St. Mary's
West Coast
2019-20 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
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All team stats adjusted for opponents. See methodology page for details.

Predictive Rating +14.6 31
Results Rating +16.7 23
Consistency 0.13 68
Pace 64.1 298
Improvement +1.3 141

Overall 1st FGA Second Chance TOs Free
throws		 Shot Selection
Offense B 54 B- A- C+ B C+
Defense A- 19 A- A D+ B+ B-

Offense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 41% 109 C 59% 155 +1.9 108
2 Pt. Jumpers 39% 161 D+ 35% 274 -0.7 219
Three Pointers 38% 233 A 40% 9 +2.0 108
Shot Selection/Accuracy C+ +0.2 167 B- +2.9 88
1st FG Attempt B- 1.08 85
Second Chance A- 38.1% 16 B 1.12 61 A- 0.43 20
Opponents' Steals B 8.0% 53
Other Turnovers D+ 7.9% 267
Turnovers C+ 15.9% 125
Freethrows C+ 0.32 143 A 81% 2 B 0.26 47
Total Offense B +6.4 54

Assists Opponents' Blocks
Close Shots B- 55% 84 B- 8.9% 67
2 Pt. Jumpers Shots B 35% 49 C+ 4.6% 159
Three Pointers B 89% 65 C 1.0% 210
Total B 63% 45 B- 5.0% 108


Defense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 39% 161 B+ 50% 23 -2.6 93
2 Pt. Jumpers 25% 59 B 34% 51 +0.6 237
Three Pointers 36% 314 A- 29% 21 -5.0 12
Shot Selection/Accuracy B- -0.4 93 A -6.5 13
1st FG Attempt A- 0.88 17
Second Chance A 23.3% 8 B+ 0.91 33 A 0.21 8
Turnovers from Steals D+ 8.5% 255
Other Turnovers C- 7.0% 219
Turnovers D+ 15.5% 255
Freethrows B+ 0.24 21 C- 73% 230 B+ 0.18 32
Total Defense A- +8.2 19

Assists Blocks
Close Shots C+ 45% 116 C+ 12.9% 91
2 Pt. Jumpers Shots D+ 32% 305 C- 4.1% 217
Three Pointers C 84% 176 B- 1.3% 86
Total C+ 53% 126 B- 6.6% 101

Miscellaneous
Offense Defense
Possession Length 18.0 245 17.8 266
Fast Break Points Per Possession 0.16 197 0.17 180
Consistency 0.11 113 0.12 187
Improvement -0.3 199 +1.6 106

NCAA Tournament Selection
At-Large Selection Status Likely In
Projected Seeding 7 seed  

Prediction Ranges
Pessimistic
5th Percentile 		Expected
50th Percentile 		Optimistic
95th Percentile
Predictive Rating Rank 36 31 26
Results Rating Rank 30 25 19
Conference Record 16 - 2 16 - 2 16 - 2
Conference Finish 1 1 1
NCAA Tourney Seed 10 8 5
NCAA Tourney Finish 1st Round 2nd Round Sweet 16

NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0% 0% 0%
#1 Seed 0% 0% 0%
Top 2 Seed 0% 0% 0%
Top 4 Seed 1% 1% 0%
Top 6 Seed 21% 29% 7%
NCAA Tourney Bid 98% 99% 96%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 97% 98% 96%
Average Seed 7.6 7.3 8.3
.500 or above 100% 100% 100%
.500 or above in Conference 100% 100% 100.0%
Conference Champion 100% 100% 100.0%
Last Place in Conference 0% 0% 0.0%
First Four1% 0% 3%
First Round97% 99% 95%
Second Round55% 57% 50%
Sweet Sixteen13% 14% 11%
Elite Eight4% 5% 4%
Final Four1% 1% 1%
Championship Game0% 0% 0%
National Champion0% 0% 0%

Projected Record by Quadrant
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a1 - 31 - 3
Quad 1b1 - 02 - 4
Quad 27 - 19 - 5
Quad 310 - 020 - 5
Quad 47 - 027 - 5


