Duquesne
Atlantic 10
2024-25 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
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Overall
Predictive Rating+2.5#121
Expected Predictive Rating-2.4#199
Pace78.2#20
Improvement+2.4#54

Offense
Total Offense+1.9#122
First Shot+3.0#88
After Offensive Rebound-1.1#258
Layup/Dunks+3.1#71
2 Pt Jumpshots-2.4#307
3 Pt Jumpshots+1.7#130
Freethrows+0.7#133
Improvement+2.6#27

Defense
Total Defense+0.6#144
First Shot+0.8#142
After Offensive Rebounds-0.2#201
Layups/Dunks+1.9#110
2 Pt Jumpshots-0.8#257
3 Pt Jumpshots+3.2#64
Freethrows-3.5#349
Improvement-0.2#193
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 1.7% 2.4% 1.2%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 12.3 12.1 12.7
.500 or above 45.7% 60.3% 34.9%
.500 or above in Conference 43.7% 58.6% 32.7%
Conference Champion 1.1% 2.1% 0.4%
Last Place in Conference 3.8% 1.4% 5.5%
First Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Round1.7% 2.4% 1.2%
Second Round0.2% 0.3% 0.1%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.1% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Davidson (Away) - 42.6% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 20 - 2
Quad 1b0 - 30 - 4
Quad 22 - 52 - 10
Quad 35 - 57 - 15
Quad 48 - 115 - 16


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Mon, Nov 3 352 Niagara W 83-63 95%     1 - 0 +3.8 +2.4 +1.1
  Fri, Nov 7 250 Sacred Heart W 92-80 84%     2 - 0 +3.9 +9.0 -5.8
  Tue, Nov 11 211 Queens W 87-81 OT 80%     3 - 0 -0.3 -10.4 +9.0
  Sat, Nov 15 32 @Villanova L 77-87 9%     3 - 1 +7.0 +12.7 -5.8
  Wed, Nov 19 329 Loyola Maryland W 92-78 92%     4 - 1 +1.0 +4.8 -4.7
  Sat, Nov 22 205 Northeastern L 86-93 70%     4 - 2 -9.9 -2.9 -5.8
  Tue, Dec 2 118 William & Mary L 79-83 59%     4 - 3 -3.9 -0.8 -2.8
  Sat, Dec 6 246 Stony Brook W 84-75 84%     5 - 3 +1.1 +9.2 -8.0
  Wed, Dec 10 51 @Boise St. L 64-86 16%     5 - 4 -8.9 -1.6 -7.1
  Sat, Dec 13 89 @Nevada L 75-78 26%     5 - 5 +6.2 +8.4 -2.3
  Mon, Dec 22 347 Canisius W 103-59 94%     6 - 5 +28.8 +21.4 +5.7
  Tue, Dec 30 140 @Davidson L 75-77 43%    
  Sat, Jan 3 47 Virginia Commonwealth L 78-84 30%    
  Wed, Jan 7 188 @Saint Joseph's W 77-76 55%    
  Tue, Jan 13 68 Dayton L 76-79 41%    
  Sat, Jan 17 193 @Fordham W 74-72 56%    
  Tue, Jan 20 37 Saint Louis L 81-89 24%    
  Sat, Jan 24 270 @Loyola Chicago W 81-76 69%    
  Wed, Jan 28 116 St. Bonaventure W 78-76 59%    
  Sun, Feb 1 119 Rhode Island W 79-77 59%    
  Wed, Feb 4 88 @George Mason L 72-79 27%    
  Sat, Feb 7 77 George Washington L 84-86 43%    
  Sat, Feb 14 116 @St. Bonaventure L 75-79 37%    
  Wed, Feb 18 233 La Salle W 80-70 81%    
  Sat, Feb 21 68 @Dayton L 73-82 22%    
  Wed, Feb 25 140 Davidson W 78-74 65%    
  Sat, Feb 28 37 @Saint Louis L 78-92 11%    
  Wed, Mar 4 119 @Rhode Island L 76-80 37%    
  Sat, Mar 7 104 Richmond W 80-79 54%    
Projected Record 14 - 15 8 - 10




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Atlantic 10 Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.2 0.4 0.3 0.1 0.0 0.0 1.1 1st
2nd 0.1 0.7 1.3 0.6 0.2 0.0 2.8 2nd
3rd 0.0 1.0 2.1 1.1 0.2 0.0 4.5 3rd
4th 0.0 0.9 3.1 1.9 0.2 0.0 6.2 4th
5th 0.0 0.6 3.6 3.0 0.5 0.0 7.8 5th
6th 0.3 3.3 4.5 1.1 0.0 9.2 6th
7th 0.1 2.5 5.6 2.0 0.1 10.3 7th
8th 0.1 1.6 5.8 3.7 0.3 0.0 11.5 8th
9th 0.0 1.0 5.2 4.9 0.8 0.0 11.9 9th
10th 0.0 0.8 4.2 5.2 1.2 0.0 11.5 10th
11th 0.0 0.7 3.0 4.6 1.5 0.1 10.0 11th
12th 0.0 0.5 2.3 3.2 1.5 0.1 0.0 7.6 12th
13th 0.0 0.3 1.3 1.7 0.7 0.1 0.0 4.1 13th
14th 0.0 0.2 0.5 0.6 0.3 0.1 1.7 14th
Total 0.0 0.2 0.8 2.4 5.0 7.8 11.5 13.7 14.9 14.1 11.3 8.4 5.3 2.8 1.2 0.5 0.1 0.0 0.0 Total



Atlantic 10 Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0 100.0% 0.0    0.0
17-1 100.0% 0.0    0.0
16-2 86.7% 0.1    0.1 0.0
15-3 67.6% 0.3    0.2 0.1 0.0
14-4 33.9% 0.4    0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0
13-5 7.0% 0.2    0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0
12-6 0.8% 0.0    0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
11-7 0.0%
10-8 0.0%
9-9 0.0%
Total 1.1% 1.1 0.5 0.3 0.2 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0 0.0% 0.0
17-1 0.0% 0.0 0.0
16-2 0.1% 33.3% 30.0% 3.3% 10.8 0.0 0.0 0.1 4.8%
15-3 0.5% 13.1% 12.4% 0.7% 11.2 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.4 0.8%
14-4 1.2% 13.1% 13.1% 11.3 0.0 0.1 0.1 1.0
13-5 2.8% 7.2% 7.2% 11.7 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 2.6
12-6 5.3% 5.6% 5.6% 11.8 0.1 0.2 0.0 5.0
11-7 8.4% 3.8% 3.8% 12.2 0.0 0.2 0.1 0.0 8.1
10-8 11.3% 1.8% 1.8% 12.5 0.0 0.1 0.1 11.1
9-9 14.1% 1.2% 1.2% 12.6 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 13.9
8-10 14.9% 1.0% 1.0% 13.8 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 14.7
7-11 13.7% 0.6% 0.6% 14.5 0.0 0.0 0.0 13.6
6-12 11.5% 0.2% 0.2% 15.1 0.0 0.0 11.5
5-13 7.8% 0.1% 0.1% 16.0 0.0 7.8
4-14 5.0% 0.2% 0.2% 16.0 0.0 5.0
3-15 2.4% 2.4
2-16 0.8% 0.8
1-17 0.2% 0.2
0-18 0.0% 0.0
Total 100% 1.7% 1.7% 0.0% 12.3 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.3 0.8 0.3 0.1 0.1 0.0 98.3 0.0%