Hofstra
Colonial Athletic
2020-21 - 2021-22 - 2022-23
Switch to All-time Team Page
Overall
Predictive Rating+2.8#125
Expected Predictive Rating+4.1#119
Pace69.4#171
Improvement-0.8#249

Offense
Total Offense+5.2#45
First Shot+9.1#10
After Offensive Rebound-3.9#344
Layup/Dunks+0.1#171
2 Pt Jumpshots+0.7#139
3 Pt Jumpshots+10.8#5
Freethrows-2.5#307
Improvement-0.3#212

Defense
Total Defense-2.4#250
First Shot-4.2#300
After Offensive Rebounds+1.8#80
Layups/Dunks-0.9#221
2 Pt Jumpshots+0.8#133
3 Pt Jumpshots-6.3#345
Freethrows+2.2#67
Improvement-0.6#231
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.1% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 21.1% 23.2% 17.7%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.1% 0.2% 0.0%
Average Seed 13.8 13.6 14.1
.500 or above 82.5% 88.7% 72.1%
.500 or above in Conference 89.7% 91.7% 86.3%
Conference Champion 29.7% 32.9% 24.4%
Last Place in Conference 0.3% 0.2% 0.6%
First Four0.5% 0.3% 0.7%
First Round21.0% 23.0% 17.6%
Second Round2.5% 3.0% 1.7%
Sweet Sixteen0.7% 0.8% 0.3%
Elite Eight0.1% 0.1% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Stony Brook (Away) - 62.4% chance of victory

Projected Seeding 15 seed  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 20 - 2
Quad 1b0 - 20 - 4
Quad 21 - 31 - 7
Quad 37 - 48 - 11
Quad 411 - 218 - 13


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 09, 2021 4   @ Houston L 75-83 OT 5%     0 - 1 +13.6 +12.7 +1.0
  Nov 13, 2021 212   @ Duquesne W 73-63 57%     1 - 1 +11.1 +5.3 +6.4
  Nov 16, 2021 97   @ Iona L 74-82 30%     1 - 2 +0.2 +3.5 -2.9
  Nov 19, 2021 60   @ Maryland L 67-69 22%     1 - 3 +8.7 +0.8 +8.0
  Nov 22, 2021 62   @ Richmond L 68-81 23%     1 - 4 -2.5 +3.9 -7.3
  Nov 27, 2021 204   Detroit Mercy W 98-84 76%     2 - 4 +9.3 +14.4 -5.9
  Dec 01, 2021 152   Princeton W 81-77 68%     3 - 4 +2.0 +2.4 -0.5
  Dec 04, 2021 309   Bucknell W 88-69 91%     4 - 4 +7.3 +11.8 -3.7
  Dec 08, 2021 233   @ Stony Brook W 75-72 62%    
  Dec 18, 2021 25   @ Arkansas L 73-87 10%    
  Dec 22, 2021 117   @ Monmouth L 73-77 37%    
  Dec 29, 2021 331   @ William & Mary W 79-68 85%    
  Dec 31, 2021 289   @ Elon W 81-74 73%    
  Jan 03, 2022 287   UNC Wilmington W 80-67 88%    
  Jan 05, 2022 185   College of Charleston W 87-80 73%    
  Jan 09, 2022 167   @ James Madison L 77-78 48%    
  Jan 11, 2022 144   @ Towson L 71-73 43%    
  Jan 15, 2022 155   Delaware W 77-72 68%    
  Jan 17, 2022 161   Drexel W 76-71 68%    
  Jan 22, 2022 142   @ Northeastern L 67-69 43%    
  Jan 27, 2022 185   @ College of Charleston W 84-83 52%    
  Jan 29, 2022 287   @ UNC Wilmington W 77-70 72%    
  Feb 03, 2022 144   Towson W 74-70 64%    
  Feb 05, 2022 167   James Madison W 80-74 69%    
  Feb 10, 2022 161   @ Drexel L 73-74 47%    
  Feb 12, 2022 155   @ Delaware L 74-75 47%    
  Feb 19, 2022 142   Northeastern W 70-66 64%    
  Feb 24, 2022 289   Elon W 84-71 87%    
  Feb 26, 2022 331   William & Mary W 82-65 94%    
Projected Record 17 - 12 12 - 6





Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.