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Lead Record Total Rating Offense Defense
Avg Time Overall Conf Total First
FGA		 2nd Chance TOs Total First
FGA		 2nd Chance TOs
 Mon, Nov 3 112 St. Thomas W 84 - 58 90% +11  86% 1 - 0 A+ +26 A +14 A C C A+ +14 B A+ C+
 Fri, Nov 7 286 Chattanooga W 87 - 66 98% +12  90% 2 - 0 B +11 B+ +9 A+ D- F B- +3 C A- A-
 Tue, Nov 11 219 Ohio W 90 - 60 96% +15  84% 3 - 0 A+ +24 A +12 B- A+ B+ A+ +12 A+ D- A
 Fri, Nov 14 135 North Texas W 80 - 49 92% +23  95% 4 - 0 A+ +30 A +12 D+ A+ C- A+ +19 A+ A+ F
 Wed, Nov 19 145 Arkansas St. W 85 - 72 93% +7  96% 5 - 0 B +11 B+ +9 B+ A+ F+ C+ +2 B+ B F
 Wed, Nov 26 92 Wichita St. W 70 - 65 79% +3  71% 6 - 0 B +11 C -0 F B B+ A+ +11 A- A+ A-
 Thu, Nov 27 56 Virginia Tech W 77 - 66 67% +8  98% 7 - 0 A +21 B+ +9 A A F+ A+ +13 A+ A+ D+
 Fri, Nov 28 17 Vanderbilt L 71 - 96 36% -13  0% 7 - 1 D+ -7 C +0 B C D- D -6 C+ F+ D-
 Sun, Dec 7 108 @Davidson W 70 - 61 78% +1  43% 8 - 1 A- +16 B- +5 B- B C+ A +11 A A+ D-
 Sun, Dec 14 61 Boise St. L 67 - 68 70% -6  2% 8 - 2 B- +8 D+ -3 F C+ C+ A+ +11 C+ A+ A+
 Fri, Dec 19 126 Florida Atlantic W 88 - 75 91% +10  94% 9 - 2 B+ +13 B +6 B- B+ C- B+ +5 A+ D B-
 Mon, Dec 22 90 Northern Iowa W 63 - 58 85% -2  19% 10 - 2 B +8 C +2 F A+ C+ A- +7 B+ B+ D+
 Sun, Dec 28 154 @Loyola Marymount W 78 - 73 86% +1  56% 11 - 2 1 - 0 B +8 A+ +20 A A+ A+ F -11 C- F F
 Tue, Dec 30 271 @Pepperdine W 72 - 45 94% +12  98% 12 - 2 2 - 0 A+ +24 B- +5 B C C A+ +23 A+ B+ B+
 Fri, Jan 2 216 Portland W 78 - 57 96% +14  95% 13 - 2 3 - 0 A- +15 B+ +8 A C B- A +9 A+ A F
 Sun, Jan 4 117 Seattle W 93 - 76 91% +0  34% 14 - 2 4 - 0 A- +17 A+ +31 A+ A+ A+ F -13 D- B F
 Sat, Jan 10 128 Washington St. W 88 - 82 92% +9  93% 15 - 2 5 - 0 B- +5 B+ +9 A F+ F D+ -4 D- B- C
 Tue, Jan 13 122 @San Francisco W 82 - 68 80% +9  88% 16 - 2 6 - 0 A +20 A +13 A- A D+ A- +8 B- B D
 Sat, Jan 17 43 @Santa Clara L 54 - 62 47% -7  0% 16 - 3 6 - 1 B- +7 F -14 F C B- A+ +21 A+ A+ C-
 Wed, Jan 21 159 Oregon St. W 81 - 51 94% +14  97% 17 - 3 7 - 1 A+ +27 A +13 B- A+ A- A+ +17 A+ A+ D-
 Sat, Jan 24 216 @Portland W 75 - 69 91% +4  87% 18 - 3 8 - 1 B- +6 B +6 B+ D- D+ C+ +1 B B- F
 Sat, Jan 31 13 @Gonzaga L 65 - 73 24% -3  18% 18 - 4 8 - 2 B+ +14 C+ +3 C- D A A +11 A+ C- C+
 Wed, Feb 4 238 San Diego W 87 - 60 97% +19  95% 19 - 4 9 - 2 A +20 A+ +15 A- A+ B+ A- +7 C+ A+ C-
 Sat, Feb 7 122 San Francisco W 79 - 54 91% +15  95% 20 - 4 10 - 2 A+ +25 A- +10 A C+ A+ A+ +18 A+ A+ F
 Wed, Feb 11 271 Pepperdine W 88 - 60 98% +16  94% 21 - 4 11 - 2 A +19 B +6 A+ A- F A+ +12 A+ B D+
 Sat, Feb 14 127 @Pacific W 72 - 61 80% +2  48% 22 - 4 12 - 2 A- +17 B+ +8 D- A+ A+ A +10 A C- B+
 Wed, Feb 18 117 @Seattle W 72 - 70 79% +5  76% 23 - 4 13 - 2 B- +8 C+ +3 C- A+ C B +5 C+ A- C-
 Sat, Feb 21 128 @Washington St. W 83 - 67 81% +4  58% 24 - 4 14 - 2 A +21 A+ +17 A+ C+ D+ B+ +6 B- A+ D
 Wed, Feb 25 43 Santa Clara W 86 - 67 69% +7  76% 25 - 4 15 - 2 A+ +28 A+ +19 C- A+ C+ A +11 A+ A+ D-
 Sat, Feb 28 13 Gonzaga W 70 - 59 45% +1  48% 26 - 4 16 - 2 A+ +27 A- +10 C+ A A+ A+ +18 A+ A+ B+
Totals 26 - 4 16 - 2 +15 B +6 A+ B- C+ A- +8 A A B



