Northeastern
Colonial Athletic
2024-25 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
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Overall
Predictive Rating-2.9#205
Expected Predictive Rating-4.1#231
Pace70.5#154
Improvement+0.2#167

Offense
Total Offense-1.6#208
First Shot+1.2#139
After Offensive Rebound-2.7#337
Layup/Dunks+3.7#53
2 Pt Jumpshots-1.4#255
3 Pt Jumpshots-1.6#239
Freethrows+0.5#141
Improvement+5.2#3

Defense
Total Defense-1.3#210
First Shot-0.2#171
After Offensive Rebounds-1.1#273
Layups/Dunks-2.5#275
2 Pt Jumpshots-1.0#271
3 Pt Jumpshots+5.3#22
Freethrows-1.9#306
Improvement-5.0#362
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 2.9% 4.1% 2.3%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 14.6 14.4 14.8
.500 or above 23.0% 37.4% 16.8%
.500 or above in Conference 38.6% 56.8% 30.7%
Conference Champion 1.6% 3.4% 0.8%
Last Place in Conference 9.3% 3.6% 11.7%
First Four0.4% 0.4% 0.4%
First Round2.7% 3.9% 2.2%
Second Round0.1% 0.1% 0.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Elon (Away) - 30.2% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 00 - 0
Quad 1b0 - 10 - 1
Quad 20 - 30 - 5
Quad 36 - 76 - 11
Quad 47 - 713 - 18


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Mon, Nov 3 288 Boston University L 75-76 OT 74%     0 - 1 -10.7 -11.3 +0.7
  Fri, Nov 7 181 @Colgate W 68-65 34%     1 - 1 +4.5 -1.9 +6.5
  Tue, Nov 11 192 @Harvard W 77-60 36%     2 - 1 +17.9 +9.0 +9.8
  Sat, Nov 15 178 Vermont L 74-85 56%     2 - 2 -15.3 -3.6 -11.7
  Thu, Nov 20 248 @Princeton L 57-70 46%     2 - 3 -15.0 -12.1 -3.5
  Sat, Nov 22 121 Duquesne W 93-86 30%     3 - 3 +9.5 +4.8 +3.5
  Fri, Nov 28 61 @Wake Forest L 73-86 9%     3 - 4 -1.2 +3.0 -3.7
  Wed, Dec 3 326 @Holy Cross L 59-76 65%     3 - 5 -23.9 -14.8 -9.9
  Sun, Dec 7 278 Central Connecticut St. W 73-56 73%     4 - 5 +7.7 -1.5 +9.6
  Sat, Dec 20 75 @Syracuse L 83-91 11%     4 - 6 +2.6 +15.8 -13.3
  Mon, Dec 22 119 @Rhode Island L 77-85 20%     4 - 7 -1.9 +14.0 -16.5
  Mon, Dec 29 166 @Elon L 75-80 30%    
  Wed, Dec 31 301 @N.C. A&T W 76-74 57%    
  Sat, Jan 3 225 @Campbell L 77-79 43%    
  Thu, Jan 8 120 UNC Wilmington L 70-73 40%    
  Sat, Jan 10 128 Towson L 67-69 42%    
  Thu, Jan 15 166 Elon W 78-77 52%    
  Sat, Jan 17 274 @Drexel W 71-70 51%    
  Sat, Jan 17 224 @Monmouth L 73-75 43%    
  Thu, Jan 22 246 Stony Brook W 73-68 68%    
  Sat, Jan 31 169 College of Charleston W 75-74 53%    
  Thu, Feb 5 110 @Hofstra L 66-76 19%    
  Sat, Feb 7 246 @Stony Brook L 70-71 47%    
  Thu, Feb 12 118 William & Mary L 79-82 39%    
  Thu, Feb 19 274 Drexel W 74-68 71%    
  Sat, Feb 21 110 Hofstra L 69-73 37%    
  Thu, Feb 26 118 @William & Mary L 76-85 21%    
  Sat, Feb 28 238 @Hampton L 71-72 45%    
  Tue, Mar 3 224 Monmouth W 76-72 64%    
Projected Record 12 - 17 8 - 9




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Colonial Athletic Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.2 0.6 0.5 0.3 0.1 0.0 1.6 1st
2nd 0.0 0.4 1.2 1.0 0.3 0.0 3.1 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.4 2.0 1.9 0.5 0.0 4.8 3rd
4th 0.3 2.4 3.1 0.9 0.0 6.7 4th
5th 0.2 2.4 4.5 1.5 0.1 8.8 5th
6th 0.0 1.8 5.3 2.6 0.3 10.0 6th
7th 0.0 1.2 5.4 4.2 0.4 0.0 11.3 7th
8th 0.0 0.6 4.3 5.2 1.0 0.0 11.0 8th
9th 0.0 0.3 3.1 5.9 1.8 0.1 11.1 9th
10th 0.0 0.2 2.0 5.2 2.9 0.3 10.5 10th
11th 0.0 0.1 1.4 3.8 3.2 0.4 0.0 9.0 11th
12th 0.0 0.2 1.1 2.9 2.7 0.5 0.0 7.4 12th
13th 0.0 0.3 1.0 1.7 1.4 0.3 0.0 4.7 13th
Total 0.0 0.3 1.2 2.9 5.8 9.2 12.6 14.7 14.7 13.2 10.4 7.3 4.3 2.1 0.9 0.3 0.1 0.0 Total



Colonial Athletic Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1 100.0% 0.0    0.0
16-2 100.0% 0.1    0.1 0.0
15-3 88.0% 0.3    0.2 0.1 0.0
14-4 56.3% 0.5    0.2 0.2 0.1 0.0
13-5 27.2% 0.6    0.2 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.0
12-6 4.0% 0.2    0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0
11-7 0.2% 0.0    0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
10-8 0.0%
9-9 0.0%
Total 1.6% 1.6 0.7 0.5 0.3 0.1 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1 0.0% 0.0 0.0
16-2 0.1% 45.0% 45.0% 12.7 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
15-3 0.3% 20.7% 20.7% 12.9 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.2
14-4 0.9% 14.5% 14.5% 13.3 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.7
13-5 2.1% 12.8% 12.8% 13.7 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 1.8
12-6 4.3% 11.0% 11.0% 14.0 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.1 0.0 3.8
11-7 7.3% 7.9% 7.9% 14.4 0.1 0.3 0.3 0.0 6.7
10-8 10.4% 4.5% 4.5% 14.9 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.1 10.0
9-9 13.2% 2.3% 2.3% 15.2 0.0 0.2 0.1 12.9
8-10 14.7% 1.7% 1.7% 15.7 0.1 0.2 14.4
7-11 14.7% 1.4% 1.4% 16.0 0.0 0.2 14.5
6-12 12.6% 0.5% 0.5% 16.0 0.1 12.6
5-13 9.2% 0.3% 0.3% 16.0 0.0 9.2
4-14 5.8% 0.2% 0.2% 16.0 0.0 5.8
3-15 2.9% 0.3% 0.3% 16.0 0.0 2.9
2-16 1.2% 1.2
1-17 0.3% 0.3
0-18 0.0% 0.0
Total 100% 2.9% 2.9% 0.0% 14.6 0.1 0.4 0.8 1.0 0.7 97.1 0.0%