Projected Colonial Athletic Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.1 1.2 5.1 8.4 7.9 4.7 1.9 0.4 29.7 1st
2nd 0.1 1.6 6.1 7.3 3.5 0.7 0.1 19.4 2nd
3rd 0.0 1.3 5.8 6.1 2.0 0.2 0.0 15.4 3rd
4th 0.0 0.8 4.4 5.1 1.3 0.1 11.7 4th
5th 0.0 0.7 3.3 4.2 1.0 0.1 9.3 5th
6th 0.0 0.6 2.2 3.2 1.1 0.0 7.1 6th
7th 0.0 0.0 0.4 1.5 1.8 0.6 0.0 4.4 7th
8th 0.0 0.0 0.3 0.7 0.8 0.2 0.0 2.0 8th
9th 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.7 9th
10th 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.2 10th
Total 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.6 1.4 3.0 5.0 7.9 11.1 13.6 14.8 14.4 12.1 8.7 4.8 1.9 0.4 Total



Colonial Athletic Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0 100.0% 0.4    0.4
17-1 100.0% 1.9    1.9 0.0
16-2 97.7% 4.7    4.4 0.2
15-3 91.7% 7.9    6.6 1.4 0.0
14-4 69.4% 8.4    4.9 3.0 0.4 0.0
13-5 35.2% 5.1    1.7 2.2 1.0 0.2 0.0
12-6 8.4% 1.2    0.1 0.4 0.5 0.2 0.1
11-7 0.6% 0.1    0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
10-8 0.0% 0.0    0.0
9-9 0.0%
Total 29.7% 29.7 20.0 7.2 2.0 0.4 0.1 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid
AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0 0.4% 65.9% 59.3% 6.5% 10.2 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.1 16.1%
17-1 1.9% 50.5% 48.3% 2.2% 12.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.4 0.3 0.1 0.9 4.3%
16-2 4.8% 44.5% 44.3% 0.2% 12.8 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.7 1.0 0.4 0.0 2.6 0.4%
15-3 8.7% 35.5% 35.4% 0.1% 13.2 0.0 0.0 0.5 1.5 0.9 0.1 5.6 0.2%
14-4 12.1% 31.4% 31.4% 0.0% 13.5 0.0 0.3 1.5 1.6 0.4 0.0 8.3 0.0%
13-5 14.4% 24.4% 24.4% 13.9 0.1 0.9 1.7 0.8 0.0 10.9
12-6 14.8% 19.1% 19.1% 14.3 0.0 0.4 1.4 1.0 0.1 12.0
11-7 13.6% 15.5% 15.5% 14.6 0.0 0.2 0.7 1.1 0.1 11.5
10-8 11.1% 11.4% 11.4% 14.9 0.0 0.2 0.8 0.2 9.8
9-9 7.9% 9.1% 9.1% 15.3 0.0 0.1 0.4 0.3 7.2
8-10 5.0% 5.5% 5.5% 15.7 0.1 0.2 4.7
7-11 3.0% 4.0% 4.0% 15.9 0.0 0.1 2.9
6-12 1.4% 3.5% 3.5% 16.0 0.0 0.0 1.3
5-13 0.6% 1.0% 1.0% 16.0 0.0 0.6
4-14 0.2% 0.2
3-15 0.1% 0.1
2-16 0.0% 0.0
1-17 0.0% 0.0
0-18
Total 100% 21.1% 21.0% 0.1% 13.8 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.3 2.1 5.9 7.0 4.7 1.1 78.9 0.1%