Game Detail
Grades are adjusted for opponent strength in each category. Game stats are not adjusted for oppoent strength. See methodology page for descriptions of rating types.
Offense Defense
Tot Off First Field Goal Attempt Second Chance TOs Freethrows Tot Def First Field Goal Attempt Second Chance TOs Freethrows
Shot Accuracy Shot Selection Points Per Shot Shot Accuracy Shot Selection Points Per Shot
2 C 2 L 3 Tot 2 C 2 L 3 Tot Off Reb PPP Tot Att Perc Tot 2 C 2 L 3 Tot 2 C 2 L 3 Tot Off Reb PPP Tot Att Perc Tot
Season Ratings B C D+ A B- 41% 39% 38% C+ B- A- B A- C+ C+ A B A- B+ B A- A 39% 25% 36% B- A- A B+ A D+ B+ C- B+
1.18 59% 35% 40% +3 0 1.08 38% 1.1 .43 16% .32 81% .26 0.97 50% 34% 29% -6 0 0.88 23% 0.9 .21 15% .24 73% .23
Nov
3		 St. Thomas A A+ D+ A A+ 33% 19% 48% D+ A A- F C C A B A A+ C- F A+ A- 51% 8% 41% D- B A- A+ A+ C+ A+ A+ A+
1.29 81% 33% 39% +11 0 1.23 37% 0.9 .33 17% .35 79% .28 0.89 65% 75% 24% 0 +3 1.08 14% 0.0 .00 15% .18 30% .05
Nov
7		 Chattanooga B+ C A+ A+ A+ 40% 23% 37% D+ A+ D+ F+ D- F A+ A+ A+ B- D D+ B C- 29% 29% 42% A- C C+ A+ A- A- F D F
1.29 59% 60% 50% +14 0 1.30 29% 1.0 .29 21% .54 93% .51 0.98 64% 43% 30% +1 -2 1.00 19% 0.7 .13 19% .35 79% .28
Nov
11		 Ohio A C- F+ A+ B 42% 19% 38% C B- A- A+ A+ B+ B+ B A- A+ C+ B- A+ A+ 34% 28% 38% B A+ C- F D- A A+ F A+
1.30 55% 30% 45% +3 0 1.10 42% 1.5 .65 13% .36 77% .28 0.86 56% 40% 15% -11 -1 0.77 29% 1.2 .34 20% .13 86% .11
Nov
14		 North Texas A F F A- D- 47% 13% 40% A- D+ A+ A- A+ C- B A+ A A+ A+ A+ C A+ 47% 17% 36% C- A+ A+ A+ A+ F A+ F B
1.20 43% 17% 39% -7 +2 0.91 54% 1.2 .62 22% .41 81% .33 0.73 16% 22% 32% -24 +1 0.57 21% 0.7 .15 12% .24 86% .20
Nov
19		 Arkansas St. B+ C F A+ B 51% 19% 30% B+ B+ A+ B A+ F+ A+ B+ A+ C+ A B- A- A 47% 10% 43% F+ B+ C A- B F A+ F A-
1.23 59% 13% 54% +5 +1 1.14 41% 1.2 .47 19% .59 76% .45 1.04 48% 33% 28% -9 +2 0.88 37% 0.9 .33 15% .22 85% .19
Nov
26		 Wichita St. C D+ B F F 43% 29% 29% B- F B- B+ B B+ A+ A+ A+ A+ A A- B- A 48% 26% 26% C- A- A+ B+ A+ A- C- F D-
1.02 52% 43% 7% -13 -1 0.76 31% 1.1 .33 13% .44 85% .37 0.95 46% 31% 31% -9 0 0.84 26% 0.9 .23 19% .34 79% .27
Nov
27		 Virginia Tech B+ B A+ C- A 49% 16% 36% A- A A B A F+ A+ A A+ A+ C B+ A+ A+ 25% 31% 44% A+ A+ F+ A+ A+ D+ D+ F F+
