 1.3 0.6 0.1 2.5 4th
5th 0.3 1.9 1.6 0.2 4.0 5th
6th 0.0 0.2 1.9 2.7 0.5 0.0 5.4 6th
7th 0.2 1.9 4.1 1.6 0.1 7.8 7th
8th 0.1 1.6 4.8 2.6 0.3 9.5 8th
9th 0.1 1.3 5.2 4.1 0.7 0.0 11.5 9th
10th 0.0 1.4 5.7 5.6 1.3 0.0 14.0 10th
11th 0.0 1.1 5.1 5.9 1.8 0.1 14.0 11th
12th 0.1 0.9 4.2 5.5 2.1 0.1 13.0 12th
13th 0.0 0.8 2.8 3.8 1.6 0.2 9.2 13th
14th 0.2 0.9 2.1 2.0 0.7 0.1 6.1 14th
Total 0.2 0.9 3.0 5.8 9.8 13.8 15.3 14.6 12.5 9.6 6.9 4.0 1.9 1.0 0.4 0.1 0.0 0.0 Total



Atlantic 10 Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1 100.0% 0.0    0.0
16-2 100.0% 0.0    0.0
15-3 100.0% 0.1    0.1 0.0 0.0
14-4 36.6% 0.2    0.1 0.1 0.0
13-5 12.6% 0.1    0.0 0.1 0.0 0.0
12-6 2.6% 0.1    0.0 0.0 0.0
11-7 0.0%
10-8 0.0%
9-9 0.0%
Total 0.5% 0.5 0.2 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid
AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1 0.0% 0.0
16-2 0.0% 0.0 0.0
15-3 0.1% 0.0 0.1
14-4 0.4% 2.4% 2.4% 12.0 0.0 0.4
13-5 1.0% 5.8% 5.8% 12.8 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.0
12-6 1.9% 2.1% 2.1% 12.8 0.0 0.0 1.9
11-7 4.0% 2.7% 2.7% 13.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 3.9
10-8 6.9% 1.6% 1.6% 13.5 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.0 6.8
9-9 9.6% 1.1% 1.1% 14.5 0.0 0.0 0.1 9.5
8-10 12.5% 0.4% 0.4% 15.2 0.0 0.0 0.0 12.5
7-11 14.6% 0.1% 0.1% 15.0 0.0 14.5
6-12 15.3% 15.3
5-13 13.8% 13.8
4-14 9.8% 9.8
3-15 5.8% 5.8
2-16 3.0% 3.0
1-17 0.9% 0.9
0-18 0.2% 0.2
Total 100% 0.5% 0.5% 0.0% 13.6 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.0 99.5 0.0%