1.14 64% 57% 31% +4 +1 1.13 41% 1.1 .44 22% .36 79% .28 0.97 62% 31% 26% -6 -2 0.85 39% 0.5 .20 13% .34 85% .29
Nov
28		 Vanderbilt C C+ A C- B+ 35% 24% 41% C+ B D A C D- C+ A+ A D F A+ F C 41% 30% 29% A- C+ C+ F F+ D- C- D C-
0.98 56% 45% 32% 0 -1 1.00 21% 1.2 .24 22% .35 90% .32 1.32 83% 12% 44% +6 -1 1.13 31% 1.5 .49 10% .34 82% .27
Dec
7		 Davidson B- B- C D B- 46% 33% 22% C- B- A+ F B C+ C+ C- C A C- C+ A+ A 29% 29% 42% A A A A+ A+ D- C+ A+ B+
1.09 62% 40% 30% +1 -1 1.02 46% 0.8 .35 17% .32 65% .21 0.95 60% 40% 27% -3 -2 0.92 23% 0.6 .13 14% .27 53% .15
Dec
14		 Boise St. D+ F+ D- F F 40% 26% 34% B- F B+ F C+ C+ A+ A+ A+ A+ C F B- C 36% 26% 38% A C+ A+ F A+ A+ A F B+
0.98 47% 33% 25% -10 0 0.81 28% 0.9 .25 15% .41 83% .34 0.99 59% 50% 33% +3 -1 1.06 18% 1.2 .21 22% .26 86% .22
Dec
19		 Florida Atlantic B A+ F F C+ 46% 12% 42% B B- A+ D- B+ C- A+ A- A+ B+ A+ F B- A+ 46% 17% 37% D A+ A F D B- F A- D-
1.15 71% 17% 27% -1 +2 1.04 42% 0.9 .36 17% .52 79% .41 0.98 33% 56% 32% -10 +1 0.85 25% 1.6 .40 18% .40 64% .26
Dec
22		 Northern Iowa C F F F F 40% 21% 40% C F A+ A+ A+ C+ A+ A+ A+ A- A- D B- B+ 42% 21% 37% B- B+ A+ F B+ D+ A+ D- A+
1.02 41% 11% 18% -22 0 0.58 41% 1.2 .49 18% .53 93% .49 0.94 50% 45% 32% -3 0 0.96 10% 1.7 .17 13% .07 75% .06
Dec
28		 Loyola Marymount A+ C C A+ A+ 40% 29% 31% C- A B+ A+ A+ A+ A- D- B F A F D- D 28% 34% 38% A C- F+ F F F C+ B+ B-
1.31 56% 38% 50% +7 -1 1.13 38% 1.5 .55 10% .36 68% .24 1.23 46% 56% 39% +6 -3 1.09 32% 1.4 .46 10% .26 64% .17
Dec
30		 Pepperdine B- A- B+ D B 47% 19% 34% C- B D A C C F+ A+ C+ A+ B- B- A+ A+ 35% 19% 46% C- A+ A B- B+ B+ A+ C+ A+
1.17 68% 44% 31% +5 +1 1.13 28% 1.3 .36 16% .19 100% .19 0.73 53% 33% 18% -14 0 0.75 22% 0.9 .19 21% .08 75% .06
Jan
2		 Portland B+ A F A+ A+ 31% 18% 51% C- A C C+ C B- A B- A A A- F A+ A+ 46% 25% 29% C+ A+ D A+ A F B- F C-
1.22 71% 25% 43% +9 0 1.20 31% 1.1 .34 16% .39 76% .30 0.89 50% 46% 7% -14 0 0.75 33% 0.7 .23 14% .27 87% .24
Jan
4		 Seattle A+ A+ F A+ A+ 58% 13% 29% A A+ A+ A+ A+ A+ B A+ A F B F F D 47% 14% 40% D D- B+ C+ B F A+ D+ A+
1.44 70% 29% 47% +11 +2 1.29 59% 1.2 .72 14% .34 84% .29 1.18 52% 50% 43% +4 +1 1.14 19% 0.9 .17 8% .12 71% .08
Jan
10		 Washington St. B+ D+ D+ A+ A+ 33% 15% 52% B- A C+ F F+ F A- A+ A+ D+ F+ F C- D- 43% 12% 45% D- D- B+ D+ B- C D- C D
1.24 53% 38% 48% +9 0 1.21 29% 0.6 .18 20% .35 100% .35 1.16 71% 67% 36% +11 +1 1.27 25% 1.0 .25 18% .33 74% .24
Jan
13		 San Francisco A D B- A+ A 40% 32% 28% D A- C+ A+ A D+ A+ A+ A+ A- C B- D+ C+ 31% 28% 41% A B- A+ F B D A+ A+ A+
1.23 53% 40% 54% +7 -1 1.13 29% 1.5 .43 15% .44 88% .39 1.02 59% 33% 36% 0 -1 1.00 18% 1.6 .29 14% .23 38% .09
Jan
17		 Santa Clara F F C- F F 38% 19% 43% C- F C B- C B- A- F C+ A+ B A A+ A+ 42% 31% 27% A A+ A+ A+ A+ C- F C- F
0.80 39% 33% 15% -20 0 0.62 30% 1.1 .33 19% .40 64% .26 0.92 55% 33% 23% -7 -1 0.85 21% 0.9 .18 15% .35 75% .26
Jan
21		 Oregon St. A C+ D C B- 48% 13% 39% B B- A- A A+ A- A C A A+ A+ D- A+ A+ 40% 26% 33% B A+ A- A+ A+ D- F C- F
1.29 59% 33% 33% -1 +2 1.04 39% 1.2 .48 11% .41 74% .30 0.81 35% 45% 14% -17 -1 0.67 21% 0.5 .10 14% .50 78% .39
Shot Accuracy Shot Selection PPS 2nd Chance TOs Freethrows Shot Accuracy Shot Selection PPS 2nd Chance TOs Freethrows
Jan
24		 Portland B D B- A+ B+ 46% 17% 37% B- B+ B- F D- D+ B A+ A+ C+ B+ A+ F+ B 43% 24% 33% B- B A F B- F C F D-
1.15 52% 38% 47% +5 +1 1.13 34% 0.7 .24 18% .34 89% .30 1.06 52% 25% 38% -4 0 0.94 21% 1.4 .30 14% .30 88% .27
Jan
31		 Gonzaga C+ A F D C 26% 38% 36% F+ C- D+ D- D A A+ A+ A+ A D- A+ C- A 29% 42% 29% A+ A+ A F C- C+ F+ A D+
0.96 67% 22% 29% -6 -3 0.83 20% 0.7 .14 16% .44 92% .40 1.07 71% 25% 36% -1 -3 0.94 29% 1.5 .45 15% .36 62% .22
Feb
4		 San Diego A+ D+ A- A+ A- 45% 21% 34% C A- A- A+ A+ B+ B- A B+ A- D+ A+ F C 33% 27% 40% B C+ B- A+ A+ C- C- A+ A
1.36 57% 50% 50% +10 0 1.23 42% 1.3 .55 16% .37 80% .30 0.94 63% 23% 42% +2 -1 1.04 26% 0.5 .13 17% .25 38% .09
Feb
7		 San Francisco A- D+ B- A+ A- 52% 19% 30% A- A B+ D- C+ A+ F C+ F A+ A+ A+ A+ A+ 29% 17% 54% B- A+ A+ A+ A+ F A- F D+
1.23 54% 40% 50% +5 +1 1.15 34% 0.9 .31 8% .14 75% .10 0.84 40% 22% 25% -15 0 0.71 15% 0.7 .10 9% .27 94% .26
Feb
11		 Pepperdine B F A+ A+ A+ 32% 20% 48% D- A+ A+ D- A- F A+ F B+ A+ A- A+ A A+ 38% 20% 42% C- A+ B B B D+ A A+ A+
1.23 44% 50% 54% +12 0 1.26 49% 0.9 .46 21% .39 59% .23 0.84 48% 8% 28% -14 0 0.75 26% 0.8 .22 17% .20 58% .12
Feb
14		 Pacific B+ A F D- F+ 31% 25% 44% C+ D- A- A+ A+ A+ F A+ D+ A A+ A+ F A+ 50% 20% 30% D A A F C- B+ B+ F+ B-
1.13 71% 7% 29% -7 -1 0.85 33% 1.4 .45 6% .24 86% .20 0.96 43% 22% 43% -6 +1 0.91 27% 1.3 .36 24% .23 82% .19
Feb
18		 Seattle C+ C- D+ D C- 47% 31% 22% D+ C- C- A+ A+ C A+ A- A+ B D+ D A- C 42% 24% 34% B C+ A+ B- A- C- F+ C+ D
0.99 52% 36% 30% -5 -1 0.91 29% 1.7 .48 21% .47 78% .36 0.96 62% 42% 29% 0 0 1.02 16% 0.8 .13 17% .36 68% .25
Feb
21		 Washington St. A+ A- A A+ A+ 36% 32% 32% D- A+ A+ F C+ D+ D- C D- B+ C+ A+ D B+ 52% 10% 38% F B- B A+ A+ D B D+ B-
1.32 67% 50% 56% +18 -2 1.34 45% 0.7 .31 16% .23 75% .17 1.06 60% 20% 39% +2 +2 1.10 26% 0.4 .12 16% .25 77% .19
Feb
25		 Santa Clara A+ B F D+ C- 41% 18% 41% C- C- A+ A+ A+ C+ F+ A- D A A+ B- B- A+ 37% 22% 41% B A+ A+ F A+ D- C+ F C-
1.31 65% 11% 30% -5 0 0.94 58% 1.4 .83 20% .27 79% .21 1.02 45% 42% 32% -5 0 0.91 17% 1.5 .25 12% .23 85% .19
Feb
28		 Gonzaga A- F F+ A+ C 32% 13% 55% A C+ A A A A+ F B F+ A+ C+ B A+ A+ 37% 33% 31% B A+ A+ A+ A+ B+ A- F C+
1.09 24% 29% 41% -6 +1 0.91 33% 1.1 .36 9% .19 73% .14 0.92 61% 38% 27% -2 -2 0.94 21% 0.4 .09 17% .23 83% .19



Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected West Coast Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 100.0 100.0 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 4th
5th 5th
6th 6th
7th 7th
8th 8th
9th 9th
10th 10th
11th 11th
12th 12th
Total 100.0 Total



West Coast Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2 100.0% 100.0    100.0
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8
9-9
Total 100.0% 100.0 100.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2 100.0% 97.7% 22.3% 75.5% 7.6 0.1 0.7 4.6 16.0 25.1 23.4 18.2 8.2 1.4 2.3 97.1%
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8
9-9
8-10
7-11
6-12
5-13
4-14
3-15
2-16
1-17
0-18
Total 100% 97.7% 22.3% 75.5% 7.6 2.3 97.1%


Best / Worst Case Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid		Avg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Win Out 22.3% 100.0% 6.5 0.3 2.7 14.2 34.7 31.2 12.8 3.7 0.4 0.0
Win Out, Lose in Conf. Tourney Championship 41.4% 98.0% 7.7 0.2 2.9 14.2 28.1 27.0 18.7 6.3 0.7
Win Out, Lose in Conf. Tourney Semi-Final 36.3% 96.0% 8.3 0.0 0.7 6.7 18.0 25.9 26.5 15.2 3.0